1723021760000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x1e5f46d4
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$405.87
|
407.50
|
0.9960
|
π |
Tx
|
1723016797000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x2dca3bab
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$410.85
|
412.50
|
0.9960
|
π |
Tx
|
1723014975000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x2dca3bab
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$440.73
|
442.50
|
0.9960
|
π |
Tx
|
1723012461000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xa80db382
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$351.09
|
352.50
|
0.9960
|
π |
Tx
|
1723008762000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,731.23
|
1,732.96
|
0.9990
|
π |
Tx
|
1723007838000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x6ffb4354
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,942.79
|
2,945.73
|
0.9990
|
π |
Tx
|
1723003253000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x829415a5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$331.17
|
332.50
|
0.9960
|
π |
Tx
|
1723002307000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xfa6adb15
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$403.38
|
405.00
|
0.9960
|
π |
Tx
|
1723001861000
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xfa6adb15
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$393.42
|
395.00
|
0.9960
|
π |
Tx
|
1723001263000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x0a3e9e80
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,774.31
|
1,777.87
|
0.9980
|
π |
Tx
|
1723000433000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xeeb42aaa
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,091.83
|
2,096.02
|
0.9980
|
π |
Tx
|
1723000359000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4ec66ecd
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,123.86
|
1,126.11
|
0.9980
|
π |
Tx
|
1721406951000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xecaa8806
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$461.23
|
599.00
|
0.7700
|
π |
Tx
|
1721315216000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0xaaf4acaf
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$338.50
|
497.80
|
0.6800
|
π |
Tx
|
1721313389000
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$293.80
|
497.80
|
0.5902
|
π |
Tx
|
1721111646000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x57c5de7e
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$559.68
|
1,749.00
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1721111646000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,189.32
|
1,749.00
|
0.6800
|
π |
Tx
|
1721099579000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,546.90
|
1,550.00
|
0.9980
|
π |
Tx
|
1721099305000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3,093.80
|
3,100.00
|
0.9980
|
π |
Tx
|
1721077335000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$599.02
|
605.07
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1721077335000
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x8219f4d9
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$396.00
|
400.00
|
0.9900
|
π |
Tx
|
1720575232000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x063d4783
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$552.00
|
800.00
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1720575232000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$690.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1720503982000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x0d730251
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$753.75
|
1,005.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1720503742000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x24c8cf69
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$740.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1720503742000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$740.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7400
|
π |
Tx
|
1720503648000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x995fc479
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$730.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.7300
|
π |
Tx
|
1720503648000
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$733.65
|
1,005.00
|
0.7300
|
π |
Tx
|
1716331415000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x611c20bf
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$660.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.3300
|
π |
Tx
|
1716330929000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x18566a94
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$255.00
|
750.00
|
0.3400
|
π |
Tx
|
1716330929000
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$255.00
|
750.00
|
0.3400
|
π |
Tx
|
1710508916000
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$980.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9800
|
π |
Tx
|
1709735249000
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15?
|
0x3a8ce041
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$429.00
|
550.00
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1709730005000
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$351.00
|
450.00
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1709726925000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x3cba2bd7
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3,274.17
|
3,520.61
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1709726925000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$284.79
|
3,999.91
|
0.0712
|
π |
Tx
|
1708656214000
|
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,982.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.9910
|
π |
Tx
|
1706992726000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0xe56d7659
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$303.57
|
3,794.66
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1706021168000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x4c29ffec
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,026.63
|
1,115.90
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1704311406000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xb46ef1a5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$939.12
|
1,118.00
|
0.8400
|
π |
Tx
|
1704311406000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$794.31
|
957.00
|
0.8300
|
π |
Tx
|
1704311406000
|
Fed rate cut by May 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$341.57
|
2,075.00
|
0.1646
|
π |
Tx
|
1704311238000
|
Fed rate cut by January 31?
|
0x1e996521
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,328.04
|
1,428.00
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1701967324000
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$400.00
|
500.00
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1701967324000
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x7789806c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$405.00
|
500.00
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1700632923000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x8a4c788f
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$402.85
|
1,678.55
|
0.2400
|
π |
Tx
|
1698806709000
|
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$410.00
|
500.00
|
0.8200
|
π |
Tx
|
1698806629000
|
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$424.57
|
499.50
|
0.8500
|
π |
Tx
|
1698210795000
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker?
|
RelayThief
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$760.00
|
800.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697736449000
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x122cdd9d
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$380.00
|
400.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697736449000
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$759.52
|
799.50
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1695765236000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?
|
0x296bd652
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$324.00
|
450.00
|
0.7200
|
π |
Tx
|
1695741705000
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2?
