Account
0xed2fd217a9ae096df2adb8d35ef43d33decf1f4f Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 516.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 516.38 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | ✅ | 407.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 407.42 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.21 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 389.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 389.11 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 388.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 388.30 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.72 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 373.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 373.70 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 322.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 322.75 | Trades | ||
| Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | 320.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 320.90 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 304.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 304.75 | Trades | ||
| Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 293.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 293.57 | Trades | ||
| Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 18th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? | Cardano | Solana | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | 168.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 168.97 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | ✅ | 130.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 130.57 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | 99.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.77 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | ✅ | 99.05 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 99.07 | Trades | ||
| Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | ✅ | 98.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.87 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 96.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 96.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) flip CryptoPunks by January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | 94.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 93.71 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 93.72 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | 86.79 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 86.81 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | 79.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.85 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | ✅ | 74.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.38 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 72.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.18 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | ✅ | 70.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.45 | Trades | ||
| Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? | USA | China | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 49.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.63 | Trades | ||
| Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 48.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.65 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 39.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? | Paul | Woodley | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 29 2021 | ✅ | 36.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 35.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.95 | Trades | ||
| What will Edward Snowden’s NFT “Stay Free” sell for at auction? | Less than $250,000 $250,000-$500,000 $500,000-$750,000 $750,000-$1M $1M-$2M $2M or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Apr 16 2021 | ✅ | 30.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.82 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | 30.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.55 | Trades | ||
| Will van Gogh’s “Le pont de Trinquetaille” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 30.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Iron Finance’s Overall TVL be above $2 billion on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 30.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Pablo Picasso's “Femme accroupie en costume turc II (Jacqueline)” (Lot 44C) sell for more than $30m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.43 | 0.00% | 0.4957 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.43 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.43 | Trades | |
| Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 2? | Bucks | Heat | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 24.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.75 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 101.99 | 0.00% | 0.7767 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 101.99 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | -79.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.78 | Trades | |
| Will Pablo Picasso's “Homme à la pipe” (Lot 58C) sell for more than $20m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 47.08 | 0.00% | 0.5310 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 47.08 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.08 | Trades | |
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 21.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.86 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Ed Ruscha's “Ripe” (Lot 37C) sell for more than $22m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 46.66 | 0.00% | 0.5357 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 46.66 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.66 | Trades | |
| Will Edward Hopper's “Two Puritans” (Lot 39C) sell for more than $15m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 46.66 | 0.00% | 0.5357 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 46.66 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.66 | Trades | |
| Will Gerhard Richter's “Abstraktes Bild” (Lot 27C) sell for more than $35m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 45.10 | 0.00% | 0.5543 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 45.10 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.10 | Trades | |
| Will Cy Twombly's “Duino” (Lot 66C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 45.10 | 0.00% | 0.5543 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 45.10 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.10 | Trades | |
| What will the price of $MATIC be on September 3, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.59 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 03 2021 | ✅ | 19.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.90 | Trades | ||
| Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 19.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.61 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 18.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.96 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 18.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.69 | Trades | ||
| Will the Spurs or the Grizzlies win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Spurs | Grizzlies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | ✅ | 18.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 18.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.02 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 385K for the week ending on August 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 12 2021 | ✅ | 17.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.84 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 17 2021 | ✅ | 17.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.83 | Trades | ||
| Will Alfred Sisley's “La Seine à Argenteuil” (Lot 5C) sell for more than $3m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 42.73 | 0.00% | 0.5850 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 42.73 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.73 | Trades | |
| Will Paul Cezanne's “L'Estaque aux toits rouges” (Lot 10C) sell for more than $55m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 42.02 | 0.00% | 0.5950 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 42.02 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.02 | Trades | |
| Will Claude Monet's “Le bassin d'Argenteuil” (Lot 15C) sell for more than $25m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 41.87 | 0.00% | 0.5970 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 41.87 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.87 | Trades | |
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 14.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.02 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | 13.10 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 13.21 | Trades | ||
| Will the Warriors or the Lakers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Warriors | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | ✅ | 12.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.66 | Trades | ||
| Will 19 states have high or substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 12.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.58 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 17 2021 | ✅ | 12.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Claude Monet’s “Waterloo Bridge” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 12.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.27 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 11.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? | Yes | No | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | 11.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.13 | Trades | ||
| Will the Pacers or the Wizards win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Pacers | Wizards | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | 10.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Pablo Picasso’s “Femme dans un fauteuil” sell for more than $20 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 9.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.76 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 9.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.66 | Trades | ||
| Will Canada hold a federal election in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 9.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Banksy’s “Love is in the Air” sell for more than $5 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | 8.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.93 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | 8.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Adrian Ghenie's "The Collector I" sell for more than HK$65M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 7.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Andy Warhol’s “Two Marilyns” sell for more than $18 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 7.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.71 | Trades | ||
