Polymarket Whales

πŸŒ™ β˜€

Account

Trades

Etherscan
PolygonScan

Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… 2,991.72 0.00 0.00 2,991.72 Trades
What will monthly NFT trading volume be on April 13, 2021? $80M or Less
$81-105M
$106-120M
$121-135M
$136M or More
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
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0.00
Tue Apr 13 2021 βœ… 1,551.18 0.00 0.00 1,551.18 Trades
Sui Airdrop by May 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 βœ… 1,334.00 0.00 0.00 1,334.00 Trades
Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? Yes No 526.74 0.00 0.00% -1.2373 1.00 0.00 526.74 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 651.76 0.00 0.00 1,178.50 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 1,127.07 0.00 0.00 1,127.07 Trades
Aella: Will more men report they were spanked than women? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 1,017.35 0.00 0.00 1,017.35 Trades
Did Justin Sun bail out SBF? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… 1,003.45 0.00 0.00 1,003.45 Trades
Tails Never Fails Parlay Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 βœ… 850.00 0.00 0.00 850.00 Trades
Will Layer Zero have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 997.99 0.00% 0.1759 0.00 1.00 0.00 997.99 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… -175.54 0.00 0.00 822.46 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 1,310.55 0.00 0.00% 0.3948 1.00 0.00 1,310.55 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -517.46 0.00 0.00 793.08 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 3,105.49 0.00% 0.7519 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,105.49 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -2,335.16 0.00 0.00 770.33 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 733.36 0.00 0.00 733.36 Trades
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… 678.00 0.00 0.00 678.00 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… 635.62 0.07 0.00 635.69 Trades
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… 603.98 0.00 0.00 603.98 Trades
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 βœ… 577.50 0.00 0.00 577.50 Trades
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.41 0.00% -129.3282 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 βœ… 569.71 0.00 0.00 569.72 Trades
Will Bing's market share be >4% in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… 556.11 0.00 0.00 556.11 Trades
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 555.00 0.00 0.00 555.00 Trades
What will the price of @balajis on bitclout be on July 18? Long Short 0.00 1,122.69 0.00% 0.4486 0.08 0.92 0.00 1,036.92 Sun Jul 18 2021 βœ… -503.66 0.00 0.00 533.26 Trades
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 531.73 0.00 0.00 531.73 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… 505.00 0.00 0.00 505.00 Trades
Buccaneers vs. Eagles Buccaneers Eagles 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 βœ… 503.22 0.00 0.00 503.22 Trades
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod? Do Kwon Sensei Algod 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 14 2023 βœ… 502.32 0.00 0.00 502.32 Trades
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 490.61 0.00 0.00 490.61 Trades
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… 466.70 0.00 0.00 466.70 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… 408.99 0.00 0.00 408.99 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 787.28 0.00 0.00% 0.4856 1.00 0.00 787.28 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 βœ… -382.34 0.00 0.00 404.94 Trades
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? Paul Woodley 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 29 2021 βœ… 378.35 22.68 0.00 401.03 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 βœ… 400.40 0.00 0.00 400.40 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 6,592.11 0.00% 0.9396 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,592.11 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -6,194.10 0.00 0.00 398.01 Trades
Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 382.02 0.06 0.00 382.08 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 376.98 0.00 0.00 376.98 Trades
Will Kanye release β€˜Vultures’ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 βœ… 369.00 0.00 0.00 369.00 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 363.71 0.00 0.00 363.71 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… 362.00 0.00 0.00 362.00 Trades
Will Basquiat’s β€œVersus Medici” sell for more than $50 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 12.50% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… 352.73 0.00 0.00 352.73 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 352.10 0.00 0.00 352.10 Trades
What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? Long Short 0.00 492.93 0.00% 0.3100 0.00 1.00 0.00 492.93 Sat Jun 26 2021 βœ… -152.79 0.00 0.00 340.13 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 407.29 0.00 0.00% 0.3133 1.00 0.00 407.29 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -127.61 41.11 0.00 320.79 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 βœ… 319.69 0.00 0.00 319.69 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 14 2021 βœ… 319.07 0.00 0.00 319.07 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 4th: $DOGE or $SHIB? Dogecoin Shiba Inu 0.00 0.00 1.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 04 2021 βœ… 316.64 0.00 0.00 316.64 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% 0.5557 0.00 1.00 0.00 700.00 Sun May 21 2023 βœ… -389.00 0.00 0.00 311.00 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 0.00 607.72 0.00% 0.5294 0.00 1.00 0.00 607.72 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -321.72 0.00 0.00 286.00 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 283.87 0.00% -0.9772 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 βœ… 277.40 0.00 0.00 277.40 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 11 2021 βœ… 259.88 2.01 0.00 261.89 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 423.50 0.00 0.00% -0.5389 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 228.21 33.52 0.00 261.73 Trades
Will Iron Finance’s Overall TVL be above $2 billion on July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.04 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 259.72 0.00 0.00 259.72 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… 258.57 0.00 0.00 258.57 Trades
Will Meltem Demirors say "inflows" at least 5 times during the debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 256.85 0.00 0.00 256.85 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 46.82 0.00 0.00% -5.4023 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 βœ… 252.92 0.00 0.00 252.92 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… 252.05 0.07 0.00 252.12 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… 250.77 0.15 0.00 250.92 Trades
Will EIP-4844 be implemented by EOY? Yes No 0.00 624.03 0.00% 0.5988 0.00 1.00 0.00 624.03 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -373.67 0.00 0.00 250.36 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 244.22 0.00 0.00 244.22 Trades
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 βœ… 235.32 0.00 0.00 235.32 Trades
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 βœ… 234.73 0.41 0.00 235.14 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 βœ… 234.30 0.00 0.00 234.30 Trades
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 350.00 0.00% 0.3367 0.00 1.00 0.00 350.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -117.85 0.00 0.00 232.15 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 βœ… 231.00 0.00 0.00 231.00 Trades
Binance announces $RLB listing by Aug 18? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 βœ… 230.88 0.00 0.00 230.88 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 348K for the week ending on August 21? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 26 2021 βœ… 224.18 0.00 0.00 224.18 Trades
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal? Yes No 0.00 3,241.72 0.00% -0.0689 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 223.31 0.72 0.00 224.02 Trades
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 223.50 0.00 0.00 223.50 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 222.00 0.00 0.00 222.00 Trades
Will Claude Monet’s β€œWaterloo Bridge” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… 217.59 0.00 0.00 217.59 Trades
What will Pak’s Sotheby’s auction generate in total sales? Less than $20M
$20M to less than $45M
$45M to less than $70M
$70M or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
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Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… 215.97 0.00 0.00 215.97 Trades
Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 212.80 0.00 0.00 212.80 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 423.12 0.00 0.00% 0.5011 1.00 0.00 423.12 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -212.01 0.00 0.00 211.12 Trades
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? Yes No 0.00 855.07 0.00% 0.7604 0.00 1.00 0.00 855.07 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -650.19 0.00 0.00 204.88 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 2,000.01 0.00% -0.1018 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 203.62 0.00 0.00 203.62 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 6.18 0.00 0.00% -32.3732 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 βœ… 199.98 0.00 0.00 199.99 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 0.00 317.39 0.00% 0.3900 0.00 1.00 0.00 317.39 Mon Oct 30 2023 βœ… -123.78 0.00 0.00 193.61 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… 193.13 0.00 0.00 193.13 Trades
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 30 2021 βœ… 191.97 0.00 0.00 191.97 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œfolks” in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… 191.53 0.00 0.00 191.53 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 263.99 0.00 0.00% 0.3585 1.00 0.00 263.99 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -94.64 21.21 0.00 190.56 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 βœ… 189.41 0.00 0.00 189.41 Trades
Will EIP-3756 "Gas Limit Cap" be accepted prior to January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 945.68 0.00% 0.8180 0.00 1.00 0.00 945.68 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -773.59 14.71 0.00 186.80 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 364K for the week ending on July 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 08 2021 βœ… 184.13 0.00 0.00 184.13 Trades
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on April 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 05 2021 βœ… 178.82 0.00 0.00 178.82 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 βœ… 176.29 0.00 0.00 176.29 Trades
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? Yes No 628.63 0.00 0.00% 0.7384 1.00 0.00 628.63 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… -464.20 6.64 0.00 171.07 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 0.00 2,700.00 0.00% 0.9367 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,700.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -2,529.00 0.00 0.00 171.00 Trades
New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March? Yes No 0.00 446.92 0.00% 0.6175 0.00 1.00 0.00 446.92 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -275.97 0.00 0.00 170.95 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 180.00 0.00% -0.9484 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 170.71 0.00 0.00 170.71 Trades
Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 βœ… 166.91 0.00 0.00 166.91 Trades
What will the fully diluted market cap of dYdX's token be 1 week after it starts trading? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 165.85 0.00 0.00 165.86 Trades
What rating will theneedledrop give Clairo's 'Sling'? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.72 0.28 0.00 0.00 βœ… 164.07 0.15 0.00 164.22 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 163.88 0.00 0.00 163.88 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 219.25 0.00% 0.2813 0.00 1.00 0.00 219.25 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -61.66 0.00 0.00 157.59 Trades
What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 153.87 0.03 0.00 153.90 Trades
Berachain airdrop by June 30? Yes No 285.33 0.00 0.00% -0.5220 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 148.95 0.00 0.00 148.95 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 1.0% from February to March 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 12 2022 βœ… 147.51 0.00 0.00 147.51 Trades
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 296.17 0.00% -0.4910 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 145.42 0.00 0.00 145.42 Trades
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 142.42 0.00 0.00 142.42 Trades
Drift airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 327.00 0.00% -0.4341 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 141.96 0.00 0.00 141.96 Trades
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3000 1.00 0.00 200.00 0.00 Sat Nov 18 2023 βœ… -60.00 0.00 0.00 140.00 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? Yes No 260.17 0.00 0.00% -0.5244 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… 136.44 0.00 0.00 136.44 Trades
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 17 2021 βœ… 136.18 0.00 0.00 136.18 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? Yes No 0.00 389.05 0.05% 0.6522 0.00 1.00 0.00 389.05 Fri Aug 26 2022 βœ… -253.72 0.00 0.00 135.33 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 102.40 0.00 0.00% -1.2931 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 20 2021 βœ… 132.41 0.20 0.00 132.62 Trades
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… 132.00 0.00 0.00 132.00 Trades
Will Nick White say "modular" at least 10 times during the debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 130.87 0.00 0.00 130.87 Trades
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 βœ… 127.61 3.08 0.00 130.69 Trades
Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 67.41 0.00 0.00% -0.9230 1.00 0.00 67.41 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… 62.22 0.00 0.00 129.63 Trades
Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 128.75 0.00 0.00 128.75 Trades
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $5 on its 1st day of trading? Yes No 0.00 326.66 0.00% 0.6123 0.00 1.00 0.00 326.66 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 126.66 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 124.51 0.03 0.00 124.54 Trades
Who will win the Champions League Final: Man City or Chelsea? Man City Chelsea 0.00 0.00 8.33% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 29 2021 βœ… 124.52 0.00 0.00 124.52 Trades
