Polymarket Whales

🌙

Account

Trades

Etherscan
PolygonScan

Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 566.61 0.00% 0.4819 0.51 0.49 0.00 279.15 Sun Jan 01 2023 -273.04 0.00 0.00 6.11 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 129.85 0.00% 0.3851 0.63 0.37 0.00 48.64 Wed Jun 01 2022 -50.00 0.00 0.00 -1.36 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 -194.91 0.00 0.00 -194.91 Trades
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 516.38 0.00 0.00 516.38 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 14 2021 407.42 0.00 0.00 407.42 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.21 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 389.11 0.00 0.00 389.11 Trades
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 388.30 0.00 0.00 388.30 Trades
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.72 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 373.70 0.00 0.00 373.70 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 322.75 0.00 0.00 322.75 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 320.90 0.00 0.00 320.90 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 304.75 0.00 0.00 304.75 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 18th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? Cardano Solana 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 168.97 0.00 0.00 168.97 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 11 2021 130.57 0.00 0.00 130.57 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 99.77 0.00 0.00 99.77 Trades
Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 23 2021 99.05 0.02 0.00 99.07 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 20 2021 98.87 0.00 0.00 98.87 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 96.16 0.00 0.00 96.16 Trades
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) flip CryptoPunks by January 10, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 94.23 0.00 0.00 94.23 Trades
Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 93.71 0.01 0.00 93.72 Trades
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 86.79 0.02 0.00 86.81 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 13 2021 74.38 0.00 0.00 74.38 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 72.18 0.00 0.00 72.18 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 26 2021 70.45 0.00 0.00 70.45 Trades
Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? USA China 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 49.62 0.00 0.00 49.63 Trades
Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 48.65 0.00 0.00 48.65 Trades
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 39.81 0.00 0.00 39.81 Trades
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? Paul Woodley 0.00 0.17 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 29 2021 36.39 0.00 0.00 36.39 Trades
Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 35.95 0.00 0.00 35.95 Trades
What will Edward Snowden’s NFT “Stay Free” sell for at auction? Less than $250,000
$250,000-$500,000
$500,000-$750,000
$750,000-$1M
$1M-$2M
$2M or More
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Fri Apr 16 2021 30.82 0.00 0.00 30.82 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 30.55 0.00 0.00 30.55 Trades
Will van Gogh’s “Le pont de Trinquetaille” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 30.53 0.00 0.00 30.53 Trades
Will Iron Finance’s Overall TVL be above $2 billion on July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 30.37 0.00 0.00 30.37 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso's “Femme accroupie en costume turc II (Jacqueline)” (Lot 44C) sell for more than $30m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 50.43 0.00% 0.4957 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.43 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 25.43 Trades
Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 2? Bucks Heat 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 24.75 0.00 0.00 24.75 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? Yes No 0.00 101.99 0.00% 0.7767 0.00 1.00 0.00 101.99 Wed Sep 15 2021 -79.21 0.00 0.00 22.78 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso's “Homme à la pipe” (Lot 58C) sell for more than $20m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 47.08 0.00% 0.5310 0.00 1.00 0.00 47.08 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 22.08 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? 40,999 or fewer
41,000-65,999
66,000-99,999
100,000 or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sat May 15 2021 21.86 0.00 0.00 21.86 Trades
Will Ed Ruscha's “Ripe” (Lot 37C) sell for more than $22m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 46.66 0.00% 0.5357 0.00 1.00 0.00 46.66 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 21.66 Trades
Will Edward Hopper's “Two Puritans” (Lot 39C) sell for more than $15m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 46.66 0.00% 0.5357 0.00 1.00 0.00 46.66 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 21.66 Trades
Will Gerhard Richter's “Abstraktes Bild” (Lot 27C) sell for more than $35m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 45.10 0.00% 0.5543 0.00 1.00 0.00 45.10 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 20.10 Trades
Will Cy Twombly's “Duino” (Lot 66C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 45.10 0.00% 0.5543 0.00 1.00 0.00 45.10 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 20.10 Trades
What will the price of $MATIC be on September 3, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.59 0.41 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 03 2021 19.90 0.00 0.00 19.90 Trades
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 19.61 0.00 0.00 19.61 Trades
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? Yes No 0.46 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 18.96 0.00 0.00 18.96 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 18.69 0.00 0.00 18.69 Trades
Will the Spurs or the Grizzlies win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Spurs Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 18.30 0.00 0.00 18.30 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 18.02 0.00 0.00 18.02 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 385K for the week ending on August 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 12 2021 17.84 0.00 0.00 17.84 Trades
