1707832278000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x5ddc89f0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$20.82
|
40.82
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707832278000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$20.00
|
40.82
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707385432000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5.00
|
34.97
|
0.1430
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707385432000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.00
|
34.97
|
0.1430
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707385280000
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
526.32
|
0.0190
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707385280000
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$196.20
|
200.00
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707385280000
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0xcb11f64d
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$6.20
|
326.32
|
0.0190
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701850172000
|
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.00
|
333.33
|
0.0150
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701850172000
|
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$328.33
|
333.33
|
0.9850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701847090000
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$40.00
|
50.00
|
0.8000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701847090000
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
50.00
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701847036000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
58.82
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701847036000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x0c0e270c
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
58.82
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701741599000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x4c2da46b
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
33.90
|
0.5900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701741599000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$20.00
|
33.90
|
0.5900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701672633000
|
Will Circle IPO by June?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
26.32
|
0.3800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701672633000
|
Will Circle IPO by June?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$16.32
|
26.32
|
0.6200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701661064000
|
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$42.63
|
52.63
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701661064000
|
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
52.63
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701419021000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
|
0x50b2c154
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$11.00
|
20.00
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701403169000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0x7f33603d
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$4.50
|
30.00
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701403159000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x84f9909e
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.15
|
15.00
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701385642000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0xc0eea700
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5.80
|
29.00
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701363457000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.20
|
1.00
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701328716000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
RelayThief
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
71.43
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701328716000
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.00
|
71.43
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701222303000
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x4343b3b2
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.00
|
28.57
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701222303000
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$20.00
|
28.57
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701154585000
|
CZ jail in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.00
|
263.16
|
0.0190
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701154585000
|
CZ jail in 2023?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$258.16
|
263.16
|
0.9810
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701151347000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$73.33
|
83.33
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701151347000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
83.33
|
0.1200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701052532000
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$20.00
|
71.43
|
0.2800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701052532000
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x5b68e9d8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$51.43
|
71.43
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700840145000
|
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023?
|
RelayThief
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$19.86
|
20.00
|
0.9930
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700716871000
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$12.79
|
15.79
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700716871000
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
15.79
|
0.1900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700638492000
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.00
|
6.17
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700638492000
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x98d7fea6
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$5.00
|
6.17
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700634128000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x296bd652
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
10.14
|
0.9860
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700634128000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.14
|
0.9860
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700618790000
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.53
|
10.53
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700618790000
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
10.53
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700618504000
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x2a2c1dc9
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
20.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700618504000
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
20.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700558686000
|
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023?
|
0x8f0f74af
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$18.40
|
20.00
|
0.9200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700541776000
|
Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023?
|
0x8219f4d9
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2.60
|
20.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700539936000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x418d9ebc
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3.70
|
20.00
|
0.1850
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700531284000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$48.04
|
92.39
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700531284000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$48.04
|
92.39
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700531248000
|
OpenAI board out by end of week?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$15.00
|
53.57
|
0.2800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700531248000
|
OpenAI board out by end of week?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$38.57
|
53.57
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700468145000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.29
|
37.75
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700468145000
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.29
|
37.75
|
0.1400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700467813000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x209c21d4
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.00
|
50.00
|
0.0600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700460701000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.35
|
54.35
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700459716000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xbbd614f0
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.04
|
38.04
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700447918000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$18.57
|
28.57
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700447918000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
28.57
|
0.3500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700110681000
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?
|
0x439f01ff
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$21.58
|
22.72
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700027564000
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.00
|
62.50
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700027564000
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
RelayThief
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
62.50
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699250043000
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.00
|
45.45
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699250043000
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$40.45
|
45.45
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699236450000
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
20.41
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699236450000
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.41
|
20.41
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699069581000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x6e031ff7
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.00
|
50.00
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1699035268000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x67e57370
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$14.86
|
46.43
|
0.3200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698998764000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0xb4a6f52d
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1.14
|
3.57
|
0.3200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698996436000
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY?
|
0xcb14f617
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$9.00
|
15.00
|
0.6000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698977467000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x06bd096a
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$16.32
|
26.32
|
0.6200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698977467000
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
26.32
|
0.3800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698888615000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x1ff2f3c1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$9.03
|
30.00
|
0.3010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698888615000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$9.03
|
30.00
|
0.3010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698829717000
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7.50
|
50.00
|
0.1500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698829717000
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$42.50
|
50.00
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698805027000
|
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0xcbe06460
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.50
|
15.00
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698805027000
|
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$4.50
|
15.00
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698640613000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$8.50
|
50.00
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698632739000
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x8debd189
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$232.80
|
240.00
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698632739000
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$67.20
|
70.00
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698632739000
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
310.00
|
0.0323
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698630057000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$34.00
|
35.05
|
0.9700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698393722000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$26.00
|
27.96
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698393722000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x5eeca297
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1.96
|
27.96
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698391276000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x3d4f62ac
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
16.67
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698391276000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.00
|
16.67
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698390950000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.00
|
16.67
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698390950000
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$11.67
|
16.67
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698384278000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x4cc3522b
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.75
|
15.00
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698380997000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x531990b1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$71.92
|
76.92
|
0.9350
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698380997000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.00
|
76.92
|
0.0650
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698380847000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x531990b1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6.32
|
6.76
|
0.9350
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698380847000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$6.32
|
6.76
|
0.9350
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698380798000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x531990b1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$14.03
|
15.00
|
0.9350
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698380798000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$14.03
|
15.00
|
0.9350
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698372492000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$5.15
|
15.15
|
0.3400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698372492000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.00
|
15.15
|
0.6600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698301684000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
0x7c61fa02
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$15.71
|
35.71
|
0.4400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698301684000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x1b02f5d0
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$20.00
|
35.71
|
0.5600
|
📖 |
Tx
|