Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
archWill the top 3 players of tennis ATP Ranking be Djokovic, Medvedev, Zverev on November 30th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 -300.00 0.00 0.00 -300.00 Trades
archfornowWill more than 2.6 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -300.00 0.00 0.00 -300.00 Trades
Will the Buccaneers beat the Eagles by more than 7.5 points in their week six matchup? Yes No 21,959.13 0.00 4.76% -1.0468 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 22,986.43 1,619.47 0.00 24,605.89 Trades
(Live Trading) Will England or Italy win the Euro 2020 final? England Italy 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 18,525.12 5,586.07 0.00 24,111.18 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? Yes No 0.00 26,097.70 0.00% 0.1336 0.00 1.00 0.00 26,097.70 Fri Jul 23 2021 -3,485.82 901.43 0.00 23,513.31 Trades
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 10,058.93 11,303.98 0.00 21,362.91 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 7,108.61 5,975.61 0.00 13,084.21 Trades
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 9,077.90 2,262.14 0.00 11,340.04 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 12,088.87 0.00 1.46% -0.7544 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 9,120.32 841.94 1.22 9,963.48 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 3,645.12 5,700.00 0.00 9,345.12 Trades
Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 6,056.75 2,495.93 0.00 8,552.68 Trades
Will Ethereum Name Service ($ENS) be listed for trading on Coinbase by November 18th? Yes No 0.00 15,487.91 26.09% -0.4416 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 6,839.17 1,229.51 0.08 8,068.76 Trades
Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.70% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 7,181.16 853.45 0.00 8,034.61 Trades
Will England win the Euro 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.85% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 6,243.36 842.36 0.00 7,085.72 Trades
Will Roy Lichtenstein’s “Interior: Perfect Pitcher” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 6,368.82 508.10 0.00 6,876.92 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? Yes No 0.00 4,232,750.75 99.95% -0.0014 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 5,811.15 661.98 259.24 6,732.37 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 07 2021 4,839.61 1,862.33 0.00 6,701.94 Trades
Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.65% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 6,401.38 147.24 0.00 6,548.62 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 3,828.43 0.00% 0.4400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -1,684.43 6,402.14 0.00 4,717.71 Trades
Who will win Clippers vs. Mavericks: Game 2? Clippers Mavericks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 4,259.29 106.69 0.00 4,365.98 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 2,875.52 1,258.02 0.00 4,133.54 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 2,646.24 0.00 0.00% 0.1965 1.00 0.00 2,646.24 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -520.05 619.88 0.00 2,746.07 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Spurs by more than 5.5 points in their November 22 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 16.67% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 1,864.94 208.50 0.00 2,073.44 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 1? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 5.56% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 06 2021 1,391.66 671.59 0.00 2,063.25 Trades
Will the Wizards or the Celtics win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Wizards Celtics 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 18 2021 1,796.96 59.13 0.00 1,856.09 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso’s “Femme dans un fauteuil” sell for more than $20 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 1,488.11 55.44 0.00 1,543.56 Trades
Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 1,164.23 97.33 0.00 1,261.56 Trades
(In-game Trading) Who will win the Celtics v. Knicks game on October 20th? Celtics Knicks 236,663.25 0.00 22.48% -0.0045 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 20 2021 1,061.95 154.03 9.98 1,225.96 Trades
Who will win Suns vs. Lakers: Game 2? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 953.79 35.94 0.00 989.72 Trades
(In-game Trading) Will the Suns beat the Nuggets by more than 6.5 points in their October 20th matchup? Yes No 1,887,227.39 0.00 0.00% -0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 20 2021 521.75 271.51 0.00 793.26 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 9th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? Cardano Solana 0.00 123,508.62 99.08% 0.0103 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 09 2021 -1,266.12 2,057.62 0.04 791.54 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 12 2021 636.09 65.18 0.00 701.26 Trades
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? Paul Woodley 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 29 2021 309.88 251.19 0.00 561.07 Trades
Will Georges Seurat's “Paysage et personnages” sell for more than $8 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 125.24 410.15 0.00 535.39 Trades
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Jeune homme au bleuet” (Lot 20C) sell for more than $7m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 478.26 34.88 0.00 513.14 Trades
Will Willem do Kooning's “Untitled VII” (Lot 40C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 33.33% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 477.21 9.44 0.00 486.65 Trades
