1670536547000
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x43f6d0ce
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$4.36
|
132.82
|
0.0328
|
|
Tx
|
1667862484000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x399ea157
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.17
|
36.77
|
0.0047
|
|
Tx
|
1667862450000
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xc9a3c733
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$18.43
|
330.98
|
0.0557
|
|
Tx
|
1667862338000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xd71d36e1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$11.89
|
12.58
|
0.9453
|
|
Tx
|
1667862304000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x84834141
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$11.22
|
49.25
|
0.2278
|
|
Tx
|
1667400653000
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x43f6d0ce
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.00
|
132.82
|
0.1506
|
|
Tx
|
1666636685000
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xc9a3c733
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.00
|
248.47
|
0.0805
|
|
Tx
|
1665516361000
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on October 14?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xf516075c
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$15.71
|
16.31
|
0.9633
|
|
Tx
|
1664997666000
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xc9a3c733
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
82.51
|
0.0606
|
|
Tx
|
1664996736000
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on October 14?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xf516075c
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
16.32
|
0.6128
|
|
Tx
|
1664996554000
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x399ea157
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
36.78
|
0.2719
|
|
Tx
|
1664996439000
|
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 10, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future)
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x7e18cf30
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$15.00
|
33.68
|
0.4453
|
|
Tx
|
1664309815000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xe62c8552
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$45.00
|
52.11
|
0.8635
|
|
Tx
|
1664309061000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xe62c8552
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$150.00
|
170.75
|
0.8785
|
|
Tx
|
1662494181000
|
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x028402f7
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.36
|
88.77
|
0.0379
|
|
Tx
|
1662493987000
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x9e3fcf26
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$15.00
|
22.18
|
0.6763
|
|
Tx
|
1659563928000
|
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 5?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xa6ce0354
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$8.00
|
23.16
|
0.3454
|
|
Tx
|
1659129617000
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x63ad0bf7
|
Sell |
$1,000 |
|
$9.58
|
35.57
|
0.2692
|
|
Tx
|
1659127993000
|
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x028402f7
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
88.77
|
0.0563
|
|
Tx
|
1659127711000
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x106f595a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.00
|
261.31
|
0.0765
|
|
Tx
|
1658859457000
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xd71d36e1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
12.58
|
0.7949
|
|
Tx
|
1658256751000
|
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x448c72b1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$35.00
|
37.85
|
0.9248
|
|
Tx
|
1658178209000
|
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x91b7499a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
359.97
|
0.0139
|
|
Tx
|
1658177749000
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x63ad0bf7
|
Buy |
$1,000 |
|
$15.00
|
35.58
|
0.4216
|
|
Tx
|
1658177605000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x7c3045dc
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.05
|
13.71
|
0.0033
|
|
Tx
|
1658051060000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$17.08
|
29.83
|
0.5727
|
|
Tx
|
1658050950000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x86e2b8e5
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
25.87
|
0.3865
|
|
Tx
|
1658050790000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x7c3045dc
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
13.72
|
0.7291
|
|
Tx
|
1658049808000
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x84834141
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$15.00
|
49.25
|
0.3046
|
|
Tx
|
1658049726000
|
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x8b593026
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
51.48
|
0.0971
|
|
Tx
|
1657746367000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from June to July 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xdce4c710
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
38.24
|
0.2615
|
|
Tx
|
1657219692000
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xfdc141b9
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$18.00
|
41.82
|
0.4304
|
|
Tx
|
1657219556000
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xce3107e5
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.00
|
23.96
|
0.8348
|
|
Tx
|
1657219290000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$52.17
|
80.00
|
0.6521
|
|
Tx
|
1656016756000
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xce3107e5
