Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 192,045.56 0.00 0.00% 0.4261 0.45 0.55 86,000.26 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -81,821.81 22.18 0.00 4,200.63 Trades
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.29 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 416.83 0.00 0.00 416.83 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 134.90 0.00 0.00 134.90 Trades
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? Yes No 0.00 6,154.71 0.00% 0.5595 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -3,443.63 0.00 0.00 -3,443.63 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 8,603.86 0.00 0.00% 0.4261 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -3,665.88 0.00 0.00 -3,665.88 Trades
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? Yes No 0.00 8,596.60 0.00% 0.8464 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -7,276.16 0.00 0.00 -7,276.16 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,918.38 0.00 0.00 1,918.38 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 488.73 0.00 0.00% -1.8731 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 915.47 0.00 0.00 915.47 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 1,442.23 0.00 0.00% -0.1847 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 266.41 0.00 0.00 266.41 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 2,161.06 0.00 0.00% -0.1218 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 263.25 0.00 0.00 263.25 Trades
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Netanyahu Sinwar 542.79 0.00 0.00% -0.0492 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 26.71 0.00 0.00 26.71 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 0.00 154.75 0.00% 0.0033 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 313.12 0.00 0.00% 0.0816 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -25.56 0.00 0.00 -25.56 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 299.54 0.00 0.00% 0.1881 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -56.33 0.00 0.00 -56.33 Trades
Is John McAfee alive? Yes No 598.97 0.00 0.00% 0.5219 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -312.62 0.00 0.00 -312.62 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 0.00 302.72 0.00% 1.2468 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -377.42 0.00 0.00 -377.42 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 1,423.66 0.00 0.00% 0.3008 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -428.30 0.00 0.00 -428.30 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? Yes No 6,127.29 0.00 0.00% 0.0737 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -451.57 0.00 0.00 -451.57 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 1,202.27 0.00 0.00% 0.5219 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -627.50 0.00 0.00 -627.50 Trades
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,218.65 0.00% 0.6631 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -808.07 0.00 0.00 -808.07 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,528.23 0.00% 0.7782 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,189.21 0.00 0.00 -1,189.21 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 0.78 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,262.68 0.00 0.00 -1,262.68 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,929.45 0.00% 0.5006 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,466.56 0.00 0.00 -1,466.56 Trades
Will 2024 be better than 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,818.11 0.00% 0.5343 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,505.64 0.00 0.00 -1,505.64 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 15,507.68 0.00 0.00% 0.1069 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,657.28 0.00 0.00 -1,657.28 Trades
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,568.81 0.00% 0.8580 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2,204.11 0.00 0.00 -2,204.11 Trades
Doge ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 3,660.02 0.00% 0.8807 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -3,223.56 0.00 0.00 -3,223.56 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 18,195.86 0.00 0.00% 0.2298 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -4,181.22 0.00 0.00 -4,181.22 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? Yes No 0.00 5,203.85 0.00% 0.8322 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4,330.81 0.00 0.00 -4,330.81 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 4,763.08 0.00% 0.9209 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4,386.55 0.00 0.00 -4,386.55 Trades
Solana ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 6,439.17 0.00% 0.8274 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -5,327.84 0.00 0.00 -5,327.84 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? Yes No 0.00 8,000.89 0.00% 0.7645 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -6,116.74 0.00 0.00 -6,116.74 Trades
Canada federal election in 2024? Yes No 0.00 8,761.27 0.00% 0.8231 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -7,211.30 0.00 0.00 -7,211.30 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.00 9,329.18 0.00% 0.8206 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -7,655.23 0.00 0.00 -7,655.23 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 0.00 10,225.83 0.00% 0.7556 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -7,726.85 0.00 0.00 -7,726.85 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? Yes No 20,746.71 0.00 0.00% 0.4454 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -9,241.13 0.00 0.00 -9,241.13 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 23,243.39 0.00% 0.5409 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -12,572.65 0.00 0.00 -12,572.65 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 0.00 54,113.21 0.00% 0.3549 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -19,204.75 0.00 0.00 -19,204.75 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 32,039.05 0.00% 0.6472 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -20,736.50 0.00 0.00 -20,736.50 Trades
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? Yes No 0.00 34,138.68 0.00% 0.8275 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -28,251.09 0.00 0.00 -28,251.09 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 160,390.45 0.00 0.00% 0.4401 1.00 0.00 160,390.45 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ -70,592.51 0.00 0.00 89,797.94 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 70,681.69 0.00 0.00 70,681.69 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 65,579.91 0.00 0.00 65,579.91 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 46,680.81 0.00 0.00 46,680.81 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ 43,024.62 0.00 0.00 43,024.62 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 29,954.37 0.00 0.00% -0.2073 1.00 0.00 29,954.37 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ 6,208.19 0.00 0.00 36,162.56 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 35,642.01 0.00 0.00 35,642.01 Trades
“All I want for Christmas is You” #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 06 2024 ✅ 33,308.41 0.00 0.00 33,308.41 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 32,736.44 0.00 0.00 32,736.44 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.16 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 24,988.25 6,519.05 0.00 31,507.30 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 0.24 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 29,791.22 0.00 0.00 29,791.22 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 27,780.24 0.00 0.00 27,780.24 Trades
Will Shohei Ohtani sign with Blue Jays? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 27,516.40 0.00 0.00 27,516.40 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 26,740.38 0.00 0.00 26,740.38 Trades
Will Messi sign for Barcelona? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 24,206.76 0.00 0.00 24,206.76 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ 22,546.90 0.00 0.00 22,546.90 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 ✅ 20,995.93 0.00 0.00 20,995.93 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 35,886.66 0.00% 0.4205 0.00 1.00 0.00 35,886.66 Wed Mar 20 2024 ✅ -15,089.25 0.00 0.00 20,797.41 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.92 0.00% -2278.9424 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 20,317.71 68.72 0.00 20,386.43 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 20,237.79 0.00 0.00 20,237.79 Trades
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 20,124.54 0.00 0.00 20,124.54 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 19,082.82 0.00 0.00 19,082.82 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ 18,768.26 0.00 0.00 18,768.26 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 18,537.01 0.00 0.00 18,537.01 Trades
Tensor airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 16,787.44 0.00 0.00 16,787.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 ✅ 15,848.64 0.00 0.00 15,848.64 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 14,946.47 0.00 0.00 14,946.47 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 2,331.82 0.00% -6.2756 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 14,633.60 0.00 0.00 14,633.60 Trades
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? Haley DeSantis 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ 14,046.17 0.00 0.00 14,046.17 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 13,935.82 0.00 0.00 13,935.82 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 12,536.54 0.00 0.00 12,536.54 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 12,533.05 0.00 0.00 12,533.05 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 20,985.42 0.00 0.00% 0.5120 1.00 0.00 20,985.42 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -10,744.36 2,030.08 0.00 12,271.14 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ 12,035.54 0.00 0.00 12,035.54 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.54 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.54 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 ✅ 11,984.18 0.00 0.00 11,984.71 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 11,916.83 0.00 0.00 11,916.83 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 11,419.76 0.00 0.00 11,419.76 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.33 16.66% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.33 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 11,294.66 0.01 0.00 11,295.00 Trades
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 10,892.78 0.00 0.00 10,892.78 Trades
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 10,738.67 0.00 0.00 10,738.67 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 ✅ 10,439.23 0.00 0.00 10,439.23 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 ✅ 10,020.00 0.00 0.00 10,020.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by September 18? Yes No 48,292.58 0.00 0.00% 0.7926 1.00 0.00 48,292.58 0.00 Wed Sep 18 2024 ✅ -38,276.94 0.00 0.00 10,015.64 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 9,853.40 0.00 0.00 9,853.40 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 9,666.58 0.00 0.00 9,666.58 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 ✅ 9,205.64 0.00 0.00 9,205.64 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 8,460.88 0.00 0.00 8,460.88 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 5,197.66 0.00 0.01% -1.5868 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 8,247.77 70.03 0.00 8,317.80 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 8,237.53 0.00 0.00 8,237.53 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ 8,217.09 0.00 0.00 8,217.09 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ 8,037.33 0.00 0.00 8,037.33 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 8,184.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0251 1.00 0.00 8,184.16 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 ✅ -205.44 0.00 0.00 7,978.72 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 7,816.15 0.00 0.00 7,816.15 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 7,749.35 0.00 0.00 7,749.35 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.00 12,760.02 0.00% -0.5962 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 7,607.43 0.00 0.00 7,607.43 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 0.00 13,430.68 0.00% 0.4437 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,430.68 Thu Aug 22 2024 ✅ -5,959.00 0.00 0.00 7,471.68 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.18 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 7,337.28 0.00 0.00 7,337.28 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ 7,235.71 0.00 0.00 7,235.71 Trades
Was @SECGov really hacked? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 7,040.19 0.00 0.00 7,040.19 Trades
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 6,981.80 0.00 0.00 6,981.80 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 6,487.36 0.00 0.00 6,487.36 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 6,414.21 0.00 0.00 6,414.21 Trades
Boeing Max 9 cleared to fly by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 6,115.30 0.00 0.00 6,115.30 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 11,353.50 0.00 0.00% -0.5246 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 5,956.46 0.00 0.00 5,956.46 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 52,524.52 0.28% 0.9195 0.00 1.00 0.00 52,524.52 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -48,298.00 1,577.31 0.00 5,803.83 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 7,246.81 0.00% -0.7673 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 5,560.47 0.00 0.00 5,560.47 Trades
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 5,432.36 0.00 0.00 5,432.36 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 20,834.47 0.00 0.00% -0.2584 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 ✅ 5,383.04 0.00 0.00 5,383.04 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 4.50 0.00 0.00% -1122.1756 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 5,049.20 271.66 0.00 5,320.87 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ 5,281.91 0.00 0.00 5,281.91 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 5,143.93 0.00 0.00 5,143.93 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 0.00 12,941.55 0.00% -0.3870 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ 5,008.13 0.00 0.00 5,008.13 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 4,834.10 0.00 0.00 4,834.10 Trades