Will $LINK (Chainlink) be above $27 on July 1? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.3803 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… -76.05 0.00 0.00 123.95 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $10 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 173.65 0.00 0.00% 0.2876 1.00 0.00 173.65 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… -49.93 0.00 0.00 123.72 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.5900 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -177.00 0.00 0.00 123.00 Trades
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? Jake Paul Anderson Silva 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 29 2022 βœ… 121.99 0.00 0.00 121.99 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 βœ… 121.41 0.00 0.00 121.41 Trades
Will β€œmeta” be included in Facebook’s new name? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 βœ… 119.79 0.00 0.00 119.79 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? Yes No 0.00 218.08 0.00% 0.4585 0.00 1.00 0.00 218.08 Wed Aug 31 2022 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 118.08 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,048.95 0.00% 0.8904 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,048.95 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -933.99 0.00 0.00 114.96 Trades
Will a French cyclist win the Tour de France polka dot jersey? Yes No 0.00 241.42 0.00% 0.5242 0.00 1.00 0.00 241.42 Sun Jul 18 2021 βœ… -126.56 0.00 0.00 114.86 Trades
Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record? Yes No 193.11 0.00 0.00% -0.5929 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 114.49 0.00 0.00 114.49 Trades
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 170 Gwei on April 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 19 2021 βœ… 111.69 0.02 0.00 111.71 Trades
Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be 5.15% or higher on April 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 25 2021 βœ… 111.67 0.00 0.00 111.67 Trades
Will Andy Warhol’s β€œMarilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… 111.34 0.20 0.00 111.54 Trades
Will there be a Mega Millions jackpot winner on July 29? Yes No 738.73 0.00 0.00% 0.8497 1.00 0.00 738.73 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 βœ… -627.72 0.00 0.00 111.01 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 βœ… 110.70 0.00 0.00 110.70 Trades
Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… 110.43 0.00 0.00 110.43 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 106.49 0.00 0.00 106.49 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 139.25 0.00% 0.2447 0.00 1.00 0.00 139.25 Wed Sep 21 2022 βœ… -34.08 0.00 0.00 105.18 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… 102.90 0.04 0.00 102.93 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 205.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 βœ… -102.50 0.00 0.00 102.50 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 0.81 101.06 0.00 101.87 Trades
Will the Indexed Finance hacker return 90% or more of the exploited funds by October 26th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 26 2021 βœ… 100.87 0.44 0.00 101.32 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 βœ… 98.94 0.00 0.00 98.94 Trades
Will Phantom airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 391.74 0.00% 0.7500 0.00 1.00 0.00 391.74 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -293.79 0.00 0.00 97.95 Trades
Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? Yes No 374.14 0.00 0.00% 0.7431 1.00 0.00 374.14 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 βœ… -278.02 0.07 0.00 96.19 Trades
Blur airdrop by Nov 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 βœ… 96.04 0.00 0.00 96.04 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 95.06 0.00 0.00 95.06 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Blitmaps be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 βœ… 94.61 0.00 0.00 94.61 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 651.28 0.00 0.00% 0.8558 1.00 0.00 651.28 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -557.37 0.00 0.00 93.92 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 304.48 0.00 0.00% 0.7091 1.00 0.00 304.48 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -215.91 0.00 0.00 88.57 Trades
UFC Fight San Diego: Who will win - Vera vs. Cruz? Vera Cruz 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 13 2022 βœ… 86.92 0.00 0.00 86.92 Trades
Will the AAVE governance proposal AIP 22 pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 16.67% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 85.50 0.00 0.00 85.50 Trades
NFL Monday: Bears vs. Patriots Bears Patriots 108.48 0.00 0.00% 0.2305 1.00 0.00 108.48 0.00 Mon Oct 24 2022 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 83.48 Trades
Will PNAS retract Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 80.60 0.00 0.00 80.60 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $4500 by November 11th? Yes No 179.91 0.00 0.00% 0.5558 1.00 0.00 179.91 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 79.91 Trades
Will Elon Musk tweet β€œDoge” or β€œDogecoin” before March 19, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 18 2022 βœ… 78.72 0.00 0.00 78.72 Trades
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… 77.18 0.61 0.00 77.78 Trades
Will TSM or Cloud 9 win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 22, 2021? TSM Cloud 9 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 22 2021 βœ… 77.77 0.00 0.00 77.77 Trades
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 72.00 0.00% -0.0705 0.00 1.00 0.00 72.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 5.08 0.00 0.00 77.08 Trades
Will Joan Miró’s β€œFemme (Femme debout)” sell for more than $10 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… 76.54 0.00 0.00 76.54 Trades
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? Yes No 175.49 0.00 0.00% 0.5698 1.00 0.00 175.49 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 75.49 Trades
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 βœ… 72.04 2.11 0.00 74.15 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 1,481.12 0.00 0.00% 0.9501 1.00 0.00 1,481.12 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -1,407.15 0.02 0.00 73.98 Trades
Will Frog Nation DAO vote to remove Sifu as Wonderland’s treasury manager? Yes No 0.00 190.21 0.00% -0.3858 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 βœ… 73.39 0.00 0.00 73.39 Trades
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Yes No 0.00 248.96 0.00% 0.7075 0.00 1.00 0.00 248.96 Wed Feb 28 2024 βœ… -176.13 0.00 0.00 72.83 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 385K for the week ending on August 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 12 2021 βœ… 71.76 0.00 0.00 71.76 Trades
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 βœ… 71.15 0.00 0.00 71.15 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 βœ… 70.23 0.00 0.00 70.23 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 βœ… 69.75 0.00 0.00 69.75 Trades
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 βœ… 69.37 0.00 0.00 69.37 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 373K for the week ending on July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 βœ… 69.22 0.00 0.00 69.22 Trades
Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2021 Tour de France? Yes No 0.00 0.00 12.50% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 18 2021 βœ… 69.21 0.00 0.00 69.21 Trades
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $45 on May 17, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 17 2021 βœ… 68.13 0.93 0.00 69.06 Trades
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? 0
1
2
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.94% 0.33
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
βœ… 60.48 7.32 0.00 67.80 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 13 2021 βœ… 67.20 0.00 0.00 67.20 Trades
Will the Ronin Network hacker return 90% or more of exploited funds by April 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 14 2022 βœ… 67.09 0.00 0.00 67.09 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 67.03 0.00 0.00 67.03 Trades
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $36 on April 27, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 27 2021 βœ… 66.85 0.00 0.00 66.86 Trades
Will Donald Trump mention the word β€œrigged” on his communications platform by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 66.53 0.02 0.00 66.54 Trades
UFC 272: Who will win - Colby Covington or Jorge Masvidal? Covington Masvidal 265.84 0.00 0.00% 0.7523 1.00 0.00 265.84 0.00 Sat Mar 05 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 65.84 Trades
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 64.82 0.00 0.00 64.82 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? Yes No 199,043.52 0.00 8.16% -0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 15 2021 βœ… 64.70 0.00 0.00 64.70 Trades
Will the Boeing CST-100 Starliner Spacecraft successfully dock with the ISS before August 6? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 06 2021 βœ… 64.50 0.00 0.00 64.50 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 720K for the week ending on April 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 15 2021 βœ… 64.43 0.00 0.00 64.43 Trades
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yeah Nope 0.00 13.60 0.00% -3.6524 0.00 1.00 0.00 13.60 Mon Jul 25 2022 βœ… 49.66 0.00 0.00 63.25 Trades
Will OpenSea have more volume in February β€˜22 than it did in January β€˜22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 βœ… 63.22 0.00 0.00 63.22 Trades
Will Rainbow airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 673.48 0.00% 0.9061 0.00 1.00 0.00 673.48 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -610.27 0.00 0.00 63.21 Trades
Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… 61.22 0.00 0.00 61.22 Trades
Will Messi score a goal on his PSG debut? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 59.60 0.00 0.00 59.60 Trades
What will the price of $MATIC be on September 3, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.59 0.41 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 03 2021 βœ… 59.49 0.00 0.00 59.49 Trades
Will Milady outperform BAYC? Yes No 0.00 441.78 0.00% -0.1327 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 58.63 0.00 0.00 58.63 Trades
Will the Bongcloud be played during the FTX Crypto Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 58.21 0.00 0.00 58.21 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 0.00 989.39 0.00% 0.9680 0.00 1.00 0.00 989.39 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -957.70 26.12 0.01 57.82 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7200 1.00 0.00 205.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -147.60 0.00 0.00 57.40 Trades
Will Solana Network go down in January? Yes No 0.00 1,300.00 0.00% 0.9563 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,300.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -1,243.20 0.00 0.00 56.80 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 βœ… 56.78 0.00 0.00 56.78 Trades
Will the GΓ€vle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.7300 0.00 1.00 0.00 205.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -149.65 0.00 0.00 55.35 Trades
Will Cryptarbitrage win the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? Yes No 0.00 154.45 0.00% 0.6475 0.00 1.00 0.00 154.45 Thu Jul 29 2021 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 54.45 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 71.81 0.00 0.00% 0.2592 1.00 0.00 71.81 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -18.62 0.00 0.00 53.19 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 26 2022 βœ… 53.00 0.00 0.00 53.00 Trades
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 03 2021 βœ… 51.60 0.00 0.00 51.60 Trades
Will UST (TerraUSD) lose its peg by March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… 50.84 0.00 0.00 50.84 Trades
Will OlympusDAO (Ohm) suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 339.95 0.32% 0.8512 0.00 1.00 0.00 339.95 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -289.37 0.00 0.00 50.58 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 49.77 0.00 0.00 49.77 Trades
What will The Weeknd’s Nifty Gateway drop generate in total sales? Less than $5M
$5M to less than $10M
$10M to less than $20M
$20M to less than $30M
$30M or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mon Apr 05 2021 βœ… 49.35 0.00 0.00 49.35 Trades
Will Osmosis suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 898.53 0.00% 0.9460 0.00 1.00 0.00 898.53 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -850.00 0.00 0.00 48.53 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Warren Buffett or Sergey Brin? Warren Buffett Sergey Brin 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 βœ… 48.42 0.00 0.00 48.42 Trades
Will Lido suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 901.00 0.00% 0.9479 0.00 1.00 0.00 901.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -854.06 0.00 0.00 46.94 Trades
Will Robert Leshner or Anthony Pompliano win in their CryptoChamps chess match? Leshner Pompliano 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 13 2021 βœ… 46.04 0.00 0.00 46.04 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 7.69% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 44.51 0.00 0.00 44.51 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 βœ… 44.46 0.00 0.00 44.46 Trades
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 488.40 0.00% 0.9090 0.00 1.00 0.00 488.40 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -443.95 0.00 0.00 44.45 Trades
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 20 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 68.98 0.00 0.00% 0.3624 1.00 0.00 68.98 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 43.98 Trades
Will Friend Tech fall off? Yes No 244.97 0.00 0.00% 0.8220 1.00 0.00 244.97 0.00 Sun Sep 17 2023 βœ… -201.37 0.00 0.00 43.60 Trades
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… 42.90 0.00 0.00 42.90 Trades
Will Evil Geniuses or Cloud 9 win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 19, 2021? Evil Geniuses Cloud 9 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 19 2021 βœ… 42.85 0.00 0.00 42.85 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 βœ… 41.58 0.00 0.00 41.58 Trades
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 05 2021 βœ… 41.50 0.00 0.00 41.50 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 14.56 0.00% -2.8141 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… 40.96 0.00 0.00 40.96 Trades
Will CMS Intern make it to the final table of the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.9317 0.00 1.00 0.00 600.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 βœ… -559.04 0.00 0.00 40.96 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8637 1.00 0.00 300.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 βœ… -259.10 0.00 0.00 40.90 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,742.28 0.00% -0.0148 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… 40.48 0.00 0.00 40.48 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… 40.14 0.00 0.00 40.14 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -460.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 419.00 0.00% 0.9055 0.00 1.00 0.00 419.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -379.39 0.00 0.00 39.61 Trades
