Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
42.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.50
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
16.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.74
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
6.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.03
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 12 2022
|
✅ |
5.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.72
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
4.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.75
|
Trades
|
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
✅ |
3.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.80
|
Trades
|
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
37.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.1345
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 07 2022
|
✅ |
-6.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.89
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
22.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
89.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3359
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
✅ |
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
17.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.65
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
|
17.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.65
|
|