Account
0xcc22119ae11e68cd661838af5f1d548144dced6e Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 151,439.40 | 25.98% | -0.0023 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | 343.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 343.01 | Trades | |
| Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 184.48 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 184.59 | Trades | ||
| Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
0.02 0.02 0.00 0.09 418.67 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 418.67 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | ✅ | -296.22 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 124.21 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 47,400.84 | 0.00 | 150.22% | -0.0022 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 103.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 103.36 | Trades | |
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 101.67 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 101.70 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 69 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | ✅ | 72.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.48 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 64.77 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 64.84 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.69 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | ✅ | 57.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 54.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.32 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 51.88 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 51.90 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 50.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.43 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 50.09 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 50.10 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 49.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.39 | Trades | ||
| Will the Paul v. Mayweather fight be stopped early? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | 42.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.85 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | 41.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.25 | Trades | ||
| Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 40.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.46 | Trades | ||
| Will Austin McBroom KO, TKO, or retire Bryce Hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | ✅ | 38.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.62 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 205,289.26 | 0.00 | -31.71% | 0.9998 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 205,289.26 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | -205,251.19 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 38.21 | Trades | |
| Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 37.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | ✅ | 37.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.19 | Trades | ||
| Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 35.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.01 | Trades | ||
| Will 'Eternals' get 85% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | ✅ | 34.91 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 34.93 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | ✅ | 34.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.64 | Trades | ||
| Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 11 2022 | ✅ | 33.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.58 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 33.22 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 33.24 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 17 2021 | ✅ | 31.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.25 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 29.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.91 | Trades | ||
| Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 28.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.86 | Trades | ||
| How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | ✅ | 28.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.03 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 27.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.47 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 27.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 27.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.00 | Trades | ||
| Will “The Suicide Squad” gross more than $37.5M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | 26.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.55 | Trades | ||
| Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 26.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.21 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | 25.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Black Widow gross more than $87.5M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | ✅ | 25.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.26 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.56% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | ✅ | 24.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.03 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | ✅ | 23.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.83 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | ✅ | 21.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | 20.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.31 | Trades | ||
| Will “Bananas” by Basquiat & Warhol sell for more than $6M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | 20.05 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 20.12 | Trades | ||
| Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 19.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | ✅ | 18.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? | Paul | Woodley | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 29 2021 | ✅ | 17.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.55 | Trades | ||
| Will Iron Finance’s Overall TVL be above $2 billion on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 17.47 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 17.52 | Trades | ||
| What will Beeple's “Ocean Front” sell for in its Nifty Gateway auction? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | 17.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.30 | Trades | ||
| Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 15.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.75 | Trades | ||
| Will Lebron James play against the New York Knicks on Tuesday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 23 2021 | ✅ | 15.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.42 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 14.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.70 | Trades | ||
| $2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | ✅ | 13.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 12.30 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 13.16 | Trades | ||
| How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 12.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.50 | Trades | ||||||
| Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | ✅ | 10.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.84 | Trades | ||||||
| What will Pak’s Sotheby’s auction generate in total sales? | Less than $20M $20M to less than $45M $45M to less than $70M $70M or more |
0.00 0.73 0.36 0.29 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | 10.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.71 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Pablo Picasso’s “Femme dans un fauteuil” sell for more than $20 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 10.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.28 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of $MATIC (Polygon) or $ADA (Cardano) be higher on November 4th? | Cardano | Polygon | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | 10.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 9.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.97 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 2? | Bucks | Heat | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 9.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.84 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 9.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.68 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | 9.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.64 | Trades | ||
