Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 21,560.07 0.01% 0.5773 0.07 0.93 0.00 20,142.30 Tue Sep 10 2024 -12,446.75 70.03 0.00 7,765.58 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.00 21,245.64 0.00% 0.4074 0.50 0.50 0.00 10,622.82 Tue Sep 10 2024 -8,655.43 0.00 0.00 1,967.39 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 1,238.48 0.00 0.00 1,238.48 Trades
OpenAI Sora public release before May? Yes No 519.32 0.00 0.00% -1.6560 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 860.02 0.00 0.00 860.02 Trades
Fed rate cut by November 7? Yes No 0.00 1,588.08 0.00% -0.2543 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 07 2024 403.81 0.00 0.00 403.81 Trades
George Santos wins NY-1 Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 172.00 0.00% 0.9645 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 -165.90 0.00 0.00 -165.90 Trades
India Election: Modi reelected? Yes No 474.47 0.00 0.00% 0.9750 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -462.59 0.00 0.00 -462.59 Trades
Fed rate cut by December 18? Yes No 3,599.78 0.00 0.00% 0.7276 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 18 2024 -2,619.35 0.00 0.00 -2,619.35 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.00 445.39 0.00% -1.3069 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 19 2024 582.10 0.00 0.00 582.10 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 622.89 0.00 0.00% -0.7690 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 478.98 0.00 0.00 478.98 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 3,602.72 0.00 0.00% -0.0196 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 70.78 0.00 0.00 70.78 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop before May? Yes No 0.00 45.29 0.00% 0.8068 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -36.54 0.00 0.00 -36.54 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,421.43 0.00% 0.1441 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -204.83 0.00 0.00 -204.83 Trades
Is John McAfee alive? Yes No 1,620.89 0.00 0.00% 0.2238 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -362.70 0.00 0.00 -362.70 Trades
Canada federal election in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,485.88 0.00% 0.7267 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,806.51 0.00 0.00 -1,806.51 Trades
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,734.00 0.00% 0.8648 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2,364.49 0.00 0.00 -2,364.49 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 21,605.96 0.00 0.00% 0.1128 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2,436.84 0.00 0.00 -2,436.84 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 6,982.98 0.00% 0.3500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -2,443.91 0.00 0.00 -2,443.91 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,918.38 0.00 0.00 1,918.38 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 19,311.39 0.00% 0.1785 0.79 0.21 0.00 3,970.88 Tue Sep 10 2024 -3,446.13 0.00 0.00 524.75 Trades
Will Circle IPO by June? Yes No 4,877.64 0.00 0.00% 0.3933 0.50 0.50 2,438.82 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1,918.52 0.00 0.00 520.30 Trades
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 0.29 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 416.83 0.00 0.00 416.83 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 125.55 0.00 0.00% -2.2651 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 284.40 0.00 0.00 284.40 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by April? Yes No 612.40 0.00 0.00% -0.4460 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 273.11 0.00 0.00 273.11 Trades
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? Yes No 690.08 0.00 0.00% -0.2623 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 01 2024 181.03 0.00 0.00 181.03 Trades
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Netanyahu Sinwar 200.01 0.00 0.00% -0.7208 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 144.16 0.00 0.00 144.16 Trades
Blast airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 3,852.94 0.00% -0.0350 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 135.00 0.00 0.00 135.00 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 134.90 0.00 0.00 134.90 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 734.27 0.00% 0.8598 0.10 0.90 0.00 659.35 Tue Sep 10 2024 -631.30 46.02 0.00 74.07 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 1,435.57 0.00% 0.9852 0.04 0.96 0.00 1,378.41 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1,414.32 101.25 0.00 65.34 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 1,493.04 0.00% -0.0361 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 53.94 0.00 0.00 53.94 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 15.39 0.00% -1.0149 0.05 0.95 0.00 14.58 Tue Sep 10 2024 15.61 0.00 0.00 30.20 Trades
Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid? Yes No 0.00 76.62 0.00% -0.3668 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 01 2024 28.11 0.00 0.00 28.11 Trades
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? Yes No 1,269.90 0.00 0.00% -0.0067 0.01 0.99 7.75 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 8.45 0.00 0.00 16.21 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 14,290.79 0.00 0.00% 0.4757 0.47 0.53 6,779.07 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -6,797.56 22.18 0.00 3.69 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 15.80 0.00% 0.9100 0.05 0.95 0.00 15.08 Sat Aug 10 2024 -14.38 0.00 0.00 0.71 Trades
Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24? Yes No 185.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0108 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30? Yes No 0.00 75.77 0.00% 0.0508 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -3.85 0.00 0.00 -3.85 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? Yes No 0.00 32.17 0.00% 0.1816 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -5.84 0.00 0.00 -5.84 Trades
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? Yes No 1,135.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0063 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -7.13 0.00 0.00 -7.13 Trades
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -10.31 0.00 0.00 -10.31 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 313.12 0.00 0.00% 0.0816 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -25.56 0.00 0.00 -25.56 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 55.56 0.00 0.00% 0.4885 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -27.14 0.00 0.00 -27.14 Trades
Will Blur Season 3 end by May? Yes No 0.00 312.53 0.00% 0.3345 0.75 0.25 0.00 77.24 Fri May 31 2024 -104.53 0.00 0.00 -27.29 Trades
Rainbow airdrop by June 30? Yes No 195.43 0.00 0.00% 0.1533 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -29.96 0.00 0.00 -29.96 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 2,437.57 0.00 0.00% 0.0268 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -65.34 0.00 0.00 -65.34 Trades
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? Yes No 0.00 152.59 0.00% 0.5897 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -89.98 0.00 0.00 -89.98 Trades
Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test? Yes No 0.00 458.69 0.00% 0.2726 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 -125.05 0.00 0.00 -125.05 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 3,470.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0417 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -144.73 0.00 0.00 -144.73 Trades
Who Gets Sacked First: Erik ten Hag or Mauricio Pochettino? ten Hag Pochettino 208.03 0.00 0.00% 0.7130 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -148.33 0.00 0.00 -148.33 Trades
MarginFi airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 382.71 0.00% 0.4257 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -162.93 0.00 0.00 -162.93 Trades
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? Yes No 0.00 1,870.60 0.00% 0.0955 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -178.56 0.00 0.00 -178.56 Trades
OpenSea token by May 1? Yes No 0.00 378.99 0.00% 0.4988 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -189.04 0.00 0.00 -189.04 Trades
Will Bronny James be drafted? Yes No 1,148.72 0.00 0.00% 0.1672 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 27 2024 -192.06 0.00 0.00 -192.06 Trades
Will Elon Musk own X through June 30? Yes No 225.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8604 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -193.60 0.00 0.00 -193.60 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 356.19 0.00% 0.6526 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -232.46 0.00 0.00 -232.46 Trades
Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 325.00 0.00% 0.7475 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -242.95 0.00 0.00 -242.95 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 2,757.78 0.00 0.00% 0.0898 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -247.53 0.00 0.00 -247.53 Trades
Aleo airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 974.13 0.00% 0.2594 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -252.66 0.00 0.00 -252.66 Trades
Rabby airdrop by June 30? Yes No 6,845.72 0.00 0.00% 0.0372 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -254.39 0.00 0.00 -254.39 Trades
Puffer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 606.03 0.00 0.00% 0.4299 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -260.54 0.00 0.00 -260.54 Trades
Haaland to break PL goal record this season? Yes No 0.00 422.42 0.00% 0.6706 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 -283.26 0.00 0.00 -283.26 Trades
Blast airdrop by May? Yes No 0.00 1,258.75 0.00% 0.5513 0.69 0.31 0.00 387.31 Wed May 31 2023 -693.89 0.00 0.00 -306.58 Trades
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? Yes No 0.00 342.86 0.00% 0.9301 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -318.91 0.00 0.00 -318.91 Trades
Taiko airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 474.09 0.00% 0.7300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -346.09 0.00 0.00 -346.09 Trades
Elizabeth Warren crypto bill become law by June? Yes No 0.00 424.74 0.00% 0.8728 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -370.71 0.00 0.00 -370.71 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? Yes No 3,227.44 0.00 0.00% 0.1204 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -388.57 0.00 0.00 -388.57 Trades
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? Yes No 0.00 630.99 0.00% 0.6210 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -391.87 0.00 0.00 -391.87 Trades
Will Ansem win his fight? Yes No 0.00 889.58 0.00% 0.4798 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -426.79 0.00 0.00 -426.79 Trades
Solana ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 787.00 0.00% 0.6350 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -499.71 0.00 0.00 -499.71 Trades
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? Yes No 5,109.40 0.00 0.00% 0.1029 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -525.85 0.00 0.00 -525.85 Trades
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9017 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -541.00 0.00 0.00 -541.00 Trades
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? Yes No 0.00 1,506.47 0.00% 0.3810 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -574.01 0.00 0.00 -574.01 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 1,243.18 0.00 0.00% 0.5120 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -636.50 0.00 0.00 -636.50 Trades
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? Yes No 1,059.72 0.00 0.00% 0.6260 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -663.43 0.00 0.00 -663.43 Trades
Scroll airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 991.30 0.00% 0.6775 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -671.65 0.00 0.00 -671.65 Trades
Parcl airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 4,855.09 0.00% 0.1512 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -734.13 0.00 0.00 -734.13 Trades
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,218.65 0.00% 0.6631 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -808.07 0.00 0.00 -808.07 Trades
Will Kraken IPO by June? Yes No 0.00 853.62 0.00% 1.0115 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -863.41 0.00 0.00 -863.41 Trades
Zircuit airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,169.00 0.00% 0.8565 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1,001.23 0.00 0.00 -1,001.23 Trades
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? Yes No 0.00 1,223.43 0.00% 0.8464 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1,035.54 0.00 0.00 -1,035.54 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 0.00 1,519.78 0.00% 0.7167 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,089.20 0.00 0.00 -1,089.20 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 0.78 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,262.68 0.00 0.00 -1,262.68 Trades
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? Yes No 2,251.49 0.00 0.00% 0.5633 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 -1,268.26 0.00 0.00 -1,268.26 Trades
Drift airdrop by June 30? Yes No 1,220.72 0.00 0.00% 1.1218 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -1,369.46 0.00 0.00 -1,369.46 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 9,475.15 0.00 0.00% 0.1602 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,518.13 0.00 0.00 -1,518.13 Trades
Will 2024 be better than 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,841.50 0.00% 0.5350 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,520.19 0.00 0.00 -1,520.19 Trades
Will Garcia vs. Haney be canceled? Yes No 0.00 1,872.74 0.00% 0.8192 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 20 2024 -1,534.24 0.00 0.00 -1,534.24 Trades
Swell airdrop by June 30? Yes No 1,212.34 0.00 0.00% 1.2744 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1,544.96 0.00 0.00 -1,544.96 Trades
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? Yes No 0.00 1,875.34 0.00% 0.8703 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 26 2024 -1,632.17 0.00 0.00 -1,632.17 Trades
Base airdrop by May 1? Yes No 0.00 2,082.04 0.00% 0.8253 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -1,718.34 0.00 0.00 -1,718.34 Trades
Berachain airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 2,751.33 0.00% 0.6407 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -1,762.68 0.00 0.00 -1,762.68 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by June 30? Yes No 2,638.89 0.00 0.00% 0.6718 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -1,772.69 0.00 0.00 -1,772.69 Trades
Linea airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,880.75 0.00% 1.0040 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -1,888.23 0.00 0.00 -1,888.23 Trades
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation? Yes No 0.00 2,972.93 0.00% 0.7695 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -2,287.76 0.00 0.00 -2,287.76 Trades
Will Man City win the Premier League? Yes No 0.00 4,707.41 0.00% 0.5599 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 -2,635.84 0.00 0.00 -2,635.84 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 0.00 9,864.54 0.00% 0.2812 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2,773.60 0.00 0.00 -2,773.60 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 200.10 0.00% 16.0183 0.83 0.17 0.00 34.64 Sat Aug 10 2024 -3,205.32 0.00 0.00 -3,170.67 Trades
Aleo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 4,972.42 0.00% 0.6552 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -3,257.92 0.00 0.00 -3,257.92 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 6,298.28 0.00 0.00% 0.5273 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -3,321.20 0.00 0.00 -3,321.20 Trades
zkSync airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 5,059.19 0.00% 0.6612 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -3,344.97 0.00 0.00 -3,344.97 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? Yes No 0.00 3,705.49 0.00% 0.9075 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -3,362.73 0.00 0.00 -3,362.73 Trades
Doge ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 3,798.58 0.00% 0.9046 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -3,436.27 0.00 0.00 -3,436.27 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 0.00 3,863.44 0.00% 0.9109 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -3,519.12 0.00 0.00 -3,519.12 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? Yes No 0.00 5,929.45 0.00% 0.7179 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4,256.56 0.00 0.00 -4,256.56 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 8,277.17 0.00 0.00% 0.5186 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -4,292.63 0.00 0.00 -4,292.63 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? Yes No 0.00 5,203.85 0.00% 0.8322 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4,330.81 0.00 0.00 -4,330.81 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 0.00 16,644.79 0.00% 0.2675 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -4,451.83 0.00 0.00 -4,451.83 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 0.00 6,408.72 0.00% 0.7113 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -4,558.52 0.00 0.00 -4,558.52 Trades
