1708902302000
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.24
|
4.82
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1708902302000
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.58
|
4.82
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1704630148000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0xd0c6cc65
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$7.30
|
10.14
|
0.7200
|
π |
Tx
|
1704571079000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0xd42f6a16
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.06
|
15.00
|
0.0040
|
π |
Tx
|
1704571079000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$14.94
|
15.00
|
0.9960
|
π |
Tx
|
1704570839000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.00
|
4.76
|
0.6300
|
π |
Tx
|
1704570839000
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0xd8c6a9b3
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.76
|
4.76
|
0.3700
|
π |
Tx
|
1704479370000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$10.00
|
11.36
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1704479370000
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.00
|
11.36
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1704023268000
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023?
|
0xd42f6a16
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.65
|
15.00
|
0.7100
|
π |
Tx
|
1704023063000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$7.00
|
10.14
|
0.6900
|
π |
Tx
|
1704023063000
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.14
|
10.14
|
0.3100
|
π |
Tx
|
1701258827000
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4.35
|
5.37
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1701258827000
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x64cfb9f6
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.35
|
5.37
|
0.8100
|
π |
Tx
|
1701258781000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x8a4c788f
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.27
|
15.00
|
0.0180
|
π |
Tx
|
1701258781000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$0.27
|
15.00
|
0.0180
|
π |
Tx
|
1700821755000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x6544eec2
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.80
|
14.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1700802425000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$0.20
|
1.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1700569418000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xd79790ce
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.75
|
6.10
|
0.4500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700566852000
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?
|
0xc673b1d6
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.00
|
8.90
|
0.4500
|
π |
Tx
|
1700564109000
|
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.58
|
0.62
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1700564109000
|
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$0.58
|
0.62
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1700477738000
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023?
|
0x54a21457
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.15
|
15.00
|
0.2100
|
π |
Tx
|
1700469027000
|
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$13.51
|
14.38
|
0.9400
|
π |
Tx
|
1700312803000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.52
|
4.51
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1700312803000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$3.52
|
4.51
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1700312769000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$12.48
|
16.00
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1700312769000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.52
|
16.00
|
0.2200
|
π |
Tx
|
1700312607000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0xb5bcdd2c
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.36
|
12.05
|
0.0300
|
π |
Tx
|
1700312607000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$11.69
|
12.05
|
0.9700
|
π |
Tx
|
1700296812000
|
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?
|
0xf848f98f
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$13.50
|
15.00
|
0.9000
|
π |
Tx
|
1699988642000
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?
|
0xd668da79
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$11.25
|
15.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1699888802000
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.00
|
4.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1699888802000
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x43ca835f
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
4.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1699841148000
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?
|
0x9371861b
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.05
|
15.00
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1699776826000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0xcb14f617
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.47
|
7.81
|
0.7000
|
π |
Tx
|
1699776826000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$5.47
|
7.81
|
0.7000
|
π |
Tx
|
1699454453000
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x70126cda
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.14
|
1.14
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1699454453000
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.14
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1699454427000
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
1.49
|
0.6700
|
π |
Tx
|
1699454427000
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.49
|
1.49
|
0.3300
|
π |
Tx
|
1699182808000
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10?
|
0xc6e0d022
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$13.95
|
15.00
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1699071168000
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023?
|
0x62d2bcd1
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.25
|
15.00
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1699029320000
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?
|
0x00050708
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$2.25
|
15.00
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1699018345000
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?
|
0x1f0a3435
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.25
|
15.00
|
0.3500
|
π |
Tx
|
1698520117000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0xecdbd795
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.00
|
3.80
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1698520117000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$3.00
|
3.80
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1698441701000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
|
0xbdd11cc9
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.55
|
1.00
|
0.5500
|
π |
Tx
|
1698389806000
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023?
|
0x78554861
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.20
|
15.00
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1698349625000
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023?
|
0x175dd009
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$8.45
|
65.00
|
0.1300
|
π |
Tx
|
1698244963000
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.20
|
20.00
|
0.1100
|
π |
Tx
|
1698243964000
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS?
|
0xe179320f
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$3.01
|
15.07
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1698238738000
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$2.25
|
15.00
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697868506000
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.75
|
0.95
|
0.7900
|
π |
Tx
|
1697868506000
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.20
|
0.95
|
0.2100
|
π |
Tx
|
1697824381000
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS?
