1713295811000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$6,381.13
|
6,716.98
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712720175000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x30e44387
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,400.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.6800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712350789000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,600.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710007558000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x60da1b46
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,378.39
|
5,542.26
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708691962000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x7f33603d
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$13,389.00
|
16,948.10
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708215664000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x862f9e0d
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$6,484.71
|
8,208.49
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707569369000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xf89214be
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5,910.12
|
8,208.50
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x7c2e62c8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,545.35
|
15,673.63
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$17,263.39
|
24,314.63
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706072303000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$18,133.90
|
21,334.00
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706059620000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$16,600.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706059620000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$8,630.25
|
10,274.11
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706058898000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$12,717.38
|
15,509.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706014068000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,665.29
|
5,226.05
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706014068000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9e41715a
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,568.39
|
5,036.05
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705958208000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xbd8ddfbc
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$23,700.00
|
30,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705958208000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$23,700.00
|
30,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705952414000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,818.90
|
5,318.69
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705863899000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,740.02
|
5,265.00
|
0.5204
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705658144000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x60073655
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,173.44
|
16,693.74
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705658144000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,173.44
|
16,693.74
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705575360000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3,301.49
|
6,602.98
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705573944000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,550.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705563096000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$800.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705496575000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9e41715a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,700.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705496575000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$11,117.81
|
20,977.00
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705496575000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9e41715a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,700.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705442449000
|
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$75.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705442449000
|
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7,425.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705442423000
|
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$7,425.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705442423000
|
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$75.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705409324000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x88dcc6f5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5,109.97
|
5,677.74
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705217035000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$6,177.09
|
6,788.01
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705217035000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x209c21d4
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6,177.09
|
6,788.01
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705152090000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x43372356
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$36.70
|
9,173.96
|
0.0040
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705152090000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x43372356
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,000.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.1000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705152090000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x43372356
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$62.68
|
20,893.34
|
0.0030
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705152090000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x43372356
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,500.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705149752000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,995.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705149724000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$9,990.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.9990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705149684000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
aenews
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$14,506.34
|
14,520.86
|
0.9990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705147924000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x71ed0bc9
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$16.20
|
16,198.46
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705147924000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x71ed0bc9
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$18.75
|
18,745.52
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705146417000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$13.45
|
13,447.96
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705146143000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$17.81
|
17,806.52
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705141556000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x7eae4871
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$41.79
|
20,893.34
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705141178000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0xd6b304d7
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$202.40
|
50,600.00
|
0.0040
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705139640000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x8698edbe
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$12,436.35
|
12,461.27
|
0.9980
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705139640000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$30.49
|
14,315.65
|
0.0021
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705139521000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x7789806c
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$64.05
|
32,025.78
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705139213000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x754a8162
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$20.00
|
9,999.99
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705137966000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
|
0x95ab9842
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.68
|
5,339.99
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705137056000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x7789806c
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$120.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.0060
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705065100000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0x7a83ca14
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,050.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705054152000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7,216.00
|
8,800.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705043642000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0x212519fd
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,100.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705040425000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xd28e607b
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$8,783.49
|
8,827.63
|
0.9950
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705040425000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$8,783.49
|
8,827.63
|
0.9950
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704929321000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x91603556
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$18.47
|
9,232.80
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704927691000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x18bb0ce3
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$32.77
|
16,384.00
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704927359000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x9682fa52
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$6,041.20
|
6,096.06
|
0.9910
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704927341000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x9682fa52
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$19,820.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.9910
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704927289000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x9682fa52
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$31.30
|
10,432.00
|
0.0030
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704927289000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x9682fa52
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$18.21
|
6,071.00
|
0.0030
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704927251000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x9682fa52
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$30.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.0030
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704926027000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xbc87e286
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$28.34
|
14,170.66
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704925621000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xac038af3
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$19.58
|
9,790.00
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704925417000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x6117c8e4
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.0040
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704924969000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x3de055c2
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.29
|
5,144.83
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704923662000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x498a0697
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20,995.41
|
21,079.73
|
0.9960
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704923190000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x66762980
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$7,592.86
|
7,638.69
|
0.9940
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704922702000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x7078dd85
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$9,960.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.9960
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704922636000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x368e74ee
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$22,359.70
|
22,449.50
|
0.9960
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704922470000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x00b29caa
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$9,460.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.9460
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704922470000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x00b29caa
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$29,850.00
|
30,000.00
|
0.9950
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704922308000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xdc476f0c
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$13,930.00
|
14,000.00
|
0.9950
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704921730000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x79a5b3c5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$73.48
|
8,164.99
|
0.0090
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704921158000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xbacb91ef
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$112.97
|
10,270.00
|
0.0110
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704921038000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xffe4574b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$60.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.0080
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704920950000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x82d33946
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$6,696.55
|
6,896.55
|
0.9710
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704920930000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x82d33946
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$6,696.55
|
6,896.55
|
0.9710
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704920770000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xfa2d44ce
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$6,381.27
|
6,511.50
|
0.9800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704919362000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x5a181dcf
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,000.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704917802000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x55734aef
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$465.46
|
5,818.28
|
0.0800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704917452000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xe048c905
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5,243.15
|
5,692.89
|
0.9210
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704916026000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xe780e138
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$7,391.89
|
8,025.94
|
0.9210
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704915912000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x793578cc
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5,784.96
|
6,281.17
|
0.9210
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704915902000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xa1495534
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$820.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.0410
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704915336000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x402ab147
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$625.33
|
10,598.85
|
0.0590
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704915187000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x56556be2
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$609.28
|
10,326.78
|
0.0590
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704915119000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xf4667497
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$620.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.0310
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704914775000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x4850d96b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$750.00
|
10,714.29
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704914749000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x8bdb35a7
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$515.87
|
7,369.61
|
0.0700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704914004000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xac07afe3
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$796.86
|
19,921.62
|
0.0400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704913614000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x5a181dcf
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$32,774.13
|
35,241.00
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704840369000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xa1495534
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$12,307.96
|
13,829.17
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704836579000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x008fd9ba
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$942.44
|
8,567.62
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704836447000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x468aa008
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$15,414.74
|
16,574.99
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704835837000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xa3572980
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$12,485.26
|
13,425.01
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704835837000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0xa3572980
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$19,000.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|