1626105389000
|
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x52722001
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$8.64
|
8.99
|
0.9608
|
|
Tx
|
1626105353000
|
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x52722001
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$8.43
|
429.71
|
0.0196
|
|
Tx
|
1626105321000
|
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x2c3593b0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.36
|
2.49
|
0.9476
|
|
Tx
|
1626105307000
|
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x2c3593b0
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.35
|
72.40
|
0.0325
|
|
Tx
|
1626104859000
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x11eb79c7
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$34.52
|
36.27
|
0.9518
|
|
Tx
|
1626104807000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xd1278ee9
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.81
|
65.24
|
0.0585
|
|
Tx
|
1626104721000
|
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x2c3593b0
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$24.88
|
26.26
|
0.9474
|
|
Tx
|
1626104681000
|
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xa19c5149
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$7.70
|
19.22
|
0.4005
|
|
Tx
|
1626104441000
|
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x52722001
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$85.38
|
88.94
|
0.9600
|
|
Tx
|
1623980337000
|
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xa19c5149
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
19.22
|
0.5203
|
|
Tx
|
1623980163000
|
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x907a2cf1
|
Sell |
Pedro Castillo |
|
$44.35
|
45.99
|
0.9643
|
|
Tx
|
1621269148000
|
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x28dba558
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$11.00
|
16.82
|
0.6540
|
|
Tx
|
1620848996000
|
Will Banksyβs βLove is in the Airβ sell for more than $5 million at Sothebyβs?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xc8fe3f9a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
15.10
|
0.6622
|
|
Tx
|
1620833250000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xd1278ee9
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
65.24
|
0.0766
|
|
Tx
|
1620306270000
|
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x73d852eb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
11.32
|
0.4415
|
|
Tx
|
1620306216000
|
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xb103004c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$31.17
|
36.07
|
0.8643
|
|
Tx
|
1620075973000
|
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xebcd0a0a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
19.53
|
0.5121
|
|
Tx
|
1619798844000
|
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xaa36512f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$126.31
|
128.89
|
0.9800
|
|
Tx
|
1619140353000
|
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on May 4, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x20d8e260
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
19.61
|
0.5098
|
|
Tx
|
1619140257000
|
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x90602dec
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$73.68
|
88.18
|
0.8355
|
|
Tx
|
1619130495000
|
Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x79f15087
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.00
|
28.04
|
0.0357
|
|
Tx
|
1619130437000
|
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xb103004c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
36.07
|
0.5545
|
|
Tx
|
1619130393000
|
Will Binance Coin (BNB) have a higher market cap than Ethereum (ETH) at any time before July 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xdfea86d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
18.75
|
0.0533
|
|
Tx
|
1619130233000
|
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $36 on April 27, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xac5cda11
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$7.65
|
19.06
|
0.4014
|
|
Tx
|
1618931057000
|
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x73d852eb
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$11.34
|
47.20
|
0.2403
|
|
Tx
|
1618690563000
|
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $36 on April 27, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xac5cda11
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
19.06
|
0.5247
|
|
Tx
|
1618690461000
|
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x73d852eb
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
47.20
|
0.2119
|
|
Tx
|
1618613601000
|
Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x79f15087
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$36.21
|
40.64
|
0.8911
|
|
Tx
|
1618512493000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x22af80c4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
74.21
|
0.6737
|
|
Tx
|
1618512419000
|
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x03d4ce9c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
57.99
|
0.0862
|
|
Tx
|
1618512369000
|
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x907a2cf1
|
Buy |
Pedro Castillo |
|
$30.00
|
45.99
|
0.6523
|
|
Tx
|
1618512297000
|
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x90602dec
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
52.73
|
0.5689
|
|
Tx
|
1618512243000
|
