Account
0xbf78282f15166f376b9f6471689a7f0c92ebc8c4 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 1,373.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,373.96 | Trades | |||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | β | 1,200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,200.00 | Trades | ||
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 1,140.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,140.08 | Trades | |||||||
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 966.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 966.68 | Trades | ||
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 560.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 560.24 | Trades | ||
What will the margin be in Newsomβs recall election? | Under 10% 10% to 15% Over 15% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 482.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 482.22 | Trades | |||||||
Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | 375.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 375.04 | Trades | ||
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | 228.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 228.25 | Trades | ||
Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 221.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 221.76 | Trades | ||
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 15 2021 | β | 214.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 214.86 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his August 16 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | β | 203.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 203.18 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 375K for the week ending on August 14? | Yes | No | 1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -122.9029 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 19 2021 | β | 155.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 155.03 | Trades | |
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | 142.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 142.52 | Trades | ||
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 123.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 123.50 | Trades | ||
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | 118.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.17 | Trades | ||
Will the Buccaneers beat the Cowboys by more than 8 points in their NFL week 1 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 09 2021 | β | 111.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 111.71 | Trades | ||
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 105.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 105.17 | Trades | |||
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be between 41.6% and 41.8%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 22 2022 | β | 93.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 93.53 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 89.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.88 | Trades | ||
Will Messi score a goal on his PSG debut? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 89.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.60 | Trades | |||
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | 77.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.28 | Trades | ||
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? | Paul | Woodley | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 29 2021 | β | 74.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.17 | Trades | ||
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | 74.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.12 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | 72.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.75 | Trades | ||
Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami by January 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | β | 68.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.59 | Trades | ||
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | 63.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.74 | Trades | ||
Will President Biden say βTrumpβ during his August 26 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.15 | 0.00% | -2.3056 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | β | 57.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.98 | Trades | |
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 51.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.46 | Trades | ||
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 47.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.60 | Trades | ||
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 45.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.43 | Trades | ||
Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? | Yes | No | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | 36.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.06 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 36.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.32 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be between 41.3% and 41.5%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 22 2022 | β | 33.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.13 | Trades | ||
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | β | 32.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.77 | Trades | ||
Will the Chiefs beat the Eagles by more than 7.5 points in their week four matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 03 2021 | β | 32.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.00 | Trades | ||
Will there be over 220,000 encounters at the US-Mexico border in August 2021? | Yes | No | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 22.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.47 | Trades | ||
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? | California | Florida | 268.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0835 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 22.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.37 | Trades | |
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 18.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.45 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | 16.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.94 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | β | 16.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.77 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 28 2021 | β | 16.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.20 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | β | 15.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.75 | Trades | ||
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 11.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.62 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 9.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.80 | Trades | ||
How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for July? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 24 2021 | β | 8.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.24 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 2.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.29 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | β | 1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.69 | Trades | ||
Will Princeton University remain the highest ranking national university in the US according to the 2022 US News ranking? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.90 | Trades | ||
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | Trades | ||
Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | β | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 260K for the week ending on November 27? | Yes | No | 20.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0801 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 02 2021 | β | -1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.65 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -2.24 | 0.49 | 0.00 | -1.74 | Trades | ||
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -2.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.13 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -2.49 | 0.21 | 0.00 | -2.29 | Trades | ||
(In-Game Trading) Will the 49ers beat the Seahawks by over 2.5 points in their week four matchup? | Yes | No | 1,184.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0025 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 03 2021 | β | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
Will 'Ghostbusters: Afterlife' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | -3.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.18 | Trades | ||
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 180.01 | 0.00% | 0.0181 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | -3.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.26 | Trades | |
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -3.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.32 | Trades | ||
Will Venom: Let There Be Carnage gross between $64M and $72M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 04 2021 | β | -4.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.96 | Trades | ||
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 894.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0056 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
(In-Game Trading) Will Washington beat the Atlanta Falcons by over 1.5 points in their week four matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 159.06 | 0.00% | 0.0314 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 03 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will The Queen's Gambit win the Emmy Award for Best Limited Series?Β | Yes | No | 0.00 | 79.64 | 0.00% | 0.0796 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 19 2021 | β | -6.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.34 | Trades | |
Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanyeβs Donda or Drakeβs Certified Lover Boy? | Kanye | Drake | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.67 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -7.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.49 | Trades | ||
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | -6.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.76 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 17 2021 | β | -7.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.25 | Trades | ||
Will Candyman gross more than $19M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 30 2021 | β | -7.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.65 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | -9.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.27 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | β | -9.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.46 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | -9.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.64 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | -10.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.61 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | -10.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.72 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.5% or higher on December 12th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 13 2021 | β | -13.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.57 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -16.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.36 | Trades | ||
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? | WI | SC | 0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.69 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -18.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.21 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 02 2021 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | -22.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.08 | Trades | ||
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | β | -22.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.24 | Trades | ||
Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | β | -23.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.81 | Trades | ||||||
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -32.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.67 | Trades | ||
Will Lionel Messi sign for Paris-Saint Germain on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 350.88 | 0.00% | 0.1083 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -38.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -38.00 | Trades | |
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -39.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.37 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | -42.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -42.04 | Trades | ||
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | -44.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -44.45 | Trades | ||
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -44.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -44.46 | Trades | ||
Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 14 2021 | β | -45.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.43 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 9, 2021? | Yes | No | 578.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0812 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | -47.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Bidenβs disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | β | -56.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -56.69 | Trades | ||
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | -59.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -59.01 | Trades | ||
Will the Buccaneers beat the Patriots by more than 7.5 points in their week four matchup? | Yes | No | 262.61 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2437 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 03 2021 | β | -64.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -64.00 | Trades | |
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 532.87 | 0.00% | 0.1319 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -70.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -70.30 | Trades | |
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -72.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -72.14 | Trades | ||
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.61 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | β | -73.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -73.24 | Trades | ||
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 14,208.90 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0054 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -77.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -77.16 | Trades | |
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | β | -78.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -78.11 | Trades | ||
Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? | France USA Italy Spain |
0.00 0.00 0.00 159.99 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | -87.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -87.30 | Trades | ||||||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | β | -89.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -89.74 | Trades | ||
Who will get more votes in the 2021 California recall election: Paffrath, Faulconer, or Cox? | Paffrath Faulconer Cox |
0.00 0.05 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | -90.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -90.89 | Trades | |||||||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | -97.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -97.35 | Trades | ||
What will the margin of victory be in the 2021 OH-11 democratic primary? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.15 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -101.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -101.21 | Trades | |||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -104.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -104.22 | Trades | ||
Will Jungle Cruise gross more than $30M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | β | -112.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -112.50 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.3% or less on January 26? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 26 2022 | β | -121.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -121.37 | Trades | ||
Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -125.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -125.28 | Trades | ||
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 20 2021 | β | -131.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -131.68 | Trades | ||
Will PAW Patrol: The Movie and The Protege have a combined domestic opening weekend gross of over 17M? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | β | -135.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -135.74 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be 42.2% or more? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 22 2022 | β | -142.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -142.11 | Trades | ||
Will Texas or Virginia have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 1, 2022? | Texas | Virginia | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -152.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -152.59 | Trades | ||
(In-game Trading) Will the Buccaneers beat the Patriots by more than 7.5 points in their week four matchup? | Yes | No | 4,353.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0379 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 03 2021 | β | -165.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -165.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | -182.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -182.41 | Trades | ||
Will Free Guy gross more than $20M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,596.16 | 0.00% | 0.0763 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 17 2021 | β | -197.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -197.97 | Trades | |
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? | Yes | No | 2,156.61 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0927 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 14 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be 41.2% or less? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 22 2022 | β | -242.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -242.36 | Trades | ||
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | -264.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -264.34 | Trades | ||
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 12 2021 | β | -392.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -392.03 | Trades | ||
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | β | -842.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -842.17 | Trades | ||
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -1,015.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,015.60 | Trades | ||
Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -1,256.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,256.38 | Trades | ||
Resolved | 0.79 | 0.67 | 1,570.48 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 1,572.65 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
Total | 0.79 | 0.67 | 1,570.48 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 1,572.65 |