Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.02 Tue Sep 10 2024 829.08 0.00 0.00 829.10 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 0.00 5.05 0.00% -20.4200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 103.16 0.00 0.00 103.16 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.01 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 58.01 0.00 0.00 58.03 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 40.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 37.24 0.00 0.00 37.24 Trades
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 30.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 20.05 0.00 0.00 20.05 Trades
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 19.99 0.00 0.00 19.99 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.03 0.00% 0.48 0.52 0.00 0.02 Fri Nov 08 2024 -26.78 32.31 0.00 5.54 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 1.01 0.00 0.00 1.01 Trades
Will Kraken IPO by June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.80 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -2.28 0.00 0.00 -2.28 Trades
Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 -4.01 0.00 0.00 -4.01 Trades
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 01 2024 -15.61 0.00 0.00 -15.61 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.87 0.13 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -65.04 48.64 0.00 -16.39 Trades
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -21.34 0.00 0.00 -21.34 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -42.50 0.00 0.00 -42.50 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -61.67 0.00 0.00 -61.67 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -89.61 0.00 0.00 -89.61 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -197.25 107.54 0.00 -89.71 Trades
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? Yes No 0.00 123.22 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -104.74 0.00 0.00 -104.74 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 827.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -115.78 0.00 0.00 -115.78 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -140.55 0.00 0.00 -140.55 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -148.89 0.00 0.00 -148.89 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? Yes No 95.24 0.00 0.00% 1.7860 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -170.09 0.00 0.00 -170.09 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -180.00 0.00 0.00 -180.00 Trades
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Netanyahu Sinwar 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.5200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 -208.00 0.00 0.00 -208.00 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -229.64 0.00 0.00 -229.64 Trades
Canada federal election in 2024? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -290.00 0.00 0.00 -290.00 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -340.00 0.00 0.00 -340.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by June 12? Yes No 699.98 0.00 0.00% 0.5400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 12 2024 -378.01 0.00 0.00 -378.01 Trades
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? Yes No 0.00 558.45 0.00% 0.6800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -379.75 0.00 0.00 -379.75 Trades
Will Circle IPO by June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -440.00 0.00 0.00 -440.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 608.00 0.00% 0.7667 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -466.14 0.00 0.00 -466.14 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 0.00 694.44 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,000.00 0.00% 0.4100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -820.00 0.00 0.00 -820.00 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -860.00 0.00 0.00 -860.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,119.13 0.00% 0.4911 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,040.75 0.00 0.00 -1,040.75 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 2,000.00 0.00% 0.9582 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,916.34 0.00 0.00 -1,916.34 Trades
Will β‰₯10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 6,000.00 0.00% 0.7133 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -4,280.00 0.00 0.00 -4,280.00 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 0.00 6,333.04 0.00% 0.8972 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -5,682.24 0.00 0.00 -5,682.24 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… 6,788.31 0.00 0.00 6,788.31 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 βœ… 5,514.11 0.00 0.00 5,514.11 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 74,407.78 0.00% 0.9450 0.00 1.00 0.00 74,407.78 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -70,313.96 0.00 0.00 4,093.82 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 6.18 0.00 0.00% -538.0747 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 βœ… 3,323.92 11.18 0.00 3,335.11 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 2,729.34 0.00 0.00 2,729.34 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 2,288.47 0.00% -0.1377 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,288.47 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 315.16 0.00 0.00 2,603.63 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 10,507.97 0.00 0.00% 0.7699 1.00 0.00 10,507.97 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -8,090.49 0.12 0.00 2,417.60 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 10,718.07 0.00% 0.8032 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,718.07 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -8,608.62 0.07 0.00 2,109.52 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 βœ… 1,900.58 0.00 0.00 1,900.58 Trades
Will they find another Jewish tunnel in NYC by Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 βœ… 1,773.30 0.00 0.00 1,773.30 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 929.09 0.00% -1.8666 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 1,734.27 0.00 0.00 1,734.27 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 βœ… 1,674.71 0.00 0.00 1,674.71 Trades
