Polymarket Whales

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Account

Trades

Etherscan
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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 194.94 0.00 0.00% -58.2094 0.79 0.21 154.79 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 11,347.55 0.00 0.00 11,502.34 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 13,707.83 0.00% 0.5253 0.05 0.95 0.00 13,066.99 Sun Dec 31 2023 -7,201.07 0.00 0.00 5,865.92 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 28,118.27 0.00% 0.8177 0.04 0.96 0.00 26,970.77 Sun Dec 31 2023 -22,992.12 0.00 0.00 3,978.65 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 11,713.47 0.00% 0.7216 0.02 0.98 0.00 11,504.30 Sun Dec 31 2023 -8,451.94 0.00 0.00 3,052.36 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 3,328.32 0.01% 0.0033 0.14 0.86 0.00 2,854.07 Tue Sep 10 2024 -10.91 0.00 0.00 2,843.16 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.95 0.05 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 298.00 0.00 0.00 298.00 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.98 0.02 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 279.25 0.00 0.00 279.25 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 210.00 0.00 0.00 210.00 Trades
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.22 0.00% 0.01 0.99 0.00 0.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 84.19 0.00 0.00 84.41 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 11,388.89 0.00% 0.7131 0.29 0.71 0.00 8,137.09 Sun Dec 31 2023 -8,120.89 0.00 0.00 16.20 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.6850 0.28 0.72 0.00 289.46 Sun Jun 30 2024 -274.00 0.00 0.00 15.46 Trades
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 0.00 1.15 0.00% 0.0001 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Kristi Noem win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will Menendez announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 0.00 39.89 0.00% 0.7500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -29.92 0.00 0.00 -29.92 Trades
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? Yes No 222.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6400 0.50 0.50 111.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 -142.08 0.00 0.00 -31.08 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 2,341.88 0.00 0.00% 0.5159 0.50 0.50 1,170.94 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1,208.08 0.00 0.00 -37.14 Trades
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.7500 0.50 0.50 0.00 100.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -150.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -80.00 0.00 0.00 -80.00 Trades
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.50 0.50 0.00 100.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -180.00 0.00 0.00 -80.00 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -105.00 0.00 0.00 -105.00 Trades
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.7800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -159.90 0.00 0.00 -159.90 Trades
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? Yes No 0.00 194.11 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 -164.99 0.00 0.00 -164.99 Trades
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.8300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -166.00 0.00 0.00 -166.00 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? $1800 $2200 0.00 395.00 0.00% 0.4877 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 -192.65 0.00 0.00 -192.65 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 1,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.8248 0.73 0.27 1,451.16 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1,649.61 0.00 0.00 -198.44 Trades
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 -235.00 0.00 0.00 -235.00 Trades
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 256.76 0.00% 0.9221 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 -236.76 0.00 0.00 -236.76 Trades
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? Yes No 450.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7089 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 -319.00 0.00 0.00 -319.00 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.6067 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -364.00 0.00 0.00 -364.00 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4030 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 -403.00 0.00 0.00 -403.00 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' flop? Yes No 0.00 2,153.74 0.00% 0.7068 0.50 0.50 0.00 1,076.87 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,522.19 0.00 0.00 -445.32 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 1,244.12 0.00% 0.7404 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -921.12 0.00 0.00 -921.12 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 2,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6520 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 -1,630.00 0.00 0.00 -1,630.00 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 4,045.15 0.00 0.00% 0.7315 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 -2,959.21 0.00 0.00 -2,959.21 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 39,855.60 0.00 0.00% 0.5812 0.50 0.50 19,927.80 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -23,165.25 0.00 0.00 -3,237.45 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 11,206.98 0.00% 0.6820 0.98 0.02 0.00 180.68 Sun Dec 31 2023 -7,643.23 0.00 0.00 -7,462.55 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 11,418.32 0.00 0.00 11,418.32 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? Yes No 1,217.73 0.00 1.41% -7.7545 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 9,442.93 145.05 0.00 9,587.98 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? Yes No 5.01 0.00 0.00% -1539.1271 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 7,715.23 0.00 0.00 7,715.23 Trades
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? Yes No 12,159.31 0.00 0.00% 0.3952 1.00 0.00 12,159.31 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -4,805.00 0.00 0.00 7,354.31 Trades
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 6.94 0.00% -1049.7605 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 7,288.61 0.00 0.00 7,288.61 Trades
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 21 2023 6,686.92 0.00 0.00 6,686.92 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? Yes No 15,856.08 0.00 0.00% 0.5865 1.00 0.00 15,856.08 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 -9,299.96 0.00 0.00 6,556.12 Trades
What will monthly NFT trading volume be on April 13, 2021? $80M or Less
$81-105M
$106-120M
$121-135M
$136M or More
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Tue Apr 13 2021 6,326.17 0.00 0.00 6,326.17 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.92 0.00% -600.7784 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 5,356.19 0.00 0.00 5,356.19 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 5,304.75 0.00 0.00 5,304.75 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 1.71 0.00 0.00% -2886.7156 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 4,935.24 0.00 0.00 4,935.24 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 4,236.44 0.00 0.00 4,236.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 5.83 0.00 0.00% -688.8466 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 4,019.25 0.00 0.00 4,019.25 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,118.10 0.00% 0.4181 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,118.10 Sat Dec 31 2022 -2,557.78 0.00 0.00 3,560.32 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? Democrat Republican 6,377.75 0.00 0.00% 0.5062 1.00 0.00 6,377.75 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -3,228.13 0.00 0.00 3,149.62 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 23,010.19 0.00% 0.8781 0.00 1.00 0.00 23,010.19 Tue Jul 25 2023 -20,204.17 0.00 0.00 2,806.02 Trades
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 2,618.68 0.00 0.00 2,618.68 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? Yes No 0.00 7,164.58 11.11% 0.6403 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,164.58 Sat Dec 31 2022 -4,587.41 27.49 0.00 2,604.67 Trades
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? Yes No 12,151.71 0.00 0.00% 0.7893 1.00 0.00 12,151.71 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -9,591.26 0.00 0.00 2,560.46 Trades
Will 'Morbius' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 356.90 0.00% -6.1284 0.00 1.00 0.00 356.90 Mon Apr 04 2022 2,187.26 0.00 0.00 2,544.16 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 3,440.07 0.00 0.00% 0.3044 1.00 0.00 3,440.07 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 -1,047.07 0.00 0.00 2,393.00 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 22, 2021? Less than 80
80-95
96-110
111-125
126-140
More than 140
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Mon Mar 22 2021 2,191.24 0.00 0.00 2,191.24 Trades
Will Rebecca Rhynhart win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 2,123.31 0.00 0.00 2,123.31 Trades
How many subscribers will /r/wallstreetbets have on February 7, 2021? Less than 6.5 Million
6.5-7.5 Million
7.5-8.5 Million
8.5-9.5 Million
9.5-10.5 Million
Greater than 10.5 Million
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Sun Feb 07 2021 2,088.90 0.00 0.00 2,088.90 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 12,363.53 0.00% 0.8322 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,363.53 Sun Nov 12 2023 -10,288.47 0.00 0.00 2,075.06 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $5 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 6,329.96 0.00 0.00% 0.6828 1.00 0.00 6,329.96 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 -4,321.94 0.00 0.00 2,008.02 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 7,090.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7306 1.00 0.00 7,090.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 -5,180.20 0.00 0.00 1,909.80 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 1,760.00 0.00 0.00 1,760.00 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 6,592.58 0.00 0.00% 0.7333 1.00 0.00 6,592.58 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 -4,834.12 0.00 0.00 1,758.46 Trades
Will Young Thug's new album have over 140k sales in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 1,708.82 0.00 0.00 1,708.82 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? Yes No 4,028.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5794 1.00 0.00 4,028.00 0.00 Fri Sep 16 2022 -2,333.80 0.00 0.00 1,694.20 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 1,674.03 0.00 0.00 1,674.03 Trades
Which party will control the senate? Republican Democratic 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 1,671.27 0.00 0.00 1,671.28 Trades
Virginia State Legislature: Will Republicans gain full control? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 1,570.00 0.00 0.00 1,570.00 Trades
Will ‘Thor: Love and Thunder’ gross more than $145 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,983.79 0.00% 0.2609 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,983.79 Mon Jul 11 2022 -517.48 0.00 0.00 1,466.31 Trades
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? Yes No 1,689.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1380 1.00 0.00 1,689.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 -233.12 0.00 0.00 1,455.88 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 2,869.61 0.00% 0.4931 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,869.61 Wed Dec 14 2022 -1,415.14 0.00 0.00 1,454.46 Trades
Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 05 2023 1,431.17 0.00 0.00 1,431.17 Trades
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 4,750.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7168 1.00 0.00 4,750.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -3,405.00 0.00 0.00 1,345.00 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 5,734.12 0.00 0.00% 0.7778 1.00 0.00 5,734.12 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -4,460.04 0.00 0.00 1,274.08 Trades
Will the national anthem for Super Bowl LVII be longer than 126 seconds? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 1,252.41 0.00 0.00 1,252.41 Trades
How many album unit sales will Billie Eilish’s “Happier Than Ever” generate in its first week? Long Short 0.00 4,378.32 0.00% 0.6578 0.06 0.94 0.00 4,130.95 Fri Aug 06 2021 -2,880.00 0.00 0.00 1,250.95 Trades
Will Daniel Goldman win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 23 2022 1,238.65 0.00 0.00 1,238.65 Trades
What will The Weeknd’s Nifty Gateway drop generate in total sales? Less than $5M
$5M to less than $10M
$10M to less than $20M
$20M to less than $30M
$30M or more
