1682921342000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xa0fbec0f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$323.30
|
340.32
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1682921342000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe47fd63e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$323.30
|
340.32
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1682894393000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x066a7727
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$100.50
|
150.00
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1682894393000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe47fd63e
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$100.00
|
307.68
|
0.3250
|
π |
Tx
|
1682894393000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2.75
|
8.87
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1682894393000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.87
|
2.81
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1682894393000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$17.00
|
25.00
|
0.6800
|
π |
Tx
|
1682894393000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$20.40
|
30.00
|
0.6800
|
π |
Tx
|
1682894393000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$24.84
|
36.00
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1682894393000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$37.95
|
55.00
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1682721563000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$17.75
|
25.00
|
0.7100
|
π |
Tx
|
1682721563000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x15149890
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.89
|
7.64
|
0.6400
|
π |
Tx
|
1682721563000
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe47fd63e
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.00
|
32.64
|
0.3064
|
π |
Tx
|
1681550858000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd912a5c0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.80
|
0.5559
|
|
Tx
|
1680036859000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd1acd392
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$48.50
|
50.00
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1680036859000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe47fd63e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$48.50
|
50.00
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1679676237000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$27.60
|
51.12
|
0.5400
|
π |
Tx
|
1679676237000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe47fd63e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$23.52
|
51.12
|
0.4600
|
π |
Tx
|
1679633059000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe47fd63e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$8.00
|
16.00
|
0.4998
|
π |
Tx
|
1679633059000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xf4204755
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$7.99
|
15.98
|
0.5000
|
π |
Tx
|
1679633059000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.01
|
0.02
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1679632995000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xf4204755
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
50.00
|
0.5000
|
π |
Tx
|
1679632995000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe47fd63e
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
50.00
|
0.5000
|
π |
Tx
|
1679422524000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.14
|
24.46
|
0.2100
|
π |
Tx
|
1679422524000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.45
|
15.00
|
0.2300
|
π |
Tx
|
1679422524000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.30
|
15.00
|
0.2200
|
π |
Tx
|
1679422524000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
15.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1679422524000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.15
|
15.00
|
0.2100
|
π |
Tx
|
1679422524000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x1eb091ad
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.67
|
7.27
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1679422524000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$0.36
|
1.58
|
0.2300
|
π |
Tx
|
1679422524000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe47fd63e
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$20.00
|
93.31
|
0.2143
|
π |
Tx
|
1679166972000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd1acd392
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$25.71
|
35.71
|
0.7200
|
π |
Tx
|
1679166972000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe47fd63e
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.00
|
35.71
|
0.2800
|
π |
Tx
|
1678848796000
|
Will a third US bank fail by March 17?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0xe47fd63e
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.00
|
11.36
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1678848796000
|
Will a third US bank fail by March 17?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd1acd392
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.36
|
11.36
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1675725069000
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x1ff2f3c1
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$21.83
|
22.98
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1674106085000
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x066a7727
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.99
|
22.99
|
0.1300
|
π |
Tx
|
1673932662000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.69
|
6.29
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1673932662000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.65
|
6.80
|
0.3900
|
π |
Tx
|
1673932662000
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$9.75
|
25.00
|
0.3900
|
π |
Tx
|
1670289179000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd5a6656d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$84.11
|
98.53
|
0.8537
|
|
Tx
|
1670289103000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd5a6656d
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$38.31
|
44.00
|
0.8707
|
|
Tx
|
1669049117000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd5a6656d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$80.00
|
110.97
|
0.7209
|
|
Tx
|
1668971171000
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x43f6d0ce
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
114.02
|
0.8770
|
|
Tx
|
1668914509000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x386feb76
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
133.03
|
0.7517
|
|
Tx
|
1668795238000
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xf414c775
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$6.65
|
10.41
|
0.6393
|
|
Tx
|
1668730059000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd5a6656d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$20.00
|
31.57
|
0.6336
|
|
Tx
|
1668629493000
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xf414c775
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
28.00
|
0.3572
|
|
Tx
|
1668628869000
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x43f6d0ce
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
56.50
|
0.8850
|
|
Tx
|
1668492478000
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x43f6d0ce
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$100.00
|
108.91
|
0.9182
|
|
Tx
|
1668492358000
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x47a05b70
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
