Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.05 0.01% 0.03 0.97 0.00 0.05 Tue Sep 10 2024 8,258.11 70.03 0.00 8,328.19 Trades
Will Circle IPO by June? Yes No 10,891.75 0.00 0.00% 0.2859 0.50 0.50 5,445.87 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -3,114.40 0.00 0.00 2,331.47 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.00 16,588.29 0.00% 0.3709 0.50 0.50 0.00 8,294.15 Tue Sep 10 2024 -6,152.83 0.00 0.00 2,141.31 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 2,904.69 0.00% -0.6666 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 1,936.20 0.00 0.00 1,936.20 Trades
Fed rate cut by November 7? Yes No 0.00 38.45 0.00% -36.5502 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 07 2024 1,405.45 0.00 0.00 1,405.45 Trades
Fed rate cut by December 18? Yes No 0.00 1,037.62 0.00% -0.2584 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 18 2024 268.14 0.00 0.00 268.14 Trades
George Santos wins NY-1 Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 172.00 0.00% 0.9645 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 -165.90 0.00 0.00 -165.90 Trades
Fed rate cut by September 18? Yes No 1,344.33 0.00 0.00% 0.5723 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 18 2024 -769.37 0.00 0.00 -769.37 Trades
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? Yes No 0.00 8,443.39 0.00% 0.8457 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -7,140.62 0.00 0.00 -7,140.62 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,918.38 0.00 0.00 1,918.38 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 0.00 16.14 0.00% -90.3434 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 1,458.43 0.00 0.00 1,458.43 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 1,970.09 0.00 0.00% 0.0139 0.44 0.56 866.09 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -27.36 22.18 0.00 860.90 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,833.52 0.00% -0.4658 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 854.00 0.00 0.00 854.00 Trades
Aleo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 3,753.58 0.00% -0.2257 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 847.10 0.00 0.00 847.10 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 12,647.67 0.00% 0.1391 0.79 0.21 0.00 2,600.66 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1,758.75 0.00 0.00 841.91 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? Yes No 398.34 0.00 0.00% -1.6767 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 667.91 0.00 0.00 667.91 Trades
Base airdrop by June 30? Yes No 570.66 0.00 0.00% -0.7690 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 438.83 0.00 0.00 438.83 Trades
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.29 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 416.83 0.00 0.00 416.83 Trades
MarginFi airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 241.15 0.00% -1.5955 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 384.77 0.00 0.00 384.77 Trades
Solana ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 352.57 0.00 0.00 352.57 Trades
Berachain airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 276.41 0.00% -1.1854 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 327.64 0.00 0.00 327.64 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 0.40 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 318.37 0.00 0.00 318.37 Trades
Scroll airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 137.18 0.00% -1.7395 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 238.64 0.00 0.00 238.64 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 213.83 0.00 0.00 213.83 Trades
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? Yes No 360.33 0.00 0.00% -0.5483 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 197.55 0.00 0.00 197.55 Trades
Doge ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 186.40 0.00 0.00 186.40 Trades
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? Yes No 690.08 0.00 0.00% -0.2623 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 01 2024 181.03 0.00 0.00 181.03 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 134.90 0.00 0.00 134.90 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 2,159.13 0.00 0.00% -0.0587 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 126.77 0.00 0.00 126.77 Trades
Rabby airdrop by June 30? Yes No 22.70 0.00 0.00% -4.7810 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 108.51 0.00 0.00 108.51 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 683.50 0.00% 0.8512 0.06 0.94 0.00 642.35 Tue Sep 10 2024 -581.80 46.02 0.00 106.57 Trades
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? Yes No 0.00 0.49 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 105.54 0.00 0.00 105.54 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -14.63 101.25 0.00 86.62 Trades
Will Bronny James be drafted? Yes No 0.00 917.30 0.00% -0.0898 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 27 2024 82.40 0.00 0.00 82.40 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? Yes No 0.00 1.58 0.00% -46.2932 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 72.98 0.00 0.00 72.98 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 3,602.72 0.00 0.00% -0.0196 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 70.78 0.00 0.00 70.78 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 644.51 0.00 0.00% -0.0914 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 58.91 0.00 0.00 58.91 Trades
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? Yes No 1,269.90 0.00 0.00% -0.0067 0.03 0.97 37.34 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 8.45 0.00 0.00 45.80 Trades
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Netanyahu Sinwar 437.34 0.00 0.00% -0.1015 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 44.39 0.00 0.00 44.39 Trades
Blast airdrop by June 30? Yes No 398.84 0.00 0.00% -0.0833 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 33.21 0.00 0.00 33.21 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 15.39 0.00% -1.0149 0.04 0.96 0.00 14.74 Tue Sep 10 2024 15.61 0.00 0.00 30.36 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 15.80 0.00% 0.9100 0.05 0.95 0.00 15.08 Sat Aug 10 2024 -14.38 0.00 0.00 0.71 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30? Yes No 0.00 75.77 0.00% 0.0508 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -3.85 0.00 0.00 -3.85 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 313.12 0.00 0.00% 0.0816 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -25.56 0.00 0.00 -25.56 Trades
Linea airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 32.44 0.00% 2.4324 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -78.91 0.00 0.00 -78.91 Trades
Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test? Yes No 0.00 458.69 0.00% 0.2726 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 -125.05 0.00 0.00 -125.05 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 3,470.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0417 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -144.73 0.00 0.00 -144.73 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 1,721.11 0.00% 0.0912 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -157.01 0.00 0.00 -157.01 Trades
Will Elon Musk own X through June 30? Yes No 225.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8604 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -193.60 0.00 0.00 -193.60 Trades
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? Yes No 5,165.44 0.00 0.00% 0.0419 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -216.24 0.00 0.00 -216.24 Trades
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? Yes No 1,156.50 0.00 0.00% 0.1959 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -226.59 0.00 0.00 -226.59 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? Yes No 1,425.89 0.00 0.00% 0.1623 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -231.45 0.00 0.00 -231.45 Trades
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? Yes No 0.00 587.90 0.00% 0.5159 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -303.29 0.00 0.00 -303.29 Trades
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? Yes No 0.00 342.86 0.00% 0.9301 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -318.91 0.00 0.00 -318.91 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 0.00 10,996.94 0.00% 0.0309 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -339.56 0.00 0.00 -339.56 Trades
Is John McAfee alive? Yes No 1,583.96 0.00 0.00% 0.2278 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -360.89 0.00 0.00 -360.89 Trades
Elizabeth Warren crypto bill become law by June? Yes No 0.00 424.74 0.00% 0.8728 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -370.71 0.00 0.00 -370.71 Trades
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? Yes No 0.00 630.99 0.00% 0.6210 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -391.87 0.00 0.00 -391.87 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 4,225.15 0.00 0.00% 0.0966 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -407.96 0.00 0.00 -407.96 Trades
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9017 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -541.00 0.00 0.00 -541.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 644.62 0.00% 0.9154 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -590.07 0.00 0.00 -590.07 Trades
Rainbow airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 967.40 0.00% 0.6316 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -610.97 0.00 0.00 -610.97 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 1,202.27 0.00 0.00% 0.5219 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -627.50 0.00 0.00 -627.50 Trades
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,218.65 0.00% 0.6631 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -808.07 0.00 0.00 -808.07 Trades
Will Kraken IPO by June? Yes No 0.00 853.62 0.00% 1.0115 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -863.41 0.00 0.00 -863.41 Trades
Zircuit airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,590.27 0.00% 0.7801 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1,240.58 0.00 0.00 -1,240.58 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 0.78 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,262.68 0.00 0.00 -1,262.68 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,349.68 0.00% 0.9398 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,268.45 0.00 0.00 -1,268.45 Trades
Puffer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,792.36 0.00% 0.7337 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1,315.08 0.00 0.00 -1,315.08 Trades
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,220.88 0.00% 0.5985 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,329.10 0.00 0.00 -1,329.10 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,929.45 0.00% 0.5006 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,466.56 0.00 0.00 -1,466.56 Trades
Will 2024 be better than 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,841.50 0.00% 0.5350 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,520.19 0.00 0.00 -1,520.19 Trades
Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,959.53 0.00% 0.9143 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -1,791.55 0.00 0.00 -1,791.55 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 17,718.84 0.00 0.00% 0.1081 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,915.77 0.00 0.00 -1,915.77 Trades
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,575.85 0.00% 0.8617 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2,219.55 0.00 0.00 -2,219.55 Trades
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation? Yes No 0.00 3,014.81 0.00% 0.7714 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -2,325.65 0.00 0.00 -2,325.65 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 4,960.93 0.00 0.00% 0.4867 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -2,414.31 0.00 0.00 -2,414.31 Trades
Will โ‰ฅ10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 3,610.89 0.00% 0.7748 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -2,797.71 0.00 0.00 -2,797.71 Trades
Swell airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,839.47 0.00% 1.5531 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -2,856.94 0.00 0.00 -2,856.94 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.09 0.00 0.00% 0.89 0.11 0.08 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -3,185.38 0.00 0.00 -3,185.31 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 16,815.93 0.00 0.00% 0.2451 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -4,121.36 0.00 0.00 -4,121.36 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? Yes No 0.00 5,203.85 0.00% 0.8322 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4,330.81 0.00 0.00 -4,330.81 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 0.00 7,625.70 0.00% 0.7144 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -5,448.07 0.00 0.00 -5,448.07 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? Yes No 11,794.20 0.00 0.00% 0.5141 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -6,062.85 0.00 0.00 -6,062.85 Trades
Canada federal election in 2024? Yes No 0.00 12,790.35 0.00% 0.8574 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -10,966.73 0.00 0.00 -10,966.73 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 22,734.97 0.00% 0.5413 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -12,305.84 0.00 0.00 -12,305.84 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? Yes No 0.00 14,934.16 0.00% 0.8548 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -12,765.75 0.00 0.00 -12,765.75 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.00 17,014.82 0.00% 0.8517 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -14,491.68 0.00 0.00 -14,491.68 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 0.00 8,851.05 0.00% 2.4350 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -21,552.38 0.00 0.00 -21,552.38 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.00 25,212.26 0.00% 0.8573 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -21,613.77 0.00 0.00 -21,613.77 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 0.00 58,180.33 0.00% 0.3720 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -21,643.07 0.00 0.00 -21,643.07 Trades