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Mon Apr 05 2021 1,201.76 0.00 0.00 1,201.76 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 1,730.90 0.00 0.00% 0.3299 1.00 0.00 1,730.90 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -571.06 0.00 0.00 1,159.84 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 2,833.88 0.00 0.00% 0.5964 1.00 0.00 2,833.88 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -1,690.00 0.00 0.00 1,143.88 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 2,381.32 0.00 0.00% 0.5201 1.00 0.00 2,381.32 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -1,238.52 0.00 0.00 1,142.80 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 120 ETH on October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 1,071.54 0.05 0.00 1,071.59 Trades
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 3,356.01 0.00 0.00% 0.6877 1.00 0.00 3,356.01 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 -2,307.84 0.00 0.00 1,048.17 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 6.11 0.05% -169.8073 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 1,037.53 0.00 0.00 1,037.53 Trades
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? Dune Shang-Chi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 21 2021 1,030.71 0.00 0.00 1,030.71 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 2,788.37 0.00% 0.6324 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,788.37 Sat Oct 21 2023 -1,763.37 0.00 0.00 1,025.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 1,015.10 0.00 0.00 1,015.10 Trades
Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 23 2021 1,013.46 0.00 0.00 1,013.46 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $160 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 4,688.29 2.22% 0.7863 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,688.29 Mon Mar 07 2022 -3,686.17 0.00 0.00 1,002.12 Trades
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $150 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 07 2023 972.66 0.00 0.00 972.66 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 1,780.80 0.00 0.00% 0.4598 1.00 0.00 1,780.80 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -818.86 0.00 0.00 961.94 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 2,326.27 0.00 0.00% 0.5906 1.00 0.00 2,326.27 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -1,374.00 0.00 0.00 952.27 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 3,649.64 0.00% 0.7410 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,649.64 Tue Oct 31 2023 -2,704.22 0.00 0.00 945.42 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 100 ETH on February 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 942.80 0.00 0.00 942.81 Trades
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 941.93 0.00 0.00 941.93 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 3.07 0.00% -306.9161 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 940.73 0.00 0.00 940.73 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,065.23 0.00% 0.7712 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,065.23 Mon Aug 01 2022 -3,135.00 0.00 0.00 930.23 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $10 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 4,404.93 0.00 0.00% 0.7898 1.00 0.00 4,404.93 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 -3,478.83 0.00 0.00 926.10 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 919.43 0.00 0.00 919.43 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 915.73 0.00 0.00 915.73 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 3,648.15 0.00 0.00% 0.7555 1.00 0.00 3,648.15 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -2,756.06 0.00 0.00 892.09 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,180.42 0.00% 0.2498 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,180.42 Thu Dec 15 2022 -294.85 0.00 0.00 885.57 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? Yes No 3,072.84 0.00 0.00% 0.7267 1.00 0.00 3,072.84 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -2,232.96 0.00 0.00 839.88 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 60M global weekly streams for period Nov 4 - Nov 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 12 2021 817.42 0.00 0.00 817.42 Trades
Will 'Insidious: The Red Door' gross more than $26.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 807.64 0.00 0.00 807.64 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) Protasiewicz Kelly 5,727.43 0.00 0.00% 0.8596 1.00 0.00 5,727.43 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 -4,923.41 0.00 0.00 804.03 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? Barbie Oppenheimer 10,736.48 0.00 0.00% 0.9251 1.00 0.00 10,736.48 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 -9,932.85 0.00 0.00 803.63 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 786.00 0.00 0.00 786.00 Trades
Will Billie Eilish’s “Happier Than Ever” sell more than 400K album units in its first week? Yes No 0.00 2,969.47 0.00% 0.7392 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,969.47 Fri Aug 06 2021 -2,195.00 0.00 0.00 774.47 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 100 ETH on April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 759.55 0.00 0.00 759.55 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 1,785.38 0.00 0.00% 0.5808 1.00 0.00 1,785.38 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -1,036.97 0.00 0.00 748.40 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Mark Zuckerberg or Larry Page? Mark Zuckerberg Larry Page 0.00 0.00 0.01% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 745.40 0.04 0.00 745.44 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 2,892.07 0.00% 0.7430 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,892.07 Tue Nov 15 2022 -2,148.89 0.00 0.00 743.19 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 3,311.80 0.00 0.00% 0.7820 1.00 0.00 3,311.80 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -2,589.81 0.15 0.00 722.14 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 719.96 0.00 0.00 719.96 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 255.59 0.00% -1.7964 0.00 1.00 0.00 255.59 Mon Sep 20 2021 459.15 0.00 0.00 714.74 Trades
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $27m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,646.75 0.00% 0.5668 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,646.75 Sun Aug 20 2023 -933.45 0.00 0.00 713.30 Trades
Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $40 on November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 709.41 0.03 0.00 709.43 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? Yes No 0.00 3,533.09 0.00% 0.7995 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,533.09 Sun Jan 01 2023 -2,824.67 0.00 0.00 708.41 Trades
Will Kygo's Nifty Gateway drop generate over $5M in total sales? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 25 2021 701.73 0.00 0.00 701.73 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 690.95 0.00 0.00 690.95 Trades
Will Milady outperform BAYC? Yes No 2,229.41 0.00 0.00% 0.6917 1.00 0.00 2,229.41 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 -1,542.18 0.00 0.00 687.23 Trades
Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 13th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 13 2021 679.21 0.00 0.00 679.21 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 62.52 0.00 0.00% -9.4552 1.00 0.00 62.52 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 591.17 0.00 0.00 653.69 Trades
Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanye’s Donda or Drake’s Certified Lover Boy? Kanye Drake 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 608.23 0.00 0.00 608.23 Trades
Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 12 2021 599.23 0.00 0.00 599.23 Trades
Will ‘Nope’ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 590.95 0.00 0.00 590.95 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 585.00 0.00 0.00 585.00 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 2,206.58 0.00 0.00% 0.7437 1.00 0.00 2,206.58 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 -1,641.06 0.00 0.00 565.51 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $30 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,056.29 0.00% 0.4757 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,056.29 Mon Aug 01 2022 -502.52 0.00 0.00 553.77 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 533.05 0.00 0.00 533.05 Trades
Will France win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 1,029.94 0.00% 0.4907 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,029.94 Sun Dec 18 2022 -505.35 0.00 0.00 524.59 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will "Sour" by Olivia Rodrigo win Album of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1,084.22 0.00% 0.5180 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,084.22 Sun May 01 2022 -561.62 0.00 0.00 522.60 Trades
Will the floor price of Doodles be above 12 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 1,847.80 0.00 0.00% 0.7234 1.00 0.00 1,847.80 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 -1,336.74 0.00 0.00 511.06 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? Yes No 0.00 1,850.00 0.00% 0.7243 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,850.00 Fri Jun 02 2023 -1,340.00 0.00 0.00 510.00 Trades
Will the floor price of Chain Runners be above 1.25 ETH on December 2? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 509.15 0.00 0.00 509.15 Trades
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4 by April 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 08 2022 497.95 0.00 0.00 497.95 Trades
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 496.49 0.00 0.00 496.49 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross between $120 million and $160 million on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 877.40 0.00 3.85% 0.4412 1.00 0.00 877.40 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 -387.07 0.00 0.00 490.33 Trades
Will Black Widow gross more than $87.5M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,845.92 0.00% 0.8997 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,845.92 Tue Jul 13 2021 -4,359.66 0.00 0.00 486.26 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? Yes No 2,825.54 0.00 0.00% 0.8300 1.00 0.00 2,825.54 0.00 Mon Jun 05 2023 -2,345.14 0.00 0.00 480.40 Trades
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $70m on its 3-day open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 17 2023 478.02 0.00 0.00 478.02 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? Democrat Republican 917.84 0.00 0.00% 0.4793 1.00 0.00 917.84 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -439.90 0.00 0.00 477.94 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,646.40 0.00% 0.7415 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,646.40 Mon Dec 19 2022 -1,220.82 49.12 0.00 474.70 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $2 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 0.82 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 462.33 0.00 0.00 462.33 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 445.63 0.00 0.00% -0.0263 1.00 0.00 445.63 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 11.72 0.00 0.00 457.35 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 1,115.00 0.00% 0.6017 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,115.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -670.90 0.00 0.00 444.10 Trades
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 28 2021 443.95 0.00 0.00 443.95 Trades
Will Lori Lightfoot win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 2,411.66 0.00% 0.8193 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,411.66 Wed Mar 01 2023 -1,975.81 0.00 0.00 435.85 Trades
Will the Coldplay and BTS single 'My Universe' debut at #1 on the Billboard Global 200 chart? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 429.39 2.04 0.00 431.43 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross between $180 million and $200 million on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 787.31 0.00 0.00% 0.4763 1.00 0.00 787.31 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 -375.00 0.00 0.00 412.31 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% -0.4100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 410.05 0.00 0.00 410.05 Trades
Will the USDC Market Cap be above $36.5 billion on November 28th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 28 2021 408.06 0.09 0.00 408.15 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 59 ETH on January 14? Yes No 975.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5835 1.00 0.00 975.00 0.00 Fri Jan 14 2022 -568.88 0.00 0.00 406.12 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 1,563.69 0.00 0.00% 0.7406 1.00 0.00 1,563.69 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 -1,158.01 0.00 0.00 405.67 Trades