| Will Zao Wou-Ki’s “24.01.63” sell for more than HK$80M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 7.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.66 | Trades | ||
| Will Sanyu’s “Potted Chrysanthemums” sell for more than HK$120M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 7.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.55 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $ADA be on October 1, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.53 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 6.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.81 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 6.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.15 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 10 2021 | ✅ | 5.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | ✅ | 5.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 5.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.77 | Trades | ||
| Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 4.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.30 | Trades | ||
| Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | ✅ | 4.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.02 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.59 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | 3.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.47 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 3.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Princeton University remain the highest ranking national university in the US according to the 2022 US News ranking? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 2.88 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 2.96 | Trades | ||
| Will Georges Seurat's “Paysage et personnages” sell for more than $8 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 2.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.35 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 2.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Roy Lichtenstein’s “Interior: Perfect Pitcher” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.88 | Trades | ||
| Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | 1.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.64 | Trades | ||
| Will Man City or PSG advance to the finals of the Champions League? | Man City | PSG | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 04 2021 | ✅ | 1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.35 | Trades | ||
| Will George Condo’s “Reclining Blue Form” sell for more than $3.5 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.17 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 | Trades | ||
| How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the 76ers or the Wizards win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? | 76ers | Wizards | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | ✅ | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Brad McClelland be in the winning couple on Love Island UK Season 7? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | |||
| Will Caitlyn Jenner announce she is running for CA Governor by May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.47 | Trades | ||
| Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | Trades | ||
| Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.67 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.87 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $ADA be on August 27, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 27 2021 | ✅ | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.93 | Trades | ||
| Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.95 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | -1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Joan Miró’s “Femme (Femme debout)” sell for more than $10 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | -1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.46 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | -1.63 | 0.14 | 0.00 | -1.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -1.92 | 0.14 | 0.00 | -1.78 | Trades | ||
| Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 26 2021 | ✅ | -1.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.94 | Trades | ||
| Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | -2.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -2.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.51 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -2.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | -4.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.36 | Trades | ||
| Will Emily Ratajkowski’s NFT go for more than $2 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -5.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.87 | Trades | ||
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
2.94% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -8.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.71 | Trades | |||||||
| Will OpenTable’s “Seated diners from online, phone, and walk-in reservations” data point for the United States exceed its 2019 baseline by 7% or more by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -9.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.55 | Trades | ||
| Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? | Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7 Minari Promising Young Woman Other |
0.00 0.13 0.16 0.13 0.19 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | -9.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.62 | Trades | ||||||
| Who will win Nets v. Celtics: Game 5? | Nets | Celtics | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 02 2021 | ✅ | -10.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.06 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -11.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Mark Rothko’s “Untitled” sell for more than $40 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | -11.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Floyd Mayweather KO, TKO, or retire Logan Paul? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -12.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.14 | Trades | ||
| Will Keith Haring’s “Untitled” sell for more than $6 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -12.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.52 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | -13.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.93 | Trades | ||
| Will Pablo Picasso’s “Femme assise près d'une fenêtre (Marie-Thérèse)” sell for more than $55 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | -14.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.78 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.76% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | -19.32 | 0.24 | 0.00 | -19.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 12 2021 | ✅ | -19.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.89 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | ✅ | -20.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Jeff Koons' “Pancakes” sell for more than $1.5 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -21.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.44 | Trades | ||
| Will Claude Monet’s “Nymphéas (fragment)” (Lot 1C) sell for more than $1m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 48.74 | 0.00% | 0.5129 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Vincent van Gogh's “Meules de blé” (Lot 8C) sell for more than $30m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 41.45 | 0.00% | 0.6031 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Vincent van Gogh's “Jeune homme au bleuet” (Lot 20C) sell for more than $7m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 45.23 | 0.00% | 0.5527 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Claude Monet's “Au jardin, la famille de l’artiste” (Lot 41C) sell for more than $18m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 45.28 | 0.00% | 0.5521 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Willem do Kooning's “Untitled VII” (Lot 40C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 45.10 | 0.00% | 0.5543 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -33.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.77 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -38.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -38.45 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 142.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2721 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -38.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -38.72 | Trades | |
| Will the Nuggets or the Trail Blazers win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 22 2021 | ✅ | -49.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.07 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 24 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 24 2021 | ✅ | -49.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.65 | Trades | ||
| Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -54.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.45 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | -69.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -69.85 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | -71.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -71.26 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 10 2021 | ✅ | -74.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -74.82 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | -76.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -76.73 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Suns vs. Lakers: Game 2? | Suns | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | -77.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -77.79 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 16 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | -89.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -89.05 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from August to September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 13 2021 | ✅ | -149.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -149.62 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 24 2022 | ✅ | -194.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -194.91 | Trades | ||
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | -335.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -335.27 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 0.00 | 509.65 | 3,260.56 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 3,770.98 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 0.00 | 509.65 | 3,260.56 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 3,770.98 | ||||||||||||