Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
714.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.0809
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
✅ |
-57.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-57.73
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
111.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
✅ |
-36.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36.91
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
163.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.1264
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
✅ |
-20.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.60
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
48.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4099
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 03 2022
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
117.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.1275
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter? |
Yes |
No |
174.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0859
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 27 2022
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.3400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-12.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.29
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
94.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1273
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on October 17, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
21.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4615
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 17 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? |
Jake Paul |
Anderson Silva |
0.00
|
19.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.5226
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 29 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? |
Higher |
Lower |
21.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4678
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
46.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.2167
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
38.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2567
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
38.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.2580
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
128.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.0779
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
32.53
|
1.57% |
|
0.2257
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
2.34
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-7.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
10.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4799
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 19 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $87.50 or more on September 19, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
16.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3072
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 19 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
30.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1615
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 12 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
177.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.0282
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 09 2022
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
-4.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.67
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
-4.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.58
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1,054.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0038
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2222
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
28.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.0712
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
17.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1168
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.1398
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 220k for the week ending October 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.3720
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
72.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.0277
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
20.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0989
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
9.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.2004
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit? |
Yes |
No |
21.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0475
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
32.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0312
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
298.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0033
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
✅ |
-0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.23
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 29, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 29 2022
|
✅ |
2.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.44
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
2.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.64
|
Trades
|
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? |
SBF |
Bitboy |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
3.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.25
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 10 2022
|
✅ |
3.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.79
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
✅ |
4.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.71
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
7.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.87
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
✅ |
10.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.10
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 03 2022
|
✅ |
10.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.25
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
11.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.67
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
✅ |
14.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.32
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
16.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.91
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
18.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.57
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
35.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1999
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
35.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.01
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
52.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3775
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
52.98
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.98
|
Trades
|
Will US inflation be more than 0.3% from December 2022 to January 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 14 2023
|
✅ |
40.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.19
|
Trades
|
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 05 2022
|
✅ |
49.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
✅ |
85.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.18
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
88.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-60.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.12
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
2.34
|
|
|
-7.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
88.00
|
2.34
|
|
|
-68.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.11
|
|