Account
0xf6129c47f5ef4cab25f3aa67b5e3aaac77b15700 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 2,991.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,991.72 | Trades | ||
What will monthly NFT trading volume be on April 13, 2021? | $80M or Less $81-105M $106-120M $121-135M $136M or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | 1,551.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,551.18 | Trades | ||||||
Sui Airdrop by May 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 15 2023 | β | 1,334.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,334.00 | Trades | ||
Will Iron Finance V2βs TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 526.74 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.2373 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 526.74 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 651.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,178.50 | Trades | |
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 1,127.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,127.07 | Trades | ||
Aella: Will more men report they were spanked than women? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 1,017.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,017.35 | Trades | ||
Did Justin Sun bail out SBF? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | 1,003.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,003.45 | Trades | ||
Tails Never Fails Parlay | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 08 2023 | β | 850.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 850.00 | Trades | ||
Will Layer Zero have a token by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 997.99 | 0.00% | 0.1759 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 997.99 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -175.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 822.46 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 1,310.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3948 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,310.55 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -517.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 793.08 | Trades | |
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,105.49 | 0.00% | 0.7519 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,105.49 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -2,335.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 770.33 | Trades | |
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | 733.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 733.36 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | 678.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 678.00 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 635.62 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 635.69 | Trades | ||
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 603.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 603.98 | Trades | ||
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 11 2024 | β | 577.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 577.50 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.41 | 0.00% | -129.3282 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 19 2022 | β | 569.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 569.72 | Trades | |
Will Bing's market share be >4% in February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | 556.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 556.11 | Trades | ||
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 555.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 555.00 | Trades | ||
What will the price of @balajis on bitclout be on July 18? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 1,122.69 | 0.00% | 0.4486 | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 1,036.92 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | β | -503.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 533.26 | Trades | |
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 531.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 531.73 | Trades | ||
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? | Barbie | Oppenheimer | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 24 2023 | β | 505.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 505.00 | Trades | ||
Buccaneers vs. Eagles | Buccaneers | Eagles | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 15 2024 | β | 503.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 503.22 | Trades | ||
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod? | Do Kwon | Sensei Algod | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 14 2023 | β | 502.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 502.32 | Trades | ||
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 490.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 490.61 | Trades | ||
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | 466.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 466.70 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 408.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 408.99 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 787.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4856 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 787.28 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | β | -382.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 404.94 | Trades | |
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? | Paul | Woodley | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 29 2021 | β | 378.35 | 22.68 | 0.00 | 401.03 | Trades | ||
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 15 2023 | β | 400.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 400.40 | Trades | ||
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6,592.11 | 0.00% | 0.9396 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6,592.11 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -6,194.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 398.01 | Trades | |
Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 382.02 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 382.08 | Trades | ||
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 376.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 376.98 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 15 2023 | β | 369.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 369.00 | Trades | ||
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 363.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 363.71 | Trades | ||
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | β | 362.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 362.00 | Trades | ||
Will Basquiatβs βVersus Mediciβ sell for more than $50 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.50% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 352.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 352.73 | Trades | ||
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | 352.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 352.10 | Trades | ||
What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 492.93 | 0.00% | 0.3100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 492.93 | Sat Jun 26 2021 | β | -152.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 340.13 | Trades | |
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 407.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3133 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 407.29 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -127.61 | 41.11 | 0.00 | 320.79 | Trades | |
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 15 2024 | β | 319.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 319.69 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | β | 319.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 319.07 | Trades | ||
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 4th: $DOGE or $SHIB? | Dogecoin | Shiba Inu | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | 316.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 316.64 | Trades | ||
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 700.00 | 0.00% | 0.5557 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 700.00 | Sun May 21 2023 | β | -389.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 311.00 | Trades | |
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 607.72 | 0.00% | 0.5294 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 607.72 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -321.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 286.00 | Trades | |
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 283.87 | 0.00% | -0.9772 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 23 2023 | β | 277.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 277.40 | Trades | |
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | β | 259.88 | 2.01 | 0.00 | 261.89 | Trades | ||
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? | Yes | No | 423.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.5389 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | 228.21 | 33.52 | 0.00 | 261.73 | Trades | |
Will Iron Financeβs Overall TVL be above $2 billion on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 259.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 259.72 | Trades | ||
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 258.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 258.57 | Trades | ||
Will Meltem Demirors say "inflows" at least 5 times during the debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 256.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 256.85 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 46.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -5.4023 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | 252.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 252.92 | Trades | |
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 252.05 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 252.12 | Trades | ||
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 250.77 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 250.92 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-4844 be implemented by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 624.03 | 0.00% | 0.5988 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 624.03 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -373.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 250.36 | Trades | |
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 244.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 244.22 | Trades | ||
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 10 2023 | β | 235.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 235.32 | Trades | ||
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | 234.73 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 235.14 | Trades | ||
Will Putin be reelected? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 07 2024 | β | 234.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 234.30 | Trades | ||
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 350.00 | 0.00% | 0.3367 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 350.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -117.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 232.15 | Trades | |
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 13 2024 | β | 231.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 231.00 | Trades | ||
Binance announces $RLB listing by Aug 18? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 18 2023 | β | 230.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 230.88 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 348K for the week ending on August 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | β | 224.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 224.18 | Trades | ||
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,241.72 | 0.00% | -0.0689 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 223.31 | 0.72 | 0.00 | 224.02 | Trades | |
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | 223.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 223.50 | Trades | ||
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 222.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 222.00 | Trades | ||
Will Claude Monetβs βWaterloo Bridgeβ sell for more than $35 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 217.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 217.59 | Trades | ||
What will Pakβs Sothebyβs auction generate in total sales? | Less than $20M $20M to less than $45M $45M to less than $70M $70M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | 215.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 215.97 | Trades | ||||||
Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | 212.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 212.80 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? | Democrat | Republican | 423.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5011 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 423.12 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -212.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 211.12 | Trades | |
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 855.07 | 0.00% | 0.7604 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 855.07 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -650.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 204.88 | Trades | |
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,000.01 | 0.00% | -0.1018 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 203.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 203.62 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 6.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -32.3732 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | 199.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 199.99 | Trades | |
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 317.39 | 0.00% | 0.3900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 317.39 | Mon Oct 30 2023 | β | -123.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 193.61 | Trades | |
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 193.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 193.13 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | 191.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 191.97 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βfolksβ in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 191.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 191.53 | Trades | ||
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? | Democrat | Republican | 263.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3585 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 263.99 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -94.64 | 21.21 | 0.00 | 190.56 | Trades | |
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 189.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 189.41 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-3756 "Gas Limit Cap" be accepted prior to January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 945.68 | 0.00% | 0.8180 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 945.68 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -773.59 | 14.71 | 0.00 | 186.80 | Trades | |
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 364K for the week ending on July 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 08 2021 | β | 184.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 184.13 | Trades | ||
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on April 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 05 2021 | β | 178.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 178.82 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | β | 176.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 176.29 | Trades | ||
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 628.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7384 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 628.63 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -464.20 | 6.64 | 0.00 | 171.07 | Trades | |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,700.00 | 0.00% | 0.9367 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,700.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -2,529.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 171.00 | Trades | |
New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 446.92 | 0.00% | 0.6175 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 446.92 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -275.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 170.95 | Trades | |
Friend.Tech airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 180.00 | 0.00% | -0.9484 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | 170.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 170.71 | Trades | ||
Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | 166.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 166.91 | Trades | ||
What will the fully diluted market cap of dYdX's token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 165.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 165.86 | Trades | |||
What rating will theneedledrop give Clairo's 'Sling'? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.72 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 164.07 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 164.22 | Trades | |||
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 163.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 163.88 | Trades | ||
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 219.25 | 0.00% | 0.2813 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 219.25 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -61.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 157.59 | Trades | |
What will Coinbaseβs market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 153.87 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 153.90 | Trades | ||
Berachain airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 285.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.5220 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | 148.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 148.95 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 1.0% from February to March 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 12 2022 | β | 147.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 147.51 | Trades | ||
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 296.17 | 0.00% | -0.4910 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | 145.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 145.42 | Trades | |
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC in February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 142.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 142.42 | Trades | ||
Drift airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 327.00 | 0.00% | -0.4341 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | 141.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 141.96 | Trades | ||
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 18 2023 | β | -60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 140.00 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 260.17 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.5244 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | 136.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 136.44 | Trades | |
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 17 2021 | β | 136.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 136.18 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 389.05 | 0.05% | 0.6522 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 389.05 | Fri Aug 26 2022 | β | -253.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 135.33 | Trades | |
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 102.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.2931 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | β | 132.41 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 132.62 | Trades | |
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | 132.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.00 | Trades | ||
Will Nick White say "modular" at least 10 times during the debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 130.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 130.87 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | β | 127.61 | 3.08 | 0.00 | 130.69 | Trades | ||
Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? | Yes | No | 67.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.9230 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 67.41 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | 62.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 129.63 | Trades | |
Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 128.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 128.75 | Trades | |||
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $5 on its 1st day of trading? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 326.66 | 0.00% | 0.6123 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 326.66 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 126.66 | Trades | |
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 124.51 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 124.54 | Trades | ||
Who will win the Champions League Final: Man City or Chelsea? | Man City | Chelsea | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | β | 124.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 124.52 | Trades | ||
Will $LINK (Chainlink) be above $27 on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.3803 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -76.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 123.95 | Trades | |
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYCβs $APE token be higher than $10 billion a week after its launch? | Yes | No | 173.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2876 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 173.65 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | β | -49.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 123.72 | Trades | |
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00% | 0.5900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -177.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 123.00 | Trades | |
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? | Jake Paul | Anderson Silva | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 29 2022 | β | 121.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 121.99 | Trades | ||
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 14 2024 | β | 121.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 121.41 | Trades | ||
Will βmetaβ be included in Facebookβs new name? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | β | 119.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.79 | Trades | ||
Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 218.08 | 0.00% | 0.4585 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 218.08 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.08 | Trades | |
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,048.95 | 0.00% | 0.8904 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,048.95 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -933.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 114.96 | Trades | |
Will a French cyclist win the Tour de France polka dot jersey? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 241.42 | 0.00% | 0.5242 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 241.42 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | β | -126.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 114.86 | Trades | |
Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record? | Yes | No | 193.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.5929 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 114.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 114.49 | Trades | |
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 170 Gwei on April 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 19 2021 | β | 111.69 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 111.71 | Trades | ||
Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be 5.15% or higher on April 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 111.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 111.67 | Trades | ||
Will Andy Warholβs βMarilyn Monroeβ sell for more than $3 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 111.34 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 111.54 | Trades | ||
Will there be a Mega Millions jackpot winner on July 29? | Yes | No | 738.73 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8497 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 738.73 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 29 2022 | β | -627.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 111.01 | Trades | |
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 17 2023 | β | 110.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110.70 | Trades | ||
Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | 110.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110.43 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 106.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 106.49 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 139.25 | 0.00% | 0.2447 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 139.25 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | β | -34.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 105.18 | Trades | |
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 102.90 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 102.93 | Trades | ||
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.5000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 205.00 | Sat Jan 14 2023 | β | -102.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.50 | Trades | |
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 0.81 | 101.06 | 0.00 | 101.87 | Trades | ||
Will the Indexed Finance hacker return 90% or more of the exploited funds by October 26th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 26 2021 | β | 100.87 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 101.32 | Trades | ||
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 21 2023 | β | 98.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.94 | Trades | ||
Will Phantom airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 391.74 | 0.00% | 0.7500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 391.74 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -293.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.95 | Trades | |
Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? | Yes | No | 374.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7431 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 374.14 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -278.02 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 96.19 | Trades | |
Blur airdrop by Nov 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 20 2023 | β | 96.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 96.04 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 95.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.06 | Trades | ||
What will the ETH floor price of Blitmaps be on September 21, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 21 2021 | β | 94.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.61 | Trades | ||
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? | Yes | No | 651.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8558 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 651.28 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -557.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 93.92 | Trades | |
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 304.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7091 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 304.48 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -215.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 88.57 | Trades | |
UFC Fight San Diego: Who will win - Vera vs. Cruz? | Vera | Cruz | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 13 2022 | β | 86.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.92 | Trades | ||
Will the AAVE governance proposal AIP 22 pass? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.67% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 85.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.50 | Trades | ||
NFL Monday: Bears vs. Patriots | Bears | Patriots | 108.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2305 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 108.48 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 24 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.48 | Trades | |
Will PNAS retract Dan Arielyβs 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 80.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.60 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum reach $4500 by November 11th? | Yes | No | 179.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5558 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 179.91 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.91 | Trades | |
Will Elon Musk tweet βDogeβ or βDogecoinβ before March 19, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 18 2022 | β | 78.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.72 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 77.18 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 77.78 | Trades | ||
Will TSM or Cloud 9 win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 22, 2021? | TSM | Cloud 9 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 22 2021 | β | 77.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.77 | Trades | ||
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 72.00 | 0.00% | -0.0705 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 72.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 5.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.08 | Trades | |
Will Joan MirΓ³βs βFemme (Femme debout)β sell for more than $10 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 76.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.54 | Trades | ||
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 175.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5698 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 175.49 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.49 | Trades | |
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | β | 72.04 | 2.11 | 0.00 | 74.15 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? | Yes | No | 1,481.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9501 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,481.12 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -1,407.15 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 73.98 | Trades | |
Will Frog Nation DAO vote to remove Sifu as Wonderlandβs treasury manager? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 190.21 | 0.00% | -0.3858 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 15 2022 | β | 73.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.39 | Trades | |
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 248.96 | 0.00% | 0.7075 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 248.96 | Wed Feb 28 2024 | β | -176.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.83 | Trades | |
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 385K for the week ending on August 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 12 2021 | β | 71.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.76 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | 71.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.15 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from March to April 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 11 2022 | β | 70.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.23 | Trades | ||
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | β | 69.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.75 | Trades | ||
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | β | 69.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.37 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 373K for the week ending on July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | 69.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.22 | Trades | ||
Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2021 Tour de France? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.50% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | β | 69.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.21 | Trades | ||
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $45 on May 17, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 17 2021 | β | 68.13 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 69.06 | Trades | ||
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
2.94% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 60.48 | 7.32 | 0.00 | 67.80 | Trades | |||||||
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | β | 67.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.20 | Trades | ||
Will the Ronin Network hacker return 90% or more of exploited funds by April 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 14 2022 | β | 67.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.09 | Trades | ||
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 67.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.03 | Trades | ||
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $36 on April 27, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 27 2021 | β | 66.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.86 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump mention the word βriggedβ on his communications platform by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 66.53 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 66.54 | Trades | ||
UFC 272: Who will win - Colby Covington or Jorge Masvidal? | Covington | Masvidal | 265.84 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7523 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 265.84 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 05 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.84 | Trades | |
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 64.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.82 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 199,043.52 | 0.00 | 8.16% | -0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | 64.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.70 | Trades | |
Will the Boeing CST-100 Starliner Spacecraft successfully dock with the ISS before August 6? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | β | 64.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.50 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 720K for the week ending on April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 15 2021 | β | 64.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.43 | Trades | ||
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yeah | Nope | 0.00 | 13.60 | 0.00% | -3.6524 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 13.60 | Mon Jul 25 2022 | β | 49.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.25 | Trades | |
Will OpenSea have more volume in February β22 than it did in January β22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 02 2022 | β | 63.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.22 | Trades | ||
Will Rainbow airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 673.48 | 0.00% | 0.9061 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 673.48 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -610.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.21 | Trades | |
Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | 61.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.22 | Trades | ||
Will Messi score a goal on his PSG debut? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 59.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.60 | Trades | |||
What will the price of $MATIC be on September 3, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 03 2021 | β | 59.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.49 | Trades | ||
Will Milady outperform BAYC? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 441.78 | 0.00% | -0.1327 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | 58.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.63 | Trades | |
Will the Bongcloud be played during the FTX Crypto Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 58.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.21 | Trades | ||
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 989.39 | 0.00% | 0.9680 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 989.39 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -957.70 | 26.12 | 0.01 | 57.82 | Trades | |
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -147.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.40 | Trades | |
Will Solana Network go down in January? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,300.00 | 0.00% | 0.9563 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,300.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -1,243.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.80 | Trades | |
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | 56.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.78 | Trades | ||
Will the GΓ€vle Goat be destroyed in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.7300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 205.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -149.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.35 | Trades | |
Will Cryptarbitrage win the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 154.45 | 0.00% | 0.6475 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 154.45 | Thu Jul 29 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.45 | Trades | |
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 71.81 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2592 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 71.81 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -18.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.19 | Trades | |
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 26 2022 | β | 53.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.00 | Trades | ||
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | 51.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.60 | Trades | ||
Will UST (TerraUSD) lose its peg by March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 50.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.84 | Trades | ||
Will OlympusDAO (Ohm) suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 339.95 | 0.32% | 0.8512 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 339.95 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -289.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.58 | Trades | |
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 49.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.77 | Trades | ||
What will The Weekndβs Nifty Gateway drop generate in total sales? | Less than $5M $5M to less than $10M $10M to less than $20M $20M to less than $30M $30M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Apr 05 2021 | β | 49.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.35 | Trades | ||||||
Will Osmosis suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 898.53 | 0.00% | 0.9460 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 898.53 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -850.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.53 | Trades | |
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Warren Buffett or Sergey Brin? | Warren Buffett | Sergey Brin | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 20 2022 | β | 48.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.42 | Trades | ||
Will Lido suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 901.00 | 0.00% | 0.9479 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 901.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -854.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.94 | Trades | |
Will Robert Leshner or Anthony Pompliano win in their CryptoChamps chess match? | Leshner | Pompliano | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | 46.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.04 | Trades | ||
Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.69% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 44.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.51 | Trades | ||
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 30 2022 | β | 44.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.46 | Trades | ||
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 488.40 | 0.00% | 0.9090 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 488.40 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -443.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.45 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 20 ETH on February 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 68.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3624 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 68.98 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 01 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.98 | Trades | |