CZ sentenced to prison? Yes No 7,356.61 0.00 0.00% 0.6272 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -4,614.09 0.00 0.00 -4,614.09 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 8,037.73 0.00% 0.7415 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -5,960.04 0.00 0.00 -5,960.04 Trades
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? Yes No 0.00 6,271.45 0.00% 0.9581 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -6,008.65 0.00 0.00 -6,008.65 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 0.00 8,734.53 0.00% 0.7629 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -6,663.60 0.00 0.00 -6,663.60 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? Yes No 14,200.22 0.00 0.00% 0.4993 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -7,090.80 0.00 0.00 -7,090.80 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? Yes No 0.00 7,899.41 0.00% 0.9301 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -7,346.91 0.00 0.00 -7,346.91 Trades
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? Yes No 0.00 8,949.39 0.00% 0.8516 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -7,621.32 0.00 0.00 -7,621.32 Trades
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? Yes No 0.00 10,048.44 0.00% 0.7805 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -7,842.97 0.00 0.00 -7,842.97 Trades
Base airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 9,589.59 0.00% 0.9378 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -8,993.21 0.00 0.00 -8,993.21 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 7,467.07 0.00% 1.3103 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -9,784.03 0.00 0.00 -9,784.03 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? Yes No 0.00 12,467.17 0.00% 0.7871 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -9,812.91 0.00 0.00 -9,812.91 Trades
Fed rate cut by September 18? Yes No 13,929.59 0.00 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 18 2024 -10,029.87 0.00 0.00 -10,029.87 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 24,042.12 0.00% 0.5453 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -13,110.06 0.00 0.00 -13,110.06 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.00 17,993.51 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -15,473.96 0.00 0.00 -15,473.96 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 20,701.94 0.00% 0.7807 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -16,162.47 0.00 0.00 -16,162.47 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? Yes No 0.00 19,934.14 0.00% 0.8759 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -17,460.73 0.00 0.00 -17,460.73 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 22,457.81 0.00 0.00% 0.7841 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -17,608.09 0.00 0.00 -17,608.09 Trades
Fed rate cut by June 12? Yes No 32,891.34 0.00 0.00% 0.5358 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 12 2024 -17,623.72 0.00 0.00 -17,623.72 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.00 20,304.00 0.00% 0.9023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -18,319.48 0.00 0.00 -18,319.48 Trades
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? Yes No 0.00 27,463.30 0.00% 0.8241 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -22,632.80 0.00 0.00 -22,632.80 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 45,512.74 0.00% 0.8390 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -38,186.28 0.00 0.00 -38,186.28 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.36 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.03 Tue Sep 10 2024 -68,626.71 6,519.05 0.00 -62,107.63 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 70,681.69 0.00 0.00 70,681.69 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 65,579.91 0.00 0.00 65,579.91 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 46,680.81 0.00 0.00 46,680.81 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ 43,024.62 0.00 0.00 43,024.62 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 29,954.37 0.00 0.00% -0.2073 1.00 0.00 29,954.37 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ 6,208.19 0.00 0.00 36,162.56 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 35,642.01 0.00 0.00 35,642.01 Trades
“All I want for Christmas is You” #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 06 2024 ✅ 33,308.41 0.00 0.00 33,308.41 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 32,736.44 0.00 0.00 32,736.44 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 0.24 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 29,791.22 0.00 0.02 29,791.24 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 27,780.24 0.00 0.00 27,780.24 Trades
Will Shohei Ohtani sign with Blue Jays? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 27,516.40 0.00 0.00 27,516.40 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 26,740.38 0.00 0.00 26,740.38 Trades
Will Messi sign for Barcelona? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 24,206.76 0.00 0.00 24,206.76 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ 22,546.90 0.00 0.00 22,546.90 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 ✅ 20,995.93 0.00 0.00 20,995.93 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 35,886.66 0.00% 0.4205 0.00 1.00 0.00 35,886.66 Wed Mar 20 2024 ✅ -15,089.25 0.00 0.00 20,797.41 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.92 0.00% -2278.9424 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 20,317.71 68.72 0.00 20,386.43 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 20,237.79 0.00 0.00 20,237.79 Trades
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 20,124.54 0.00 0.00 20,124.54 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 19,082.82 0.00 0.00 19,082.82 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ 18,768.26 0.00 0.00 18,768.26 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 18,537.01 0.00 0.00 18,537.01 Trades
Tensor airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 16,787.44 0.00 0.00 16,787.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 ✅ 15,848.64 0.00 0.00 15,848.64 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 14,946.47 0.00 0.00 14,946.47 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 2,331.82 0.00% -6.2756 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 14,633.60 0.00 0.00 14,633.60 Trades
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? Haley DeSantis 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ 14,046.17 0.00 0.00 14,046.17 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 12,536.54 0.00 0.00 12,536.54 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 12,533.05 0.00 0.00 12,533.05 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 20,985.42 0.00 0.00% 0.5120 1.00 0.00 20,985.42 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -10,744.36 2,030.08 0.00 12,271.14 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ 12,035.54 0.00 0.00 12,035.54 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.54 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.54 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 ✅ 11,984.18 0.00 0.00 11,984.71 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 11,916.83 0.00 0.00 11,916.83 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 11,419.76 0.00 0.00 11,419.76 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.33 16.66% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.33 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 11,294.66 0.01 0.00 11,295.01 Trades
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 10,892.78 0.00 0.00 10,892.78 Trades
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 10,738.67 0.00 0.00 10,738.67 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 ✅ 10,439.23 0.00 0.00 10,439.23 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 ✅ 10,020.00 0.00 0.00 10,020.00 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 9,853.40 0.00 0.00 9,853.40 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza on Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 9,666.58 0.00 0.00 9,666.58 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 ✅ 9,205.64 0.00 0.00 9,205.64 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 8,460.88 0.00 0.00 8,460.88 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 8,237.53 0.00 0.00 8,237.53 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ 8,217.09 0.00 0.00 8,217.09 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ 8,037.33 0.00 0.00 8,037.33 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 8,184.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0251 1.00 0.00 8,184.16 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 ✅ -205.44 0.00 0.00 7,978.72 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 7,816.15 0.00 0.00 7,816.15 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 7,749.35 0.00 0.00 7,749.35 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.00 12,760.02 0.00% -0.5962 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 7,607.43 0.00 0.00 7,607.43 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.18 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 7,337.28 0.00 0.00 7,337.28 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ 7,235.71 0.00 0.00 7,235.71 Trades
Was @SECGov really hacked? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 7,040.19 0.00 0.00 7,040.19 Trades
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 6,981.80 0.00 0.00 6,981.80 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 6,487.36 0.00 0.00 6,487.36 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 6,414.21 0.00 0.00 6,414.21 Trades
Boeing Max 9 cleared to fly by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 6,115.30 0.00 0.00 6,115.30 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 11,353.50 0.00 0.00% -0.5246 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 5,956.46 0.00 0.00 5,956.46 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 52,524.52 0.28% 0.9195 0.00 1.00 0.00 52,524.52 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -48,298.00 1,577.31 0.00 5,803.83 Trades
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 5,432.36 0.00 0.00 5,432.36 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 20,834.47 0.00 0.00% -0.2584 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 ✅ 5,383.04 0.00 0.00 5,383.04 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 4.50 0.00 0.00% -1122.1756 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 5,049.20 271.66 0.00 5,320.87 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ 5,281.91 0.00 0.00 5,281.91 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 5,143.93 0.00 0.00 5,143.93 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 0.00 12,941.55 0.00% -0.3870 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ 5,008.13 0.00 0.00 5,008.13 Trades
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games) Yes No 0.00 13,646.54 0.00% 0.6473 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,646.54 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -8,833.28 0.00 0.00 4,813.26 Trades
Will TD get over 11% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 4,798.63 0.00 0.00 4,798.63 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? Yes No 1,788.52 0.00 0.00% -1.6768 1.00 0.00 1,788.52 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 2,999.04 0.00 0.00 4,787.56 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 10.60 0.00 0.00% -413.5951 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 4,385.40 285.19 0.00 4,670.59 Trades
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 4,481.66 0.00 0.00 4,481.66 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 10,543.90 0.00% 0.5800 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,543.90 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -6,115.58 0.00 0.00 4,428.33 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 48,829.90 0.00% -0.0901 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ 4,399.78 0.00 0.00 4,399.78 Trades
NFL: Who will win Chiefs v. Bills? Chiefs Bills 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 23 2022 ✅ 4,375.63 0.00 0.00 4,375.63 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 19,604.15 0.00% -0.2230 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 4,371.62 0.00 0.00 4,371.62 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 4,368.65 0.00 0.00 4,368.65 Trades
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 4,306.84 0.00 0.00 4,306.84 Trades
NYT drop OpenAI case by March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 4,299.39 0.00 0.00 4,299.39 Trades
Bills vs. Chiefs Bills Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 21 2024 ✅ 4,295.05 0.00 0.00 4,295.05 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,702.47 0.00% -0.1355 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,702.47 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 501.79 0.00 0.00 4,204.26 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ 4,196.92 0.00 0.00 4,196.92 Trades
US strike against Houthis by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 4,033.74 0.00 0.00 4,033.74 Trades
Will Trump be arrested by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 ✅ 4,033.00 0.00 0.00 4,033.00 Trades
Will Mbappé leave PSG? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 3,988.50 0.00 0.00 3,988.50 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 4.49 0.00 0.02% -871.6012 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 3,915.63 27.95 0.00 3,943.58 Trades
Cowboys vs. Packers Cowboys Packers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ 3,922.34 0.00 0.00 3,922.34 Trades
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3,821.91 0.00 0.00 3,821.91 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? Yes No 4,811.38 0.00 0.00% 0.2252 1.00 0.00 4,811.38 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -1,083.53 0.00 0.00 3,727.85 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 2,080.02 0.00% -1.7511 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 ✅ 3,642.26 39.41 0.00 3,681.67 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 877.17 0.00 0.00% -3.1178 1.00 0.00 877.17 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 2,734.84 0.00 0.00 3,612.00 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3,572.08 0.00 0.00 3,572.08 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? Yes No 1,776.10 0.00 0.00% -1.9211 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 3,412.11 0.00 0.00 3,412.11 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 0.00 13,881.85 100.00% 0.7544 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,881.85 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -10,472.74 0.00 0.00 3,409.11 Trades
Egypt Presidential Election: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ 3,287.24 0.00 0.00 3,287.24 Trades
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? Yes No 0.00 4,987.09 0.00% 0.3595 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,987.09 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1,792.65 0.00 0.00 3,194.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 36,598.93 0.00 0.00% 0.9131 1.00 0.00 36,598.93 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 ✅ -33,417.30 0.00 0.00 3,181.63 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ 3,113.86 0.00 0.00 3,113.86 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? Yes No 12,574.01 0.00 0.00% 0.7530 1.00 0.00 12,574.01 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ -9,467.83 0.00 0.00 3,106.18 Trades
Russian nuke in space by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 3,069.60 0.00 0.00 3,069.60 Trades
Rugby World Cup: New Zealand vs. South Africa New Zealand South Africa 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 ✅ 2,995.11 0.00 0.00 2,995.11 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.7028 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,000.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -7,027.85 0.00 0.00 2,972.15 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.28 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.28 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2,970.72 0.00 0.00 2,971.00 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 17,987.15 0.00% 0.8385 0.00 1.00 0.00 17,987.15 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15,082.99 0.00 0.00 2,904.16 Trades
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? Yes No 2,383.13 0.00 0.00% -0.2099 1.00 0.00 2,383.13 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 500.17 0.00 0.00 2,883.30 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 13,076.74 0.00 0.00% 0.7887 1.00 0.00 13,076.74 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 ✅ -10,313.83 99.02 0.00 2,861.93 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 2,849.32 0.00 0.00 2,849.32 Trades
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 2,841.44 0.00 0.00 2,841.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 5,798.10 0.00% 0.5195 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,798.10 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -3,012.16 43.08 0.00 2,829.02 Trades