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? Yes No 0.00 28,558.48 0.00% 0.8199 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -23,415.58 0.00 0.00 -23,415.58 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 53,123.76 0.00% 0.7555 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -40,133.63 0.00 0.00 -40,133.63 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 70,275.43 0.00% 0.8192 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -57,572.22 0.00 0.00 -57,572.22 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.37 0.00% 0.96 0.04 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 -68,626.71 6,519.05 0.00 -62,107.64 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 70,681.69 0.00 0.00 70,681.69 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 โœ… 65,579.91 0.00 0.00 65,579.91 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03ยฐC or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 46,680.81 0.00 0.00 46,680.81 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 โœ… 43,024.62 0.00 0.00 43,024.62 Trades
Will ErdoฤŸan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 29,954.37 0.00 0.00% -0.2073 1.00 0.00 29,954.37 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 โœ… 6,208.19 0.00 0.00 36,162.56 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… 35,642.01 0.00 0.00 35,642.01 Trades
โ€œAll I want for Christmas is Youโ€ #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 06 2024 โœ… 33,308.41 0.00 0.00 33,308.41 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 โœ… 32,736.44 0.00 0.00 32,736.44 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 0.24 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… 29,791.22 0.00 0.00 29,791.22 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… 27,780.24 0.00 0.00 27,780.24 Trades
Will Shohei Ohtani sign with Blue Jays? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 โœ… 27,516.40 0.00 0.00 27,516.40 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 26,740.38 0.00 0.00 26,740.38 Trades
Will Messi sign for Barcelona? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 โœ… 24,206.76 0.00 0.00 24,206.76 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 โœ… 22,546.90 0.00 0.00 22,546.90 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 โœ… 20,995.93 0.00 0.00 20,995.93 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 35,886.66 0.00% 0.4205 0.00 1.00 0.00 35,886.66 Wed Mar 20 2024 โœ… -15,089.25 0.00 0.00 20,797.41 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.92 0.00% -2278.9424 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… 20,317.71 68.72 0.00 20,386.43 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 โœ… 20,237.79 0.00 0.00 20,237.79 Trades
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 20,124.54 0.00 0.00 20,124.54 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 19,082.82 0.00 0.00 19,082.82 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 โœ… 18,768.26 0.00 0.00 18,768.26 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 โœ… 18,537.01 0.00 0.00 18,537.01 Trades
Tensor airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 16,787.44 0.00 0.00 16,787.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 โœ… 15,848.64 0.00 0.00 15,848.64 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 โœ… 14,946.47 0.00 0.00 14,946.47 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 2,331.82 0.00% -6.2756 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 14,633.60 0.00 0.00 14,633.60 Trades
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? Haley DeSantis 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 โœ… 14,046.17 0.00 0.00 14,046.17 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 โœ… 12,536.54 0.00 0.00 12,536.54 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 โœ… 12,533.05 0.00 0.00 12,533.05 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 20,985.42 0.00 0.00% 0.5120 1.00 0.00 20,985.42 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -10,744.36 2,030.08 0.00 12,271.14 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 โœ… 12,035.54 0.00 0.00 12,035.54 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.54 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.54 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 โœ… 11,984.18 0.00 0.00 11,984.71 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 11,916.83 0.00 0.00 11,916.83 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 11,419.76 0.00 0.00 11,419.76 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.33 16.66% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.33 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 11,294.66 0.01 0.00 11,295.00 Trades
Will โ€˜Taylor Swift: Eras Tourโ€™ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 โœ… 10,892.78 0.00 0.00 10,892.78 Trades
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 10,738.67 0.00 0.00 10,738.67 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 โœ… 10,439.23 0.00 0.00 10,439.23 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 โœ… 10,020.00 0.00 0.00 10,020.00 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 9,853.40 0.00 0.00 9,853.40 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 โœ… 9,666.58 0.00 0.00 9,666.58 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 โœ… 9,205.64 0.00 0.00 9,205.64 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 โœ… 8,460.88 0.00 0.00 8,460.88 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 โœ… 8,237.53 0.00 0.00 8,237.53 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 โœ… 8,217.09 0.00 0.00 8,217.09 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 โœ… 8,037.33 0.00 0.00 8,037.33 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 8,184.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0251 1.00 0.00 8,184.16 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 โœ… -205.44 0.00 0.00 7,978.72 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 7,816.15 0.00 0.00 7,816.15 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 7,749.35 0.00 0.00 7,749.35 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (ไพฏๅ‹ๅฎœ) or Ko Wen-je (ๆŸฏๆ–‡ๅ“ฒ)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.00 12,760.02 0.00% -0.5962 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 โœ… 7,607.43 0.00 0.00 7,607.43 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.18 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… 7,337.28 0.00 0.00 7,337.28 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 โœ… 7,235.71 0.00 0.00 7,235.71 Trades
Was @SECGov really hacked? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 โœ… 7,040.19 0.00 0.00 7,040.19 Trades
Will DPP (ๆฐ‘้€ฒ้ปจ) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 โœ… 6,981.80 0.00 0.00 6,981.80 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 โœ… 6,487.36 0.00 0.00 6,487.36 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 6,414.21 0.00 0.00 6,414.21 Trades
Boeing Max 9 cleared to fly by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 โœ… 6,115.30 0.00 0.00 6,115.30 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 11,353.50 0.00 0.00% -0.5246 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 5,956.46 0.00 0.00 5,956.46 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 52,524.52 0.28% 0.9195 0.00 1.00 0.00 52,524.52 Sat Oct 01 2022 โœ… -48,298.00 1,577.31 0.00 5,803.83 Trades
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 โœ… 5,432.36 0.00 0.00 5,432.36 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 20,834.47 0.00 0.00% -0.2584 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 โœ… 5,383.04 0.00 0.00 5,383.04 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 4.50 0.00 0.00% -1122.1756 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 5,049.20 271.66 0.00 5,320.87 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 โœ… 5,281.91 0.00 0.00 5,281.91 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 5,143.93 0.00 0.00 5,143.93 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 0.00 12,941.55 0.00% -0.3870 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 โœ… 5,008.13 0.00 0.00 5,008.13 Trades
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games) Yes No 0.00 13,646.54 0.00% 0.6473 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,646.54 Fri Feb 09 2024 โœ… -8,833.28 0.00 0.00 4,813.26 Trades
Will TD get over 11% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 โœ… 4,798.63 0.00 0.00 4,798.63 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? Yes No 1,788.52 0.00 0.00% -1.6768 1.00 0.00 1,788.52 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 2,999.04 0.00 0.00 4,787.56 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 10.60 0.00 0.00% -413.5951 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… 4,385.40 285.19 0.00 4,670.59 Trades
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 4,481.66 0.00 0.00 4,481.66 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 10,543.90 0.00% 0.5800 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,543.90 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -6,115.58 0.00 0.00 4,428.33 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 48,829.90 0.00% -0.0901 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 โœ… 4,399.78 0.00 0.00 4,399.78 Trades
NFL: Who will win Chiefs v. Bills? Chiefs Bills 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 23 2022 โœ… 4,375.63 0.00 0.00 4,375.63 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 19,604.15 0.00% -0.2230 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 โœ… 4,371.62 0.00 0.00 4,371.62 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 4,368.65 0.00 0.00 4,368.65 Trades
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 4,306.84 0.00 0.00 4,306.84 Trades
NYT drop OpenAI case by March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 4,299.39 0.00 0.00 4,299.39 Trades
Bills vs. Chiefs Bills Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 21 2024 โœ… 4,295.05 0.00 0.00 4,295.05 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,702.47 0.00% -0.1355 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,702.47 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 501.79 0.00 0.00 4,204.26 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 โœ… 4,196.92 0.00 0.00 4,196.92 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.00 8,285.49 0.00% 0.4954 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,285.49 Fri Apr 19 2024 โœ… -4,104.40 0.00 0.00 4,181.09 Trades
US strike against Houthis by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 โœ… 4,033.74 0.00 0.00 4,033.74 Trades
Will Trump be arrested by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 โœ… 4,033.00 0.00 0.00 4,033.00 Trades
Will Mbappรฉ leave PSG? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 โœ… 3,988.50 0.00 0.00 3,988.50 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 4.49 0.00 0.02% -871.6012 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 โœ… 3,915.63 27.95 0.00 3,943.58 Trades
Cowboys vs. Packers Cowboys Packers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 โœ… 3,922.34 0.00 0.00 3,922.34 Trades
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 3,821.91 0.00 0.00 3,821.91 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? Yes No 4,811.38 0.00 0.00% 0.2252 1.00 0.00 4,811.38 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 โœ… -1,083.53 0.00 0.00 3,727.85 Trades
Will Trumpโ€™s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 2,080.02 0.00% -1.7511 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 โœ… 3,642.26 39.41 0.00 3,681.67 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 877.17 0.00 0.00% -3.1178 1.00 0.00 877.17 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 2,734.84 0.00 0.00 3,612.00 Trades
Will Kanye release โ€˜Vulturesโ€™ in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 3,572.08 0.00 0.00 3,572.08 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? Yes No 1,776.10 0.00 0.00% -1.9211 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 3,412.11 0.00 0.00 3,412.11 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 0.00 13,881.85 100.00% 0.7544 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,881.85 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… -10,472.74 0.00 0.00 3,409.11 Trades
Egypt Presidential Election: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 โœ… 3,287.24 0.00 0.00 3,287.24 Trades
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? Yes No 3,029.42 0.00 0.00% -0.0649 1.00 0.00 3,029.42 0.00 Sun May 26 2024 โœ… 196.68 0.00 0.00 3,226.10 Trades
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? Yes No 0.00 4,987.09 0.00% 0.3595 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,987.09 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -1,792.65 0.00 0.00 3,194.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 36,598.93 0.00 0.00% 0.9131 1.00 0.00 36,598.93 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 โœ… -33,417.30 0.00 0.00 3,181.63 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 โœ… 3,113.86 0.00 0.00 3,113.86 Trades
Will Trumpโ€™s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? Yes No 12,574.01 0.00 0.00% 0.7530 1.00 0.00 12,574.01 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 โœ… -9,467.83 0.00 0.00 3,106.18 Trades
Russian nuke in space by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 3,069.60 0.00 0.00 3,069.60 Trades
Rugby World Cup: New Zealand vs. South Africa New Zealand South Africa 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 โœ… 2,995.11 0.00 0.00 2,995.11 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.7028 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,000.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -7,027.85 0.00 0.00 2,972.15 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.28 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 2,970.72 0.00 0.00 2,971.00 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 17,987.15 0.00% 0.8385 0.00 1.00 0.00 17,987.15 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -15,082.99 0.00 0.00 2,904.16 Trades
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? Yes No 2,383.13 0.00 0.00% -0.2099 1.00 0.00 2,383.13 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 500.17 0.00 0.00 2,883.30 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 13,076.74 0.00 0.00% 0.7887 1.00 0.00 13,076.74 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 โœ… -10,313.83 99.02 0.00 2,861.93 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 โœ… 2,849.32 0.00 0.00 2,849.32 Trades
