Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
2,867.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7965
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
2,504.42
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-2,284.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
220.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
41.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.99
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
20.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.22
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9650
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.99
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.08 |
0.92 |
0.00
|
0.98
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.05
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-17.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.37
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
1,164.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6684
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
|
-778.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-778.66
|
Trades
|
Will N.D. win a plurality in the Greek election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
3,186.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,186.59
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
2,460.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,460.06
|
Trades
|
Will Ohioβs abortion referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
2,247.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,247.81
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
94.01
|
0.00% |
|
-22.8405
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
94.01
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
2,147.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,241.15
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
1,886.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,886.83
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
1,672.19
|
0.00
|
0.27% |
0.4227
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,672.19
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
β
|
-706.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
965.32
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
850.82
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0238
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
850.82
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
20.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
871.10
|
Trades
|
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 05 2023
|
β
|
869.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
869.56
|
Trades
|
Virginia State Legislature: Will Republicans gain full control? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
782.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
782.11
|
Trades
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
662.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
662.26
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
616.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
616.52
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
595.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
595.33
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
2,043.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2903
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
593.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
593.14
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
424.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
424.00
|
Trades
|
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 04 2023
|
β
|
372.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
372.70
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
340.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
340.63
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1.70
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
-185.7913
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
315.00
|
2.67
|
0.00
|
317.67
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
1,508.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8270
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,508.40
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-1,247.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
260.91
|
Trades
|
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
250.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
250.40
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
244.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
244.48
|
Trades
|
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
β
|
195.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
195.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
188.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
188.93
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
β
|
175.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
175.26
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
850.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8017
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
850.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-681.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
168.55
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
161.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
161.84
|
Trades
|
Will N.D. win over 42% of votes? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
389.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.5903
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
389.46
|
Sat Jun 24 2023
|
β
|
-229.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
159.56
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-252.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
148.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
144.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
144.33
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
910.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8580
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
910.40
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-781.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
129.26
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
108.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
108.69
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
101.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.00
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
96.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.99
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
82.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
82.50
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
1,947.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4583
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
973.72
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-892.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
81.12
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
75.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.60
|
Trades
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
133.52
|
0.00% |
|
0.4521
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
133.52
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-60.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.16
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
66.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.04
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
62.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
62.69
|
Trades
|
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
800.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9313
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
800.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
-745.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
123.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
123.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-68.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.12
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 05 2023
|
β
|
45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
482.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.9071
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
482.23
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-437.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.82
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
38.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.96
|
Trades
|
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
β
|
38.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.18
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-162.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
230.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.8476
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
230.42
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-195.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.11
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
34.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention "Russia/Putin" 10 or more times during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
73.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.6086
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
73.38
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-44.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.72
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
28.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.15
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
24.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.54
|
Trades
|
Binance insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
24.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.08
|
Trades
|
US travel ban for China in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
890.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9750
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
890.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-867.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.25
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
21.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.42
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
250.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-230.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
12.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.48
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
35.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-23.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.20
|
Trades
|
Tiktok banned in the US in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
328.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.9688
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
328.12
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-317.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.25
|
Trades
|
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
152.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.9434
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
152.63
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-144.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.63
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
5.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.93
|
Trades
|
Community notes on Biden Xeet by December 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 11 2023
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
4.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.69
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.18
|
0.01% |
|
-0.3815
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
1.21
|
1.16
|
0.00
|
2.37
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-198.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.11
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.11
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
0.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.64
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.35
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.35
|
Trades
|
NFL Monday: Bills vs. Bengals |
Bills |
Bengals |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 02 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.1373
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.23
|
0.12
|
0.00
|
-0.11
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.10
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
3,129.37
|
0.00
|
6.47% |
0.0008
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.40
|
0.00
|
0.07
|
-2.32
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-4.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.81
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.41
|
0.00% |
|
4.3194
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.08
|
Trades
|
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 07 2024
|
β
|
-7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
56.66
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
0.1684
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
-9.54
|
0.27
|
0.00
|
-9.27
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
6,685.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0023
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-15.57
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
-15.41
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-16.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.64
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
-17.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.13
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.26
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
2.4540
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-24.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.54
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-28.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.03
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
170.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-28.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.90
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-29.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.54
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
910.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.0352
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-32.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.00
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
857.90
|
0.00% |
|
0.0377
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-32.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.38
|
Trades
|
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) |
Presley |
Reeves |
2,830.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0116
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-32.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.75
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1.94
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
21.1298
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-41.04
|
3.13
|
0.00
|
-37.91
|
Trades
|
Will KKE win over 7% of votes? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 24 2023
|
β
|
-54.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1.42
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
45.4465
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-64.45
|
7.67
|
0.00
|
-56.78
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
156.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3704
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-58.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.12
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
160.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4213
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-67.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-67.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,215.57
|
0.00
|
1.40% |
0.0614
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-74.61
|
7.02
|
0.16
|
-67.43
|
Trades
|
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? |
Yes |
No |
271.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2565
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-69.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-69.78
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-94.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-94.10
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos remain in Congress through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
788.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.1256
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-99.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-99.00
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
β
|
-123.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-123.30
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-137.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-137.06
|
Trades
|
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday? |
Yes |
No |
981.97
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
0.1544
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-151.58
|
9.36
|
0.00
|
-142.23
|
Trades
|
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-150.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
310.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5958
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-184.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-184.70
|
Trades
|
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-200.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.83
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-212.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-212.60
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) |
Suozzi |
Pilip |
0.00
|
1,200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1946
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
β
|
-233.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-233.56
|
Trades
|
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
187.69
|
0.00% |
|
1.7629
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-330.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-330.88
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
2,362.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1504
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-355.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-355.41
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
2,742.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1493
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-409.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-409.61
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
1,200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
-504.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-504.00
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
997.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.5137
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-512.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-512.51
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
819.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.8236
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-674.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-674.70
|
Trades
|
Will PASOK win over 12% of votes? |
Yes |
No |
349.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
2.2492
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 24 2023
|
β
|
-785.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-785.81
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.29
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-840.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-840.23
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
1.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
593.3724
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-1,014.45
|
0.49
|
0.00
|
-1,013.96
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,904.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.3952
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-2,333.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,333.35
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5,099.71
|
6,449.97
|
|
|
1,386.68
|
32.05
|
0.24
|
12,968.65
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,504.43
|
1.99
|
|
|
-3,020.26
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
-513.84
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,604.13
|
6,451.96
|
|
|
-1,633.58
|
32.06
|
0.24
|
12,454.81
|
|