Musk vs. Zuck |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
31.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.5400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
|
-17.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.03
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 01 2020
|
β
|
2,019.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,019.01
|
Trades
|
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 15 2021
|
β
|
701.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
701.76
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
664.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
664.48
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 02 2021
|
β
|
638.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
638.20
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
515.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
515.21
|
Trades
|
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 15 2021
|
β
|
217.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
217.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 11 2021
|
β
|
195.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
195.42
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 08 2021
|
β
|
185.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
185.54
|
Trades
|
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
139.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
139.50
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? |
Yes |
No |
222.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
222.51
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-113.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
109.03
|
Trades
|
Will the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 06 2020
|
β
|
84.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
84.28
|
Trades
|
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 22 2021
|
β
|
66.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.60
|
Trades
|
Will Canada sanction India by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.00
|
Trades
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Speed Chess Championship? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
β
|
33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 20 2020
|
β
|
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
16.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.95
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0077
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 30 2021
|
β
|
-0.13
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
534.42
|
0.00
|
0.04% |
0.0002
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
202.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1233
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 07 2021
|
β
|
-28.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.47
|
Trades
|
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
679.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.0736
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 05 2021
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-58.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.00
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
189.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3513
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-66.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-66.52
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4728
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
β
|
-94.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-94.56
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
536.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.2231
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-119.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-119.73
|
Trades
|
Will Airbnb begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
β
|
-150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-150.00
|
Trades
|
Will $LINK (Chainlink) be above $27 on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
3,426.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0584
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 01 2021
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
730.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4109
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 31 2021
|
β
|
-300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-300.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 30 2021
|
β
|
-368.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-368.74
|
Trades
|
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 01 2021
|
β
|
-486.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-486.07
|
Trades
|
Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 20 2021
|
β
|
-497.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-497.53
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye Westβs DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? |
Yes |
No |
1,003.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7241
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 23 2021
|
β
|
-726.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-726.26
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden say βfolksβ in his first Joint Address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 28 2021
|
β
|
-1,131.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,131.07
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
-1,337.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,337.49
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
222.51
|
0.00
|
|
|
-211.21
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
11.37
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-17.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.03
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
222.51
|
0.00
|
|
|
-228.23
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
-5.66
|
|