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 9.58 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 9.59 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 8.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.98 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.97 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 8.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.38 | Trades | ||
| What will the outcome of Elon Musk’s November 6th Twitter Poll be? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 07 2021 | ✅ | 8.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Simone Biles win 5 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | 7.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.80 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 7.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.78 | Trades | ||
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 7.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.25 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 6.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.99 | Trades | ||
| Will F9 gross more than $62M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.67% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 29 2021 | ✅ | 6.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.81 | Trades | ||
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 6.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.69 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 23rd be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 6.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? | Bezos | Musk | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | 1.49 | 4.77 | 0.00 | 6.27 | Trades | ||
| Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 6.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 6.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.07 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | ✅ | -1.18 | 7.10 | 0.00 | 5.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 5.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.85 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 5.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Bryce Hall KO, TKO, or retire Austin McBroom? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | ✅ | 5.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? | Yes | No | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 5.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.31 | Trades | ||
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 5.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.22 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 5.04 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 5.10 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 4.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.62 | Trades | ||
| Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | ✅ | 4.01 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 4.49 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 17 2021 | ✅ | 4.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.39 | Trades | ||
| Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | ✅ | 4.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.17 | Trades | ||
| Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | ✅ | 4.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Adrian Ghenie's "The Collector I" sell for more than HK$65M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 3.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.96 | Trades | ||
| Will the Boeing CST-100 Starliner Spacecraft successfully dock with the ISS before August 6? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | 3.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 3.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.94 | Trades | |||
| What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.67 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 310K for the week ending on September 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.24 | 0.00% | -2.9373 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | ✅ | 3.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.64 | Trades | |
| Will Britney Spears’ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | ✅ | 3.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.62 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $ETH be on June 22? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 3.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.48 | Trades | ||
| Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? | McGregor | Poirier | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from August to September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 13 2021 | ✅ | 1.60 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 3.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | 0.59 | 2.36 | 0.00 | 2.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.92 | Trades | ||
| Will Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) flip CryptoPunks by January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | 2.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | 2.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.77 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 2.19 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 2.26 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | 2.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.03 | Trades | ||
| Will AnEsonGib KO, TKO, or retire Tayler Holder? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | ✅ | 2.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.02 | Trades | ||
| Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 20 2021 | ✅ | 1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.89 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | -0.34 | 2.09 | 0.00 | 1.75 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 09 2021 | ✅ | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.61 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.61 | Trades | ||
| Will DDG KO, TKO, or retire Nate Wyatt? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | ✅ | 1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.56 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.47 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | ✅ | 1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.47 | Trades | ||
| How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for July? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 51.52 | 0.00% | 0.4337 | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 23.70 | Tue Aug 24 2021 | ✅ | -22.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.36 | Trades | |
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | ✅ | 1.20 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 1.34 | Trades | ||
| Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.02 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 1.31 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.27 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 24 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 24 2021 | ✅ | 1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.26 | Trades | ||
| Will the Cardinals beat the Packers by more than 3.5 points in their October 28th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 28 2021 | ✅ | 1.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.24 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by Noon, November 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.06 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 | Trades | ||
| What will the margin be in Newsom’s recall election? | Under 10% 10% to 15% Over 15% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.94 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.89 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.65 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.12 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.68 | Trades | ||
| Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.66 | Trades | |||
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.65 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Basquiat's "In this Case" sell for more than 70 million? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.59 | Trades | ||
| (In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It gross more than $25M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 08 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Johnson and Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 | Trades | ||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.20 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | ✅ | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @DonaldJTrumpJr account by February 1, 2021? | 39 or less 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | Trades | ||||||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Tim Tebow score a touchdown in the upcoming NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | ✅ | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 26 2021 | ✅ | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | Trades | ||
