Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-436.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-436.09
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
14,616.37
|
106.86
|
0.00
|
14,723.22
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
9,107.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,107.38
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
7,752.55
|
87.63
|
0.00
|
7,840.19
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
6,329.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,329.46
|
Trades
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
5,829.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,829.39
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 30 2021
|
β
|
2,787.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,787.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
2,786.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,786.38
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
2,483.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,483.91
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
1,892.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,892.84
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
β
|
1,205.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,205.93
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
1,190.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,190.83
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.35
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
854.13
|
0.78
|
0.00
|
854.91
|
Trades
|
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
517.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
517.13
|
Trades
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
403.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
403.22
|
Trades
|
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
366.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
366.57
|
Trades
|
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
361.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
361.03
|
Trades
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
273.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
273.86
|
Trades
|
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
268.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
268.32
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 22 2022
|
β
|
243.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
243.79
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 06 2022
|
β
|
242.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
242.54
|
Trades
|
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
233.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
233.24
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
β
|
213.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
213.90
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
β
|
211.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
211.96
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
198.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
198.80
|
Trades
|
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
180.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
180.24
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 01 2022
|
β
|
168.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
168.90
|
Trades
|
Will 3 or more of Dan Arielyβs papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
165.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
165.74
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
150.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
150.75
|
Trades
|
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
129.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
129.53
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
125.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
125.01
|
Trades
|
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
114.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
114.43
|
Trades
|
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
110.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.83
|
Trades
|
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 17 2022
|
β
|
104.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
104.87
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
102.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
102.52
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
78.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.84
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
60.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.74
|
Trades
|
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? |
California |
Florida |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
59.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.06
|
Trades
|
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
58.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.32
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
56.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.44
|
Trades
|
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? |
Jake Paul |
Anderson Silva |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 29 2022
|
β
|
53.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
53.06
|
Trades
|
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 22 2021
|
β
|
48.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.86
|
Trades
|
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
β
|
47.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.07
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on December 7, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 07 2021
|
β
|
34.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.62
|
Trades
|
Will Texas or Virginia have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 1, 2022? |
Texas |
Virginia |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
33.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.29
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,114.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.9799
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,114.97
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
-1,092.60
|
9.23
|
0.00
|
31.60
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-6.5789
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
28.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.89
|
Trades
|
Will Biden and Putin meet by March 21, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 21 2022
|
β
|
27.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 22 2022
|
β
|
26.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.71
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
β
|
26.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.19
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
22.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.16
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
β
|
15.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.58
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
13.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.88
|
Trades
|
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 15 2022
|
β
|
12.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.88
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
12.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.43
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
8.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.73
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
8.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.44
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
β
|
8.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.40
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 30 2021
|
β
|
7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.50
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
6.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Treasury Department mint the trillion dollar coin by November 5th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 05 2021
|
β
|
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
β
|
5.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.92
|
Trades
|
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) |
Yes |
No |
2.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.7645
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.43
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
1.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.29
|
Trades
|
Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
4.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.26
|
Trades
|
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
β
|
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
3.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.63
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen in Q4 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 27 2022
|
β
|
2.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.78
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
7.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1270
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
0.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.34
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.44
|
0.90% |
|
0.0059
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will the Green Bay Packers win the β21-β22 Superbowl? |
Yes |
No |
5.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0027
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 13 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
β
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Known Origin airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Bayern Munich win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? |
Yes |
No |
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 28 2022
|
β
|
-0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Sevilla win 2021-22 La Liga? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 22 2022
|
β
|
-0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.13
|
Trades
|
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by January 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 09 2022
|
β
|
-0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.13
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.41 |
0.59 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.16
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
5.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0909
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
100.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0119
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.20
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
-1.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.96
|
Trades
|
Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 15 2021
|
β
|
-2.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.48
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? |
Yes |
No |
71.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0437
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
71.93
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
β
|
-75.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.15
|
Trades
|
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
50.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1091
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 15 2021
|
β
|
-5.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.49
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
-6.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.68
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
-10.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.58
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
-14.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.77
|
Trades
|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
107.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2312
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 25 2022
|
β
|
-24.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.91
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? |
Democrat |
Republican |
6.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
4.3717
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-29.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.68
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.3456
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
-34.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.67
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 11 2022
|
β
|
-35.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.38
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2022 FIFA World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
-53.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-53.39
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-65.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-65.00
|
Trades
|
Will Canada qualify from Group F? |
Yes |
No |
304.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2588
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-78.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-78.74
|
Trades
|
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
203.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.4955
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
-101.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-101.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
367.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3716
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
-136.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-136.43
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
402.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.4621
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-185.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-185.90
|
Trades
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
β
|
-199.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-199.46
|
Trades
|
Will Rodolfo HernΓ‘ndez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 29 2022
|
β
|
-200.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.97
|
Trades
|
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
1,085.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2450
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
-266.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-266.01
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? |
Yes |
No |
358.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9559
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 26 2022
|
β
|
-342.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-342.91
|
Trades
|
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
-542.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-542.73
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
β
|
-773.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-773.73
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-960.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-960.22
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
3,295.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2932
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-966.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-966.20
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,787.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.2569
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
-973.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-973.03
|
Trades
|
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? |
Yes |
No |
2,140.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5152
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-1,102.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,102.76
|
Trades
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
β
|
-2,473.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,473.54
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 28 2022
|
β
|
-2,752.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,752.09
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 27 2022
|
β
|
-3,476.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,476.54
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 27 2023
|
β
|
-3,567.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,567.81
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74.36
|
1,114.98
|
|
|
41,954.28
|
204.50
|
0.00
|
43,348.12
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
-436.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-436.09
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
74.37
|
1,114.98
|
|
|
41,518.18
|
204.50
|
0.00
|
42,912.03
|
|