Will Peter Thiel win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.56
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-7.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.14
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-9.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.32
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-10.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.39
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-14.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.29
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-89.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-89.73
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-214.92
|
10.76
|
0.00
|
-204.16
|
Trades
|
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 01 2021
|
✅ |
10,286.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,286.02
|
Trades
|
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
5,355.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,355.86
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
✅ |
5,216.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,216.80
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
✅ |
728.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
728.00
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 27 2023
|
✅ |
616.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
616.34
|
Trades
|
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
514.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
514.54
|
Trades
|
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
116.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.62
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
✅ |
106.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
106.41
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
97.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.09
|
Trades
|
Which cryptocurrency will have a higher market cap on March 15: Terra ($LUNA) or Solana ($SOL)? |
Terra |
Solana |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
✅ |
73.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.53
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 20 2021
|
✅ |
68.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.34
|
Trades
|
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 01 2021
|
✅ |
66.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.74
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
30.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.01
|
Trades
|
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA ‘21-’22 Champsionship? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 19 2022
|
✅ |
18.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.35
|
Trades
|
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 17 2022
|
✅ |
14.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.34
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
✅ |
9.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.02
|
Trades
|
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 21 2021
|
✅ |
5.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.29
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
4.22
|
0.00% |
|
2.6459
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-11.17
|
7.23
|
0.01
|
-3.93
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on June 24, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 24 2022
|
✅ |
-4.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.19
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
3.73
|
0.00% |
|
7.4816
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-27.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.91
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
-28.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.18
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
✅ |
-61.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-61.54
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 27 2022
|
✅ |
-72.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-72.88
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 01 2021
|
✅ |
-78.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-78.89
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-92.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-92.03
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit 3 digits (sub $1000) by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
312.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.3202
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 01 2021
|
✅ |
-105.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-105.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
8.92
|
0.00% |
|
23.4845
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-209.37
|
68.35
|
0.00
|
-141.02
|
Trades
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 15 2021
|
✅ |
-160.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-160.94
|
Trades
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.63
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.63
|
Thu Apr 01 2021
|
✅ |
-164.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-163.60
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
✅ |
-174.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-174.63
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.70
|
0.00% |
|
2.3231
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
-175.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-175.85
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-178.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-178.06
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) hit $20,000 or less by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
946.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.2113
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $10 billion a week after its launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
529.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.5161
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
✅ |
-273.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-273.53
|
Trades
|
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 28 2021
|
✅ |
-286.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-286.61
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
1,046.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.4673
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-488.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-488.88
|
Trades
|
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
859.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7271
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 31 2021
|
✅ |
-625.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-625.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
-1,041.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,041.38
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
22,374.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1276
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
-2,854.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,854.63
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.63
|
|
|
15,908.38
|
75.58
|
0.01
|
15,984.62
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
|
|
-348.38
|
10.76
|
0.00
|
-337.60
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.65
|
|
|
15,560.00
|
86.34
|
0.01
|
15,647.01
|
|