1721612636000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Democratic |
🔴 |
$333.00
|
900.00
|
0.3700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1721612636000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x67f49bf3
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$241.29
|
652.13
|
0.3700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1721612636000
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Democratic |
🔵 |
$91.71
|
247.87
|
0.3700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1719550129000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x8b5a7da2
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$195.00
|
300.00
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1719550045000
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race?
|
0x3ada1157
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$390.00
|
600.00
|
0.6500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718302964000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
238.10
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1718302964000
|
Fed rate cut by September 18?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
238.10
|
0.4200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1712776384000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0xe1e70362
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$600.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.6000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710246616000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x777fae71
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$68.00
|
200.00
|
0.3400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710246616000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x777fae71
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$132.60
|
390.00
|
0.3400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710140139000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0xa22b3f02
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$0.56
|
0.57
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1710094769000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0x30e44387
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$175.32
|
180.00
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709939935000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0x3ce32f81
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$359.82
|
369.43
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709882679000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xba2772df
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$80.68
|
336.17
|
0.2400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709882679000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$255.49
|
336.17
|
0.7600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709882593000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xcb14f617
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$3.40
|
10.00
|
0.3400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709882593000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$3.40
|
10.00
|
0.3400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709876233000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0xd0db7930
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$243.50
|
250.00
|
0.9740
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709318122000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$40.00
|
235.29
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1709318122000
|
Fed rate cut by July 31?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$195.29
|
235.29
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708283511000
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x209c21d4
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$90.00
|
200.00
|
0.4500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708283511000
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$110.00
|
200.00
|
0.5500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1708094784000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$144.00
|
200.00
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707841540000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0xcb7cd74a
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$198.64
|
662.14
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835704000
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x3d8a89a2
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$7.40
|
10.00
|
0.7400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835704000
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$7.40
|
10.00
|
0.7400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835569000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$30.00
|
107.14
|
0.2800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835569000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$77.14
|
107.14
|
0.7200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835477000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,500.00
|
1,595.74
|
0.9400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835477000
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$95.74
|
1,595.74
|
0.0600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835421000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$159.36
|
249.00
|
0.6400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835421000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$159.36
|
249.00
|
0.6400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835375000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$101.36
|
337.86
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1707835375000
|
Fed rate cut by June 12?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$101.36
|
337.86
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1704713127000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0xb8d8bc6a
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$77.00
|
100.00
|
0.7700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703501965000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x5a181dcf
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$183.33
|
208.33
|
0.8800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703501965000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$25.00
|
208.33
|
0.1200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703363996000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x44d9200a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$420.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.2100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1703363996000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$1,580.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.7900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702395064000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x542aae10
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$24.54
|
111.54
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702394836000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$63.46
|
288.46
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702390980000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$25.00
|
100.00
|
0.2500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702390980000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$75.00
|
100.00
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702159615000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0xb940f9f2
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$37.50
|
50.00
|
0.7500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122651000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$87.36
|
224.00
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122651000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$136.64
|
224.00
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122599000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$15.80
|
25.90
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122599000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xfeb58108
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$140.61
|
230.51
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122599000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
256.41
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122539000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$457.34
|
749.74
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122539000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$300.00
|
769.23
|
0.3900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122539000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xfeb58108
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$11.89
|
19.49
|
0.6100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122439000
|
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023?
|
0x24c58fe0
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$142.00
|
200.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702122439000
|
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023?
|
0x24c58fe0
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$71.00
|
100.00
|
0.7100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702076120000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.86
|
1.00
|
0.8600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702053444000
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023?
|
0xd42f6a16
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$33.00
|
150.00
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702047874000
|
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023?
|
0x540a5267
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$10.00
|
25.00
|
0.4000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702046008000
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$22.00
|
100.00
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702042732000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$35.00
|
145.83
|
0.2400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1702042732000
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$110.83
|
145.83
|
0.7600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701903510000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x8ad3e492
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$31.59
|
117.00
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701887148000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$97.09
|
133.00
|
0.7300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701887148000
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$35.91
|
133.00
|
0.2700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701837220000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0x1f85e6e3
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$197.20
|
394.40
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701713506000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xadc6eeca
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$285.00
|
570.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701445433000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xadc6eeca
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$86.50
|
173.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701444725000
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?
|
0xadc6eeca
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$333.50
|
667.00
|
0.5000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701357297000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x509587cb
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$281.37
|
347.37
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701357273000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x509587cb
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$42.63
|
52.63
|
0.8100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701338661000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$252.00
|
300.00
|
0.8400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701338661000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$48.00
|
300.00
|
0.1600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701338647000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$170.15
|
205.00
|
0.8300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701338647000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$34.85
|
205.00
|
0.1700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701338625000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$168.10
|
205.00
|
0.8200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701338625000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$36.90
|
205.00
|
0.1800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701297138000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$5.94
|
27.00
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701297138000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$21.06
|
27.00
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701297078000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$77.22
|
99.00
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701297078000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$21.78
|
99.00
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701297050000
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$45.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.0450
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701297050000
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$475.00
|
500.00
|
0.9500
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701297050000
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$480.00
|
500.00
|
0.9600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296982000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$42.56
|
193.46
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296982000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$195.00
|
250.00
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296982000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$12.44
|
56.54
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296938000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$210.00
|
333.33
|
0.6300
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296938000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$123.33
|
333.33
|
0.3700
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296878000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$2.54
|
11.54
|
0.2200
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296878000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$204.00
|
261.54
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1701296878000
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$195.00
|
250.00
|
0.7800
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700580066000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$60.00
|
75.00
|
0.8000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700580066000
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$15.00
|
75.00
|
0.2000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700580066000
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$14.23
|
47.43
|
0.3000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700580066000
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$50.00
|
71.43
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700580066000
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xbade1b3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$16.80
|
24.00
|
0.7000
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700580066000
|
OpenAI board out by end of week?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$57.00
|
75.00
|
0.7600
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700580066000
|
OpenAI board out by end of week?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$18.00
|
75.00
|
0.2400
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700580066000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x98f66485
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$100.00
|
196.08
|
0.5100
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1700580066000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x98f66485
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$96.08
|
196.08
|
0.4900
|
📖 |
Tx
|
1698230962000
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker?
|
0x98f66485
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$100.00
|
628.93
|
0.1590
|
📖 |
Tx
|