Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
131.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? |
Yes |
No |
714.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation? |
Yes |
No |
121.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2466
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
414.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2415
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
17.29
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-82.71
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
85.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.5826
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
6.17
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.83
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
626.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3192
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
41.20
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-158.80
|
Trades
|
Will βBlack Panther: Wakanda Foreverβ gross more than $220 million domestically in its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
322.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3260
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 13 2022
|
β
|
-105.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-105.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
5.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.09
|
Trades
|
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 08 2022
|
β
|
23.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.45
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
14.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.65
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
152.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
152.38
|
Trades
|
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
7.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.74
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 19 2022
|
β
|
22.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.55
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
9.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.66
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
19.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.58
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? |
Bitcoin |
Ethereum |
0.00
|
78.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.2541
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
72.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.64
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
504.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.3966
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
122.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
122.22
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
β
|
566.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
566.67
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
196.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0508
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell still be a Senator on August 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? |
Yes |
No |
451.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0221
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
292.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.5136
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
146.03
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.97
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
384.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
110.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.94
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
192.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
61.70
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1623
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
61.70
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
10.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71.71
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
141.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.7070
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
98.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
98.04
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.04
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
428.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
428.57
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
368.57
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
156.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? |
Yes |
No |
366.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2044
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-75.00
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
402.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
402.85
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
709.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0705
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
512.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.0390
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Aston Martin beat Mercedes in the 2023 F1 season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
56.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
56.82
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.82
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
145.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.00
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
133.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3737
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
363.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0550
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
571.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
133.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
107.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
107.14
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.14
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
184.55
|
0.00% |
|
0.1084
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
263.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
67.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
538.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3711
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Binance insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
254.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1180
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
82.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6089
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
58.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
58.82
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.82
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
166.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
76.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
38.46
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.54
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
156.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.6400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
156.25
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.25
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
32.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
235.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
235.29
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
155.29
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
467.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0428
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
272.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.1100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
136.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.2200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum hit $4k today? |
Yes |
No |
290.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1379
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 07 2024
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
577.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0173
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March? |
Yes |
No |
222.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
$WIF listed on Coinbase in March? |
Yes |
No |
76.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
334.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1495
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
238.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
265.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
265.71
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
163.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.3056
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
966.33
|
420.80
|
|
|
-524.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
862.30
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
58.49
|
6.17
|
|
|
-490.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-425.34
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,024.83
|
426.97
|
|
|
-1,014.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
436.96
|
|