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$60.00
|
97.29
|
0.6167
|
|
Tx
|
1652375804000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xac128541
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$35.50
|
650.14
|
0.0546
|
|
Tx
|
1652210940000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xac128541
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$70.70
|
1,010.00
|
0.0700
|
|
Tx
|
1652210656000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xac128541
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$40.04
|
505.00
|
0.0793
|
|
Tx
|
1652210190000
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xac128541
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$245.00
|
2,165.14
|
0.1132
|
|
Tx
|
1652205212000
|
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x43f32943
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$18.40
|
45.59
|
0.4035
|
|
Tx
|
1652204410000
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xc5b828c0
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$66.19
|
67.58
|
0.9793
|
|
Tx
|
1652204276000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x08bb711d
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$75.00
|
109.83
|
0.6828
|
|
Tx
|
1652204232000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x08bb711d
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$8.71
|
27.16
|
0.3209
|
|
Tx
|
1652204162000
|
Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x59b2340d
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$25.65
|
25.89
|
0.9906
|
|
Tx
|
1650316267000
|
Will the USA ambassador be recalled or expelled from Russia before June 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x2c764003
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$15.00
|
49.39
|
0.3037
|
|
Tx
|
1650315444000
|
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xd29ae261
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
32.19
|
0.3106
|
|
Tx
|
1650315384000
|
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x99273d31
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$50.00
|
56.86
|
0.8794
|
|
Tx
|
1650315102000
|
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x55be7445
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$12.11
|
50.00
|
0.2422
|
|
Tx
|
1650314636000
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xbc175410
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.00
|
338.93
|
0.0590
|
|
Tx
|
1650048440000
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x1bdd7f4a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$57.06
|
58.61
|
0.9736
|
|
Tx
|
1650048362000
|
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x709e5777
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$10.00
|
51.50
|
0.1942
|
|
Tx
|
1650048150000
|
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xd29ae261
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$10.00
|
36.21
|
0.2762
|
|
Tx
|
1649713180000
|
Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x59b2340d
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
25.90
|
0.7723
|
|
Tx
|
1649607061000
|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x53095584
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$25.00
|
94.89
|
0.2635
|
|
Tx
|
1649604729000
|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x53095584
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$108.58
|
148.58
|
0.7308
|
|
Tx
|
1649604615000
|
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xedfdb2c3
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$52.85
|
250.46
|
0.2110
|
|
Tx
|
1649573453000
|
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x8b593026
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.00
|
59.32
|
0.3372
|
|
Tx
|
1649573353000
|
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x8b593026
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.00
|
60.41
|
0.3311
|
|
Tx
|
1649529813000
|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x53095584
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$76.33
|
100.81
|
0.7572
|
|
Tx
|
1649506840000
|
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xedfdb2c3
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$50.00
|
250.46
|
0.1996
|
|
Tx
|
1649506800000
|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x53095584
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$200.00
|
249.40
|
0.8019
|
|
Tx
|
1649506674000
|
Will NATO expand in 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x08bb711d
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$15.00
|
27.16
|
0.5523
|
|
Tx
|
1649504472000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xa48f7ba1
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$28.72
|
33.20
|
0.8652
|
|
Tx
|
1649504308000
|
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x2f98c776
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$59.25
|
63.74
|
0.9295
|
|
Tx
|
1649183935000
|
2022 Hungarian elections: Will Fidesz win at least 113 parliamentary seats?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x7a801273
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$50.12
|
51.26
|
0.9777
|
|
Tx
|
1649010265000
|
2022 Hungarian elections: Will Fidesz win at least 113 parliamentary seats?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x7a801273
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$30.00
|
51.27
|
0.5852
|
|
Tx
|
1649005639000
|
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x55be7445
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$60.00
|
94.60
|
0.6342
|
|
Tx
|
1649005079000
|
GRAMMYs 2022: Will Lady Gaga's and Tony Bennet's "I Get a Kick Out of You" win Record of the Year?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xa7b50699
