Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
9.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5200
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
8.92
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.92
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
9.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.5400
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.00
|
4.86
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-0.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.44
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.39
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.2749
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
2.28
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-4.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.67
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.4800
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
2.14
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.86
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
315.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1236
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
19.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-39.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
✅ |
38.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.14
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
2.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.78
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.78
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
0.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.35
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
11.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Moriah Mills leak a sex tape with Zion Williamson? |
Yes |
No |
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Young Thug's new album have over 140k sales in its first week? |
Yes |
No |
4.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.00
|
9.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.1100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 13 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Messi sign for Barcelona? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'No Hard Feelings' gross over $10m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 26 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 26 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Wagner take Moscow by Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 27 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.3300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
83.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
✅ |
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
15.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1607
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
62.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
107.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0437
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-4.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.70
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
40.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1639
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.71
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.78
|
0.00
|
|
|
-3.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.14
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
27.92
|
9.28
|
|
|
-61.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.57
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30.70
|
9.28
|
|
|
-65.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.71
|
|