Will Friend Tech fall off? | Yes | No | 244.97 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8220 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 244.97 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 17 2023 | β | -201.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.60 | Trades | |
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 42.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.90 | Trades | ||
Will Evil Geniuses or Cloud 9 win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 19, 2021? | Evil Geniuses | Cloud 9 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 19 2021 | β | 42.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.85 | Trades | ||
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | β | 41.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.58 | Trades | ||
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | β | 41.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.50 | Trades | ||
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14.56 | 0.00% | -2.8141 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | β | 40.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.96 | Trades | |
Will CMS Intern make it to the final table of the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 600.00 | 0.00% | 0.9317 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 600.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | -559.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.96 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8637 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 01 2023 | β | -259.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.90 | Trades | |
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,742.28 | 0.00% | -0.0148 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 40.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.48 | Trades | |
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | β | 40.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.14 | Trades | ||
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -460.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 | Trades | |
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 419.00 | 0.00% | 0.9055 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 419.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -379.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.61 | Trades | |
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 194.68 | 0.00% | 0.7977 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 194.68 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -155.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.38 | Trades | |
Will Kim Kardashian announce sheβs pregnant by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 238.10 | 0.00% | 0.8400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 238.10 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.10 | Trades | |
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 38.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.06 | Trades | ||
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 37.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.99 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace launch before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 800.00 | 0.00% | 0.9527 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 800.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -762.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.83 | Trades | |
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 37.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.83 | Trades | ||
Will Tadej PogaΔar win the 2023 Tour de France? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 381.68 | 0.00% | 0.9021 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 381.68 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | β | -344.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.37 | Trades | |
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | 37.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.23 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | β | 37.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.13 | Trades | ||
Saga airdrop By March 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.6300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Fri Mar 01 2024 | β | -63.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.00 | Trades | |
Who will win Clippers vs. Mavericks: Game 3? | Clippers | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 28 2021 | β | 36.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.58 | Trades | ||
Will Basquiat's "In this Case" sell for more than 70 million? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | 36.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.14 | Trades | ||
US military intervention by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 555.00 | 0.00% | 0.9359 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 555.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -519.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.59 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 831.28 | 0.00% | 0.9574 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 831.28 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | -795.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.42 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 79.94 | 0.00% | -0.4403 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | β | 35.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.20 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 67.13 | 0.00% | 0.4802 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 67.13 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -32.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.90 | Trades | |
Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs | Eagles | Chiefs | 100.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.3486 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 12 2023 | β | 34.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.86 | Trades | |
Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 10 2021 | β | 34.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.56 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 34.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.16 | Trades | ||
Will the Wormhole hacker return 69% or more of the exploited funds by February 9th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 400.00 | 0.00% | 0.9147 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 400.00 | Wed Feb 09 2022 | β | -365.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.11 | Trades | |
Will Loomdart make it to the final table of the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 599.94 | 0.00% | 0.9450 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 599.94 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | -566.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.03 | Trades | |
Will Robert Colescottβs βGeorge Washington Carver Crossing the Delawareβ sell for more than $12 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 32.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.60 | Trades | ||
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? | Lee Jae-myung | Yoon Seok-youl | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 09 2022 | β | 32.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.52 | Trades | ||
NFL Thursday: Commanders vs. Bears | Commanders | Bears | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 13 2022 | β | 31.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.80 | Trades | ||
Will Brad McClelland be in the winning couple on Love Island UK Season 7? | Yes | No | 17.57 | 0.00 | 0.21% | -1.7916 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 31.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.48 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 98,683.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 29.11 | 2.29 | 0.00 | 31.40 | Trades | |
Will the Netherlands or the Czech Republic qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Netherlands | Czech Republic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 27 2021 | β | 31.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.35 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | 31.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.17 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 31.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.08 | Trades | ||
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 479.83 | 0.00% | 0.9353 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 479.83 | Tue Dec 12 2023 | β | -448.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.06 | Trades | |
Will Mark Rothkoβs βUntitledβ sell for more than $40 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 30.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.70 | Trades | ||
Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 30 2023 | β | 30.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.38 | Trades | ||
Will Vitalik Buterin have a CryptoPunk Twitter profile picture before September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 30.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.06 | Trades | ||
Will Aella find someone new to seriously date in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.8500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -170.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.00 | Trades | |
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | 29.12 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 29.24 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.85% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | 29.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.10 | Trades | ||
Will the Paul v. Mayweather fight be stopped early? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 28.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.39 | Trades | ||
Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 13 2022 | β | 27.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.48 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine or England qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? | Ukraine | England | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 03 2021 | β | 27.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.35 | Trades | ||
Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | β | 27.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.34 | Trades | ||
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 26.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.98 | Trades | ||
Will Terra (LUNA) reach $100 again by January 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 349.07 | 0.00% | 0.9231 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 349.07 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | β | -322.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.85 | Trades | |
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Wed May 11 2022 | β | 26.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.70 | Trades | ||
Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.76% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 22.91 | 3.23 | 0.00 | 26.14 | Trades | ||
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? | Yes | No | 12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -2.1642 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 25.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.97 | Trades | |
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYCβs $APE token be higher than $2 billion a week after its launch? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | β | 25.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.81 | Trades | ||
Will Su Zhu make it to the final table of the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | 25.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.64 | Trades | ||
Will NASA conduct a sustained flight of Ingenuity on Mars by April 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 12 2021 | β | 25.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.60 | Trades | ||
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 24.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.98 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | 24.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.80 | Trades | ||
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 79.85 | 0.00% | 0.6896 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 79.85 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -55.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.78 | Trades | |
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 24.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.60 | Trades | ||
Will βBlockFi Yieldβ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 73.87 | 0.00% | 0.6769 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 73.87 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.87 | Trades | |
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 23.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.81 | Trades | ||
Will Ryland Storms KO, TKO, or retire Tanner Fox? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | 23.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.72 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 23.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.67 | Trades | ||
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 347.87 | 0.00% | 0.9328 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 347.87 | Tue Feb 28 2023 | β | -324.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.37 | Trades | |
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | β | 22.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.99 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 22.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.48 | Trades | ||
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0444 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | 22.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.19 | Trades | |
Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 113.75 | 0.00% | 0.8093 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 113.75 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -92.05 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 22.09 | Trades | |
Will the price of $TITAN be above $5 on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.22 | 0.00 | 10.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 22.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.07 | Trades | ||
Binance insolvent in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.8900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -178.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.00 | Trades | |
Will Naomi Osaka win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,200.00 | 0.00% | 0.9818 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,200.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | -1,178.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.88 | Trades | |
Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 12 2021 | β | 21.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.81 | Trades | ||
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00% | 0.07 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 21.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.78 | Trades | |||
Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | β | 21.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.38 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 21.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.34 | Trades | ||
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? | Yes | No | 25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 15 2023 | β | -4.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.75 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,174.27 | 0.00% | 0.9823 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,174.27 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | -1,153.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.74 | Trades | |
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMaskβs $MASK token be higher than $20 Billion a week after its launch? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | 20.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.41 | Trades | ||
Will Manchester City win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 62.76 | 0.00% | 0.6789 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 62.76 | Sat May 28 2022 | β | -42.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.15 | Trades | |
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | 20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.00 | Trades | ||
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 328.39 | 0.00% | 0.9401 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 328.39 | Fri Aug 25 2023 | β | -308.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.67 | Trades | |
Will Uniswap be live on Polygon before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 19.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.66 | Trades | ||
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on December 23, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 44.47 | 0.00% | 0.5622 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 44.47 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.47 | Trades | |
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 448.23 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9575 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 448.23 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -429.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.07 | Trades | |
Did Kevin O'Leary bail out SBF? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.8100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | -81.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.00 | Trades | |
Will Magnus Carlsen or Daniil Dubov win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? | Carlsen | Dubov | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | 18.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.10 | Trades | ||
Will the Knicks or the Hawks win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 17.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.83 | Trades | ||
Will Banksyβs βLove is in the Airβ sell for more than $5 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 17.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.49 | Trades | ||
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.5 ppm on July 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | β | 17.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.32 | Trades | ||
Will the Jets beat the Eagles by more than 4 points in their NFL preseason matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 27 2021 | β | 16.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.93 | Trades | ||
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 16.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.92 | Trades | ||
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 92.61 92.61 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 92.61 0.00 |
β | -76.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.62 | Trades | |||||||
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8.33% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 04 2021 | β | 16.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.44 | Trades | ||
Will Tucker interview Putin? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.9200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 205.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -188.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.40 | Trades | |
Will a Crypto Twitter Fish win the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 586.26 | 0.00% | 0.9722 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 586.26 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | -569.94 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 16.37 | Trades | |
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 15 2022 | β | 16.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.32 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 16.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.20 | Trades | ||
Who will score more points in Clippers vs. Suns Game 5: Paul George or Devin Booker? | George | Booker | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 28 2021 | β | 15.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.91 | Trades | ||