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 โœ… 2,841.44 0.00 0.00 2,841.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 5,798.10 0.00% 0.5195 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,798.10 Wed Dec 14 2022 โœ… -3,012.16 43.08 0.00 2,829.02 Trades
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 2,966.71 0.00 0.00% 0.0556 1.00 0.00 2,966.71 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -165.00 0.00 0.00 2,801.71 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 9,921.16 0.00 0.00% 0.7260 1.00 0.00 9,921.16 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 โœ… -7,202.77 60.68 0.00 2,779.07 Trades
Will they find another Jewish tunnel in NYC by Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 โœ… 2,751.43 0.00 0.00 2,751.43 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 โœ… 2,751.15 0.00 0.00 2,751.15 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 โœ… 2,750.08 0.00 0.00 2,750.08 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 2,995.76 0.00% 0.0907 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,995.76 Mon Jul 24 2023 โœ… -271.80 0.00 0.00 2,723.97 Trades
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 16,216.10 0.00% 0.8345 0.00 1.00 0.00 16,216.10 Sun Jul 31 2022 โœ… -13,532.23 32.98 0.00 2,716.85 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' flop? Yes No 37.65 0.00 0.00% -70.4638 1.00 0.00 37.65 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 2,653.16 0.00 0.00 2,690.81 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 โœ… 2,678.23 0.00 0.00 2,678.23 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,573.10 0.00% 0.7415 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,573.10 Fri Sep 30 2022 โœ… -4,873.69 974.39 0.00 2,673.80 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 2,669.67 0.00 0.00 2,669.67 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 4,893.35 0.00 0.00% 0.4811 1.00 0.00 4,893.35 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -2,354.29 70.67 0.00 2,609.74 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 1,452.31 0.00 0.00% -1.6680 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… 2,422.45 111.97 0.00 2,534.42 Trades
NFL: Who will win Buccaneers v. Rams? Buccaneers Rams 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 23 2022 โœ… 2,530.72 0.49 0.00 2,531.22 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 5,268.86 0.00% 0.5681 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,268.86 Sun Mar 27 2022 โœ… -2,993.45 231.78 0.00 2,507.18 Trades
Will Ja Morant be suspended for more than 45 games? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 โœ… 2,443.78 0.00 0.00 2,443.78 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 โœ… 2,436.32 0.00 0.00 2,436.32 Trades
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 25 2023 โœ… 2,401.30 0.00 0.00 2,401.30 Trades
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 1,960.75 0.00% -1.2237 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 2,399.36 0.00 0.00 2,399.36 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 8.85 0.00 0.00% -269.6511 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 โœ… 2,385.74 0.00 0.00 2,385.74 Trades
Will Ronna Mcdaniel step down as RNC Chair before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 9,816.60 0.00% 0.7598 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,816.60 Tue Mar 05 2024 โœ… -7,458.71 0.00 0.00 2,357.89 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 4,943.41 0.00% 0.5255 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,943.41 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -2,597.69 0.00 0.00 2,345.72 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? Yes No 6,532.86 0.00 0.00% 0.6553 1.00 0.00 6,532.86 0.00 Fri Jan 27 2023 โœ… -4,281.01 13.07 0.00 2,264.92 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.73 0.00% -583.7737 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… 2,178.08 76.64 0.00 2,254.72 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 9,136.78 0.00 0.00% -0.2467 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 2,253.99 0.00 0.00 2,253.99 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… 2,244.20 0.00 0.00 2,244.20 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 9.30 0.00 0.00% -232.6058 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 2,163.40 47.42 0.00 2,210.82 Trades
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 โœ… 2,172.42 0.00 0.00 2,172.42 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 39,168.14 0.00% 0.9499 0.00 1.00 0.00 39,168.14 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -37,206.05 195.10 0.00 2,157.19 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… 2,122.07 0.00 0.00 2,122.07 Trades
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? Yes No 1,959.91 0.00 0.00% -1.0743 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 โœ… 2,105.58 0.00 0.00 2,105.58 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,225.70 0.00% 0.5801 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,225.70 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -1,871.22 747.58 0.00 2,102.07 Trades
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? Yes No 0.00 4,275.98 0.00% 0.5095 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,275.98 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… -2,178.71 0.00 0.00 2,097.27 Trades
Another North Korea missile test by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 โœ… 2,081.92 0.00 0.00 2,081.92 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Will Smith win Best Actor? Yes No 25,413.34 0.00 0.00% 0.9234 1.00 0.00 25,413.34 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 โœ… -23,466.52 62.47 0.00 2,009.28 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 1,156.72 0.00 0.00% -0.7337 1.00 0.00 1,156.72 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 โœ… 848.64 0.00 0.00 2,005.36 Trades
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? Yes No 1,837.57 0.00 0.00% -1.0870 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 1,997.52 0.00 0.00 1,997.52 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 10,119.73 0.00% 0.8050 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,119.73 Mon Aug 08 2022 โœ… -8,146.72 0.37 0.00 1,973.38 Trades
NBA: Who will win Jazz vs. Mavericks, scheduled for April 28, 10:00 PM ET? Jazz Mavericks 0.00 1,631.32 0.00% -0.1028 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,631.32 Thu Apr 28 2022 โœ… 167.75 159.42 0.00 1,958.50 Trades
Ukraine aid package in February? Yes No 0.00 12,137.60 0.00% 0.8406 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,137.60 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -10,202.75 0.00 0.00 1,934.86 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 4,584.36 0.00 0.00% 0.5812 1.00 0.00 4,584.36 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 โœ… -2,664.28 0.00 0.00 1,920.09 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 42,951.91 0.00% -0.0446 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 โœ… 1,917.76 0.00 0.00 1,917.76 Trades
Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election? Yes No 0.00 14,438.67 0.00% 0.8681 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,438.67 Mon Apr 08 2024 โœ… -12,533.68 0.00 0.00 1,904.99 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 16,420.30 0.00 0.00% 0.8862 1.00 0.00 16,420.30 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 โœ… -14,552.33 0.00 0.00 1,867.98 Trades
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be seen kissing? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 โœ… 1,866.25 0.00 0.00 1,866.25 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 1,955.82 0.00 0.00% 0.0568 1.00 0.00 1,955.82 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -111.05 0.00 0.00 1,844.77 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 137.16 0.00% -12.3468 0.00 1.00 0.00 137.16 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 1,693.50 0.00 0.00 1,830.66 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,142.14 0.00% 0.8904 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,142.14 Fri Sep 30 2022 โœ… -9,920.61 604.99 0.00 1,826.52 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 1,810.80 0.00 0.00 1,810.80 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? Yes No 28,206.88 0.00 0.00% -0.0639 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 1,802.23 0.00 0.00 1,802.23 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.00 4.59 0.00% -381.4479 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 โœ… 1,752.53 43.85 0.00 1,796.39 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? Yes No 4,472.61 0.00 0.00% 0.6004 1.00 0.00 4,472.61 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 โœ… -2,685.33 4.20 0.00 1,791.48 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 133.46 0.00 0.00% -13.3034 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 1,775.43 0.00 0.00 1,775.43 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? Yes No 3,076.23 0.00 0.00% 0.4330 1.00 0.00 3,076.23 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 โœ… -1,332.00 0.00 0.00 1,744.23 Trades
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 27,389.85 0.00% 0.9367 0.00 1.00 0.00 27,389.85 Mon Mar 13 2023 โœ… -25,656.35 0.41 0.00 1,733.91 Trades
zkSync airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 4,215.93 0.00% 0.5975 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,215.93 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… -2,519.17 0.00 0.00 1,696.76 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 2,811.69 0.00% 0.3974 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,811.69 Sun Jan 14 2024 โœ… -1,117.26 0.00 0.00 1,694.43 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 4,357.90 0.00% 0.6118 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,357.90 Tue Mar 05 2024 โœ… -2,666.10 0.00 0.00 1,691.80 Trades
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? Yes No 69.33 0.00 0.00% -24.3366 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… 1,687.17 0.00 0.00 1,687.17 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? Yes No 2,213.36 0.00 0.03% 0.2425 1.00 0.00 2,213.36 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 โœ… -536.64 0.00 0.00 1,676.72 Trades
Will Kanye release โ€˜Vulturesโ€™ by Jan 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 โœ… 1,676.47 0.00 0.00 1,676.47 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 2,752.05 0.00% 0.4033 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,752.05 Wed Jul 27 2022 โœ… -1,110.00 0.00 0.00 1,642.05 Trades
Will Coinbaseโ€™s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,350.62 0.00% 0.5125 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,350.62 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… -1,717.08 0.37 0.00 1,633.92 Trades
Will Mbappรฉ join a Saudi club this transfer window? Yes No 0.00 2,530.90 100.00% 0.3606 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,530.90 Fri Sep 01 2023 โœ… -912.59 0.00 0.00 1,618.31 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 8,749.69 0.00% 0.8179 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,749.69 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… -7,155.96 0.00 0.00 1,593.74 Trades
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 3,427.77 0.00 0.00% 0.5573 1.00 0.00 3,427.77 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 โœ… -1,910.43 76.04 0.00 1,593.39 Trades
Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 โœ… 1,566.34 0.00 0.00 1,566.34 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 7,728.02 0.00% 0.8020 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,728.02 Sat Oct 21 2023 โœ… -6,198.02 0.00 0.00 1,530.00 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 2,326.33 0.00 0.00% 0.3478 1.00 0.00 2,326.33 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 โœ… -809.06 0.00 0.00 1,517.27 Trades
Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? Yes No 0.00 5,556.13 0.00% 0.7324 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,556.13 Wed Jun 01 2022 โœ… -4,069.30 26.16 0.00 1,512.99 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by April? Yes No 1,774.77 0.00 0.00% -0.8446 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… 1,498.98 0.00 0.00 1,498.98 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 9,747.87 0.00% 0.8976 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,747.87 Mon Apr 25 2022 โœ… -8,750.04 500.94 0.00 1,498.77 Trades
US response to Iranโ€™s drone attack by Jan 31? Yes No 2,184.54 0.00 0.00% -0.6820 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 1,489.83 0.00 0.00 1,489.83 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyโ€™s? Yes No 0.49 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 1,469.46 0.00 0.00 1,469.46 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 0.00 13,322.89 0.00% 0.8905 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,322.89 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -11,864.03 0.00 0.00 1,458.87 Trades
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 โœ… 1,457.50 0.00 0.00 1,457.50 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 136.34 0.00% -9.6669 0.00 1.00 0.00 136.34 Wed Mar 22 2023 โœ… 1,318.01 0.00 0.00 1,454.35 Trades
Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 1,447.70 0.00 0.00 1,447.70 Trades
Bitcoin all time high today? Yes No 14,256.82 0.00 0.00% -0.0996 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 โœ… 1,419.54 0.00 0.00 1,419.54 Trades
Will Biden say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 3,636.79 0.00 0.00% 0.6106 1.00 0.00 3,636.79 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… -2,220.46 0.00 0.00 1,416.33 Trades
Will Gustavo Petro win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 5.02 0.00% -278.9688 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 โœ… 1,401.00 5.54 0.00 1,406.54 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 2,019.75 0.00% -0.6950 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 โœ… 1,403.68 0.00 0.00 1,403.68 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 749.74 0.00 0.00% -1.8712 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 โœ… 1,402.92 0.00 0.00 1,402.92 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 88.39 0.00 0.00% -14.8705 1.00 0.00 88.39 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 โœ… 1,314.47 0.00 0.00 1,402.86 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,155.77 0.00% 0.6790 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,155.77 Mon Dec 19 2022 โœ… -2,821.75 50.65 0.00 1,384.66 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 โœ… 1,384.64 0.00 0.00 1,384.64 Trades