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 βœ… 1,662.38 0.00 0.00 1,662.38 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… 1,352.60 0.00 0.00 1,352.60 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 βœ… 1,255.65 0.00 0.00 1,255.65 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 1,228.36 1.86 0.00 1,230.22 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 1,179.45 0.00 0.00 1,179.45 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 24,392.89 0.00% 0.9533 0.00 1.00 0.00 24,392.89 Tue Nov 01 2022 βœ… -23,253.69 9.48 0.00 1,148.69 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 βœ… 1,142.16 4.97 0.00 1,147.13 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 1,128.43 0.00 0.00 1,128.43 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… 984.35 0.00 0.00 984.35 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.76 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 921.47 0.00 0.00 921.47 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 16,664.53 0.00% 0.9528 0.00 1.00 0.00 16,664.53 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -15,877.20 28.54 0.00 815.86 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 7.99 0.00% -99.8507 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 797.31 2.07 0.00 799.38 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 βœ… 790.47 0.02 0.00 790.49 Trades
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 21 2021 βœ… 679.86 0.00 0.00 679.86 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 16,120.20 0.00% 0.9652 0.00 1.00 0.00 16,120.20 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -15,559.50 4.49 0.00 565.19 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 55,734.30 0.76% 0.9907 0.00 1.00 0.00 55,734.30 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -55,216.76 0.09 0.00 517.63 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 5.91 0.00% -85.7034 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 βœ… 506.12 0.00 0.00 506.12 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 493.19 0.00 0.00 493.19 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 480.09 0.00 0.00 480.09 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 459.75 0.00 0.00 459.75 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 221.53 0.00% -1.0340 0.00 1.00 0.00 221.53 Wed Mar 20 2024 βœ… 229.05 0.00 0.00 450.58 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.00 4.59 0.00% -97.0031 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 βœ… 445.67 0.00 0.00 445.68 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 2,996.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8538 1.00 0.00 2,996.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -2,557.98 0.00 0.00 438.02 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 431.39 0.00 0.00 431.39 Trades
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 8,500.07 0.00% 0.9518 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,500.07 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -8,090.52 0.29 0.00 409.85 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 407.79 0.00 0.00 407.79 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 βœ… 383.88 0.00 0.00 383.88 Trades
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 βœ… 378.22 0.00 0.00 378.22 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… 366.35 0.00 0.00 366.35 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,098.99 0.00% 0.9123 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,098.99 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -3,739.71 0.00 0.00 359.29 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 13,785.76 0.00 0.00% 0.9768 1.00 0.00 13,785.76 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -13,465.53 14.38 0.00 334.61 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 10,309.69 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,309.69 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -10,000.00 0.00 0.00 309.69 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos? Elon Musk Jeff Bezos 0.00 0.00 1.09% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 βœ… 299.04 0.00 0.00 299.04 Trades
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 16 2021 βœ… 292.45 0.00 0.00 292.45 Trades
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? Yes No 0.00 4,352.27 0.00% 0.9381 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,352.27 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -4,083.03 0.00 0.00 269.23 Trades
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 10 2024 βœ… 258.00 0.00 0.00 258.00 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (O'Rourke) or Republican (Abbott) win in Texas? Democrat Republican 0.00 7,997.33 0.00% 0.9687 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,997.33 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -7,746.65 0.00 0.00 250.68 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,445.26 0.28% 0.9136 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,445.26 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -2,234.09 33.79 0.00 244.96 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 7.93 0.00 0.00% -30.7155 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… 243.56 0.00 0.00 243.56 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… 238.50 0.16 0.00 238.66 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 0.00 1,999.65 0.00% 0.8944 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.65 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -1,788.48 0.00 0.00 211.17 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 208.39 0.00 0.00 208.39 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 βœ… 204.60 0.00 0.00 204.60 Trades
Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 204.00 0.00 0.00 204.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 βœ… 199.32 0.00 0.00 199.32 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… 190.09 0.00 0.00 190.09 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 2,995.89 0.00% 0.9409 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,995.89 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -2,818.94 0.00 0.00 176.95 Trades
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,985.84 0.00% 0.9748 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,985.84 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -6,809.88 0.00 0.00 175.96 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 989.19 0.00 0.00% 0.8230 1.00 0.00 989.19 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -814.09 0.00 0.00 175.10 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 174.00 0.00 0.00 174.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 266.69 0.00% 0.3494 0.00 1.00 0.00 266.69 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… -93.19 0.08 0.00 173.59 Trades