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 405.00 0.00 0.00 405.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 08 2022 399.81 0.00 0.00 399.81 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 1,924.91 0.00 0.00% 0.7977 1.00 0.00 1,924.91 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 -1,535.57 0.00 0.00 389.34 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 6,600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9411 1.00 0.00 6,600.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 -6,211.00 0.00 0.00 389.00 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 0.00 462.94 0.00% 0.1598 0.00 1.00 0.00 462.94 Sat Dec 31 2022 -73.99 0.00 0.00 388.96 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,685.46 0.00% 0.7699 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,685.46 Mon Jul 24 2023 -1,297.66 0.00 0.00 387.80 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 8.85 0.00 0.00% -43.6107 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 385.85 0.00 0.00 385.85 Trades
What will the margin be in Newsom’s recall election? Under 10%
10% to 15%
Over 15%
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
377.75 5.19 0.00 382.94 Trades
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? Yes No 458.11 0.00 0.00% 0.1701 1.00 0.00 458.11 0.00 Wed Sep 15 2021 -77.94 0.00 0.00 380.17 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 860.69 0.00% 0.5644 0.00 1.00 0.00 860.69 Mon Aug 08 2022 -485.80 0.00 0.00 374.89 Trades
Opepen floor price over .69 ETH on July 28? Yes No 0.00 975.69 0.00% 0.6233 0.00 1.00 0.00 975.69 Fri Jul 28 2023 -608.15 0.00 0.00 367.54 Trades
Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 364.17 2.32 0.00 366.49 Trades
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 10 ETH on January 12? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6354 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 -635.36 0.00 0.00 364.63 Trades
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,675.00 0.00% 0.7918 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,675.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -1,326.23 0.07 0.00 348.85 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,441.47 0.00% 0.7605 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,441.47 Mon Nov 20 2023 -1,096.23 0.00 0.00 345.24 Trades
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 340.00 0.00 0.00 340.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 946.44 0.00% 0.6460 0.00 1.00 0.00 946.44 Tue Nov 15 2022 -611.43 0.00 0.00 335.02 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 334.83 0.00 0.00 334.83 Trades
Which movie will gross more domestically on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die? Venom 2 No Time to Die 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 11 2021 331.68 0.03 0.00 331.70 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 330.00 0.00 0.00 330.00 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Chain Runners be on December 2? Long Short 0.07 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 328.19 0.00 0.00 328.19 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.31 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 309.68 0.00 0.00 309.68 Trades
Will the U-3 unemployment rate in January be above 3.8%? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 04 2022 309.36 0.00 0.00 309.36 Trades
Will Claude Monet’s “Nymphéas (fragment)” (Lot 1C) sell for more than $1m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 308.93 0.00 0.00 308.93 Trades
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 308.78 0.07 0.00 308.84 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 305.10 0.00 0.00 305.10 Trades
How much will “In the Heights” gross domestically on opening weekend? Under $22M
$22M-$29M
Over $29M
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tue Jun 15 2021 300.26 0.00 0.00 300.26 Trades
Will ‘Jurassic World Dominion’ gross more than $150 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,554.72 0.00% 0.8098 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,554.72 Mon Jun 13 2022 -1,259.06 0.00 0.00 295.66 Trades
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 17 2021 289.75 0.00 0.00 289.75 Trades
Will @Snowden tweet count be over 6,700 on December 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 284.20 0.00 0.00 284.20 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 280.37 0.00 0.00 280.37 Trades
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 280.25 0.00 0.00 280.25 Trades
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $100m on its 5-day open? Yes No 0.00 1,417.53 0.00% 0.8143 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,417.53 Mon Jul 17 2023 -1,154.27 0.00 0.00 263.26 Trades
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? Yes No 0.00 750.00 0.00% 0.6500 0.00 1.00 0.00 750.00 Sun May 28 2023 -487.50 0.00 0.00 262.50 Trades
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $125 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,227.67 0.00% 0.7908 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,227.67 Sun May 07 2023 -970.85 0.00 0.00 256.82 Trades
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.41 0.00% -57.4657 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 253.15 2.43 0.00 255.58 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 251.21 0.00 0.00 251.21 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 250.00 0.00 0.00 250.00 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 246.46 0.00 0.00 246.46 Trades
Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 1,718.75 0.00% 0.8575 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,718.75 Sun Nov 19 2023 -1,473.75 0.00 0.00 245.00 Trades
Will Proposal 100 for Compound Finance pass? For Against 0.00 370.75 0.00% 0.3423 0.00 1.00 0.00 370.75 Wed Apr 20 2022 -126.92 0.00 0.00 243.83 Trades
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 20 2021 241.05 0.00 0.00 241.05 Trades
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be below 10 ETH on April 22? Yes No 0.36 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 233.65 0.00 0.00 233.65 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 233.38 0.00 0.00 233.38 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 229.45 0.00 0.00 229.45 Trades
Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 228.64 0.00 0.00 228.64 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 695.61 0.00 0.00% 0.6746 1.00 0.00 695.61 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -469.28 0.00 0.00 226.33 Trades
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 03 2021 215.58 8.07 0.00 223.65 Trades
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2022 NBA playoffs? Yes No 347.69 0.00 0.00% 0.3668 1.00 0.00 347.69 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 -127.55 0.00 0.00 220.15 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 220.00 0.00 0.00 220.00 Trades
(NBA) Bucks in six? Yes No 719.77 0.00 0.00% 0.6947 1.00 0.00 719.77 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 -500.00 0.00 0.00 219.77 Trades
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.825 on October 14? Yes No 0.00 864.36 0.00% 0.7462 0.00 1.00 0.00 864.36 Fri Oct 14 2022 -645.00 0.00 0.00 219.36 Trades
Will the floor price of Moonbirds be 15 ETH or more on April 27? Yes No 639.11 0.00 0.00% 0.6572 1.00 0.00 639.11 0.00 Wed Apr 27 2022 -420.00 0.00 0.00 219.11 Trades
Will Free Guy gross more than $20M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 17 2021 218.49 0.00 0.00 218.49 Trades
Will the price of Wolf Game Wool ($WOOL) be above 10 cents at noon on December 7th? Yes No 0.00 696.07 0.00% 0.6906 0.00 1.00 0.00 696.07 Tue Dec 07 2021 -480.72 0.18 0.00 215.54 Trades
Will the floor price of Goblintowns be above 1 ETH on June 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 214.58 0.00 0.00 214.58 Trades
NCAA March Madness: Who will win Wright State vs. Bryant, scheduled for March 16 (6.40 PM ET)? Wright State Bryant 0.00 1.83 0.00% -116.5395 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 16 2022 213.28 0.00 0.00 213.28 Trades
Will the Progressive Conservative Party win a majority in the 2022 Ontario General Election? Yes No 672.72 0.00 0.00% 0.6853 1.00 0.00 672.72 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 -461.03 0.00 0.00 211.69 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 1,527.32 0.00 0.00% 0.8619 1.00 0.00 1,527.32 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 -1,316.44 0.00 0.00 210.88 Trades
Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? France
USA
Italy
Spain
378.87
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
378.87
0.00
0.00
0.00
Fri Jan 14 2022 -170.00 0.00 0.00 208.87 Trades
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 208.31 0.00 0.00 208.31 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 615.27 0.00 0.00% 0.6718 1.00 0.00 615.27 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -413.33 0.00 0.00 201.93 Trades
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,101.43 0.00% 0.8170 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,101.43 Mon Apr 25 2022 -899.84 0.00 0.00 201.59 Trades
Will 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' gross $53 million or more on opening weekend in the United States? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 18 2022 200.75 0.00 0.00 200.75 Trades
Will 'Fast X' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Sun May 21 2023 -300.00 0.00 0.00 200.00 Trades
Will 'The Exorcist: Believer' gross over $28m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 09 2023 197.94 0.00 0.00 197.94 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.3500 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 -105.00 0.00 0.00 195.00 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 383.86 0.00 0.00% 0.4964 1.00 0.00 383.86 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -190.54 0.00 0.00 193.32 Trades
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 13 ETH on January 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 190.09 0.00 0.00 190.09 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.6200 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Tue May 02 2023 -310.00 0.00 0.00 190.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 190.00 0.00 0.00 190.00 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on March 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 0.00 0.26 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 188.07 0.00 0.00 188.07 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 185.00 0.00 0.00 185.00 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
183.73 0.00 0.00 183.73 Trades
Will "Pinocchio" win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film? Yes No 822.70 0.00 0.00% 0.7776 1.00 0.00 822.70 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 -639.70 0.00 0.00 183.00 Trades
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 30 ETH on April 26? Yes No 343.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4722 1.00 0.00 343.00 0.00 Tue Apr 26 2022 -161.96 0.00 0.00 181.04 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 178.99 0.00 0.00 178.99 Trades
Will 'Lightyear' gross more than $90 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 263.43 0.00% 0.3572 0.00 1.00 0.00 263.43 Mon Jun 20 2022 -94.10 7.72 0.00 177.05 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 80 ETH on March 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.28 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 175.97 0.00 0.00 175.97 Trades
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 891.62 0.00% 0.8038 0.00 1.00 0.00 891.62 Sat Dec 31 2022 -716.72 0.00 0.00 174.90 Trades
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 172.61 0.00 0.00 172.61 Trades
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? Yes No 2,104.19 0.00 0.00% 0.9180 1.00 0.00 2,104.19 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 -1,931.69 0.00 0.00 172.50 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $12 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 1,133.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8482 1.00 0.00 1,133.00 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 -961.05 0.00 0.00 171.95 Trades
Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 170.36 0.00 0.00 170.36 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 168.81 0.00 0.00 168.81 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 12 2022 168.06 0.00 0.00 168.06 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 19.5 ETH on August 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 166.00 0.00 0.00 166.00 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 79 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 165.72 0.00 0.00 165.72 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8350 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 -835.00 0.00 0.00 165.00 Trades
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1.90 0.00% -86.2526 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 08 2022 163.78 0.00 0.00 163.78 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 07 2021 163.35 0.00 0.00 163.35 Trades