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9686 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -484.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.68 | Trades | |
Rainbow airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | 15.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.54 | Trades | |||
Will Hop Protocol airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 315.08 | 0.00% | 0.9522 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 315.08 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.08 | Trades | |
OpenAI board out by end of week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 26 2023 | β | 15.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.04 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | β | 12.77 | 2.05 | 0.00 | 14.82 | Trades | ||
What will the price of $SOL (Solana) be on June 24? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.6891 | 0.16 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 83.66 | Thu Jun 24 2021 | β | -68.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.75 | Trades | |
NHL: Will the Golden Knights beat the Sharks by more than 1.5 goals in their March 1 matchup (10 PM ET)? | Yes | No | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 14.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.58 | Trades | ||
What rating will theneedledrop give Drakeβs "Certified Lover Boy"? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.33 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 14.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.45 | Trades | |||
What will the ETH floor price of Loot (for Adventurers) be on September 21, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.12 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 21 2021 | β | 14.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.16 | Trades | ||
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | β | 13.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.70 | Trades | ||||||
Will Zerion airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 258.25 | 0.00% | 0.9476 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 258.25 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -244.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.52 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 7 ETH on January 12? | Yes | No | 400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9663 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 400.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | -386.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.50 | Trades | |
Will FaZe or NaβVi win their ESL matchup on August 31? | FaZe | Na'Vi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | 13.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.16 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Kings by more than 7.5 points in their March 5 (5 PM ET) matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 05 2022 | β | 13.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.15 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 80 ETH on March 4, 2022? | Yes | No | 313.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9583 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 313.05 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 04 2022 | β | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.05 | Trades | |
Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 2? | Bucks | Heat | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | 12.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.97 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 12.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.80 | Trades | ||
Will MakerDAO suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 462.77 | 0.00% | 0.9724 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 462.77 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -450.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.77 | Trades | |
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 32.65 | 0.00% | 0.6126 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 32.65 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.65 | Trades | |
Will Declan Rice sign for Chelsea on or before August 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | 12.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.52 | Trades | ||
Will a 2nd monkeypox case be reported in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 12.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.45 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 299.99 | 0.00% | 0.9589 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 299.99 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -287.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.33 | Trades | |
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 12.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.30 | Trades | ||
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | β | 12.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.07 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.9400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | β | -188.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.00 | Trades | |
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | 11.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.99 | Trades | |||
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 11.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.97 | Trades | ||
Will Caitlyn Jenner announce she is running for CA Governor by May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 11.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.84 | Trades | ||
Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,999.99 | 0.00% | 0.9941 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,999.99 | Mon May 02 2022 | β | -1,988.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.81 | Trades | |
Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade by April 15? | Yes | No | 106.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8895 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 106.41 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 15 2023 | β | -94.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.76 | Trades | |
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? | Higher | Lower | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 11.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.64 | Trades | ||
Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired before June 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 11.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.24 | Trades | ||
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? | Yes | No | 222.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 222.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -210.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.10 | Trades | |
Will Zapper airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 161.08 | 0.00% | 0.9312 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 161.08 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.08 | Trades | |
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 27 2022 | β | 10.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.12 | Trades | ||
Will Aave suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 360.01 | 0.00% | 0.9722 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 360.01 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -350.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.01 | Trades | |
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 182.61 | 0.00% | 0.9458 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 182.61 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -172.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.90 | Trades | |
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 9.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.80 | Trades | ||
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos? | Elon Musk | Jeff Bezos | 125.77 | 0.00 | 1.09% | 0.9223 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 125.77 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 20 2022 | β | -116.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.77 | Trades | |
Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | 9.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.69 | Trades | ||
Will Binance Coin (BNB) have a higher market cap than Ethereum (ETH) at any time before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 9.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.67 | Trades | ||
Will Opyn airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 299.99 | 0.00% | 0.9684 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 299.99 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -290.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.49 | Trades | |
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | 9.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.44 | Trades | ||
Will Compound suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 209.44 | 0.00% | 0.9549 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 209.44 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.44 | Trades | |
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 316.19 | 0.00% | 0.9702 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 316.19 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | β | -306.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.42 | Trades | |
Will Nate Wyatt KO, TKO, or retire DDG? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | 9.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.37 | Trades | ||
Will Serum suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 334.36 | 0.00% | 0.9720 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 334.36 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -325.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.36 | Trades | |
Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | β | 9.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.35 | Trades | ||
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? | Yes | No | 250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9637 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -240.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09 | Trades | |
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | 8.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.86 | Trades | ||
What will Edward Snowdenβs NFT βStay Freeβ sell for at auction? | Less than $250,000 $250,000-$500,000 $500,000-$750,000 $750,000-$1M $1M-$2M $2M or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Apr 16 2021 | β | 8.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.83 | Trades | ||||||
Will 1 or more games of the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So begin with a knight move? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 8.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.73 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 8.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.68 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | 8.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.62 | Trades | ||
Will Opyn (Squeeth) suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 8.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.57 | Trades | ||
Will Deji KO, TKO, or retire Vinnie Hacker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | 8.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.40 | Trades | ||
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | 8.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.38 | Trades | ||
Will Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | 8.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.36 | Trades | ||
Will Uniswap suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 408.11 | 0.00% | 0.9801 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 408.11 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.11 | Trades | |
Who will win UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal? | Usman | Masvidal | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 24 2021 | β | 3.94 | 4.10 | 0.00 | 8.04 | Trades | ||
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 28 2022 | β | 7.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.96 | Trades | ||
Will 25 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 50% of residents by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | β | 7.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.71 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | β | 7.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.67 | Trades | ||
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 400.00 | 0.00% | 0.9810 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 400.00 | Sun Feb 11 2024 | β | -392.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.60 | Trades | |
Did US GDP grow 2.5% or more in Q1 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Wed Apr 26 2023 | β | 7.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.57 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 150 ETH on April 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | β | 7.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.57 | Trades | ||
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416 ppm on Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | β | 7.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.42 | Trades | ||
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30? | Yes | No | 559.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0131 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 30 2022 | β | 7.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.34 | Trades | |
How much ETH will be burned one month after EIP-1559 was implemented? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.78 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 05 2021 | β | 7.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.32 | Trades | ||
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 38.52 | 0.06% | -0.1882 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 7.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.25 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.93 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | 6.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.20 | Trades | ||
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 7.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.04 | Trades | |||
Will Adam22 and Lena The Plug break up this month? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 31 2023 | β | 7.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.00 | Trades | ||
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 30 2023 | β | 7.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.00 | Trades | ||
Who will win UFC 261: Zhang vs. Namajunas? | Zhang | Namajunas | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 24 2021 | β | 2.76 | 4.08 | 0.00 | 6.84 | Trades | ||
Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | 6.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.81 | Trades | ||
Pudgy Penguins airdrop before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 6.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.75 | Trades | ||
Who will win UFC 261: Hall vs. Weidman? | Hall | Weidman | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 24 2021 | β | 3.86 | 2.86 | 0.00 | 6.72 | Trades | ||
Will Arbitrum suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 206.47 | 0.00% | 0.9687 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 206.47 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.47 | Trades | |
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 496.75 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9874 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 496.75 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | β | -490.49 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 6.27 | Trades | |
Will dYdX suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 206.25 | 0.00% | 0.9697 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 206.25 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25 | Trades | |
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 2, 7:30 PM ET? | Nets | Hawks | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 02 2022 | β | 5.81 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 6.25 | Trades | ||
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | 6.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.15 | Trades | ||
Will Biden drop out by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 16 2024 | β | 6.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.15 | Trades | ||
Will Rafael Nadal win the Roland-Garros (French Open)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | 5.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.95 | Trades | ||
Will Curve suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 399.98 | 0.00% | 0.9853 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 399.98 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -394.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88 | Trades | |
Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | 5.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.87 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 2,084.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0026 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 5.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.45 | Trades | |
What will the fully diluted market cap of Openseaβs token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 5.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.19 | Trades | ||
Will Chainlink suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.17 | 0.00% | 0.9748 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 205.17 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.17 | Trades | |
Will any Knicks game have greater than 20% attendance before the NBA season ends? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 10.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 17 2021 | β | 5.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.12 | Trades | ||
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 | Musk | Zuck | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | ||
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | 4.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.90 | Trades | ||
US bank failure in February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 67.86 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 67.86 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -63.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.75 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 4.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.65 | Trades | ||
Will Tanner Fox KO, TKO, or retire Ryland Storms? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | 4.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.36 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 4.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.31 | Trades | ||
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? | Israel | Palestine | 0.00 | 1.47 | 0.00% | -1.8342 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.47 | Fri Oct 20 2023 | β | 2.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.16 | Trades | |
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | 4.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.14 | Trades | ||
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | 4.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.10 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from February to March 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 11 2023 | β | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 5? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | ||
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 189.79 | 0.00% | 0.9800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 189.79 | Tue Feb 21 2023 | β | -186.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.80 | Trades | |
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 83.95 | 0.00% | 0.9611 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 83.95 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -80.68 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 3.73 | Trades | |
Will the Hornets or the Pacers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Hornets | Pacers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 18 2021 | β | 3.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.58 | Trades | ||
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.70% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | 3.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.46 | Trades | ||