NYT drop OpenAI case by March? Yes No 0.00 1,666.67 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,666.67 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -1,500.00 0.00 0.00 166.67 Trades
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 165.68 0.00 0.00 165.68 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 157.14 0.00 0.00 157.14 Trades
Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,174.18 0.00% 0.9277 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,174.18 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -2,017.06 0.00 0.00 157.12 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 3,995.90 0.00 0.00% 0.9619 1.00 0.00 3,995.90 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -3,843.57 0.01 0.00 152.35 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 131.06 0.00 0.00 131.06 Trades
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 125.19 0.00 0.00 125.20 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 12.03 0.00 0.00% -7.9343 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 95.48 20.17 0.00 115.65 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? Yes No 0.00 399.90 0.00% 0.7202 0.00 1.00 0.00 399.90 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -288.01 0.00 0.00 111.89 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 28 2024 βœ… 104.00 0.00 0.00 104.00 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 103.44 0.00 0.00 103.44 Trades
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? Yes No 0.00 2,558.88 0.00% 0.9606 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,558.88 Mon Apr 01 2024 βœ… -2,458.00 0.00 0.00 100.88 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 100.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Trades
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… 92.10 0.00 0.00 92.10 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war before February? Yes No 0.00 3,805.92 0.00% 0.9787 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,805.92 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -3,725.00 0.00 0.00 80.92 Trades
US bank failure in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 80.88 0.00 0.00 80.89 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 βœ… 77.52 0.26 0.00 77.78 Trades
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 76.51 0.00 0.00 76.51 Trades
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 1,050.54 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,050.54 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -977.00 0.00 0.00 73.54 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 0.00 487.77 0.00% 0.8496 0.00 1.00 0.00 487.77 Fri Jan 06 2023 βœ… -414.39 0.00 0.00 73.38 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 7.54 0.00 0.00% -9.4891 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 71.54 0.00 0.00 71.54 Trades
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? Yes No 0.00 1,260.04 0.00% 0.9476 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,260.04 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -1,194.04 0.00 0.00 66.00 Trades
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? Yes No 0.00 2,061.86 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,061.86 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -2,000.00 0.00 0.00 61.86 Trades
Will the bill making Daylight Savings Time permanent be signed into law by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… 55.74 0.00 0.00 55.74 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 3,553.30 0.00 0.00% 0.9850 1.00 0.00 3,553.30 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -3,500.00 0.00 0.00 53.30 Trades
What will the outcome of Elon Musk’s November 6th Twitter Poll be? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 βœ… 48.26 0.00 0.00 48.26 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on December 7, 2021? Yes No 663.45 0.00 0.00% -0.0688 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 βœ… 45.66 0.00 0.00 45.66 Trades
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -255.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Jimmy Kimmel? Yes No 0.00 2,044.99 0.00% 0.9780 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,044.99 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -2,000.00 0.00 0.00 44.99 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before December 8th, 2021? Yes No 56.03 0.00 0.00% -0.7594 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 βœ… 42.55 0.00 0.00 42.55 Trades
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 41.07 0.00 0.00 41.07 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? Democrat Republican 0.00 994.14 0.00% 0.9607 0.00 1.00 0.00 994.14 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -955.07 0.00 0.00 39.07 Trades
Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on November 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.25% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 βœ… 36.53 0.00 0.00 36.53 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 36.50 0.00 0.00 36.50 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… 36.39 0.00 0.00 36.40 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 36.06 0.00 0.00 36.07 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 28.99 0.00 0.00 28.99 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.80 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.80 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 27.88 0.00 0.00 28.67 Trades
Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 28.27 0.00 0.00 28.27 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 βœ… 27.27 0.00 0.00 27.28 Trades
Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 27.05 0.00 0.00 27.05 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 26.18 0.00 0.00 26.18 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.09 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 26.08 0.03 0.00 26.11 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 24.50 0.00 0.00 24.50 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 18.46 5.96 0.00 24.42 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? Yes No 0.00 61.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 61.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -36.60 0.00 0.00 24.40 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… 24.01 0.00 0.00 24.01 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 15.66 0.00 0.00% -1.4935 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 βœ… 23.38 0.00 0.00 23.38 Trades