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 194.68 0.00% 0.7977 0.00 1.00 0.00 194.68 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -155.30 0.00 0.00 39.38 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian announce she’s pregnant by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 238.10 0.00% 0.8400 0.00 1.00 0.00 238.10 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 38.10 Trades
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 βœ… 38.06 0.00 0.00 38.06 Trades
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.45% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 37.99 0.00 0.00 37.99 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace launch before 2022? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.9527 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -762.17 0.00 0.00 37.83 Trades
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 37.82 0.00 0.00 37.83 Trades
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2023 Tour de France? Yes No 0.00 381.68 0.00% 0.9021 0.00 1.00 0.00 381.68 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… -344.31 0.00 0.00 37.37 Trades
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 βœ… 37.23 0.00 0.00 37.23 Trades
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 08 2021 βœ… 37.13 0.00 0.00 37.13 Trades
Saga airdrop By March 1? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… -63.00 0.00 0.00 37.00 Trades
Who will win Clippers vs. Mavericks: Game 3? Clippers Mavericks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 28 2021 βœ… 36.58 0.00 0.00 36.58 Trades
Will Basquiat's "In this Case" sell for more than 70 million? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 βœ… 36.14 0.00 0.00 36.14 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 555.00 0.00% 0.9359 0.00 1.00 0.00 555.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -519.41 0.00 0.00 35.59 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 831.28 0.00% 0.9574 0.00 1.00 0.00 831.28 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… -795.86 0.00 0.00 35.42 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 79.94 0.00% -0.4403 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 βœ… 35.20 0.00 0.00 35.20 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31? Yes No 0.00 67.13 0.00% 0.4802 0.00 1.00 0.00 67.13 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -32.24 0.00 0.00 34.90 Trades
Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs Eagles Chiefs 100.01 0.00 0.00% -0.3486 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 βœ… 34.86 0.00 0.00 34.86 Trades
Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 10 2021 βœ… 34.56 0.00 0.00 34.56 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 34.16 0.00 0.00 34.16 Trades
Will the Wormhole hacker return 69% or more of the exploited funds by February 9th? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.9147 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Wed Feb 09 2022 βœ… -365.88 0.00 0.00 34.11 Trades
Will Loomdart make it to the final table of the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? Yes No 0.00 599.94 0.00% 0.9450 0.00 1.00 0.00 599.94 Fri Jul 30 2021 βœ… -566.91 0.00 0.00 33.03 Trades
Will Robert Colescott’s β€œGeorge Washington Carver Crossing the Delaware” sell for more than $12 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 10.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… 32.60 0.00 0.00 32.60 Trades
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? Lee Jae-myung Yoon Seok-youl 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 βœ… 32.52 0.00 0.00 32.52 Trades
NFL Thursday: Commanders vs. Bears Commanders Bears 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 βœ… 31.80 0.00 0.00 31.80 Trades
Will Brad McClelland be in the winning couple on Love Island UK Season 7? Yes No 17.57 0.00 0.21% -1.7916 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 31.48 0.00 0.00 31.48 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? Yes No 98,683.03 0.00 0.00% -0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 29.11 2.29 0.00 31.40 Trades
Will the Netherlands or the Czech Republic qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? Netherlands Czech Republic 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 27 2021 βœ… 31.35 0.00 0.00 31.35 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 08 2021 βœ… 31.17 0.00 0.00 31.17 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 βœ… 31.08 0.00 0.00 31.08 Trades
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? Yes No 0.00 479.83 0.00% 0.9353 0.00 1.00 0.00 479.83 Tue Dec 12 2023 βœ… -448.77 0.00 0.00 31.06 Trades
Will Mark Rothko’s β€œUntitled” sell for more than $40 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… 30.70 0.00 0.00 30.70 Trades
Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 βœ… 30.38 0.00 0.00 30.38 Trades
Will Vitalik Buterin have a CryptoPunk Twitter profile picture before September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 30.06 0.00 0.00 30.06 Trades
Will Aella find someone new to seriously date in 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -170.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 βœ… 29.12 0.13 0.00 29.24 Trades
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.85% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 βœ… 29.10 0.00 0.00 29.10 Trades
Will the Paul v. Mayweather fight be stopped early? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 28.39 0.00 0.00 28.39 Trades
Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 13 2022 βœ… 27.48 0.00 0.00 27.48 Trades
Will Ukraine or England qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? Ukraine England 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 03 2021 βœ… 27.35 0.00 0.00 27.35 Trades
Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 05 2021 βœ… 27.34 0.00 0.00 27.34 Trades
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… 26.98 0.00 0.00 26.98 Trades
Will Terra (LUNA) reach $100 again by January 10? Yes No 0.00 349.07 0.00% 0.9231 0.00 1.00 0.00 349.07 Mon Jan 10 2022 βœ… -322.22 0.00 0.00 26.85 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 βœ… 26.70 0.00 0.00 26.70 Trades
Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.76% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 25 2021 βœ… 22.91 3.23 0.00 26.14 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 12.00 0.00 0.00% -2.1642 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 25.97 0.00 0.00 25.97 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $2 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… 25.80 0.00 0.00 25.81 Trades
Will Su Zhu make it to the final table of the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 βœ… 25.63 0.00 0.00 25.64 Trades
Will NASA conduct a sustained flight of Ingenuity on Mars by April 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 12 2021 βœ… 25.60 0.00 0.00 25.60 Trades
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 24.98 0.00 0.00 24.98 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… 24.80 0.00 0.00 24.80 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 79.85 0.00% 0.6896 0.00 1.00 0.00 79.85 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -55.06 0.00 0.00 24.78 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 24.60 0.00 0.00 24.60 Trades
Will β€˜BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 73.87 0.00% 0.6769 0.00 1.00 0.00 73.87 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 23.87 Trades
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.63% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 23.81 0.00 0.00 23.81 Trades
Will Ryland Storms KO, TKO, or retire Tanner Fox? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 12 2021 βœ… 23.72 0.00 0.00 23.72 Trades
Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… 23.67 0.00 0.00 23.67 Trades
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28? Yes No 0.00 347.87 0.00% 0.9328 0.00 1.00 0.00 347.87 Tue Feb 28 2023 βœ… -324.50 0.00 0.00 23.37 Trades
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 15 2021 βœ… 22.99 0.00 0.00 22.99 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… 22.48 0.00 0.00 22.48 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0444 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… 22.19 0.00 0.00 22.19 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 113.75 0.00% 0.8093 0.00 1.00 0.00 113.75 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -92.05 0.39 0.00 22.09 Trades
Will the price of $TITAN be above $5 on July 1? Yes No 0.22 0.00 10.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 22.07 0.00 0.00 22.07 Trades
Binance insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -178.00 0.00 0.00 22.00 Trades
Will Naomi Osaka win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 1,200.00 0.00% 0.9818 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,200.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… -1,178.12 0.00 0.00 21.88 Trades
Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 12 2021 βœ… 21.81 0.00 0.00 21.81 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 0.07 0.93 0.00 0.03 Tue Sep 10 2024 21.76 0.00 0.00 21.78 Trades
Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 βœ… 21.38 0.00 0.00 21.38 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 21.34 0.00 0.00 21.34 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 25.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1700 1.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 βœ… -4.25 0.00 0.00 20.75 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,174.27 0.00% 0.9823 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,174.27 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -1,153.53 0.00 0.00 20.74 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $20 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… 20.41 0.00 0.00 20.41 Trades
Will Manchester City win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.00 62.76 0.00% 0.6789 0.00 1.00 0.00 62.76 Sat May 28 2022 βœ… -42.61 0.00 0.00 20.15 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? Yes No 0.00 328.39 0.00% 0.9401 0.00 1.00 0.00 328.39 Fri Aug 25 2023 βœ… -308.73 0.00 0.00 19.67 Trades
Will Uniswap be live on Polygon before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 19.66 0.00 0.00 19.66 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on December 23, 12pm ET? Yes No 0.00 44.47 0.00% 0.5622 0.00 1.00 0.00 44.47 Thu Dec 23 2021 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 19.47 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 448.23 0.00 0.00% 0.9575 1.00 0.00 448.23 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -429.16 0.00 0.00 19.07 Trades
Did Kevin O'Leary bail out SBF? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8100 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -81.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen or Daniil Dubov win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? Carlsen Dubov 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 βœ… 18.10 0.00 0.00 18.10 Trades
Will the Knicks or the Hawks win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… 17.83 0.00 0.00 17.83 Trades
Will Banksy’s β€œLove is in the Air” sell for more than $5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… 17.49 0.00 0.00 17.49 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.5 ppm on July 22, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 βœ… 17.32 0.00 0.00 17.32 Trades
Will the Jets beat the Eagles by more than 4 points in their NFL preseason matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 27 2021 βœ… 16.93 0.00 0.00 16.93 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 βœ… 16.92 0.00 0.00 16.92 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other
0.00
92.61
92.61
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
92.61
0.00
βœ… -76.00 0.00 0.00 16.62 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid? Yes No 0.01 0.00 8.33% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 04 2021 βœ… 16.44 0.00 0.00 16.44 Trades
Will Tucker interview Putin? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 205.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -188.60 0.00 0.00 16.40 Trades
Will a Crypto Twitter Fish win the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? Yes No 0.00 586.26 0.00% 0.9722 0.00 1.00 0.00 586.26 Fri Jul 30 2021 βœ… -569.94 0.04 0.00 16.37 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 βœ… 16.32 0.00 0.00 16.32 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.11 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.11 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 16.09 0.00 0.00 16.20 Trades
Who will score more points in Clippers vs. Suns Game 5: Paul George or Devin Booker? George Booker 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 28 2021 βœ… 15.91 0.00 0.00 15.91 Trades
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9686 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… -484.32 0.00 0.00 15.68 Trades
Rainbow airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 15.54 0.00 0.00 15.54 Trades
Will Hop Protocol airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 315.08 0.00% 0.9522 0.00 1.00 0.00 315.08 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -300.00 0.00 0.00 15.08 Trades
OpenAI board out by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 βœ… 15.04 0.00 0.00 15.04 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… 12.77 2.05 0.00 14.82 Trades
What will the price of $SOL (Solana) be on June 24? Long Short 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.6891 0.16 0.84 0.00 83.66 Thu Jun 24 2021 βœ… -68.91 0.00 0.00 14.75 Trades
NHL: Will the Golden Knights beat the Sharks by more than 1.5 goals in their March 1 matchup (10 PM ET)? Yes No 0.37 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.37 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… 14.21 0.00 0.00 14.58 Trades
What rating will theneedledrop give Drake’s "Certified Lover Boy"? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.33 0.68 0.00 0.00 βœ… 14.45 0.00 0.00 14.45 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Loot (for Adventurers) be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.12 0.88 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 βœ… 14.16 0.00 0.00 14.16 Trades
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? Less than 8M
8M to less than 10M
10M to less than 15M
15M to less than 20M
20M or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sat May 01 2021 βœ… 13.70 0.00 0.00 13.70 Trades
Will Zerion airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 258.25 0.00% 0.9476 0.00 1.00 0.00 258.25 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -244.73 0.00 0.00 13.52 Trades
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 7 ETH on January 12? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9663 1.00 0.00 400.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 βœ… -386.50 0.00 0.00 13.50 Trades