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Meules de blé” (Lot 8C) sell for more than $30m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 33.33% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 460.09 18.26 0.00 478.35 Trades
Will Claude Monet’s “Nymphéas (fragment)” (Lot 1C) sell for more than $1m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 32,051.30 100.00% -0.0103 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 330.43 26.42 3.36 360.22 Trades
Will Claude Monet's “Au jardin, la famille de l’artiste” (Lot 41C) sell for more than $18m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 50.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 325.46 11.18 0.00 336.64 Trades
What will the fully diluted market cap of Opensea’s token be 1 week after it starts trading? Long Short 0.00 2,804.06 0.00% 0.3957 0.50 0.50 0.00 1,402.03 Fri Dec 31 2021 -1,109.69 37.44 0.00 329.78 Trades
Will the Bucks or Hawks win the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 288.00 39.17 0.00 327.17 Trades
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 -230.39 519.93 0.00 289.54 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 197.53 66.03 0.00 263.56 Trades
(In-game Trading) Will the Bengals beat the Jaguars by more than 7.5 points in their week three matchup? Yes No 0.00 694.86 3.13% 0.8197 0.00 1.00 0.00 694.86 Thu Sep 30 2021 -569.56 58.06 0.00 183.36 Trades
Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship? Magnus Carlsen Ian Nepomniachtchi 0.00 27,455.11 100.00% -0.0016 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 16 2021 44.90 127.38 5.93 178.20 Trades
NBA: Will the sum of points in 76ers v Kings be an even or an odd number? Even Odd 0.00 1,298.72 100.00% -0.1075 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 139.67 10.49 0.14 150.30 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,245,186.16 0.00% 0.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 -262.57 406.45 0.00 143.88 Trades
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 133.08 0.00 0.00 133.08 Trades
Who will win the 2021 NBA Finals? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 104.25 3.29 0.00 107.54 Trades
Will more than 2.05 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 22nd? Yes No 233.03 0.00 0.00% 0.5997 1.00 0.00 233.03 0.00 Sat Oct 23 2021 -139.75 8.66 0.00 101.94 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 -35.06 118.45 0.00 83.39 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.41 0.59 0.00 0.00 -402.79 484.00 0.00 81.21 Trades
UEFA Champions League: Will the goal difference in Chelsea v. Juventus be greater than 1? Yes No 0.00 150.23 100.00% -0.4548 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 23 2021 68.33 3.80 0.27 72.41 Trades
What will the price of $ADA be on October 15, 2021? Long Short 2,720.54 0.00 0.00% 0.4838 0.49 0.51 1,327.62 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 -1,316.27 45.38 0.00 56.72 Trades
UEFA Champions League: Will the sum of goals in Chelsea v. Juventus be 3 or more? Yes No 0.00 99.45 100.00% -0.4378 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 23 2021 43.54 7.84 0.14 51.52 Trades
What will be the average price for a NYC unrestricted taxi medallion in August 2021? Long Short 0.00 1,965.06 25.00% 0.4279 0.64 0.36 0.00 700.39 Thu Sep 30 2021 -840.92 177.45 0.00 36.92 Trades
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 -52.71 84.52 0.00 31.81 Trades
Will PAW Patrol: The Movie and The Protege have a combined domestic opening weekend gross of over 17M? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 23 2021 -135.24 155.00 0.00 19.76 Trades
What will the fully diluted market cap of Zora’s token be 1 week after it starts trading? Long Short 0.00 75.52 99.35% 0.4236 0.50 0.50 0.00 37.76 Fri Dec 31 2021 -31.99 10.84 0.04 16.65 Trades
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1.60 on November 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 16.41 0.00 0.00 16.41 Trades
What will the fully diluted market cap of Foundation’s token be 1 week after it starts trading? Long Short 0.00 78.43 97.86% 0.5057 0.50 0.50 0.00 39.21 Fri Dec 31 2021 -39.66 12.97 0.00 12.53 Trades
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? Yes No 4,091,535.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -257.10 259.68 0.00 2.59 Trades
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? Yes No 44.49 0.00 0.00% 0.4496 0.50 0.50 22.42 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 -20.00 0.00 0.00 2.42 Trades
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? WI SC 0.00 131.73 0.00% 0.0076 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? Yes No 841,800.70 0.00 0.00% 0.0035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -2,988.14 2,985.68 0.00 -2.46 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 235.85 0.00 0.00% 0.0472 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 -11.14 7.71 0.00 -3.43 Trades
Will Terra (LUNA) reach $100 again by January 10? Yes No 168.29 0.00 0.00% 0.0594 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Who will win Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: Game 2? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 -92.44 60.75 0.00 -31.69 Trades
What will the price of $MATIC be on June 17? Long Short 0.00 0.00 12.50% 0.45 0.55 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 -466.06 406.22 0.00 -59.85 Trades
Will the 76ers or the Wizards win their Game 2 NBA Playoff matchup? 76ers Wizards 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 26 2021 -112.00 4.02 0.00 -107.98 Trades
What will the price of $DOT be on November 1, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.72 0.28 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -168.32 44.52 0.00 -123.79 Trades
Will the Hornets or the Pacers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Hornets Pacers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 18 2021 -307.99 167.75 0.00 -140.24 Trades