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 56.41 0.00% 0.6100 0.00 1.00 0.00 56.41 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -34.41 0.00 0.00 22.00 Trades
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? Yes No 1.27 0.00 0.00% -16.1694 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… 20.46 0.00 0.00 20.46 Trades
Will BTC hit $70,000 in March? Yes No 162.75 0.00 0.00% 0.8800 1.00 0.00 162.75 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -143.22 0.00 0.00 19.53 Trades
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 19.50 0.00 0.00 19.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.57% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 18.54 0.00 0.00 18.54 Trades
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 17.00 0.00 0.00 17.00 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister? Yes No 0.00 1,505.56 0.00% 0.9889 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,505.56 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -1,488.79 0.00 0.00 16.77 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 816.88 0.00% 0.9796 0.00 1.00 0.00 816.88 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -800.19 0.00 0.00 16.69 Trades
Golf: Will Jon Rahm win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 181.88 0.00% 0.9165 0.00 1.00 0.00 181.88 Mon Apr 11 2022 βœ… -166.69 0.81 0.00 15.99 Trades
Will any MIT faculty lose their job due to plagiarism in January? Yes No 0.00 398.96 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 398.96 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -383.00 0.00 0.00 15.96 Trades
Will 227.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 15.45 0.00 0.00 15.45 Trades
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 15.10 0.00 0.00 15.10 Trades
Blast launch delayed? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked? Yes No 0.00 658.03 0.00% 0.9802 0.00 1.00 0.00 658.03 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -645.00 0.00 0.00 13.03 Trades
US/Iran declare war before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 12.60 0.00 0.00 12.60 Trades
Will the US have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than France, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 999.99 0.00% 0.9885 0.00 1.00 0.00 999.99 Wed Mar 02 2022 βœ… -988.49 0.00 0.00 11.49 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $63,000 at noon on November 22, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 βœ… 4.50 5.80 0.00 10.30 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -1.72 11.77 0.00 10.05 Trades
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 9.97 0.00 0.00 9.97 Trades
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 467.35 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 467.35 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -458.00 0.00 0.00 9.35 Trades
US bank failure in March? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… 8.99 0.00 0.00 9.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 βœ… 6.79 1.94 0.00 8.73 Trades
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? Yes No 0.76 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.76 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 7.66 0.00 0.00 8.43 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 βœ… 8.30 0.00 0.00 8.30 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9600 1.00 0.00 200.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -192.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 Trades
Will George Santos start an OnlyFans in 2023? Yes No 0.00 385.21 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 385.21 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -377.51 0.00 0.00 7.70 Trades
Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 7.01 0.00 0.00 7.01 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 βœ… 6.61 0.00 0.00 6.61 Trades
Any Hamas leader out in January? Yes No 0.00 13.18 0.00% 0.5500 0.00 1.00 0.00 13.18 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -7.25 0.00 0.00 5.93 Trades
NFL: Will the Bills beat the Jaguars by more than 13.5 points in their November 7th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 βœ… 5.37 0.00 0.00 5.37 Trades
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 4.98 0.00 0.00 4.98 Trades
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March? Yes No 0.00 105.00 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 105.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -100.80 0.00 0.00 4.20 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? Yes No 2.22 0.00 0.00% -1.8489 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 βœ… 4.10 0.00 0.00 4.10 Trades
Golf: Will Jordan Spieth win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.17 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 βœ… -3.91 7.27 0.00 3.37 Trades
Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 βœ… 3.07 0.00 0.00 3.07 Trades
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… 0.79 1.93 0.00 2.72 Trades
Will @DonaldJTrumpJr post more than 70 new tweets by November 8th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 βœ… 2.57 0.00 0.00 2.57 Trades
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? Yes No 0.00 49.47 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 49.47 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… -47.00 0.00 0.00 2.47 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -0.04 2.07 0.00 2.03 Trades
Will Donald Trump’s Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 1.90 0.00 0.00 1.90 Trades
Golf: Will Justin Thomas win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 20.53 0.00% 0.9344 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.53 Mon Apr 11 2022 βœ… -19.18 0.10 0.00 1.44 Trades
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 1.40 0.00 0.00 1.40 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 95.95 0.00% 0.0449 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 βœ… -4.31 5.65 0.00 1.34 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 40.47 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 40.47 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -39.26 0.00 0.00 1.21 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.82 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.82 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… 0.31 0.00 0.00 1.13 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Warren Buffett or Sergey Brin? Warren Buffett Sergey Brin 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 βœ… 1.03 0.00 0.00 1.03 Trades