Will FaZe or Na’Vi win their ESL matchup on August 31? FaZe Na'Vi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 βœ… 13.16 0.00 0.00 13.16 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Kings by more than 7.5 points in their March 5 (5 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 05 2022 βœ… 13.15 0.00 0.00 13.15 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 80 ETH on March 4, 2022? Yes No 313.05 0.00 0.00% 0.9583 1.00 0.00 313.05 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 βœ… -300.00 0.00 0.00 13.05 Trades
Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 2? Bucks Heat 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 βœ… 12.97 0.00 0.00 12.97 Trades
Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 12.80 0.00 0.00 12.80 Trades
Will MakerDAO suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 462.77 0.00% 0.9724 0.00 1.00 0.00 462.77 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -450.00 0.00 0.00 12.77 Trades
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? Yes No 0.00 32.65 0.00% 0.6126 0.00 1.00 0.00 32.65 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 12.65 Trades
Will Declan Rice sign for Chelsea on or before August 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 βœ… 12.52 0.00 0.00 12.52 Trades
Will a 2nd monkeypox case be reported in the US by August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… 12.45 0.00 0.00 12.45 Trades
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 299.99 0.00% 0.9589 0.00 1.00 0.00 299.99 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -287.67 0.00 0.00 12.33 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 12.30 0.00 0.00 12.30 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 βœ… 12.07 0.00 0.00 12.07 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 βœ… -188.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 11.99 0.00 0.00 11.99 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… 11.97 0.00 0.00 11.97 Trades
Will Caitlyn Jenner announce she is running for CA Governor by May 31, 2021? Yes No 0.49 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.49 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 11.35 0.00 0.00 11.84 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 0.00% 0.9941 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Mon May 02 2022 βœ… -1,988.19 0.00 0.00 11.81 Trades
Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade by April 15? Yes No 106.41 0.00 0.00% 0.8895 1.00 0.00 106.41 0.00 Sat Apr 15 2023 βœ… -94.65 0.00 0.00 11.76 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? Higher Lower 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 11.64 0.00 0.00 11.64 Trades
Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired before June 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.25% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 11.24 0.00 0.00 11.24 Trades
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? Yes No 222.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9500 1.00 0.00 222.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -210.90 0.00 0.00 11.10 Trades
Will Zapper airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 161.08 0.00% 0.9312 0.00 1.00 0.00 161.08 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -150.00 0.00 0.00 11.08 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 βœ… 10.12 0.00 0.00 10.12 Trades
Will Aave suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 360.01 0.00% 0.9722 0.00 1.00 0.00 360.01 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -350.00 0.00 0.00 10.01 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 0.00 182.61 0.00% 0.9458 0.00 1.00 0.00 182.61 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -172.71 0.00 0.00 9.90 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… 9.80 0.00 0.00 9.80 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos? Elon Musk Jeff Bezos 125.77 0.00 1.09% 0.9223 1.00 0.00 125.77 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 βœ… -116.00 0.00 0.00 9.77 Trades
Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… 9.69 0.00 0.00 9.69 Trades
Will Binance Coin (BNB) have a higher market cap than Ethereum (ETH) at any time before July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 9.67 0.00 0.00 9.67 Trades
Will Opyn airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 299.99 0.00% 0.9684 0.00 1.00 0.00 299.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -290.50 0.00 0.00 9.49 Trades
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 βœ… 9.44 0.00 0.00 9.44 Trades
Will Compound suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 209.44 0.00% 0.9549 0.00 1.00 0.00 209.44 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 9.44 Trades
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 316.19 0.00% 0.9702 0.00 1.00 0.00 316.19 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… -306.78 0.00 0.00 9.42 Trades
Will Nate Wyatt KO, TKO, or retire DDG? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 12 2021 βœ… 9.37 0.00 0.00 9.37 Trades
Will Serum suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 334.36 0.00% 0.9720 0.00 1.00 0.00 334.36 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -325.00 0.00 0.00 9.36 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 26 2021 βœ… 9.35 0.00 0.00 9.35 Trades
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9637 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -240.91 0.00 0.00 9.09 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… 8.86 0.00 0.00 8.86 Trades
What will Edward Snowden’s NFT β€œStay Free” sell for at auction? Less than $250,000
$250,000-$500,000
$500,000-$750,000
$750,000-$1M
$1M-$2M
$2M or More
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Fri Apr 16 2021 βœ… 8.83 0.00 0.00 8.83 Trades
Will 1 or more games of the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So begin with a knight move? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 8.73 0.00 0.00 8.73 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… 8.68 0.00 0.00 8.68 Trades
Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… 8.62 0.00 0.00 8.62 Trades
Will Opyn (Squeeth) suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… 8.57 0.00 0.00 8.57 Trades
Will Deji KO, TKO, or retire Vinnie Hacker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 12 2021 βœ… 8.40 0.00 0.00 8.40 Trades
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… 8.38 0.00 0.00 8.38 Trades
Will Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 03 2021 βœ… 8.36 0.00 0.00 8.36 Trades
Will Uniswap suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 408.11 0.00% 0.9801 0.00 1.00 0.00 408.11 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -400.00 0.00 0.00 8.11 Trades
Who will win UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal? Usman Masvidal 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 24 2021 βœ… 3.94 4.10 0.00 8.04 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 βœ… 7.96 0.00 0.00 7.96 Trades
Will 25 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 50% of residents by July 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 05 2021 βœ… 7.71 0.00 0.00 7.71 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 βœ… 7.67 0.00 0.00 7.67 Trades
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.9810 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 βœ… -392.40 0.00 0.00 7.60 Trades
Did US GDP grow 2.5% or more in Q1 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Apr 26 2023 βœ… 7.56 0.00 0.00 7.57 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 150 ETH on April 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 βœ… 7.57 0.00 0.00 7.57 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416 ppm on Christmas Eve? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 βœ… 7.42 0.00 0.00 7.42 Trades
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30? Yes No 559.62 0.00 0.00% -0.0131 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 βœ… 7.34 0.00 0.00 7.34 Trades
How much ETH will be burned one month after EIP-1559 was implemented? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.78 0.22 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 05 2021 βœ… 7.32 0.00 0.00 7.32 Trades
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? Yes No 0.00 38.52 0.06% -0.1882 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… 7.25 0.00 0.00 7.25 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.93 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.93 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… 6.27 0.00 0.00 7.20 Trades
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 7.04 0.00 0.00 7.04 Trades
Will Adam22 and Lena The Plug break up this month? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 βœ… 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
Who will win UFC 261: Zhang vs. Namajunas? Zhang Namajunas 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 24 2021 βœ… 2.76 4.08 0.00 6.84 Trades
Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 βœ… 6.81 0.00 0.00 6.81 Trades
Pudgy Penguins airdrop before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 6.75 0.00 0.00 6.75 Trades
Who will win UFC 261: Hall vs. Weidman? Hall Weidman 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 24 2021 βœ… 3.86 2.86 0.00 6.72 Trades
Will Arbitrum suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 206.47 0.00% 0.9687 0.00 1.00 0.00 206.47 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 6.47 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 496.75 0.00 0.00% 0.9874 1.00 0.00 496.75 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 βœ… -490.49 0.01 0.00 6.27 Trades
Will dYdX suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 206.25 0.00% 0.9697 0.00 1.00 0.00 206.25 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 6.25 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 2, 7:30 PM ET? Nets Hawks 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 02 2022 βœ… 5.81 0.44 0.00 6.25 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… 6.15 0.00 0.00 6.15 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 βœ… 6.15 0.00 0.00 6.15 Trades
Will Rafael Nadal win the Roland-Garros (French Open)? Yes No 0.00 0.05 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.05 Sun Jun 13 2021 βœ… 5.90 0.00 0.00 5.95 Trades
Will Curve suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 399.98 0.00% 0.9853 0.00 1.00 0.00 399.98 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -394.11 0.00 0.00 5.88 Trades
Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 03 2021 βœ… 5.87 0.00 0.00 5.87 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 2,084.62 0.00 0.00% -0.0026 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… 5.45 0.00 0.00 5.45 Trades
What will the fully diluted market cap of Opensea’s token be 1 week after it starts trading? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 5.19 0.00 0.00 5.19 Trades
Will Chainlink suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 205.17 0.00% 0.9748 0.00 1.00 0.00 205.17 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 5.17 Trades
Will any Knicks game have greater than 20% attendance before the NBA season ends? Yes No 0.00 0.01 10.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 17 2021 βœ… 5.12 0.00 0.00 5.12 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 βœ… 4.90 0.00 0.00 4.90 Trades
US bank failure in February? Yes No 0.00 67.86 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 67.86 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -63.11 0.00 0.00 4.75 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… 4.65 0.00 0.00 4.65 Trades
Will Tanner Fox KO, TKO, or retire Ryland Storms? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 12 2021 βœ… 4.36 0.00 0.00 4.36 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 βœ… 4.31 0.00 0.00 4.31 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 1.47 0.00% -1.8342 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.47 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… 2.69 0.00 0.00 4.16 Trades
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 βœ… 4.14 0.00 0.00 4.14 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… 4.10 0.00 0.00 4.10 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from February to March 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 11 2023 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 5? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 189.79 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 189.79 Tue Feb 21 2023 βœ… -186.00 0.00 0.00 3.80 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 83.95 0.00% 0.9611 0.00 1.00 0.00 83.95 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -80.68 0.46 0.00 3.73 Trades
Will the Hornets or the Pacers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Hornets Pacers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 18 2021 βœ… 3.58 0.00 0.00 3.58 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.70% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 βœ… 3.46 0.00 0.00 3.46 Trades
What will the outcome of Elon Musk’s November 6th Twitter Poll be? Yes No 800.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9957 1.00 0.00 800.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 βœ… -796.57 0.00 0.00 3.43 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $10 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 90.82 0.00% 0.4639 0.50 0.50 0.00 45.41 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -42.13 0.00 0.00 3.28 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 0.00 204.52 0.00% 0.9840 0.00 1.00 0.00 204.52 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -201.25 0.00 0.00 3.27 Trades
What will the price of $LINK be on July 15? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 βœ… 3.12 0.00 0.00 3.12 Trades
Will RabbitHole airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 69.77 0.00% 0.9578 0.00 1.00 0.00 69.77 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -66.83 0.00 0.00 2.94 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.5200 0.47 0.53 0.00 262.82 Fri Nov 08 2024 -260.00 0.00 0.00 2.82 Trades
Will President Biden’s first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trump’s? Yes No 0.85 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… 2.69 0.00 0.00 2.69 Trades
Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 βœ… 2.59 0.00 0.00 2.59 Trades
Will Eliud Kipchoge win gold in the Men's Marathon at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 07 2021 βœ… 2.58 0.00 0.00 2.58 Trades
Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Other
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sun Apr 25 2021 βœ… 1.01 1.52 0.00 2.53 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 55.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0455 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 7.50 0.00 0.00% 0.6671 1.00 0.00 7.50 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by June 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 βœ… 2.45 0.00 0.00 2.45 Trades
Will the 76ers or the Wizards win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? 76ers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 23 2021 βœ… 2.28 0.04 0.00 2.32 Trades
