Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
83.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83.28
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
60.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.40
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
29.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 29 2023
|
✅ |
26.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.41
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
1.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.42
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
430.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0003
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0020
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
✅ |
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0133
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
No |
200.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0030
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
Will LeBron say COVID vaccine could've caused Bronny's cardiac arrest? |
Yes |
No |
66.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Biden to drop out before April? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0350
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.05
|
Trades
|
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0216
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.08
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
260.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0042
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
-1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.08
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0540
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
✅ |
-1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.08
|
Trades
|
Will TD get over 11% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
700.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0016
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
-1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.10
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0290
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
-1.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.16
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
335.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0037
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
✅ |
-1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.25
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0170
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.36
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0360
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
✅ |
-1.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.44
|
Trades
|
Will 'No Hard Feelings' gross over $10m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 26 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? |
Yes |
No |
734.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0027
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? |
Yes |
No |
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0450
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.70
|
Trades
|
Is Obama queer? |
Yes |
No |
425.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0066
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.80
|
Trades
|
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0155
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 10 2024
|
✅ |
-3.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.10
|
Trades
|
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
85.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0382
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
-3.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.25
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
183.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0180
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-3.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.30
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
180.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0194
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
139.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.0251
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
✅ |
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
548.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.0064
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 01 2023
|
✅ |
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
189.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0237
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-4.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.49
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
185.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0243
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
-4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.50
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $32,500 by July 14? |
Yes |
No |
33.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1510
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 14 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
184.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0289
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.33
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-5.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.35
|
Trades
|
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0283
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.66
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
508.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.0132
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
✅ |
-6.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.72
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
1,185.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0059
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
-7.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.02
|
Trades
|
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? |
Yes |
No |
450.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0182
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-8.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.19
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
-8.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.66
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
268.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.0356
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 01 2024
|
✅ |
-9.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.56
|
Trades
|
Alien contact in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
636.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0157
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.01
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,360.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.0083
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
-11.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.23
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
522.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0218
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-11.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.36
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
77.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.1484
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
✅ |
-11.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
668.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.0193
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-12.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.87
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
177.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0947
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-16.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.84
|
Trades
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
210.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0933
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-19.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.60
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
625.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0362
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-22.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.60
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
135.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.1840
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
100.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3981
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-39.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-39.82
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
507.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1249
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-63.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-63.37
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-138.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-138.08
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-19.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.60
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-157.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-157.68
|
|