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games) Yes No 0.00 13,646.54 0.00% 0.6473 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,646.54 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -8,833.28 0.00 0.00 4,813.26 Trades
Will TD get over 11% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 4,798.63 0.00 0.00 4,798.63 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? Yes No 1,788.52 0.00 0.00% -1.6768 1.00 0.00 1,788.52 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 2,999.04 0.00 0.00 4,787.56 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 10.60 0.00 0.00% -413.5951 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 4,385.40 285.19 0.00 4,670.59 Trades
Aleo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 4,558.95 0.00 0.00 4,558.95 Trades
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 4,481.66 0.00 0.00 4,481.66 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 10,543.90 0.00% 0.5800 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,543.90 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -6,115.58 0.00 0.00 4,428.33 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 48,829.90 0.00% -0.0901 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ 4,399.78 0.00 0.00 4,399.78 Trades
NFL: Who will win Chiefs v. Bills? Chiefs Bills 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 23 2022 ✅ 4,375.63 0.00 0.00 4,375.63 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 19,604.15 0.00% -0.2230 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 4,371.62 0.00 0.00 4,371.62 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 4,368.65 0.00 0.00 4,368.65 Trades
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 4,306.84 0.00 0.00 4,306.84 Trades
NYT drop OpenAI case by March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 4,299.39 0.00 0.00 4,299.39 Trades
Bills vs. Chiefs Bills Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 21 2024 ✅ 4,295.05 0.00 0.00 4,295.05 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,702.47 0.00% -0.1355 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,702.47 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 501.79 0.00 0.00 4,204.26 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ 4,196.92 0.00 0.00 4,196.92 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.00 8,285.49 0.00% 0.4954 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,285.49 Fri Apr 19 2024 ✅ -4,104.40 0.00 0.00 4,181.09 Trades
US strike against Houthis by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 4,033.74 0.00 0.00 4,033.74 Trades
Will Trump be arrested by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 ✅ 4,033.00 0.00 0.00 4,033.00 Trades
Will Mbappé leave PSG? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 3,988.50 0.00 0.00 3,988.50 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.00 1,781.12 0.00% -1.2303 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,781.12 Wed Jul 31 2024 ✅ 2,191.38 0.00 0.00 3,972.50 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 4.49 0.00 0.02% -871.6012 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 3,915.63 27.95 0.00 3,943.58 Trades
Cowboys vs. Packers Cowboys Packers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ 3,922.34 0.00 0.00 3,922.34 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 3,829.33 0.00 0.00 3,829.34 Trades
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3,821.91 0.00 0.00 3,821.91 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? Yes No 4,811.38 0.00 0.00% 0.2252 1.00 0.00 4,811.38 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -1,083.53 0.00 0.00 3,727.85 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 2,080.02 0.00% -1.7511 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 ✅ 3,642.26 39.41 0.00 3,681.67 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 877.17 0.00 0.00% -3.1178 1.00 0.00 877.17 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 2,734.84 0.00 0.00 3,612.00 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3,572.08 0.00 0.00 3,572.08 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.00 3,564.93 0.00% 0.0173 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,564.93 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -61.79 0.00 0.00 3,503.15 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? Yes No 1,776.10 0.00 0.00% -1.9211 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 3,412.11 0.00 0.00 3,412.11 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 0.00 13,881.85 100.00% 0.7544 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,881.85 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -10,472.74 0.00 0.00 3,409.11 Trades
Egypt Presidential Election: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ 3,287.24 0.00 0.00 3,287.24 Trades
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 3,255.66 0.00 0.00 3,255.66 Trades
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? Yes No 3,029.42 0.00 0.00% -0.0649 1.00 0.00 3,029.42 0.00 Sun May 26 2024 ✅ 196.68 0.00 0.00 3,226.10 Trades
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? Yes No 0.00 4,987.09 0.00% 0.3595 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,987.09 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1,792.65 0.00 0.00 3,194.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 36,598.93 0.00 0.00% 0.9131 1.00 0.00 36,598.93 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 ✅ -33,417.30 0.00 0.00 3,181.63 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ 3,113.86 0.00 0.00 3,113.86 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? Yes No 12,574.01 0.00 0.00% 0.7530 1.00 0.00 12,574.01 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ -9,467.83 0.00 0.00 3,106.18 Trades
Russian nuke in space by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 3,069.60 0.00 0.00 3,069.60 Trades
Fed rate cut by November 7? Yes No 654.61 0.00 0.00% -3.6162 1.00 0.00 654.61 0.00 Thu Nov 07 2024 ✅ 2,367.22 0.00 0.00 3,021.82 Trades
Rugby World Cup: New Zealand vs. South Africa New Zealand South Africa 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 ✅ 2,995.11 0.00 0.00 2,995.11 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.7028 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,000.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -7,027.85 0.00 0.00 2,972.15 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.28 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2,970.72 0.00 0.00 2,971.00 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 17,987.15 0.00% 0.8385 0.00 1.00 0.00 17,987.15 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15,082.99 0.00 0.00 2,904.16 Trades
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? Yes No 2,383.13 0.00 0.00% -0.2099 1.00 0.00 2,383.13 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 500.17 0.00 0.00 2,883.30 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 13,076.74 0.00 0.00% 0.7887 1.00 0.00 13,076.74 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 ✅ -10,313.83 99.02 0.00 2,861.93 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 2,849.32 0.00 0.00 2,849.32 Trades
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 2,841.44 0.00 0.00 2,841.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 5,798.10 0.00% 0.5195 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,798.10 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -3,012.16 43.08 0.00 2,829.02 Trades
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 2,966.71 0.00 0.00% 0.0556 1.00 0.00 2,966.71 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -165.00 0.00 0.00 2,801.71 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 9,921.16 0.00 0.00% 0.7260 1.00 0.00 9,921.16 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 ✅ -7,202.77 60.68 0.00 2,779.07 Trades
Will they find another Jewish tunnel in NYC by Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 2,751.43 0.00 0.00 2,751.43 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ 2,751.15 0.00 0.00 2,751.15 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 2,750.08 0.00 0.00 2,750.08 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 2,995.76 0.00% 0.0907 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,995.76 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -271.80 0.00 0.00 2,723.97 Trades
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 16,216.10 0.00% 0.8345 0.00 1.00 0.00 16,216.10 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -13,532.23 32.98 0.00 2,716.85 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' flop? Yes No 37.65 0.00 0.00% -70.4638 1.00 0.00 37.65 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2,653.16 0.00 0.00 2,690.81 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 2,678.23 0.00 0.00 2,678.23 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,573.10 0.00% 0.7415 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,573.10 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -4,873.69 974.39 0.00 2,673.80 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 2,669.67 0.00 0.00 2,669.67 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 4,893.35 0.00 0.00% 0.4811 1.00 0.00 4,893.35 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -2,354.29 70.67 0.00 2,609.74 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 1,452.31 0.00 0.00% -1.6680 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 2,422.45 111.97 0.00 2,534.42 Trades
NFL: Who will win Buccaneers v. Rams? Buccaneers Rams 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 23 2022 ✅ 2,530.72 0.49 0.00 2,531.22 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 5,268.86 0.00% 0.5681 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,268.86 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -2,993.45 231.78 0.00 2,507.18 Trades
Will Ja Morant be suspended for more than 45 games? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ 2,443.78 0.00 0.00 2,443.78 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 ✅ 2,436.32 0.00 0.00 2,436.32 Trades
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 25 2023 ✅ 2,401.30 0.00 0.00 2,401.30 Trades
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 1,960.75 0.00% -1.2237 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 2,399.36 0.00 0.00 2,399.36 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 8.85 0.00 0.00% -269.6511 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 ✅ 2,385.74 0.00 0.00 2,385.74 Trades
Will Ronna Mcdaniel step down as RNC Chair before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 9,816.60 0.00% 0.7598 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,816.60 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -7,458.71 0.00 0.00 2,357.89 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 4,943.41 0.00% 0.5255 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,943.41 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,597.69 0.00 0.00 2,345.72 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? Yes No 6,532.86 0.00 0.00% 0.6553 1.00 0.00 6,532.86 0.00 Fri Jan 27 2023 ✅ -4,281.01 13.07 0.00 2,264.92 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.73 0.00% -583.7737 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 2,178.08 76.64 0.00 2,254.72 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 9,136.78 0.00 0.00% -0.2467 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 2,253.99 0.00 0.00 2,253.99 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 2,244.20 0.00 0.00 2,244.20 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 9.30 0.00 0.00% -232.6058 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2,163.40 47.42 0.00 2,210.82 Trades
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ 2,172.42 0.00 0.00 2,172.42 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 39,168.14 0.00% 0.9499 0.00 1.00 0.00 39,168.14 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -37,206.05 195.10 0.00 2,157.19 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 2,122.07 0.00 0.00 2,122.07 Trades
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? Yes No 1,959.91 0.00 0.00% -1.0743 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 2,105.58 0.00 0.00 2,105.58 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,223.88 0.00% 0.5799 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,223.88 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,869.40 747.58 0.00 2,102.07 Trades
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? Yes No 0.00 4,275.98 0.00% 0.5095 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,275.98 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -2,178.71 0.00 0.00 2,097.27 Trades
Another North Korea missile test by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 2,081.92 0.00 0.00 2,081.92 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Will Smith win Best Actor? Yes No 25,413.34 0.00 0.00% 0.9234 1.00 0.00 25,413.34 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -23,466.52 62.47 0.00 2,009.28 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 1,156.72 0.00 0.00% -0.7337 1.00 0.00 1,156.72 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 848.64 0.00 0.00 2,005.36 Trades
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? Yes No 1,837.57 0.00 0.00% -1.0870 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,997.52 0.00 0.00 1,997.52 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 10,119.73 0.00% 0.8050 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,119.73 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -8,146.72 0.37 0.00 1,973.38 Trades
NBA: Who will win Jazz vs. Mavericks, scheduled for April 28, 10:00 PM ET? Jazz Mavericks 0.00 1,631.32 0.00% -0.1028 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,631.32 Thu Apr 28 2022 ✅ 167.75 159.42 0.00 1,958.50 Trades
Ukraine aid package in February? Yes No 0.00 12,137.60 0.00% 0.8406 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,137.60 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -10,202.75 0.00 0.00 1,934.86 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 4,584.36 0.00 0.00% 0.5812 1.00 0.00 4,584.36 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ -2,664.28 0.00 0.00 1,920.09 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 42,951.91 0.00% -0.0446 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ 1,917.76 0.00 0.00 1,917.76 Trades
Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election? Yes No 0.00 14,438.67 0.00% 0.8681 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,438.67 Mon Apr 08 2024 ✅ -12,533.68 0.00 0.00 1,904.99 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 16,420.30 0.00 0.00% 0.8862 1.00 0.00 16,420.30 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ -14,552.33 0.00 0.00 1,867.98 Trades
