Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.35
|
0.00% |
|
-1.0620
|
0.92 |
0.08 |
0.00
|
0.42
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
5.68
|
0.59
|
0.00
|
6.69
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
|
-0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.08
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
6.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1253
|
|
0.10 |
0.90 |
0.71
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.16
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
-0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.17
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
24.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0415
|
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.82
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.17
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.2792
|
0.83 |
0.17 |
0.00
|
0.47
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-0.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.29
|
Trades
|
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
2.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4082
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.93
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
14.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0669
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
|
-0.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.98
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.90
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-1.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.33
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
11.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2516
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-2.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.91
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
13.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7387
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.89
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-10.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.12
|
Trades
|
test question for new dev listener |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 14 2021
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
28.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
7.8525
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
1.61
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-221.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-220.04
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.66
|
0.00% |
|
-281.0948
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
1,028.60
|
5.81
|
0.00
|
1,034.41
|
Trades
|
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14? |
Yes |
No |
392.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0587
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
392.04
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 14 2022
|
β
|
-23.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
369.04
|
Trades
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 05 2021
|
β
|
-298.68
|
599.43
|
0.00
|
300.75
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 15 2021
|
β
|
24.70
|
181.22
|
0.00
|
205.92
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
75.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.93
|
Trades
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? |
Yes |
No |
55.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1967
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
55.93
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
β
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.93
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
43.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.99
|
Trades
|
How much will βDuneβ gross domestically on opening weekend? |
Long |
Short |
1,473.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3394
|
|
0.37 |
0.63 |
540.68
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 25 2021
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.68
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? |
Celtics |
Warriors |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 02 2022
|
β
|
35.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.71
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from August to September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
48.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2958
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
48.20
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 13 2022
|
β
|
-14.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.94
|
Trades
|
Will βNopeβ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 25 2022
|
β
|
26.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.28
|
Trades
|
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? |
Yes |
No |
45.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4822
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
45.63
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.63
|
Trades
|
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
21.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.32
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Brazil beat Serbia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 24 2022
|
β
|
20.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.76
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? |
Yes |
No |
39.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5116
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
39.10
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 18 2021
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.10
|
Trades
|
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1 on May 20, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 20 2021
|
β
|
18.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.60
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
14.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.26
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 80 ETH on March 4, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
19.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6145
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
19.53
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 04 2022
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.53
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 22 2022
|
β
|
6.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.86
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.7191
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
22.94
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-16.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.44
|
Trades
|
Will Chelsea beat Dortmund? (03/07/2023) |
Yes |
No |
10.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.71
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 06 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.71
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8750
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-26.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.75
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
2.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.63
|
Trades
|
What will the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index be for July 2021? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.65 |
0.35 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 06 2021
|
β
|
2.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.48
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 20 2022
|
β
|
-3.76
|
6.02
|
0.00
|
2.26
|
Trades
|
Did SBF launch BALD? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
2.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.08
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 01 2021
|
β
|
2.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.03
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
-3.94
|
5.63
|
0.00
|
1.70
|
Trades
|
World Cup 3rd Place: Croatia vs. Morocco |
Croatia |
Morocco |
0.00
|
5.22
|
0.02% |
|
-0.2719
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 17 2022
