Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 42,196.16 0.00 0.00% 0.5507 0.87 0.13 36,847.21 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -23,238.27 0.00 0.00 13,608.95 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.01 Sat Aug 10 2024 472.90 0.00 0.00 472.90 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 500.02 0.00 0.00% 0.1089 0.93 0.07 464.07 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -54.44 0.00 0.00 409.62 Trades
Haaland to break PL goal record this season? Yes No 0.00 0.81 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 124.43 0.00 0.00 124.43 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 76.13 0.00 0.00 76.14 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 53.95 0.00 0.00 53.95 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? Yes No 16.93 0.00 0.00% -2.9814 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 01 2024 50.48 0.00 0.00 50.48 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 42.22 0.00 0.00 42.22 Trades
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? Yes No 314.33 0.00 0.00% -0.1131 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 35.56 0.00 0.00 35.56 Trades
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 23.04 0.00 0.00 23.04 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 22.49 0.00 0.00 22.49 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 9.58 0.00 0.00 9.58 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? Yes No 39.84 0.00 0.00% 0.0320 0.03 0.97 1.17 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1.28 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1.98 0.00 0.00 -1.98 Trades
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4.65 0.00 0.00 -4.65 Trades
Doge ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? Yes No 0.00 38.51 0.00% 0.4216 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -16.24 0.00 0.00 -16.24 Trades
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -16.26 0.00 0.00 -16.26 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 199.99 0.00 0.00% 0.1025 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -20.50 0.00 0.00 -20.50 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -21.25 0.00 0.00 -21.25 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -25.38 0.00 0.00 -25.38 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 390.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0722 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -28.16 0.00 0.00 -28.16 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 493.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -39.44 0.00 0.00 -39.44 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -49.44 0.00 0.00 -49.44 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 499.99 0.00 0.00% 0.1189 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -59.45 0.00 0.00 -59.45 Trades
CZ sentenced to prison? Yes No 0.00 222.00 0.00% 0.3110 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -69.04 0.00 0.00 -69.04 Trades
Will Kristi Noem win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 90.91 0.00% 0.7800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -70.91 0.00 0.00 -70.91 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -75.00 0.00 0.00 -75.00 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 0.00 39.99 0.00% 1.9404 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -77.60 0.00 0.00 -77.60 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 973.59 0.00 0.00% 0.0974 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -94.83 0.00 0.00 -94.83 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 1,844.06 0.00 0.00% 0.5356 0.48 0.52 876.29 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -987.77 0.00 0.00 -111.48 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 899.51 0.00 0.00% 0.2356 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -211.93 0.00 0.00 -211.93 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 617.27 0.00% 0.4562 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -281.62 0.00 0.00 -281.62 Trades
Will Man City win the Premier League? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4695 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 -281.70 0.00 0.00 -281.70 Trades
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? Yes No 510.01 0.00 0.00% 0.9045 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -461.28 0.00 0.00 -461.28 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? Yes No 0.00 610.93 0.00% 0.8985 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -548.94 0.00 0.00 -548.94 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -613.71 0.00 0.00 -613.70 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 0.00 750.55 0.00% 0.8759 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -657.43 0.00 0.00 -657.43 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 2,193.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7196 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,578.15 0.00 0.00 -1,578.15 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 1,289.25 0.00% 1.2307 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -1,586.65 0.00 0.00 -1,586.65 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 1,800.01 0.00% 0.9016 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,622.85 0.00 0.00 -1,622.85 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 901.05 0.00 0.00% 2.7906 0.79 0.21 715.77 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -2,514.50 0.00 0.00 -1,798.73 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 0.00 3,448.34 0.00% 0.6916 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2,384.72 0.00 0.00 -2,384.72 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 0.00 11,303.04 0.00% 0.2344 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 -2,649.34 0.00 0.00 -2,649.34 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.00 3,006.40 0.00% 0.9526 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -2,863.98 0.00 0.00 -2,863.98 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 0.00 3,715.40 0.00% 0.9485 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -3,524.10 0.00 0.00 -3,524.10 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 8,733.98 0.00% 0.9069 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -7,920.53 0.00 0.00 -7,920.53 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 25,558.66 0.00% 0.6790 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -17,354.47 0.00 0.00 -17,354.47 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 31,369.93 0.00 0.00 31,369.93 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 7,776.81 0.00 0.00 7,776.81 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 6,415.23 0.00 0.00 6,415.23 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ 5,760.15 0.00 0.00 5,760.15 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 4,590.55 0.00 0.00 4,590.55 Trades