NYC trucker strike for Trump by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.08 Fri Feb 23 2024 โœ… 1,374.88 0.00 0.00 1,374.96 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 1,113.02 0.00 0.00% -1.2008 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 1,336.47 0.00 0.00 1,336.47 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? Yes No 7.09 0.00 0.05% -186.7577 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 26 2022 โœ… 1,324.50 7.49 0.00 1,331.99 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,840.52 0.00% 0.9139 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,840.52 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -10,820.87 308.68 0.00 1,328.33 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard week of Mar 23? Yes No 5,399.66 0.00 0.00% -0.2444 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 19 2024 โœ… 1,319.87 0.00 0.00 1,319.87 Trades
Ukraine aid package by March 31? Yes No 0.00 6,705.41 0.00% 0.8044 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,705.41 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -5,394.11 0.00 0.00 1,311.30 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 13,319.68 0.00% -0.0983 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 โœ… 1,309.22 0.00 0.00 1,309.22 Trades
Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 7,768.72 6.67% 0.8352 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,768.72 Mon Mar 07 2022 โœ… -6,488.62 21.46 0.00 1,301.56 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,529.72 0.00% 0.1504 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,529.72 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -230.08 0.00 0.00 1,299.64 Trades
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 โœ… 1,288.45 0.00 0.00 1,288.45 Trades
Will Trump win Colorado Republican Primary? Yes No 0.93 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.93 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 โœ… 1,275.80 0.00 0.00 1,276.73 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 14,275.63 0.00 0.00% -0.0879 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 1,254.52 0.00 0.00 1,254.52 Trades
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,065.11 0.00% -0.1775 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,065.11 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… 189.01 0.00 0.00 1,254.12 Trades
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? Yes No 3,199.91 0.00 0.00% 0.6090 1.00 0.00 3,199.91 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -1,948.61 0.00 0.00 1,251.30 Trades
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 10,173.89 0.00 0.00% 0.8868 1.00 0.00 10,173.89 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -9,021.91 97.38 0.00 1,249.36 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 2,004.18 0.00 0.00% -0.6206 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 1,243.83 0.00 0.00 1,243.83 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 1,231.84 0.00 0.00 1,231.84 Trades
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… 1,213.53 0.00 0.00 1,213.53 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,606.20 11.11% 0.8519 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,606.20 Thu Jun 30 2022 โœ… -3,072.15 678.50 0.00 1,212.55 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 3,426.83 0.00 0.00% 0.6481 1.00 0.00 3,426.83 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 โœ… -2,220.98 4.08 0.00 1,209.93 Trades
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11.53 0.00% -103.5450 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 โœ… 1,193.41 16.04 0.00 1,209.45 Trades
Will Garcia vs. Haney be canceled? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 20 2024 โœ… 1,188.50 0.00 0.00 1,188.50 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? Yes No 0.00 1,319.98 0.00% 0.1018 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,319.98 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -134.38 0.00 0.00 1,185.60 Trades
Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election? Yes No 0.00 1,512.50 0.00% 0.2229 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,512.50 Tue May 17 2022 โœ… -337.08 0.00 0.00 1,175.42 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? Yes No 6,426.64 0.00 0.00% -0.1823 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 02 2023 โœ… 1,171.37 0.00 0.00 1,171.37 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 7,594.73 0.00% 0.8460 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,594.73 Fri Sep 29 2023 โœ… -6,425.15 0.00 0.00 1,169.58 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 โœ… 1,164.12 0.00 0.00 1,164.12 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.40 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 โœ… 1,126.43 26.97 0.00 1,153.40 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 4,291.70 0.00% -0.2673 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… 1,147.09 0.00 0.00 1,147.09 Trades
Will 'Dune: Part Two' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 โœ… 1,145.52 0.00 0.00 1,145.52 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,924.82 11.11% 0.6207 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,924.82 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -1,194.76 414.32 0.00 1,144.39 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 56.03 0.00% -19.2367 0.00 1.00 0.00 56.03 Sat Jun 29 2024 โœ… 1,077.84 0.00 0.00 1,133.87 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 27 2023 โœ… 1,112.70 0.00 0.00 1,112.70 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 9,102.65 0.00% 0.8795 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,102.65 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -8,005.93 0.00 0.00 1,096.72 Trades
Saga airdrop by June 30? Yes No 1,053.80 0.00 0.00% -0.0345 1.00 0.00 1,053.80 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… 36.38 0.00 0.00 1,090.18 Trades
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? Yes No 0.00 4,150.91 0.00% -0.2602 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 โœ… 1,079.99 0.00 0.00 1,079.99 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? Yes No 0.00 2,217.24 0.00% 0.5196 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,217.24 Sat Dec 02 2023 โœ… -1,151.97 0.00 0.00 1,065.26 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 2,836.92 0.00% 0.6250 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,836.92 Sat Jan 14 2023 โœ… -1,772.97 0.00 0.00 1,063.96 Trades
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 โœ… 1,061.74 0.00 0.00 1,061.74 Trades
MLB: Who will win New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for April 14, 7:06 PM ET? New York Yankees Toronto Blue Jays 0.00 4.75 0.00% -219.9517 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 14 2022 โœ… 1,045.31 6.33 0.00 1,051.64 Trades
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? Yes No 0.00 1,791.26 0.00% -0.5822 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 โœ… 1,042.79 0.00 0.00 1,042.79 Trades
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 293.03 0.00 0.00% -2.3881 1.00 0.00 293.03 0.00 Sun Jul 24 2022 โœ… 699.79 46.99 0.00 1,039.81 Trades
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? Yes No 0.00 3,777.18 0.00% 0.7308 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,777.18 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -2,760.42 0.00 0.00 1,016.76 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.60 0.00% -69.6506 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 โœ… 459.60 542.85 0.00 1,002.45 Trades
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? Yes No 4,713.17 0.00 0.00% 0.7880 1.00 0.00 4,713.17 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -3,713.87 0.00 0.00 999.31 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 6,770.18 0.00% -0.1457 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 986.45 11.95 0.00 998.41 Trades
Will EthCC be postponed? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 17 2023 โœ… 990.02 0.00 0.00 990.02 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 5.43 0.00 0.00% -126.6335 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 โœ… 687.80 301.21 0.00 989.01 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Travis Kelce scores first touchdown? Yes No 0.00 7,500.00 0.00% 0.8691 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,500.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 โœ… -6,518.25 0.00 0.00 981.75 Trades
Will Mbappรฉ sign for Real Madrid? Yes No 0.00 2,363.99 0.00% 0.5860 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,363.99 Fri Sep 01 2023 โœ… -1,385.41 0.00 0.00 978.58 Trades
NBA: Who will win Wizards vs. Lakers, scheduled for March 19, 8:10 PM ET? Wizards Lakers 1,276.50 0.00 0.00% 0.2379 1.00 0.00 1,276.50 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 โœ… -303.70 5.29 0.00 978.09 Trades
Will Kanye release โ€˜Vulturesโ€™ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 43.79 0.00% -21.3258 0.00 1.00 0.00 43.79 Fri Dec 15 2023 โœ… 933.92 0.00 0.00 977.71 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 1,919.80 0.00 0.00% -0.5073 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 โœ… 973.83 0.00 0.00 973.83 Trades
Will 'Black Adam' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4.54 0.00% -208.0327 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 24 2022 โœ… 944.76 14.69 0.00 959.45 Trades
Will Christoph Strasser win the 2023 Transcontinental Race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… 959.40 0.00 0.00 959.40 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 250k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 1,057.38 0.00% 0.0939 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,057.38 Thu Aug 03 2023 โœ… -99.33 0.00 0.00 958.05 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.00 6,665.30 0.00% 0.8565 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,665.30 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -5,708.60 0.00 0.00 956.70 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 2,178.17 0.00 0.00% 0.5609 1.00 0.00 2,178.17 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 โœ… -1,221.70 0.00 0.00 956.47 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 0.00 155.37 0.00% -6.1417 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 โœ… 954.23 0.00 0.00 954.23 Trades
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 โœ… 947.18 0.00 0.00 947.18 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 2,451.49 0.00 0.00% 0.6180 1.00 0.00 2,451.49 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -1,515.03 0.00 0.00 936.46 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be under 69 ETH on 4/20/2022? Yes No 0.00 6,531.69 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,531.69 Wed Apr 20 2022 โœ… -5,617.31 3.01 0.00 917.39 Trades
marginfi airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 4,671.77 0.00% 0.8055 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,671.77 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -3,763.31 0.00 0.00 908.46 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 904.00 0.00 0.00% -0.8350 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 754.88 153.05 0.00 907.93 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… 895.69 0.00 0.00 895.69 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 6,896.19 0.00% 0.8718 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,896.19 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -6,011.80 0.00 0.00 884.39 Trades
Who will win Suns vs. Clippers, scheduled for April 6 (10 PM ET)? Suns Clippers 211.91 0.00 0.00% -3.7436 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 06 2022 โœ… 793.31 80.41 0.00 873.72 Trades
Will Larva Labโ€™s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $25M or more at Sothebyโ€™s? Yes No 0.00 6,686.38 0.02% 0.8696 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,686.38 Wed Feb 23 2022 โœ… -5,814.55 0.00 0.00 871.82 Trades
Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 5,551.65 0.00% 0.8446 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,551.65 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -4,688.69 0.00 0.00 862.97 Trades
OpenAI Sora public release before May? Yes No 519.32 0.00 0.00% -1.6560 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… 860.02 0.00 0.00 860.02 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 23,277.74 0.00% 0.9635 0.00 1.00 0.00 23,277.74 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -22,428.99 0.00 0.00 848.75 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 โœ… 822.56 0.00 0.00 822.56 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 4,102.37 0.00% 0.8009 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,102.37 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -3,285.49 0.00 0.00 816.88 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 โœ… 816.77 0.00 0.00 816.77 Trades
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the US in September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… 813.38 0.00 0.00 813.38 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,417.94 0.00% 0.4266 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,417.94 Tue May 02 2023 โœ… -604.84 0.00 0.00 813.10 Trades
Will the Canadian "Emergencies Act" be revoked by March 7, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 โœ… 801.04 0.00 0.00 801.04 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 4,814.01 0.00 0.00% -0.1626 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 782.68 0.00 0.00 782.68 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 24,317.84 0.00 0.00% 0.9697 1.00 0.00 24,317.84 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 โœ… -23,580.30 44.62 0.00 782.16 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 โœ… 779.07 0.00 0.00 779.07 Trades
Will the City of Ottawa cease its state of emergency by March 2, 2022? Yes No 7,860.08 0.00 0.00% 0.9028 1.00 0.00 7,860.08 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 โœ… -7,095.80 0.03 0.00 764.30 Trades