Will “The Suicide Squad” gross more than $37.5M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 537.62 0.00% 0.7050 0.00 1.00 0.00 537.62 Tue Aug 10 2021 -379.01 0.00 0.00 158.60 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $50 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,893.44 0.00% 0.9163 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,893.44 Mon Aug 01 2022 -1,735.00 0.00 0.00 158.44 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Jessica Chastain win Best Actress? Yes No 353.51 0.00 0.00% 0.5597 1.00 0.00 353.51 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 -197.85 0.13 0.00 155.79 Trades
Who will crowdfund more money: Policeman or Nahel? Police Nahel 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 07 2023 155.10 0.00 0.00 155.10 Trades
Will there be a new (1,073rd) NFL Scorigami in September 2022? Yes No 10.33 0.00 0.00% -14.9340 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 154.32 0.00 0.00 154.32 Trades
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 03 2021 151.46 0.00 0.00 151.46 Trades
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? Yes No 0.00 305.16 0.00% 0.5062 0.00 1.00 0.00 305.16 Fri Feb 25 2022 -154.46 0.00 0.00 150.70 Trades
Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 150.31 0.00 0.00 150.31 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will CODA win Best Picture? Yes No 309.61 0.00 0.00% 0.5168 1.00 0.00 309.61 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 -160.00 0.00 0.00 149.61 Trades
Will a 2nd monkeypox case be reported in the US by August 1? Yes No 0.00 447.83 0.00% 0.6699 0.00 1.00 0.00 447.83 Sun Aug 01 2021 -300.00 0.00 0.00 147.83 Trades
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 23 2022 145.53 0.00 0.00 145.53 Trades
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 144.62 0.00 0.00 144.62 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5200 1.00 0.00 300.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 -156.00 0.00 0.00 144.00 Trades
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 142.37 0.00 0.00 142.37 Trades
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 7 ETH on January 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 140.33 0.00 0.00 140.33 Trades
Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 0.00 748.33 0.00% 0.8176 0.00 1.00 0.00 748.33 Tue Apr 04 2023 -611.83 0.00 0.00 136.50 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 136.00 0.00 0.00 136.00 Trades
Emmys 2022: Will ‘Ted Lasso’ win Outstanding Comedy Series? Yes No 0.00 4.00 0.00% -33.7985 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 135.21 0.10 0.00 135.32 Trades
Will the floor price of Azuki be 30 ETH or more on April 19? Yes No 12.30 0.00 0.00% -10.8994 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 19 2022 134.03 0.00 0.00 134.03 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 132.62 0.42 0.00 133.05 Trades
Formula 1: Which team will collect more points at the 2022 Belgian Grand Prix, Mercedes or Ferrari? Mercedes Ferrari 0.00 254.65 0.00% 0.4909 0.00 1.00 0.00 254.65 Sun Aug 28 2022 -125.00 0.00 0.00 129.65 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $180 million or less on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 832.99 0.00% 0.8464 0.00 1.00 0.00 832.99 Mon May 09 2022 -705.00 0.00 0.00 127.99 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 127.12 0.00 0.00 127.12 Trades
Will 'Haunted Mansion' gross over $30m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 330.01 0.00% 0.6172 0.00 1.00 0.00 330.01 Mon Jul 31 2023 -203.67 0.00 0.00 126.34 Trades
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? Yes No 0.00 364.70 0.00% 0.6537 0.00 1.00 0.00 364.70 Mon Nov 01 2021 -238.40 0.00 0.00 126.30 Trades
Will 'The Creator' gross over $17m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 250.06 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.06 Sun Oct 01 2023 -125.02 0.00 0.00 125.04 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $65m on opening weekend? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 -375.00 0.00 0.00 125.00 Trades
Will CryptoPunks flip Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) by August 1? Yes No 0.00 1,372.78 0.00% 0.9106 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,372.78 Mon Aug 01 2022 -1,250.00 0.00 0.00 122.78 Trades
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? Yes No 750.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8367 1.00 0.00 750.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 -627.50 0.00 0.00 122.50 Trades
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 15 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 370.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6691 1.00 0.00 370.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 -247.56 0.00 0.00 122.44 Trades
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 121.32 0.13 0.00 121.46 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 215.62 0.00% 0.4406 0.00 1.00 0.00 215.62 Mon Aug 08 2022 -95.00 0.00 0.00 120.62 Trades
F1: Will there be a McLaren or a Ferrari car in the top 3 of the Qatar Grand Prix? Yes No 0.00 1,221.86 0.00% 0.9019 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,221.86 Sun Nov 21 2021 -1,102.04 0.06 0.00 119.88 Trades
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 378.80 0.00% 0.6859 0.00 1.00 0.00 378.80 Tue Nov 01 2022 -259.83 0.00 0.00 118.96 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? Higher Lower 0.00 518.28 0.00% 0.7786 0.00 1.00 0.00 518.28 Sun Jan 01 2023 -403.52 0.00 0.00 114.76 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022? Yes No 0.00 586.52 0.00% 0.8059 0.00 1.00 0.00 586.52 Thu Jun 30 2022 -472.70 0.00 0.00 113.82 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 112.08 0.00 0.00 112.08 Trades
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8900 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -890.00 0.00 0.00 110.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 110.00 0.00 0.00 110.00 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 109.69 0.00 0.00 109.69 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October? Yes No 0.00 380.07 0.00% 0.7146 0.00 1.00 0.00 380.07 Mon Oct 31 2022 -271.61 0.00 0.00 108.46 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 107.99 0.00 0.00 107.99 Trades
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from September to October 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 10 2021 107.77 0.00 0.00 107.77 Trades
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 106.69 0.00 0.00 106.69 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14? Yes No 0.00 531.05 0.00% 0.8003 0.00 1.00 0.00 531.05 Fri Oct 14 2022 -425.00 0.00 0.00 106.05 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 6.07 0.00 0.00% -17.3509 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 105.37 0.00 0.00 105.37 Trades
Will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for more than $20 million in its Christie's auction? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 11 2021 105.28 0.00 0.00 105.28 Trades
Will Snake Eyes or Old gross more domestically opening weekend? Snake Eyes Old 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 27 2021 104.10 0.00 0.00 104.10 Trades
Will Kippenberger's "Martin, Into the Corner, You Should Be Ashamed of Yourself" sell for more than 15 million on Christie's? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 99.90 0.00 0.00 99.90 Trades
Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 98.40 0.00 0.00 98.40 Trades
Will 'Thor: Love and Thunder' get a 75% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 121.60 0.00% 0.2056 0.00 1.00 0.00 121.60 Mon Jul 11 2022 -25.00 0.00 0.00 96.60 Trades
Will 'Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny' gross more than $100m on its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 96.00 0.00 0.00 96.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 917.25 0.00% 0.8954 0.00 1.00 0.00 917.25 Tue Sep 13 2022 -821.28 0.00 0.00 95.96 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by October 31? Yes No 0.00 9.51 0.00% -9.7919 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 93.16 0.00 0.00 93.16 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 600,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 92.37 0.00 0.00 92.37 Trades
Will the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) be above $0.142069 on May 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 312.35 0.00% 0.7043 0.00 1.00 0.00 312.35 Fri May 06 2022 -220.00 0.00 0.00 92.35 Trades
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 91.35 0.00 0.00 91.35 Trades
Will the price of $BLUR be above $0.50 on February 28? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9100 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Tue Feb 28 2023 -910.00 0.00 0.00 90.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.8200 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -410.00 0.00 0.00 90.00 Trades
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 238.21 0.00 0.00% 0.6297 1.00 0.00 238.21 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 -150.00 0.00 0.00 88.21 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 87.90 0.03 0.00 87.93 Trades
Will Shang-Chi gross more than $52M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 06 2021 86.86 0.00 0.00 86.86 Trades
What will the “Official Edition” of the United States Constitution sell for at Sotheby’s? Less than 20m
20-30m
More than 30m
0.00
0.02
788.43
0.01% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
788.43
Thu Nov 18 2021 -702.01 0.00 0.00 86.42 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? Yes No 916.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9070 1.00 0.00 916.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 -830.77 0.00 0.00 85.23 Trades
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 85.01 0.00 0.00 85.01 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 85.00 0.00 0.00 85.00 Trades
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 10 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 325.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7406 1.00 0.00 325.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 -240.70 0.00 0.00 84.30 Trades
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 83.77 0.00 0.00 83.77 Trades
Will the floor price of Azuki be 25 ETH or more on April 22? Yes No 173.69 0.00 0.00% 0.5183 1.00 0.00 173.69 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 -90.02 0.00 0.00 83.66 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 83.25 0.00 0.00 83.25 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 65 ETH on January 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 14 2022 82.06 0.00 0.00 82.06 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 44.73 0.00% -0.8005 0.00 1.00 0.00 44.73 Tue Nov 15 2022 35.81 0.00 0.00 80.53 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 80.37 0.00 0.00 80.37 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 79.60 0.00 0.00 79.60 Trades
Formula 1: Will Max Verstappen win the 2022 Belgian Grand Prix? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 28 2022 79.59 0.00 0.00 79.59 Trades
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get a 95% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 429.11 0.00 0.00% 0.8156 1.00 0.00 429.11 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -350.00 0.00 0.00 79.11 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 65 ETH on April 21? Yes No 244.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6771 1.00 0.00 244.00 0.00 Thu Apr 21 2022 -165.20 0.00 0.00 78.80 Trades
Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 16th? Yes No 0.00 0.07 10.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 16 2021 77.36 0.00 0.00 77.36 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @WHCOS account on March 12, 2021? Less than 190
190-205
206-220
221-235
236-250
More than 250
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Fri Mar 12 2021 77.11 0.00 0.00 77.11 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 76.51 0.00 0.00 76.51 Trades
Will the floor price of Doodles be 15 ETH or more on April 24? Yes No 0.00 376.49 0.00% 0.7984 0.00 1.00 0.00 376.49 Sun Apr 24 2022 -300.57 0.00 0.00 75.92 Trades
Will 'No Hard Feelings' gross over $10m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 26 2023 75.24 0.00 0.00 75.24 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 6? Celtics Warriors 0.00 175.94 0.00% 0.5748 0.00 1.00 0.00 175.94 Thu Jun 16 2022 -101.13 0.00 0.00 74.81 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 11 2021 74.76 0.00 0.00 74.76 Trades
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? Less than 8M
8M to less than 10M
10M to less than 15M
15M to less than 20M
20M or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sat May 01 2021 74.41 0.00 0.00 74.41 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 30, 2021? Less than 70
70-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
More than 110
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tue Mar 30 2021 74.32 0.00 0.00 74.32 Trades
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 -126.00 0.00 0.00 74.00 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 50M global streams for the week ending on November 18? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 72.78 0.00 0.00 72.78 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 72.00 0.00 0.00 72.00 Trades