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 3,266.88 0.00 0.00 3,266.89 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 169.51 0.00% -15.2167 0.00 1.00 0.00 169.51 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2,579.34 0.00 0.00 2,748.85 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 137.69 0.00 0.00% -17.7405 1.00 0.00 137.69 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2,442.74 0.00 0.00 2,580.43 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2,375.28 0.00 0.00 2,375.28 Trades
Is Obama queer? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 2,332.80 0.00 0.00 2,332.80 Trades
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou Fury Ngannou 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 ✅ 1,979.50 0.00 0.00 1,979.50 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 7,672.20 0.00 0.00% 0.8542 1.00 0.00 7,672.20 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ -6,553.30 0.00 0.00 1,118.90 Trades
North Korea nuke by August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ 1,002.00 0.00 0.00 1,002.00 Trades
Is Google shutting down Gmail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ 1,001.00 0.00 0.00 1,001.00 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 16,145.46 0.00% 0.9461 0.00 1.00 0.00 16,145.46 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -15,274.41 0.00 0.00 871.04 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 ✅ 597.25 0.00 0.00 597.25 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ 513.47 0.00 0.00 513.47 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 0.00 2,886.66 0.00% 0.8575 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,886.66 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,475.20 0.00 0.00 411.46 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 0.00 5,569.26 0.00% 0.9417 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,569.26 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ -5,244.41 0.00 0.00 324.84 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 277.55 0.00 0.00 277.55 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 1,380.58 0.00% 0.8117 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,380.58 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -1,120.58 0.00 0.00 260.01 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 1,207.75 0.00% 0.7887 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,207.75 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -952.51 0.00 0.00 255.25 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.05 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 242.33 0.00 0.00 242.33 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 238.85 0.00 0.00 238.85 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 ✅ 238.00 0.00 0.00 238.00 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 3,320.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9291 1.00 0.00 3,320.99 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -3,085.64 0.00 0.00 235.35 Trades
North Korea nuke by December 31? Yes No 0.00 1,277.14 0.00% 0.8321 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,277.14 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,062.70 0.00 0.00 214.44 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 ✅ 198.21 0.00 0.00 198.21 Trades
Biden cognitive test before April? Yes No 0.00 341.82 0.00% 0.4354 0.00 1.00 0.00 341.82 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -148.83 0.00 0.00 192.99 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 ✅ 190.28 0.00 0.00 190.29 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 0.00 4,813.99 0.00% 0.9683 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,813.99 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -4,661.21 0.00 0.00 152.78 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Prigozhin in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ 149.10 0.00 0.00 149.11 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 143.49 0.00 0.00 143.49 Trades
Did P. Diddy have sex with Meek Mill? Yes No 0.00 7,331.99 0.00% 0.9819 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,331.99 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -7,198.94 0.00 0.00 133.05 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,961.52 0.00% 0.9337 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,961.52 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,831.38 0.00 0.00 130.13 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 9,880.20 0.00 0.00% 0.9878 1.00 0.00 9,880.20 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -9,759.33 0.00 0.00 120.87 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 ✅ 109.29 0.00 0.00 109.29 Trades
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? WI SC 0.00 0.00 0.01% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 ✅ 108.16 0.00 0.00 108.16 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ 106.18 0.00 0.00 106.18 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 92.13 0.00 0.00% -0.9769 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 90.00 0.00 0.00 90.00 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 ✅ 89.14 0.00 0.00 89.14 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.33 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.33 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ 87.29 0.00 0.00 87.62 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 23,550.00 0.00% 0.9963 0.00 1.00 0.00 23,550.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -23,462.40 0.00 0.00 87.60 Trades
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 ✅ 77.82 0.00 0.00 77.82 Trades
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,128.01 0.00% 0.9640 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,128.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,051.31 0.00 0.00 76.70 Trades
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 72.36 0.00 0.00 72.37 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? Yes No 1,965.93 0.00 0.00% 0.9697 1.00 0.00 1,965.93 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -1,906.38 0.00 0.00 59.55 Trades
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 59.44 0.00 0.00 59.44 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? Yes No 2,338.89 0.00 0.00% 0.9780 1.00 0.00 2,338.89 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2,287.48 0.00 0.00 51.41 Trades
Russian nuke in space by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 49.32 0.00 0.00 49.32 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 32.61 0.00 0.00 32.61 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 32.00 0.00 0.00 32.00 Trades
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ 32.00 0.00 0.00 32.00 Trades
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 235.46 0.00% 0.8791 0.00 1.00 0.00 235.46 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -207.00 0.00 0.00 28.46 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ 26.12 0.00 0.00 26.12 Trades
