Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Man City win the Premier League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-0.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.38
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.66
|
Trades
|
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? |
BTC |
ETH |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
β
|
208.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
208.56
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
65.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.76
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
27.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.41
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
22.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.69
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.00
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
18.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.71
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
14.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.08
|
Trades
|
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
12.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.07
|
Trades
|
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
7.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.19
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
5.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.94
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
4.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.88
|
Trades
|
Binance announces $RLB listing by Aug 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
2.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.85
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
75.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9635
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
75.91
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-73.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.77
|
Trades
|
TikTok/UMG deal before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
2.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.57
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.86
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
1.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.51
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
β
|
1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
56.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
56.34
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-55.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9548
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.02
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-19.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.90
|
Trades
|
Rollbit rug by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.9822
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
18.13
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-17.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.32
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.31
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.31
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.38
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.10
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.9880
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.06
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
β
|
-0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.37
|
Trades
|
Was the moon landing faked? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.43
|
Trades
|
Will a Chinese team win LOL Worlds 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
41.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0170
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.70
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
2.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
33.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.4100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Drake's album drop by 10/6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.1600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 06 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.17
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.82
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
2.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? |
Yes |
No |
66.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
SBF jail by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.30
|
Trades
|
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-3.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.73
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.62
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.62
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.4200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-48.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-48.97
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
-108.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-108.98
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
76.09
|
116.36
|
|
|
35.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
228.11
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-3.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.34
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
76.09
|
116.36
|
|
|
32.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
224.77
|
|