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 2,966.71 0.00 0.00% 0.0556 1.00 0.00 2,966.71 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -165.00 0.00 0.00 2,801.71 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 9,921.16 0.00 0.00% 0.7260 1.00 0.00 9,921.16 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 ✅ -7,202.77 60.68 0.00 2,779.07 Trades
Will they find another Jewish tunnel in NYC by Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 2,751.43 0.00 0.00 2,751.43 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ 2,751.15 0.00 0.00 2,751.15 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 2,750.08 0.00 0.00 2,750.08 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 2,995.76 0.00% 0.0907 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,995.76 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -271.80 0.00 0.00 2,723.97 Trades
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 16,216.10 0.00% 0.8345 0.00 1.00 0.00 16,216.10 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -13,532.23 32.98 0.00 2,716.85 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' flop? Yes No 37.65 0.00 0.00% -70.4638 1.00 0.00 37.65 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2,653.16 0.00 0.00 2,690.81 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 2,678.23 0.00 0.00 2,678.23 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,573.10 0.00% 0.7415 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,573.10 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -4,873.69 974.39 0.00 2,673.80 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 2,669.67 0.00 0.00 2,669.67 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 4,893.35 0.00 0.00% 0.4811 1.00 0.00 4,893.35 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -2,354.29 70.67 0.00 2,609.74 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 1,452.31 0.00 0.00% -1.6680 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 2,422.45 111.97 0.00 2,534.42 Trades
NFL: Who will win Buccaneers v. Rams? Buccaneers Rams 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 23 2022 ✅ 2,530.72 0.49 0.00 2,531.22 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 5,268.86 0.00% 0.5681 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,268.86 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -2,993.45 231.78 0.00 2,507.18 Trades
Will Ja Morant be suspended for more than 45 games? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ 2,443.78 0.00 0.00 2,443.78 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 ✅ 2,436.32 0.00 0.00 2,436.32 Trades
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 25 2023 ✅ 2,401.30 0.00 0.00 2,401.30 Trades
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 1,960.75 0.00% -1.2237 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 2,399.36 0.00 0.00 2,399.36 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 8.85 0.00 0.00% -269.6511 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 ✅ 2,385.74 0.00 0.00 2,385.74 Trades
Will Ronna Mcdaniel step down as RNC Chair before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 9,816.60 0.00% 0.7598 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,816.60 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -7,458.71 0.00 0.00 2,357.89 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 4,943.41 0.00% 0.5255 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,943.41 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,597.69 0.00 0.00 2,345.72 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? Yes No 6,532.86 0.00 0.00% 0.6553 1.00 0.00 6,532.86 0.00 Fri Jan 27 2023 ✅ -4,281.01 13.07 0.00 2,264.92 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.73 0.00% -583.7737 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 2,178.08 76.64 0.00 2,254.72 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 9,136.78 0.00 0.00% -0.2467 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 2,253.99 0.00 0.00 2,253.99 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 2,244.20 0.00 0.00 2,244.20 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 9.30 0.00 0.00% -232.6058 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2,163.40 47.42 0.00 2,210.82 Trades
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ 2,172.42 0.00 0.00 2,172.42 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 39,168.14 0.00% 0.9499 0.00 1.00 0.00 39,168.14 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -37,206.05 195.10 0.00 2,157.19 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 2,122.07 0.00 0.00 2,122.07 Trades
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? Yes No 1,959.91 0.00 0.00% -1.0743 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 2,105.58 0.00 0.00 2,105.58 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,225.70 0.00% 0.5801 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,225.70 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,871.22 747.58 0.00 2,102.07 Trades
Another North Korea missile test by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 2,081.92 0.00 0.00 2,081.92 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Will Smith win Best Actor? Yes No 25,413.34 0.00 0.00% 0.9234 1.00 0.00 25,413.34 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -23,466.52 62.47 0.00 2,009.28 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 1,156.72 0.00 0.00% -0.7337 1.00 0.00 1,156.72 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 848.64 0.00 0.00 2,005.36 Trades
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? Yes No 1,837.57 0.00 0.00% -1.0870 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,997.52 0.00 0.00 1,997.52 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 10,119.73 0.00% 0.8050 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,119.73 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -8,146.72 0.37 0.00 1,973.38 Trades
NBA: Who will win Jazz vs. Mavericks, scheduled for April 28, 10:00 PM ET? Jazz Mavericks 0.00 1,631.32 0.00% -0.1028 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,631.32 Thu Apr 28 2022 ✅ 167.75 159.42 0.00 1,958.50 Trades
Ukraine aid package in February? Yes No 0.00 12,137.60 0.00% 0.8406 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,137.60 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -10,202.75 0.00 0.00 1,934.86 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 4,584.36 0.00 0.00% 0.5812 1.00 0.00 4,584.36 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ -2,664.28 0.00 0.00 1,920.09 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 42,951.91 0.00% -0.0446 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ 1,917.76 0.00 0.00 1,917.76 Trades
Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election? Yes No 0.00 14,438.67 0.00% 0.8681 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,438.67 Mon Apr 08 2024 ✅ -12,533.68 0.00 0.00 1,904.99 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 16,420.30 0.00 0.00% 0.8862 1.00 0.00 16,420.30 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ -14,552.33 0.00 0.00 1,867.98 Trades
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift be seen kissing? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 1,866.25 0.00 0.00 1,866.25 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 1,955.82 0.00 0.00% 0.0568 1.00 0.00 1,955.82 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -111.05 0.00 0.00 1,844.77 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 137.16 0.00% -12.3468 0.00 1.00 0.00 137.16 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 1,693.50 0.00 0.00 1,830.66 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,142.14 0.00% 0.8904 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,142.14 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -9,920.61 604.99 0.00 1,826.52 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,810.80 0.00 0.00 1,810.80 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? Yes No 28,206.88 0.00 0.00% -0.0639 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1,802.23 0.00 0.00 1,802.23 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.00 4.59 0.00% -381.4479 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ 1,752.53 43.85 0.00 1,796.39 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? Yes No 4,472.61 0.00 0.00% 0.6004 1.00 0.00 4,472.61 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ -2,685.33 4.20 0.00 1,791.48 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 133.46 0.00 0.00% -13.3034 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,775.43 0.00 0.00 1,775.43 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? Yes No 3,076.23 0.00 0.00% 0.4330 1.00 0.00 3,076.23 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -1,332.00 0.00 0.00 1,744.23 Trades
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 27,389.85 0.00% 0.9367 0.00 1.00 0.00 27,389.85 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -25,656.35 0.41 0.00 1,733.91 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 2,811.69 0.00% 0.3974 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,811.69 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ -1,117.26 0.00 0.00 1,694.43 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 4,357.90 0.00% 0.6118 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,357.90 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -2,666.10 0.00 0.00 1,691.80 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? Yes No 2,213.36 0.00 0.03% 0.2425 1.00 0.00 2,213.36 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 ✅ -536.64 0.00 0.00 1,676.72 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Jan 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 1,676.47 0.00 0.00 1,676.47 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 2,752.05 0.00% 0.4033 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,752.05 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ -1,110.00 0.00 0.00 1,642.05 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,350.62 0.00% 0.5125 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,350.62 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -1,717.08 0.37 0.00 1,633.92 Trades
Will Mbappé join a Saudi club this transfer window? Yes No 0.00 2,530.90 100.00% 0.3606 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,530.90 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -912.59 0.00 0.00 1,618.31 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 8,749.69 0.00% 0.8179 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,749.69 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -7,155.96 0.00 0.00 1,593.74 Trades
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 3,427.77 0.00 0.00% 0.5573 1.00 0.00 3,427.77 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -1,910.43 76.04 0.00 1,593.39 Trades
Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 1,566.34 0.00 0.00 1,566.34 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 7,728.02 0.00% 0.8020 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,728.02 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -6,198.02 0.00 0.00 1,530.00 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 2,326.33 0.00 0.00% 0.3478 1.00 0.00 2,326.33 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -809.06 0.00 0.00 1,517.27 Trades
Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? Yes No 0.00 5,556.13 0.00% 0.7324 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,556.13 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -4,069.30 26.16 0.00 1,512.99 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 9,747.87 0.00% 0.8976 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,747.87 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -8,750.04 500.94 0.00 1,498.77 Trades
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? Yes No 2,184.54 0.00 0.00% -0.6820 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1,489.83 0.00 0.00 1,489.83 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.49 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 1,469.46 0.00 0.00 1,469.46 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 0.00 13,322.89 0.00% 0.8905 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,322.89 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -11,864.03 0.00 0.00 1,458.87 Trades
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 ✅ 1,457.50 0.00 0.00 1,457.50 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 136.34 0.00% -9.6669 0.00 1.00 0.00 136.34 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 1,318.01 0.00 0.00 1,454.35 Trades
Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1,447.70 0.00 0.00 1,447.70 Trades
Bitcoin all time high today? Yes No 14,256.82 0.00 0.00% -0.0996 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 1,419.54 0.00 0.00 1,419.54 Trades
Will Biden say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 3,636.79 0.00 0.00% 0.6106 1.00 0.00 3,636.79 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -2,220.46 0.00 0.00 1,416.33 Trades
Will Gustavo Petro win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 5.02 0.00% -278.9688 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 ✅ 1,401.00 5.54 0.00 1,406.54 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 2,019.75 0.00% -0.6950 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 1,403.68 0.00 0.00 1,403.68 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 749.74 0.00 0.00% -1.8712 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ 1,402.92 0.00 0.00 1,402.92 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? Yes No 88.39 0.00 0.00% -14.8705 1.00 0.00 88.39 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 1,314.47 0.00 0.00 1,402.86 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,155.77 0.00% 0.6790 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,155.77 Mon Dec 19 2022 ✅ -2,821.75 50.65 0.00 1,384.66 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 1,384.64 0.00 0.00 1,384.64 Trades
NYC trucker strike for Trump by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.08 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ 1,374.88 0.00 0.00 1,374.96 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 1,113.02 0.00 0.00% -1.2008 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,336.47 0.00 0.00 1,336.47 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? Yes No 7.09 0.00 0.05% -186.7577 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 26 2022 ✅ 1,324.50 7.49 0.00 1,331.99 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,840.52 0.00% 0.9139 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,840.52 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -10,820.87 308.68 0.00 1,328.33 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard week of Mar 23? Yes No 5,399.66 0.00 0.00% -0.2444 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 19 2024 ✅ 1,319.87 0.00 0.00 1,319.87 Trades
Ukraine aid package by March 31? Yes No 0.00 6,705.41 0.00% 0.8044 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,705.41 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -5,394.11 0.00 0.00 1,311.30 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 13,319.68 0.00% -0.0983 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ 1,309.22 0.00 0.00 1,309.22 Trades
Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 7,768.72 6.67% 0.8352 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,768.72 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ -6,488.62 21.46 0.00 1,301.56 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,529.72 0.00% 0.1504 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,529.72 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -230.08 0.00 0.00 1,299.64 Trades
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 1,288.45 0.00 0.00 1,288.45 Trades
Will Trump win Colorado Republican Primary? Yes No 0.93 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.93 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 1,275.80 0.00 0.00 1,276.73 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 14,275.63 0.00 0.00% -0.0879 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 1,254.52 0.00 0.00 1,254.52 Trades
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,065.11 0.00% -0.1775 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,065.11 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 189.01 0.00 0.00 1,254.12 Trades
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? Yes No 3,199.91 0.00 0.00% 0.6090 1.00 0.00 3,199.91 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,948.61 0.00 0.00 1,251.30 Trades
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 10,173.89 0.00 0.00% 0.8868 1.00 0.00 10,173.89 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -9,021.91 97.38 0.00 1,249.36 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 2,004.18 0.00 0.00% -0.6206 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,243.83 0.00 0.00 1,243.83 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,231.84 0.00 0.00 1,231.84 Trades
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 1,213.53 0.00 0.00 1,213.53 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,606.20 11.11% 0.8519 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,606.20 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -3,072.15 678.50 0.00 1,212.55 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 3,426.83 0.00 0.00% 0.6481 1.00 0.00 3,426.83 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ -2,220.98 4.08 0.00 1,209.93 Trades