What will the outcome of Elon Muskβs November 6th Twitter Poll be? | Yes | No | 800.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9957 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 800.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 07 2021 | β | -796.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.43 | Trades | |
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMaskβs $MASK token be higher than $10 Billion a week after its launch? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 90.82 | 0.00% | 0.4639 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 45.41 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -42.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.28 | Trades | |
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 204.52 | 0.00% | 0.9840 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 204.52 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -201.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.27 | Trades | |
What will the price of $LINK be on July 15? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | 3.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.12 | Trades | ||
Will RabbitHole airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | ||
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 69.77 | 0.00% | 0.9578 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 69.77 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -66.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.94 | Trades | |
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.5200 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.00 | 262.82 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | -260.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.82 | Trades | ||
Will President Bidenβs first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trumpβs? | Yes | No | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 2.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.69 | Trades | ||
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 2.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.59 | Trades | ||
Will Eliud Kipchoge win gold in the Men's Marathon at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | β | 2.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.58 | Trades | ||
Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? | Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7 Minari Promising Young Woman Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 1.01 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 2.53 | Trades | ||||||
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 55.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0455 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | ||
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 7.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6671 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7.50 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | |
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace be live by June 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | 2.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.45 | Trades | ||
Will the 76ers or the Wizards win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? | 76ers | Wizards | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | β | 2.28 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 2.32 | Trades | ||
Will Arca Ape win the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.9885 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | Thu Jul 29 2021 | β | -197.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.29 | Trades | |
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be on April 9? | 49,999 or fewer 50,000-62,499 62,500-74,999 75,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Apr 09 2021 | β | 2.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.16 | Trades | ||||||
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 97.95 | 0.00% | 0.9780 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 97.95 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -95.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.16 | Trades | |
Will the Wizards or the Celtics win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Wizards | Celtics | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 18 2021 | β | 2.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.12 | Trades | ||
Who will win UFC 267: BΕachowicz vs Teixeira? | BΕachowicz | Teixeira | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 30 2021 | β | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.10 | Trades | ||
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | β | 2.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.05 | Trades | ||
Friend.Tech airdrop in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 2.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.05 | Trades | ||
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 11 2024 | β | 2.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.05 | Trades | ||
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 2.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.05 | Trades | ||
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 31 2024 | 2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.04 | Trades | |||
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $33 on July 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 29 2021 | β | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.98 | Trades | ||
Will ApeCoin (APE) be below $4.20 on 4/20/2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 442,211.73 | -26.15% | 1.0000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 442,211.73 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | β | -442,214.05 | 4.27 | 0.00 | 1.95 | Trades | |
Will the Warriors or the Lakers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Warriors | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | β | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.79 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.75 | Trades | ||
Will Circle IPO by June? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3867 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 7.50 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -5.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.70 | Trades | ||
Will the Nuggets or the Trail Blazers win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 05 2021 | β | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.63 | Trades | ||
Will Fractional airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9846 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -98.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.54 | Trades | |
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | ||
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 95.64 | 0.00% | 0.9849 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 95.64 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -94.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.44 | Trades | |
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 207.98 | 0.00% | 0.9935 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 207.98 | Wed Nov 15 2023 | β | -206.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.34 | Trades | |
Will the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game between Anish Giri and Hikaru Nakamura end in a draw? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.32 | Trades | ||
Will the next recession in the US happen in Q4 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 27 2022 | β | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.27 | Trades | ||
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | β | 1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.26 | Trades | ||||||
Will van Goghβs βLe pont de Trinquetailleβ sell for more than $35 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.12 | Trades | ||
Will the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game between Magnus Carlsen and Alireza Firouzja end in a draw? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 4? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 29 2021 | β | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.95 | Trades | ||
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | β | -19.11 | 19.94 | 0.00 | 0.84 | Trades | ||
Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Koons' βPancakesβ sell for more than $1.5 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 | Trades | ||
Will Axie Infinity's Battles V3 "Axie: Origin" be released by March 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 199.87 | 0.00% | 0.9962 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 199.87 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -199.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.77 | Trades | |
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 75.41 | 0.00% | 0.9900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 75.41 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | -74.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | Trades | |
Will 'The Batman' gross between $120 million and $160 million on the opening weekend in the USA? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.85% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 07 2022 | β | -0.05 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.70 | Trades | ||
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.61 | Trades | ||
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | β | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.59 | Trades | ||
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? | Yes | No | 5.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.10 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 01 2024 | β | -4.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 | Trades | |
Is Google shutting down Gmail? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 500.00 | 0.00% | 0.9990 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 500.00 | Fri Feb 23 2024 | β | -499.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
Did Dustin Moskovitz bail out SBF? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | Sat Apr 01 2023 | β | -14.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.45 | Trades | |
Who will win 3rd place in the FTX Crypto Cup: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Teimour Radjabov? | Nepomniachtchi | Radjabov | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.29% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 | Trades | ||
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -5.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Trades | |
Will Pablo Picassoβs βFemme assise prΓ¨s d'une fenΓͺtre (Marie-ThΓ©rΓ¨se)β sell for more than $55 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.19 | Trades | ||
Will Alexandra Botez/David Hoffman or Leighton Cusack/Cyrus Younessi win their Top Signal 2v2 chess match? | Botez Hoffman | Cusack Younessi | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 12 2021 | β | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.15 | Trades | ||
Will the Berlin Defense be played during the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.04 | 33.33% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | Trades | ||
US travel ban for China in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.84 | 0.00% | 0.9821 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.84 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -5.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | |
Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend? | Space Jam | Black Widow | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | -0.05 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
Who will win Nuggets v. Trail Blazers: Game 5? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.69% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Kings beat the Mavericks by more than 4.5 points in their October 31st matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Who will win the 2021 NBA Finals? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
What will the last digit of total points scored be in Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by March 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | |||
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will US inflation be more than 0.5% from December 2022 to January 2023? | Yes | No | 3.94 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 14 2023 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | |
UFC 280: Who will win - Oliveira vs Makhachev | Oliveira | Makhachev | 2.52 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0013 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 22 2022 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | |
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 01 2025 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | Trades | |||
Will any Friend Tech user's share price be >5 ETH by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 25 2023 | β | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | Trades | ||
Will Hikaru Nakamura get 9 or more points in the preliminaries of the FTX Crypto Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | ||
Will Kees van Dongen's "Danseuse assise" sell for more than $700K at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | β | -0.28 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -0.25 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | β | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbase delist Ripple (XRP) before they begin publicly trading? | Yes | No | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.38 | Trades | ||
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | Trades | ||
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? | Yes | No | 3.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | Trades | |
New lockdown in US? | Yes | No | 25.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0190 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | β | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.48 | Trades | |
What will the price of $SOL be on November 1, 2021? | Long | Short | 511.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.0010 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 511.47 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -511.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | Trades | |
Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,026.86 | 0.00% | 0.0006 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.58 | Trades | |
Will Hikaru Nakamura or Fabiano Caruana win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? | Nakamura | Caruana | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | Trades | ||
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from November to December 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 12 2023 | β | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.60 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 63.88 | 0.00% | 1.0111 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 63.88 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | β | -64.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.71 | Trades | |
Will Hikaru Nakamura win 2 or more times during his May 24 FTX Crypto Cup preliminary games? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.79 | Trades | ||
Will the majority of Germanyβs starters kneel before the Euro 2020 match between Germany and France? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.79 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.79 | Trades | ||
Will Tom Dwan make it to the final table of the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | β | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.79 | Trades | ||
Will the Knicks or the Hawks win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.90 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.90 | Sun May 23 2021 | β | -1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.90 | Trades | ||
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 179.18 | 0.00% | 0.0058 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 22 2023 | β | -1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.04 | Trades | |
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -10.50 | 9.14 | 0.00 | -1.37 | Trades | ||
Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Conference Semifinal Game 2? | Suns | Nuggets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 09 2021 | β | -1.76 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -1.74 | Trades | ||
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,423.67 | 0.00% | 0.0013 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 10 2023 | β | -1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.80 | Trades | |
Will OpenTableβs βSeated diners from online, phone, and walk-in reservationsβ data point for the United States exceed its 2019 baseline by 7% or more by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.87 | Trades | ||
marginfi airdrop by March 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.10 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | -2.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.16 | Trades | ||
Will the Suns or the Lakers win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Suns | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 05 2021 | β | -5.00 | 2.63 | 0.00 | -2.36 | Trades | ||
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.50 | Trades | ||
Will Russian Chess Player Sergey Karjakin be removed or withdraw from the FIDE 2022 Candidates Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 764.89 | 0.00% | 0.0036 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 07 2022 | β | -2.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.75 | Trades | |
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYCβs $APE token be higher than $5 billion a week after its launch? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | β | -2.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.88 | Trades | ||
What will the price of Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be at noon on November 16, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 16 2021 | β | -3.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.14 | Trades | ||
Bitcoin all time high in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 30.00 | 0.00% | 0.1100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | β | -3.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.30 | Trades | |
CZ jail in 2023? | Yes | No | 159.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0220 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -3.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.51 | Trades | |
Will Logan Paul and Nina Agdal's engagement be called off? | Yes | No | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0176 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -3.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.52 | Trades | |
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -3.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.60 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | β | -3.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.66 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 118,540.69 | 3.93% | 0.0000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 30 2021 | β | -3.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.72 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | -3.82 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -3.82 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -3.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.92 | Trades | ||
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 3? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 28 2021 | β | -3.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.96 | Trades | ||
Is John McAfee alive? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |||
Will the winning margin of the 2021 Tour de France be less than 1 minute? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | β | -4.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.02 | Trades | ||
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 5? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -4.33 | 0.26 | 0.00 | -4.08 | Trades | ||
Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.67% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 11 2022 | β | -4.23 | 0.12 | 0.00 | -4.12 | Trades | ||
Will Faze Jarvis KO, TKO, or retire Michael Le? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | -4.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.13 | Trades | ||
Will Gambit or FURIA win their ESL matchup on September 3? | Gambit | FURIA | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 03 2021 | β | -4.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.30 | Trades | ||