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be seen kissing? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 1,866.25 0.00 0.00 1,866.25 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 1,955.82 0.00 0.00% 0.0568 1.00 0.00 1,955.82 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -111.05 0.00 0.00 1,844.77 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 137.16 0.00% -12.3468 0.00 1.00 0.00 137.16 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 1,693.50 0.00 0.00 1,830.66 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,142.14 0.00% 0.8904 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,142.14 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -9,920.61 604.99 0.00 1,826.52 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,810.80 0.00 0.00 1,810.80 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? Yes No 28,206.88 0.00 0.00% -0.0639 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1,802.23 0.00 0.00 1,802.23 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.00 4.59 0.00% -381.4479 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ 1,752.53 43.85 0.00 1,796.39 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? Yes No 4,472.61 0.00 0.00% 0.6004 1.00 0.00 4,472.61 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ -2,685.33 4.20 0.00 1,791.48 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 133.46 0.00 0.00% -13.3034 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,775.43 0.00 0.00 1,775.43 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? Yes No 3,076.23 0.00 0.00% 0.4330 1.00 0.00 3,076.23 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -1,332.00 0.00 0.00 1,744.23 Trades
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 27,389.85 0.00% 0.9367 0.00 1.00 0.00 27,389.85 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -25,656.35 0.41 0.00 1,733.91 Trades
zkSync airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 4,215.93 0.00% 0.5975 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,215.93 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -2,519.17 0.00 0.00 1,696.76 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 2,811.69 0.00% 0.3974 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,811.69 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ -1,117.26 0.00 0.00 1,694.43 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 4,357.90 0.00% 0.6118 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,357.90 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -2,666.10 0.00 0.00 1,691.80 Trades
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? Yes No 69.33 0.00 0.00% -24.3366 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 1,687.17 0.00 0.00 1,687.17 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? Yes No 2,213.36 0.00 0.03% 0.2425 1.00 0.00 2,213.36 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 ✅ -536.64 0.00 0.00 1,676.72 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Jan 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 1,676.47 0.00 0.00 1,676.47 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 2,752.05 0.00% 0.4033 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,752.05 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ -1,110.00 0.00 0.00 1,642.05 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,350.62 0.00% 0.5125 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,350.62 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -1,717.08 0.37 0.00 1,633.92 Trades
Will Mbappé join a Saudi club this transfer window? Yes No 0.00 2,530.90 100.00% 0.3606 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,530.90 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -912.59 0.00 0.00 1,618.31 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 8,749.69 0.00% 0.8179 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,749.69 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -7,155.96 0.00 0.00 1,593.74 Trades
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 3,427.77 0.00 0.00% 0.5573 1.00 0.00 3,427.77 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -1,910.43 76.04 0.00 1,593.39 Trades
Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 1,566.34 0.00 0.00 1,566.34 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 7,728.02 0.00% 0.8020 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,728.02 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -6,198.02 0.00 0.00 1,530.00 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 2,326.33 0.00 0.00% 0.3478 1.00 0.00 2,326.33 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -809.06 0.00 0.00 1,517.27 Trades
Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? Yes No 0.00 5,556.13 0.00% 0.7324 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,556.13 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -4,069.30 26.16 0.00 1,512.99 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by April? Yes No 1,774.77 0.00 0.00% -0.8446 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 1,498.98 0.00 0.00 1,498.98 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 9,747.87 0.00% 0.8976 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,747.87 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -8,750.04 500.94 0.00 1,498.77 Trades
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? Yes No 2,184.54 0.00 0.00% -0.6820 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1,489.83 0.00 0.00 1,489.83 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.49 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 1,469.46 0.00 0.00 1,469.46 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 0.00 13,322.89 0.00% 0.8905 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,322.89 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -11,864.03 0.00 0.00 1,458.87 Trades
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 ✅ 1,457.50 0.00 0.00 1,457.50 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 136.34 0.00% -9.6669 0.00 1.00 0.00 136.34 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 1,318.01 0.00 0.00 1,454.35 Trades
Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1,447.70 0.00 0.00 1,447.70 Trades
Bitcoin all time high today? Yes No 14,256.82 0.00 0.00% -0.0996 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 1,419.54 0.00 0.00 1,419.54 Trades
Will Biden say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 3,636.79 0.00 0.00% 0.6106 1.00 0.00 3,636.79 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -2,220.46 0.00 0.00 1,416.33 Trades
Will Gustavo Petro win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 5.02 0.00% -278.9688 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 ✅ 1,401.00 5.54 0.00 1,406.54 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 2,019.75 0.00% -0.6950 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 1,403.68 0.00 0.00 1,403.68 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 749.74 0.00 0.00% -1.8712 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ 1,402.92 0.00 0.00 1,402.92 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 88.39 0.00 0.00% -14.8705 1.00 0.00 88.39 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 1,314.47 0.00 0.00 1,402.86 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,155.77 0.00% 0.6790 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,155.77 Mon Dec 19 2022 ✅ -2,821.75 50.65 0.00 1,384.66 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 1,384.64 0.00 0.00 1,384.64 Trades
NYC trucker strike for Trump by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.08 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ 1,374.88 0.00 0.00 1,374.96 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 1,113.02 0.00 0.00% -1.2008 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,336.47 0.00 0.00 1,336.47 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? Yes No 7.09 0.00 0.05% -186.7577 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 26 2022 ✅ 1,324.50 7.49 0.00 1,331.99 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,840.52 0.00% 0.9139 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,840.52 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -10,820.87 308.68 0.00 1,328.33 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard week of Mar 23? Yes No 5,399.66 0.00 0.00% -0.2444 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 19 2024 ✅ 1,319.87 0.00 0.00 1,319.87 Trades
Ukraine aid package by March 31? Yes No 0.00 6,705.41 0.00% 0.8044 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,705.41 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -5,394.11 0.00 0.00 1,311.30 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 13,319.68 0.00% -0.0983 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ 1,309.22 0.00 0.00 1,309.22 Trades
Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 7,768.72 6.67% 0.8352 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,768.72 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ -6,488.62 21.46 0.00 1,301.56 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,529.72 0.00% 0.1504 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,529.72 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -230.08 0.00 0.00 1,299.64 Trades
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 1,288.45 0.00 0.00 1,288.45 Trades
Will Trump win Colorado Republican Primary? Yes No 0.93 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.93 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 1,275.80 0.00 0.00 1,276.73 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 14,275.63 0.00 0.00% -0.0879 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 1,254.52 0.00 0.00 1,254.52 Trades
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,065.11 0.00% -0.1775 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,065.11 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 189.01 0.00 0.00 1,254.12 Trades
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? Yes No 3,199.91 0.00 0.00% 0.6090 1.00 0.00 3,199.91 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,948.61 0.00 0.00 1,251.30 Trades
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 10,173.89 0.00 0.00% 0.8868 1.00 0.00 10,173.89 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -9,021.91 97.38 0.00 1,249.36 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 2,004.18 0.00 0.00% -0.6206 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,243.83 0.00 0.00 1,243.83 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,231.84 0.00 0.00 1,231.84 Trades
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 1,213.53 0.00 0.00 1,213.53 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,606.20 11.11% 0.8519 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,606.20 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -3,072.15 678.50 0.00 1,212.55 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 3,426.83 0.00 0.00% 0.6481 1.00 0.00 3,426.83 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ -2,220.98 4.08 0.00 1,209.93 Trades
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11.53 0.00% -103.5450 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ 1,193.41 16.04 0.00 1,209.45 Trades
Will Garcia vs. Haney be canceled? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 20 2024 ✅ 1,188.50 0.00 0.00 1,188.50 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? Yes No 0.00 1,319.98 0.00% 0.1018 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,319.98 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -134.38 0.00 0.00 1,185.60 Trades
Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election? Yes No 0.00 1,512.50 0.00% 0.2229 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,512.50 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ -337.08 0.00 0.00 1,175.42 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? Yes No 6,426.64 0.00 0.00% -0.1823 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 02 2023 ✅ 1,171.37 0.00 0.00 1,171.37 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 7,594.73 0.00% 0.8460 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,594.73 Fri Sep 29 2023 ✅ -6,425.15 0.00 0.00 1,169.58 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 ✅ 1,164.12 0.00 0.00 1,164.12 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.40 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ 1,126.43 26.97 0.00 1,153.40 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 4,291.70 0.00% -0.2673 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 1,147.09 0.00 0.00 1,147.09 Trades
Will 'Dune: Part Two' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 1,145.52 0.00 0.00 1,145.52 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,924.82 11.11% 0.6207 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,924.82 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,194.76 414.32 0.00 1,144.39 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 56.03 0.00% -19.2367 0.00 1.00 0.00 56.03 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ 1,077.84 0.00 0.00 1,133.87 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 27 2023 ✅ 1,112.70 0.00 0.00 1,112.70 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 9,102.65 0.00% 0.8795 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,102.65 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8,005.93 0.00 0.00 1,096.72 Trades
Saga airdrop by June 30? Yes No 1,053.80 0.00 0.00% -0.0345 1.00 0.00 1,053.80 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 36.38 0.00 0.00 1,090.18 Trades
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? Yes No 0.00 4,150.91 0.00% -0.2602 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 ✅ 1,079.99 0.00 0.00 1,079.99 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? Yes No 0.00 2,217.24 0.00% 0.5196 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,217.24 Sat Dec 02 2023 ✅ -1,151.97 0.00 0.00 1,065.26 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 2,836.92 0.00% 0.6250 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,836.92 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -1,772.97 0.00 0.00 1,063.96 Trades
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 ✅ 1,061.74 0.00 0.00 1,061.74 Trades
MLB: Who will win New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for April 14, 7:06 PM ET? New York Yankees Toronto Blue Jays 0.00 4.75 0.00% -219.9517 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 14 2022 ✅ 1,045.31 6.33 0.00 1,051.64 Trades