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? Yes No 3,097,271.82 0.00 100.00% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -998.01 775.77 70.28 -151.96 Trades
Will Manchester United F.C. announce their new manager by December 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 -202.92 23.59 0.00 -179.33 Trades
Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $50 on November 25? Yes No 0.00 735,108.28 38.43% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 25 2021 -299.88 0.00 106.64 -193.23 Trades
Will TSM or Immortals win their LCS Playoffs matchup on August 20, 2021? TSM Immortals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 20 2021 -256.44 54.87 0.00 -201.56 Trades
What will the USD price of Filecoin ($FIL) be on November 17th, 2020? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.49 0.51 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 17 2020 -232.42 0.00 0.00 -232.42 Trades
Will there be another (1071st) NFL Scorigami in November 2021? Yes No 673,755.69 0.00 98.69% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 -299.87 0.00 66.37 -233.50 Trades
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? Yes No 749,029.78 0.00 31.44% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 -299.88 0.00 64.82 -235.06 Trades
Will Rookiexbt or Loomdart win the Amir Khan Crypto Fight Night? Rookiexbt Loomdart 0.00 810,310.64 77.24% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 -299.89 0.00 58.71 -241.18 Trades
Will the USDC Market Cap be above $36.5 billion on November 28th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 28 2021 -264.27 19.97 0.00 -244.30 Trades
F1: Will Max Verstappen finish ahead of Lewis Hamilton in the Qatar Grand Prix? Yes No 797,766.85 0.00 75.48% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 21 2021 -299.89 0.00 53.38 -246.51 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? Yes No 760,931.58 0.00 30.20% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 -299.88 0.00 52.20 -247.69 Trades
Will Lionel Messi win Ballon d'Or 2021? Yes No 0.00 842,179.67 99.99% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 -299.89 0.00 51.47 -248.42 Trades
Will @Snowden tweet count be over 6,700 on December 1? Yes No 649,156.98 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 -299.86 0.00 49.97 -249.89 Trades
NBA: Will the sum of points in Kings v 76ers be greater than 222.5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 25.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 -263.91 9.14 0.00 -254.77 Trades
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 -1,272.84 1,010.24 0.00 -262.59 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in November 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? Bitcoin Ethereum 678,676.77 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 -299.87 0.00 31.17 -268.69 Trades
UEFA Champions League: Will the sum of goals in Villareal CF v. Manchester United be 3 or more? Yes No 0.00 0.00 33.33% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 23 2021 -288.07 16.84 0.00 -271.23 Trades
Will France or the USA report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 30? France USA 0.00 660,487.42 100.00% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 01 2021 -299.86 0.00 27.03 -272.83 Trades
UEFA Champions League: Who will win the Villareal CF v. Manchester United game on November 23? Manchester United Villareal CF 0.00 744,395.01 13.18% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 23 2021 -299.88 0.00 17.53 -282.35 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 15th? Yes No 630,946.16 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 16 2021 -299.86 0.00 14.59 -285.27 Trades
F1: Will there be a McLaren or a Ferrari car in the top 3 of the Qatar Grand Prix? Yes No 845,429.03 0.00 99.69% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 21 2021 -299.89 0.00 12.81 -287.08 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso's “Femme accroupie en costume turc II (Jacqueline)” (Lot 44C) sell for more than $30m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 32,195.76 0.00 100.00% 0.0103 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -332.56 30.35 1.35 -300.87 Trades
Will Claude Monet's “Le bassin d'Argenteuil” (Lot 15C) sell for more than $25m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -332.66 17.35 0.00 -315.31 Trades
Will Cy Twombly's “Duino” (Lot 66C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 30,229.77 0.00 100.00% 0.0113 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -340.99 14.38 5.74 -320.87 Trades
Will Alfred Sisley's “La Seine à Argenteuil” (Lot 5C) sell for more than $3m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 30,145.45 0.00 100.00% 0.0113 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -340.06 8.66 2.24 -329.17 Trades
Will Edward Hopper's “Two Puritans” (Lot 39C) sell for more than $15m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 251,572.41 0.00 100.00% 0.0013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -336.77 6.81 0.63 -329.33 Trades
Will Paul Cezanne's “L'Estaque aux toits rouges” (Lot 10C) sell for more than $55m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 30,195.53 0.00 100.00% 0.0115 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -345.80 9.46 3.79 -332.55 Trades
Will Gerhard Richter's “Abstraktes Bild” (Lot 27C) sell for more than $35m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 30,518.04 0.00 100.00% 0.0116 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -352.79 7.26 1.40 -344.13 Trades
Will Joan Miro's "Peinture poème” (Lot 71C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 30,595.12 0.00 100.00% 0.0122 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -371.80 14.42 6.47 -350.91 Trades
