Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
649.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0548
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
566.88
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-35.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
531.30
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1,974.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6491
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
1,568.27
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1,281.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
286.79
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
155.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
155.75
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
154.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
154.37
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.17
|
0.00% |
|
-15.8658
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
3.89
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
66.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
69.98
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.00
|
17.13
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-14.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.48
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
5.13
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
6,854.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,854.22
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
3,603.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,603.22
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
2,964.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,964.17
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Equalizer 3' gross over $35m Labor Day weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 05 2023
|
β
|
1,519.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,519.06
|
Trades
|
Will 'Haunted Mansion' gross over $30m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
1,440.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,440.65
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
1,359.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,359.42
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
1,282.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,282.99
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
1,144.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,144.20
|
Trades
|
Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 05 2023
|
β
|
943.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
943.08
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
939.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
939.06
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Wambsgans be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
938.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
938.49
|
Trades
|
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
β
|
703.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
703.22
|
Trades
|
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $150 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 07 2023
|
β
|
546.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
546.32
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
534.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
534.08
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
519.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
519.54
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
426.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
426.63
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,147.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.8027
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,147.73
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
-1,724.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
423.68
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
408.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
408.58
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
362.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
362.54
|
Trades
|
Will Kathy Barnette win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 17 2022
|
β
|
326.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
326.95
|
Trades
|
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $27m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
590.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.4720
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
590.27
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
β
|
-278.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
311.69
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
β
|
307.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
307.19
|
Trades
|
Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
β
|
299.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
299.95
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
265.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
265.12
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
250.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
250.32
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
249.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
249.44
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Last Voyage of the Demeter' gross over $8m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 13 2023
|
β
|
239.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
239.39
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
212.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
212.41
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
194.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
194.77
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
180.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
180.25
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 13 2023
|
β
|
179.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
179.04
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
153.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
153.87
|
Trades
|
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 13 2022
|
β
|
150.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
150.64
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© join a Saudi club this transfer window? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.03
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.03
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
139.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
139.56
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $20m over August 11-13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 13 2023
|
β
|
119.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
119.00
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
94.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
94.10
|
Trades
|
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 27 2022
|
β
|
89.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
89.43
|
Trades
|
Will Grayscale win v. SEC? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
82.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
82.68
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
77.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.67
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
73.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.48
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
66.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.94
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
1,290.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9502
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,290.73
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-1,226.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
64.22
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
60.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Nun II' gross over $40m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 11 2023
|
β
|
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
59.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.84
|
Trades
|
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 17 2023
|
β
|
56.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.65
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
280.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.8106
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
280.03
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
-227.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
53.03
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
48.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
46.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.74
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
38.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.26
|
Trades
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
35.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.90
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
31.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.32
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
30.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.29
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
29.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.90
|
Trades
|
Will 'Morbius' get a 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 04 2022
|
β
|
27.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.30
|
Trades
|
Will Nikola Jokic win 2023 NBA MVP? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
26.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.00
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
23.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
207.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8973
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
207.90
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
-186.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.35
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
18.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.21
|
Trades
|
Will 'Strays' gross over $20m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
β
|
17.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.69
|
Trades
|
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 25 2021
|
β
|
16.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.32
|
Trades
|
Will βTop Gun: Maverickβ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
β
|
13.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.98
|
Trades
|
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 28 2022
|
β
|
13.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.21
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 22 2022
|
β
|
13.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.11
|
Trades
|
Will Bongbong Marcos be elected President of the Philippines in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 09 2022
|
β
|
12.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.54
|
Trades
|
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
463.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.9742
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
463.07
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
β
|
-451.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.93
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Batman' gross $160 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 07 2022
|
β
|
10.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.81
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 15 2022
|
β
|
7.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.89
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 22 2022
|
β
|
6.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.68
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
β
|
5.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.41
|
Trades
|
Will Biden and Putin meet by March 21, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 21 2022
|
β
|
5.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.09
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West release 'Donda 2' (or another new album) by 2/22/22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 22 2022
|
β
|
5.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.03
|
Trades
|
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 24 2022
|
β
|
3.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.09
|
Trades
|
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
104.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9959
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
104.54
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
-104.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.43
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 08 2022
|
β
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Terra (LUNA) reach $100 again by January 10? |
Yes |
No |
1,325.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0021
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 10 2022
|
β
|
-2.75
|
0.51
|
0.00
|
-2.25
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
β
|
-4.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.04
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
62.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
β
|
-9.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.56
|
Trades
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.07
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
-12.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.13
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
-16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.67
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
41.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-31.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
89.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-54.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-54.83
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-99.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-99.73
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-130.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-130.38
|
Trades
|
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $42.5m on its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
133.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.9930
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
-132.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-132.40
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 19 2022
|
β
|
-156.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-156.95
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-161.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-161.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
β
|
-234.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-234.36
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
316.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.7549
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-238.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-238.94
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-258.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-258.67
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-302.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-302.38
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-309.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-309.68
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,068.92
|
0.00% |
|
1.5289
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,068.92
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-1,634.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-565.37
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
1,652.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7264
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
-1,200.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,200.13
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
3,325.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0236
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-3,404.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,404.30
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,603.17
|
4,550.08
|
|
|
18,397.61
|
0.51
|
0.00
|
24,551.37
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,135.15
|
26.16
|
|
|
-960.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,200.80
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,738.32
|
4,576.24
|
|
|
17,437.10
|
0.51
|
0.00
|
25,752.16
|
|