Will Arca Ape win the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9885 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Thu Jul 29 2021 βœ… -197.71 0.00 0.00 2.29 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be on April 9? 49,999 or fewer
50,000-62,499
62,500-74,999
75,000 or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Fri Apr 09 2021 βœ… 2.16 0.00 0.00 2.16 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 97.95 0.00% 0.9780 0.00 1.00 0.00 97.95 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -95.80 0.00 0.00 2.16 Trades
Will the Wizards or the Celtics win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Wizards Celtics 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 18 2021 βœ… 2.12 0.00 0.00 2.12 Trades
Who will win UFC 267: BΕ‚achowicz vs Teixeira? BΕ‚achowicz Teixeira 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 βœ… 2.10 0.00 0.00 2.10 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… 2.05 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 2.05 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 11 2024 βœ… 2.05 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 2.05 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 2.04 0.00 0.00 2.04 Trades
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $33 on July 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 29 2021 βœ… 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… 1.98 0.00 0.00 1.98 Trades
Will ApeCoin (APE) be below $4.20 on 4/20/2022? Yes No 0.00 442,211.73 -26.15% 1.0000 0.00 1.00 0.00 442,211.73 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… -442,214.05 4.27 0.00 1.95 Trades
Will the Warriors or the Lakers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Warriors Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 βœ… 1.79 0.00 0.00 1.79 Trades
Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… 1.75 0.00 0.00 1.75 Trades
Will Circle IPO by June? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3867 0.50 0.50 7.50 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -5.80 0.00 0.00 1.70 Trades
Will the Nuggets or the Trail Blazers win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 05 2021 βœ… 1.63 0.00 0.00 1.63 Trades
Will Fractional airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9846 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -98.46 0.00 0.00 1.54 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 95.64 0.00% 0.9849 0.00 1.00 0.00 95.64 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -94.19 0.00 0.00 1.44 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 207.98 0.00% 0.9935 0.00 1.00 0.00 207.98 Wed Nov 15 2023 βœ… -206.63 0.00 0.00 1.34 Trades
Will the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game between Anish Giri and Hikaru Nakamura end in a draw? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 βœ… 1.32 0.00 0.00 1.32 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen in Q4 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 27 2022 βœ… 1.27 0.00 0.00 1.27 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? 40,999 or fewer
41,000-65,999
66,000-99,999
100,000 or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sat May 15 2021 βœ… 1.26 0.00 0.00 1.26 Trades
Will van Gogh’s β€œLe pont de Trinquetaille” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… 1.12 0.00 0.00 1.12 Trades
Will the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game between Magnus Carlsen and Alireza Firouzja end in a draw? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 βœ… 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.96 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 4? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 29 2021 βœ… 0.95 0.00 0.00 0.95 Trades
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 23 2021 βœ… -19.11 19.94 0.00 0.84 Trades
Which party will control the senate? Republican Democratic 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 βœ… 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.83 Trades
Will Jeff Koons' β€œPancakes” sell for more than $1.5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.83 Trades
Will Axie Infinity's Battles V3 "Axie: Origin" be released by March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 199.87 0.00% 0.9962 0.00 1.00 0.00 199.87 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -199.11 0.00 0.00 0.77 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 75.41 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 75.41 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -74.66 0.00 0.00 0.75 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross between $120 million and $160 million on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.85% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 βœ… -0.05 0.75 0.00 0.70 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.61 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… 0.59 0.00 0.00 0.59 Trades
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? Yes No 5.10 0.00 0.00% 0.9000 1.00 0.00 5.10 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 βœ… -4.59 0.00 0.00 0.51 Trades
Is Google shutting down Gmail? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9990 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 βœ… -499.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Did Dustin Moskovitz bail out SBF? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -14.55 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
Who will win 3rd place in the FTX Crypto Cup: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Teimour Radjabov? Nepomniachtchi Radjabov 0.00 0.00 14.29% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.35 Trades
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2023? Yes No 0.00 6.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -5.70 0.00 0.00 0.30 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso’s β€œFemme assise prΓ¨s d'une fenΓͺtre (Marie-ThΓ©rΓ¨se)” sell for more than $55 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.21 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.19 Trades
Will Alexandra Botez/David Hoffman or Leighton Cusack/Cyrus Younessi win their Top Signal 2v2 chess match? Botez Hoffman Cusack Younessi 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 12 2021 βœ… 0.14 0.02 0.00 0.15 Trades
Will the Berlin Defense be played during the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So? Yes No 0.00 0.04 33.33% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.12 Trades
US travel ban for China in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5.84 0.00% 0.9821 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.84 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -5.74 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend? Space Jam Black Widow 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 βœ… -0.05 0.14 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Who will win Nuggets v. Trail Blazers: Game 5? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.02 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Kings beat the Mavericks by more than 4.5 points in their October 31st matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Who will win the 2021 NBA Finals? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
What will the last digit of total points scored be in Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? Long Short 0.00 0.00 20.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by March 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.02% 0.03 0.97 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.20 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 17 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will US inflation be more than 0.5% from December 2022 to January 2023? Yes No 3.94 0.00 0.02% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 14 2023 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
UFC 280: Who will win - Oliveira vs Makhachev Oliveira Makhachev 2.52 0.00 0.00% 0.0013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 22 2022 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 0.00 0.10 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
Will any Friend Tech user's share price be >5 ETH by Friday? Yes No 0.44 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 βœ… -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.08 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura get 9 or more points in the preliminaries of the FTX Crypto Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 βœ… -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Kees van Dongen's "Danseuse assise" sell for more than $700K at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 14 2021 βœ… -0.28 0.03 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 10 2021 βœ… -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.30 Trades
Will Coinbase delist Ripple (XRP) before they begin publicly trading? Yes No 0.03 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.38 Trades
Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 βœ… -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.43 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 3.65 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.44 Trades
New lockdown in US? Yes No 25.48 0.00 0.00% 0.0190 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 βœ… -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.48 Trades
What will the price of $SOL be on November 1, 2021? Long Short 511.47 0.00 0.00% 1.0010 1.00 0.00 511.47 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… -511.99 0.00 0.00 -0.52 Trades
Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,026.86 0.00% 0.0006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.58 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura or Fabiano Caruana win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? Nakamura Caruana 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 βœ… -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.59 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? Yes No 0.00 0.07 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 βœ… -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.59 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from November to December 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 12 2023 βœ… -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.60 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 63.88 0.00% 1.0111 0.00 1.00 0.00 63.88 Wed Sep 21 2022 βœ… -64.59 0.00 0.00 -0.71 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura win 2 or more times during his May 24 FTX Crypto Cup preliminary games? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 βœ… -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.79 Trades
Will the majority of Germany’s starters kneel before the Euro 2020 match between Germany and France? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.79 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.79 Trades
Will Tom Dwan make it to the final table of the CryptOG Charity Poker Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 βœ… -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.79 Trades
Will the Knicks or the Hawks win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.90 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.90 Sun May 23 2021 βœ… -1.80 0.00 0.00 -0.90 Trades
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? Yes No 0.00 179.18 0.00% 0.0058 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 βœ… -1.04 0.00 0.00 -1.04 Trades
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 βœ… -10.50 9.14 0.00 -1.37 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Conference Semifinal Game 2? Suns Nuggets 0.00 0.00 8.33% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 09 2021 βœ… -1.76 0.01 0.00 -1.74 Trades
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? Yes No 0.00 1,423.67 0.00% 0.0013 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 βœ… -1.80 0.00 0.00 -1.80 Trades
Will OpenTable’s β€œSeated diners from online, phone, and walk-in reservations” data point for the United States exceed its 2019 baseline by 7% or more by November 1, 2021? Yes No 0.21 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.21 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… -2.07 0.00 0.00 -1.87 Trades
marginfi airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -2.10 0.00 0.00 -2.10 Trades
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 βœ… -2.16 0.00 0.00 -2.16 Trades
Will the Suns or the Lakers win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 05 2021 βœ… -5.00 2.63 0.00 -2.36 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -2.50 0.00 0.00 -2.50 Trades
Will Russian Chess Player Sergey Karjakin be removed or withdraw from the FIDE 2022 Candidates Tournament? Yes No 0.00 764.89 0.00% 0.0036 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 07 2022 βœ… -2.75 0.00 0.00 -2.75 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $5 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 βœ… -2.88 0.00 0.00 -2.88 Trades
What will the price of Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be at noon on November 16, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.41 0.59 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 16 2021 βœ… -3.14 0.00 0.00 -3.14 Trades
Bitcoin all time high in 2024? Yes No 0.00 30.00 0.00% 0.1100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 βœ… -3.30 0.00 0.00 -3.30 Trades
CZ jail in 2023? Yes No 159.41 0.00 0.00% 0.0220 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -3.51 0.00 0.00 -3.51 Trades
Will Logan Paul and Nina Agdal's engagement be called off? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0176 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -3.52 0.00 0.00 -3.52 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -3.60 0.00 0.00 -3.60 Trades
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 βœ… -3.66 0.00 0.00 -3.66 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 118,540.69 3.93% 0.0000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 βœ… -3.72 0.00 0.00 -3.72 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… -3.82 0.01 0.00 -3.82 Trades
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -3.92 0.00 0.00 -3.92 Trades
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 3? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 28 2021 βœ… -3.96 0.00 0.00 -3.96 Trades
Is John McAfee alive? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will the winning margin of the 2021 Tour de France be less than 1 minute? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 18 2021 βœ… -4.02 0.00 0.00 -4.02 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 5? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… -4.33 0.26 0.00 -4.08 Trades
Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.67% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 11 2022 βœ… -4.23 0.12 0.00 -4.12 Trades
Will Faze Jarvis KO, TKO, or retire Michael Le? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 12 2021 βœ… -4.13 0.00 0.00 -4.13 Trades
Will Gambit or FURIA win their ESL matchup on September 3? Gambit FURIA 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 03 2021 βœ… -4.30 0.00 0.00 -4.30 Trades