|
0xc70128ee
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.12
|
14.12
|
0.1500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697811012000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.60
|
5.00
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1697811012000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x066a7727
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.60
|
5.00
|
0.3200
|
π |
Tx
|
1697806777000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0xa282f14c
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$1.96
|
20.00
|
0.0980
|
π |
Tx
|
1697718913000
|
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x9e9141c9
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.07
|
0.99
|
0.0700
|
π |
Tx
|
1697718913000
|
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$0.92
|
0.99
|
0.9300
|
π |
Tx
|
1697718847000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$4.00
|
5.00
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1697718847000
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.00
|
5.00
|
0.2000
|
π |
Tx
|
1697702183000
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop?
|
0xe25b9180
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.92
|
16.00
|
0.1200
|
π |
Tx
|
1697612114000
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Palestine |
|
$1.12
|
1.18
|
0.9500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697612114000
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x4abbefe5
|
Sell |
Israel |
|
$0.06
|
1.18
|
0.0500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697579619000
|
US military intervention by Oct 31?
|
0x71eb02de
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$14.54
|
16.00
|
0.9090
|
π |
Tx
|
1697291201000
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1?
|
0x77080508
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$7.20
|
16.00
|
0.4500
|
π |
Tx
|
1697102511000
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$8.32
|
16.00
|
0.5200
|
π |
Tx
|
1697058040000
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1?
|
0x7c9046f5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.92
|
16.00
|
0.3700
|
π |
Tx
|
1697057784000
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week?
|
0xda44c444
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$8.00
|
16.00
|
0.5000
|
π |
Tx
|
1696977763000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$9.07
|
10.31
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1696975536000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?
|
0x2998fb1a
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$5.00
|
5.68
|
0.8800
|
π |
Tx
|
1696879649000
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$1.87
|
2.03
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696879649000
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0xd3b25f3c
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$1.87
|
2.03
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696836810000
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9?
|
0x3cf3e8d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$11.20
|
16.00
|
0.7000
|
π |
Tx
|
1696770326000
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$9.45
|
10.27
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696770326000
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x9d84ce03
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.82
|
10.27
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1696769650000
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
RelayThief
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$0.22
|
2.79
|
0.0800
|
π |
Tx
|
1696769650000
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.57
|
2.79
|
0.9200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696759772000
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?
|
0x61838209
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$12.80
|
16.00
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1696679105000
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
|
0x61838209
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.80
|
20.00
|
0.0900
|
π |
Tx
|
1696674372000
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x43372356
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$45.56
|
55.56
|
0.8200
|
π |
Tx
|
1696674372000
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$10.00
|
55.56
|
0.1800
|
π |
Tx
|
1696278334000
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop?
|
0x56658d65
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.88
|
16.00
|
0.6800
|
π |
Tx
|
1695449890000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x9f47f1fc
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$2.81
|
7.81
|
0.3600
|
π |
Tx
|
1695449890000
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$5.00
|
7.81
|
0.6400
|
π |
Tx
|
1695284220000
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?
|
0x3047c789
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
Yes |
β
|
$3.88
|
125.00
|
0.0310
|
π |
Tx
|
1694958232000
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$14.40
|
16.00
|
0.9000
|
π |
Tx
|
1694958232000
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.60
|
16.00
|
0.1000
|
π |
Tx
|
1693660318000
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.35
|
5.58
|
0.7800
|
π |
Tx
|
1693660318000
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x209c21d4
|
Sell |
Yes |
β |
$1.23
|
5.58
|
0.2200
|
π |
Tx
|
1693519995000
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1?
|
0x494ff8fe
|
0x47bc4b50
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$4.24
|
4.35
|
0.9750
|
π |
Tx
|
1693519995000
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1?
|
0x4bfb41d5
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$4.24
|
4.35
|
0.9750
|
π |
Tx
|
1693095362000
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15?
|
0xcf7c3d0c
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$12.00
|
16.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|
1691785962000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0x55e83ae8
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$9.60
|
16.00
|
0.6000
|
π |
Tx
|
1691781457000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30?
|
0x1674d4c8
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$12.80
|
16.00
|
0.8000
|
π |
Tx
|
1691465525000
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$20.31
|
22.57
|
0.9000
|
π |
Tx
|
1691280682000
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot?
|
0x9d84ce03
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Sell |
No |
β
|
$10.50
|
15.00
|
0.7000
|
π |
Tx
|
1691172862000
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?
|
0xd4eebfca
|
0x494ff8fe
|
Buy |
No |
β |
$12.00
|
16.00
|
0.7500
|
π |
Tx
|