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? Yes No 474.31 0.00 0.00% 0.9512 1.00 0.00 474.31 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -451.17 0.00 0.00 23.15 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ 18.28 0.00 0.00 18.29 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9100 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -182.00 0.00 0.00 18.00 Trades
Will US attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ 16.32 0.00 0.00 16.33 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 15.58 0.00 0.00 15.58 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 14.47 0.00 0.00 14.47 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 13.80 0.00 0.00 13.80 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ 12.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Trades
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 195.62 0.00% -0.0589 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 11.52 0.00 0.00 11.52 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 ✅ 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 9.78 0.00 0.00 9.79 Trades
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? Yes No 0.00 195.73 0.00% 0.9617 0.00 1.00 0.00 195.73 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -188.23 0.00 0.00 7.50 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9630 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Thu Mar 28 2024 ✅ -192.60 0.00 0.00 7.40 Trades
North Korea nuke by March 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 5.14 0.00 0.00 5.14 Trades
Will Trump win California Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 4.60 0.00 0.00 4.60 Trades
Was the moon landing faked? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3.69 0.00 0.00 3.69 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3.02 0.00 0.00 3.02 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 2.80 0.00 0.00 2.80 Trades
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 ✅ 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Trump win North Carolina Republican Primary? Yes No 50.06 0.00 0.00% 0.9620 1.00 0.00 50.06 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -48.16 0.00 0.00 1.90 Trades
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 3.06 0.00% 0.5100 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.06 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1.56 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ 1.20 0.00 0.00 1.20 Trades
Is P. Diddy queer? Yes No 77.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0134 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 1.03 0.00 0.00 1.03 Trades
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? Yes No 2.18 0.00 0.00% -0.3556 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 ✅ 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.77 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.50 Trades
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2.22 0.00% 0.9550 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.12 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Navalny in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 222.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.22 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Kissinger in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 422.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.42 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 130.38 0.00% 0.0094 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -1.23 0.00 0.00 -1.23 Trades
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? Yes No 0.00 1.01 0.00% 1.5323 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -1.55 0.00 0.00 -1.55 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Apr 19 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 14,697.90 0.00% 0.0006 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -8.59 0.00 0.00 -8.59 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -10.38 0.00 0.00 -10.38 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? Yes No 0.00 24.63 0.00% 0.4300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ -10.59 0.00 0.00 -10.59 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? Yes No 495.13 0.00 0.00% 0.0286 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -14.16 0.00 0.00 -14.16 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -18.95 0.00 0.00 -17.95 Trades
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? Yes No 1,075.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0275 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 ✅ -29.57 0.00 0.00 -29.57 Trades
Was the Super Bowl rigged? Yes No 4,100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0087 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -35.64 0.00 0.00 -35.64 Trades
Will Steve Garvey advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -38.84 0.00 0.00 -38.84 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -61.14 0.00 0.00 -61.14 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -62.77 0.00 0.00 -62.76 Trades
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? Yes No 0.00 1,200.00 0.00% 0.1117 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -134.00 0.00 0.00 -134.00 Trades
FTX claims worth >75¢ on the dollar by end of Q1? Yes No 0.00 293.63 0.00% 0.5135 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -150.78 0.00 0.00 -150.78 Trades
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -189.80 0.00 0.00 -189.80 Trades
Was @SECGov really hacked? Yes No 0.00 199,998.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -234.66 0.00 0.00 -234.66 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -294.00 0.00 0.00 -294.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -427.39 0.00 0.00 -427.39 Trades
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 2,421.70 0.00 0.00% 0.2978 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -721.07 0.00 0.00 -721.07 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 941.11 0.00% 0.9379 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -882.69 0.00 0.00 -882.69 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 17,200.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0529 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -910.05 0.00 0.00 -910.05 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -1,176.94 0.00 0.00 -1,176.94 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 2,934.71 0.00% 0.6747 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -1,979.97 0.00 0.00 -1,979.97 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2,362.59 0.00 0.00 -2,362.59 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 4,345.39 0.00% 0.6989 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3,036.90 0.00 0.00 -3,036.90 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 6,013.95 0.00 0.00% 0.9460 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 ✅ -5,689.39 0.00 0.00 -5,689.39 Trades
Resolved 25,841.64 69,600.23 -32,237.16 0.00 0.00 63,204.71
Unresolved 38,904.52 0.02 -71,103.01 0.00 0.00 -32,198.46
Total 64,746.16 69,600.25 -103,340.17 0.00 0.00 31,006.24