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | ✅ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Logan Paul knock down Floyd Mayweather? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Mark Rothko’s “Untitled” sell for more than $4.5M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| What will the ETH floor price of CryptoPunks be on September 21, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.46 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 21 2021 | ✅ | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Logan Paul KO, TKO, or retire Floyd Mayweather? | Yes | No | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Suns v. Lakers: Game 6? | Suns | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 03 2021 | ✅ | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @MCuban account on February 10, 2021? | Less than 30 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 10 2021 | ✅ | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | Trades | ||||||
| (Live Trading) Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? | McGregor | Poirier | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.69% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | ✅ | -1.14 | 0.94 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | ||
| Will Basquiat’s “Versus Medici” sell for more than $50 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | ||
| Will the Knicks or the Hawks win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.40 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.53 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -0.72 | 0.10 | 0.00 | -0.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.68 | Trades | ||
| Will the Clippers or the Mavericks win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Clippers | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.74 | Trades | ||
| Will the Pacers or the Wizards win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Pacers | Wizards | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | -0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.88 | Trades | ||
| Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 14, 5PM ET? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | ✅ | -0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.89 | Trades | ||
| Will Banksy’s “Love is in the Air” sell for more than $5 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.13 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.34 | Trades | ||
| Will Joan Miro's "Peinture poème” (Lot 71C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.66 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.70 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.98 | Trades | ||
| Will it be sunny in Washington DC at noon on November 13th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 13 2021 | ✅ | -2.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.08 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $MATIC be on June 17? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | -2.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.77 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -2.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.89 | Trades | ||
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | -3.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.02 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 2? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.91 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 26 2021 | ✅ | -3.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.20 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -3.53 | 0.31 | 0.00 | -3.22 | Trades | ||
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2021 AL East? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 04 2021 | ✅ | -3.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.31 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 1? | Bucks | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 06 2021 | ✅ | -3.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.48 | Trades | ||
| Will Basquiat’s “Untitled (One Eyed Man or Xerox Face)” sell for more than HK$170M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | -3.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.61 | Trades | ||
| How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.11 0.10 0.00 0.04 0.01 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -5.71 | 1.39 | 0.00 | -4.32 | Trades | ||||||
| How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -4.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.39 | Trades | ||
| Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chiefs | Bucs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | ✅ | -5.17 | 0.54 | 0.00 | -4.63 | Trades | ||
| Will Kygo's Nifty Gateway drop generate over $5M in total sales? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 25 2021 | ✅ | -4.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.97 | Trades | ||
| Will Sanyu’s “Potted Chrysanthemums” sell for more than HK$120M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | -4.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.97 | Trades | ||
| Will Candyman gross more than $19M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.11% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 30 2021 | ✅ | -5.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.55 | Trades | ||
| Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -6.72 | 0.76 | 0.00 | -5.96 | Trades | ||
| Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend? | Space Jam | Black Widow | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | -6.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.45 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | -7.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.36 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -8.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.68 | Trades | ||
| Will Basquiat's "Untitled (Soap)" sell for more than 15 million? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | -9.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Pablo Picasso’s “Nu couché à la libellule” sell for more than HK$68M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | -9.46 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -9.43 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.44 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -10.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.64 | Trades | ||
| How much will “Dune” gross domestically on opening weekend? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.50% | 0.37 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 25 2021 | ✅ | -11.33 | 0.17 | 0.00 | -11.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | ✅ | -11.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.63 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -11.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.84 | Trades | ||
| Will Pablo Picasso's “Femme accroupie en costume turc II (Jacqueline)” (Lot 44C) sell for more than $30m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -14.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.93 | Trades | ||
| Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -18.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.69 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 20 speech? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | ✅ | -18.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.71 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -23.50 | 0.20 | 0.00 | -23.29 | Trades | ||
| Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | -27.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Floyd Mayweather KO, TKO, or retire Logan Paul? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -40.42 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -40.41 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -46.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -46.19 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 11.11% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | -79.20 | 0.14 | 0.00 | -79.06 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -1,044.51 | 10.37 | 0.00 | -1,034.14 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 205,289.28 | 23.72 | -204,561.76 | 38.10 | 0.00 | 1,208.01 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 205,289.28 | 23.72 | -204,561.76 | 38.10 | 0.00 | 1,208.01 | ||||||||||||