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 71.88 0.00 0.00 71.88 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 240.27 0.00 0.00% 0.7009 1.00 0.00 240.27 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -168.40 0.00 0.00 71.87 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 71.54 0.00 0.00 71.54 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 9th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? Cardano Solana 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 09 2021 71.38 0.01 0.00 71.38 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Jan 07 2023 71.31 0.00 0.00 71.32 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 71.07 0.00 0.00 71.07 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Loot (for Adventurers) be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 421.14 0.00% 0.7124 0.12 0.88 0.00 370.60 Tue Sep 21 2021 -300.00 0.00 0.00 70.60 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 70.50 0.00 0.00 70.50 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 993.64 0.00% 0.9303 0.00 1.00 0.00 993.64 Sun Nov 12 2023 -924.34 0.00 0.00 69.30 Trades
Will President Biden mention SWIFT in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 118.02 0.00% 0.4237 0.00 1.00 0.00 118.02 Tue Mar 01 2022 -50.00 0.00 0.00 68.02 Trades
Formula One: Will Max Verstappen finish ahead of Lewis Hamilton in the Mexican Grand Prix? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 67.81 0.01 0.00 67.82 Trades
Will The Sandbox or Decentraland have a higher floor price on February 1st, 2022? Sandbox Decentraland 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.6629 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 -132.58 0.00 0.00 67.42 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 67.29 0.00 0.00 67.29 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? Democrat Republican 325.66 0.00 0.00% 0.7958 1.00 0.00 325.66 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -259.17 0.00 0.00 66.50 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 64.75 0.00 0.00 64.75 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Loyola (Chi) Ramblers, scheduled for March 18, 12:15 PM ET? Ohio State Buckeyes Loyola (Chi) Ramblers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 18 2022 64.39 0.00 0.00 64.39 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 70 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 64.38 0.00 0.00 64.38 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Ravens Bengals Ravens 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 64.25 0.00 0.00 64.25 Trades
What will the outcome of Elon Musk’s November 6th Twitter Poll be? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 63.99 0.00 0.00 63.99 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 5? Celtics Warriors 0.00 263.69 0.00% 0.7585 0.00 1.00 0.00 263.69 Mon Jun 13 2022 -200.00 0.00 0.00 63.69 Trades
Will ‘Thor: Love and Thunder’ gross more than $190 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 363.69 0.00% 0.8249 0.00 1.00 0.00 363.69 Mon Jul 11 2022 -300.00 0.00 0.00 63.69 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Argentina vs. Netherlands Argentina Netherlands 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 09 2022 63.44 0.00 0.00 63.44 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.3700 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 -37.00 0.00 0.00 63.00 Trades
Will Switzerland qualify from Group G? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 62.76 0.00 0.00 62.76 Trades
Will the floor price of Doodles be 17 ETH or more on April 17? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 17 2022 61.78 0.00 0.00 61.78 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 977.75 0.00% 0.9384 0.00 1.00 0.00 977.75 Tue Mar 15 2022 -917.55 1.56 0.00 61.76 Trades
NBA: Who will win Mavericks vs. Warriors, scheduled for May 22, 9:00 PM ET? Mavericks Warriors 0.00 131.61 0.00% 0.5319 0.00 1.00 0.00 131.61 Sun May 22 2022 -70.00 0.00 0.00 61.61 Trades
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 61.24 0.00 0.00 61.24 Trades
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 460.66 0.00% 0.8683 0.00 1.00 0.00 460.66 Thu Jun 30 2022 -400.00 0.00 0.00 60.66 Trades
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 30 2021 60.55 0.00 0.00 60.55 Trades
World Cup 2022: Sunday - Will Ecuador beat Qatar? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 20 2022 60.35 0.00 0.00 60.35 Trades
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9400 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -940.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 Trades
Will Aston Martin beat Mercedes in the 2023 F1 season? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.7000 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 -140.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 60.00 0.00 0.00 60.00 Trades
Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 59.38 0.00 0.00 59.38 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) Dems/Warnock Reps/Loeffler 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.35 0.00 0.00 59.35 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 3? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 59.22 0.00 0.00 59.22 Trades
Will 'Minions: The Rise of Gru' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 204.15 0.00 0.00% 0.7102 1.00 0.00 204.15 0.00 Tue Jul 05 2022 -145.00 0.00 0.00 59.15 Trades
Did US GDP grow 2.0% or more in Q2 2023? Yes No 95.56 0.00 0.00% 0.3916 1.00 0.00 95.56 0.00 Wed Jul 26 2023 -37.42 0.00 0.00 58.14 Trades
Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 57.37 0.00 0.00 57.37 Trades
Did US GDP grow more than 2.5% in Q4 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 26 2023 57.00 0.00 0.00 57.00 Trades
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 17 2021 56.94 0.00 0.00 56.94 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Mark Zuckerberg or Michael Bloomberg? Mark Zuckerberg Michael Bloomberg 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 53.05 2.96 0.00 56.01 Trades
What will the margin of victory be in the 2021 OH-11 democratic primary? Long Short 0.00 491.02 0.00% 0.7332 0.15 0.85 0.00 415.88 -360.00 0.00 0.00 55.88 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by August 31? Yes No 0.00 154.81 0.00% 0.6459 0.00 1.00 0.00 154.81 Wed Aug 31 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 54.81 Trades
Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? Yes No 295.44 0.00 0.00% 0.8147 1.00 0.00 295.44 0.00 Tue Oct 25 2022 -240.68 0.00 0.00 54.76 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022? Yes No 955.41 0.00 0.00% 0.9430 1.00 0.00 955.41 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 -900.99 0.00 0.00 54.43 Trades
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 153.97 0.00 0.00% 0.6495 1.00 0.00 153.97 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 53.97 Trades
Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired before June 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 53.95 0.00 0.00 53.95 Trades
NCAA March Madness: Who will win the Indiana vs. Wyoming, scheduled for March 15 (9.10 PM ET)? Indiana Wyoming 153.19 0.00 0.00% 0.6528 1.00 0.00 153.19 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 53.19 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 21? Yes No 0.00 119.92 0.00% 0.5576 0.00 1.00 0.00 119.92 Fri Oct 21 2022 -66.87 0.00 0.00 53.05 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15? Republicans Democrats 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 52.88 0.00 0.00 52.88 Trades
Will The Sandbox or Decentraland have a higher floor price on March 1st, 2022? Sandbox Decentraland 0.00 0.00 11.11% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 52.67 0.00 0.00 52.67 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $120 million or less on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 52.66 0.00 0.00 52.66 Trades
Will Banksy’s “Love is in the Air” sell for more than $5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 51.96 0.00 0.00 51.96 Trades
Will Emily Ratajkowski’s NFT go for more than $2 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 14 2021 51.48 0.00 0.00 51.48 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $20 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 195.32 0.00 0.00% 0.2371 0.50 0.50 97.66 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -46.31 0.00 0.00 51.35 Trades
Will the Turkish Central Bank raise interest rates at its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 22 2023 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 64.75 0.00 0.00% 0.2317 1.00 0.00 64.75 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 -15.00 0.00 0.00 49.75 Trades
Will HOP token be above $0.10 on June 16, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 16 2022 49.49 0.00 0.00 49.49 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 99.20 0.00% 0.5041 0.00 1.00 0.00 99.20 Sat Dec 31 2022 -50.00 0.00 0.00 49.20 Trades
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 20 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 128.71 0.00 0.00% 0.6190 1.00 0.00 128.71 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 -79.67 0.00 0.00 49.04 Trades
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 48.42 0.00 0.00 48.42 Trades
NFL Thursday: Colts vs. Broncos Colts Broncos 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 06 2022 48.35 0.00 0.00 48.35 Trades
Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.8794 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 -351.76 0.00 0.00 48.24 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 47.71 0.00 0.00 47.71 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on June 30? Yes No 25.48 0.00 0.00% -0.8615 1.00 0.00 25.48 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 21.96 0.00 0.00 47.44 Trades
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors Kings Warriors 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.5300 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 -53.00 0.00 0.00 47.00 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 07 2021 46.86 0.00 0.00 46.86 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 07 2021 46.74 0.00 0.00 46.74 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,200.00 0.00% 0.9617 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,200.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 -1,154.00 0.00 0.00 46.00 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 45.24 0.00 0.00 45.24 Trades
Will the Heat beat the Pacers by more than 4.5 points in their October 23rd matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 23 2021 44.53 0.01 0.00 44.54 Trades
Will Venom: Let There Be Carnage gross between $64M and $72M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.79 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.79 Mon Oct 04 2021 43.56 0.00 0.00 44.35 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 44.23 0.02 0.00 44.25 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 3.35 0.00 0.00% -12.1117 1.00 0.00 3.35 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 40.54 0.00 0.00 43.89 Trades
Did US GDP grow 1.0% or more in Q2 2023? Yes No 115.91 0.00 0.00% 0.6300 1.00 0.00 115.91 0.00 Wed Jul 26 2023 -73.03 0.00 0.00 42.89 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 12 2021 42.33 0.00 0.00 42.33 Trades
Washington (-4) v. Giants Spread Washington Giants 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 16 2021 42.22 0.00 0.00 42.22 Trades
Will Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 03 2021 41.91 0.00 0.00 41.91 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.17 2.63 0.00 41.81 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on July 25? Yes No 0.00 619.79 0.00% 0.9328 0.00 1.00 0.00 619.79 Mon Jul 25 2022 -578.12 0.00 0.00 41.67 Trades
Will the Gorgosaurus skeleton sell for more than $6 million at Sotheby's? Yes No 0.00 52.71 0.00% 0.2135 0.00 1.00 0.00 52.71 Thu Jul 28 2022 -11.25 0.19 0.00 41.65 Trades
Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Game 1? 76ers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 41.38 0.00 0.00 41.38 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 41.18 0.00 0.00 41.18 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be 70 ETH or above on Aug 31? Yes No 296.50 0.00 0.00% 0.8613 1.00 0.00 296.50 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 -255.38 0.00 0.00 41.12 Trades
Will Keith Haring’s “Untitled” sell for more than $6 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 40.38 0.00 0.00 40.38 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 4.04 0.00 0.06% -10.0032 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 40.37 0.00 0.00 40.37 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on January 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 7.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 13 2022 40.28 0.00 0.00 40.28 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 140.23 0.00% 0.7131 0.00 1.00 0.00 140.23 Mon Aug 09 2021 -100.00 0.00 0.00 40.23 Trades