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? Yes No 2.08 0.00 0.00% 0.5200 1.00 0.00 2.08 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -1.08 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 βœ… 0.90 0.00 0.00 0.90 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -0.54 1.31 0.00 0.77 Trades
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.63% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.24 Trades
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -0.03 0.24 0.00 0.21 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.35 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.35 Wed Sep 15 2021 βœ… -0.32 0.01 0.00 0.04 Trades
Golf: Will an American win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 5.70 0.00% 0.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
North Korea nuke by March 31? Yes No 1.03 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 16 2021 βœ… -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 Trades
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? Yes No 2.02 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.08 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other		 1.97
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.41 0.59 0.00 0.00 βœ… -0.41 0.11 0.00 -0.29 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 28.42 0.00 0.00% 0.0518 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 βœ… -1.47 0.67 0.00 -0.80 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? Yes No 6.43 0.00 0.00% 15.7978 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -101.57 99.37 0.00 -2.19 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.25% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 17 2021 βœ… -4.30 1.37 0.00 -2.93 Trades
NBA: Who will win Jazz vs. Suns, scheduled for April 8 (9.30 PM ET)? Jazz Suns 6.63 0.00 0.00% 0.5557 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 08 2022 βœ… -3.69 0.04 0.00 -3.65 Trades
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 βœ… -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.80 0.00 0.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -10.91 6.38 0.00 -4.53 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.0160 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 βœ… -4.80 0.00 0.00 -4.80 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -6.91 0.00 0.00 -6.91 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -17.00 7.27 0.00 -9.72 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 40.01 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 4,000.00 0.00% 0.0030 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -12.00 0.00 0.00 -12.00 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? Yes No 0.00 260.03 0.00% 0.0490 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -12.74 0.00 0.00 -12.74 Trades
Golf: Will Collin Morikawa win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.42 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 βœ… -14.16 0.50 0.00 -13.66 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 1,914.19 0.00% 1.0072 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,914.19 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -1,928.00 0.00 0.00 -13.81 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 βœ… -19.00 0.00 0.00 -19.00 Trades
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1? Yes No 0.00 626.03 0.00% 0.0310 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… -19.41 0.00 0.00 -19.41 Trades
Will Hamas surrender before February? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 βœ… -28.67 6.31 0.00 -22.36 Trades
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -24.00 0.00 0.00 -24.00 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 βœ… -24.00 0.00 0.00 -24.00 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 5.13 0.00% 61.0309 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 βœ… -312.81 286.98 0.00 -25.84 Trades
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.11 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -26.76 0.00 0.00 -26.76 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Mark Zuckerberg or Michael Bloomberg? Mark Zuckerberg Michael Bloomberg 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… -36.90 5.57 0.00 -31.33 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 1,974.22 0.00 0.00% 0.0185 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -36.57 0.00 0.00 -36.57 Trades
Bitcoin new all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.3700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 βœ… -37.00 0.00 0.00 -37.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? Yes No 1,035.82 0.00 0.00% 0.0380 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… -39.40 0.00 0.00 -39.40 Trades
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? Yes No 995.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -39.80 0.00 0.00 -39.80 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.02 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -40.01 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -78.65 37.95 0.00 -40.70 Trades
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 βœ… -51.06 0.00 0.00 -51.06 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 βœ… -57.00 0.00 0.00 -57.00 Trades
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? Yes No 541.35 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -64.96 0.00 0.00 -64.96 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -66.26 0.00 0.00 -66.26 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 βœ… -400.19 331.49 0.00 -68.71 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… -73.91 0.00 0.00 -73.91 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 βœ… -80.36 0.00 0.00 -80.36 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 2,999.82 0.00 0.00% 0.0280 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -83.99 0.00 0.00 -83.99 Trades
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31? Yes No 450.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -85.50 0.00 0.00 -85.50 Trades