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11.53 0.00% -103.5450 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ 1,193.41 16.04 0.00 1,209.45 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? Yes No 0.00 1,319.98 0.00% 0.1018 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,319.98 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -134.38 0.00 0.00 1,185.60 Trades
Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election? Yes No 0.00 1,512.50 0.00% 0.2229 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,512.50 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ -337.08 0.00 0.00 1,175.42 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? Yes No 6,426.64 0.00 0.00% -0.1823 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 02 2023 ✅ 1,171.37 0.00 0.00 1,171.37 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 7,594.73 0.00% 0.8460 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,594.73 Fri Sep 29 2023 ✅ -6,425.15 0.00 0.00 1,169.58 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 ✅ 1,164.12 0.00 0.00 1,164.12 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.40 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ 1,126.43 26.97 0.00 1,153.40 Trades
Will 'Dune: Part Two' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 1,145.52 0.00 0.00 1,145.52 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,924.82 11.11% 0.6207 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,924.82 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,194.76 414.32 0.00 1,144.39 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 56.03 0.00% -19.2367 0.00 1.00 0.00 56.03 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ 1,077.84 0.00 0.00 1,133.87 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 27 2023 ✅ 1,112.70 0.00 0.00 1,112.70 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 9,102.65 0.00% 0.8795 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,102.65 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8,005.93 0.00 0.00 1,096.72 Trades
Saga airdrop by June 30? Yes No 1,053.80 0.00 0.00% -0.0345 1.00 0.00 1,053.80 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 36.38 0.00 0.00 1,090.18 Trades
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? Yes No 0.00 4,150.91 0.00% -0.2602 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 ✅ 1,079.99 0.00 0.00 1,079.99 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? Yes No 0.00 2,217.24 0.00% 0.5196 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,217.24 Sat Dec 02 2023 ✅ -1,151.97 0.00 0.00 1,065.26 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 2,836.92 0.00% 0.6250 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,836.92 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -1,772.97 0.00 0.00 1,063.96 Trades
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 ✅ 1,061.74 0.00 0.00 1,061.74 Trades
MLB: Who will win New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for April 14, 7:06 PM ET? New York Yankees Toronto Blue Jays 0.00 4.75 0.00% -219.9517 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 14 2022 ✅ 1,045.31 6.33 0.00 1,051.64 Trades
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? Yes No 0.00 1,791.26 0.00% -0.5822 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 1,042.79 0.00 0.00 1,042.79 Trades
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 293.03 0.00 0.00% -2.3881 1.00 0.00 293.03 0.00 Sun Jul 24 2022 ✅ 699.79 46.99 0.00 1,039.81 Trades
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? Yes No 0.00 3,777.18 0.00% 0.7308 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,777.18 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2,760.42 0.00 0.00 1,016.76 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.60 0.00% -69.6506 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ 459.60 542.85 0.00 1,002.45 Trades
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? Yes No 4,713.17 0.00 0.00% 0.7880 1.00 0.00 4,713.17 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -3,713.87 0.00 0.00 999.31 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 6,770.18 0.00% -0.1457 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 986.45 11.95 0.00 998.41 Trades
Will EthCC be postponed? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 17 2023 ✅ 990.02 0.00 0.00 990.02 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 5.43 0.00 0.00% -126.6335 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 687.80 301.21 0.00 989.01 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Travis Kelce scores first touchdown? Yes No 0.00 7,500.00 0.00% 0.8691 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,500.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -6,518.25 0.00 0.00 981.75 Trades
Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid? Yes No 0.00 2,363.99 0.00% 0.5860 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,363.99 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -1,385.41 0.00 0.00 978.58 Trades
NBA: Who will win Wizards vs. Lakers, scheduled for March 19, 8:10 PM ET? Wizards Lakers 1,276.50 0.00 0.00% 0.2379 1.00 0.00 1,276.50 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 ✅ -303.70 5.29 0.00 978.09 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 43.79 0.00% -21.3258 0.00 1.00 0.00 43.79 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ 933.92 0.00 0.00 977.71 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 1,919.80 0.00 0.00% -0.5073 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 973.83 0.00 0.00 973.83 Trades
Will 'Black Adam' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4.54 0.00% -208.0327 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 24 2022 ✅ 944.76 14.69 0.00 959.45 Trades
Will Christoph Strasser win the 2023 Transcontinental Race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 959.40 0.00 0.00 959.40 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 250k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 1,057.38 0.00% 0.0939 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,057.38 Thu Aug 03 2023 ✅ -99.33 0.00 0.00 958.05 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.00 6,665.30 0.00% 0.8565 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,665.30 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -5,708.60 0.00 0.00 956.70 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 2,178.17 0.00 0.00% 0.5609 1.00 0.00 2,178.17 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -1,221.70 0.00 0.00 956.47 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 0.00 155.37 0.00% -6.1417 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ 954.23 0.00 0.00 954.23 Trades
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 947.18 0.00 0.00 947.18 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 2,451.49 0.00 0.00% 0.6180 1.00 0.00 2,451.49 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,515.03 0.00 0.00 936.46 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be under 69 ETH on 4/20/2022? Yes No 0.00 6,531.69 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,531.69 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -5,617.31 3.01 0.00 917.39 Trades
marginfi airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 4,671.77 0.00% 0.8055 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,671.77 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -3,763.31 0.00 0.00 908.46 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 904.00 0.00 0.00% -0.8350 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 754.88 153.05 0.00 907.94 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 895.69 0.00 0.00 895.69 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 6,896.19 0.00% 0.8718 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,896.19 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -6,011.80 0.00 0.00 884.39 Trades
Who will win Suns vs. Clippers, scheduled for April 6 (10 PM ET)? Suns Clippers 211.91 0.00 0.00% -3.7436 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 06 2022 ✅ 793.31 80.41 0.00 873.72 Trades
Will Larva Lab’s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $25M or more at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 6,686.38 0.02% 0.8696 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,686.38 Wed Feb 23 2022 ✅ -5,814.55 0.00 0.00 871.82 Trades
Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 5,551.65 0.00% 0.8446 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,551.65 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -4,688.69 0.00 0.00 862.97 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 23,277.74 0.00% 0.9635 0.00 1.00 0.00 23,277.74 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -22,428.99 0.00 0.00 848.75 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ 822.56 0.00 0.00 822.56 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 4,102.37 0.00% 0.8009 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,102.37 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -3,285.49 0.00 0.00 816.88 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ 816.77 0.00 0.00 816.77 Trades
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the US in September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 813.38 0.00 0.00 813.38 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,417.94 0.00% 0.4266 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,417.94 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -604.84 0.00 0.00 813.10 Trades
Will the Canadian "Emergencies Act" be revoked by March 7, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ 801.04 0.00 0.00 801.04 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 4,814.01 0.00 0.00% -0.1626 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 782.68 0.00 0.00 782.68 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 24,317.84 0.00 0.00% 0.9697 1.00 0.00 24,317.84 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -23,580.30 44.62 0.00 782.16 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ 779.07 0.00 0.00 779.07 Trades
Will the City of Ottawa cease its state of emergency by March 2, 2022? Yes No 7,860.08 0.00 0.00% 0.9028 1.00 0.00 7,860.08 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ -7,095.80 0.03 0.00 764.30 Trades
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? Yes No 0.00 2,528.72 0.00% -0.3006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 760.06 0.00 0.00 760.06 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 665.57 0.00% -0.1357 0.00 1.00 0.00 665.57 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ 90.34 0.00 0.00 755.91 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 102.42 0.00% -0.9155 0.00 1.00 0.00 102.42 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 93.77 553.40 0.00 749.59 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? Yes No 0.00 629.02 0.00% -0.1741 0.00 1.00 0.00 629.02 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 109.50 0.00 0.00 738.52 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.00 141.98 0.00% -4.6604 0.50 0.50 0.00 70.99 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 661.68 0.00 0.00 732.67 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 3,159.80 0.00 0.00% -0.2297 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 725.90 0.00 0.00 725.90 Trades
Will Mason Greenwood return to Manchester United? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 721.70 0.00 0.00 721.70 Trades
Will a LIV Golfer win The Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 23 2023 ✅ 718.74 0.00 0.00 718.74 Trades
$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March? Yes No 0.00 372.95 0.00% -0.9153 0.00 1.00 0.00 372.95 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 341.37 0.00 0.00 714.32 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 965.39 0.00 0.00% 0.2612 1.00 0.00 965.39 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 ✅ -252.12 0.00 0.00 713.28 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 3,413.61 0.00% 0.7920 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,413.61 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -2,703.52 0.00 0.00 710.09 Trades
Will Fantano rate Drake's new album a 7 or higher? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 708.65 0.00 0.00 708.65 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 0.00 82.42 0.00% -1.1040 0.00 1.00 0.00 82.42 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 90.99 522.26 0.00 695.67 Trades
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? Yes No 0.00 4,935.10 0.00% 0.8597 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,935.10 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ -4,242.86 0.00 0.00 692.24 Trades
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? Yes No 1,495.52 0.00 0.00% 0.5381 1.00 0.00 1,495.52 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -804.75 0.00 0.00 690.77 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 1,154.28 0.00 0.00% -0.5975 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 689.71 0.00 0.00 689.71 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 25.35 0.00% -26.0053 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.35 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 659.35 0.00 0.00 684.71 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 10,833.85 0.00 0.00% 0.9373 1.00 0.00 10,833.85 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ -10,154.52 0.00 0.00 679.33 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 2,332.47 0.00 0.00% 0.7117 1.00 0.00 2,332.47 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -1,660.01 0.00 0.00 672.46 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 1,076.67 0.00 0.00% 0.3755 1.00 0.00 1,076.67 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -404.31 0.00 0.00 672.36 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 1,577.29 0.00 0.00% 0.5884 1.00 0.00 1,577.29 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -928.15 7.22 0.00 656.36 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 722.57 0.00 0.00% -0.9077 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 655.86 0.00 0.00 655.86 Trades
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? Yes No 1,458.13 0.00 0.00% -0.4497 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 14 2023 ✅ 655.75 0.00 0.00 655.75 Trades
Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? Yes No 830.27 0.00 0.00% 0.2250 1.00 0.00 830.27 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -186.84 7.04 0.00 650.46 Trades
Will an election for the Israeli Knesset occur before August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,059.40 0.01% 0.8490 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,059.40 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -3,446.44 36.26 0.00 649.22 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 728.61 0.00 0.00% 0.1209 1.00 0.00 728.61 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 ✅ -88.11 0.00 0.00 640.51 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 195.70 0.00 0.00% -3.2634 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 638.64 0.00 0.00 638.64 Trades
Will the Academy strip Will Smith’s Oscar by April 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ 551.59 86.16 0.00 637.75 Trades
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? Yes No 0.00 121.83 0.00% -5.2199 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 635.92 0.00 0.00 635.92 Trades
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? Yes No 0.00 1,039.72 0.00% 0.3896 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,039.72 Mon Sep 05 2022 ✅ -405.09 0.00 0.00 634.63 Trades
Will Odysseus Lander lose communication by Feb 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 27 2024 ✅ 629.60 0.00 0.00 629.60 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 60 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 5,444.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8844 1.00 0.00 5,444.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 ✅ -4,814.79 0.00 0.00 629.21 Trades
NBA: Who will win Jazz vs. Clippers, scheduled for March 29 (10 PM ET)? Jazz Clippers 0.00 1,086.28 0.00% 0.4353 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,086.28 Tue Mar 29 2022 ✅ -472.88 14.01 0.00 627.41 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Tails Never Fails Parlay Yes No 0.00 1,546.27 0.00% 0.5956 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,546.27 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -921.03 0.00 0.00 625.24 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 1.52 0.00% -212.8657 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ 323.86 297.88 0.01 621.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? Yes No 674.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0792 1.00 0.00 674.04 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -53.37 0.00 0.00 620.68 Trades
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 ✅ 618.02 0.00 0.00 618.02 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 3,922.72 0.00 0.00% 0.8454 1.00 0.00 3,922.72 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 ✅ -3,316.45 9.05 0.00 615.32 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 5,480.59 0.00% -0.1118 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 612.84 0.00 0.00 612.84 Trades