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? Yes No 0.00 1,791.26 0.00% -0.5822 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 1,042.79 0.00 0.00 1,042.79 Trades
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 293.03 0.00 0.00% -2.3881 1.00 0.00 293.03 0.00 Sun Jul 24 2022 ✅ 699.79 46.99 0.00 1,039.81 Trades
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? Yes No 0.00 3,777.18 0.00% 0.7308 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,777.18 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2,760.42 0.00 0.00 1,016.76 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.60 0.00% -69.6506 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ 459.60 542.85 0.00 1,002.45 Trades
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? Yes No 4,713.17 0.00 0.00% 0.7880 1.00 0.00 4,713.17 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -3,713.87 0.00 0.00 999.31 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 6,770.18 0.00% -0.1457 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 986.45 11.95 0.00 998.41 Trades
Will EthCC be postponed? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 17 2023 ✅ 990.02 0.00 0.00 990.02 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 5.43 0.00 0.00% -126.6335 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 687.80 301.21 0.00 989.01 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Travis Kelce scores first touchdown? Yes No 0.00 7,500.00 0.00% 0.8691 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,500.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -6,518.25 0.00 0.00 981.75 Trades
Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid? Yes No 0.00 2,363.99 0.00% 0.5860 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,363.99 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -1,385.41 0.00 0.00 978.58 Trades
NBA: Who will win Wizards vs. Lakers, scheduled for March 19, 8:10 PM ET? Wizards Lakers 1,276.50 0.00 0.00% 0.2379 1.00 0.00 1,276.50 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 ✅ -303.70 5.29 0.00 978.09 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 43.79 0.00% -21.3258 0.00 1.00 0.00 43.79 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ 933.92 0.00 0.00 977.71 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 1,919.80 0.00 0.00% -0.5073 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 973.83 0.00 0.00 973.83 Trades
Will 'Black Adam' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4.54 0.00% -208.0327 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 24 2022 ✅ 944.76 14.69 0.00 959.45 Trades
Will Christoph Strasser win the 2023 Transcontinental Race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 959.40 0.00 0.00 959.40 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 250k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 1,057.38 0.00% 0.0939 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,057.38 Thu Aug 03 2023 ✅ -99.33 0.00 0.00 958.05 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.00 6,665.30 0.00% 0.8565 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,665.30 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -5,708.60 0.00 0.00 956.70 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 2,178.17 0.00 0.00% 0.5609 1.00 0.00 2,178.17 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -1,221.70 0.00 0.00 956.47 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 0.00 155.37 0.00% -6.1417 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ 954.23 0.00 0.00 954.23 Trades
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 947.18 0.00 0.00 947.18 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 2,451.49 0.00 0.00% 0.6180 1.00 0.00 2,451.49 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,515.03 0.00 0.00 936.46 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be under 69 ETH on 4/20/2022? Yes No 0.00 6,531.69 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,531.69 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -5,617.31 3.01 0.00 917.39 Trades
marginfi airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 4,671.77 0.00% 0.8055 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,671.77 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -3,763.31 0.00 0.00 908.46 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 904.00 0.00 0.00% -0.8350 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 754.88 153.05 0.00 907.93 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 895.69 0.00 0.00 895.69 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 6,896.19 0.00% 0.8718 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,896.19 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -6,011.80 0.00 0.00 884.39 Trades
Who will win Suns vs. Clippers, scheduled for April 6 (10 PM ET)? Suns Clippers 211.91 0.00 0.00% -3.7436 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 06 2022 ✅ 793.31 80.41 0.00 873.72 Trades
Will Larva Lab’s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $25M or more at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 6,686.38 0.02% 0.8696 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,686.38 Wed Feb 23 2022 ✅ -5,814.55 0.00 0.00 871.82 Trades
Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 5,551.65 0.00% 0.8446 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,551.65 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -4,688.69 0.00 0.00 862.97 Trades
OpenAI Sora public release before May? Yes No 519.32 0.00 0.00% -1.6560 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 860.02 0.00 0.00 860.02 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 23,277.74 0.00% 0.9635 0.00 1.00 0.00 23,277.74 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -22,428.99 0.00 0.00 848.75 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ 822.56 0.00 0.00 822.56 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 4,102.37 0.00% 0.8009 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,102.37 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -3,285.49 0.00 0.00 816.88 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ 816.77 0.00 0.00 816.77 Trades
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the US in September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 813.38 0.00 0.00 813.38 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,417.94 0.00% 0.4266 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,417.94 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -604.84 0.00 0.00 813.10 Trades
Will the Canadian "Emergencies Act" be revoked by March 7, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ 801.04 0.00 0.00 801.04 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 4,814.01 0.00 0.00% -0.1626 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 782.68 0.00 0.00 782.68 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 24,317.84 0.00 0.00% 0.9697 1.00 0.00 24,317.84 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -23,580.30 44.62 0.00 782.16 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ 779.07 0.00 0.00 779.07 Trades
Will the City of Ottawa cease its state of emergency by March 2, 2022? Yes No 7,860.08 0.00 0.00% 0.9028 1.00 0.00 7,860.08 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ -7,095.80 0.03 0.00 764.30 Trades
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? Yes No 0.00 2,528.72 0.00% -0.3006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 760.06 0.00 0.00 760.06 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 665.57 0.00% -0.1357 0.00 1.00 0.00 665.57 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ 90.34 0.00 0.00 755.91 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 102.42 0.00% -0.9155 0.00 1.00 0.00 102.42 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 93.77 553.40 0.00 749.59 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? Yes No 0.00 629.02 0.00% -0.1741 0.00 1.00 0.00 629.02 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 109.50 0.00 0.00 738.52 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.00 141.98 0.00% -4.6604 0.50 0.50 0.00 70.99 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 661.68 0.00 0.00 732.67 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 3,159.80 0.00 0.00% -0.2297 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 725.90 0.00 0.00 725.90 Trades
Will Mason Greenwood return to Manchester United? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 721.70 0.00 0.00 721.70 Trades
Will a LIV Golfer win The Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 23 2023 ✅ 718.74 0.00 0.00 718.74 Trades
$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March? Yes No 0.00 372.95 0.00% -0.9153 0.00 1.00 0.00 372.95 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 341.37 0.00 0.00 714.32 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 965.39 0.00 0.00% 0.2612 1.00 0.00 965.39 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 ✅ -252.12 0.00 0.00 713.28 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 3,413.61 0.00% 0.7920 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,413.61 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -2,703.52 0.00 0.00 710.09 Trades
Will Fantano rate Drake's new album a 7 or higher? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 708.65 0.00 0.00 708.65 Trades
Aleo airdrop by April? Yes No 3,303.87 0.00 0.00% -0.2136 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 705.80 0.00 0.00 705.80 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? Yes No 1,216.33 0.00 0.00% -0.5750 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ 699.40 0.00 0.00 699.40 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 0.00 82.42 0.00% -1.1040 0.00 1.00 0.00 82.42 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 90.99 522.26 0.00 695.67 Trades
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? Yes No 0.00 4,935.10 0.00% 0.8597 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,935.10 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ -4,242.86 0.00 0.00 692.24 Trades
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? Yes No 1,495.52 0.00 0.00% 0.5381 1.00 0.00 1,495.52 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -804.75 0.00 0.00 690.77 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 1,154.28 0.00 0.00% -0.5975 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 689.71 0.00 0.00 689.71 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 25.35 0.00% -26.0053 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.35 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 659.35 0.00 0.00 684.71 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 10,833.85 0.00 0.00% 0.9373 1.00 0.00 10,833.85 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ -10,154.52 0.00 0.00 679.33 Trades
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation? Yes No 0.00 35.87 0.00% -17.8029 0.00 1.00 0.00 35.87 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 638.51 0.00 0.00 674.38 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 2,332.47 0.00 0.00% 0.7117 1.00 0.00 2,332.47 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -1,660.01 0.00 0.00 672.46 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 1,076.67 0.00 0.00% 0.3755 1.00 0.00 1,076.67 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -404.31 0.00 0.00 672.36 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 1,577.29 0.00 0.00% 0.5884 1.00 0.00 1,577.29 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -928.15 7.22 0.00 656.36 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 722.57 0.00 0.00% -0.9077 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 655.86 0.00 0.00 655.86 Trades
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? Yes No 1,458.13 0.00 0.00% -0.4497 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 14 2023 ✅ 655.75 0.00 0.00 655.75 Trades
Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? Yes No 830.27 0.00 0.00% 0.2250 1.00 0.00 830.27 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -186.84 7.04 0.00 650.46 Trades
Will an election for the Israeli Knesset occur before August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,059.40 0.01% 0.8490 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,059.40 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -3,446.44 36.26 0.00 649.22 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 728.61 0.00 0.00% 0.1209 1.00 0.00 728.61 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 ✅ -88.11 0.00 0.00 640.51 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 195.70 0.00 0.00% -3.2634 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 638.64 0.00 0.00 638.64 Trades
Will the Academy strip Will Smith’s Oscar by April 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ 551.59 86.16 0.00 637.75 Trades
MarginFi airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 240.77 0.00% -1.6432 0.00 1.00 0.00 240.77 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 395.64 0.00 0.00 636.41 Trades
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? Yes No 0.00 121.83 0.00% -5.2199 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 635.92 0.00 0.00 635.92 Trades
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? Yes No 0.00 1,039.72 0.00% 0.3896 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,039.72 Mon Sep 05 2022 ✅ -405.09 0.00 0.00 634.63 Trades
Will Odysseus Lander lose communication by Feb 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 27 2024 ✅ 629.60 0.00 0.00 629.60 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 60 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 5,444.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8844 1.00 0.00 5,444.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 ✅ -4,814.79 0.00 0.00 629.21 Trades
NBA: Who will win Jazz vs. Clippers, scheduled for March 29 (10 PM ET)? Jazz Clippers 0.00 1,086.28 0.00% 0.4353 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,086.28 Tue Mar 29 2022 ✅ -472.88 14.01 0.00 627.41 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Tails Never Fails Parlay Yes No 0.00 1,546.27 0.00% 0.5956 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,546.27 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -921.03 0.00 0.00 625.24 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 1.52 0.00% -212.8657 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ 323.86 297.88 0.00 621.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? Yes No 674.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0792 1.00 0.00 674.04 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -53.37 0.00 0.00 620.68 Trades