42.48
|
0.2354
|
|
Tx
|
1668192505000
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x6286d27b
|
Buy |
Democrat |
π΅ |
$20.00
|
37.86
|
0.5283
|
|
Tx
|
1668112427000
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x43f6d0ce
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
59.70
|
0.8375
|
|
Tx
|
1668112251000
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x6286d27b
|
Buy |
Democrat |
π΅ |
$20.00
|
32.78
|
0.6101
|
|
Tx
|
1639434523000
|
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd67c99e0
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$184.12
|
198.56
|
0.9273
|
|
Tx
|
1638489069000
|
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd67c99e0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
63.73
|
0.7846
|
|
Tx
|
1638462115000
|
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd67c99e0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
134.83
|
0.7417
|
|
Tx
|
1631813840000
|
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x25f8b391
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$312.47
|
326.58
|
0.9568
|
|
Tx
|
1631813744000
|
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x18f541b0
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.07
|
79.20
|
0.0514
|
|
Tx
|
1631813694000
|
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x9142fa90
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.60
|
71.52
|
0.0084
|
|
Tx
|
1631166693000
|
Will there be over 220,000 encounters at the US-Mexico border in August 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xc4e75198
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
22.42
|
0.4460
|
|
Tx
|
1631069221000
|
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x9142fa90
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
47.55
|
0.2103
|
|
Tx
|
1630520086000
|
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x9142fa90
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
23.97
|
0.4172
|
|
Tx
|
1630030295000
|
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x18f541b0
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$10.00
|
79.20
|
0.1263
|
|
Tx
|
1630028966000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x1461355b
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$38.79
|
71.45
|
0.5429
|
|
Tx
|
1629395986000
|
Will 3 or more of Dan Arielyβs papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xfa66cd61
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$80.00
|
119.59
|
0.6690
|
|
Tx
|
1629240797000
|
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x25f8b391
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
128.05
|
0.7810
|
|
Tx
|
1628539056000
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x1461355b
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
71.45
|
0.6998
|
|
Tx
|
1628536500000
|
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x25f8b391
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$150.00
|
198.53
|
0.7555
|
|
Tx
|
1620158215000
|
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd43d2907
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
153.66
|
0.6508
|
|
Tx
|
1618952856000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd4189805
|
Sell |
1 |
|
$1.75
|
10.99
|
0.1594
|
|
Tx
|
1618862918000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xff5b2659
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$76.98
|
120.21
|
0.6404
|
|
Tx
|
1618699077000
|
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x15eeb02f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
12.45
|
0.4015
|
|
Tx
|
1618696479000
|
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x15eeb02f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$22.12
|
57.70
|
0.3834
|
|
Tx
|
1618685333000
|
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x15eeb02f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
57.70
|
0.4333
|
|
Tx
|
1618683059000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
120.21
|
0.4159
|
|
Tx
|
1618199548000
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x2dabdc8c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.00
|
86.27
|
0.2318
|
|
Tx
|
1618199520000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xff5b2659
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$325.19
|
425.11
|
0.7650
|
|
Tx
|
1618003738000
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x2dabdc8c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$44.21
|
176.52
|
0.2504
|
|
Tx
|
1617910195000
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x2dabdc8c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
176.52
|
0.2833
|
|
Tx
|
1617775712000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$200.00
|
260.78
|
0.7669
|
|
Tx
|
1617734809000
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x2dabdc8c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$30.82
|
192.53
|
0.1601
|
|
Tx
|
1617388058000
|
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x9b416609
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$79.81
|
216.78
|
0.3681
|
|
Tx
|
1617308672000
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xe6ef4328
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.81
|
5.57
|
0.3251
|
|
Tx
|
1617301296000
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x2dabdc8c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$40.00
|
192.53
|
0.2078
|
|
Tx
|
1617153429000
|
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xd4189805
|
Sell |
0 |
|
$3.03
|
9.55
|
0.3175
|
|
Tx
|
1616988929000
|
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x943f6441
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$50.00
|
73.94
|
0.6762
|
|
Tx
|
1616988419000
|
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x9b416609
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$39.00
|
73.74
|
0.5289
|
|
Tx
|
1616953126000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$240.65
|
259.63
|
0.9269
|
|
Tx
|
1616807244000
|
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x943f6441
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$17.23
|
46.97
|
0.3667
|
|
Tx
|
1616805848000
|
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x943f6441
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$25.00
|
46.97
|
0.5322
|
|
Tx
|
1616689363000
|
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0x9b416609
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$80.00
|
102.03
|
0.7841
|
|
Tx
|
1616530725000
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xff5b2659
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$100.00
|
164.33
|
0.6085
|
|
Tx
|
1616433281000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$113.19
|
201.44
|
0.5619
|
|
Tx
|
1616382704000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xa1532741
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$104.79
|
170.00
|
0.6164
|
|
Tx
|
1615914261000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$25.00
|
53.51
|
0.4672
|
|
Tx
|
1615840759000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xe8cc8c94
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$36.07
|
103.01
|
0.3501
|
|
Tx
|
1615839707000
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xa1532741
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$50.00
|
130.30
|
0.3837
|
|
Tx
|
1615836807000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xe8cc8c94
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$26.00
|
103.01
|
0.2524
|
|
Tx
|
1615835857000
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021?
|
0xe47fd63e
|
0xe8cc8c94
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$111.00
|
489.01
|
0.2270
|
|
Tx
|