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? Yes No 0.00 2,528.72 0.00% -0.3006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 โœ… 760.06 0.00 0.00 760.06 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 665.57 0.00% -0.1357 0.00 1.00 0.00 665.57 Sat Oct 14 2023 โœ… 90.34 0.00 0.00 755.91 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 102.42 0.00% -0.9155 0.00 1.00 0.00 102.42 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 93.77 553.40 0.00 749.59 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? Yes No 0.00 629.02 0.00% -0.1741 0.00 1.00 0.00 629.02 Tue Oct 31 2023 โœ… 109.50 0.00 0.00 738.52 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.00 141.98 0.00% -4.6604 0.50 0.50 0.00 70.99 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… 661.68 0.00 0.00 732.67 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 3,159.80 0.00 0.00% -0.2297 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 725.90 0.00 0.00 725.90 Trades
Will Mason Greenwood return to Manchester United? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… 721.70 0.00 0.00 721.70 Trades
Will a LIV Golfer win The Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 23 2023 โœ… 718.74 0.00 0.00 718.74 Trades
$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March? Yes No 0.00 372.95 0.00% -0.9153 0.00 1.00 0.00 372.95 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 341.37 0.00 0.00 714.32 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 965.39 0.00 0.00% 0.2612 1.00 0.00 965.39 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 โœ… -252.12 0.00 0.00 713.28 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 3,413.61 0.00% 0.7920 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,413.61 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -2,703.52 0.00 0.00 710.09 Trades
Will Fantano rate Drake's new album a 7 or higher? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 708.65 0.00 0.00 708.65 Trades
Aleo airdrop by April? Yes No 3,303.87 0.00 0.00% -0.2136 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… 705.80 0.00 0.00 705.80 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 0.00 82.42 0.00% -1.1040 0.00 1.00 0.00 82.42 Fri Mar 25 2022 โœ… 90.99 522.26 0.00 695.67 Trades
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? Yes No 0.00 4,935.10 0.00% 0.8597 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,935.10 Thu Dec 07 2023 โœ… -4,242.86 0.00 0.00 692.24 Trades
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? Yes No 1,495.52 0.00 0.00% 0.5381 1.00 0.00 1,495.52 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -804.75 0.00 0.00 690.77 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 1,154.28 0.00 0.00% -0.5975 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 โœ… 689.71 0.00 0.00 689.71 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 25.35 0.00% -26.0053 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.35 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 659.35 0.00 0.00 684.71 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 10,833.85 0.00 0.00% 0.9373 1.00 0.00 10,833.85 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 โœ… -10,154.52 0.00 0.00 679.33 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 2,332.47 0.00 0.00% 0.7117 1.00 0.00 2,332.47 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 โœ… -1,660.01 0.00 0.00 672.46 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 1,076.67 0.00 0.00% 0.3755 1.00 0.00 1,076.67 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -404.31 0.00 0.00 672.36 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 1,577.29 0.00 0.00% 0.5884 1.00 0.00 1,577.29 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -928.15 7.22 0.00 656.36 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 722.57 0.00 0.00% -0.9077 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 655.86 0.00 0.00 655.86 Trades
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? Yes No 1,458.13 0.00 0.00% -0.4497 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 14 2023 โœ… 655.75 0.00 0.00 655.75 Trades
Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? Yes No 830.27 0.00 0.00% 0.2250 1.00 0.00 830.27 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -186.84 7.04 0.00 650.46 Trades
Will an election for the Israeli Knesset occur before August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,059.40 0.01% 0.8490 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,059.40 Sun Jul 31 2022 โœ… -3,446.44 36.26 0.00 649.22 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 728.61 0.00 0.00% 0.1209 1.00 0.00 728.61 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 โœ… -88.11 0.00 0.00 640.51 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 195.70 0.00 0.00% -3.2634 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 โœ… 638.64 0.00 0.00 638.64 Trades
Will the Academy strip Will Smithโ€™s Oscar by April 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 โœ… 551.59 86.16 0.00 637.75 Trades
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? Yes No 0.00 121.83 0.00% -5.2199 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 635.92 0.00 0.00 635.92 Trades
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? Yes No 0.00 1,039.72 0.00% 0.3896 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,039.72 Mon Sep 05 2022 โœ… -405.09 0.00 0.00 634.63 Trades
Will Odysseus Lander lose communication by Feb 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 27 2024 โœ… 629.60 0.00 0.00 629.60 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 60 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 5,444.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8844 1.00 0.00 5,444.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 โœ… -4,814.79 0.00 0.00 629.21 Trades
NBA: Who will win Jazz vs. Clippers, scheduled for March 29 (10 PM ET)? Jazz Clippers 0.00 1,086.28 0.00% 0.4353 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,086.28 Tue Mar 29 2022 โœ… -472.88 14.01 0.00 627.41 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Tails Never Fails Parlay Yes No 0.00 1,546.27 0.00% 0.5956 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,546.27 Sat Feb 10 2024 โœ… -921.03 0.00 0.00 625.24 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 1.52 0.00% -212.8657 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 โœ… 323.86 297.88 0.00 621.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? Yes No 674.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0792 1.00 0.00 674.04 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… -53.37 0.00 0.00 620.68 Trades
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 โœ… 618.02 0.00 0.00 618.02 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 3,922.72 0.00 0.00% 0.8454 1.00 0.00 3,922.72 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 โœ… -3,316.45 9.05 0.00 615.32 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 5,480.59 0.00% -0.1118 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 โœ… 612.84 0.00 0.00 612.84 Trades
NCAA Finals: Who will win UNC vs. Kansas, scheduled for Apr 4 (9.20 PM ET)? UNC Kansas 30.23 0.00 0.00% -19.8786 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 โœ… 600.91 7.26 0.00 608.17 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 846.24 0.00% 0.2818 0.00 1.00 0.00 846.24 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -238.47 0.00 0.00 607.77 Trades
Jonathan Taylor to play this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 โœ… 605.94 0.00 0.00 605.94 Trades
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? Yes No 0.00 487.77 0.00% -1.2408 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 โœ… 605.24 0.00 0.00 605.24 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? Yes No 0.00 8,495.42 0.00% -0.0708 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 โœ… 601.84 0.00 0.00 601.84 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? Yes No 0.00 10,031.13 0.00% 0.9408 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,031.13 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -9,437.68 0.00 0.00 593.44 Trades
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? Yes No 0.00 69.66 0.00% -8.4758 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 โœ… 590.44 0.00 0.00 590.44 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 158,486.04 0.00% -0.0035 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 โœ… 551.10 38.11 0.00 589.21 Trades
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? Yes No 6.64 0.00 0.01% -31.4262 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 โœ… 208.68 369.34 0.00 578.01 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 2,882.12 0.00 0.00% 0.8015 1.00 0.00 2,882.12 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… -2,309.90 0.00 0.00 572.23 Trades
Jingtao vs. Zata Jingtao Zata 0.00 395.00 0.00% -0.4418 0.00 1.00 0.00 395.00 Sat Sep 09 2023 โœ… 174.50 0.00 0.00 569.50 Trades
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 1.58 0.00 0.02% -357.4205 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 โœ… 563.44 5.45 0.00 568.89 Trades
CZ sentenced to prison? Yes No 0.00 1,283.73 0.00% -0.4409 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… 565.96 0.00 0.00 565.96 Trades
Tensor airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… 565.16 0.00 0.00 565.16 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 22,812.57 0.00 0.00% 0.9812 1.00 0.00 22,812.57 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 โœ… -22,384.35 136.59 0.00 564.81 Trades
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 1,230.00 0.00% 0.5441 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,230.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 โœ… -669.30 0.00 0.00 560.70 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference? Yes No 0.00 1,298.42 0.00% 0.5696 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,298.42 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… -739.55 0.00 0.00 558.87 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 3,802.71 0.00 0.00% 0.8533 1.00 0.00 3,802.71 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -3,244.90 0.00 0.00 557.81 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February? Yes No 4,991.24 0.00 0.00% 0.8884 1.00 0.00 4,991.24 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -4,434.30 0.00 0.00 556.94 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 316.66 0.00% -0.7582 0.00 1.00 0.00 316.66 Sun Oct 15 2023 โœ… 240.09 0.00 0.00 556.75 Trades
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 โœ… 539.94 12.72 0.00 552.66 Trades
Blast airdrop by May? Yes No 0.00 0.68 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.68 Wed May 31 2023 โœ… 548.15 0.00 0.00 548.83 Trades
Ansem vs. trading_axe - Most Liked Post Today Ansem Axe 1,054.84 0.00 0.00% -0.0177 0.50 0.50 527.42 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… 18.71 0.00 0.00 546.13 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 525.90 0.00% -0.0330 0.00 1.00 0.00 525.90 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… 17.34 0.00 0.00 543.24 Trades
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April? Yes No 2,563.32 0.00 0.00% 0.7933 1.00 0.00 2,563.32 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -2,033.52 0.00 0.00 529.80 Trades
MOG all time high by Friday? Yes No 819.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3584 1.00 0.00 819.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 โœ… -293.56 0.00 0.00 525.44 Trades
Will Trump say "rape" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 659.89 0.00 0.00% 0.2038 1.00 0.00 659.89 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 โœ… -134.50 0.00 0.00 525.39 Trades
Will the Nets beat the Knicks by more than 6.5 points in their April 6 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 519.53 0.00 0.00% 0.0649 1.00 0.00 519.53 0.00 Wed Apr 06 2022 โœ… -33.73 36.78 0.00 522.59 Trades
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? Yes No 0.00 513.68 0.00% -0.0156 0.00 1.00 0.00 513.68 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 8.03 0.00 0.00 521.71 Trades
Will Walmart buy Vizio in February? Yes No 1,997.48 0.00 0.00% 0.7409 1.00 0.00 1,997.48 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -1,479.96 0.00 0.00 517.52 Trades
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 5,331.70 0.00% -0.0962 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 โœ… 512.95 0.00 0.00 512.95 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… 509.84 0.00 0.00 509.84 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 3,422.37 0.00 0.00% -0.1482 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 โœ… 507.35 0.00 0.00 507.35 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.60 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 โœ… 507.03 0.00 0.00 507.03 Trades
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? Yes No 245.59 0.00 0.00% -2.0636 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 506.79 0.00 0.00 506.79 Trades
Triton Poker: Will Phil Ivey place 1st in at least one event? Yes No 1.50 0.00 0.00% -317.7697 1.00 0.00 1.50 0.00 Thu Apr 07 2022 โœ… 477.70 27.48 0.00 506.69 Trades
Will Draymond Green be suspended for 10+ games? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 505.00 0.00 0.00 505.00 Trades
Drift airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 4,024.78 0.00% 0.8755 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,024.78 Tue Feb 27 2024 โœ… -3,523.79 0.00 0.00 500.99 Trades
UFC 297: Who will win - Strickland or Du Plessis? Strickland Du Plessis 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Thu Jan 18 2024 โœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 500.00 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? Yes No 1,603.98 0.00 0.00% 0.7159 1.00 0.00 1,603.98 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 โœ… -1,148.32 44.01 0.00 499.67 Trades
Will the USA ambassador be recalled or expelled from Russia before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 โœ… 496.44 0.00 0.00 496.44 Trades
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 โœ… 494.17 0.00 0.00 494.17 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 9,394.81 0.00% 0.9482 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,394.81 Tue Aug 30 2022 โœ… -8,908.02 3.27 0.00 490.06 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,860.90 0.00% 0.8737 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,860.90 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -3,373.39 0.00 0.00 487.51 Trades