Will 'My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3' gross over $10m opening weekend? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Mon Sep 11 2023 -60.00 0.00 0.00 40.00 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play any games by November 15? Yes No 0.00 139.81 0.00% 0.7153 0.00 1.00 0.00 139.81 Tue Nov 15 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 39.81 Trades
How much will “Dune” gross domestically on opening weekend? Long Short 0.00 1,237.48 12.50% 0.6014 0.37 0.63 0.00 783.28 Mon Oct 25 2021 -744.18 0.00 0.00 39.10 Trades
Will the price of $UMA be above $8.00 on March 17, 2022? Yes No 0.51 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 38.95 0.00 0.00 38.95 Trades
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6? Yes No 41.65 0.00 0.00% -0.9316 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 06 2022 38.80 0.00 0.00 38.80 Trades
Will the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi be $85 billion or higher on April 17? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 17 2022 38.75 0.00 0.00 38.75 Trades
Will Cy Twombly’s “Untitled (Rome)” sell for more than $45 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 38.10 0.00 0.00 38.10 Trades
NBA All-Star 2022: Will Team LeBron win by more than 5.5 points? Yes No 0.00 143.79 0.00% 0.7362 0.00 1.00 0.00 143.79 Sun Feb 20 2022 -105.86 0.00 0.00 37.93 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 37.66 0.00 0.00 37.66 Trades
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 99.99 0.00 0.00% 0.6423 1.00 0.00 99.99 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -64.22 0.00 0.00 35.77 Trades
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? McGregor Poirier 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 35.04 0.00 0.00 35.04 Trades
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 35.03 0.00 0.00 35.03 Trades
Will 'Strays' gross over $20m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Sun Aug 20 2023 -465.00 0.00 0.00 35.00 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3? Kim Kardashian Taylor Swift 227.77 0.00 0.00% 0.8474 1.00 0.00 227.77 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 -193.03 0.00 0.00 34.75 Trades
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 34.16 0.00 0.00 34.16 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play in an NBA game by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 33.67 0.00 0.00 33.67 Trades
Will a South Korean team win LOL Worlds 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 05 2022 33.00 0.00 0.00 33.00 Trades
PA-07 House: Will a Democrat (Wild) or Republican (Scheller) win? Democrat Republican 61.82 0.00 0.00% 0.4691 1.00 0.00 61.82 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -29.00 0.00 0.00 32.82 Trades
NBA All-Star 2022: Will Jalen Green win the AT&T Slam Dunk contest? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 19 2022 32.68 0.00 0.00 32.68 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (O'Rourke) or Republican (Abbott) win in Texas? Democrat Republican 2.65 0.00 0.00% -12.2206 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 32.43 0.00 0.00 32.43 Trades
NCAAB: Will the Gonzaga Bulldogs beat the Memphis Tigers by more than 10.5 points in their March 19, 9:40 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.68 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 31.91 0.00 0.00 31.91 Trades
Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 31.52 0.00 0.00 31.52 Trades
Will PAW Patrol: The Movie and The Protege have a combined domestic opening weekend gross of over 17M? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 23 2021 31.14 0.00 0.00 31.14 Trades
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? Yes No 0.00 111.00 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 1.00 0.00 111.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 -79.92 0.00 0.00 31.08 Trades
Will Axie Infinity's Battles V3 "Axie: Origin" be released by March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 30.94 0.00 0.00 30.94 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 29.80 0.00 0.00 29.80 Trades
NCAA Finals: Will Kansas beat UNC by more than 4.5 points in their Apr 4 (9.20 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 229.80 0.00% 0.8703 0.00 1.00 0.00 229.80 Mon Apr 04 2022 -200.00 0.00 0.00 29.80 Trades
Will Joan Miró’s “Femme (Femme debout)” sell for more than $10 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 29.73 0.00 0.00 29.73 Trades
NBA: Who will win Heat vs. Celtics, scheduled for May 17, 8:30 PM ET? Heat Celtics 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 28.82 0.00 0.00 28.82 Trades
Will Joan Mitchell's "Untitled" sell for more than $15 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 28.71 0.00 0.00 28.71 Trades
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 05 2022 28.39 0.00 0.00 28.39 Trades
Will the Dolphins or the Bills win their NFL week 2 matchup? Bills Dolphins 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 19 2021 27.72 0.00 0.00 27.72 Trades
Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.02 Fri May 13 2022 27.66 0.00 0.00 27.67 Trades
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 55.20 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 1.00 0.00 55.20 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 -27.60 0.00 0.00 27.60 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 227.49 0.00 0.00% 0.8791 1.00 0.00 227.49 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 -200.00 0.00 0.00 27.49 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? Yes No 0.00 176.99 0.00% 0.8475 0.00 1.00 0.00 176.99 Mon Oct 31 2022 -150.00 0.00 0.00 26.99 Trades
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 5.50 21.09 0.00 26.59 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 126.52 0.00% 0.7904 0.00 1.00 0.00 126.52 Tue Sep 13 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 26.52 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 89 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 26.48 0.00 0.00 26.48 Trades
Will 'Halloween Ends' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 17 2022 26.20 0.00 0.00 26.20 Trades
UFC 276: Who will win - Volkanovski vs Holloway Volkanovski Holloway 76.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6579 1.00 0.00 76.00 0.00 Sat Jul 02 2022 -50.00 0.00 0.00 26.00 Trades
Will George Condo’s “Reclining Blue Form” sell for more than $3.5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 25.16 0.00 0.00 25.16 Trades
Will 'Sonic the Hedgehog 2' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 25.05 0.00 0.00 25.05 Trades
Golden Globes: Will "The Fabelmans" win Best Picture - Drama? Yes No 55.60 0.00 0.00% 0.5500 1.00 0.00 55.60 0.00 Wed Jan 11 2023 -30.58 0.00 0.00 25.02 Trades
Bills (-6.5) v. Steelers Spread Bills Steelers 0.00 49.77 0.00% 0.5023 0.00 1.00 0.00 49.77 Sun Sep 12 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 24.77 Trades
Will Claude Monet’s “Waterloo Bridge” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 24.67 0.00 0.00 24.67 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win the Suns v. Lakers on October 22nd? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 22 2021 24.59 0.00 0.00 24.59 Trades
Will Candyman gross more than $19M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 74.44 0.00 0.00% 0.6717 1.00 0.00 74.44 0.00 Mon Aug 30 2021 -50.00 0.00 0.00 24.44 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 18 2022 24.11 0.00 0.00 24.11 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.7600 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 -76.00 0.00 0.00 24.00 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 23.38 0.00 0.00 23.38 Trades
Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 23.16 0.00 0.00 23.16 Trades
UFC 276: Who will win - Adesanya vs Cannonier Adesanya Cannonier 122.98 0.00 0.00% 0.8132 1.00 0.00 122.98 0.00 Sat Jul 02 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 22.98 Trades
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 25 2023 22.74 0.00 0.00 22.74 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5500 1.00 0.00 50.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -27.50 0.00 0.00 22.50 Trades
Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 42.32 0.00 0.00% 0.4726 1.00 0.00 42.32 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -20.00 0.00 0.00 22.32 Trades
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 22.30 0.00 0.00 22.30 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 527.54 0.00% 0.9577 0.00 1.00 0.00 527.54 Fri Nov 24 2023 -505.25 0.00 0.00 22.29 Trades
Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? Yes No 0.06 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 22.20 0.00 0.00 22.26 Trades
Will Claude Monet's “Au jardin, la famille de l’artiste” (Lot 41C) sell for more than $18m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 22.23 0.00 0.00 22.23 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 22.02 0.00 0.00 22.02 Trades
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 21.90 0.00 0.00 21.90 Trades
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 21.89 0.00 0.00 21.89 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 100 ETH on July 18? Yes No 0.00 71.82 0.00% 0.6962 0.00 1.00 0.00 71.82 Mon Jul 18 2022 -50.00 0.00 0.00 21.82 Trades
Will a team from China win Dota 2 The International 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 17 2021 21.69 0.00 0.00 21.69 Trades
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Meules de blé” (Lot 8C) sell for more than $30m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 21.68 0.00 0.00 21.68 Trades
Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 21.61 0.00 0.00 21.61 Trades
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? Yes No 96.48 0.00 0.00% 0.7773 1.00 0.00 96.48 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -75.00 0.00 0.00 21.48 Trades
Will Allyson Felix win a medal in the Women’s 400M? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 06 2021 21.45 0.00 0.00 21.45 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 71.34 0.00 0.00% 0.7009 1.00 0.00 71.34 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 -50.00 0.00 0.00 21.34 Trades
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Jeune homme au bleuet” (Lot 20C) sell for more than $7m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 21.33 0.00 0.00 21.33 Trades
NBA All-Star 2022: Will the top scoring player be from Team LeBron or Team Durant? Team LeBron Team Durant 41.94 0.00 0.00% 0.4927 1.00 0.00 41.94 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 -20.66 0.00 0.00 21.28 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 9, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 21.20 0.00 0.00 21.20 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be 111 ETH or more on April 23? Yes No 179.32 0.00 0.00% 0.8823 1.00 0.00 179.32 0.00 Sat Apr 23 2022 -158.21 0.00 0.00 21.11 Trades
Will Bing's market share be >4% in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 21.06 0.00 0.00 21.06 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 300,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 10.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 20.88 0.00 0.00 20.88 Trades
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 05 2023 20.87 0.00 0.00 20.87 Trades
Will the Pacers or the Wizards win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Pacers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 20.62 0.00 0.00 20.62 Trades
Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 20.40 0.00 0.00 20.40 Trades
Will 400 million doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by March 25, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 25 2021 20.37 0.00 0.00 20.37 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Michigan St Spartans vs. Davidson Wildcats, scheduled for March 18, 9:40 PM ET? Michigan St Spartans Davidson Wildcats 0.00 7.03 0.00% -2.8937 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 18 2022 20.35 0.00 0.00 20.35 Trades
Will the Buccaneers beat the Eagles by more than 7.5 points in their week six matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 20.29 0.00 0.00 20.29 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 -980.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
What will Beeple's “Ocean Front” sell for in its Nifty Gateway auction? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 22 2021 19.71 0.00 0.00 19.71 Trades
Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 19.41 0.00 0.00 19.41 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? Yes No 0.00 12.31 0.00% -0.5502 0.00 1.00 0.00 12.31 Fri Aug 26 2022 6.77 0.00 0.00 19.08 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8100 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -81.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 Trades
Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 18.78 0.00 0.00 18.78 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 24th: Polygon ($MATIC) or Algorand ($ALGO)? Polygon Algorand 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 18.76 0.00 0.00 18.76 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on October 14? Yes No 0.00 9.07 0.00% -2.0510 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 14 2022 18.61 0.00 0.00 18.61 Trades
Who will win the Suns v. Trail Blazers game on October 23rd? Suns Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 23 2021 18.03 0.00 0.00 18.03 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 17 2021 17.91 0.00 0.00 17.91 Trades
Will Yuh-Line Niou win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 23 2022 17.79 0.00 0.00 17.79 Trades
What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 17.74 0.00 0.00 17.74 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 69 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 17.68 0.00 0.00 17.68 Trades
Will Conor McGregor win his UFC 257 match on January 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 23 2021 17.60 0.00 0.00 17.60 Trades
Will Elden Ring be in the top 5 most played games on Steam on March 15, 2022? Yes No 92.59 0.00 0.00% 0.8100 1.00 0.00 92.59 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 -75.00 0.00 0.00 17.59 Trades
Chiefs (-6) v. Browns Spread Chiefs Browns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 12 2021 17.54 0.00 0.00 17.54 Trades
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 97.40 0.00 0.00% 0.8213 1.00 0.00 97.40 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 -80.00 0.00 0.00 17.40 Trades
Emmys 2022: Will ‘Succession’ win Outstanding Drama Series? Yes No 53.45 0.00 0.00% 0.6808 1.00 0.00 53.45 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 -36.39 0.23 0.00 17.29 Trades
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 17.26 0.00 0.00 17.26 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on February 11th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 11 2022 17.19 0.00 0.00 17.19 Trades
Who will win Clippers vs. Mavericks: Game 2? Clippers Mavericks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 17.09 0.00 0.00 17.09 Trades
Formula 1: Who will finish ahead at the 2022 Australian Grand Prix: Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc? Max Verstappen Charles Leclerc 0.00 43.58 0.00% 0.6151 0.00 1.00 0.00 43.58 Sun Apr 10 2022 -26.81 0.00 0.00 16.77 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 16 2021 16.68 0.00 0.00 16.68 Trades
Will the Bucks or Hawks win the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.48 0.00 0.00 16.48 Trades
How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.38 0.62 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 16.47 0.00 0.00 16.47 Trades
Will there be over 220,000 encounters at the US-Mexico border in August 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 16.44 0.00 0.00 16.44 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 16.19 0.00 0.00 16.19 Trades
Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 16.16 0.00 0.00 16.16 Trades
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? Paul Woodley 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 29 2021 15.56 0.00 0.00 15.56 Trades
NFL Monday: Rams vs. 49ers Rams 49ers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 15.43 0.00 0.00 15.43 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by Noon, November 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 15.32 0.00 0.00 15.32 Trades
2022 Winter Olympics: Will the USA or Canada get more gold medals? USA Canada 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 15.32 0.00 0.00 15.32 Trades
Will Biden say "Folks" during his SOTU? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8500 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 -85.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Biden mention "AI" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8500 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 -85.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will 'The Nun II' gross over $40m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 11 2023 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference? Yes No 0.00 104.81 0.00% 0.8587 0.00 1.00 0.00 104.81 Tue May 31 2022 -90.00 0.00 0.00 14.81 Trades
Will 'The Flash' gross over $85m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 12 2023 14.75 0.00 0.00 14.75 Trades
Will 'The Flash' gross over $100m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 151.00 0.00% 0.9026 0.00 1.00 0.00 151.00 Sun Jun 18 2023 -136.30 0.00 0.00 14.70 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.16 0.00% -12.5833 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 14.62 0.00 0.00 14.62 Trades
Will “Jackass Forever” gross domestically more than $25 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 29.62 0.00% 0.5065 0.00 1.00 0.00 29.62 Mon Feb 07 2022 -15.00 0.00 0.00 14.62 Trades
Emmys 2022: Will ‘White Lotus’ win Outstanding Limited Series? Yes No 0.09 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.09 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 14.30 0.13 0.00 14.53 Trades
Will Joan Miro's "Peinture poème” (Lot 71C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 14.50 0.00 0.00 14.50 Trades
Will Jeff Koons' “Pancakes” sell for more than $1.5 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 14.29 0.00 0.00 14.29 Trades
Utopia (Travis Scott) vs. Austin (Post Malone) 1st week sales Utopia Austin 243.21 0.00 0.00% 0.9429 1.00 0.00 243.21 0.00 Thu Aug 03 2023 -229.32 0.00 0.00 13.89 Trades
Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 10 2021 13.73 0.00 0.00 13.73 Trades
Will Basquiat’s “Versus Medici” sell for more than $50 million at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 13.69 0.00 0.00 13.69 Trades
Who will win UFC 268: Covington vs Usman? Covington Usman 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 06 2021 13.46 0.00 0.00 13.46 Trades
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 13.35 0.00 0.00 13.35 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 13.32 0.00 0.00 13.32 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be on April 9? 49,999 or fewer
50,000-62,499
62,500-74,999
75,000 or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Fri Apr 09 2021 13.31 0.00 0.00 13.31 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 250,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 11.11% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 13.30 0.00 0.00 13.30 Trades
Will the price of Wolf Game Wool ($WOOL) be above 10 cents at noon on December 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 13.28 0.00 0.00 13.28 Trades
Will Andy Warhol’s “Two Marilyns” sell for more than $18 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 13.24 0.00 0.00 13.24 Trades
Will Valtteri Bottas finish ahead of Sergio Perez in the Saudi Arabian Gran Prix? Yes No 32.24 0.00 0.00% 0.5993 1.00 0.00 32.24 0.00 Sun Dec 05 2021 -19.32 0.00 0.00 12.92 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 20 2021 12.89 0.00 0.00 12.89 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Lakers: Game 6? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 03 2021 12.85 0.00 0.00 12.85 Trades
UFC 276: Will Adesanya KO/TKO Cannonier? Yes No 0.00 37.70 0.00% 0.6632 0.00 1.00 0.00 37.70 Sat Jul 02 2022 -25.00 0.00 0.00 12.70 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 12.66 0.00 0.00 12.66 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 15.21 0.00% 0.1700 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.21 Sat Dec 31 2022 -2.59 0.00 0.00 12.63 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 32.60 0.00% 0.6134 0.00 1.00 0.00 32.60 Thu Sep 02 2021 -20.00 0.00 0.00 12.60 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 12.40 0.00 0.00 12.40 Trades
Will Kanye West release 'Donda 2' (or another new album) by 2/22/22? Yes No 6.42 0.00 0.00% -1.8943 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 12.16 0.00 0.00 12.16 Trades
Will the Wizards or the Celtics win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Wizards Celtics 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 18 2021 12.06 0.00 0.00 12.06 Trades
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 -188.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Trades
Will Piet Mondrian’s “Composition: No. II” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 11.84 0.00 0.00 11.84 Trades
Will ApeCoin (APE) be below $4.20 on 4/20/2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 11.69 0.00 0.00 11.69 Trades
Will President Biden mention "reset" in his press conference on January 19 ? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 11.42 0.00 0.00 11.42 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 1,000,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 11.35 0.00 0.00 11.35 Trades
Will “Jackass Forever” gross domestically more than $30 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 0.35 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 07 2022 11.28 0.00 0.00 11.28 Trades
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $70 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 91.67 0.00 0.00% 0.8800 1.00 0.00 91.67 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 -80.67 0.00 0.00 11.00 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 10.06 0.91 0.00 10.97 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 10.94 0.00 0.00 10.94 Trades
Will Roy Lichtenstein’s “Interior: Perfect Pitcher” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 10.64 0.00 0.00 10.64 Trades
How much ETH will be burned one month after EIP-1559 was implemented? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.78 0.22 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 05 2021 10.51 0.00 0.00 10.51 Trades
Will more than 2.05 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 22nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 23 2021 10.49 0.00 0.00 10.49 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Celtics, scheduled for April 25, 7:01 PM ET? Nets Celtics 0.00 30.46 0.00% 0.6566 0.00 1.00 0.00 30.46 Mon Apr 25 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 10.46 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $4500 by November 11th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 10.19 0.00 0.00 10.19 Trades
Will the Braves or Dodgers win their NLCS matchup? Braves Dodgers 99.40 0.00 0.00% 0.8993 1.00 0.00 99.40 0.00 Sun Oct 24 2021 -89.40 0.02 0.00 10.03 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Nuggets by more than 8.5 points in their April 27, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 19.97 0.00% 0.5006 0.00 1.00 0.00 19.97 Wed Apr 27 2022 -10.00 0.00 0.00 9.97 Trades
Will Caeleb Dressel win gold in the Men’s 100M freestyle at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 28 2021 9.94 0.00 0.00 9.94 Trades
Will the Hornets or the Pacers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Hornets Pacers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 18 2021 9.70 0.00 0.00 9.70 Trades
NBA: Will the Cavaliers beat the Hawks by more than 1.5 points in their February 15 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 24.62 0.00% 0.6092 0.00 1.00 0.00 24.62 Tue Feb 15 2022 -15.00 0.00 0.00 9.62 Trades
Will more or less than 221 total points be scored in Suns v. Clippers: Finals Game 3? More Less 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 24 2021 9.61 0.00 0.00 9.61 Trades
Will the price of $MATIC be above $1.40 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 9.39 0.00 0.00 9.39 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Cavaliers vs. Hawks, scheduled for February 15 (7.30 PM ET)? Cavaliers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 9.37 0.00 0.00 9.37 Trades
Will @Snowden tweet again by May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 109.25 0.00% 0.9153 0.00 1.00 0.00 109.25 Sun May 01 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 9.25 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 8.99 0.00 0.00 8.99 Trades
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 8.93 0.00 0.00 8.93 Trades
Golden Globes: Will Brendan Fraser win Best Actor - Drama? Yes No 0.00 24.84 0.00% 0.6454 0.00 1.00 0.00 24.84 Wed Jan 11 2023 -16.03 0.00 0.00 8.81 Trades
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 8.80 0.00 0.00 8.80 Trades
NBA: Who will win Celtics vs. Nets, scheduled for April 17 (3:30 PM ET)? Celtics Nets 3.57 0.00 0.00% -1.4555 1.00 0.00 3.57 0.00 Sun Apr 17 2022 5.20 0.00 0.00 8.77 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 10.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 8.61 0.00 0.00 8.61 Trades
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 13.48 0.00% 0.3710 0.00 1.00 0.00 13.48 Wed Sep 01 2021 -5.00 0.00 0.00 8.48 Trades
Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 19 2022 8.42 0.00 0.00 8.42 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 8.31 0.00 0.00 8.31 Trades
