Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
2,403.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,403.56
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.02
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
471.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
471.83
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.14
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.13
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-46.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-46.75
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
32,109.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32,109.30
|
Trades
|
Will Cherelle Parker win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
β
|
20,658.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,658.25
|
Trades
|
Will Helen Gym win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
β
|
4,963.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,963.72
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
10.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-435.8132
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
4,620.98
|
4.58
|
0.00
|
4,625.56
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
4,069.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,069.20
|
Trades
|
Will Rebecca Rhynhart win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
β
|
3,637.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,637.98
|
Trades
|
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
2,860.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,860.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.57
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
2,534.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,535.36
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2,031.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,031.20
|
Trades
|
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15Β’ and 65Β’ EOW? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
1,472.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,472.95
|
Trades
|
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
1,253.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,253.46
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
948.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
948.48
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.77
|
0.00% |
|
-131.6272
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
759.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
759.23
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,011.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.7697
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,011.19
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-2,317.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
693.39
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
433.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
433.97
|
Trades
|
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
335.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
335.75
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.96
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
317.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
317.55
|
Trades
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.74
|
0.00% |
|
-165.9260
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
289.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
289.21
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
382.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
382.58
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-195.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
187.46
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.15
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
166.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
166.24
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
164.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
164.24
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-20.4690
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
161.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
161.34
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
244.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.4081
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
99.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
99.81
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
85.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.30
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
100.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.00
|
Trades
|
Will Shiv Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
63.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBFβs tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.1867
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
β
|
-6.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.45
|
Trades
|
Will Roman Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
134.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1282
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-17.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.29
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-32.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.37
|
Trades
|
Will Lukas Matsson be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
646.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0573
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-37.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.08
|
Trades
|
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
β
|
-44.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-44.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
1,105.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0706
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-78.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-78.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Wambsgans be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,049.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.1236
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-129.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-129.71
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
472.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5218
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-246.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-246.72
|
Trades
|
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) |
Protasiewicz |
Kelly |
0.00
|
1,730.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.1464
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
β
|
-253.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-253.27
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.28
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-551.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-551.33
|
Trades
|
Chicago Mayor Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
2,837.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3832
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
β
|
-1,087.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,087.32
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
16,974.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0652
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-1,107.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,107.27
|
Trades
|
Will Kendall Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
10,968.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2503
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-2,745.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,745.59
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
483.29
|
3,011.20
|
|
|
75,161.48
|
4.58
|
0.00
|
78,660.55
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0.13
|
|
|
2,828.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,828.63
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
483.31
|
3,011.33
|
|
|
77,989.96
|
4.58
|
0.00
|
81,489.19
|
|