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -4.38 0.00 0.00 -4.38 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Mavericks vs. Lakers, scheduled for March 1 (10 PM ET)? Mavericks Lakers 92.04 0.00 0.00% 1.0484 1.00 0.00 92.04 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -96.50 0.00 0.00 -4.45 Trades
Will Adrian Ghenie's "The Collector I" sell for more than HK$65M at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 βœ… -5.00 0.53 0.00 -4.47 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? Carlsen Nepomniachtchi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun May 23 2021 βœ… -4.51 0.00 0.00 -4.51 Trades
Which metaverse token will have a higher market cap on April 17: The Sandbox (SAND) or Decentraland (MANA)? Yes No 190.13 0.00 0.00% 0.5259 0.50 0.50 95.07 0.00 Sun Apr 17 2022 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -4.93 Trades
Will Dortmund or Man City advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? Dortmund Man City 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Spain win the Euro 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Italy or Spain qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals? Italy Spain 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 06 2021 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will a team from a minor region reach the 2021 LoL Worlds group stage? Yes No 0.00 4,413.65 0.00% 0.0011 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 09 2021 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Chelsea win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 46.05 0.00 0.00% 0.1086 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 180.60 0.00 0.00% 0.0277 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 201.13 0.00 0.00% 0.0249 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 248.23 0.00 0.00% 0.0201 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 02 2021 βœ… -5.31 0.00 0.00 -5.31 Trades
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 βœ… -6.56 0.98 0.00 -5.58 Trades
What will the fully diluted market cap of SuperRare’s token be 1 week after it starts trading? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.51 0.49 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -5.86 0.00 0.00 -5.86 Trades
Did SBF launch BALD? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 βœ… -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will the majority of France’s starters kneel before the Euro 2020 match between Germany and France? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… -6.04 0.00 0.00 -6.04 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 16.94 0.00% 0.4498 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 βœ… -7.62 1.56 0.00 -6.06 Trades
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -6.09 0.00 0.00 -6.09 Trades
Will Sheikh Jassim buy Man United in 2023? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -6.15 0.00 0.00 -6.15 Trades
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… -6.50 0.00 0.00 -6.50 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -6.79 0.00 0.00 -6.79 Trades
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 βœ… -6.82 0.02 0.00 -6.79 Trades
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on May 4, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.01 6.25% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 04 2021 βœ… -7.61 0.00 0.00 -7.61 Trades
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 βœ… -20.31 12.54 0.00 -7.77 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from August to September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 13 2021 βœ… -7.95 0.00 0.00 -7.95 Trades
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? Yes No 50.71 0.00 0.00% 0.1600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -8.11 0.00 0.00 -8.11 Trades
Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -8.12 0.00 0.00 -8.12 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 0.00 406.43 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -8.13 0.00 0.00 -8.13 Trades
Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 26 2024 βœ… -8.20 0.00 0.00 -8.20 Trades
Will any MIT faculty lose their job due to plagiarism in January? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -8.20 0.00 0.00 -8.20 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -8.22 0.00 0.00 -8.22 Trades
What will the price of Avalanche (AVAX) be at noon on November 19, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.67 0.33 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 βœ… -8.32 0.00 0.00 -8.32 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso’s β€œFemme dans un fauteuil” sell for more than $20 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… -9.18 0.00 0.00 -9.18 Trades
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? Yes No 185.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -9.25 0.00 0.00 -9.25 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 325.80 0.00% 0.0293 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 βœ… -9.54 0.09 0.00 -9.45 Trades
Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -9.88 0.00 0.00 -9.88 Trades
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? Yes No 494.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -9.90 0.00 0.00 -9.90 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 334.40 0.00% 0.0297 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -9.93 0.00 0.00 -9.93 Trades
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 22 2021 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Sanyu’s β€œPotted Chrysanthemums” sell for more than HK$120M at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by April 1st, 2022? Yes No 312.64 0.00 0.00% 0.0320 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Terra ($LUNA) or Avalanche ($AVAX) have a higher market cap on March 1st, 2022? Terra Avalanche 0.00 28.34 0.00% 0.3529 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 5? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… -10.18 0.00 0.00 -10.18 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,478.42 0.00% 0.0032 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 βœ… -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 19.5 ETH on August 10? Yes No 243.92 0.00 5.26% 0.0451 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 βœ… -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 6? Bucks Suns 0.00 30.56 0.00% 0.3712 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 βœ… -11.34 0.00 0.00 -11.34 Trades
Who will crowdfund more money: Policeman or Nahel? Police Nahel 0.00 414.99 0.00% 0.0273 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 07 2023 βœ… -11.35 0.00 0.00 -11.35 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by December 31? Yes No 17.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 βœ… -11.90 0.00 0.00 -11.90 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 βœ… -12.30 0.00 0.00 -12.30 Trades
Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -12.63 0.00 0.00 -12.63 Trades
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.01% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 βœ… -15.89 2.87 0.00 -13.02 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 202.56 0.00 0.00% 0.0645 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 βœ… -13.06 0.00 0.00 -13.06 Trades
Will the Spurs or the Grizzlies win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Spurs Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 βœ… -13.10 0.00 0.00 -13.10 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -13.13 0.00 0.00 -13.13 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 βœ… -14.31 0.00 0.00 -14.31 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 18.63 0.00 0.00% 1.7683 1.00 0.00 18.63 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -32.95 0.00 0.00 -14.32 Trades
Who will win Canadiens v. Golden Knights: Semifinals Game 3? Canadiens Golden Knights 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 18 2021 βœ… -14.56 0.00 0.00 -14.56 Trades
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2020 Chess Fide Candidates Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -14.97 0.00 0.00 -14.97 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 6? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 03 2021 βœ… -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 299.99 0.00% 1.0508 0.00 1.00 0.00 299.99 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… -315.23 0.00 0.00 -15.23 Trades
Base airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 22.22 0.00% 0.7255 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -16.12 0.00 0.00 -16.12 Trades
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 βœ… -16.40 0.00 0.00 -16.40 Trades
Will Kaz Kamwi be in the winning couple on Love Island UK Season 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -16.71 0.00 0.00 -16.71 Trades
Will Nicki Minaj get the COVID-19 vaccine by November 29th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 βœ… -16.75 0.00 0.00 -16.75 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -17.10 0.00 0.00 -17.10 Trades
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? Yes No 236.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0744 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… -17.57 0.00 0.00 -17.57 Trades
Will the first letter in SBF’s next tweet be β€œP”? Yes No 0.00 185.63 0.00% 0.0999 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 βœ… -18.55 0.00 0.00 -18.55 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 17.10 0.00 0.00% 1.1187 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -19.13 0.00 0.00 -19.13 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -19.91 0.00 0.00 -19.91 Trades
Will Cy Twombly’s β€œUntitled (Rome)” sell for more than $45 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game between Anish Giri and Magnus Carlsen end in a draw? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Maple Leafs beat the Coyotes by more than 1.5 goals in their January 12 matchup? Yes No 38.10 0.00 0.00% 0.5250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 12 2022 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be under 69 ETH on 4/20/2022? Yes No 125.78 0.00 0.00% 0.1590 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 βœ… -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -20.26 0.00 0.00 -20.26 Trades
What will the price of $DYDX be on September 29, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.99 0.01 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 29 2021 βœ… -20.62 0.00 0.00 -20.62 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 99.01 0.00 0.00% 0.2098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -20.77 0.00 0.00 -20.77 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… -22.99 0.00 0.00 -22.99 Trades
Drift airdrop by March 1? Yes No 232.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0999 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 27 2024 βœ… -23.18 0.00 0.00 -23.18 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 330.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0747 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -24.65 0.00 0.00 -24.65 Trades
Will Emily Ratajkowski’s NFT go for more than $2 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 14 2021 βœ… -24.92 0.00 0.00 -24.92 Trades
Will the Pacers or the Wizards win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Pacers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? Yes No 68.64 0.00 0.00% 0.3642 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 25 2021 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will Crypto.com's $CRO price be above $0.80 at noon on January 1, 2022? Yes No 223.45 0.00 0.00% 0.1119 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 255.02 0.00% 0.1461 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -37.26 12.03 0.00 -25.23 Trades
SBF guilty of all charges? Yes No 0.00 70.92 0.00% 0.3566 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -25.29 0.00 0.00 -25.29 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021? Yes No 32.50 0.00 0.00% 0.7981 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 βœ… -25.94 0.00 0.00 -25.94 Trades
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… -26.07 0.00 0.00 -26.07 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 410.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0660 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -27.06 0.00 0.00 -27.06 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Lakers by more than 4.5 points in their March 1 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 150.61 0.00% 0.1803 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -27.16 0.00 0.00 -27.16 Trades
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -27.62 0.00 0.00 -27.62 Trades
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… -27.68 0.00 0.00 -27.68 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 190.14 0.00 0.00% 0.1458 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -27.73 0.00 0.00 -27.73 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 40.44 0.00% 0.6994 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… -28.29 0.00 0.00 -28.29 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 345.00 0.00% 0.0843 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -29.10 0.00 0.00 -29.10 Trades
Will Georges Seurat's β€œPaysage et personnages” sell for more than $8 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… -29.24 0.00 0.00 -29.24 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0590 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -29.50 0.00 0.00 -29.50 Trades
Will The Queen's Gambit win the Emmy Award for Best Limited Series?Β  Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 19 2021 βœ… -29.56 0.03 0.00 -29.53 Trades
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? Yes No 0.00 150.84 0.00% 0.1989 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 75.30 0.00% 0.3984 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Bored Apes be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.39 0.61 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 βœ… -30.05 0.00 0.00 -30.05 Trades
Ledger hacker identified by end of 2023? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -30.75 0.00 0.00 -30.75 Trades
Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -31.36 0.00 0.00 -31.36 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 138.14 0.00 0.00% 0.2300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -31.77 0.00 0.00 -31.77 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 06 2021 βœ… -32.33 0.00 0.00 -32.33 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 βœ… -32.80 0.00 0.00 -32.80 Trades
Who will win 76ers vs. Wizards: Game 3? 76ers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 29 2021 βœ… -46.66 12.82 0.00 -33.84 Trades
What will the price of $LINK be on April 27, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.52 0.48 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 27 2021 βœ… -34.91 0.00 0.00 -34.91 Trades
Rainbow airdrop by March 1? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… -36.00 0.00 0.00 -36.00 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? Yes No 333.33 0.00 0.00% 0.1080 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -36.00 0.00 0.00 -36.00 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? Yes No 0.02 0.00 4.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 βœ… -36.22 0.00 0.00 -36.22 Trades