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 ✅ 618.02 0.00 0.00 618.02 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 3,922.72 0.00 0.00% 0.8454 1.00 0.00 3,922.72 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 ✅ -3,316.45 9.05 0.00 615.32 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 5,480.59 0.00% -0.1118 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 612.84 0.00 0.00 612.84 Trades
NCAA Finals: Who will win UNC vs. Kansas, scheduled for Apr 4 (9.20 PM ET)? UNC Kansas 30.23 0.00 0.00% -19.8786 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 ✅ 600.91 7.26 0.00 608.17 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 846.24 0.00% 0.2818 0.00 1.00 0.00 846.24 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -238.47 0.00 0.00 607.77 Trades
Jonathan Taylor to play this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 ✅ 605.94 0.00 0.00 605.94 Trades
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? Yes No 0.00 487.77 0.00% -1.2408 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 ✅ 605.24 0.00 0.00 605.24 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? Yes No 0.00 8,495.42 0.00% -0.0708 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ 601.84 0.00 0.00 601.84 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? Yes No 0.00 10,031.13 0.00% 0.9408 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,031.13 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -9,437.68 0.00 0.00 593.44 Trades
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? Yes No 0.00 69.66 0.00% -8.4758 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ 590.44 0.00 0.00 590.44 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 158,486.04 0.00% -0.0035 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ 551.10 38.11 0.00 589.21 Trades
Berachain airdrop by June 30? Yes No 3,723.23 0.00 0.00% -0.1573 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 585.80 0.00 0.00 585.80 Trades
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? Yes No 6.64 0.00 0.01% -31.4262 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 208.68 369.34 0.00 578.01 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 2,882.12 0.00 0.00% 0.8015 1.00 0.00 2,882.12 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -2,309.90 0.00 0.00 572.23 Trades
Jingtao vs. Zata Jingtao Zata 0.00 395.00 0.00% -0.4418 0.00 1.00 0.00 395.00 Sat Sep 09 2023 ✅ 174.50 0.00 0.00 569.50 Trades
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 1.58 0.00 0.02% -357.4205 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ 563.44 5.45 0.00 568.89 Trades
CZ sentenced to prison? Yes No 0.00 1,283.73 0.00% -0.4409 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 565.96 0.00 0.00 565.96 Trades
Tensor airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 565.16 0.00 0.00 565.16 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 22,812.57 0.00 0.00% 0.9812 1.00 0.00 22,812.57 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -22,384.35 136.59 0.00 564.81 Trades
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 1,230.00 0.00% 0.5441 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,230.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -669.30 0.00 0.00 560.70 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference? Yes No 0.00 1,298.42 0.00% 0.5696 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,298.42 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -739.55 0.00 0.00 558.87 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 3,802.71 0.00 0.00% 0.8533 1.00 0.00 3,802.71 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3,244.90 0.00 0.00 557.81 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February? Yes No 4,991.24 0.00 0.00% 0.8884 1.00 0.00 4,991.24 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -4,434.30 0.00 0.00 556.94 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 316.66 0.00% -0.7582 0.00 1.00 0.00 316.66 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 240.09 0.00 0.00 556.75 Trades
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ 539.94 12.72 0.00 552.66 Trades
Blast airdrop by May? Yes No 0.00 0.68 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.68 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 548.15 0.00 0.00 548.83 Trades
Ansem vs. trading_axe - Most Liked Post Today Ansem Axe 1,054.84 0.00 0.00% -0.0177 0.50 0.50 527.42 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 18.71 0.00 0.00 546.13 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 525.90 0.00% -0.0330 0.00 1.00 0.00 525.90 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 17.34 0.00 0.00 543.24 Trades
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April? Yes No 2,563.32 0.00 0.00% 0.7933 1.00 0.00 2,563.32 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2,033.52 0.00 0.00 529.80 Trades
MOG all time high by Friday? Yes No 819.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3584 1.00 0.00 819.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -293.56 0.00 0.00 525.44 Trades
Will Trump say "rape" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 659.89 0.00 0.00% 0.2038 1.00 0.00 659.89 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ -134.50 0.00 0.00 525.39 Trades
Will the Nets beat the Knicks by more than 6.5 points in their April 6 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 519.53 0.00 0.00% 0.0649 1.00 0.00 519.53 0.00 Wed Apr 06 2022 ✅ -33.73 36.78 0.00 522.59 Trades
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? Yes No 0.00 513.68 0.00% -0.0156 0.00 1.00 0.00 513.68 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 8.03 0.00 0.00 521.71 Trades
Will Walmart buy Vizio in February? Yes No 1,997.48 0.00 0.00% 0.7409 1.00 0.00 1,997.48 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1,479.96 0.00 0.00 517.52 Trades
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 5,331.70 0.00% -0.0962 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 512.95 0.00 0.00 512.95 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 509.84 0.00 0.00 509.84 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 3,422.37 0.00 0.00% -0.1482 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ 507.35 0.00 0.00 507.35 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.60 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ 507.03 0.00 0.00 507.03 Trades
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? Yes No 245.59 0.00 0.00% -2.0636 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 506.79 0.00 0.00 506.79 Trades
Triton Poker: Will Phil Ivey place 1st in at least one event? Yes No 1.50 0.00 0.00% -317.7697 1.00 0.00 1.50 0.00 Thu Apr 07 2022 ✅ 477.70 27.48 0.00 506.69 Trades
Will Draymond Green be suspended for 10+ games? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 505.00 0.00 0.00 505.00 Trades
Drift airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 4,024.78 0.00% 0.8755 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,024.78 Tue Feb 27 2024 ✅ -3,523.79 0.00 0.00 500.99 Trades
UFC 297: Who will win - Strickland or Du Plessis? Strickland Du Plessis 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Thu Jan 18 2024 ✅ -500.00 0.00 0.00 500.00 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? Yes No 1,603.98 0.00 0.00% 0.7159 1.00 0.00 1,603.98 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 ✅ -1,148.32 44.01 0.00 499.67 Trades
Will the USA ambassador be recalled or expelled from Russia before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 496.44 0.00 0.00 496.44 Trades
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 ✅ 494.17 0.00 0.00 494.17 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 9,394.81 0.00% 0.9482 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,394.81 Tue Aug 30 2022 ✅ -8,908.02 3.27 0.00 490.06 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,860.90 0.00% 0.8737 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,860.90 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3,373.39 0.00 0.00 487.51 Trades
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 3,260.40 0.00 0.00% -0.1494 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 487.12 0.00 0.00 487.12 Trades
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 4,071.28 0.00% 0.8893 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,071.28 Wed May 18 2022 ✅ -3,620.70 34.44 0.00 485.02 Trades
Ethena airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 8,050.00 0.00% -0.0602 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 484.74 0.00 0.00 484.74 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? Celtics Warriors 0.00 237.70 0.38% -1.8265 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 ✅ 434.16 49.97 0.00 484.13 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 5.89 0.00 0.38% -34.7098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 204.53 279.44 0.00 483.97 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by August 31? Yes No 0.00 4,309.85 0.00% 0.8892 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,309.85 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ -3,832.18 0.00 0.00 477.67 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck Musk Zuck 4,577.30 0.00 0.00% 0.3957 0.50 0.50 2,288.65 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -1,811.23 0.00 0.00 477.42 Trades
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 477.03 0.00 0.00 477.03 Trades
Will Mike Gibbons win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 4,257.74 0.00% 0.8960 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,257.74 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -3,814.88 33.46 0.00 476.32 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 5,362.85 0.00% 0.9125 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,362.85 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -4,893.80 0.00 0.00 469.05 Trades
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury Paul Fury 0.00 784.41 0.00% 0.4039 0.00 1.00 0.00 784.41 Sun Feb 26 2023 ✅ -316.86 0.00 0.00 467.55 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 912.58 0.00% 0.4903 0.00 1.00 0.00 912.58 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -447.42 0.00 0.00 465.16 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 221.73 0.00 0.00% -2.0916 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 463.75 0.00 0.00 463.75 Trades
Will Ansem win his fight? Yes No 0.00 889.58 0.00% 0.4798 0.00 1.00 0.00 889.58 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -426.79 0.00 0.00 462.80 Trades
Will Mario Draghi be elected as President of Italy in the upcoming 2022 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 2,298.11 0.00% 0.7992 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,298.11 Tue Jan 25 2022 ✅ -1,836.63 0.00 0.00 461.48 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 0.00 4,998.64 0.00% 0.9080 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,998.64 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -4,538.84 0.00 0.00 459.80 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 500k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 1,899.80 0.00% 0.7595 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,899.80 Thu Aug 03 2023 ✅ -1,442.90 0.00 0.00 456.90 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? Yes No 0.00 5,884.29 0.00% 0.9224 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,884.29 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -5,427.87 0.00 0.00 456.42 Trades
Will Liverpool FC win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.00 553.63 0.00% 0.2862 0.00 1.00 0.00 553.63 Sat May 28 2022 ✅ -158.43 60.46 0.00 455.65 Trades
Will Milady flip MAYC by March 1? Yes No 0.00 2,078.00 0.00% 0.7812 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,078.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -1,623.43 0.00 0.00 454.58 Trades
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 451.75 0.00 0.00 451.75 Trades
Puffer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 1.19 0.00 0.00% -375.4039 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 445.22 0.00 0.00 445.22 Trades
Will 'Don't Worry Darling' gross more than $20 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 9,117.93 0.00% 0.9519 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,117.93 Mon Sep 26 2022 ✅ -8,679.62 2.26 0.00 440.57 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 454.28 0.00% -0.9680 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 439.75 0.00 0.00 439.75 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will any film win 6 or more awards? Yes No 618.85 0.00 0.00% 0.3101 1.00 0.00 618.85 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -191.92 11.96 0.00 438.89 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 ✅ 434.33 0.00 0.00 434.33 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 15,561.85 0.00% -0.0279 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 434.26 0.00 0.00 434.26 Trades
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31? Yes No 0.00 2,786.57 0.00% 0.8452 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,786.57 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2,355.23 0.00 0.00 431.34 Trades
Will Young Thug's new album have over 140k sales in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 429.15 0.00 0.00 429.15 Trades
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture Yes No 0.00 8,243.08 0.02% 0.9486 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,243.08 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -7,819.79 2.15 0.00 425.44 Trades
Base airdrop by June 30? Yes No 15,231.44 0.00 0.00% -0.0278 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 424.17 0.00 0.00 424.17 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend? Yes No 2,884.64 0.00 0.00% 0.8535 1.00 0.00 2,884.64 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -2,462.00 0.00 0.00 422.64 Trades
NBA: Who will win Raptors vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for March 30, 7:40 PM ET? Raptors Timberwolves 485.51 0.00 0.00% 0.1386 1.00 0.00 485.51 0.00 Wed Mar 30 2022 ✅ -67.31 3.24 0.00 421.44 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Licorice Pizza win Best Original Screenplay? Yes No 0.00 759.72 0.00% 0.4598 0.00 1.00 0.00 759.72 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -349.28 10.29 0.00 420.72 Trades
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? Yes No 4,172.85 0.00 0.00% -0.0996 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 ✅ 415.46 0.00 0.00 415.46 Trades
Blur airdrop by Nov 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ 414.66 0.00 0.00 414.66 Trades