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -4.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.38 | Trades | ||
NBA: Who will win the Mavericks vs. Lakers, scheduled for March 1 (10 PM ET)? | Mavericks | Lakers | 92.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.0484 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 92.04 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -96.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.45 | Trades | |
Will Adrian Ghenie's "The Collector I" sell for more than HK$65M at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.53 | 0.00 | -4.47 | Trades | ||
Will Magnus Carlsen or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? | Carlsen | Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | β | -4.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.51 | Trades | ||
Which metaverse token will have a higher market cap on April 17: The Sandbox (SAND) or Decentraland (MANA)? | Yes | No | 190.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5259 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 95.07 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 17 2022 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.93 | Trades | |
Will Dortmund or Man City advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? | Dortmund | Man City | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Spain win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Italy or Spain qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals? | Italy | Spain | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 06 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
Will a team from a minor region reach the 2021 LoL Worlds group stage? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,413.65 | 0.00% | 0.0011 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 09 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will Chelsea win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? | Yes | No | 46.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1086 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 28 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 180.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0277 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? | Yes | No | 201.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0249 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 02 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting? | Yes | No | 248.23 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0201 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 02 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | β | -5.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.31 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | β | -6.56 | 0.98 | 0.00 | -5.58 | Trades | ||
What will the fully diluted market cap of SuperRareβs token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.51 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -5.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.86 | Trades | ||
Did SBF launch BALD? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 15 2023 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
Will the majority of Franceβs starters kneel before the Euro 2020 match between Germany and France? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -6.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.04 | Trades | ||
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 16.94 | 0.00% | 0.4498 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 18 2022 | β | -7.62 | 1.56 | 0.00 | -6.06 | Trades | |
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -6.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.09 | Trades | ||
Will Sheikh Jassim buy Man United in 2023? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -6.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.15 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -6.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.50 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -6.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.79 | Trades | ||
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | -6.82 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -6.79 | Trades | ||
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on May 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6.25% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 04 2021 | β | -7.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.61 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -20.31 | 12.54 | 0.00 | -7.77 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from August to September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 13 2021 | β | -7.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.95 | Trades | ||
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 50.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -8.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.11 | Trades | |
Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -8.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.12 | Trades | ||
GTA 6 release date by end of year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 406.43 | 0.00% | 0.0200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -8.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.13 | Trades | |
Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 26 2024 | β | -8.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.20 | Trades | |
Will any MIT faculty lose their job due to plagiarism in January? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -8.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.20 | Trades | |
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMaskβs $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -8.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.22 | Trades | ||
What will the price of Avalanche (AVAX) be at noon on November 19, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | β | -8.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.32 | Trades | ||
Will Pablo Picassoβs βFemme dans un fauteuilβ sell for more than $20 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | -9.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.18 | Trades | ||
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? | Yes | No | 185.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -9.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.25 | Trades | |
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 325.80 | 0.00% | 0.0293 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | β | -9.54 | 0.09 | 0.00 | -9.45 | Trades | |
Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -9.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.88 | Trades | ||
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? | Yes | No | 494.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -9.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.90 | Trades | |
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 334.40 | 0.00% | 0.0297 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -9.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.93 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
Will Sanyuβs βPotted Chrysanthemumsβ sell for more than HK$120M at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace be live by April 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 312.64 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0320 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Will Terra ($LUNA) or Avalanche ($AVAX) have a higher market cap on March 1st, 2022? | Terra | Avalanche | 0.00 | 28.34 | 0.00% | 0.3529 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 5? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -10.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.18 | Trades | ||
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,478.42 | 0.00% | 0.0032 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 15 2022 | β | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.00 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 19.5 ETH on August 10? | Yes | No | 243.92 | 0.00 | 5.26% | 0.0451 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.00 | Trades | |
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 6? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 30.56 | 0.00% | 0.3712 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | β | -11.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.34 | Trades | |
Who will crowdfund more money: Policeman or Nahel? | Police | Nahel | 0.00 | 414.99 | 0.00% | 0.0273 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 07 2023 | β | -11.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.35 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by December 31? | Yes | No | 17.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | β | -11.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.90 | Trades | |
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 24 2023 | β | -12.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.30 | Trades | ||
Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -12.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.63 | Trades | ||
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 14 2022 | β | -15.89 | 2.87 | 0.00 | -13.02 | Trades | ||
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? | Yes | No | 202.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0645 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 20 2023 | β | -13.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.06 | Trades | |
Will the Spurs or the Grizzlies win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Spurs | Grizzlies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | β | -13.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.10 | Trades | ||
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -13.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.13 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | -14.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.31 | Trades | ||
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 18.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.7683 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 18.63 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -32.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.32 | Trades | |
Who will win Canadiens v. Golden Knights: Semifinals Game 3? | Canadiens | Golden Knights | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | β | -14.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.56 | Trades | ||
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2020 Chess Fide Candidates Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -14.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.97 | Trades | ||
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 25 2024 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 6? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 03 2021 | β | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | ||
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 299.99 | 0.00% | 1.0508 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 299.99 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -315.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.23 | Trades | |
Base airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 22.22 | 0.00% | 0.7255 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | -16.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.12 | Trades | ||
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 15 2023 | β | -16.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.40 | Trades | |
Will Kaz Kamwi be in the winning couple on Love Island UK Season 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -16.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.71 | Trades | |||
Will Nicki Minaj get the COVID-19 vaccine by November 29th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | -16.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.75 | Trades | ||
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -17.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.10 | Trades | ||
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? | Yes | No | 236.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0744 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | β | -17.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.57 | Trades | |
Will the first letter in SBFβs next tweet be βPβ? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 185.63 | 0.00% | 0.0999 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 30 2022 | β | -18.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.55 | Trades | |
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? | Yes | No | 17.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1187 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -19.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.13 | Trades | |
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -19.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.91 | Trades | ||
Will Cy Twomblyβs βUntitled (Rome)β sell for more than $45 million at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
Will the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game between Anish Giri and Magnus Carlsen end in a draw? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
NHL: Will the Maple Leafs beat the Coyotes by more than 1.5 goals in their January 12 matchup? | Yes | No | 38.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5250 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Feb 12 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be under 69 ETH on 4/20/2022? | Yes | No | 125.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1590 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -20.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.26 | Trades | |||
What will the price of $DYDX be on September 29, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.99 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 29 2021 | β | -20.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.62 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 99.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2098 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | -20.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.77 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -22.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.99 | Trades | ||
Drift airdrop by March 1? | Yes | No | 232.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0999 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 27 2024 | β | -23.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.18 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? | Yes | No | 330.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0747 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 02 2023 | β | -24.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.65 | Trades | |
Will Emily Ratajkowskiβs NFT go for more than $2 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | β | -24.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.92 | Trades | ||
Will the Pacers or the Wizards win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Pacers | Wizards | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | ||
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 68.64 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3642 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
Will Crypto.com's $CRO price be above $0.80 at noon on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 223.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1119 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 255.02 | 0.00% | 0.1461 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -37.26 | 12.03 | 0.00 | -25.23 | Trades | |
SBF guilty of all charges? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 70.92 | 0.00% | 0.3566 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -25.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.29 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 32.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7981 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | -25.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.94 | Trades | |
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -26.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -26.07 | Trades | ||
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? | Yes | No | 410.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0660 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -27.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.06 | Trades | |
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Lakers by more than 4.5 points in their March 1 (10 PM ET) matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.61 | 0.00% | 0.1803 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -27.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.16 | Trades | |
Will 3 or more of Dan Arielyβs papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -27.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.62 | Trades | ||
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -27.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.68 | Trades | ||
Tether Insolvent in 2024? | Yes | No | 190.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1458 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -27.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.73 | Trades | ||
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 40.44 | 0.00% | 0.6994 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -28.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -28.29 | Trades | |
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 345.00 | 0.00% | 0.0843 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -29.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.10 | Trades | |
Will Georges Seurat's βPaysage et personnagesβ sell for more than $8 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | -29.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.24 | Trades | ||
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0590 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -29.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.50 | Trades | |
Will The Queen's Gambit win the Emmy Award for Best Limited Series?Β | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 19 2021 | β | -29.56 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -29.53 | Trades | ||
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.84 | 0.00% | 0.1989 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 75.30 | 0.00% | 0.3984 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 01 2023 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
What will the ETH floor price of Bored Apes be on September 21, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.39 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 21 2021 | β | -30.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.05 | Trades | ||
Ledger hacker identified by end of 2023? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -30.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.75 | Trades | |
Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebookβs decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -31.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.36 | Trades | ||
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? | Yes | No | 138.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | β | -31.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.77 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 06 2021 | β | -32.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.33 | Trades | ||
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1600 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 15 2023 | β | -32.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.80 | Trades | |
Who will win 76ers vs. Wizards: Game 3? | 76ers | Wizards | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | β | -46.66 | 12.82 | 0.00 | -33.84 | Trades | ||
What will the price of $LINK be on April 27, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 27 2021 | β | -34.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -34.91 | Trades | ||
Rainbow airdrop by March 1? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 01 2024 | β | -36.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.00 | Trades | |