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 3,260.40 0.00 0.00% -0.1494 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 487.12 0.00 0.00 487.12 Trades
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 4,071.28 0.00% 0.8893 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,071.28 Wed May 18 2022 โœ… -3,620.70 34.44 0.00 485.02 Trades
Ethena airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 8,050.00 0.00% -0.0602 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 484.74 0.00 0.00 484.74 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? Celtics Warriors 0.00 237.70 0.38% -1.8265 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 โœ… 434.16 49.97 0.00 484.13 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 5.89 0.00 0.38% -34.7098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… 204.53 279.44 0.00 483.97 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by August 31? Yes No 0.00 4,309.85 0.00% 0.8892 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,309.85 Wed Aug 31 2022 โœ… -3,832.18 0.00 0.00 477.67 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck Musk Zuck 4,577.30 0.00 0.00% 0.3957 0.50 0.50 2,288.65 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 โœ… -1,811.23 0.00 0.00 477.42 Trades
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 โœ… 477.03 0.00 0.00 477.03 Trades
Will Mike Gibbons win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 4,257.74 0.00% 0.8960 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,257.74 Tue May 03 2022 โœ… -3,814.88 33.46 0.00 476.32 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 5,362.85 0.00% 0.9125 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,362.85 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -4,893.80 0.00 0.00 469.05 Trades
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury Paul Fury 0.00 784.41 0.00% 0.4039 0.00 1.00 0.00 784.41 Sun Feb 26 2023 โœ… -316.86 0.00 0.00 467.55 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 912.58 0.00% 0.4903 0.00 1.00 0.00 912.58 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… -447.42 0.00 0.00 465.16 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 221.73 0.00 0.00% -2.0916 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 463.75 0.00 0.00 463.75 Trades
Will Ansem win his fight? Yes No 0.00 889.58 0.00% 0.4798 0.00 1.00 0.00 889.58 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… -426.79 0.00 0.00 462.80 Trades
Will Mario Draghi be elected as President of Italy in the upcoming 2022 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 2,298.11 0.00% 0.7992 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,298.11 Tue Jan 25 2022 โœ… -1,836.63 0.00 0.00 461.48 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 0.00 4,998.64 0.00% 0.9080 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,998.64 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -4,538.84 0.00 0.00 459.80 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 500k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 1,899.80 0.00% 0.7595 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,899.80 Thu Aug 03 2023 โœ… -1,442.90 0.00 0.00 456.90 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? Yes No 0.00 5,884.29 0.00% 0.9224 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,884.29 Sat Oct 21 2023 โœ… -5,427.87 0.00 0.00 456.42 Trades
Will Liverpool FC win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.00 553.63 0.00% 0.2862 0.00 1.00 0.00 553.63 Sat May 28 2022 โœ… -158.43 60.46 0.00 455.65 Trades
Will Milady flip MAYC by March 1? Yes No 0.00 2,078.00 0.00% 0.7812 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,078.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 โœ… -1,623.43 0.00 0.00 454.58 Trades
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 โœ… 451.75 0.00 0.00 451.75 Trades
Will 'Don't Worry Darling' gross more than $20 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 9,117.93 0.00% 0.9519 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,117.93 Mon Sep 26 2022 โœ… -8,679.62 2.26 0.00 440.57 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 454.28 0.00% -0.9680 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 โœ… 439.75 0.00 0.00 439.75 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will any film win 6 or more awards? Yes No 618.85 0.00 0.00% 0.3101 1.00 0.00 618.85 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 โœ… -191.92 11.96 0.00 438.89 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 โœ… 434.33 0.00 0.00 434.33 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 15,561.85 0.00% -0.0279 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 โœ… 434.26 0.00 0.00 434.26 Trades
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31? Yes No 0.00 2,786.57 0.00% 0.8452 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,786.57 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -2,355.23 0.00 0.00 431.34 Trades
Will Young Thug's new album have over 140k sales in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 โœ… 429.15 0.00 0.00 429.15 Trades
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture Yes No 0.00 8,243.08 0.02% 0.9486 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,243.08 Mon Mar 13 2023 โœ… -7,819.79 2.15 0.00 425.44 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend? Yes No 2,884.64 0.00 0.00% 0.8535 1.00 0.00 2,884.64 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 โœ… -2,462.00 0.00 0.00 422.64 Trades
NBA: Who will win Raptors vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for March 30, 7:40 PM ET? Raptors Timberwolves 485.51 0.00 0.00% 0.1386 1.00 0.00 485.51 0.00 Wed Mar 30 2022 โœ… -67.31 3.24 0.00 421.44 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Licorice Pizza win Best Original Screenplay? Yes No 0.00 759.72 0.00% 0.4598 0.00 1.00 0.00 759.72 Sun Mar 27 2022 โœ… -349.28 10.29 0.00 420.72 Trades
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? Yes No 4,172.85 0.00 0.00% -0.0996 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 โœ… 415.46 0.00 0.00 415.46 Trades
Blur airdrop by Nov 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 โœ… 414.66 0.00 0.00 414.66 Trades
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? Yes No 499.89 0.00 0.02% 0.1763 1.00 0.00 499.89 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 โœ… -88.15 2.77 0.00 414.51 Trades
Kanye's 'Vultures 1' back on Apple Music before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 412.25 0.00 0.00 412.25 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8,651.71 14.29% 0.9651 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,651.71 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -8,349.68 109.52 0.00 411.55 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 9,104.94 0.00 0.00% 0.9552 1.00 0.00 9,104.94 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 โœ… -8,697.48 0.02 0.00 407.48 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,650.07 0.03% 0.9601 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,650.07 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -4,464.52 220.91 0.00 406.47 Trades
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? Yes No 0.00 4,454.84 0.00% 0.9105 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,454.84 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -4,055.91 0.00 0.00 398.92 Trades
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Yes No 2,910.66 0.00 0.00% -0.1363 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 28 2024 โœ… 396.79 0.00 0.00 396.79 Trades
Will Joel Embiid win NBA โ€™21-โ€™22 MVP? Yes No 8.28 0.00 0.00% -38.6098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 โœ… 319.61 74.12 0.00 393.73 Trades
Will 'Jackass Forever' get 80% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 07 2022 โœ… 389.84 0.00 0.00 389.84 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 2,570.52 0.00% 0.8488 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,570.52 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -2,181.91 0.00 0.00 388.61 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Arkansas vs. Gonzaga, scheduled for March 24 (7:09 PM ET)? Arkansas Gonzaga 0.00 84.93 0.00% -4.2216 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 โœ… 358.55 29.62 0.00 388.17 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? Yes No 0.00 3,033.04 0.00% 0.8723 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,033.04 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -2,645.76 0.00 0.00 387.28 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 4,450.90 0.00% 0.9131 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,450.90 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… -4,064.15 0.00 0.00 386.75 Trades
Will Man City lose this year? Yes No 5,747.52 0.00 0.00% 0.9328 1.00 0.00 5,747.52 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -5,361.14 0.00 0.00 386.38 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 4.66 0.00 0.01% -42.5917 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 โœ… 198.37 186.23 0.00 384.60 Trades
Will WIF hit $1 by March 15? Yes No 11,307.81 0.00 0.00% 0.9662 1.00 0.00 11,307.81 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 โœ… -10,926.11 0.00 0.00 381.70 Trades
Will Zuck KO Musk? Yes No 0.00 1,025.72 0.00% 0.1289 0.50 0.50 0.00 512.86 Mon Apr 01 2024 โœ… -132.23 0.00 0.00 380.63 Trades
Biden executive action on US-Mexico border in February? Yes No 0.00 6,571.26 0.00% 0.9423 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,571.26 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -6,192.04 0.00 0.00 379.22 Trades
Will โ€˜BlockFi Yieldโ€™ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,744.12 0.00% 0.9201 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,744.12 Thu Jun 30 2022 โœ… -4,365.00 0.00 0.00 379.12 Trades
Will Milady outperform BAYC through Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 188.95 0.00% -0.9975 0.00 1.00 0.00 188.95 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… 188.48 0.00 0.00 377.43 Trades
Kamino airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 2,775.36 0.00% 0.8648 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,775.36 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -2,400.02 0.00 0.00 375.35 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 1,616.24 0.00 0.00% 0.7678 1.00 0.00 1,616.24 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 โœ… -1,240.95 0.04 0.00 375.32 Trades
Will Liverpool FC win the quadruple this season? Yes No 0.00 2,237.20 0.00% 0.8330 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,237.20 Sat May 28 2022 โœ… -1,863.50 0.00 0.00 373.70 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 70,641.75 0.00% -0.0053 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 373.05 0.00 0.00 373.05 Trades
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas? Yes No 2,724.96 0.00 0.00% -0.1361 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 โœ… 370.96 0.00 0.00 370.96 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 3,157.37 0.00% -0.1169 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 โœ… 369.25 0.00 0.00 369.25 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022? Yes No 0.00 610.95 0.00% -0.6031 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 09 2022 โœ… 368.47 0.00 0.00 368.47 Trades
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 1,018.52 0.00 0.00% -0.3617 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 โœ… 368.39 0.00 0.00 368.39 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 14,277.19 0.00% 0.9742 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,277.19 Wed Mar 22 2023 โœ… -13,909.44 0.00 0.00 367.76 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 1,097.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6659 1.00 0.00 1,097.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… -730.46 0.00 0.00 366.54 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? Yes No 0.00 412.93 0.00% 0.1125 0.00 1.00 0.00 412.93 Wed Aug 10 2022 โœ… -46.44 0.00 0.00 366.49 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? Yes No 20,271.66 0.00 0.00% 0.9823 1.00 0.00 20,271.66 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 โœ… -19,913.59 7.41 0.00 365.47 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 181.99 0.00 0.01% -0.8166 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 โœ… 148.62 216.14 0.00 364.76 Trades
Base airdrop by May 1? Yes No 0.00 2,082.04 0.00% 0.8253 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,082.04 Wed May 01 2024 โœ… -1,718.34 0.00 0.00 363.71 Trades
Any Hamas leader out in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 363.07 0.00 0.00 363.07 Trades
Will President Biden mention Manchin, Sinema or filibuster in his press conference on January 19 ? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 โœ… 361.67 0.00 0.00 361.67 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 798.07 0.00% 0.6889 0.00 1.00 0.00 798.07 Thu Jun 30 2022 โœ… -549.83 113.04 0.00 361.29 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 2,217.74 0.00% 0.8392 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,217.74 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -1,861.05 0.00 0.00 356.68 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 4,509.63 0.00% 0.9212 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,509.63 Wed Sep 21 2022 โœ… -4,154.21 0.00 0.00 355.42 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 1,448.88 0.00% 0.8985 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,448.88 Sun Oct 30 2022 โœ… -1,301.87 204.78 0.00 351.80 Trades
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? Yes No 1,906.05 0.00 0.01% 0.8535 1.00 0.00 1,906.05 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 โœ… -1,626.86 69.68 0.00 348.87 Trades
Haiti Prime Minister resigns in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 348.61 0.00 0.00 348.61 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 2, 7:30 PM ET? Nets Hawks 0.00 419.87 0.00% 0.2498 0.00 1.00 0.00 419.87 Sat Apr 02 2022 โœ… -104.87 33.50 0.00 348.50 Trades
$WIF all time high before February? Yes No 0.00 8.26 0.00% -42.1421 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 348.01 0.00 0.00 348.01 Trades