NCAA Finals: Who will win UNC vs. Kansas, scheduled for Apr 4 (9.20 PM ET)? UNC Kansas 30.23 0.00 0.00% -19.8786 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 ✅ 600.91 7.26 0.00 608.17 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 846.24 0.00% 0.2818 0.00 1.00 0.00 846.24 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -238.47 0.00 0.00 607.77 Trades
Jonathan Taylor to play this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 ✅ 605.94 0.00 0.00 605.94 Trades
Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? Yes No 0.00 487.77 0.00% -1.2408 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 ✅ 605.24 0.00 0.00 605.24 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? Yes No 0.00 8,495.42 0.00% -0.0708 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ 601.84 0.00 0.00 601.84 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? Yes No 0.00 10,031.13 0.00% 0.9408 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,031.13 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -9,437.68 0.00 0.00 593.44 Trades
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? Yes No 0.00 69.66 0.00% -8.4758 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ 590.44 0.00 0.00 590.44 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 158,486.04 0.00% -0.0035 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ 551.10 38.11 0.00 589.21 Trades
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? Yes No 6.64 0.00 0.01% -31.4262 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 208.68 369.34 0.00 578.01 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 2,882.12 0.00 0.00% 0.8015 1.00 0.00 2,882.12 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -2,309.90 0.00 0.00 572.23 Trades
Jingtao vs. Zata Jingtao Zata 0.00 395.00 0.00% -0.4418 0.00 1.00 0.00 395.00 Sat Sep 09 2023 ✅ 174.50 0.00 0.00 569.50 Trades
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 1.58 0.00 0.02% -357.4205 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ 563.44 5.45 0.00 568.89 Trades
Tensor airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 565.16 0.00 0.00 565.16 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 22,812.57 0.00 0.00% 0.9812 1.00 0.00 22,812.57 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -22,384.35 136.59 0.00 564.81 Trades
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 1,230.00 0.00% 0.5441 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,230.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -669.30 0.00 0.00 560.70 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference? Yes No 0.00 1,298.42 0.00% 0.5696 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,298.42 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -739.55 0.00 0.00 558.87 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 3,802.71 0.00 0.00% 0.8533 1.00 0.00 3,802.71 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3,244.90 0.00 0.00 557.81 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February? Yes No 4,991.24 0.00 0.00% 0.8884 1.00 0.00 4,991.24 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -4,434.30 0.00 0.00 556.94 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 316.66 0.00% -0.7582 0.00 1.00 0.00 316.66 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 240.09 0.00 0.00 556.75 Trades
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ 539.94 12.72 0.00 552.66 Trades
Ansem vs. trading_axe - Most Liked Post Today Ansem Axe 1,054.84 0.00 0.00% -0.0177 0.50 0.50 527.42 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 18.71 0.00 0.00 546.13 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 525.90 0.00% -0.0330 0.00 1.00 0.00 525.90 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 17.34 0.00 0.00 543.24 Trades
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April? Yes No 2,563.32 0.00 0.00% 0.7933 1.00 0.00 2,563.32 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2,033.52 0.00 0.00 529.80 Trades
MOG all time high by Friday? Yes No 819.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3584 1.00 0.00 819.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -293.56 0.00 0.00 525.44 Trades
Will Trump say "rape" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 659.89 0.00 0.00% 0.2038 1.00 0.00 659.89 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ -134.50 0.00 0.00 525.39 Trades
Will the Nets beat the Knicks by more than 6.5 points in their April 6 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 519.53 0.00 0.00% 0.0649 1.00 0.00 519.53 0.00 Wed Apr 06 2022 ✅ -33.73 36.78 0.00 522.59 Trades
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? Yes No 0.00 513.68 0.00% -0.0156 0.00 1.00 0.00 513.68 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 8.03 0.00 0.00 521.71 Trades
Will Walmart buy Vizio in February? Yes No 1,997.48 0.00 0.00% 0.7409 1.00 0.00 1,997.48 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1,479.96 0.00 0.00 517.52 Trades
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 5,331.70 0.00% -0.0962 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 512.95 0.00 0.00 512.95 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in September? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 509.84 0.00 0.00 509.84 Trades
Will NATO expand by March 31? Yes No 3,422.37 0.00 0.00% -0.1482 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ 507.35 0.00 0.00 507.35 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.60 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ 507.03 0.00 0.00 507.03 Trades
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? Yes No 245.59 0.00 0.00% -2.0636 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 506.79 0.00 0.00 506.79 Trades
Triton Poker: Will Phil Ivey place 1st in at least one event? Yes No 1.50 0.00 0.00% -317.7697 1.00 0.00 1.50 0.00 Thu Apr 07 2022 ✅ 477.70 27.48 0.00 506.69 Trades
Will Draymond Green be suspended for 10+ games? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 505.00 0.00 0.00 505.00 Trades
Drift airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 4,024.78 0.00% 0.8755 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,024.78 Tue Feb 27 2024 ✅ -3,523.79 0.00 0.00 500.99 Trades
UFC 297: Who will win - Strickland or Du Plessis? Strickland Du Plessis 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Thu Jan 18 2024 ✅ -500.00 0.00 0.00 500.00 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? Yes No 1,603.98 0.00 0.00% 0.7159 1.00 0.00 1,603.98 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 ✅ -1,148.32 44.01 0.00 499.67 Trades
Will the USA ambassador be recalled or expelled from Russia before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 496.44 0.00 0.00 496.44 Trades
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 ✅ 494.17 0.00 0.00 494.17 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 9,394.81 0.00% 0.9482 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,394.81 Tue Aug 30 2022 ✅ -8,908.02 3.27 0.00 490.06 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,860.90 0.00% 0.8737 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,860.90 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3,373.39 0.00 0.00 487.51 Trades
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 3,260.40 0.00 0.00% -0.1494 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 487.12 0.00 0.00 487.12 Trades
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 4,071.28 0.00% 0.8893 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,071.28 Wed May 18 2022 ✅ -3,620.70 34.44 0.00 485.02 Trades
Ethena airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 8,050.00 0.00% -0.0602 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 484.74 0.00 0.00 484.74 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? Celtics Warriors 0.00 237.70 0.38% -1.8265 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 ✅ 434.16 49.97 0.00 484.13 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 5.89 0.00 0.38% -34.7098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 204.53 279.44 0.00 483.97 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by August 31? Yes No 0.00 4,309.85 0.00% 0.8892 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,309.85 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ -3,832.18 0.00 0.00 477.67 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck Musk Zuck 4,577.30 0.00 0.00% 0.3957 0.50 0.50 2,288.65 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -1,811.23 0.00 0.00 477.42 Trades
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 477.03 0.00 0.00 477.03 Trades
Will Mike Gibbons win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 4,257.74 0.00% 0.8960 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,257.74 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -3,814.88 33.46 0.00 476.32 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 5,362.85 0.00% 0.9125 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,362.85 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -4,893.80 0.00 0.00 469.05 Trades
Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Tommy Fury Paul Fury 0.00 784.41 0.00% 0.4039 0.00 1.00 0.00 784.41 Sun Feb 26 2023 ✅ -316.86 0.00 0.00 467.55 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 912.58 0.00% 0.4903 0.00 1.00 0.00 912.58 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -447.42 0.00 0.00 465.16 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 221.73 0.00 0.00% -2.0916 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 463.75 0.00 0.00 463.75 Trades
Will Mario Draghi be elected as President of Italy in the upcoming 2022 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 2,298.11 0.00% 0.7992 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,298.11 Tue Jan 25 2022 ✅ -1,836.63 0.00 0.00 461.48 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 0.00 4,998.64 0.00% 0.9080 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,998.64 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -4,538.84 0.00 0.00 459.80 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 500k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 1,899.80 0.00% 0.7595 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,899.80 Thu Aug 03 2023 ✅ -1,442.90 0.00 0.00 456.90 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? Yes No 0.00 5,884.29 0.00% 0.9224 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,884.29 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -5,427.87 0.00 0.00 456.42 Trades
Will Liverpool FC win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.00 553.63 0.00% 0.2862 0.00 1.00 0.00 553.63 Sat May 28 2022 ✅ -158.43 60.46 0.00 455.65 Trades
Will Milady flip MAYC by March 1? Yes No 0.00 2,078.00 0.00% 0.7812 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,078.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -1,623.43 0.00 0.00 454.58 Trades
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 451.75 0.00 0.00 451.75 Trades
Will 'Don't Worry Darling' gross more than $20 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 9,117.93 0.00% 0.9519 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,117.93 Mon Sep 26 2022 ✅ -8,679.62 2.26 0.00 440.57 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 454.28 0.00% -0.9680 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 439.75 0.00 0.00 439.75 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will any film win 6 or more awards? Yes No 618.85 0.00 0.00% 0.3101 1.00 0.00 618.85 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -191.92 11.96 0.00 438.89 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 ✅ 434.33 0.00 0.00 434.33 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 15,561.85 0.00% -0.0279 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 434.26 0.00 0.00 434.26 Trades
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31? Yes No 0.00 2,786.57 0.00% 0.8452 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,786.57 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2,355.23 0.00 0.00 431.34 Trades
Will Young Thug's new album have over 140k sales in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 429.15 0.00 0.00 429.15 Trades
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture Yes No 0.00 8,243.08 0.02% 0.9486 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,243.08 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -7,819.79 2.15 0.00 425.44 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend? Yes No 2,884.64 0.00 0.00% 0.8535 1.00 0.00 2,884.64 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -2,462.00 0.00 0.00 422.64 Trades
NBA: Who will win Raptors vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for March 30, 7:40 PM ET? Raptors Timberwolves 485.51 0.00 0.00% 0.1386 1.00 0.00 485.51 0.00 Wed Mar 30 2022 ✅ -67.31 3.24 0.00 421.44 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Licorice Pizza win Best Original Screenplay? Yes No 0.00 759.72 0.00% 0.4598 0.00 1.00 0.00 759.72 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -349.28 10.29 0.00 420.72 Trades
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? Yes No 4,172.85 0.00 0.00% -0.0996 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 ✅ 415.46 0.00 0.00 415.46 Trades
Blur airdrop by Nov 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ 414.66 0.00 0.00 414.66 Trades
Will Brendan Fraser win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? Yes No 499.89 0.00 0.02% 0.1763 1.00 0.00 499.89 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -88.15 2.77 0.00 414.51 Trades
Kanye's 'Vultures 1' back on Apple Music before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 412.25 0.00 0.00 412.25 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8,651.71 14.29% 0.9651 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,651.71 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -8,349.68 109.52 0.00 411.55 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 9,104.94 0.00 0.00% 0.9552 1.00 0.00 9,104.94 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ -8,697.48 0.02 0.00 407.48 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,650.07 0.03% 0.9601 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,650.07 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -4,464.52 220.91 0.00 406.47 Trades
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? Yes No 0.00 4,454.84 0.00% 0.9105 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,454.84 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -4,055.91 0.00 0.00 398.92 Trades
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Yes No 2,910.66 0.00 0.00% -0.1363 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 28 2024 ✅ 396.79 0.00 0.00 396.79 Trades
Will Joel Embiid win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 8.28 0.00 0.00% -38.6098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ 319.61 74.12 0.00 393.73 Trades
Will 'Jackass Forever' get 80% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 07 2022 ✅ 389.84 0.00 0.00 389.84 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 2,570.52 0.00% 0.8488 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,570.52 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -2,181.91 0.00 0.00 388.61 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Arkansas vs. Gonzaga, scheduled for March 24 (7:09 PM ET)? Arkansas Gonzaga 0.00 84.93 0.00% -4.2216 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ 358.55 29.62 0.00 388.17 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? Yes No 0.00 3,033.04 0.00% 0.8723 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,033.04 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -2,645.76 0.00 0.00 387.28 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 4,450.90 0.00% 0.9131 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,450.90 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -4,064.15 0.00 0.00 386.75 Trades
Will Man City lose this year? Yes No 5,747.52 0.00 0.00% 0.9328 1.00 0.00 5,747.52 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5,361.14 0.00 0.00 386.38 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 4.66 0.00 0.01% -42.5917 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 198.37 186.23 0.00 384.60 Trades
Will WIF hit $1 by March 15? Yes No 11,307.81 0.00 0.00% 0.9662 1.00 0.00 11,307.81 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -10,926.11 0.00 0.00 381.70 Trades
Will Zuck KO Musk? Yes No 0.00 1,025.72 0.00% 0.1289 0.50 0.50 0.00 512.86 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -132.23 0.00 0.00 380.63 Trades
Biden executive action on US-Mexico border in February? Yes No 0.00 6,571.26 0.00% 0.9423 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,571.26 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -6,192.04 0.00 0.00 379.22 Trades
Will ‘BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,744.12 0.00% 0.9201 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,744.12 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -4,365.00 0.00 0.00 379.12 Trades
Will Milady outperform BAYC through Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 188.95 0.00% -0.9975 0.00 1.00 0.00 188.95 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 188.48 0.00 0.00 377.43 Trades
Kamino airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 2,775.36 0.00% 0.8648 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,775.36 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -2,400.02 0.00 0.00 375.35 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 1,616.24 0.00 0.00% 0.7678 1.00 0.00 1,616.24 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -1,240.95 0.04 0.00 375.32 Trades