Will the Ronin Network hacker return 90% or more of exploited funds by April 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 14 2022 8.22 0.00 0.00 8.22 Trades
UFC 273: Who will win - Alexander Volkanovski or Chan Sung Jung (Korean Zombie)? Volkanovski Jung 56.84 0.00 0.01% 0.8598 1.00 0.00 56.84 0.00 Sat Apr 09 2022 -48.86 0.24 0.00 8.21 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Pacers vs. Wizards, scheduled for February 16 (7.30 PM ET)? Pacers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 16 2022 7.98 0.00 0.00 7.98 Trades
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 7.86 0.00 0.00 7.86 Trades
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 32.83 0.00% 0.7615 0.00 1.00 0.00 32.83 Wed Sep 01 2021 -25.00 0.00 0.00 7.83 Trades
(In-game Trading) Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 4? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 7.81 0.00 0.00 7.81 Trades
Who will win Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: Game 2? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 7.79 0.00 0.00 7.79 Trades
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? Jake Paul Anderson Silva 28.11 0.00 0.00% 0.7278 1.00 0.00 28.11 0.00 Sat Oct 29 2022 -20.46 0.00 0.00 7.65 Trades
Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 22 2022 7.58 0.00 0.00 7.58 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 4? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 7.53 0.00 0.00 7.53 Trades
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? Bezos Musk 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 25 2021 7.43 0.00 0.00 7.43 Trades
NBA: Will the sum of points in Celtics v 76ers be greater than 209.5? Yes No 0.00 17.40 0.00% 0.5746 0.00 1.00 0.00 17.40 Wed Dec 01 2021 -10.00 0.00 0.00 7.40 Trades
Will Johnson and Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 7.37 0.00 0.00 7.37 Trades
Will the Suns or the Lakers win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 23 2021 7.19 0.00 0.00 7.19 Trades
Will Twitter vote "Yes" on Musk's poll to reinstate @realDonaldTrump? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 19 2022 7.07 0.00 0.00 7.07 Trades
Will Basquiat's "In this Case" sell for more than 70 million? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 7.02 0.00 0.00 7.02 Trades
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 8.5 points in their May 4, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 26.98 0.00 0.00% 0.7414 1.00 0.00 26.98 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 6.98 Trades
Will Brian Kemp win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? Yes No 31.40 0.00 0.00% 0.7961 1.00 0.00 31.40 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 -25.00 0.00 0.00 6.40 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.00 11.34 0.00% 0.4408 0.00 1.00 0.00 11.34 Thu Nov 10 2022 -5.00 0.00 0.00 6.34 Trades
What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 6.34 0.00 0.00 6.34 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 12 2022 6.24 0.00 0.00 6.24 Trades
Will the Bucks or Jazz win their preseason matchup on October 13th? Bucks Jazz 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 6.20 0.00 0.00 6.20 Trades
NCAA: Will the Gonzaga Bulldogs win March Madness 2022? Yes No 0.00 107.33 0.00% 0.9429 0.00 1.00 0.00 107.33 Mon Apr 04 2022 -101.20 0.00 0.00 6.13 Trades
Who will win Clippers v. Mavericks: Game 6? Clippers Mavericks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 04 2021 6.03 0.00 0.00 6.03 Trades
Will Gerhard Richter's “Abstraktes Bild” (Lot 27C) sell for more than $35m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 5.99 0.00 0.00 5.99 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Mavericks by more than 6.5 points in their May 15, 8:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 105.78 0.00% 0.9454 0.00 1.00 0.00 105.78 Sun May 15 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 5.78 Trades
Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 2? Bucks Heat 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 5.75 0.00 0.00 5.75 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.00 19.50 0.00% 0.7067 0.00 1.00 0.00 19.50 Tue Nov 08 2022 -13.78 0.00 0.00 5.72 Trades
Will MrBeast's next Youtube video get over 50M views in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 5.51 0.00 0.00 5.51 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 28 2022 5.48 0.00 0.00 5.48 Trades
Will Tom Tugendhat be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 5.31 0.00 0.00 5.31 Trades
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 5.24 0.00 0.00 5.24 Trades
TX-34 House: Will a Democrat (Gonzalez) or Republican (Flores) win? Democrat Republican 25.21 0.00 0.00% 0.7935 1.00 0.00 25.21 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 5.21 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? Yes No 1.93 0.00 0.00% -1.6232 1.00 0.00 1.93 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 3.13 0.00 0.00 5.06 Trades
Will Lost Ark be #1 for peak players on Steam on February 25? Yes No 7.03 0.00 0.00% -0.7131 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 5.01 0.00 0.00 5.01 Trades
How much will “Scream” (2022) gross domestically on opening weekend? Long Short 124.67 0.00 0.00% 0.5615 0.60 0.40 74.90 0.00 Mon Jan 17 2022 -70.00 0.00 0.00 4.90 Trades
Formula 1: Who will finish ahead at the 2022 Spanish Grand Prix, Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc? Max Verstappen Charles Leclerc 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 22 2022 4.88 0.00 0.00 4.88 Trades
Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 4.84 0.00 0.00 4.84 Trades
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1.60 on November 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 4.79 0.00 0.00 4.79 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Conference Semifinal Game 2? Suns Nuggets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 09 2021 4.79 0.00 0.00 4.79 Trades
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28? Yes No 0.00 23.95 0.00% 0.8000 0.00 1.00 0.00 23.95 Tue Feb 28 2023 -19.16 0.00 0.00 4.79 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 4.74 0.00 0.00 4.74 Trades
NBA: Who will win Heat vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 19, 7:30 PM ET? Heat Hawks 24.72 0.00 0.00% 0.8090 1.00 0.00 24.72 0.00 Tue Apr 19 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 4.72 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso’s “Nu couché à la libellule” sell for more than HK$68M at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 4.60 0.00 0.00 4.60 Trades
Will there be more than 140 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 20, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 20 2021 4.54 0.00 0.00 4.54 Trades
Will Biden and Putin meet by March 21, 2022? Yes No 0.00 9.47 0.00% 0.5279 0.00 1.00 0.00 9.47 Mon Mar 21 2022 -5.00 0.00 0.00 4.47 Trades
Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 4.40 0.00 0.00 4.40 Trades
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? Democrat Republican 24.14 0.00 0.00% 0.8284 1.00 0.00 24.14 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 4.14 Trades
Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 3.93 0.00 0.00 3.93 Trades
Will the Buffalo Bills or the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC Championship? Bills Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 25 2021 3.91 0.00 0.00 3.91 Trades
What will the Margin of Victory be in the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.38 0.62 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 18 2021 3.86 0.00 0.00 3.86 Trades
Will Gerhard Richter’s “Abstraktes Bild” sell for more than $5.5M at Phillips? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 3.69 0.00 0.00 3.69 Trades
Will FEWOCiOUS’s “My Mama’s Dream” have a final sale price of more than $700K at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 3.66 0.00 0.00 3.66 Trades
F1: Will Max Verstappen finish ahead of Lewis Hamilton in the Qatar Grand Prix? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 21 2021 3.64 0.00 0.00 3.64 Trades
Formula 1: Which team will collect more points at the 2022 Italian Grand Prix, Mercedes or Ferrari? Mercedes Ferrari 0.00 10.58 0.00% 0.6616 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.58 Sun Sep 11 2022 -7.00 0.00 0.00 3.58 Trades
Will Vija Celmins’ “Untitled (Ocean)” sell for more than $6.5M at Phillips? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 3.47 0.00 0.00 3.47 Trades
Will Mark Rothko’s “Untitled” sell for more than $4.5M at Phillips? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 3.41 0.00 0.00 3.41 Trades
Will the floor price of goblintown.wtf be above 2 ETH on June 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 13 2022 3.40 0.00 0.00 3.40 Trades
Will Stephen Curry win the 2022 NBA Finals MVP? Yes No 0.00 22.36 0.00% -0.1472 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 19 2022 3.29 0.00 0.00 3.29 Trades
Did US GDP grow 0.0% or more in Q2 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 26 2023 3.27 0.00 0.00 3.27 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Villanova vs. Michigan, scheduled for March 24 (7:29 PM ET)? Villanova Michigan 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 3.24 0.00 0.00 3.24 Trades
Will David Hockney’s “A Neat Lawn” sell for more than $18M at Phillips? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 3.09 0.00 0.00 3.09 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? Bucks Suns 17.01 0.00 0.00% 0.8234 1.00 0.00 17.01 0.00 Wed Jul 14 2021 -14.01 0.00 0.00 3.01 Trades
Will Bob Iger remain CEO of Disney through September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 2.84 0.00 0.00 2.84 Trades
Who will win Nets vs. Celtics: Game 2? Nets Celtics 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 2.69 0.00 0.00 2.69 Trades
Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 2.51 0.00 0.00 2.51 Trades
Will Texas reinstate a mask mandate by April 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 11 2021 2.41 0.00 0.00 2.41 Trades
Will the Spurs or the Grizzlies win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Spurs Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 2.31 0.00 0.00 2.31 Trades
Will the US have 200M total COVID-19 vaccines administered by Biden’s 100th day in office? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 2.19 0.00 0.00 2.19 Trades
Will ApeCoin (APE) reach $30 by May 6? Yes No 0.00 12.07 0.00% 0.8285 0.00 1.00 0.00 12.07 Fri May 06 2022 -10.00 0.00 0.00 2.07 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 2.02 0.00 0.00 2.02 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9800 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 -98.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Formula 1: Who will finish ahead at the 2022 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix: Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc? Max Verstappen Charles Leclerc 31.93 0.00 0.00% 0.9397 1.00 0.00 31.93 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 -30.00 0.00 0.00 1.93 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 1.92 0.00 0.00 1.92 Trades
Will George Santos resign by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 1.90 0.00 0.00 1.90 Trades
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? 52 or fewer
53-55
56-58
59-61
62 or more
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mon Mar 01 2021 1.80 0.00 0.00 1.80 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 26.70 0.00% 0.9362 0.00 1.00 0.00 26.70 Wed Dec 14 2022 -25.00 0.00 0.00 1.70 Trades
Will the Knicks or the Hawks win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 23 2021 1.52 0.00 0.00 1.52 Trades
Will van Gogh’s “Le pont de Trinquetaille” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 1.45 0.00 0.00 1.45 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 60 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 1.38 0.00 0.00 1.38 Trades
Will the Warriors or the Lakers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Warriors Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 1.21 0.00 0.00 1.21 Trades
Will FTX's deal with BlockFi be announced by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 1.12 0.00 0.00 1.12 Trades
Will Adrian Ghenie's "The Collector I" sell for more than HK$65M at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 0.93 0.00 0.00 0.93 Trades
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 05 2021 0.93 0.00 0.00 0.93 Trades
Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.79 Trades
NBA: Will the Clippers beat the Pelicans by more than 4.5 points in their April 15 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 5.61 0.00% 0.8906 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.61 Fri Apr 15 2022 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.61 Trades
Will 'Scream VI' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 2.40 0.00 0.00% 0.7500 1.00 0.00 2.40 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 -1.80 0.00 0.00 0.60