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by October 15? Yes No 1,125.11 0.00 0.00% 0.3366 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 -378.73 13.72 0.00 -365.01 Trades
Will Max Verstappen finish ahead of Lewis Hamilton in the Brazilian Grand Prix? Yes No 1,170,013.83 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 14 2021 -499.79 0.00 108.96 -390.83 Trades
Will Conor McGregor win his UFC 257 match on January 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 23 2021 -442.31 0.00 0.00 -442.31 Trades
Will the Clippers win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 -499.81 57.40 0.00 -442.41 Trades
Will the 76ers or the Hawks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? 76ers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 -999.29 555.24 0.00 -444.04 Trades
Will Joan Miró’s “Femme (Femme debout)” sell for more than $10 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -494.91 42.20 0.00 -452.71 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 14 2021 -676.01 222.86 0.00 -453.15 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 -454.72 0.00 0.00 -454.72 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? Yes No 0.00 202,637.21 93.14% 0.0034 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -680.70 172.46 26.23 -482.00 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 3? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 11.11% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 -519.51 32.95 0.00 -486.55 Trades
What rating will theneedledrop give Clairo's 'Sling'? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.72 0.28 0.00 0.00 -573.74 61.47 0.00 -512.28 Trades
Will there be over 220,000 encounters at the US-Mexico border in August 2021? Yes No 1,527.60 0.00 0.00% 0.3916 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -598.19 60.46 0.00 -537.72 Trades
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -607.73 50.59 0.00 -557.14 Trades
Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on November 7? Yes No 0.00 2,404,340.40 6.25% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 -692.70 94.76 0.00 -597.94 Trades
How much ETH will be burned one month after EIP-1559 was implemented? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.78 0.22 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 05 2021 -745.40 146.85 0.00 -598.55 Trades
NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Grizzlies by more than 10.5 points in their November 22 matchup? Yes No 21,739.46 0.00 100.00% 0.0405 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 -880.65 269.61 0.49 -610.56 Trades
What will the fully diluted market cap of SuperRare’s token be 1 week after it starts trading? Long Short 75.90 0.00 1320934.16% 9.3009 0.51 0.49 38.65 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -705.95 47.59 0.00 -619.70 Trades
NBA: Will the sum of points in Pelicans v Clippers be over 214.5? Yes No 21,277.80 0.00 100.00% 0.0352 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 -749.59 129.37 0.04 -620.18 Trades
What will the price of $LINK be on July 15? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 -644.27 5.72 0.00 -638.55 Trades
NBA: Will the sum of points in Pelicans v Clippers be an even or odd number? Even Odd 102.09 0.00 100.00% 7.7663 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 19 2021 -792.82 131.06 0.53 -661.23 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 -1,589.65 899.15 0.00 -690.50 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 2,539,667.87 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -1,078.56 336.35 38.82 -703.39 Trades
Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record? Yes No 10,501,446.61 0.00 100.00% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -1,063.57 0.00 345.69 -717.88 Trades
Will the Ravens beat the Broncos by more than 1.5 points in their week four matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,631,902.43 100.00% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 03 2021 -798.72 0.00 64.38 -734.34 Trades
What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? Under 1%
1% to 2%
Over 2%
0.00
0.00
0.00
9.09% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-859.56 105.59 0.00 -753.97 Trades
Will the Rams beat the Cardinals by more than 4.5 points in their week four matchup? Yes No 1,961,155.24 0.00 94.61% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 03 2021 -798.69 0.00 40.43 -758.26 Trades
What will the price of $MATIC be on October 10, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.60 0.40 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 10 2021 -794.15 7.15 0.00 -787.00 Trades
Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? Yes No 1,356,666.95 0.00 80.50% 0.0009 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -1,160.04 278.38 55.47 -826.20 Trades
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? Yes No 19,914,272.26 0.00 100.00% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 -1,230.62 0.00 400.83 -829.80 Trades
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 2? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 26 2021 -2,605.29 1,748.77 0.00 -856.52 Trades
Will Ed Ruscha's “Ripe” (Lot 37C) sell for more than $22m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 2,435,187.18 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -999.59 0.00 73.18 -926.41 Trades
Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021? Yes No 2,161,785.96 0.00 85.91% 0.0006 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 -1,202.73 200.90 35.99 -965.84 Trades