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 333.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1080 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -36.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.00 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | -36.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.22 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | -36.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.30 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -36.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.45 | Trades | ||
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? | Yes | No | 233.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1572 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 02 2023 | β | -36.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.65 | Trades | |
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 622.00 | 0.00% | 0.0596 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -37.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.06 | Trades | ||
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? | Yes | No | 5.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 7.0620 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -37.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.39 | Trades | |
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -37.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.60 | Trades | ||
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? | Yes | No | 144.66 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2617 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -37.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.85 | Trades | ||
Who will get more airtime in Episode 41 of the All In Podcast: David Sacks or Jason Calacanis? | Calacanis | Sacks | 217.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1743 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -37.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.92 | Trades | ||
Will PSG or Bayern advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? | PSG | Bayern | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | ||
Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $40 on November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 118.32 | 0.00% | 0.3381 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -40.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.83 | Trades | ||
Wormhole airdrop by March 1? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -41.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -41.00 | Trades | |
What will the price of $ETH be on June 22? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | β | -41.91 | 0.33 | 0.00 | -41.58 | Trades | ||
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 369.31 | 0.00% | 0.1160 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 17 2023 | β | -42.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -42.83 | Trades | |
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -43.80 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -43.79 | Trades | ||
SBF sentenced to life? | Yes | No | 1,109.59 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0401 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -44.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -44.49 | Trades | |
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 23 2023 | β | -45.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.01 | Trades | ||
Will zkSync have a token by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -46.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -46.04 | Trades | ||
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 201.00 | 0.00% | 0.2300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 01 2024 | β | -46.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -46.23 | Trades | |
OpenSea token in 2024? | Yes | No | 120.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | -48.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.00 | Trades | ||
Will Hikaru Nakamura or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? | Nakamura | Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | β | -48.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.98 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 14 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 360K for the week ending on July 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2021 Sinquefield Cup? | Yes | No | 102.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4876 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? | Yes | No | 87.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5706 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 12 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 86.40 | 0.00% | 0.5787 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 95.48 | 0.00% | 0.5237 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will Alex and Natalie win "Proof of Love"? | Yes | No | 182.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2739 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | β | -51.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -51.00 | Trades | ||
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00% | 0.1800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 15 2024 | β | -54.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.00 | Trades | |
Aevo airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 805.00 | 0.00% | 0.0673 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | β | -54.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.20 | Trades | |
Will Ja Morant be suspended for more than 45 games? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 01 2023 | β | -55.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | -56.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -56.50 | Trades | ||
Will Unslashed Insurance payout for an Anchor + UST depeg by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | β | -57.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -57.36 | Trades | ||
Zvbear arrested before February? | Yes | No | 1,205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0483 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -58.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -58.20 | Trades | |
Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3? | Kim Kardashian | Taylor Swift | 0.00 | 103.85 | 0.00% | 0.5775 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 03 2022 | β | -59.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -59.98 | Trades | |
Blast airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 282.00 | 0.00% | 0.2133 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | -60.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.14 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 22 2022 | β | -61.51 | 0.95 | 0.00 | -60.56 | Trades | ||
What will the price of $MATIC be on June 17? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 740.00 | 0.00% | 0.6360 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 407.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | -470.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -63.67 | Trades | |
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 70.00 | 0.00% | 0.9329 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | -65.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -65.30 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 268.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | β | -67.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -67.00 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.56% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | β | -67.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -67.46 | Trades | ||
Chess: Will the Van't Kruijs Opening (1. e3) be played at 2021 FIDE World Rapid Championship Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 28 2021 | β | -67.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -67.63 | Trades | ||
Will Ben Armstrong regain control of BitBoy Crypto by EOY? | Yes | No | 506.17 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1360 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -68.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -68.81 | Trades | |
Rabby airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 456.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1510 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | -68.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -68.90 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 400K for the week ending on July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | -70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -70.00 | Trades | ||
Will Dylan and Peter win "Proof of Love"? | Yes | No | 251.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2787 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -70.00 | Trades | |
Will Surojit Chatterjee or Tekin Salimi win in their CryptoChamps Semifinals chess match? | Chatterjee | Salimi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | β | -74.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -74.34 | Trades | ||
Will The Sandbox or Decentraland have a higher floor price on February 1st, 2022? | Sandbox | Decentraland | 201.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3721 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 01 2022 | β | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -75.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.06 | Trades | ||
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? | Yes | No | 645.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1175 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -75.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.83 | Trades | |
AL Division Series: Twins vs. Astros | Twins | Astros | 200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 12 2023 | β | -76.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -76.00 | Trades | |
Will Milady flip Azuki by Aug 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 220.00 | 0.00% | 0.3466 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -76.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -76.25 | Trades | |
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 97.24 | 0.00% | 0.7935 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | β | -77.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -77.16 | Trades | |
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1 on May 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | -77.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -77.50 | Trades | ||
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.00 | 0.00% | 1.5275 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -229.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -79.13 | Trades | |
NHL: Will the Bruins beat the Canadiens by more than 2.5 goals in their January 12 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 142.36 | 0.00% | 0.5619 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Feb 12 2022 | β | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | -80.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.42 | Trades | ||
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 178.82 | 0.00% | 0.4517 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | -80.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.78 | Trades | |
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from March to April 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.4100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 09 2023 | β | -82.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -82.00 | Trades | |
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 101.68 | 0.00% | 0.8295 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | β | -84.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -84.35 | Trades | |
Who will win Nuggets v. Trail Blazers: Game 6? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 03 2021 | β | -84.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -84.94 | Trades | ||
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 495.97 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1714 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -85.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -85.00 | Trades | |
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 682.06 | 0.00% | 0.1246 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -85.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -85.00 | Trades | |
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.00 | 0.00% | 0.3400 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 01 2024 | β | -85.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -85.00 | Trades | |
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -86.06 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -86.04 | Trades | ||
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? | Yes | No | 800.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1089 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -87.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -87.09 | Trades | ||
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? | Yes | No | 419.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2235 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 17 2022 | β | -93.77 | 6.43 | 0.00 | -87.34 | Trades | |
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? | NVIDIA | 199.24 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 01 2024 | β | -87.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -87.66 | Trades | ||
George Santos expelled in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.4400 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -88.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -88.00 | Trades | |
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? | McGregor | Poirier | 175.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5123 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | -89.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -89.81 | Trades | |
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 5? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 02 2021 | β | -90.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -90.00 | Trades | ||
Will Spotify report at least 164m total premium subscribers in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 306.49 | 0.00% | 0.2936 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -90.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -90.00 | Trades | ||
Will TSM or Immortals win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 20, 2021? | TSM | Immortals | 0.00 | 332.31 | 0.00% | 0.2708 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | β | -90.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -90.00 | Trades | |
Friend.Tech airdrop before May? | Yes | No | 325.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2775 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 30 2024 | -90.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -90.20 | Trades | ||
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -91.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -91.42 | Trades | ||
Blast airdrop by May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 615.00 | 0.00% | 0.4567 | 0.69 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 189.23 | Wed May 31 2023 | -280.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -91.62 | Trades | ||
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Knicks by more than 6.5 points in their March 4 (10 PM ET) matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 04 2022 | β | -93.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -93.80 | Trades | ||
House control after 2024 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.4600 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -94.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -94.30 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,416.28 | 0.00% | 0.0399 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | β | -96.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -96.45 | Trades | |
Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
Will Roy Lichtensteinβs βInterior: Perfect Pitcherβ sell for more than $30 million at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from September to October 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 305.20 | 0.00% | 0.3277 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 10 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? | Yes | No | 179.38 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5575 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $1 on its 1st day of trading? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 204.16 | 0.00% | 0.4898 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -101.26 | 0.38 | 0.00 | -100.88 | Trades | ||
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 184.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5483 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -101.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -101.15 | Trades | |
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sothebyβs auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 101.02 | 0.00% | 2.0060 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 101.02 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | β | -202.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -101.62 | Trades | |
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.62 | 0.00% | 19.5812 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -109.98 | 7.97 | 0.00 | -102.01 | Trades | |
Will US inflation be more than 0.4% from December 2022 to January 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 337.18 | 0.00% | 0.3096 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 14 2023 | β | -104.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -104.39 | Trades | |
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | -104.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -104.54 | Trades | ||
FTX claims worth >75Β’ on the dollar by end of Q1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 210.25 | 0.00% | 0.4999 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -105.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -105.10 | Trades | |
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 120.88 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8916 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | β | -107.78 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -107.76 | Trades | |
Will a Korean team win LOL Worlds 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 179.49 | 0.00% | 0.6100 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 19 2023 | β | -109.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -109.49 | Trades | |
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | -109.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -109.96 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 565.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1946 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -110.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -110.00 | Trades | |
MarginFi airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.5400 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | -110.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -110.70 | Trades | ||
Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 26 2021 | β | -112.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -112.51 | Trades | ||
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.5500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -112.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -112.75 | Trades | |
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? | Yes | No | 957.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1227 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -117.49 | 4.61 | 0.00 | -112.88 | Trades | |
Will Chelsea qualify for next season's Champions League? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | β | -116.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -116.37 | Trades | ||
What will US GDP growth be in Q1 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -116.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -116.91 | Trades | ||
Will SBF testify? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 411.30 | 0.00% | 0.2926 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | β | -120.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -120.35 | Trades | |
Jupiter airdrop in 2023? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -120.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -120.95 | Trades | |
Will US inflation be greater than 0.4% from January to February 2023? | Yes | No | 291.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4308 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 13 2023 | β | -125.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -125.37 | Trades | |
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 656.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1917 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -125.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -125.85 | Trades | |
