Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
210.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6771
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
166.88
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-142.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.63
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
110.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-83.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-83.00
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
243.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
243.97
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
211.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
211.26
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
111.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
111.49
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
97.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.19
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
94.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
94.12
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
91.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
91.08
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
50.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.99
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
50.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.43
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
30.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.85
|
Trades
|
Will Ohioβs abortion referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
29.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.68
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
β
|
28.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.46
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
26.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.57
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
21.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.45
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
21.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.14
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
19.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.59
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
16.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.32
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
15.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.02
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
14.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.67
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
12.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.66
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
11.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.33
|
Trades
|
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
10.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.11
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
8.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.31
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
7.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.74
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
7.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.02
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
β
|
6.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.84
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
6.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.64
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
6.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.63
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
5.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.02
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
4.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.84
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
2.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.69
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
1.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.65
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.46
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
21.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
-1.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.72
|
Trades
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Celestia token above $1 one week after airdrop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
37.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 06 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
11.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.2310
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-5.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.26
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
-5.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.55
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? |
$1800 |
$2200 |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
β
|
-7.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.5943
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 17 2023
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.79
|
0.00% |
|
0.5700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.4334
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
-11.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.74
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
46.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.3160
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
β
|
-14.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.72
|
Trades
|
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? |
Yes |
No |
120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4167
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0.03
|
|
|
1,130.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,130.75
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
166.88
|
0.00
|
|
|
-225.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.37
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
166.90
|
0.03
|
|
|
905.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,072.38
|
|