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 13 2021 βœ… -36.30 0.00 0.00 -36.30 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -36.45 0.00 0.00 -36.45 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? Yes No 233.16 0.00 0.00% 0.1572 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 02 2023 βœ… -36.65 0.00 0.00 -36.65 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 622.00 0.00% 0.0596 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -37.06 0.00 0.00 -37.06 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 5.30 0.00 0.00% 7.0620 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -37.39 0.00 0.00 -37.39 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -37.60 0.00 0.00 -37.60 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 144.66 0.00 0.00% 0.2617 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -37.85 0.00 0.00 -37.85 Trades
Who will get more airtime in Episode 41 of the All In Podcast: David Sacks or Jason Calacanis? Calacanis Sacks 217.58 0.00 0.00% 0.1743 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -37.92 0.00 0.00 -37.92 Trades
Will PSG or Bayern advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? PSG Bayern 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 13 2021 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $40 on November 15? Yes No 0.00 118.32 0.00% 0.3381 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… -40.00 0.00 0.00 -40.00 Trades
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -40.83 0.00 0.00 -40.83 Trades
Wormhole airdrop by March 1? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -41.00 0.00 0.00 -41.00 Trades
What will the price of $ETH be on June 22? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 βœ… -41.91 0.33 0.00 -41.58 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 369.31 0.00% 0.1160 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 βœ… -42.83 0.00 0.00 -42.83 Trades
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -43.80 0.01 0.00 -43.79 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 1,109.59 0.00 0.00% 0.0401 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -44.49 0.00 0.00 -44.49 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 βœ… -45.01 0.00 0.00 -45.01 Trades
Will zkSync have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… -46.04 0.00 0.00 -46.04 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 0.00 201.00 0.00% 0.2300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 βœ… -46.23 0.00 0.00 -46.23 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 120.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -48.00 0.00 0.00 -48.00 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? Nakamura Nepomniachtchi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 23 2021 βœ… -48.98 0.00 0.00 -48.98 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 14 2021 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 360K for the week ending on July 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2021 Sinquefield Cup? Yes No 102.55 0.00 0.00% 0.4876 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 28 2021 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 87.63 0.00 0.00% 0.5706 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 12 2021 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 86.40 0.00% 0.5787 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? Yes No 0.00 95.48 0.00% 0.5237 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will Alex and Natalie win "Proof of Love"? Yes No 182.56 0.00 0.00% 0.2739 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 βœ… -51.00 0.00 0.00 -51.00 Trades
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.1800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 βœ… -54.00 0.00 0.00 -54.00 Trades
Aevo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 805.00 0.00% 0.0673 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 βœ… -54.20 0.00 0.00 -54.20 Trades
Will Ja Morant be suspended for more than 45 games? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 βœ… -55.00 0.00 0.00 -55.00 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on December 23, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 βœ… -56.50 0.00 0.00 -56.50 Trades
Will Unslashed Insurance payout for an Anchor + UST depeg by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 βœ… -57.36 0.00 0.00 -57.36 Trades
Zvbear arrested before February? Yes No 1,205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0483 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 βœ… -58.20 0.00 0.00 -58.20 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3? Kim Kardashian Taylor Swift 0.00 103.85 0.00% 0.5775 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 βœ… -59.98 0.00 0.00 -59.98 Trades
Blast airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 282.00 0.00% 0.2133 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -60.14 0.00 0.00 -60.14 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 22 2022 βœ… -61.51 0.95 0.00 -60.56 Trades
What will the price of $MATIC be on June 17? Long Short 0.00 740.00 0.00% 0.6360 0.45 0.55 0.00 407.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 βœ… -470.67 0.00 0.00 -63.67 Trades
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? Yes No 0.00 70.00 0.00% 0.9329 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -65.30 0.00 0.00 -65.30 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 268.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -67.00 0.00 0.00 -67.00 Trades
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.56% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 25 2021 βœ… -67.46 0.00 0.00 -67.46 Trades
Chess: Will the Van't Kruijs Opening (1. e3) be played at 2021 FIDE World Rapid Championship Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 28 2021 βœ… -67.63 0.00 0.00 -67.63 Trades
Will Ben Armstrong regain control of BitBoy Crypto by EOY? Yes No 506.17 0.00 0.00% 0.1360 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -68.81 0.00 0.00 -68.81 Trades
Rabby airdrop by June 30? Yes No 456.25 0.00 0.00% 0.1510 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -68.90 0.00 0.00 -68.90 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 400K for the week ending on July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 βœ… -70.00 0.00 0.00 -70.00 Trades
Will Dylan and Peter win "Proof of Love"? Yes No 251.13 0.00 0.00% 0.2787 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… -70.00 0.00 0.00 -70.00 Trades
Will Surojit Chatterjee or Tekin Salimi win in their CryptoChamps Semifinals chess match? Chatterjee Salimi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 13 2021 βœ… -74.34 0.00 0.00 -74.34 Trades
Will The Sandbox or Decentraland have a higher floor price on February 1st, 2022? Sandbox Decentraland 201.58 0.00 0.00% 0.3721 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 βœ… -75.00 0.00 0.00 -75.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -75.06 0.00 0.00 -75.06 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 645.14 0.00 0.00% 0.1175 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -75.83 0.00 0.00 -75.83 Trades
AL Division Series: Twins vs. Astros Twins Astros 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 12 2023 βœ… -76.00 0.00 0.00 -76.00 Trades
Will Milady flip Azuki by Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 220.00 0.00% 0.3466 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -76.25 0.00 0.00 -76.25 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 97.24 0.00% 0.7935 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… -77.16 0.00 0.00 -77.16 Trades
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1 on May 20, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 βœ… -77.50 0.00 0.00 -77.50 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 1.5275 0.00 1.00 0.00 150.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 βœ… -229.12 0.00 0.00 -79.13 Trades
NHL: Will the Bruins beat the Canadiens by more than 2.5 goals in their January 12 matchup? Yes No 0.00 142.36 0.00% 0.5619 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 12 2022 βœ… -80.00 0.00 0.00 -80.00 Trades
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 βœ… -80.42 0.00 0.00 -80.42 Trades
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? Yes No 0.00 178.82 0.00% 0.4517 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… -80.78 0.00 0.00 -80.78 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from March to April 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.4100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 βœ… -82.00 0.00 0.00 -82.00 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 101.68 0.00% 0.8295 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… -84.35 0.00 0.00 -84.35 Trades
Who will win Nuggets v. Trail Blazers: Game 6? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 03 2021 βœ… -84.94 0.00 0.00 -84.94 Trades
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 495.97 0.00 0.00% 0.1714 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -85.00 0.00 0.00 -85.00 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 0.00 682.06 0.00% 0.1246 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 βœ… -85.00 0.00 0.00 -85.00 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.3400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… -85.00 0.00 0.00 -85.00 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… -86.06 0.02 0.00 -86.04 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 800.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1089 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -87.09 0.00 0.00 -87.09 Trades
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? Yes No 419.49 0.00 0.00% 0.2235 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 βœ… -93.77 6.43 0.00 -87.34 Trades
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? Google NVIDIA 199.24 0.00 0.00% 0.4400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 βœ… -87.66 0.00 0.00 -87.66 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.4400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -88.00 0.00 0.00 -88.00 Trades
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? McGregor Poirier 175.30 0.00 0.00% 0.5123 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 βœ… -89.81 0.00 0.00 -89.81 Trades
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 5? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 βœ… -90.00 0.00 0.00 -90.00 Trades
Will Spotify report at least 164m total premium subscribers in Q2 2021? Yes No 0.00 306.49 0.00% 0.2936 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 βœ… -90.00 0.00 0.00 -90.00 Trades
Will TSM or Immortals win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 20, 2021? TSM Immortals 0.00 332.31 0.00% 0.2708 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 20 2021 βœ… -90.00 0.00 0.00 -90.00 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop before May? Yes No 325.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2775 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -90.20 0.00 0.00 -90.20 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -91.42 0.00 0.00 -91.42 Trades
Blast airdrop by May? Yes No 0.00 615.00 0.00% 0.4567 0.69 0.31 0.00 189.23 Wed May 31 2023 -280.85 0.00 0.00 -91.62 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Knicks by more than 6.5 points in their March 4 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 βœ… -93.80 0.00 0.00 -93.80 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.4600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -94.30 0.00 0.00 -94.30 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 2,416.28 0.00% 0.0399 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 βœ… -96.45 0.00 0.00 -96.45 Trades
Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Roy Lichtenstein’s β€œInterior: Perfect Pitcher” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from September to October 2021? Yes No 0.00 305.20 0.00% 0.3277 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 10 2021 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Shiba Inu ($SHIB) reach market cap of $50 billion at any point on or before November 15th? Yes No 179.38 0.00 0.00% 0.5575 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $1 on its 1st day of trading? Yes No 0.00 204.16 0.00% 0.4898 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… -101.26 0.38 0.00 -100.88 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 184.47 0.00 0.00% 0.5483 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -101.15 0.00 0.00 -101.15 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 0.00 101.02 0.00% 2.0060 0.00 1.00 0.00 101.02 Thu Nov 18 2021 βœ… -202.64 0.00 0.00 -101.62 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 5.62 0.00% 19.5812 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -109.98 7.97 0.00 -102.01 Trades
Will US inflation be more than 0.4% from December 2022 to January 2023? Yes No 0.00 337.18 0.00% 0.3096 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 14 2023 βœ… -104.39 0.00 0.00 -104.39 Trades
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 βœ… -104.54 0.00 0.00 -104.54 Trades
FTX claims worth >75Β’ on the dollar by end of Q1? Yes No 0.00 210.25 0.00% 0.4999 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 βœ… -105.10 0.00 0.00 -105.10 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? Yes No 120.88 0.00 0.00% 0.8916 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 βœ… -107.78 0.02 0.00 -107.76 Trades
Will a Korean team win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 0.00 179.49 0.00% 0.6100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 βœ… -109.49 0.00 0.00 -109.49 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Keiko Fujimori Pedro Castillo 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… -109.96 0.00 0.00 -109.96 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 565.30 0.00 0.00% 0.1946 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 βœ… -110.00 0.00 0.00 -110.00 Trades
MarginFi airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.5400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -110.70 0.00 0.00 -110.70 Trades
Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 26 2021 βœ… -112.51 0.00 0.00 -112.51 Trades
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.5500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -112.75 0.00 0.00 -112.75 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? Yes No 957.58 0.00 0.00% 0.1227 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… -117.49 4.61 0.00 -112.88 Trades
Will Chelsea qualify for next season's Champions League? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 29 2021 βœ… -116.37 0.00 0.00 -116.37 Trades
What will US GDP growth be in Q1 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.20 0.80 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -116.91 0.00 0.00 -116.91 Trades
Will SBF testify? Yes No 0.00 411.30 0.00% 0.2926 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -120.35 0.00 0.00 -120.35 Trades