Will the Nuggets sweep the Heat? | Yes | No | 600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 11 2023 | β | -126.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -126.00 | Trades | |
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 447.10 | 0.00% | 0.2873 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 01 2023 | β | -128.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -128.44 | Trades | |
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.6500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -130.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -130.00 | Trades | ||
Fed rate cut by June 12? | Yes | No | 205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6420 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 12 2024 | -131.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -131.61 | Trades | ||
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 207.47 | 0.00% | 0.6441 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -133.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -133.64 | Trades | |
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.6700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -137.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -137.35 | Trades | |
Will Joseph Delong announce heβs leaving SushiSwap as CTO beforeΒ 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -139.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -139.80 | Trades | ||
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? | Yes | No | 654.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2151 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 26 2023 | β | -140.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -140.70 | Trades | |
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -141.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -141.00 | Trades | ||
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.00 | 0.00% | 0.7200 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -144.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -144.00 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | β | -145.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -145.96 | Trades | ||
Lions vs. Rams | Lions | Rams | 0.00 | 370.07 | 0.00% | 0.3963 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 14 2024 | β | -146.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -146.66 | Trades | |
zkSync airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 407.49 | 0.00% | 0.3649 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | -148.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -148.70 | Trades | ||
Will Daniel Alegre change pfp by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.7300 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | -149.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -149.65 | Trades | ||
Will there be over 220,000 encounters at the US-Mexico border in August 2021? | Yes | No | 285.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5250 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | |
Will Team Liquid or 100 Thieves win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 21, 2021? | Team Liquid | 100 Thieves | 0.00 | 454.67 | 0.00% | 0.3299 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 21 2021 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | |
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? | Yes | No | 602.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2533 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -152.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -152.46 | Trades | |
Will Miso Robotics expand its restaurant partnerships in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -153.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -153.15 | Trades | ||
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 544.69 | 0.00% | 0.2943 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -160.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -160.30 | Trades | |
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.7900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 07 2023 | β | -161.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -161.95 | Trades | |
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -162.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -162.66 | Trades | ||
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 166.33 | 0.00% | 0.9781 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 10 2023 | β | -162.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -162.69 | Trades | |
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on Halloween? | Yes | No | 304.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5382 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | β | -163.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -163.62 | Trades | |
Will Optimism have a token by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 129.90 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.2609 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -163.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -163.80 | Trades | |
Parcl airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 916.00 | 0.00% | 0.1791 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | -164.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -164.04 | Trades | ||
Tensor airdrop by March 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.8200 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -168.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -168.10 | Trades | |
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? | Yes | No | 410.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4100 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -168.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -168.10 | Trades | |
Will Arbitrum have a token by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 250.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6728 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -168.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -168.22 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | β | -170.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -170.06 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 591.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2988 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -176.74 | 6.61 | 0.00 | -170.13 | Trades | |
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 394.51 | 0.00% | 0.4323 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 15 2022 | β | -170.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -170.55 | Trades | |
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -171.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -171.93 | Trades | ||
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 410.00 | 0.00% | 0.4200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 31 2024 | β | -172.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -172.20 | Trades | |
Which cryptocurrency will have a higher market cap on March 15: Terra ($LUNA) or Solana ($SOL)? | Terra | Solana | 0.00 | 270.81 | 0.00% | 0.6394 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -173.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -173.15 | Trades | |
Fed rate cut by May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 01 2024 | -173.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -173.45 | Trades | |||
Fed rate cut by July 31? | Yes | No | 204.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 31 2024 | -173.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -173.68 | Trades | ||
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 222.00 | 0.00% | 0.7900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -175.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -175.38 | Trades | |
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | -179.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -179.63 | Trades | ||
Aleo airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3003 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | -180.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -180.20 | Trades | ||
Taiko airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 715.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2548 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -182.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -182.20 | Trades | ||
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.8900 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -182.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -182.45 | Trades | ||
Will David Hoffman say the word βfundamentalsβ in the first 5 minutes of the debate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 629.81 | 0.00% | 0.7904 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 314.90 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -497.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -182.90 | Trades | |
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,226.70 | 0.00% | 0.1531 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | β | -187.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -187.76 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 69 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 515.15 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3670 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | β | -189.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -189.05 | Trades | |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 205.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -190.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -190.65 | Trades | ||
Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -193.91 | 0.12 | 0.00 | -193.79 | Trades | ||
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8? | Yes | No | 222.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 08 2023 | β | -199.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -199.80 | Trades | |
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Lakers by more than 5.5 points in their March 5 (8 PM ET) matchup? | Yes | No | 389.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5139 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 05 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | |
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from March to April 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 458.25 | 0.00% | 0.4364 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 11 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | |
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 291.63 | 0.00% | 0.6992 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -203.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -203.89 | Trades | |
Instacart market cap >20b? | Yes | No | 1,115.79 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1835 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -204.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -204.78 | Trades | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 491.00 | 0.00% | 0.4210 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 13 2023 | β | -206.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -206.72 | Trades | |
How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09% | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | β | -216.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -216.79 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | β | -217.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -217.53 | Trades | ||
Who will win Jazz vs. Grizzlies: Game 5? | Jazz | Grizzlies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 02 2021 | β | -218.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -218.81 | Trades | ||
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? | Yes | No | 410.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5350 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -219.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -219.35 | Trades | ||
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | Yes | No | 368.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6111 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -225.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -225.10 | Trades | ||
Canada federal election in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 312.00 | 0.00% | 0.7300 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -227.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -227.76 | Trades | ||
Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -245.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -245.64 | Trades | ||
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? | Yes | No | 500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | β | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -250.00 | Trades | |
UFC 285: Who will win - Jones or Gane? | Jones | Gane | 0.00 | 600.00 | 0.00% | 0.4250 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 04 2023 | β | -255.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -255.00 | Trades | |
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? | Yes | No | 344.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7441 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 30 2024 | -256.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -256.00 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.83 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | -256.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -256.08 | Trades | |||
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | β | -270.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -270.87 | Trades | ||
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 534.13 | 0.00% | 0.5169 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -276.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -276.10 | Trades | |
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.90 | 0.00% | 71.7007 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -279.42 | 0.06 | 0.00 | -279.36 | Trades | |
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 475.75 | 0.00% | 0.5951 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -283.14 | 0.10 | 0.00 | -283.04 | Trades | |
Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 590.00 | 0.00% | 0.4814 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 01 2024 | -284.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -284.05 | Trades | ||
ErdoΔan >93Β’ on May 26? | Yes | No | 819.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3476 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 26 2023 | β | -284.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -284.70 | Trades | |
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 494.39 | 0.00% | 0.6412 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | β | -316.99 | 17.81 | 0.01 | -299.17 | Trades | |
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -333.08 | 1.59 | 0.00 | -331.49 | Trades | ||
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -337.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -337.25 | Trades | ||
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 506.52 | 0.00% | 0.6721 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | β | -340.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -340.44 | Trades | |
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 572.56 | 0.00% | 0.6113 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 14 2022 | β | -350.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -350.00 | Trades | |
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | -353.14 | 0.27 | 0.00 | -352.87 | Trades | ||
Fed rate cut by March 20? | Yes | No | 405.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9040 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 20 2024 | β | -366.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -366.10 | Trades | |
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 538.43 | 0.00% | 0.7006 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -377.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -377.20 | Trades | |
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 757.67 | 0.00% | 0.5113 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | β | -387.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -387.41 | Trades | |
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 788.63 | 0.00% | 0.5072 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 29 2022 | β | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -400.00 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.57% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | -496.52 | 73.30 | 0.00 | -423.22 | Trades | ||
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -437.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -437.20 | Trades | ||
Hyperliquid airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 675.00 | 0.00% | 0.6548 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | -442.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -442.00 | Trades | ||
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 600.00 | 0.00% | 0.7583 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | β | -455.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -455.00 | Trades | |
Saga airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 804.07 | 0.00% | 0.6198 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 28 2024 | β | -498.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -498.34 | Trades | |
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 673.31 | 0.00% | 0.7425 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | -499.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -499.94 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.92 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -500.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.53 | Trades | |||
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.69 | 0.00% | 62.1139 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 16 2022 | β | -539.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -539.93 | Trades | |
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 600.00 | 0.00% | 0.9250 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | -555.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -555.00 | Trades | ||
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 615.00 | 0.00% | 0.9267 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | -569.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -569.90 | Trades | ||
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 705.00 | 0.00% | 0.8442 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -595.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -595.15 | Trades | ||
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | Yes | No | 686.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8736 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -599.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -599.39 | Trades | |
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? | Yes | No | 1,208.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5079 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 31 2024 | -613.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -613.53 | Trades | ||
Ethena airdrop by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 870.00 | 0.00% | 0.7170 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -623.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -623.75 | Trades | ||
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 805.00 | 0.00% | 0.8223 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -661.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -661.95 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | -723.27 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -723.25 | Trades | ||
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 2,074.13 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.3771 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | β | -782.25 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -782.24 | Trades | |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,247.81 | 0.00% | 0.4731 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | -1,063.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,063.44 | Trades | |
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -1,516.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,516.01 | Trades | ||
Resolved | 13,877.97 | 494,619.36 | -486,274.79 | 508.88 | 0.04 | 22,731.45 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 7.50 | 452.07 | -9,224.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8,765.25 | ||||||||||||
Total | 13,885.47 | 495,071.43 | -495,499.62 | 508.88 | 0.04 | 13,966.21 |