Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
19.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.3700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
27.03
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.03
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
15.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.97
|
Trades
|
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.87
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.87
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9773
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.70
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.70
|
Trades
|
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.31
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.31
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
3.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Epstein documents unsealed by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.2100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
9.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
6.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
78.90
|
|
|
-58.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.88
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
78.90
|
|
|
-78.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.88
|
|