Jupiter airdrop in 2023? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -120.95 0.00 0.00 -120.95 Trades
Will US inflation be greater than 0.4% from January to February 2023? Yes No 291.03 0.00 0.00% 0.4308 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… -125.37 0.00 0.00 -125.37 Trades
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 656.62 0.00 0.00% 0.1917 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 βœ… -125.85 0.00 0.00 -125.85 Trades
Will the Nuggets sweep the Heat? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 11 2023 βœ… -126.00 0.00 0.00 -126.00 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 447.10 0.00% 0.2873 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… -128.44 0.00 0.00 -128.44 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.6500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -130.00 0.00 0.00 -130.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by June 12? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6420 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 12 2024 -131.61 0.00 0.00 -131.61 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 207.47 0.00% 0.6441 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -133.64 0.00 0.00 -133.64 Trades
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.6700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -137.35 0.00 0.00 -137.35 Trades
Will Joseph Delong announce he’s leaving SushiSwap as CTO beforeΒ 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -139.80 0.00 0.00 -139.80 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 654.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2151 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 βœ… -140.70 0.00 0.00 -140.70 Trades
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -141.00 0.00 0.00 -141.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -144.00 0.00 0.00 -144.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 βœ… -145.96 0.00 0.00 -145.96 Trades
Lions vs. Rams Lions Rams 0.00 370.07 0.00% 0.3963 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 βœ… -146.66 0.00 0.00 -146.66 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 407.49 0.00% 0.3649 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -148.70 0.00 0.00 -148.70 Trades
Will Daniel Alegre change pfp by April 1? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.7300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -149.65 0.00 0.00 -149.65 Trades
Will there be over 220,000 encounters at the US-Mexico border in August 2021? Yes No 285.70 0.00 0.00% 0.5250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -150.00 0.00 0.00 -150.00 Trades
Will Team Liquid or 100 Thieves win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 21, 2021? Team Liquid 100 Thieves 0.00 454.67 0.00% 0.3299 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 21 2021 βœ… -150.00 0.00 0.00 -150.00 Trades
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? Yes No 602.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2533 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -152.46 0.00 0.00 -152.46 Trades
Will Miso Robotics expand its restaurant partnerships in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 βœ… -153.15 0.00 0.00 -153.15 Trades
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 544.69 0.00% 0.2943 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -160.30 0.00 0.00 -160.30 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.7900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 βœ… -161.95 0.00 0.00 -161.95 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -162.66 0.00 0.00 -162.66 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 0.00 166.33 0.00% 0.9781 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 βœ… -162.69 0.00 0.00 -162.69 Trades
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on Halloween? Yes No 304.03 0.00 0.00% 0.5382 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 βœ… -163.62 0.00 0.00 -163.62 Trades
Will Optimism have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 129.90 0.00 0.00% 1.2609 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… -163.80 0.00 0.00 -163.80 Trades
Parcl airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 916.00 0.00% 0.1791 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -164.04 0.00 0.00 -164.04 Trades
Tensor airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.8200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -168.10 0.00 0.00 -168.10 Trades
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? Yes No 410.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -168.10 0.00 0.00 -168.10 Trades
Will Arbitrum have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 250.02 0.00 0.00% 0.6728 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 βœ… -168.22 0.00 0.00 -168.22 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 βœ… -170.06 0.00 0.00 -170.06 Trades
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 591.45 0.00 0.00% 0.2988 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -176.74 6.61 0.00 -170.13 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? Yes No 0.00 394.51 0.00% 0.4323 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 βœ… -170.55 0.00 0.00 -170.55 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -171.93 0.00 0.00 -171.93 Trades
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? Yes No 0.00 410.00 0.00% 0.4200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 βœ… -172.20 0.00 0.00 -172.20 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will have a higher market cap on March 15: Terra ($LUNA) or Solana ($SOL)? Terra Solana 0.00 270.81 0.00% 0.6394 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 βœ… -173.15 0.00 0.00 -173.15 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -173.45 0.00 0.00 -173.45 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 204.33 0.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -173.68 0.00 0.00 -173.68 Trades
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? Yes No 0.00 222.00 0.00% 0.7900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -175.38 0.00 0.00 -175.38 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 βœ… -179.63 0.00 0.00 -179.63 Trades
Aleo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3003 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -180.20 0.00 0.00 -180.20 Trades
Taiko airdrop by June 30? Yes No 715.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2548 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -182.20 0.00 0.00 -182.20 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -182.45 0.00 0.00 -182.45 Trades
Will David Hoffman say the word β€œfundamentals” in the first 5 minutes of the debate? Yes No 0.00 629.81 0.00% 0.7904 0.50 0.50 0.00 314.90 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -497.80 0.00 0.00 -182.90 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,226.70 0.00% 0.1531 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -187.76 0.00 0.00 -187.76 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 69 ETH on December 23, 2021? Yes No 515.15 0.00 0.00% 0.3670 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 βœ… -189.05 0.00 0.00 -189.05 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -190.65 0.00 0.00 -190.65 Trades
Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 βœ… -193.91 0.12 0.00 -193.79 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8? Yes No 222.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 βœ… -199.80 0.00 0.00 -199.80 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Lakers by more than 5.5 points in their March 5 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 389.16 0.00 0.00% 0.5139 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 05 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.00 458.25 0.00% 0.4364 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? Yes No 0.00 291.63 0.00% 0.6992 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -203.89 0.00 0.00 -203.89 Trades
Instacart market cap >20b? Yes No 1,115.79 0.00 0.00% 0.1835 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -204.78 0.00 0.00 -204.78 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 491.00 0.00% 0.4210 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 βœ… -206.72 0.00 0.00 -206.72 Trades
How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? Long Short 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.25 0.75 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 26 2021 βœ… -216.79 0.00 0.00 -216.79 Trades
Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 28 2021 βœ… -217.53 0.00 0.00 -217.53 Trades
Who will win Jazz vs. Grizzlies: Game 5? Jazz Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 βœ… -218.81 0.00 0.00 -218.81 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? Yes No 410.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5350 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -219.35 0.00 0.00 -219.35 Trades
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? Yes No 368.33 0.00 0.00% 0.6111 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -225.10 0.00 0.00 -225.10 Trades
Canada federal election in 2024? Yes No 0.00 312.00 0.00% 0.7300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -227.76 0.00 0.00 -227.76 Trades
Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -245.64 0.00 0.00 -245.64 Trades
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… -250.00 0.00 0.00 -250.00 Trades
UFC 285: Who will win - Jones or Gane? Jones Gane 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.4250 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 04 2023 βœ… -255.00 0.00 0.00 -255.00 Trades
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? Yes No 344.02 0.00 0.00% 0.7441 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -256.00 0.00 0.00 -256.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.83 0.17 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -256.08 0.00 0.00 -256.08 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 βœ… -270.88 0.00 0.00 -270.87 Trades
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 534.13 0.00% 0.5169 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -276.10 0.00 0.00 -276.10 Trades
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 3.90 0.00% 71.7007 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -279.42 0.06 0.00 -279.36 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? Yes No 0.00 475.75 0.00% 0.5951 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -283.14 0.10 0.00 -283.04 Trades
Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test? Yes No 0.00 590.00 0.00% 0.4814 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 -284.05 0.00 0.00 -284.05 Trades
Erdoğan >93Β’ on May 26? Yes No 819.13 0.00 0.00% 0.3476 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 26 2023 βœ… -284.70 0.00 0.00 -284.70 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 494.39 0.00% 0.6412 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -316.99 17.81 0.01 -299.17 Trades
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… -333.08 1.59 0.00 -331.49 Trades
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 βœ… -337.25 0.00 0.00 -337.25 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? Yes No 0.00 506.52 0.00% 0.6721 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -340.44 0.00 0.00 -340.44 Trades
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? Yes No 0.00 572.56 0.00% 0.6113 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 βœ… -350.00 0.00 0.00 -350.00 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… -353.14 0.27 0.00 -352.87 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 405.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9040 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 βœ… -366.10 0.00 0.00 -366.10 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 538.43 0.00% 0.7006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -377.20 0.00 0.00 -377.20 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.00 757.67 0.00% 0.5113 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 βœ… -387.41 0.00 0.00 -387.41 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? Yes No 0.00 788.63 0.00% 0.5072 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 29 2022 βœ… -400.00 0.00 0.00 -400.00 Trades
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.57% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 βœ… -496.52 73.30 0.00 -423.22 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -437.20 0.00 0.00 -437.20 Trades
Hyperliquid airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 675.00 0.00% 0.6548 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -442.00 0.00 0.00 -442.00 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.7583 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -455.00 0.00 0.00 -455.00 Trades
Saga airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 804.07 0.00% 0.6198 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 βœ… -498.34 0.00 0.00 -498.34 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? Yes No 0.00 673.31 0.00% 0.7425 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -499.94 0.00 0.00 -499.94 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.92 0.08 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -500.53 0.00 0.00 -500.53 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.69 0.00% 62.1139 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 16 2022 βœ… -539.93 0.00 0.00 -539.93 Trades
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.9250 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -555.00 0.00 0.00 -555.00 Trades
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March? Yes No 0.00 615.00 0.00% 0.9267 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -569.90 0.00 0.00 -569.90 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 0.00 705.00 0.00% 0.8442 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -595.15 0.00 0.00 -595.15 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 686.11 0.00 0.00% 0.8736 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -599.39 0.00 0.00 -599.39 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 1,208.06 0.00 0.00% 0.5079 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -613.53 0.00 0.00 -613.53 Trades
Ethena airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 870.00 0.00% 0.7170 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -623.75 0.00 0.00 -623.75 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 0.00 805.00 0.00% 0.8223 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -661.95 0.00 0.00 -661.95 Trades
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… -723.27 0.02 0.00 -723.25 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 2,074.13 0.00 0.01% 0.3771 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 βœ… -782.25 0.01 0.00 -782.24 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,247.81 0.00% 0.4731 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 βœ… -1,063.44 0.00 0.00 -1,063.44 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -1,516.01 0.00 0.00 -1,516.01 Trades
Resolved 13,877.97 494,619.36 -486,274.79 508.88 0.04 22,731.45
Unresolved 7.50 452.07 -9,224.82 0.00 0.00 -8,765.25
Total 13,885.47 495,071.43 -495,499.62 508.88 0.04 13,966.21