Will Liverpool FC win the quadruple this season? Yes No 0.00 2,237.20 0.00% 0.8330 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,237.20 Sat May 28 2022 ✅ -1,863.50 0.00 0.00 373.70 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 70,641.75 0.00% -0.0053 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 373.05 0.00 0.00 373.05 Trades
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas? Yes No 2,724.96 0.00 0.00% -0.1361 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ 370.96 0.00 0.00 370.96 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 3,157.37 0.00% -0.1169 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ 369.25 0.00 0.00 369.25 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022? Yes No 0.00 610.95 0.00% -0.6031 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 09 2022 ✅ 368.47 0.00 0.00 368.47 Trades
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 1,018.52 0.00 0.00% -0.3617 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ 368.39 0.00 0.00 368.39 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 14,277.19 0.00% 0.9742 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,277.19 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ -13,909.44 0.00 0.00 367.76 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 1,097.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6659 1.00 0.00 1,097.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -730.46 0.00 0.00 366.54 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? Yes No 0.00 412.93 0.00% 0.1125 0.00 1.00 0.00 412.93 Wed Aug 10 2022 ✅ -46.44 0.00 0.00 366.49 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? Yes No 20,271.66 0.00 0.00% 0.9823 1.00 0.00 20,271.66 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 ✅ -19,913.59 7.41 0.00 365.47 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 181.99 0.00 0.01% -0.8166 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ 148.62 216.14 0.00 364.76 Trades
Any Hamas leader out in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 363.07 0.00 0.00 363.07 Trades
Will President Biden mention Manchin, Sinema or filibuster in his press conference on January 19 ? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 ✅ 361.67 0.00 0.00 361.67 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 798.07 0.00% 0.6889 0.00 1.00 0.00 798.07 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -549.83 113.04 0.00 361.29 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 2,217.74 0.00% 0.8392 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,217.74 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -1,861.05 0.00 0.00 356.68 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 4,509.63 0.00% 0.9212 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,509.63 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -4,154.21 0.00 0.00 355.42 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 1,448.88 0.00% 0.8985 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,448.88 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ -1,301.87 204.78 0.00 351.80 Trades
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? Yes No 1,906.05 0.00 0.01% 0.8535 1.00 0.00 1,906.05 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 ✅ -1,626.86 69.68 0.00 348.87 Trades
Haiti Prime Minister resigns in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 348.61 0.00 0.00 348.61 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 2, 7:30 PM ET? Nets Hawks 0.00 419.87 0.00% 0.2498 0.00 1.00 0.00 419.87 Sat Apr 02 2022 ✅ -104.87 33.50 0.00 348.50 Trades
$WIF all time high before February? Yes No 0.00 8.26 0.00% -42.1421 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 348.01 0.00 0.00 348.01 Trades
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? Yes No 248.38 0.00 0.00% -1.3964 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ 346.83 0.00 0.00 346.83 Trades
Saga airdrop By March 1? Yes No 0.00 812.62 0.00% 0.5809 0.00 1.00 0.00 812.62 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -472.03 0.00 0.00 340.59 Trades
Will “Jackass Forever” gross domestically more than $25 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 674.36 25.00% 0.5042 0.00 1.00 0.00 674.36 Mon Feb 07 2022 ✅ -339.98 1.18 0.00 335.55 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $65m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 857.48 0.00% -0.3894 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ 333.92 0.00 0.00 333.92 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 2.02 0.02% -160.6326 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 324.44 6.15 0.00 330.59 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 1st, 2022? Yes No 8.65 0.00 0.01% -38.2183 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 330.57 0.00 0.00 330.57 Trades
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 4,316.38 0.00% 0.9236 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,316.38 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -3,986.82 0.00 0.00 329.57 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 1 by Feb 16? Yes No 9,340.34 0.00 0.00% 0.9649 1.00 0.00 9,340.34 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ -9,012.36 0.00 0.00 327.98 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 9.69 0.00% -33.5077 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 324.69 0.18 0.00 324.87 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 350k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 310.62 0.00% -0.0410 0.00 1.00 0.00 310.62 Thu Aug 03 2023 ✅ 12.74 0.00 0.00 323.36 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will CODA win Best Picture? Yes No 838.25 0.00 0.00% 0.6274 1.00 0.00 838.25 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -525.92 8.25 0.00 320.59 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by April 30? Yes No 0.00 416.91 0.00% 0.2334 0.00 1.00 0.00 416.91 Thu Apr 27 2023 ✅ -97.32 0.00 0.00 319.59 Trades
Will Neymar leave PSG? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 317.05 0.00 0.00 317.05 Trades
Wormhole airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 1,571.14 0.00% 0.7983 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,571.14 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1,254.25 0.00 0.00 316.89 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 133.64 0.00% -1.3590 0.00 1.00 0.00 133.64 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 181.62 0.00 0.00 315.26 Trades
Will 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' gross $53 million or more on opening weekend in the United States? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 18 2022 ✅ 272.46 42.64 0.00 315.10 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 0.00 4,273.70 0.00% 0.9288 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,273.70 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -3,969.43 10.52 0.00 314.80 Trades
Will "inflation" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 313.55 0.00 0.00 313.55 Trades
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ 308.20 0.30 0.00 308.50 Trades
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2022 NBA playoffs? Yes No 642.21 0.00 0.00% 0.5333 1.00 0.00 642.21 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ -342.51 2.71 0.00 302.41 Trades
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 3,104.81 0.00% 0.9028 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,104.81 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ -2,802.98 0.00 0.00 301.82 Trades
Will a team from a minor region win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ 300.95 0.00 0.00 300.95 Trades
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 300.00 0.00 0.00 300.00 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 24,105.94 0.00 0.00% -0.0123 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ 296.31 0.00 0.00 296.31 Trades
Drake's "For All the Dogs" over 350k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 485.74 0.00% -0.6083 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 12 2023 ✅ 295.47 0.00 0.00 295.47 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? Yes No 4,800.41 0.00 0.00% 0.9389 1.00 0.00 4,800.41 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 ✅ -4,507.27 0.00 0.00 293.15 Trades
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? Yes No 0.00 2,021.92 0.00% 0.8561 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,021.92 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ -1,730.95 0.00 0.00 290.97 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 504.69 0.00 0.00% 0.4256 1.00 0.00 504.69 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ -214.79 0.00 0.00 289.89 Trades
Eric Adams criminal charges before April? Yes No 0.00 4,399.14 0.00% 0.9356 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,399.14 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -4,115.68 0.00 0.00 283.46 Trades
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 06 2023 ✅ 282.34 0.00 0.00 282.34 Trades
Will Julie Su be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.08 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ 278.70 0.00 0.00 278.78 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? Yes No 0.00 4,045.05 0.00% 0.9312 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,045.05 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -3,766.81 0.00 0.00 278.25 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,492.00 0.00% 0.8141 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,492.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -1,214.58 0.00 0.00 277.42 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? Yes No 31.34 0.00 0.00% -8.8444 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ 277.21 0.00 0.00 277.21 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? Yes No 0.00 29,280.35 0.00% 0.9906 0.00 1.00 0.00 29,280.35 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -29,004.36 0.00 0.00 275.98 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? Yes No 0.00 767.04 0.00% -0.3588 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ 275.24 0.00 0.00 275.24 Trades
Scorigami in NFL Week 6? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 273.76 0.00 0.00 273.76 Trades
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? Yes No 101,832.68 0.00 -178.18% 0.9977 1.00 0.00 101,832.68 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 ✅ -101,594.13 34.12 0.00 272.66 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 441.31 0.00 0.00% 0.3844 1.00 0.00 441.31 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -169.62 0.00 0.00 271.69 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 115.00 0.00 0.00% -2.3604 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 271.45 0.00 0.00 271.45 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? Yes No 35.89 0.00 0.00% 14.0992 1.00 0.00 35.89 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -505.98 741.09 0.00 271.00 Trades
Will Hamas surrender before February? Yes No 0.00 8,425.00 0.00% 0.9680 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,425.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -8,155.00 0.00 0.00 270.00 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 1,062.80 0.00% -0.2523 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ 268.18 0.00 0.00 268.18 Trades
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? Yes No 0.00 5,641.15 0.00% 0.9525 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,641.15 Fri Feb 25 2022 ✅ -5,373.48 0.00 0.00 267.68 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 267.09 0.00 0.00 267.09 Trades
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 694.82 0.00 0.02% 0.6335 1.00 0.00 694.82 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -440.16 12.24 0.00 266.91 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 ✅ 261.86 0.00 0.00 261.86 Trades
Will the Lahaina fire in Maui be fully contained this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 20 2023 ✅ 261.82 0.00 0.00 261.82 Trades
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? Yes No 0.77 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.77 0.00 Thu Jan 11 2024 ✅ 260.61 0.00 0.00 261.38 Trades
Will "The Banshees of Inisherin" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 5,145.26 0.00% 0.9496 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,145.26 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -4,886.02 1.09 0.00 260.33 Trades
Will “Jackass Forever” gross domestically more than $30 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,772.86 0.00% 0.9455 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,772.86 Mon Feb 07 2022 ✅ -4,512.59 0.00 0.00 260.27 Trades
SOL/ETH new high by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 1,020.16 0.00% 0.7455 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,020.16 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -760.56 0.00 0.00 259.60 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 293.54 0.00 0.00% 0.1175 1.00 0.00 293.54 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -34.49 0.00 0.00 259.06 Trades
Zvbear arrested before February? Yes No 20,836.80 0.00 0.00% -0.0124 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 258.76 0.00 0.00 258.76 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 33.90 0.00 0.00% -7.6275 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 258.57 0.00 0.00 258.57 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 11,023.59 0.00% 0.9767 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,023.59 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -10,767.06 0.00 0.00 256.54 Trades
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? Yes No 1,227.68 0.00 0.00% -0.2084 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 255.89 0.00 0.00 255.89 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? Yes No 0.00 12.05 0.00% -21.0861 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 254.09 0.00 0.00 254.09 Trades
TRUMP all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 1,621.37 0.00% 0.8433 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,621.37 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -1,367.30 0.00 0.00 254.08 Trades
US travel ban for China in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 253.70 0.00 0.00 253.70 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 13.15 0.00 0.00% -19.2366 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 252.89 0.00 0.00 252.89 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February? Yes No 0.00 5,472.00 0.00% 0.9538 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,472.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -5,219.12 0.00 0.00 252.88 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Lakers by more than 11.5 points in their April 5 (10:30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 2.02 0.00 0.00% -118.0561 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 05 2022 ✅ 237.93 12.05 0.00 249.97 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Grizzlies, scheduled for March 23 (7.30 PM ET)? Nets Grizzlies 83.07 0.00 0.00% -2.6143 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 ✅ 217.18 32.28 0.00 249.47 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? Yes No 0.00 616.71 0.00% 0.6008 0.00 1.00 0.00 616.71 Mon Dec 04 2023 ✅ -370.55 0.00 0.00 246.16 Trades
Will ‘The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? Yes No 0.00 1,929.61 0.00% 0.8727 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,929.61 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -1,683.91 0.00 0.00 245.71 Trades
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 444.46 0.00% 0.4477 0.00 1.00 0.00 444.46 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -198.98 0.00 0.00 245.48 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 1,268.74 0.00% 0.8327 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,268.74 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -1,056.42 32.74 0.00 245.06 Trades
Pudgy Penguins airdrop before March? Yes No 0.00 557.11 0.00% 0.5610 0.00 1.00 0.00 557.11 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -312.52 0.00 0.00 244.59 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 70 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 386.35 0.00 0.00% 0.3676 1.00 0.00 386.35 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 ✅ -142.01 0.00 0.00 244.34 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,511.88 0.00% 0.9190 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,511.88 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -2,308.39 40.11 0.00 243.59 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 5.86 0.00% -37.3410 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 22 2022 ✅ 218.87 21.18 0.00 240.05 Trades
Will James Maynard win the 2022 Fields Medal? Yes No 4,645.72 0.00 0.00% 0.9485 1.00 0.00 4,645.72 0.00 Thu Jul 14 2022 ✅ -4,406.60 0.02 0.00 239.13 Trades
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? Yes No 2,724.83 0.00 0.00% -0.0869 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 236.90 0.00 0.00 236.90 Trades
AI on Amazon speaker by June? Yes No 1,933.46 0.00 0.00% 0.8776 1.00 0.00 1,933.46 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1,696.84 0.00 0.00 236.62 Trades