Will Alexandra Botez/David Hoffman or Leighton Cusack/Cyrus Younessi win their Top Signal 2v2 chess match? Botez Hoffman Cusack Younessi 0.00 10,285,420.53 100.00% 0.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 12 2021 -999.90 0.00 25.47 -974.43 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 24 speech + Q&A? Yes No 3,323,545.62 0.00 92.72% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 24 2021 -1,086.99 0.00 102.11 -984.88 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 -1,494.09 421.73 0.00 -1,072.36 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso's “Homme à la pipe” (Lot 58C) sell for more than $20m at Christie’s on November 11? Yes No 41,141.21 0.00 100.00% 0.0283 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -1,163.18 51.41 6.44 -1,105.32 Trades
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.01 5.26% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 -1,715.50 605.23 0.00 -1,110.27 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other
8,028.50
0.00
46,090.63
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1,652.59 518.87 0.00 -1,133.72 Trades
Will the Indexed Finance hacker return 90% or more of the exploited funds by October 26th? Yes No 4,627,586.76 0.00 96.57% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 26 2021 -1,260.44 0.00 106.13 -1,154.31 Trades
Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? Dems Reps 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 -2,996.96 1,841.34 0.00 -1,155.62 Trades
Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 4,238,787.38 0.00 0.00% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 08 2021 -1,416.37 170.41 0.00 -1,245.96 Trades
Will Vitalik Buterin have a CryptoPunk Twitter profile picture before September 1, 2021? Yes No 4,302,465.68 0.00 0.00% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -1,314.95 49.54 0.00 -1,265.41 Trades
Will Princeton University remain the highest ranking national university in the US according to the 2022 US News ranking? Yes No 0.00 439,277.63 59.47% 0.0036 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -1,574.22 301.04 0.51 -1,272.68 Trades
Who will win the 2020 League of Legends World Championship? Damwon Suning 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -1,594.32 318.91 0.00 -1,275.41 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? Yes No 738,973.02 0.00 58.72% 0.0021 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -1,516.74 232.30 2.91 -1,281.53 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of CryptoPunks be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.46 0.54 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 -1,318.15 36.05 0.00 -1,282.10 Trades
Will the Pacers or the Wizards win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Pacers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 -1,417.67 129.87 0.00 -1,287.80 Trades
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 -2,998.73 1,686.36 0.00 -1,312.37 Trades
What will the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index be for July 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.65 0.35 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 06 2021 -1,335.41 0.00 0.00 -1,335.41 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 9,383.49 0.00% 0.2866 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -2,689.63 1,322.24 0.00 -1,367.40 Trades
NBA: Will the Timberwolves beat the Pelicans by more than 3.5 points in their November 22 matchup? Yes No 0.00 407.02 100.00% 3.7111 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 -1,510.47 140.94 0.02 -1,369.51 Trades
Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release? Yes No 0.00 5,171,609.35 0.00% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 28 2021 -1,599.00 222.97 0.00 -1,376.03 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Magic by more than 12.5 points in their November 22 matchup? Yes No 0.00 125.48 100.00% 11.5289 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 -1,446.64 58.46 0.00 -1,388.18 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? Yes No 0.00 3,358,063.24 0.00% 0.0007 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -2,399.21 978.07 0.00 -1,421.14 Trades
Will there be another NFL Scorigami in November 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,498,694.98 85.10% 0.0006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 -1,499.61 0.00 68.23 -1,431.38 Trades
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 26 2021 -1,631.58 161.92 0.00 -1,469.66 Trades
Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine prior to Nov 3 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 04 2020 -1,997.99 440.39 0.00 -1,557.60 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 60M global weekly streams for period Nov 4 - Nov 11? Yes No 1,202,299.53 0.00 100.00% 0.0014 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 12 2021 -1,708.47 73.32 0.12 -1,635.04 Trades
NBA: Will the Kings beat the 76ers by more than 2.5 points in their November 22 matchup? Yes No 3,960,971.84 0.00 16.67% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 -1,998.99 339.84 0.00 -1,659.15 Trades
Will 18 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 4th? Yes No 0.00 585,844.77 75.99% 0.0030 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 04 2021 -1,736.21 59.17 8.27 -1,668.77 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 20 2021 -1,882.71 188.50 0.00 -1,694.20 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian and Kanye West divorce before Jan 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 -2,174.96 443.47 0.00 -1,731.49 Trades
Will Germany or United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 24? Germany United Kingdom 0.00 1,762,004.69 0.00% 0.0011 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 25 2021 -1,999.27 259.58 0.00 -1,739.69 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 -1,777.39 0.00 0.00 -1,777.39 Trades
Will the Knicks or the Hawks win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 23 2021 -2,443.62 644.47 0.00 -1,799.15 Trades