|
β
|
1.42
|
0.23
|
0.00
|
1.64
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2179
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.40
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 01 2021
|
β
|
-0.62
|
1.87
|
0.00
|
1.26
|
Trades
|
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 6? |
Bucks |
Suns |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 20 2021
|
β
|
1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.25
|
Trades
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
0.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.83
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
10.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.42
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.42
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
2.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9480
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.11
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0068
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
0.04
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
4.65
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-0.0019
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
0.01
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.04
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.04
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9920
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $3,000 or $2,000 first? |
$3,000 |
$2,000 |
6.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0002
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0256
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first? |
Token |
Public |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Will the Bucks be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.09
|
Trades
|
Will "The Banshees of Inisherin" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.09
|
Trades
|
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.25
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.3% from November to December 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.89
|
0.01% |
|
0.0902
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 12 2023
|
β
|
-0.35
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
-0.33
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from November to December 2022? |
Yes |
No |
8.70
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
0.0535
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 12 2023
|
β
|
-0.47
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
-0.38
|
Trades
|
Will Basquiatβs βVersus Mediciβ sell for more than $50 million at Sothebyβs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 12 2021
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
99.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.0047
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.47
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
-0.49
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
33.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0295
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
$PSYOP market cap over $2B on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
1.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? |
Yes |
No |
17.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5614
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
8.98
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 07 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.02
|
Trades
|
Will Magnus Carlsen or Hikaru Nakamura win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? |
Carlsen |
Nakamura |
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.14% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 25 2021
|
β
|
-1.16
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
-1.07
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 85 ETH on December 16, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 16 2021
|
β
|
-1.27
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
-1.26
|
Trades
|
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on November 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.29% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 06 2021
|
β
|
-2.09
|
0.28
|
0.00
|
-1.81
|
Trades
|
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
5.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3386
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 21 2023
|
β
|
-1.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.92
|
Trades
|
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 417 ppm on January 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30,069.10
|
2.35% |
|
0.0001
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 10 2022
|
β
|
-2.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.13
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
25.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0945
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 13 2022
|
β
|
-2.40
|
0.27
|
0.00
|
-2.13
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6,278.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.0007
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
β
|
-4.58
|
2.28
|
0.00
|
-2.31
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? |
Yes |
No |
10,106.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0003
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 25 2022
|
β
|
-3.33
|
0.75
|
0.00
|
-2.58
|
Trades
|
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-2.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.64
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.75
|
Trades
|
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
β
|
-5.33
|
1.46
|
0.00
|
-3.87
|
Trades
|
Will Karim Benzema play in the France v. Argentina World Cup Final? |
Yes |
No |
30.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1306
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 31 2021
|
β
|
-5.68
|
1.46
|
0.00
|
-4.22
|
Trades
|
Will Cameroon qualify from Group G? |
Yes |
No |
62.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will UST (TerraUSD) lose its peg by March 1st? |
Yes |
No |
129.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0425
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
β
|
-5.49
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
-5.43
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.7087
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.84
|
0.00% |
|
1.0334
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-8.11
|
1.33
|
0.00
|
-6.77
|
Trades
|
Did Dustin Moskovitz bail out SBF? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-7.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.95
|
Trades
|
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture |
Yes |
No |
1.66
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
5.6227
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-9.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.35
|
Trades
|
Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 15 2021
|
β
|
-10.48
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
-10.43
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 27? |
Yes |
No |
9.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.2397
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 27 2022
|
β
|
-12.00
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
-10.99
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by February 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
170.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0643
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 15 2022
|
β
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
19.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5621
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.00
|
Trades
|
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-11.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.46
|
Trades
|
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.77
|
0.05% |
|
1.8145
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-24.99
|
13.25
|
0.00
|
-11.74
|
Trades
|
Superbowl LVI: Who will win Rams v. Bengals? |