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? Yes No 248.38 0.00 0.00% -1.3964 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 โœ… 346.83 0.00 0.00 346.83 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? Yes No 0.00 3,705.49 0.00% 0.9075 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,705.49 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… -3,362.73 0.00 0.00 342.76 Trades
Saga airdrop By March 1? Yes No 0.00 812.62 0.00% 0.5809 0.00 1.00 0.00 812.62 Fri Mar 01 2024 โœ… -472.03 0.00 0.00 340.59 Trades
Will โ€œJackass Foreverโ€ gross domestically more than $25 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 674.36 25.00% 0.5042 0.00 1.00 0.00 674.36 Mon Feb 07 2022 โœ… -339.98 1.18 0.00 335.55 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $65m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 857.48 0.00% -0.3894 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 โœ… 333.92 0.00 0.00 333.92 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 2.02 0.02% -160.6326 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 โœ… 324.44 6.15 0.00 330.59 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 1st, 2022? Yes No 8.65 0.00 0.01% -38.2183 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 โœ… 330.57 0.00 0.00 330.57 Trades
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 4,316.38 0.00% 0.9236 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,316.38 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -3,986.82 0.00 0.00 329.57 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 1 by Feb 16? Yes No 9,340.34 0.00 0.00% 0.9649 1.00 0.00 9,340.34 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 โœ… -9,012.36 0.00 0.00 327.98 Trades
Will โ€˜Top Gun: Maverickโ€™ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 9.69 0.00% -33.5077 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… 324.69 0.18 0.00 324.87 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 350k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 310.62 0.00% -0.0410 0.00 1.00 0.00 310.62 Thu Aug 03 2023 โœ… 12.74 0.00 0.00 323.36 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will CODA win Best Picture? Yes No 838.25 0.00 0.00% 0.6274 1.00 0.00 838.25 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 โœ… -525.92 8.25 0.00 320.59 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? Yes No 0.00 416.91 0.00% 0.2334 0.00 1.00 0.00 416.91 Thu Apr 27 2023 โœ… -97.32 0.00 0.00 319.59 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by April? Yes No 5,549.28 0.00 0.00% -0.0574 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… 318.80 0.00 0.00 318.80 Trades
Will Neymar leave PSG? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 โœ… 317.05 0.00 0.00 317.05 Trades
Wormhole airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 1,571.14 0.00% 0.7983 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,571.14 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -1,254.25 0.00 0.00 316.89 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 133.64 0.00% -1.3590 0.00 1.00 0.00 133.64 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 181.62 0.00 0.00 315.26 Trades
Will 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' gross $53 million or more on opening weekend in the United States? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 18 2022 โœ… 272.46 42.64 0.00 315.10 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 0.00 4,273.70 0.00% 0.9288 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,273.70 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -3,969.43 10.52 0.00 314.80 Trades
Will "inflation" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 โœ… 313.55 0.00 0.00 313.55 Trades
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 โœ… 308.20 0.30 0.00 308.50 Trades
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2022 NBA playoffs? Yes No 642.21 0.00 0.00% 0.5333 1.00 0.00 642.21 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 โœ… -342.51 2.71 0.00 302.41 Trades
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 3,104.81 0.00% 0.9028 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,104.81 Fri Nov 17 2023 โœ… -2,802.98 0.00 0.00 301.82 Trades
Will a team from a minor region win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 โœ… 300.95 0.00 0.00 300.95 Trades
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… 300.00 0.00 0.00 300.00 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 24,105.94 0.00 0.00% -0.0123 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 โœ… 296.31 0.00 0.00 296.31 Trades
Drake's "For All the Dogs" over 350k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 485.74 0.00% -0.6083 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 12 2023 โœ… 295.47 0.00 0.00 295.47 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? Yes No 4,800.41 0.00 0.00% 0.9389 1.00 0.00 4,800.41 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 โœ… -4,507.27 0.00 0.00 293.15 Trades
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? Yes No 0.00 2,021.92 0.00% 0.8561 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,021.92 Fri Dec 08 2023 โœ… -1,730.95 0.00 0.00 290.97 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 504.69 0.00 0.00% 0.4256 1.00 0.00 504.69 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 โœ… -214.79 0.00 0.00 289.89 Trades
Eric Adams criminal charges before April? Yes No 0.00 4,399.14 0.00% 0.9356 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,399.14 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -4,115.68 0.00 0.00 283.46 Trades
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 06 2023 โœ… 282.34 0.00 0.00 282.34 Trades
Will Julie Su be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.08 Sat Dec 30 2023 โœ… 278.70 0.00 0.00 278.78 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? Yes No 0.00 4,045.05 0.00% 0.9312 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,045.05 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -3,766.81 0.00 0.00 278.25 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,492.00 0.00% 0.8141 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,492.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -1,214.58 0.00 0.00 277.42 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? Yes No 31.34 0.00 0.00% -8.8444 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 โœ… 277.21 0.00 0.00 277.21 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? Yes No 0.00 29,280.35 0.00% 0.9906 0.00 1.00 0.00 29,280.35 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -29,004.36 0.00 0.00 275.98 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? Yes No 0.00 767.04 0.00% -0.3588 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 โœ… 275.24 0.00 0.00 275.24 Trades
Scorigami in NFL Week 6? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 โœ… 273.76 0.00 0.00 273.76 Trades
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? Yes No 101,832.68 0.00 -178.18% 0.9977 1.00 0.00 101,832.68 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 โœ… -101,594.13 34.12 0.00 272.66 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 441.31 0.00 0.00% 0.3844 1.00 0.00 441.31 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -169.62 0.00 0.00 271.69 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 115.00 0.00 0.00% -2.3604 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 โœ… 271.45 0.00 0.00 271.45 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? Yes No 35.89 0.00 0.00% 14.0992 1.00 0.00 35.89 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 โœ… -505.98 741.09 0.00 271.00 Trades
Will Hamas surrender before February? Yes No 0.00 8,425.00 0.00% 0.9680 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,425.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -8,155.00 0.00 0.00 270.00 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 1,062.80 0.00% -0.2523 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 โœ… 268.18 0.00 0.00 268.18 Trades
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? Yes No 0.00 5,641.15 0.00% 0.9525 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,641.15 Fri Feb 25 2022 โœ… -5,373.48 0.00 0.00 267.68 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 โœ… 267.09 0.00 0.00 267.09 Trades
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 694.82 0.00 0.02% 0.6335 1.00 0.00 694.82 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 โœ… -440.16 12.24 0.00 266.91 Trades
India Election: Modi reelected? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 โœ… 262.86 0.00 0.00 262.87 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 โœ… 261.86 0.00 0.00 261.86 Trades
Will the Lahaina fire in Maui be fully contained this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 20 2023 โœ… 261.82 0.00 0.00 261.82 Trades
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? Yes No 0.77 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.77 0.00 Thu Jan 11 2024 โœ… 260.61 0.00 0.00 261.38 Trades
Will "The Banshees of Inisherin" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 5,145.26 0.00% 0.9496 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,145.26 Mon Mar 13 2023 โœ… -4,886.02 1.09 0.00 260.33 Trades
Will โ€œJackass Foreverโ€ gross domestically more than $30 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,772.86 0.00% 0.9455 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,772.86 Mon Feb 07 2022 โœ… -4,512.59 0.00 0.00 260.27 Trades
SOL/ETH new high by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 1,020.16 0.00% 0.7455 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,020.16 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -760.56 0.00 0.00 259.60 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 293.54 0.00 0.00% 0.1175 1.00 0.00 293.54 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 โœ… -34.49 0.00 0.00 259.06 Trades
Zvbear arrested before February? Yes No 20,836.80 0.00 0.00% -0.0124 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 258.76 0.00 0.00 258.76 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 33.90 0.00 0.00% -7.6275 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 258.57 0.00 0.00 258.57 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 11,023.59 0.00% 0.9767 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,023.59 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -10,767.06 0.00 0.00 256.54 Trades
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? Yes No 1,227.68 0.00 0.00% -0.2084 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 255.89 0.00 0.00 255.89 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? Yes No 0.00 12.05 0.00% -21.0861 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 โœ… 254.09 0.00 0.00 254.09 Trades
TRUMP all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 1,621.37 0.00% 0.8433 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,621.37 Fri Mar 08 2024 โœ… -1,367.30 0.00 0.00 254.08 Trades
US travel ban for China in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 253.70 0.00 0.00 253.70 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 13.15 0.00 0.00% -19.2366 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 โœ… 252.89 0.00 0.00 252.89 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February? Yes No 0.00 5,472.00 0.00% 0.9538 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,472.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -5,219.12 0.00 0.00 252.88 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Lakers by more than 11.5 points in their April 5 (10:30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 2.02 0.00 0.00% -118.0561 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 05 2022 โœ… 237.93 12.05 0.00 249.97 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Grizzlies, scheduled for March 23 (7.30 PM ET)? Nets Grizzlies 83.07 0.00 0.00% -2.6143 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 โœ… 217.18 32.28 0.00 249.47 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? Yes No 0.00 616.71 0.00% 0.6008 0.00 1.00 0.00 616.71 Mon Dec 04 2023 โœ… -370.55 0.00 0.00 246.16 Trades
Will โ€˜The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakesโ€™ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? Yes No 0.00 1,929.61 0.00% 0.8727 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,929.61 Mon Nov 20 2023 โœ… -1,683.91 0.00 0.00 245.71 Trades
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 444.46 0.00% 0.4477 0.00 1.00 0.00 444.46 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -198.98 0.00 0.00 245.48 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 1,268.74 0.00% 0.8327 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,268.74 Tue May 03 2022 โœ… -1,056.42 32.74 0.00 245.06 Trades
Pudgy Penguins airdrop before March? Yes No 0.00 557.11 0.00% 0.5610 0.00 1.00 0.00 557.11 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -312.52 0.00 0.00 244.59 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 70 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 386.35 0.00 0.00% 0.3676 1.00 0.00 386.35 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 โœ… -142.01 0.00 0.00 244.34 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,511.88 0.00% 0.9190 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,511.88 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -2,308.39 40.11 0.00 243.59 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 5.86 0.00% -37.3410 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 22 2022 โœ… 218.87 21.18 0.00 240.05 Trades
Will James Maynard win the 2022 Fields Medal? Yes No 4,645.72 0.00 0.00% 0.9485 1.00 0.00 4,645.72 0.00 Thu Jul 14 2022 โœ… -4,406.60 0.02 0.00 239.13 Trades
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? Yes No 2,724.83 0.00 0.00% -0.0869 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 236.90 0.00 0.00 236.90 Trades
AI on Amazon speaker by June? Yes No 1,933.46 0.00 0.00% 0.8776 1.00 0.00 1,933.46 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -1,696.84 0.00 0.00 236.62 Trades
Will President Biden mention Trump in his press conference on January 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 โœ… 236.52 0.00 0.00 236.52 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? Yes No 0.00 8,603.72 0.00% 0.9726 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,603.72 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… -8,367.56 0.00 0.00 236.17 Trades