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
24.54
|
0.8148
|
|
Tx
|
1649004975000
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xdbae5d06
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$7.60
|
58.32
|
0.1304
|
|
Tx
|
1648751396000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xa48f7ba1
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
33.20
|
0.6023
|
|
Tx
|
1648751198000
|
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x428b2118
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$72.61
|
76.82
|
0.9452
|
|
Tx
|
1648749675000
|
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x1e4ceb99
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$0.55
|
0.69
|
0.7938
|
|
Tx
|
1648679000000
|
Will MOEX close above 2,500 by April 15, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xa2b6e46f
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$15.00
|
3,031.17
|
0.0049
|
|
Tx
|
1648678062000
|
Will $ETH be above $3,400 on April 8th, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x7846c988
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$20.00
|
39.02
|
0.5126
|
|
Tx
|
1648676116000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x467f7b3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$20.60
|
40.00
|
0.5150
|
|
Tx
|
1648675406000
|
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x1e4ceb99
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$74.10
|
83.00
|
0.8928
|
|
Tx
|
1648586394000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x467f7b3a
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$20.15
|
50.00
|
0.4030
|
|
Tx
|
1648586330000
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xc5b828c0
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$50.00
|
67.59
|
0.7398
|
|
Tx
|
1648586138000
|
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x428b2118
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$27.94
|
30.00
|
0.9314
|
|
Tx
|
1648585856000
|
Will the price of Polygon (MATIC) be above $1.75 on April 8th, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xe80e3321
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$12.00
|
28.62
|
0.4192
|
|
Tx
|
1648494191000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xa48f7ba1
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$25.79
|
44.17
|
0.5839
|
|
Tx
|
1648416405000
|
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x1e4ceb99
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$36.61
|
50.00
|
0.7321
|
|
Tx
|
1648416165000
|
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x43f32943
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$23.91
|
40.00
|
0.5977
|
|
Tx
|
1648416085000
|
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in March 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x127ec303
|
Sell |
Ethereum |
|
$63.46
|
68.61
|
0.9250
|
|
Tx
|
1648416013000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x467f7b3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$15.00
|
34.33
|
0.4370
|
|
Tx
|
1648415991000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x467f7b3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$15.00
|
34.41
|
0.4360
|
|
Tx
|
1648413277000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x467f7b3a
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$40.00
|
92.19
|
0.4339
|
|
Tx
|
1648413217000
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x467f7b3a
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$40.32
|
71.00
|
0.5678
|
|
Tx
|
1648149939000
|
Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x08a1e280
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$3.75
|
39.13
|
0.0958
|
|
Tx
|
1648149473000
|
Will the price of wheat close above $1200 on March 25, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xf95f7233
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$68.76
|
70.65
|
0.9731
|
|
Tx
|
1648149361000
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xa48f7ba1
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$30.00
|
44.17
|
0.6792
|
|
Tx
|
1648149125000
|
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x1e4ceb99
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$60.00
|
133.69
|
0.4488
|
|
Tx
|
1648065952000
|
Will the price of $LUNA be above $90 on March 26, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x311eb08f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$18.43
|
23.31
|
0.7906
|
|
Tx
|
1648065730000
|
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x2f98c776
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$45.00
|
63.75
|
0.7059
|
|
Tx
|
1647985801000
|
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 1, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x428b2118
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$50.00
|
106.82
|
0.4681
|
|
Tx
|
1647984889000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.8% or higher on March 22?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x4e1fb112
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$0.85
|
54.00
|
0.0157
|
|
Tx
|
1647984811000
|
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x3a1084bf
|
Sell |
No |
✅ |
$56.57
|
65.57
|
0.8627
|
|
Tx
|
1647899399000
|
Will the price of $LUNA be above $90 on March 26, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x311eb08f
|
Sell |
Yes |
❌ |
$13.36
|
20.00
|
0.6678
|
|
Tx
|
1647899273000
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.8% or higher on March 22?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0x4e1fb112
|
Buy |
Yes |
✅ |
$5.00
|
54.00
|
0.0926
|
|
Tx
|
1647805403000
|
Will the price of wheat close above $1200 on March 25, 2022?
|
0x6552d9c8
|
0xf95f7233
|
Buy |
No |
❌ |
$20.00
|
23.49
|
0.8515
|
|
Tx
|