Will the Suns or the Lakers win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 23 2021 -2,023.97 222.10 0.00 -1,801.86 Trades
Will Drake release a new studio album before the end of 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 -2,497.49 638.59 0.00 -1,858.89 Trades
Who will win Nets vs. Celtics: Game 2? Nets Celtics 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 -2,109.41 227.26 0.00 -1,882.14 Trades
Will the Hawks win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 -2,488.28 521.21 0.00 -1,967.07 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Bored Apes be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.39 0.61 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 -2,068.98 35.05 0.00 -2,033.93 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Finals Game 3? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 5.26% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 24 2021 -3,998.13 1,946.39 0.00 -2,051.74 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Fide World Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.88% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 -2,612.31 508.23 0.00 -2,104.08 Trades
Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? Yes No 0.00 171,241.24 43.83% 0.0162 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 -2,775.51 546.37 2.79 -2,226.36 Trades
Will van Gogh’s “Le pont de Trinquetaille” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 16.67% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -2,545.94 298.28 0.00 -2,247.67 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? Yes No 110,967.37 0.00 0.00% 0.0389 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 -4,321.38 2,036.26 0.00 -2,285.13 Trades
Will more or less than 221 total points be scored in Suns v. Clippers: Finals Game 3? More Less 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 24 2021 -2,998.60 666.12 0.00 -2,332.48 Trades
Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanye’s Donda or Drake’s Certified Lover Boy? Kanye Drake 2,122,294.22 0.00 5.56% 0.0015 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -3,182.81 844.96 0.00 -2,337.85 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 1? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 8.33% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 06 2021 -2,789.30 305.42 0.00 -2,483.88 Trades
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -2,979.03 487.28 0.00 -2,491.75 Trades
Will the Suns or the Nuggets win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? Suns Nuggets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 -2,803.49 219.86 0.00 -2,583.64 Trades
How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? Long Short 0.00 0.00 9.09% 0.25 0.75 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 26 2021 -3,631.47 972.51 0.00 -2,658.96 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 -2,984.67 218.70 0.00 -2,765.97 Trades
Will the Spurs or the Grizzlies win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Spurs Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 -3,183.98 380.68 0.00 -2,803.30 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 St. Louis Rapid and Blitz Chess Tournament? Yes No 0.00 11,204,604.28 0.00% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 16 2021 -3,299.50 427.89 0.00 -2,871.61 Trades
Will Pablo Picasso’s “Femme assise près d'une fenêtre (Marie-Thérèse)” sell for more than $55 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 16.67% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -3,095.68 217.62 0.00 -2,878.05 Trades
Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.67% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -3,579.40 699.10 0.00 -2,880.30 Trades
Will Piet Mondrian’s “Composition: No. II” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 25.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -2,994.73 110.39 0.00 -2,884.35 Trades
Will total value locked in DeFi be $115 billion or higher on November 27th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 -3,305.47 263.93 0.00 -3,041.54 Trades
NFL: Will the Buccaneers beat the Giants by more than 10.5 points in their November 22 matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,712.64 100.00% 2.2110 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 -3,786.59 730.35 1.01 -3,055.24 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 13 2021 -3,999.34 931.75 0.00 -3,067.59 Trades
Will OpenTable’s “Seated diners from online, phone, and walk-in reservations” data point for the United States exceed its 2019 baseline by 7% or more by November 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 6,977,916.60 0.00% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -3,498.62 349.00 0.00 -3,149.62 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the UK be greater than 44,000 on November 8? Yes No 0.00 0.00 7.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 12 2021 -3,391.32 135.88 0.00 -3,255.45 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 348K for the week ending on August 21? Yes No 0.00 11,967,144.21 0.00% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 26 2021 -3,499.29 219.93 0.00 -3,279.36 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 11 2021 -3,947.17 663.45 0.00 -3,283.72 Trades
Will Messi score a goal on his PSG debut? Yes No 7,068,640.76 0.00 0.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 -3,498.51 204.06 0.00 -3,294.45 Trades
Will Miso Robotics expand its restaurant partnerships in 2021? Yes No 0.00 5,392,989.66 12.50% 0.0006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -3,498.63 147.45 0.00 -3,351.18 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace launch before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -3,373.16 0.20 0.00 -3,372.96 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 2? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 11.11% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 08 2021 -3,929.53 502.53 0.00 -3,427.01 Trades