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 17 2021 17.83 0.00 0.00 17.83 Trades
Will Alfred Sisley's “La Seine à Argenteuil” (Lot 5C) sell for more than $3m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 42.73 0.00% 0.5850 0.00 1.00 0.00 42.73 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 17.73 Trades
Will Paul Cezanne's “L'Estaque aux toits rouges” (Lot 10C) sell for more than $55m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 42.02 0.00% 0.5950 0.00 1.00 0.00 42.02 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 17.02 Trades
Will Claude Monet's “Le bassin d'Argenteuil” (Lot 15C) sell for more than $25m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 41.87 0.00% 0.5970 0.00 1.00 0.00 41.87 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 16.87 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 14.02 0.00 0.00 14.02 Trades
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 13.10 0.11 0.00 13.21 Trades
Will the Warriors or the Lakers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Warriors Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 12.66 0.00 0.00 12.66 Trades
Will 19 states have high or substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.28 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 12.58 0.00 0.00 12.58 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 17 2021 12.40 0.00 0.00 12.40 Trades
Will Claude Monet’s “Waterloo Bridge” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 12.27 0.00 0.00 12.27 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 11.16 0.00 0.00 11.16 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? Yes No 0.36 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 11.13 0.00 0.00 11.13 Trades
Will the Pacers or the Wizards win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Pacers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 10.15 0.00 0.00 10.15 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso’s “Femme dans un fauteuil” sell for more than $20 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 9.76 0.00 0.00 9.76 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 9.66 0.00 0.00 9.66 Trades
Will Canada hold a federal election in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 9.35 0.00 0.00 9.35 Trades
Will Banksy’s “Love is in the Air” sell for more than $5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 8.93 0.00 0.00 8.93 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 16 2021 8.06 0.00 0.00 8.06 Trades
Will Adrian Ghenie's "The Collector I" sell for more than HK$65M at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 7.94 0.00 0.00 7.94 Trades
Will Andy Warhol’s “Two Marilyns” sell for more than $18 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 7.71 0.00 0.00 7.71 Trades
Will Zao Wou-Ki’s “24.01.63” sell for more than HK$80M at Christie’s? Yes No 0.70 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 7.66 0.00 0.00 7.66 Trades
Will Sanyu’s “Potted Chrysanthemums” sell for more than HK$120M at Christie’s? Yes No 0.17 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 7.55 0.00 0.00 7.55 Trades
What will the price of $ADA be on October 1, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.53 0.47 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 6.81 0.00 0.00 6.81 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 6.15 0.00 0.00 6.15 Trades
Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 10 2021 5.98 0.00 0.00 5.98 Trades
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 5.95 0.00 0.00 5.95 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 5.77 0.00 0.00 5.77 Trades
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 4.30 0.00 0.00 4.30 Trades
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? Dune Shang-Chi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 21 2021 4.02 0.00 0.00 4.02 Trades
Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 3.59 0.00 0.00 3.59 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? Yes No 0.00 0.22 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 22 2021 3.47 0.00 0.00 3.47 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 3.30 0.00 0.00 3.30 Trades
Will Princeton University remain the highest ranking national university in the US according to the 2022 US News ranking? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 2.88 0.08 0.00 2.96 Trades
Will Georges Seurat's “Paysage et personnages” sell for more than $8 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 2.35 0.00 0.00 2.35 Trades
Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 2.06 0.00 0.00 2.06 Trades
Will Roy Lichtenstein’s “Interior: Perfect Pitcher” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 1.88 0.00 0.00 1.88 Trades
Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 1.64 0.00 0.00 1.64 Trades
Will Man City or PSG advance to the finals of the Champions League? Man City PSG 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 04 2021 1.35 0.00 0.00 1.35 Trades
Will George Condo’s “Reclining Blue Form” sell for more than $3.5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 1.17 0.00 0.00 1.17 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.35 Trades
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? Less than 8M
8M to less than 10M
10M to less than 15M
15M to less than 20M
20M or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sat May 01 2021 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? Yes No 0.47 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the 76ers or the Wizards win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? 76ers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 23 2021 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
Will Brad McClelland be in the winning couple on Love Island UK Season 7? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Caitlyn Jenner announce she is running for CA Governor by May 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.40 Trades
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.07 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.47 Trades