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? Yes No 0.00 4,385.96 0.00% 0.9462 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,385.96 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -4,150.07 0.00 0.00 235.89 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 86.45 0.00% -1.7191 0.00 1.00 0.00 86.45 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 148.62 0.00 0.00 235.07 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 27 2023 โœ… 232.77 0.00 0.00 232.77 Trades
Will Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 2,806.56 0.00% 0.9299 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,806.56 Tue May 03 2022 โœ… -2,609.92 34.73 0.00 231.37 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,627.93 0.00% 0.8589 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,627.93 Mon Nov 20 2023 โœ… -1,398.15 0.00 0.00 229.78 Trades
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 2,610.83 0.00% 0.9132 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,610.83 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… -2,384.19 0.00 0.00 226.64 Trades
Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 0.00 4.33 0.00% -51.9808 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 โœ… 224.89 1.18 0.00 226.07 Trades
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 1,172.73 0.00% 0.8072 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,172.73 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -946.68 0.00 0.00 226.05 Trades
Will a North American team make it to the knockout stage in LoL Worlds? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 โœ… 224.44 0.00 0.00 224.44 Trades
ErdoฤŸan >93ยข on May 26? Yes No 0.00 5.57 0.00% -39.2209 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.57 Fri May 26 2023 โœ… 218.58 0.00 0.00 224.15 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 2.72 0.00 0.00% -80.6444 1.00 0.00 2.72 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 โœ… 219.28 0.00 0.00 222.00 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 1,561.61 0.00 0.00% 0.8628 1.00 0.00 1,561.61 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 โœ… -1,347.34 4.63 0.00 218.90 Trades
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? Yes No 1,432.93 0.00 0.00% 0.8484 1.00 0.00 1,432.93 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 โœ… -1,215.63 0.00 0.00 217.30 Trades
Haaland vs. Chelsea: who will have more goals on Oct 8? Haaland Chelsea 0.00 2.34 0.00% -91.3628 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.34 Sun Oct 08 2023 โœ… 213.36 0.00 0.00 215.70 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 โœ… 214.58 0.00 0.00 214.58 Trades
Will โ€œJackass Foreverโ€ gross domestically more than $20 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 6,657.72 0.00 0.00% 0.9679 1.00 0.00 6,657.72 0.00 Mon Feb 07 2022 โœ… -6,444.09 0.00 0.00 213.63 Trades
Will the Gรคvle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 0.00 52.22 0.00% -3.0891 0.00 1.00 0.00 52.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 161.30 0.00 0.00 213.52 Trades
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,453.33 0.00% 0.9132 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,453.33 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -2,240.38 0.00 0.00 212.95 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8950 1.00 0.00 2,000.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 โœ… -1,790.00 0.00 0.00 210.00 Trades
Will Blur Season 3 end by May? Yes No 0.00 312.53 0.00% 0.3345 0.00 1.00 0.00 312.53 Fri May 31 2024 โœ… -104.53 0.00 0.00 208.00 Trades
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March? Yes No 0.00 8,008.29 0.00% 0.9744 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,008.29 Fri Mar 01 2024 โœ… -7,802.93 0.00 0.00 205.37 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will Olivia Rodrigo win Best New Artist? Yes No 2,758.32 0.00 0.00% 0.9256 1.00 0.00 2,758.32 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… -2,553.00 0.00 0.00 205.32 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 202.09 0.00 0.00 202.09 Trades
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,143.22 0.00% 0.9063 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,143.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -1,942.31 0.00 0.00 200.91 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 82.10 0.00 0.00% -1.4348 1.00 0.00 82.10 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 117.80 0.00 0.00 199.90 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Celtics vs. Pelicans, scheduled for January 29 (7 PM ET)? Celtics Pelicans 421.45 0.00 0.00% 0.5268 1.00 0.00 421.45 0.00 Sat Jan 29 2022 โœ… -222.00 0.00 0.00 199.45 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 6.18 0.00 0.00% -27.7899 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 โœ… 171.67 26.11 0.00 197.78 Trades
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? Yes No 23.14 0.00 0.00% -8.5219 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 โœ… 197.18 0.00 0.00 197.18 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 38.07 0.00 0.00% -5.1707 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 196.87 0.00 0.00 196.87 Trades
NFL: Who will win Titans v. Bengals? Titans Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 22 2022 โœ… 196.27 0.02 0.00 196.29 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 672.18 0.00% 0.7138 0.00 1.00 0.00 672.18 Mon Jul 24 2023 โœ… -479.81 0.00 0.00 192.37 Trades
OpenSea token by May 1? Yes No 0.00 378.99 0.00% 0.4988 0.00 1.00 0.00 378.99 Wed May 01 2024 โœ… -189.04 0.00 0.00 189.95 Trades
Will Zuck answer the door? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 โœ… 189.29 0.00 0.00 189.29 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 259.33 0.00 0.00% 0.2708 1.00 0.00 259.33 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -70.22 0.00 0.00 189.11 Trades
Blast launch delayed? Yes No 0.00 7,252.00 0.00% 0.9739 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,252.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 โœ… -7,063.01 0.00 0.00 188.99 Trades
Will Davante Adams play in the next Raiders game? Yes No 0.00 4.80 0.00% -38.8130 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 23 2022 โœ… 186.17 0.00 0.00 186.17 Trades
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? Yes No 0.00 2,047.89 0.00% 0.9092 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,047.89 Fri Mar 01 2024 โœ… -1,862.03 0.00 0.00 185.86 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,093.75 0.00% -0.1687 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 184.53 0.00 0.00 184.53 Trades
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? Yes No 0.00 5,177.05 0.00% 0.9644 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,177.05 Thu Feb 01 2024 โœ… -4,992.68 0.00 0.00 184.38 Trades
Will Newsom appoint a black woman as Feinstein's replacement? Yes No 15,623.56 0.00 0.00% 0.9883 1.00 0.00 15,623.56 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 โœ… -15,440.93 0.00 0.00 182.63 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will "Sour" by Olivia Rodrigo win Album of the Year? Yes No 0.00 414.36 0.00% 0.5599 0.00 1.00 0.00 414.36 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… -232.00 0.00 0.00 182.36 Trades
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Paul Diaz 163.84 0.00 0.00% -0.1040 1.00 0.00 163.84 0.00 Sat Aug 05 2023 โœ… 17.03 0.00 0.00 180.87 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 6,000.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,000.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 โœ… -5,820.00 0.00 0.00 180.00 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 6,380.85 0.00% 0.9718 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,380.85 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -6,200.95 0.00 0.00 179.90 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 โœ… 178.78 0.25 0.00 179.03 Trades
NHL: Will the Stars beat the Oilers by more than 1.5 goals in their March 22, 8:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 13.30 0.00% -13.0014 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 โœ… 172.86 4.75 0.00 177.61 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Nuggets by more than 4.5 points in their April 24, 3:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,232.06 0.00% 0.8611 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,232.06 Sun Apr 24 2022 โœ… -1,060.98 0.00 0.00 171.08 Trades
WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in February? Yes No 226.55 0.00 0.00% -0.7431 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 168.34 0.00 0.00 168.34 Trades
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 15,429.99 0.00% -0.0107 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 โœ… 165.07 0.00 0.00 165.07 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 369.58 0.00 0.00% 0.5543 1.00 0.00 369.58 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 โœ… -204.85 0.00 0.00 164.73 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 164.31 0.00 0.00 164.31 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? Yes No 0.39 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 โœ… 164.02 0.00 0.00 164.02 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3.56 0.00% -42.8356 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.56 Thu Jun 30 2022 โœ… 152.54 7.52 0.00 163.63 Trades
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? Yes No 91.48 0.00 0.00% -0.7872 1.00 0.00 91.48 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 โœ… 72.01 0.00 0.00 163.49 Trades
Will X start charging all users? Yes No 0.00 3,245.46 0.00% 0.9505 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,245.46 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -3,084.68 0.00 0.00 160.77 Trades
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? Yes No 116.78 0.00 0.00% -1.3544 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 158.16 0.00 0.00 158.16 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 3,577.48 0.00% 0.9560 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,577.48 Wed Nov 15 2023 โœ… -3,420.17 0.00 0.00 157.31 Trades
Will โ€˜Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madnessโ€™ gross $180 million or less on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 2,025.82 0.00% 0.9355 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,025.82 Mon May 09 2022 โœ… -1,895.06 26.41 0.00 157.16 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? Yes No 0.00 2,833.50 0.00% 0.9448 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,833.50 Fri Feb 23 2024 โœ… -2,677.14 0.00 0.00 156.36 Trades
Will the floor price of Moonbirds be 30 ETH or more on May 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 378.17 0.00% 0.5870 0.00 1.00 0.00 378.17 Sun May 15 2022 โœ… -222.00 0.00 0.00 156.17 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? Yes No 6.42 0.00 0.00% -19.2453 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 123.53 31.82 0.00 155.34 Trades
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Yes No 0.00 55.82 0.00% -2.2508 0.50 0.50 0.00 27.91 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 125.63 0.00 0.00 153.54 Trades
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 8,638.46 0.00% 0.9822 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,638.46 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -8,484.95 0.00 0.00 153.52 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 489.11 0.00% -0.3134 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 153.27 0.00 0.00 153.27 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Duke vs. Texas Tech, scheduled for March 24 (9:39 PM ET)? Duke Texas Tech 13.50 0.00 0.00% -8.8867 1.00 0.00 13.50 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 โœ… 119.97 16.94 0.00 150.41 Trades
Will 'Sonic the Hedgehog 2' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 โœ… 58.63 91.78 0.00 150.40 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8500 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Sat Jun 03 2023 โœ… -850.00 0.00 0.00 150.00 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 โœ… 101.41 47.16 0.00 148.57 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by March? Yes No 0.00 872.62 0.00% 0.8300 0.00 1.00 0.00 872.62 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -724.30 0.00 0.00 148.32 Trades
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 476.25 0.00 0.00% -0.3108 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 โœ… 148.01 0.00 0.00 148.01 Trades
Will @elonmusk's tweet count be over 17,600 on May 5 (12 PM ET)? Yes No 211.28 0.00 0.01% 0.4825 1.00 0.00 211.28 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 โœ… -101.95 37.14 0.00 146.48 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? Yes No 367.07 0.00 0.00% 0.6048 1.00 0.00 367.07 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… -222.00 0.00 0.00 145.07 Trades
Jupiter airdrop by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 494.19 0.00% -0.2924 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 144.52 0.00 0.00 144.52 Trades
Will Adin Ross interview Kim Jong Un on stream by Saturday? Yes No 0.00 3,413.76 0.00% 0.9577 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,413.76 Sat Sep 23 2023 โœ… -3,269.28 0.00 0.00 144.49 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 1,695.44 0.00 0.00% 0.9404 1.00 0.00 1,695.44 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -1,594.47 43.12 0.00 144.09 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? Yes No 10.33 0.00 0.00% -13.9101 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 143.63 0.00 0.00 143.63 Trades
Will โ€˜Black Panther: Wakanda Foreverโ€™ gross between $180-$220 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 8.52 0.00% -16.6290 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 13 2022 โœ… 141.67 0.00 0.00 141.67 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil reach $150 by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 โœ… 140.75 0.00 0.00 140.75 Trades
US bank failure in March? Yes No 7,881.88 0.00 0.00% -0.0177 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 139.88 0.00 0.00 139.88 Trades
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 โœ… 139.50 0.00 0.00 139.50 Trades
UEFA Champions League: Will Manchester Utd or Atletico qualify to the quarterfinals? Manchester Atlรฉtico 0.00 221.99 0.00% 0.3722 0.00 1.00 0.00 221.99 Tue Mar 15 2022 โœ… -82.62 0.00 0.00 139.37 Trades
Haaland to break PL goal record this season? Yes No 0.00 119.81 0.00% -0.1564 0.00 1.00 0.00 119.81 Sun May 19 2024 โœ… 18.74 0.00 0.00 138.55 Trades