Will Black Widow gross more than $87.5M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.25% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 13 2021 -4,272.99 819.68 0.00 -3,453.31 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 -5,776.89 2,239.20 0.00 -3,537.68 Trades
Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.85% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 30 2021 -3,961.80 341.98 0.00 -3,619.81 Trades
Who will get more airtime in Episode 41 of the All In Podcast: David Sacks or Jason Calacanis? Calacanis Sacks 0.00 0.00 16.67% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 -3,899.45 263.76 0.00 -3,635.69 Trades
Will the winner of the 2021 FIDE Chess.com Grand Swiss Tournament represent the United States/Russia? Yes No 7,261,878.64 0.00 14.29% 0.0006 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 -3,998.22 326.23 0.00 -3,671.99 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 13,708.47 0.00% 0.3108 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 -4,261.14 585.03 0.00 -3,676.11 Trades
Who will win the 2020 MLB World Series? Rays Dodgers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 29 2020 -6,057.57 2,154.12 0.00 -3,903.45 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 -7,656.87 3,531.09 0.00 -4,125.78 Trades
Will the Suns or Clippers win the 2021 NBA Western Conference Finals? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 5.88% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 26 2002 -5,826.38 1,528.91 0.00 -4,297.47 Trades
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? Yes No 0.00 418.90 1.75% 15.1486 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -6,345.79 2,008.37 0.00 -4,337.42 Trades
Will Mark Rothko’s “Untitled” sell for more than $40 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.01 0.00 25.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -4,585.94 188.55 0.00 -4,397.40 Trades
Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? Yes No 2,072,792.95 0.00 97.39% 0.0023 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 -4,839.06 379.04 39.51 -4,420.52 Trades
What will the price of @balajis on bitclout be on July 18? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.08 0.92 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 18 2021 -4,500.35 12.89 0.00 -4,487.46 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 51,898.02 0.00 0.69% 0.1105 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -5,736.73 1,151.24 0.00 -4,585.49 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 -5,367.66 609.34 0.00 -4,758.32 Trades
Will Claude Monet’s “Waterloo Bridge” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 16.67% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -5,831.77 949.66 0.00 -4,882.11 Trades
What will the fully diluted market cap of dYdX's token be 1 week after it starts trading? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -5,030.26 134.52 0.00 -4,895.74 Trades
Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 02 2021 -6,961.72 2,062.89 0.00 -4,898.84 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 69 ETH on December 23, 2021? Yes No 9,380.43 0.00 0.00% 0.5330 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 -5,000.00 0.00 0.00 -5,000.00 Trades
(In-game Trading) Will the Giants or Dodgers win their NLDS matchup? Giants Dodgers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 -5,931.00 854.07 0.00 -5,076.93 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 -5,099.46 18.75 0.00 -5,080.71 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 14 2021 -6,050.35 870.58 0.00 -5,179.77 Trades
Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 2? Bucks Heat 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 -5,729.27 522.90 0.00 -5,206.37 Trades
Who will win the MLB 2021 World Series? Braves Astros 0.00 2,277,544.04 88.81% 0.0026 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 07 2021 -5,993.52 754.79 0.02 -5,238.71 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 120 ETH on October 15? Yes No 3,071,906.21 0.00 0.00% 0.0019 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 -5,867.02 559.12 0.00 -5,307.90 Trades
Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 15 2021 -6,239.33 861.52 0.00 -5,377.81 Trades
Will the price of $MATIC (Polygon) or $ADA (Cardano) be higher on November 4th? Cardano Polygon 0.00 0.00 0.18% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 04 2021 -5,997.71 606.11 0.00 -5,391.60 Trades
What will the price of $ADA be on August 27, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 11.11% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 27 2021 -5,498.04 20.76 0.00 -5,477.28 Trades
Will the Warriors or the Lakers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? Warriors Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 -6,792.38 811.41 0.00 -5,980.97 Trades
What will the price of $ETH be on July 19? Long Short 0.00 0.00 25.00% 0.41 0.59 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 19 2021 -6,128.08 103.02 0.00 -6,025.06 Trades
Will Joseph Delong announce he’s leaving SushiSwap as CTO before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -6,923.34 824.34 0.00 -6,099.00 Trades
Will Joan Mitchell's "Untitled" sell for more than $15 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -6,622.72 411.76 0.00 -6,210.96 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Chain Runners be on December 2? Long Short 16,423,812.88 0.00 99.48% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 -6,452.99 0.00 42.31 -6,410.68 Trades
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -13,640.15 7,036.47 0.00 -6,603.68 Trades