Rams |
Bengals |
0.00
|
32.51
|
0.00% |
|
0.3691
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 13 2022
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 3? |
Yes |
No |
18.84
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6369
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 03 2022
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 22 2021
|
β
|
-29.74
|
15.22
|
0.00
|
-14.52
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-15.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.38
|
Trades
|
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? |
McGregor |
Poirier |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 10 2021
|
β
|
-56.24
|
40.25
|
0.00
|
-15.99
|
Trades
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 09 2021
|
β
|
-20.00
|
2.85
|
0.00
|
-17.15
|
Trades
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 01 2021
|
β
|
-19.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.19
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
65,595.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.0003
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 22 2022
|
β
|
-19.97
|
0.48
|
0.00
|
-19.48
|
Trades
|
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
10,205.47
|
0.00
|
46.20% |
0.0020
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 01 2021
|
β
|
-19.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.93
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on November 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
540.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0370
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 30 2021
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 01 2021
|
β
|
-34.62
|
10.39
|
0.00
|
-24.23
|
Trades
|
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? |
Yes |
No |
198.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2515
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 24 2022
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Golf: Will Jordan Spieth win the 2022 Masters Tournament? |
Yes |
No |
1,263.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0396
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 11 2022
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
(To be Emergency Resolved) Will Amber Heard be found guilty of defaming Johnny Depp? |
Yes |
No |
314.15
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
0.3752
|
|
0.20 |
0.80 |
62.83
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-117.86
|
2.10
|
0.00
|
-52.93
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
598.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.0948
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
β
|
-56.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.67
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 22 2021
|
β
|
-77.91
|
19.52
|
0.00
|
-58.40
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.08
|
0.00% |
|
6.2120
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 24 2022
|
β
|
-99.87
|
18.52
|
0.00
|
-81.35
|
Trades
|
Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
4,061.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0230
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
β
|
-93.32
|
8.23
|
0.00
|
-85.09
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
1.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
60.8357
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-89.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-89.66
|
Trades
|
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
880.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.1136
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
311.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3208
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Canada qualify from Group F? |
Yes |
No |
341.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2931
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Brazil win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
334.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2992
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,213.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.0824
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? |
Yes |
No |
91,661.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0012
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
-112.63
|
10.74
|
0.00
|
-101.88
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs |
Eagles |
Chiefs |
194.50
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
0.5248
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 12 2023
|
β
|
-102.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.07
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum be above $2500 on March 2, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 02 2022
|
β
|
-139.52
|
24.33
|
0.00
|
-115.19
|
Trades
|
What will the ETH floor price of CryptoPunks be on October 1, 2021? |
Long |
Short |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.74 |
0.26 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
-132.27
|
1.82
|
0.00
|
-130.45
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace launch before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
-133.63
|
0.36
|
0.00
|
-133.27
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 22 2022
|
β
|
-277.17
|
139.22
|
0.00
|
-137.95
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
-207.62
|
52.95
|
0.00
|
-154.67
|
Trades
|
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.96
|
0.92% |
|
25.1285
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 25 2022
|
β
|
-199.95
|
36.46
|
0.00
|
-163.49
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 100 ETH on February 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 25 2022
|
β
|
-293.36
|
39.58
|
0.00
|
-253.78
|
Trades
|
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
762.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.3420
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-260.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-260.73
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
891.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3375
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-301.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-301.00
|
Trades
|
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? |
Bitcoin |
Ethereum |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-409.78
|
46.99
|
0.00
|
-362.79
|
Trades
|
World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina |
France |
Argentina |
889.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6063
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-539.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-539.23
|
Trades
|
Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-843.51
|
265.37
|
0.00
|
-578.15
|
Trades
|
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11,813.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.0798
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
β
|
-942.96
|
209.82
|
0.00
|
-733.14
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-1,199.53
|
327.47
|
0.00
|
-872.06
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
16,342.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0612
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,000.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1,070.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,070.47
|
Trades
|
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
-2,049.80
|
34.02
|
0.00
|
-2,015.78
|
Trades
|
Will the Academy strip Will Smithβs Oscar by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
β
|
-2,096.37
|
17.27
|
0.00
|
-2,079.10
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 17 2021
|
β
|
-3,298.55
|
566.71
|
0.00
|
-2,731.85
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,239.21
|
53.96
|
|
|
-16,826.55
|
2,713.39
|
0.00
|
-12,819.99
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.04
|
0.89
|
|
|
-245.07
|
0.59
|
0.00
|
-239.56
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,243.24
|
54.85
|
|
|
-17,071.62
|
2,713.98
|
0.00
|
-13,059.55
|
|