Will President Biden mention Trump in his press conference on January 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 ✅ 236.52 0.00 0.00 236.52 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? Yes No 0.00 8,603.72 0.00% 0.9726 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,603.72 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -8,367.56 0.00 0.00 236.17 Trades
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? Yes No 0.00 4,385.96 0.00% 0.9462 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,385.96 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -4,150.07 0.00 0.00 235.89 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 86.45 0.00% -1.7191 0.00 1.00 0.00 86.45 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 148.62 0.00 0.00 235.07 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 27 2023 ✅ 232.77 0.00 0.00 232.77 Trades
Will Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 2,806.56 0.00% 0.9299 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,806.56 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -2,609.92 34.73 0.00 231.37 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,627.93 0.00% 0.8589 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,627.93 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -1,398.15 0.00 0.00 229.78 Trades
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 2,610.83 0.00% 0.9132 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,610.83 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -2,384.19 0.00 0.00 226.64 Trades
Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 0.00 4.33 0.00% -51.9808 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ 224.89 1.18 0.00 226.07 Trades
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 1,172.73 0.00% 0.8072 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,172.73 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -946.68 0.00 0.00 226.05 Trades
Will a North American team make it to the knockout stage in LoL Worlds? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 ✅ 224.44 0.00 0.00 224.44 Trades
Erdoğan >93¢ on May 26? Yes No 0.00 5.57 0.00% -39.2209 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.57 Fri May 26 2023 ✅ 218.58 0.00 0.00 224.15 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 2.72 0.00 0.00% -80.6444 1.00 0.00 2.72 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ 219.28 0.00 0.00 222.00 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 1,561.61 0.00 0.00% 0.8628 1.00 0.00 1,561.61 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 ✅ -1,347.34 4.63 0.00 218.90 Trades
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? Yes No 1,432.93 0.00 0.00% 0.8484 1.00 0.00 1,432.93 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -1,215.63 0.00 0.00 217.30 Trades
Haaland vs. Chelsea: who will have more goals on Oct 8? Haaland Chelsea 0.00 2.34 0.00% -91.3628 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.34 Sun Oct 08 2023 ✅ 213.36 0.00 0.00 215.70 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ 214.58 0.00 0.00 214.58 Trades
Will “Jackass Forever” gross domestically more than $20 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 6,657.72 0.00 0.00% 0.9679 1.00 0.00 6,657.72 0.00 Mon Feb 07 2022 ✅ -6,444.09 0.00 0.00 213.63 Trades
Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 0.00 52.22 0.00% -3.0891 0.00 1.00 0.00 52.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 161.30 0.00 0.00 213.52 Trades
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,453.33 0.00% 0.9132 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,453.33 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,240.38 0.00 0.00 212.95 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8950 1.00 0.00 2,000.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -1,790.00 0.00 0.00 210.00 Trades
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March? Yes No 0.00 8,008.29 0.00% 0.9744 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,008.29 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -7,802.93 0.00 0.00 205.37 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will Olivia Rodrigo win Best New Artist? Yes No 2,758.32 0.00 0.00% 0.9256 1.00 0.00 2,758.32 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -2,553.00 0.00 0.00 205.32 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 202.09 0.00 0.00 202.09 Trades
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,143.22 0.00% 0.9063 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,143.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,942.31 0.00 0.00 200.91 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 82.10 0.00 0.00% -1.4348 1.00 0.00 82.10 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 117.80 0.00 0.00 199.90 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Celtics vs. Pelicans, scheduled for January 29 (7 PM ET)? Celtics Pelicans 421.45 0.00 0.00% 0.5268 1.00 0.00 421.45 0.00 Sat Jan 29 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 199.45 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 6.18 0.00 0.00% -27.7899 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ 171.67 26.11 0.00 197.78 Trades
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? Yes No 23.14 0.00 0.00% -8.5219 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 197.18 0.00 0.00 197.18 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 38.07 0.00 0.00% -5.1707 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 196.87 0.00 0.00 196.87 Trades
NFL: Who will win Titans v. Bengals? Titans Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 22 2022 ✅ 196.27 0.02 0.00 196.29 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' have a higher Rotten Tomatoes rating? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 672.18 0.00% 0.7138 0.00 1.00 0.00 672.18 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -479.81 0.00 0.00 192.37 Trades
Will Zuck answer the door? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ 189.29 0.00 0.00 189.29 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 259.33 0.00 0.00% 0.2708 1.00 0.00 259.33 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -70.22 0.00 0.00 189.11 Trades
Blast launch delayed? Yes No 0.00 7,252.00 0.00% 0.9739 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,252.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -7,063.01 0.00 0.00 188.99 Trades
Will Davante Adams play in the next Raiders game? Yes No 0.00 4.80 0.00% -38.8130 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 23 2022 ✅ 186.17 0.00 0.00 186.17 Trades
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? Yes No 0.00 2,047.89 0.00% 0.9092 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,047.89 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -1,862.03 0.00 0.00 185.86 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,093.75 0.00% -0.1687 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 184.53 0.00 0.00 184.53 Trades
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? Yes No 0.00 5,177.05 0.00% 0.9644 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,177.05 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ -4,992.68 0.00 0.00 184.38 Trades
Will Newsom appoint a black woman as Feinstein's replacement? Yes No 15,623.56 0.00 0.00% 0.9883 1.00 0.00 15,623.56 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ -15,440.93 0.00 0.00 182.63 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will "Sour" by Olivia Rodrigo win Album of the Year? Yes No 0.00 414.36 0.00% 0.5599 0.00 1.00 0.00 414.36 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -232.00 0.00 0.00 182.36 Trades
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Paul Diaz 163.84 0.00 0.00% -0.1040 1.00 0.00 163.84 0.00 Sat Aug 05 2023 ✅ 17.03 0.00 0.00 180.87 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 6,000.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,000.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ -5,820.00 0.00 0.00 180.00 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 6,380.85 0.00% 0.9718 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,380.85 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -6,200.95 0.00 0.00 179.90 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 ✅ 178.78 0.25 0.00 179.03 Trades
NHL: Will the Stars beat the Oilers by more than 1.5 goals in their March 22, 8:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 13.30 0.00% -13.0014 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 ✅ 172.86 4.75 0.00 177.61 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Nuggets by more than 4.5 points in their April 24, 3:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,232.06 0.00% 0.8611 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,232.06 Sun Apr 24 2022 ✅ -1,060.98 0.00 0.00 171.08 Trades
WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in February? Yes No 226.55 0.00 0.00% -0.7431 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 168.34 0.00 0.00 168.34 Trades
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 15,429.99 0.00% -0.0107 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 165.07 0.00 0.00 165.07 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 369.58 0.00 0.00% 0.5543 1.00 0.00 369.58 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ -204.85 0.00 0.00 164.73 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 164.31 0.00 0.00 164.31 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? Yes No 0.39 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ 164.02 0.00 0.00 164.02 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3.56 0.00% -42.8356 0.00 1.00 0.00 3.56 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 152.54 7.52 0.00 163.63 Trades
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? Yes No 91.48 0.00 0.00% -0.7872 1.00 0.00 91.48 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ 72.01 0.00 0.00 163.49 Trades
Will X start charging all users? Yes No 0.00 3,245.46 0.00% 0.9505 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,245.46 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3,084.68 0.00 0.00 160.77 Trades
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? Yes No 116.78 0.00 0.00% -1.3544 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 158.16 0.00 0.00 158.16 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 3,577.48 0.00% 0.9560 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,577.48 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -3,420.17 0.00 0.00 157.31 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $180 million or less on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 2,025.82 0.00% 0.9355 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,025.82 Mon May 09 2022 ✅ -1,895.06 26.41 0.00 157.16 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? Yes No 0.00 2,833.50 0.00% 0.9448 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,833.50 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ -2,677.14 0.00 0.00 156.36 Trades
Will the floor price of Moonbirds be 30 ETH or more on May 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 378.17 0.00% 0.5870 0.00 1.00 0.00 378.17 Sun May 15 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 156.17 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? Yes No 6.42 0.00 0.00% -19.2453 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 123.53 31.82 0.00 155.34 Trades
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Yes No 0.00 55.82 0.00% -2.2508 0.50 0.50 0.00 27.91 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 125.63 0.00 0.00 153.54 Trades
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 8,638.46 0.00% 0.9822 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,638.46 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -8,484.95 0.00 0.00 153.52 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 489.11 0.00% -0.3134 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 153.27 0.00 0.00 153.27 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Duke vs. Texas Tech, scheduled for March 24 (9:39 PM ET)? Duke Texas Tech 13.50 0.00 0.00% -8.8867 1.00 0.00 13.50 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ 119.97 16.94 0.00 150.41 Trades
Will 'Sonic the Hedgehog 2' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ 58.63 91.78 0.00 150.40 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8500 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Sat Jun 03 2023 ✅ -850.00 0.00 0.00 150.00 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 101.41 47.16 0.00 148.57 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by March? Yes No 0.00 872.62 0.00% 0.8300 0.00 1.00 0.00 872.62 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -724.30 0.00 0.00 148.32 Trades
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 476.25 0.00 0.00% -0.3108 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 148.01 0.00 0.00 148.01 Trades
Will @elonmusk's tweet count be over 17,600 on May 5 (12 PM ET)? Yes No 211.28 0.00 0.01% 0.4825 1.00 0.00 211.28 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 ✅ -101.95 37.14 0.00 146.48 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? Yes No 367.07 0.00 0.00% 0.6048 1.00 0.00 367.07 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 145.07 Trades
Jupiter airdrop by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 494.19 0.00% -0.2924 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 144.52 0.00 0.00 144.52 Trades
Will Adin Ross interview Kim Jong Un on stream by Saturday? Yes No 0.00 3,413.76 0.00% 0.9577 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,413.76 Sat Sep 23 2023 ✅ -3,269.28 0.00 0.00 144.49 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 1,695.44 0.00 0.00% 0.9404 1.00 0.00 1,695.44 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,594.47 43.12 0.00 144.09 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? Yes No 10.33 0.00 0.00% -13.9101 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 143.63 0.00 0.00 143.63 Trades
Will ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ gross between $180-$220 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 8.52 0.00% -16.6290 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 13 2022 ✅ 141.67 0.00 0.00 141.67 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil reach $150 by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 140.75 0.00 0.00 140.75 Trades
US bank failure in March? Yes No 7,881.88 0.00 0.00% -0.0177 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 139.88 0.00 0.00 139.88 Trades
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ 139.50 0.00 0.00 139.50 Trades
UEFA Champions League: Will Manchester Utd or Atletico qualify to the quarterfinals? Manchester Atlético 0.00 221.99 0.00% 0.3722 0.00 1.00 0.00 221.99 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -82.62 0.00 0.00 139.37 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 4,603.42 0.00 0.00% 0.9721 1.00 0.00 4,603.42 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -4,474.79 9.17 0.00 137.81 Trades
Will ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ gross more than $220 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 9.12 0.00 0.00% -15.0808 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 13 2022 ✅ 137.57 0.00 0.00 137.57 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 50 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 5,453.69 0.00 0.00% 0.9748 1.00 0.00 5,453.69 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 ✅ -5,316.28 0.00 0.00 137.41 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 2,810.62 0.00 0.00% 0.9512 1.00 0.00 2,810.62 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -2,673.38 0.00 0.00 137.24 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? Yes No 4,915.42 0.00 0.00% 0.9722 1.00 0.00 4,915.42 0.00 Sat Mar 23 2024 ✅ -4,778.92 0.00 0.00 136.50 Trades
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 2,546.56 0.00 0.00% 0.9470 1.00 0.00 2,546.56 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -2,411.65 0.00 0.00 134.91 Trades
Prop 26: Will California legalize sports betting on tribal lands? Yes No 0.00 438.50 0.00% 0.6929 0.00 1.00 0.00 438.50 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -303.84 0.00 0.00 134.66 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1200 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,887.93 0.00% 0.9728 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,887.93 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -4,754.94 0.00 0.00 132.98 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 ✅ 132.82 0.00 0.00 132.82 Trades
Will Jane Timken win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 5,948.25 0.00% 0.9795 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,948.25 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -5,826.54 9.61 0.00 131.32 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,062.71 0.00% 0.9503 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,062.71 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -1,960.21 28.74 0.00 131.24 Trades
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? Yes No 7,328.85 0.00 0.00% -0.0176 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 129.21 0.00 0.00 129.21 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 13.01 0.00 0.00% -6.4128 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 83.45 45.64 0.00 129.09 Trades