Will any of SuperRare, Zora, Foundation, OpenSea, or NiftyGateway have a live token by April 30th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 10.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 -7,059.68 439.97 0.00 -6,619.71 Trades
Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 28,069.00 0.00% 0.2803 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -7,867.55 1,029.94 0.00 -6,837.60 Trades
What will the “Official Edition” of the United States Constitution sell for at Sotheby’s? Less than 20m
20-30m
More than 30m
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Thu Nov 18 2021 -7,404.52 520.18 0.00 -6,884.34 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Clippers by more than 4.5 points in their December 27 matchup? Yes No 0.00 38,598.47 1.06% 0.1941 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 27 2021 -7,491.83 400.84 0.04 -7,090.95 Trades
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? Yes No 0.00 1,156,326.01 44.20% 0.0073 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 -8,444.29 1,266.03 85.42 -7,092.84 Trades
Will Coinbase begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 -9,391.89 2,256.47 0.00 -7,135.42 Trades
Will Andy Warhol’s “Two Marilyns” sell for more than $18 million at Christie’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 13 2021 -7,596.23 422.90 0.00 -7,173.32 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Loot (for Adventurers) be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.12 0.88 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 -7,365.11 46.37 0.00 -7,318.74 Trades
(Live Trading) Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier?
 McGregor Poirier 0.00 0.00 7.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 -10,356.69 2,815.22 0.00 -7,541.47 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Trail Blazers by more than 1.5 points in their December 27 matchup? Yes No 0.00 72,920.51 100.00% 0.1104 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 27 2021 -8,050.88 482.11 0.15 -7,568.63 Trades
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? Yes No 6,863,382.19 0.00 0.00% 0.0018 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 02 2021 -12,099.41 3,283.81 0.00 -8,815.60 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 19.5 ETH on August 10? Yes No 111,167.52 0.00 5.26% 0.0889 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 -9,883.20 621.41 0.00 -9,261.80 Trades
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 3? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 28 2021 -10,263.98 866.50 0.00 -9,397.48 Trades
Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.45% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 -10,715.34 1,109.56 0.00 -9,605.78 Trades
Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? McGregor Poirier 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 10 2021 -10,446.27 623.29 0.00 -9,822.98 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $4500 by November 11th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 -12,983.91 2,116.81 0.00 -10,867.10 Trades
What will the price of $SOL be on November 1, 2021? Long Short 0.00 3,672,502.57 75.32% 0.0030 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 -11,074.90 147.00 0.62 -10,927.29 Trades
Will BTC break $15k before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 -15,484.35 4,502.12 0.00 -10,982.23 Trades
What will the price of $ETH be on June 22? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 -11,020.72 18.22 0.00 -11,002.50 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 04 2021 -12,579.79 1,450.46 0.00 -11,129.33 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 2? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 5.56% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 08 2021 -17,789.10 6,352.70 0.00 -11,436.40 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 1,349,151.29 0.00 90.19% 0.0162 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 -21,880.81 9,482.01 91.14 -12,307.66 Trades
Will $LINK (Chainlink) be above $27 on July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.88% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 -12,495.29 45.98 0.00 -12,449.31 Trades
Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? Yes No 28,001,767.23 0.00 0.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 23 2021 -14,998.77 1,745.57 0.00 -13,253.20 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 -16,002.44 1,676.35 0.00 -14,326.09 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Blitmaps be on September 21, 2021? Long Short 192.86 0.00 0.01% 77.7486 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 21 2021 -14,994.83 49.67 0.00 -14,945.16 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 7.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 -22,928.30 6,915.19 0.00 -16,013.10 Trades
What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 -22,034.49 264.79 0.00 -21,769.70 Trades
What will the price of $SOL (Solana) be on June 24? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.16 0.84 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 24 2021 -23,539.65 310.35 0.00 -23,229.29 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 5? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 5.88% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 28 2021 -48,458.50 15,615.64 0.00 -32,842.86 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 -68,723.10 11,763.92 0.00 -56,959.19 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 -99,242.31 22,360.64 0.00 -76,881.66 Trades
Resolved 4,267.96 28,971.95 -843,573.32 232,538.54 2,753.29 -575,041.58
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -600.00 0.00 0.00 -600.00
Total 4,267.96 28,971.95 -844,173.32 232,538.54 2,753.29 -575,641.58