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 -0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.61 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.90 0.10 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.67 Trades
Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -0.87 0.00 0.00 -0.87 Trades
What will the price of $ADA be on August 27, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 27 2021 -0.93 0.00 0.00 -0.93 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 -0.95 0.00 0.00 -0.95 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 -1.32 0.00 0.00 -1.32 Trades
Will Joan Miró’s “Femme (Femme debout)” sell for more than $10 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -1.46 0.00 0.00 -1.46 Trades
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 08 2021 -1.63 0.14 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 -1.92 0.14 0.00 -1.78 Trades
Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 26 2021 -1.94 0.00 0.00 -1.94 Trades
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 -2.27 0.00 0.00 -2.27 Trades
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 -2.51 0.00 0.00 -2.51 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -2.70 0.00 0.00 -2.70 Trades
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 -4.36 0.00 0.00 -4.36 Trades
Will Emily Ratajkowski’s NFT go for more than $2 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 14 2021 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 -5.87 0.00 0.00 -5.87 Trades
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? 0
1
2
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.94% 0.33
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
-8.71 0.00 0.00 -8.71 Trades
Will OpenTable’s “Seated diners from online, phone, and walk-in reservations” data point for the United States exceed its 2019 baseline by 7% or more by November 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -9.55 0.00 0.00 -9.55 Trades
Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Other
0.00
0.13
0.16
0.13
0.19
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sun Apr 25 2021 -9.62 0.00 0.00 -9.62 Trades
Who will win Nets v. Celtics: Game 5? Nets Celtics 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 -10.06 0.00 0.00 -10.06 Trades
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 -11.40 0.00 0.00 -11.40 Trades
Will Mark Rothko’s “Untitled” sell for more than $40 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -11.62 0.00 0.00 -11.62 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather KO, TKO, or retire Logan Paul? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 -12.14 0.00 0.00 -12.14 Trades
Will Keith Haring’s “Untitled” sell for more than $6 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 -12.52 0.00 0.00 -12.52 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 -13.93 0.00 0.00 -13.93 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso’s “Femme assise près d'une fenêtre (Marie-Thérèse)” sell for more than $55 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -14.78 0.00 0.00 -14.78 Trades
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.76% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 25 2021 -19.32 0.24 0.00 -19.08 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 12 2021 -19.89 0.00 0.00 -19.89 Trades
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 13 2021 -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 05 2021 -20.35 0.00 0.00 -20.35 Trades
Will Jeff Koons' “Pancakes” sell for more than $1.5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 -21.44 0.00 0.00 -21.44 Trades
Will Claude Monet’s “Nymphéas (fragment)” (Lot 1C) sell for more than $1m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 48.74 0.00% 0.5129 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Meules de blé” (Lot 8C) sell for more than $30m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 41.45 0.00% 0.6031 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Jeune homme au bleuet” (Lot 20C) sell for more than $7m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 45.23 0.00% 0.5527 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will Claude Monet's “Au jardin, la famille de l’artiste” (Lot 41C) sell for more than $18m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 45.28 0.00% 0.5521 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will Willem do Kooning's “Untitled VII” (Lot 40C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 45.10 0.00% 0.5543 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 -33.77 0.00 0.00 -33.77 Trades
Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -38.45 0.00 0.00 -38.45 Trades
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? Yes No 142.31 0.00 0.00% 0.2721 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -38.72 0.00 0.00 -38.72 Trades
Will the Nuggets or the Trail Blazers win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 22 2021 -49.07 0.00 0.00 -49.07 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 24 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 24 2021 -49.65 0.00 0.00 -49.65 Trades
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.23 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -54.45 0.00 0.00 -54.45 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 -69.85 0.00 0.00 -69.85 Trades
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 -71.26 0.00 0.00 -71.26 Trades
Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 10 2021 -74.82 0.00 0.00 -74.82 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 -76.73 0.00 0.00 -76.73 Trades
Who will win Suns vs. Lakers: Game 2? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 -77.79 0.00 0.00 -77.79 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 16 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 16 2021 -89.05 0.00 0.00 -89.05 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from August to September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 13 2021 -149.62 0.00 0.00 -149.62 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 -335.27 0.00 0.00 -335.27 Trades
Resolved 0.00 509.65 3,082.06 0.76 0.00 3,592.47
Unresolved 0.00 327.79 -517.95 0.00 0.00 -190.16
Total 0.00 837.44 2,564.11 0.76 0.00 3,402.32