What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x8d2e5b7f
|
Sell |
Long |
π |
$47.02
|
57.62
|
0.8160
|
|
Tx
|
1618512219000
|
Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x79f15087
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$24.67
|
30.00
|
0.8223
|
|
Tx
|
1618512185000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xd4787520
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$63.91
|
65.29
|
0.9789
|
|
Tx
|
1618358925000
|
What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x8d2e5b7f
|
Buy |
Long |
π |
$56.82
|
57.62
|
0.9861
|
|
Tx
|
1618358883000
|
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x514e63f5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
75.71
|
0.6604
|
|
Tx
|
1618358113000
|
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x90602dec
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
35.45
|
0.5642
|
|
Tx
|
1618340729000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xd4189805
|
Sell |
1 |
|
$29.90
|
97.54
|
0.3066
|
|
Tx
|
1618340599000
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x11eb79c7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
36.27
|
0.8272
|
|
Tx
|
1618260405000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xd4787520
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
65.29
|
0.7658
|
|
Tx
|
1618093679000
|
Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x79f15087
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
70.64
|
0.7078
|
|
Tx
|
1617892838000
|
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xaa36512f
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
44.50
|
0.4494
|
|
Tx
|
1617729324000
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xb4bb481a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
65.11
|
0.0768
|
|
Tx
|
1617577674000
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 650K for the week ending on April 3?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x80f61eee
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$30.65
|
39.86
|
0.7689
|
|
Tx
|
1617577584000
|
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x21ffd941
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$12.24
|
13.28
|
0.9218
|
|
Tx
|
1617237086000
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x2dabdc8c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
19.84
|
0.2520
|
|
Tx
|
1617133354000
|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x2c0550c9
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$15.70
|
17.02
|
0.9223
|
|
Tx
|
1617132728000
|
Will any of SuperRare, Zora, Foundation, OpenSea, or NiftyGateway have a live token by April 30th, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x0d914cee
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$6.35
|
24.80
|
0.2560
|
|
Tx
|
1617127800000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xd4189805
|
Buy |
1 |
|
$50.00
|
97.54
|
0.5126
|
|
Tx
|
1616097720000
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 650K for the week ending on April 3?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x80f61eee
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
39.86
|
0.5017
|
|
Tx
|
1615912193000
|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x2c0550c9
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
17.02
|
0.5875
|
|
Tx
|
1615313349000
|
Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired before June 1st, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xab3c8ac8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
12.78
|
0.3913
|
|
Tx
|
1615217556000
|
Will any of SuperRare, Zora, Foundation, OpenSea, or NiftyGateway have a live token by April 30th, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x0d914cee
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
24.80
|
0.4033
|
|
Tx
|
1615146137000
|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xc9ca8fd4
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.33
|
32.76
|
0.3153
|
|
Tx
|
1614972854000
|
Who will win UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x54a71249
|
Buy |
Adesanya |
|
$10.00
|
14.31
|
0.6987
|
|
Tx
|
1614956248000
|
What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x8d2e5b7f
|
Sell |
Long |
π |
$21.33
|
25.45
|
0.8381
|
|
Tx
|
1614265199000
|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xc9ca8fd4
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$15.00
|
32.76
|
0.4579
|
|
Tx
|
1614265173000
|
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x13f48066
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.50
|
32.00
|
0.2967
|
|
Tx
|
1614219112000
|
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x21ffd941
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
13.28
|
0.7529
|
|
Tx
|
1614218290000
|
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x7affa468
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$14.61
|
123.23
|
0.1186
|
|
Tx
|
1613695633000
|
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xa342ecae
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
54.45
|
0.1836
|
|
Tx
|
1613589128000
|
Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x36bb6f09
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
31.50
|
0.9525
|
|
Tx
|
1613579316000
|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xfca9c570
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
45.90
|
0.4357
|
|
Tx
|
1613528902000
|
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x7bb2dc83
|
Sell |
Elon Musk |
|
$1.96
|
30.85
|
0.0636
|
|
Tx
|
1613528876000
|