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? Yes No 499.89 0.00 0.02% 0.1763 1.00 0.00 499.89 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -88.15 2.77 0.00 414.51 Trades
Kanye's 'Vultures 1' back on Apple Music before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 412.25 0.00 0.00 412.25 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8,651.71 14.29% 0.9651 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,651.71 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -8,349.68 109.52 0.00 411.55 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 9,104.94 0.00 0.00% 0.9552 1.00 0.00 9,104.94 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ -8,697.48 0.02 0.00 407.48 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,650.07 0.03% 0.9601 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,650.07 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -4,464.52 220.91 0.00 406.47 Trades
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? Yes No 0.00 4,454.84 0.00% 0.9105 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,454.84 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -4,055.91 0.00 0.00 398.92 Trades
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Yes No 2,910.66 0.00 0.00% -0.1363 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 28 2024 ✅ 396.79 0.00 0.00 396.79 Trades
Will Joel Embiid win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 8.28 0.00 0.00% -38.6098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ 319.61 74.12 0.00 393.73 Trades
Fed rate cut by December 18? Yes No 4,912.33 0.00 0.00% 0.9203 1.00 0.00 4,912.33 0.00 Wed Dec 18 2024 ✅ -4,520.98 0.00 0.00 391.36 Trades
Will 'Jackass Forever' get 80% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 07 2022 ✅ 389.84 0.00 0.00 389.84 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 2,570.52 0.00% 0.8488 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,570.52 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -2,181.91 0.00 0.00 388.61 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Arkansas vs. Gonzaga, scheduled for March 24 (7:09 PM ET)? Arkansas Gonzaga 0.00 84.93 0.00% -4.2216 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ 358.55 29.62 0.00 388.17 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? Yes No 0.00 3,033.04 0.00% 0.8723 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,033.04 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -2,645.76 0.00 0.00 387.28 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 4,450.90 0.00% 0.9131 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,450.90 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -4,064.15 0.00 0.00 386.75 Trades
Will Man City lose this year? Yes No 5,747.52 0.00 0.00% 0.9328 1.00 0.00 5,747.52 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5,361.14 0.00 0.00 386.38 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 4.66 0.00 0.01% -42.5917 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 198.37 186.23 0.00 384.60 Trades
Will WIF hit $1 by March 15? Yes No 11,307.81 0.00 0.00% 0.9662 1.00 0.00 11,307.81 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -10,926.11 0.00 0.00 381.70 Trades
Will Zuck KO Musk? Yes No 0.00 1,025.72 0.00% 0.1289 0.50 0.50 0.00 512.86 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -132.23 0.00 0.00 380.63 Trades
Biden executive action on US-Mexico border in February? Yes No 0.00 6,571.26 0.00% 0.9423 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,571.26 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -6,192.04 0.00 0.00 379.22 Trades
Will ‘BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,744.12 0.00% 0.9201 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,744.12 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -4,365.00 0.00 0.00 379.12 Trades
Will Milady outperform BAYC through Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 188.95 0.00% -0.9975 0.00 1.00 0.00 188.95 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 188.48 0.00 0.00 377.43 Trades
Kamino airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 2,775.36 0.00% 0.8648 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,775.36 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -2,400.02 0.00 0.00 375.35 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 1,616.24 0.00 0.00% 0.7678 1.00 0.00 1,616.24 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -1,240.95 0.04 0.00 375.32 Trades
Rainbow airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 374.83 0.00 0.00 374.83 Trades
Scroll airdrop by June 30? Yes No 1,818.39 0.00 0.00% -0.2056 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ 373.86 0.00 0.00 373.86 Trades
Will Liverpool FC win the quadruple this season? Yes No 0.00 2,237.20 0.00% 0.8330 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,237.20 Sat May 28 2022 ✅ -1,863.50 0.00 0.00 373.70 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 70,641.75 0.00% -0.0053 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 373.05 0.00 0.00 373.05 Trades
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas? Yes No 2,724.96 0.00 0.00% -0.1361 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ 370.96 0.00 0.00 370.96 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 3,157.37 0.00% -0.1169 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ 369.25 0.00 0.00 369.25 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022? Yes No 0.00 610.95 0.00% -0.6031 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 09 2022 ✅ 368.47 0.00 0.00 368.47 Trades
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 1,018.52 0.00 0.00% -0.3617 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ 368.39 0.00 0.00 368.39 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 14,277.19 0.00% 0.9742 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,277.19 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ -13,909.44 0.00 0.00 367.76 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 1,097.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6659 1.00 0.00 1,097.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -730.46 0.00 0.00 366.54 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? Yes No 0.00 412.93 0.00% 0.1125 0.00 1.00 0.00 412.93 Wed Aug 10 2022 ✅ -46.44 0.00 0.00 366.49 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? Yes No 20,271.66 0.00 0.00% 0.9823 1.00 0.00 20,271.66 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 ✅ -19,913.59 7.41 0.00 365.47 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 181.99 0.00 0.01% -0.8166 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ 148.62 216.14 0.00 364.76 Trades
Base airdrop by May 1? Yes No 0.00 2,082.04 0.00% 0.8253 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,082.04 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ -1,718.34 0.00 0.00 363.71 Trades
Any Hamas leader out in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 363.07 0.00 0.00 363.07 Trades
Will President Biden mention Manchin, Sinema or filibuster in his press conference on January 19 ? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 ✅ 361.67 0.00 0.00 361.67 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 798.07 0.00% 0.6889 0.00 1.00 0.00 798.07 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -549.83 113.04 0.00 361.29 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 2,217.74 0.00% 0.8392 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,217.74 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -1,861.05 0.00 0.00 356.68 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 4,509.63 0.00% 0.9212 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,509.63 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -4,154.21 0.00 0.00 355.42 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 1,448.88 0.00% 0.8985 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,448.88 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ -1,301.87 204.78 0.00 351.80 Trades
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? Yes No 1,906.05 0.00 0.01% 0.8535 1.00 0.00 1,906.05 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 ✅ -1,626.86 69.68 0.00 348.87 Trades
Haiti Prime Minister resigns in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 348.61 0.00 0.00 348.61 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 2, 7:30 PM ET? Nets Hawks 0.00 419.87 0.00% 0.2498 0.00 1.00 0.00 419.87 Sat Apr 02 2022 ✅ -104.87 33.50 0.00 348.50 Trades
$WIF all time high before February? Yes No 0.00 8.26 0.00% -42.1421 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 348.01 0.00 0.00 348.01 Trades
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? Yes No 248.38 0.00 0.00% -1.3964 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ 346.83 0.00 0.00 346.83 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? Yes No 0.00 3,705.49 0.00% 0.9075 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,705.49 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -3,362.73 0.00 0.00 342.76 Trades
Saga airdrop By March 1? Yes No 0.00 812.62 0.00% 0.5809 0.00 1.00 0.00 812.62 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -472.03 0.00 0.00 340.59 Trades
Will “Jackass Forever” gross domestically more than $25 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 674.36 25.00% 0.5042 0.00 1.00 0.00 674.36 Mon Feb 07 2022 ✅ -339.98 1.18 0.00 335.55 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $65m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 857.48 0.00% -0.3894 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ 333.92 0.00 0.00 333.92 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 2.02 0.02% -160.6326 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 324.44 6.15 0.00 330.59 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 1st, 2022? Yes No 8.65 0.00 0.01% -38.2183 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 330.57 0.00 0.00 330.57 Trades
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 4,316.38 0.00% 0.9236 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,316.38 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -3,986.82 0.00 0.00 329.57 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 1 by Feb 16? Yes No 9,340.34 0.00 0.00% 0.9649 1.00 0.00 9,340.34 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ -9,012.36 0.00 0.00 327.98 Trades
Zircuit airdrop by June 30? Yes No 386.15 0.00 0.00% -0.8441 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 325.96 0.00 0.00 325.96 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 9.69 0.00% -33.5077 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 324.69 0.18 0.00 324.87 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 350k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 310.62 0.00% -0.0410 0.00 1.00 0.00 310.62 Thu Aug 03 2023 ✅ 12.74 0.00 0.00 323.36 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will CODA win Best Picture? Yes No 838.25 0.00 0.00% 0.6274 1.00 0.00 838.25 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -525.92 8.25 0.00 320.59 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? Yes No 0.00 416.91 0.00% 0.2334 0.00 1.00 0.00 416.91 Thu Apr 27 2023 ✅ -97.32 0.00 0.00 319.59 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by April? Yes No 5,549.28 0.00 0.00% -0.0574 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 318.80 0.00 0.00 318.80 Trades
Will Neymar leave PSG? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 317.05 0.00 0.00 317.05 Trades
Wormhole airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 1,571.14 0.00% 0.7983 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,571.14 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1,254.25 0.00 0.00 316.89 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 133.64 0.00% -1.3590 0.00 1.00 0.00 133.64 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 181.62 0.00 0.00 315.26 Trades
Will 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' gross $53 million or more on opening weekend in the United States? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 18 2022 ✅ 272.46 42.64 0.00 315.10 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 0.00 4,273.70 0.00% 0.9288 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,273.70 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -3,969.43 10.52 0.00 314.80 Trades
Will "inflation" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 313.55 0.00 0.00 313.55 Trades
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ 308.20 0.30 0.00 308.50 Trades
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2022 NBA playoffs? Yes No 642.21 0.00 0.00% 0.5333 1.00 0.00 642.21 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ -342.51 2.71 0.00 302.41 Trades
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 3,104.81 0.00% 0.9028 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,104.81 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ -2,802.98 0.00 0.00 301.82 Trades
Will a team from a minor region win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ 300.95 0.00 0.00 300.95 Trades
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 300.00 0.00 0.00 300.00 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 24,105.94 0.00 0.00% -0.0123 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ 296.31 0.00 0.00 296.31 Trades
Drake's "For All the Dogs" over 350k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 485.74 0.00% -0.6083 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 12 2023 ✅ 295.47 0.00 0.00 295.47 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? Yes No 4,800.41 0.00 0.00% 0.9389 1.00 0.00 4,800.41 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 ✅ -4,507.27 0.00 0.00 293.15 Trades
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? Yes No 0.00 2,021.92 0.00% 0.8561 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,021.92 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ -1,730.95 0.00 0.00 290.97 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 504.69 0.00 0.00% 0.4256 1.00 0.00 504.69 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ -214.79 0.00 0.00 289.89 Trades
Eric Adams criminal charges before April? Yes No 0.00 4,399.14 0.00% 0.9356 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,399.14 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -4,115.68 0.00 0.00 283.46 Trades
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 06 2023 ✅ 282.34 0.00 0.00 282.34 Trades
