1713295811000
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?
|
0xf0ddf0af
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$6,381.13
|
6,716.98
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713177890000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on April 30, 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$8.58
|
4,287.99
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1713177890000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on April 30, 2024?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$8.58
|
4,287.99
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712720175000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x30e44387
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,400.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.6800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712350789000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,600.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711963001000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x4c2da46b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$260.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.1300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711921303000
|
Netanyahu out by June 30?
|
0x4c2da46b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$400.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1711458541000
|
Biden to drop out before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$6.83
|
2,158.93
|
0.0032
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710007558000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x60da1b46
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,378.39
|
5,542.26
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708691962000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x7f33603d
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$13,389.00
|
16,948.10
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708215664000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x862f9e0d
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$6,484.71
|
8,208.49
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707783168000
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on April 30, 2024?
|
0xf8877d80
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.51
|
4,509.21
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707569369000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xf89214be
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5,910.12
|
8,208.50
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$17,263.39
|
24,314.63
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x7c2e62c8
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,545.35
|
15,673.63
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x30e44387
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$1,160.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707505992000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$725.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707063894000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x5a560d13
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,761.00
|
2,968.82
|
0.9300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706992726000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xe56d7659
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,689.97
|
2,956.01
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706924732000
|
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April?
|
0xf2bc0a4b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,299.16
|
2,392.46
|
0.9610
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706252980000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x6727da70
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$21.04
|
2,104.46
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706252980000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4c0340f9
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$24.61
|
2,460.94
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706252952000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x9c88c0ad
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$81.33
|
2,710.93
|
0.0300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706128797000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$555.24
|
3,470.27
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706073241000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x79a5b3c5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$480.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706072303000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$18,133.90
|
21,334.00
|
0.8500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706059620000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$16,600.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706059620000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$8,630.25
|
10,274.11
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706058898000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xd28e607b
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$12,717.38
|
15,509.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706038588000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x067cb832
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,861.89
|
3,490.11
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706014116000
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
|
0x2f73d167
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,793.27
|
4,992.99
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706014068000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9e41715a
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,568.39
|
5,036.05
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1706014068000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,665.29
|
5,226.05
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705958208000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$23,700.00
|
30,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705958208000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xbd8ddfbc
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$23,700.00
|
30,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705952414000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,325.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705952414000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,818.90
|
5,318.69
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705952414000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9ac5c849
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,317.41
|
2,485.69
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705951854000
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,248.60
|
2,470.99
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705863899000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,740.02
|
5,265.00
|
0.5204
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705863899000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,300.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.5200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705757672000
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
|
0x209c21d4
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$409.32
|
2,274.00
|
0.1800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705704194000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,100.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705704194000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,192.95
|
2,169.00
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705699525000
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$294.36
|
2,774.00
|
0.1061
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705658144000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,173.44
|
16,693.74
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705658144000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x60073655
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$4,173.44
|
16,693.74
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705657694000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,538.49
|
2,652.57
|
0.5800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705593342000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xecdbd795
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,700.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705575360000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$3,301.49
|
6,602.98
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705573944000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,550.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705570070000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$2,242.39
|
4,983.10
|
0.4500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705563096000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xd72753da
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$800.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705519609000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$1,212.67
|
2,474.83
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705496575000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9e41715a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,700.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705496575000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$11,117.81
|
20,977.00
|
0.5300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705496575000
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x9e41715a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4,700.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.4700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705442449000
|
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$75.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705442449000
|
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7,425.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705442423000
|
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$7,425.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.9900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705442423000
|
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$75.00
|
7,500.00
|
0.0100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705409324000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x88dcc6f5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5,109.97
|
5,677.74
|
0.9000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705351494000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,277.02
|
4,560.77
|
0.2800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705351201000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$2,160.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705351201000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$840.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.2800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705350816000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$725.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.2900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705217035000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x209c21d4
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$6,177.09
|
6,788.01
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705217035000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$6,177.09
|
6,788.01
|
0.9100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705152090000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x43372356
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$36.70
|
9,173.96
|
0.0040
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705152090000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x43372356
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,000.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.1000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705152090000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x43372356
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$62.68
|
20,893.34
|
0.0030
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705152090000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x43372356
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2,500.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705149752000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$4,995.00
|
5,000.00
|
0.9990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705149724000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0xf1bb700a
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$9,990.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.9990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705149684000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
aenews
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$14,506.34
|
14,520.86
|
0.9990
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705148005000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x71ed0bc9
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.80
|
3,801.54
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705147924000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x71ed0bc9
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$18.75
|
18,745.52
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705147924000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x71ed0bc9
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$16.20
|
16,198.46
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705146417000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$13.45
|
13,447.96
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705146143000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$17.81
|
17,806.52
|
0.0010
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705141556000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x7eae4871
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$41.79
|
20,893.34
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705141178000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0xd6b304d7
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$202.40
|
50,600.00
|
0.0040
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705139640000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x8698edbe
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$12,436.35
|
12,461.27
|
0.9980
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705139640000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$30.49
|
14,315.65
|
0.0021
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705139521000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x7789806c
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$64.05
|
32,025.78
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705139213000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x754a8162
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$20.00
|
9,999.99
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705137966000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
|
0x95ab9842
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$10.68
|
5,339.99
|
0.0020
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705137056000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?
|
0x7789806c
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$120.00
|
20,000.00
|
0.0060
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705134584000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0x7789806c
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$100.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.0500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705127560000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,766.52
|
2,103.00
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705096097000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$440.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.1100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705096097000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x7eae4871
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3,560.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.8900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705094721000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win?
|
0x42b2e5f5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$200.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.1000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705085581000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0xfeb58108
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,580.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705074300000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0x5d009af9
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$1,841.77
|
2,219.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705073884000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0x42b2e5f5
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3,360.00
|
4,048.19
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705073634000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0xbd2bcb20
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,370.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705073634000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0xbd2bcb20
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,370.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705071154000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0x90c9038e
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,196.17
|
2,779.96
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1705067112000
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win?
|
0xe0752ecb
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$2,430.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|