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xd7e4b45c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$19.19
|
53.74
|
0.3570
|
|
Tx
|
1613493850000
|
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xd7e4b45c
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
53.74
|
0.5583
|
|
Tx
|
1613493376000
|
What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x8d2e5b7f
|
Buy |
Long |
π |
$20.00
|
25.45
|
0.7858
|
|
Tx
|
1613447799000
|
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 165 Gwei on February 16?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xa27d70a1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$47.11
|
51.17
|
0.9205
|
|
Tx
|
1613420320000
|
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x7dc0c791
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$149.07
|
175.35
|
0.8501
|
|
Tx
|
1613420112000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xbeea392a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$15.15
|
62.43
|
0.2426
|
|
Tx
|
1613420084000
|
Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xdc8d7d99
|
Sell |
Bitcoin |
|
$52.56
|
71.44
|
0.7357
|
|
Tx
|
1613172347000
|
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x13f48066
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
64.28
|
0.3111
|
|
Tx
|
1612915661000
|
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 165 Gwei on February 16?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xa27d70a1
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
51.17
|
0.5862
|
|
Tx
|
1612820315000
|
Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x64157a30
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
28.99
|
0.3449
|
|
Tx
|
1612819427000
|
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x7affa468
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
74.46
|
0.4029
|
|
Tx
|
1612817703000
|
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x7affa468
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
48.77
|
0.4101
|
|
Tx
|
1612549404000
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xbeea392a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$30.00
|
62.43
|
0.4805
|
|
Tx
|
1612139186000
|
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x950941d8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
51.91
|
0.1926
|
|
Tx
|
1611690108000
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x82a69e75
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.03
|
22.22
|
0.4516
|
|
Tx
|
1611625151000
|
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x1a7054cd
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.67
|
100.08
|
0.0567
|
|
Tx
|
1611254380000
|
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x33d7e3d3
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
12.16
|
0.8222
|
|
Tx
|
1611107883000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xe5e75925
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
46.11
|
0.1084
|
|
Tx
|
1611106203000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x77843cde
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
27.44
|
0.1822
|
|
Tx
|
1611106185000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x901a2ae8
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
39.00
|
0.1282
|
|
Tx
|
1611103131000
|
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x1a7054cd
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
100.08
|
0.0999
|
|
Tx
|
1610732785000
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x82a69e75
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
22.22
|
0.4501
|
|
Tx
|
1610732521000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$17.15
|
29.79
|
0.5759
|
|
Tx
|
1610732491000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x79329c9e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.25
|
8.46
|
0.3841
|
|
Tx
|
1610732467000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x4faf484d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$11.11
|
40.83
|
0.2720
|
|
Tx
|
1610502851000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x79329c9e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.00
|
8.46
|
0.5911
|
|
Tx
|
1610502507000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
29.79
|
0.6715
|
|
Tx
|
1610297060000
|
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x7bb2dc83
|
Buy |
Elon Musk |
|
$20.00
|
30.85
|
0.6484
|
|
Tx
|
1610142988000
|
Will Trump complete his first term?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x2954629f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
49.03
|
0.2039
|
|
Tx
|
1610142350000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x901a2ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$12.02
|
205.95
|
0.0584
|
|
Tx
|
1610051686000
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x4faf484d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
40.74
|
0.4909
|
|
Tx
|
1609978384000
|
Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xa6b9948e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$30.00
|
35.45
|
0.8462
|
|
Tx
|
1609972690000
|
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x901a2ae8
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$25.89
|
199.59
|
0.1297
|
|
Tx
|
1609958650000
|
Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021?
|
0xf74ac274
|
0xdc8d7d99
|
Buy |
Bitcoin |
|
$40.00
|
71.44
|
0.5599
|
|
Tx
|
1609902750000
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R)
|
0xf74ac274
|
0x84ebf471
|
Sell |
Dems/Ossoff |
π΄ |
$24.37
|
26.55
|
0.9179
|
|
Tx
|