Will Julie Su be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.08 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ 278.70 0.00 0.00 278.78 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? Yes No 0.00 4,045.05 0.00% 0.9312 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,045.05 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -3,766.81 0.00 0.00 278.25 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,492.00 0.00% 0.8141 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,492.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -1,214.58 0.00 0.00 277.42 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? Yes No 31.34 0.00 0.00% -8.8444 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ 277.21 0.00 0.00 277.21 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? Yes No 0.00 29,280.35 0.00% 0.9906 0.00 1.00 0.00 29,280.35 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -29,004.36 0.00 0.00 275.98 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? Yes No 0.00 767.04 0.00% -0.3588 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ 275.24 0.00 0.00 275.24 Trades
Scorigami in NFL Week 6? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 273.76 0.00 0.00 273.76 Trades
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? Yes No 101,832.68 0.00 -178.18% 0.9977 1.00 0.00 101,832.68 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 ✅ -101,594.13 34.12 0.00 272.66 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 441.31 0.00 0.00% 0.3844 1.00 0.00 441.31 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -169.62 0.00 0.00 271.69 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 115.00 0.00 0.00% -2.3604 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 271.45 0.00 0.00 271.45 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? Yes No 35.89 0.00 0.00% 14.0992 1.00 0.00 35.89 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -505.98 741.09 0.00 271.00 Trades
Will Hamas surrender before February? Yes No 0.00 8,425.00 0.00% 0.9680 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,425.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -8,155.00 0.00 0.00 270.00 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 1,062.80 0.00% -0.2523 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ 268.18 0.00 0.00 268.18 Trades
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? Yes No 0.00 5,641.15 0.00% 0.9525 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,641.15 Fri Feb 25 2022 ✅ -5,373.48 0.00 0.00 267.68 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 267.09 0.00 0.00 267.09 Trades
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 694.82 0.00 0.02% 0.6335 1.00 0.00 694.82 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -440.16 12.24 0.00 266.91 Trades
India Election: Modi reelected? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 ✅ 262.86 0.00 0.00 262.87 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 ✅ 261.86 0.00 0.00 261.86 Trades
Will the Lahaina fire in Maui be fully contained this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 20 2023 ✅ 261.82 0.00 0.00 261.82 Trades
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? Yes No 0.77 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.77 0.00 Thu Jan 11 2024 ✅ 260.61 0.00 0.00 261.38 Trades
Will "The Banshees of Inisherin" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 5,145.26 0.00% 0.9496 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,145.26 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -4,886.02 1.09 0.00 260.33 Trades
Will “Jackass Forever” gross domestically more than $30 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,772.86 0.00% 0.9455 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,772.86 Mon Feb 07 2022 ✅ -4,512.59 0.00 0.00 260.27 Trades
SOL/ETH new high by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 1,020.16 0.00% 0.7455 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,020.16 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -760.56 0.00 0.00 259.60 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 293.54 0.00 0.00% 0.1175 1.00 0.00 293.54 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -34.49 0.00 0.00 259.06 Trades
Zvbear arrested before February? Yes No 20,836.80 0.00 0.00% -0.0124 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 258.76 0.00 0.00 258.76 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 33.90 0.00 0.00% -7.6275 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 258.57 0.00 0.00 258.57 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 11,023.59 0.00% 0.9767 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,023.59 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -10,767.06 0.00 0.00 256.54 Trades
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? Yes No 1,227.68 0.00 0.00% -0.2084 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 255.89 0.00 0.00 255.89 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? Yes No 0.00 12.05 0.00% -21.0861 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 254.09 0.00 0.00 254.09 Trades
TRUMP all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 1,621.37 0.00% 0.8433 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,621.37 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -1,367.30 0.00 0.00 254.08 Trades
US travel ban for China in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 253.70 0.00 0.00 253.70 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 13.15 0.00 0.00% -19.2366 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 252.89 0.00 0.00 252.89 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February? Yes No 0.00 5,472.00 0.00% 0.9538 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,472.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -5,219.12 0.00 0.00 252.88 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Lakers by more than 11.5 points in their April 5 (10:30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 2.02 0.00 0.00% -118.0561 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 05 2022 ✅ 237.93 12.05 0.00 249.97 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Grizzlies, scheduled for March 23 (7.30 PM ET)? Nets Grizzlies 83.07 0.00 0.00% -2.6143 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 ✅ 217.18 32.28 0.00 249.47 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? Yes No 0.00 616.71 0.00% 0.6008 0.00 1.00 0.00 616.71 Mon Dec 04 2023 ✅ -370.55 0.00 0.00 246.16 Trades
Will ‘The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? Yes No 0.00 1,929.61 0.00% 0.8727 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,929.61 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -1,683.91 0.00 0.00 245.71 Trades
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 444.46 0.00% 0.4477 0.00 1.00 0.00 444.46 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -198.98 0.00 0.00 245.48 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 1,268.74 0.00% 0.8327 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,268.74 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -1,056.42 32.74 0.00 245.06 Trades
Pudgy Penguins airdrop before March? Yes No 0.00 557.11 0.00% 0.5610 0.00 1.00 0.00 557.11 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -312.52 0.00 0.00 244.59 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 70 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 386.35 0.00 0.00% 0.3676 1.00 0.00 386.35 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 ✅ -142.01 0.00 0.00 244.34 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,511.88 0.00% 0.9190 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,511.88 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -2,308.39 40.11 0.00 243.59 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 5.86 0.00% -37.3410 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 22 2022 ✅ 218.87 21.18 0.00 240.05 Trades
Will James Maynard win the 2022 Fields Medal? Yes No 4,645.72 0.00 0.00% 0.9485 1.00 0.00 4,645.72 0.00 Thu Jul 14 2022 ✅ -4,406.60 0.02 0.00 239.13 Trades
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? Yes No 2,724.83 0.00 0.00% -0.0869 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 236.90 0.00 0.00 236.90 Trades
AI on Amazon speaker by June? Yes No 1,933.46 0.00 0.00% 0.8776 1.00 0.00 1,933.46 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1,696.84 0.00 0.00 236.62 Trades
Will President Biden mention Trump in his press conference on January 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 ✅ 236.52 0.00 0.00 236.52 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? Yes No 0.00 8,603.72 0.00% 0.9726 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,603.72 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -8,367.56 0.00 0.00 236.17 Trades
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? Yes No 0.00 4,385.96 0.00% 0.9462 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,385.96 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -4,150.07 0.00 0.00 235.89 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 86.45 0.00% -1.7191 0.00 1.00 0.00 86.45 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 148.62 0.00 0.00 235.07 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 27 2023 ✅ 232.77 0.00 0.00 232.77 Trades
Will Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 2,806.56 0.00% 0.9299 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,806.56 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -2,609.92 34.73 0.00 231.37 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,627.93 0.00% 0.8589 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,627.93 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -1,398.15 0.00 0.00 229.78 Trades
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 2,610.83 0.00% 0.9132 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,610.83 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -2,384.19 0.00 0.00 226.64 Trades
Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 0.00 4.33 0.00% -51.9808 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ 224.89 1.18 0.00 226.07 Trades
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 1,172.73 0.00% 0.8072 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,172.73 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -946.68 0.00 0.00 226.05 Trades
Will a North American team make it to the knockout stage in LoL Worlds? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 ✅ 224.44 0.00 0.00 224.44 Trades
Erdoğan >93¢ on May 26? Yes No 0.00 5.57 0.00% -39.2209 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.57 Fri May 26 2023 ✅ 218.58 0.00 0.00 224.15 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 2.72 0.00 0.00% -80.6444 1.00 0.00 2.72 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ 219.28 0.00 0.00 222.00 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 1,561.61 0.00 0.00% 0.8628 1.00 0.00 1,561.61 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 ✅ -1,347.34 4.63 0.00 218.90 Trades
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? Yes No 1,432.93 0.00 0.00% 0.8484 1.00 0.00 1,432.93 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -1,215.63 0.00 0.00 217.30 Trades
Haaland vs. Chelsea: who will have more goals on Oct 8? Haaland Chelsea 0.00 2.34 0.00% -91.3628 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.34 Sun Oct 08 2023 ✅ 213.36 0.00 0.00 215.70 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ 214.58 0.00 0.00 214.58 Trades
Will “Jackass Forever” gross domestically more than $20 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 6,657.72 0.00 0.00% 0.9679 1.00 0.00 6,657.72 0.00 Mon Feb 07 2022 ✅ -6,444.09 0.00 0.00 213.63 Trades
Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 0.00 52.22 0.00% -3.0891 0.00 1.00 0.00 52.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 161.30 0.00 0.00 213.52 Trades
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,453.33 0.00% 0.9132 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,453.33 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,240.38 0.00 0.00 212.95 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8950 1.00 0.00 2,000.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -1,790.00 0.00 0.00 210.00 Trades
Will Blur Season 3 end by May? Yes No 0.00 312.53 0.00% 0.3345 0.00 1.00 0.00 312.53 Fri May 31 2024 ✅ -104.53 0.00 0.00 208.00 Trades
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March? Yes No 0.00 8,008.29 0.00% 0.9744 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,008.29 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -7,802.93 0.00 0.00 205.37 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will Olivia Rodrigo win Best New Artist? Yes No 2,758.32 0.00 0.00% 0.9256 1.00 0.00 2,758.32 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -2,553.00 0.00 0.00 205.32 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 202.09 0.00 0.00 202.09 Trades
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,143.22 0.00% 0.9063 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,143.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,942.31 0.00 0.00 200.91 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 82.10 0.00 0.00% -1.4348 1.00 0.00 82.10 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 117.80 0.00 0.00 199.90 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Celtics vs. Pelicans, scheduled for January 29 (7 PM ET)? Celtics Pelicans 421.45 0.00 0.00% 0.5268 1.00 0.00 421.45 0.00 Sat Jan 29 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 199.45 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 6.18 0.00 0.00% -27.7899 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ 171.67 26.11 0.00 197.78 Trades
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? Yes No 23.14 0.00 0.00% -8.5219 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 197.18 0.00 0.00 197.18 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 38.07 0.00 0.00% -5.1707 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 196.87 0.00 0.00 196.87 Trades
NFL: Who will win Titans v. Bengals? Titans Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 22 2022 ✅ 196.27 0.02 0.00 196.29 Trades
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? Yes No 116.27 0.00 0.00% -1.6782 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 195.13 0.00 0.00 195.13 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 672.18 0.00% 0.7138 0.00 1.00 0.00 672.18 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -479.81 0.00 0.00 192.37 Trades
OpenSea token by May 1? Yes No 0.00 378.99 0.00% 0.4988 0.00 1.00 0.00 378.99 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ -189.04 0.00 0.00 189.95 Trades