|
0x905f36d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$839.27
|
1,271.62
|
0.6600
|
π |
Tx
|
1692560312000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x0b644e44
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$960.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1692534655000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xfc7e110e
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,350.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1692000999000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x5c5b6d4c
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2,200.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1691557833000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xee292607
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,350.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1690875963000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xcb91b2f0
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$285.00
|
500.00
|
0.5700
|
π |
Tx
|
1690868409000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x2444fe52
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$570.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.5700
|
π |
Tx
|
1690866003000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x629bc4a1
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$670.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1690765095000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x9e9141c9
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$385.00
|
500.00
|
0.7700
|
π |
Tx
|
1690509882000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0xc76190d1
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$345.64
|
460.86
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1688643571000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf1bb700a
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1,552.00
|
1,600.00
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1688643571000
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x61b7acc4
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$873.00
|
900.00
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1685631945000
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 5?
|
0x92967e67
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2,264.89
|
2,384.10
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1685618989000
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$454.04
|
483.02
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1685618989000
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xe2b1fc26
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$836.00
|
880.00
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1685618989000
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,369.00
|
1,447.02
|
0.9461
|
π |
Tx
|
1685360417000
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1?
|
0xa5e8bd2a
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$495.31
|
538.38
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1685355473000
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1?
|
0xe62c1efc
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$827.18
|
899.11
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1683660200000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0x67b2a93e
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$633.51
|
1,407.81
|
0.4500
|
π |
Tx
|
1682992809000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0xba4768b3
|
0x856f95bf
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$310.89
|
592.18
|
0.5250
|
π |
Tx
|
1682985284000
|
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$480.00
|
500.00
|
0.9600
|
π |
Tx
|
1678663899000
|
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$700.70
|
1,430.00
|
0.4900
|
π |
Tx
|
1678663899000
|
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$729.30
|
1,430.00
|
0.5100
|
π |
Tx
|
1678113643000
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?
|
0xa97111e0
|
0x856f95bf
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1,120.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.5600
|
π |
Tx
|
1660002091000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf810652c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,000.00
|
4,119.66
|
0.4855
|
|
Tx
|
1659444512000
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xd9e0838e
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1,000.00
|
1,053.82
|
0.9489
|
|
Tx
|
1659399652000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf810652c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,000.00
|
4,389.73
|
0.4556
|
|
Tx
|
1658935947000
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xce3107e5
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
1,246.47
|
0.4011
|
|
Tx
|
1658854279000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf810652c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3,943.12
|
9,011.84
|
0.4375
|
|
Tx
|
1656960689000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf810652c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,000.00
|
4,445.72
|
0.4499
|
|
Tx
|
1656958143000
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xf810652c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$2,000.00
|
4,566.12
|
0.4380
|
|
Tx
|
1656902813000
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xe74b400a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$412.67
|
1,186.36
|
0.3478
|
|
Tx
|
1654658750000
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x45874174
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$700.00
|
1,592.35
|
0.4396
|
|
Tx
|
1653707711000
|
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x8f6e36b2
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$514.37
|
904.94
|
0.5684
|
|
Tx
|
1651272414000
|
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xa36fbf5d
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2,010.00
|
2,412.22
|
0.8333
|
|
Tx
|
1647691285000
|
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x43f32943
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$300.00
|
819.74
|
0.3660
|
|
Tx
|
1647595737000
|
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xcd6486ce
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
917.93
|
0.5447
|
|
Tx
|
1647545511000
|
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x43f32943
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
393.79
|
0.6349
|
|
Tx
|
1642027684000
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x0ba9a580
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$756.00
|
1,445.27
|
0.5231
|
|
Tx
|
1642027142000
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x0ba9a580
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,000.00
|
2,127.22
|
0.4701
|
|
Tx
|
1640278782000
|
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully in 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x2dcd592a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$400.00
|
611.73
|
0.6539
|
|
Tx
|
1639485535000
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xdd4cdc0a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$250.00
|
654.91
|
0.3817
|
|
Tx
|
1639441995000
|
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xb635ea65
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$253.54
|
1,660.00
|
0.1527
|
|
Tx
|
1638968433000
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xdd4cdc0a
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$369.00
|
1,239.54
|
0.2977
|
|
Tx
|
1637176932000
|
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0xcd05825a
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
690.83
|
0.7238
|
|
Tx
|
1637002385000
|
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x5db4018b
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$500.00
|
991.77
|
0.5042
|
|
Tx
|
1636761263000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by Noon, November 15, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x06f000aa
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1,000.00
|
1,015.06
|
0.9852
|
|
Tx
|
1636226171000
|
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021?
|
0x856f95bf
|
0x02e90748
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$741.93
|
1,500.00
|
0.4946
|
|
Tx
|