Russian nuke in space by March 31? Yes No 3,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0290 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -87.00 0.00 0.00 -87.00 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by end of March? Yes No 3,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0290 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -87.00 0.00 0.00 -87.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… -94.65 0.58 0.00 -94.07 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -95.24 0.00 0.00 -95.24 Trades
Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 46, 2021 (Nov 15 - Nov 21)? Yes No 0.00 0.52 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 βœ… -100.21 2.81 0.00 -97.40 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.3600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -108.00 0.00 0.00 -108.00 Trades
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 βœ… -120.00 0.00 0.00 -120.00 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -125.34 0.00 0.00 -125.33 Trades
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -150.72 0.00 0.00 -150.72 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? Yes No 800.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -152.00 0.00 0.00 -152.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 20,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0090 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 βœ… -180.00 0.00 0.00 -180.00 Trades
Will the price of Polygon (MATIC) be above $1.45 on April 29th, 2022? Yes No 1,017.11 0.00 0.00% 0.2076 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 βœ… -211.11 13.63 0.00 -197.48 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -198.96 0.00 0.00 -198.96 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,666.67 0.00% 0.1200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
More hostages in Gaza freed before April? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -208.00 0.00 0.00 -208.00 Trades
Will @elonmusk's tweet count be over 17,600 on May 5 (12 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 5.17 0.01% 47.0333 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 βœ… -243.37 24.43 0.00 -218.93 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.06 0.00% 37.8514 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -305.03 70.37 0.00 -234.66 Trades
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… -253.62 9.78 0.00 -243.84 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? Yes No 900.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2789 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -251.00 0.00 0.00 -251.00 Trades
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 13.77 0.05% 20.3786 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -280.69 22.38 0.00 -258.31 Trades
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 836.02 0.00% 0.3554 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 βœ… -297.14 33.10 0.00 -264.04 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? Yes No 10.21 0.00 0.03% 28.5219 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 βœ… -291.33 26.52 0.00 -264.81 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? Yes No 3,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 βœ… -270.00 0.00 0.00 -270.00 Trades
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? Yes No 0.00 333.33 0.00% 0.9000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -300.00 0.00 0.00 -300.00 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 βœ… -300.00 0.00 0.00 -300.00 Trades
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? BTC ETH 0.00 1,131.12 0.00% 0.2897 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 βœ… -327.69 0.00 0.00 -327.69 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -328.99 0.00 0.00 -328.99 Trades
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2022 Tour de France? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 24 2022 βœ… -416.15 0.00 0.00 -416.15 Trades
Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.65% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 βœ… -424.56 0.00 0.00 -424.56 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 0.00 8,950.91 0.01% 1.0876 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,950.91 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -9,735.30 357.56 0.00 -426.83 Trades
Bitcoin all time high today? Yes No 653.80 0.00 0.00% 0.8672 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 βœ… -567.00 0.00 0.00 -567.00 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -601.14 0.00 0.00 -601.14 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 1,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 βœ… -660.00 0.00 0.00 -660.00 Trades
(To be Emergency Resolved) Will Amber Heard be found guilty of defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 4,659.48 0.00 0.01% 0.3536 0.20 0.80 931.90 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -1,647.54 36.36 0.00 -679.28 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 0.00 921.63 0.00% 0.7921 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -730.00 0.00 0.00 -730.00 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 899.62 0.00% 0.8718 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 βœ… -784.30 0.00 0.00 -784.30 Trades
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? Yes No 0.00 5.50 0.12% 154.1852 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -847.51 61.85 0.00 -785.66 Trades
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… -998.96 52.77 0.00 -946.19 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 5,091.49 0.00 0.00% 0.2357 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -1,200.00 0.00 0.00 -1,200.00 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 3.2455 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… -1,622.76 0.29 0.00 -1,622.47 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 3,366.31 0.00% 0.5805 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -1,954.00 0.00 0.00 -1,954.00 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 3,000.01 0.00 0.00% 0.8887 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 βœ… -2,666.10 0.00 0.00 -2,666.10 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 8.20 0.00 0.00% 979.6579 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -8,033.16 0.00 0.00 -8,033.15 Trades
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 βœ… -39,559.25 0.00 0.00 -39,559.25 Trades
Resolved 37,126.46 285,930.56 -325,870.45 1,673.41 0.03 -1,140.00
Unresolved 0.01 0.04 -18,129.25 188.49 0.00 -17,940.71
Total 37,126.47 285,930.60 -343,999.71 1,861.89 0.03 -19,080.71