Will Zuck answer the door? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ 189.29 0.00 0.00 189.29 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 259.33 0.00 0.00% 0.2708 1.00 0.00 259.33 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -70.22 0.00 0.00 189.11 Trades
Blast launch delayed? Yes No 0.00 7,252.00 0.00% 0.9739 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,252.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -7,063.01 0.00 0.00 188.99 Trades
Will Davante Adams play in the next Raiders game? Yes No 0.00 4.80 0.00% -38.8130 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 23 2022 ✅ 186.17 0.00 0.00 186.17 Trades
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? Yes No 0.00 2,047.89 0.00% 0.9092 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,047.89 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -1,862.03 0.00 0.00 185.86 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,093.75 0.00% -0.1687 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 184.53 0.00 0.00 184.53 Trades
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? Yes No 0.00 5,177.05 0.00% 0.9644 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,177.05 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ -4,992.68 0.00 0.00 184.38 Trades
Will Newsom appoint a black woman as Feinstein's replacement? Yes No 15,623.56 0.00 0.00% 0.9883 1.00 0.00 15,623.56 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ -15,440.93 0.00 0.00 182.63 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will "Sour" by Olivia Rodrigo win Album of the Year? Yes No 0.00 414.36 0.00% 0.5599 0.00 1.00 0.00 414.36 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -232.00 0.00 0.00 182.36 Trades
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? Yes No 690.08 0.00 0.00% -0.2623 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 01 2024 ✅ 181.03 0.00 0.00 181.03 Trades
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Paul Diaz 163.84 0.00 0.00% -0.1040 1.00 0.00 163.84 0.00 Sat Aug 05 2023 ✅ 17.03 0.00 0.00 180.87 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 6,000.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,000.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ -5,820.00 0.00 0.00 180.00 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 6,380.85 0.00% 0.9718 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,380.85 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6,200.95 0.00 0.00 179.90 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 ✅ 178.78 0.25 0.00 179.03 Trades
NHL: Will the Stars beat the Oilers by more than 1.5 goals in their March 22, 8:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 13.30 0.00% -13.0014 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 ✅ 172.86 4.75 0.00 177.61 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Nuggets by more than 4.5 points in their April 24, 3:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,232.06 0.00% 0.8611 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,232.06 Sun Apr 24 2022 ✅ -1,060.98 0.00 0.00 171.08 Trades
WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in February? Yes No 226.55 0.00 0.00% -0.7431 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 168.34 0.00 0.00 168.34 Trades
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 15,429.99 0.00% -0.0107 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 165.07 0.00 0.00 165.07 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 369.58 0.00 0.00% 0.5543 1.00 0.00 369.58 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ -204.85 0.00 0.00 164.73 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 164.31 0.00 0.00 164.31 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? Yes No 0.39 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ 164.02 0.00 0.00 164.02 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3.56 0.00% -42.8356 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.56 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 152.54 7.52 0.00 163.63 Trades
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? Yes No 91.48 0.00 0.00% -0.7872 1.00 0.00 91.48 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ 72.01 0.00 0.00 163.49 Trades
Will X start charging all users? Yes No 0.00 3,245.46 0.00% 0.9505 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,245.46 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3,084.68 0.00 0.00 160.77 Trades
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? Yes No 116.78 0.00 0.00% -1.3544 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 158.16 0.00 0.00 158.16 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 3,577.48 0.00% 0.9560 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,577.48 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -3,420.17 0.00 0.00 157.31 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $180 million or less on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 2,025.82 0.00% 0.9355 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,025.82 Mon May 09 2022 ✅ -1,895.06 26.41 0.00 157.16 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? Yes No 0.00 2,833.50 0.00% 0.9448 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,833.50 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ -2,677.14 0.00 0.00 156.36 Trades
Will the floor price of Moonbirds be 30 ETH or more on May 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 378.17 0.00% 0.5870 0.00 1.00 0.00 378.17 Sun May 15 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 156.17 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? Yes No 6.42 0.00 0.00% -19.2453 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 123.53 31.82 0.00 155.34 Trades
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Yes No 0.00 55.82 0.00% -2.2508 0.50 0.50 0.00 27.91 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 125.63 0.00 0.00 153.54 Trades
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 8,638.46 0.00% 0.9822 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,638.46 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -8,484.95 0.00 0.00 153.52 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 489.11 0.00% -0.3134 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 153.27 0.00 0.00 153.27 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Duke vs. Texas Tech, scheduled for March 24 (9:39 PM ET)? Duke Texas Tech 13.50 0.00 0.00% -8.8867 1.00 0.00 13.50 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ 119.97 16.94 0.00 150.41 Trades
Will 'Sonic the Hedgehog 2' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ 58.63 91.78 0.00 150.40 Trades
Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30? Yes No 1,499.99 0.00 0.00% -0.1001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 150.10 0.00 0.00 150.10 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8500 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Sat Jun 03 2023 ✅ -850.00 0.00 0.00 150.00 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 101.41 47.16 0.00 148.57 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by March? Yes No 0.00 872.62 0.00% 0.8300 0.00 1.00 0.00 872.62 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -724.30 0.00 0.00 148.32 Trades
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 476.25 0.00 0.00% -0.3108 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 148.01 0.00 0.00 148.01 Trades
Will @elonmusk's tweet count be over 17,600 on May 5 (12 PM ET)? Yes No 211.28 0.00 0.01% 0.4825 1.00 0.00 211.28 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 ✅ -101.95 37.14 0.00 146.48 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? Yes No 367.07 0.00 0.00% 0.6048 1.00 0.00 367.07 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 145.07 Trades
Jupiter airdrop by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 494.19 0.00% -0.2924 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 144.52 0.00 0.00 144.52 Trades
Will Adin Ross interview Kim Jong Un on stream by Saturday? Yes No 0.00 3,413.76 0.00% 0.9577 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,413.76 Sat Sep 23 2023 ✅ -3,269.28 0.00 0.00 144.49 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 1,695.44 0.00 0.00% 0.9404 1.00 0.00 1,695.44 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,594.47 43.12 0.00 144.09 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? Yes No 10.33 0.00 0.00% -13.9101 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 143.63 0.00 0.00 143.63 Trades
Will ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ gross between $180-$220 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 8.52 0.00% -16.6290 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 13 2022 ✅ 141.67 0.00 0.00 141.67 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil reach $150 by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 140.75 0.00 0.00 140.75 Trades
US bank failure in March? Yes No 7,881.88 0.00 0.00% -0.0177 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 139.88 0.00 0.00 139.88 Trades
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ 139.50 0.00 0.00 139.50 Trades
UEFA Champions League: Will Manchester Utd or Atletico qualify to the quarterfinals? Manchester Atlético 0.00 221.99 0.00% 0.3722 0.00 1.00 0.00 221.99 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -82.62 0.00 0.00 139.37 Trades
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? Yes No 1,910.27 0.00 0.00% -0.0727 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 138.80 0.00 0.00 138.80 Trades
Haaland to break PL goal record this season? Yes No 0.00 119.81 0.00% -0.1564 0.00 1.00 0.00 119.81 Sun May 19 2024 ✅ 18.74 0.00 0.00 138.55 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 4,603.42 0.00 0.00% 0.9721 1.00 0.00 4,603.42 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -4,474.79 9.17 0.00 137.81 Trades
Will ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ gross more than $220 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 9.12 0.00 0.00% -15.0808 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 13 2022 ✅ 137.57 0.00 0.00 137.57 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 50 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 5,453.69 0.00 0.00% 0.9748 1.00 0.00 5,453.69 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 ✅ -5,316.28 0.00 0.00 137.41 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 2,810.62 0.00 0.00% 0.9512 1.00 0.00 2,810.62 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -2,673.38 0.00 0.00 137.24 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? Yes No 4,915.42 0.00 0.00% 0.9722 1.00 0.00 4,915.42 0.00 Sat Mar 23 2024 ✅ -4,778.92 0.00 0.00 136.50 Trades
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 2,546.56 0.00 0.00% 0.9470 1.00 0.00 2,546.56 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -2,411.65 0.00 0.00 134.91 Trades
Prop 26: Will California legalize sports betting on tribal lands? Yes No 0.00 438.50 0.00% 0.6929 0.00 1.00 0.00 438.50 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -303.84 0.00 0.00 134.66 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1200 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,887.93 0.00% 0.9728 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,887.93 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -4,754.94 0.00 0.00 132.98 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 ✅ 132.82 0.00 0.00 132.82 Trades
Will Jane Timken win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 5,948.25 0.00% 0.9795 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,948.25 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -5,826.54 9.61 0.00 131.32 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,062.71 0.00% 0.9503 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,062.71 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -1,960.21 28.74 0.00 131.24 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 84.62 46.02 0.00 130.64 Trades
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? Yes No 7,328.85 0.00 0.00% -0.0176 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 129.21 0.00 0.00 129.21 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 13.01 0.00 0.00% -6.4128 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 83.45 45.64 0.00 129.09 Trades
North Korea nuke by August 15? Yes No 0.00 323.80 0.00% 0.6016 0.00 1.00 0.00 323.80 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ -194.81 0.00 0.00 128.99 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,019.50 0.00% 0.9574 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,019.50 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,890.96 0.00 0.00 128.53 Trades
Binance announces $RLB listing by Aug 18? Yes No 0.00 1.92 0.00% -65.1288 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.92 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 125.32 0.00 0.00 127.24 Trades
Will President Biden mention Cryptocurrency in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 570.71 0.00% 0.7780 0.00 1.00 0.00 570.71 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -444.00 0.00 0.00 126.71 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 149.77 0.00% 0.1597 0.00 1.00 0.00 149.77 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -23.92 0.00 0.00 125.85 Trades
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? Yes No 20.95 0.00 0.00% -5.9484 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 124.65 0.00 0.00 124.65 Trades
Boeing whistleblower foul play determined in March? Yes No 0.00 3,570.66 0.00% 0.9653 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,570.66 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -3,446.80 0.00 0.00 123.86 Trades
Will Lateefah Simon replace Feinstein? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 04 2024 ✅ 123.21 0.00 0.00 123.21 Trades
US bank failure in February? Yes No 3,078.30 0.00 0.00% -0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 123.15 0.00 0.00 123.15 Trades
Will the floor price of Azuki be 25 ETH or more on April 22? Yes No 0.00 79.18 0.00% -1.5490 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 ✅ 122.65 0.09 0.00 122.74 Trades
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC by February 15? Yes No 0.00 418.36 0.00% 0.7076 0.00 1.00 0.00 418.36 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ -296.04 0.00 0.00 122.32 Trades
Will President Biden mention Russia in his press conference on January 19? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 ✅ 121.84 0.00 0.00 121.84 Trades
Will “Jackass Forever” gross domestically more than $40 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,751.00 0.00% 0.9745 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,751.00 <