North Korea nuke by August 15? Yes No 0.00 323.80 0.00% 0.6016 0.00 1.00 0.00 323.80 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ -194.81 0.00 0.00 128.99 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,019.50 0.00% 0.9574 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,019.50 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,890.96 0.00 0.00 128.53 Trades
Binance announces $RLB listing by Aug 18? Yes No 0.00 1.92 0.00% -65.1288 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.92 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 125.32 0.00 0.00 127.24 Trades
Will President Biden mention Cryptocurrency in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 570.71 0.00% 0.7780 0.00 1.00 0.00 570.71 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -444.00 0.00 0.00 126.71 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 149.77 0.00% 0.1597 0.00 1.00 0.00 149.77 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -23.92 0.00 0.00 125.85 Trades
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? Yes No 20.95 0.00 0.00% -5.9484 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 124.65 0.00 0.00 124.65 Trades
Boeing whistleblower foul play determined in March? Yes No 0.00 3,570.66 0.00% 0.9653 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,570.66 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -3,446.80 0.00 0.00 123.86 Trades
Will Lateefah Simon replace Feinstein? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 04 2024 ✅ 123.21 0.00 0.00 123.21 Trades
US bank failure in February? Yes No 3,078.30 0.00 0.00% -0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 123.15 0.00 0.00 123.15 Trades
Will the floor price of Azuki be 25 ETH or more on April 22? Yes No 0.00 79.18 0.00% -1.5490 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 ✅ 122.65 0.09 0.00 122.74 Trades
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC by February 15? Yes No 0.00 418.36 0.00% 0.7076 0.00 1.00 0.00 418.36 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ -296.04 0.00 0.00 122.32 Trades
Will President Biden mention Russia in his press conference on January 19? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 ✅ 121.84 0.00 0.00 121.84 Trades
Will “Jackass Forever” gross domestically more than $40 million on the opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4,751.00 0.00% 0.9745 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,751.00 Mon Feb 07 2022 ✅ -4,629.89 0.00 0.00 121.11 Trades
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 4.97 0.00 0.00% -13.1681 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ 65.39 55.24 0.00 120.63 Trades
Will OpenSea announce a token by September 30? Yes No 0.00 2,832.15 0.00% 0.9580 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,832.15 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -2,713.14 0.00 0.00 119.01 Trades
Will US GDP shrink for a 3rd straight quarter? Yes No 5.50 0.00 0.00% -21.5576 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 ✅ 118.60 0.14 0.00 118.75 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 1,102.62 0.00 0.00% 0.8926 1.00 0.00 1,102.62 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -984.24 0.00 0.00 118.38 Trades
Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,530.31 0.00% 0.9819 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,530.31 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -6,412.25 0.00 0.00 118.05 Trades
Do Kwon extradited before March? Yes No 0.00 0.23 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.23 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 117.22 0.00 0.00 117.45 Trades
Will 'Haunted Mansion' gross over $30m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 144.24 0.00% 0.1880 0.00 1.00 0.00 144.24 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -27.12 0.00 0.00 117.12 Trades
Will Trump win Georgia Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 ✅ 117.04 0.00 0.00 117.04 Trades
Will there be a named tropical system (storm, hurricane) Alex that forms by May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,830.00 0.00% 0.9696 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,830.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -3,713.38 0.05 0.00 116.67 Trades
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,336.07 0.00% 0.9652 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,336.07 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3,219.86 0.00 0.00 116.21 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? Yes No 0.00 469.73 0.00% 0.7526 0.00 1.00 0.00 469.73 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ -353.53 0.00 0.00 116.20 Trades
Will Maryna Viazovska win the 2022 Fields Medal? Yes No 3,884.48 0.00 0.00% 0.9703 1.00 0.00 3,884.48 0.00 Thu Jul 14 2022 ✅ -3,769.06 0.00 0.00 115.42 Trades
Will CryptoPunks flip Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) by August 1? Yes No 0.00 1,067.24 0.00% 0.9262 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,067.24 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -988.53 36.45 0.00 115.17 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 11.05 0.00% -9.4166 0.00 1.00 0.00 11.05 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 104.10 0.00 0.00 115.15 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Grizzlies vs. Wizards, scheduled for January 29 (8 PM ET)? Grizzlies Wizards 270.05 0.00 0.00% 0.5740 1.00 0.00 270.05 0.00 Sat Jan 29 2022 ✅ -155.00 0.00 0.00 115.05 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on June 30? Yes No 0.00 43.36 0.00% -2.6228 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 113.73 0.00 0.00 113.73 Trades
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? Yes No 0.00 2,900.12 0.00% 0.9611 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,900.12 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,787.26 0.00 0.00 112.86 Trades
Will Solana Network go down in January? Yes No 665.91 0.00 0.00% -0.1677 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 111.66 0.00 0.00 111.66 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on May 20, 2022? Yes No 222.06 0.00 0.00% 0.4999 1.00 0.00 222.06 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 111.06 Trades
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes No 0.00 3.38 0.00% -21.3099 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 72.04 38.76 0.00 110.80 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 1? Yes No 0.00 879.67 0.00% 0.8741 0.00 1.00 0.00 879.67 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -768.91 0.00 0.00 110.76 Trades
Will anyone say "woke" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 291.54 0.00% 0.6211 0.00 1.00 0.00 291.54 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -181.09 0.00 0.00 110.45 Trades
NCAA March Madness: Who will win the Texas A&M Corpus-Christi vs. Texas Southern match, scheduled for March 15 (6.40 PM ET)? Texas A&M C-C Texas Southern 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ 88.46 19.45 0.00 107.91 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 7,307.04 0.00 0.00% -0.0147 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 ✅ 107.58 0.00 0.00 107.58 Trades
NCAAB: Will the Texas Tech Red Raiders beat the Notre Dame Fighting Irish by more than 7.5 points in their March 20, 7:10 PM ET matchup? Yes No 580.09 0.00 0.00% -0.1605 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ 93.12 14.45 0.00 107.57 Trades
Will DOJ charge Binance by Sep 30? Yes No 0.00 653.46 0.00% 0.8357 0.00 1.00 0.00 653.46 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -546.12 0.00 0.00 107.34 Trades
Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics: Will Russia have any medals stripped for doping? Yes No 0.00 2,473.17 0.02% 0.9567 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,473.17 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -2,366.08 0.00 0.00 107.08 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Suns vs. Trail Blazers, scheduled for March 2 (10 PM ET)? Suns Trail Blazers 0.00 52.51 0.00% -2.0285 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ 106.51 0.00 0.00 106.51 Trades
Ethereum all time high by end of March? Yes No 0.00 5.99 0.00% -16.5735 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.99 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 99.35 0.00 0.00 105.34 Trades
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? Yes No 0.00 767.79 0.00% 0.8662 0.00 1.00 0.00 767.79 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -665.05 0.00 0.00 102.74 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 102.37 0.00 0.00 102.38 Trades
Will President Biden mention China in his press conference on January 19 ? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 ✅ 102.34 0.00 0.00 102.34 Trades
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 386.60 0.00% 0.7353 0.00 1.00 0.00 386.60 Sun May 29 2022 ✅ -284.26 0.00 0.00 102.34 Trades
Scorigami in NFL Week 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 09 2023 ✅ 102.25 0.00 0.00 102.25 Trades
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? United States South Korea 0.00 237.69 0.00% 0.0717 0.50 0.50 0.00 118.84 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -17.05 0.00 0.00 101.80 Trades
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the ‘21-’22 Superbowl? Yes No 0.00 857.80 0.00% 0.8816 0.00 1.00 0.00 857.80 Sun Feb 13 2022 ✅ -756.20 0.00 0.00 101.61 Trades
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ 100.32 0.00 0.00 100.32 Trades
Chiefs vs. Dolphins Chiefs Dolphins 0.00 904.76 0.00% -0.1108 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 100.29 0.00 0.00 100.29 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 100.24 0.00 0.00 100.24 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? Yes No 25.71 0.00 0.00% -2.8937 1.00 0.00 25.71 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 74.40 0.00 0.00 100.11 Trades
Will the bill making Daylight Savings Time permanent be signed into law by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 879.13 0.00% 0.8862 0.00 1.00 0.00 879.13 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ -779.09 0.00 0.00 100.04 Trades
Will Lukas Matsson be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 ✅ -900.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Trades
Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis Haney Progrias 0.00 54.69 0.00% -1.8275 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 09 2023 ✅ 99.95 0.00 0.00 99.95 Trades
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? Yes No 0.00 3,135.96 0.00% 0.9683 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,135.96 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -3,036.63 0.00 0.00 99.33 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 0.00 431.93 0.00% 0.7710 0.00 1.00 0.00 431.93 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -333.00 0.00 0.00 98.93 Trades
Will George Santos start an OnlyFans in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,278.60 0.00% 0.9237 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,278.60 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,181.10 0.00 0.00 97.50 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? Yes No 0.00 3,941.89 0.00% 0.9754 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,941.89 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -3,844.83 0.00 0.00 97.06 Trades
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? Yes No 293.06 0.00 0.00% -0.3308 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 96.95 0.00 0.00 96.95 Trades
Will Andrew Tate launch a cryptocurrency in February? Yes No 0.00 3,732.98 0.00% 0.9740 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,732.98 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -3,636.05 0.00 0.00 96.93 Trades
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? Yes No 727.33 0.00 0.00% -0.1317 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 95.82 0.00 0.00 95.82 Trades
NBA: Who will win the 76ers vs. Knicks, scheduled for March 2 (7.30 PM ET)? 76ers Knicks 283.72 0.00 0.00% 0.6626 1.00 0.00 283.72 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ -188.00 0.00 0.00 95.72 Trades
Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1? Yes No 0.00 1,840.80 0.00% 0.9494 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,840.80 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -1,747.58 0.00 0.00 93.22 Trades
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? Yes No 6,639.66 0.00 0.00% 0.9860 1.00 0.00 6,639.66 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -6,546.63 0.00 0.00 93.03 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Bulldogs vs. Panthers, scheduled for March 17, 4:15 PM ET? Bulldogs Panthers 422.63 0.00 0.00% 0.7856 1.00 0.00 422.63 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 ✅ -332.00 0.00 0.00 90.63 Trades
Will Trump say "Hunter Biden" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 117.74 0.00% 0.2356 0.00 1.00 0.00 117.74 Mon May 08 2023 ✅ -27.74 0.00 0.00 90.00 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? Yes No 0.00 835.00 0.00% 0.8924 0.00 1.00 0.00 835.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -745.14 0.00 0.00 89.86 Trades
NCAAB: Will the Purdue Boilermakers beat the Saint Peter's Peacocks by more than 12.5 points in their March 25, 7:09 PM ET matchup? Yes No 4.17 0.00 0.00% -14.0260 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 58.51 30.87 0.00 89.38 Trades
Will "Putin" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 967.00 0.00% 0.9109 0.00 1.00 0.00 967.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -880.88 0.00 0.00 86.13 Trades
Arévalo inaugurated in Guatemala in January? Yes No 0.00 1,103.00 0.00% -0.0780 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 85.99 0.00 0.00 85.99 Trades
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 129.30 0.00% 0.3369 0.00 1.00 0.00 129.30 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -43.56 0.00 0.00 85.74 Trades
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get a 95% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 4,570.13 0.00 0.00% 0.9868 1.00 0.00 4,570.13 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -4,510.00 25.55 0.00 85.68 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Jimmy Kimmel? Yes No 0.00 0.07 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.07 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 85.23 0.00 0.00 85.30 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.66 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ 85.27 0.00 0.00 85.27 Trades
Is Obama queer? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 0.00% 0.9830 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -4,915.00 0.00 0.00 85.00 Trades
Rabby airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 973.50 0.00% 0.9127 0.00 1.00 0.00 973.50 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -888.52 0.00 0.00 84.98 Trades
MLB: Who will win Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers, scheduled for April 14, 8:06 PM ET? Los Angeles Angels Texas Rangers 0.00 144.89 0.00% 0.4234 0.00 1.00 0.00 144.89 Thu Apr 14 2022 ✅ -61.35 1.18 0.00 84.72 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 9,969.13 0.00% 0.9915 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,969.13 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -9,884.86 0.00 0.00 84.27 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $4k today? Yes No 200.84 0.00 0.00% -0.4193 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 07 2024 ✅ 84.21 0.00 0.00 84.21 Trades
Who will win the $1M bet on LUNA's price being over $92.40: Do Kwon or Sensei Algod? Do Kwon Sensei Algod 0.00 0.05 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.05 Tue Mar 14 2023 ✅ 80.30 3.74 0.00 84.09 Trades
Will Leondra Kruger be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 3,852.00 0.00% 0.9782 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,852.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -3,768.04 0.00 0.00 83.96 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 381.08 0.00% 0.7797 0.00 1.00 0.00 381.08 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -297.14 0.00 0.00 83.94 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 10? Yes No 0.00 476.20 0.00% -0.1763 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 09 2023 ✅ 83.94 0.00 0.00 83.94 Trades
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 525.20 0.00 0.00% 0.8406 1.00 0.00 525.20 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -441.50 0.00 0.00 83.70 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 6.79 0.00 0.00% -11.2837 1.00 0.00 6.79 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 76.65 0.00 0.00 83.44 Trades
Instacart market cap >20b? Yes No 0.00 444.68 0.00% 0.8136 0.00 1.00 0.00 444.68 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -361.80 0.00 0.00 82.89 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Timberwolves by more than 3.5 points in their March 21, 8:40 PM ET matchup? Yes No 240.47 0.00 0.00% -0.2370 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 21 2022 ✅ 57.00 25.86 0.00 82.86 Trades
CZ jail in 2023? Yes No 0.00 4,466.65 0.00% 0.9815 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,466.65 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4,383.85 0.00 0.00 82.80 Trades
2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time? Yes No 0.00 692.32 0.00% 0.8805 0.00 1.00 0.00 692.32 Sun Apr 14 2024 ✅ -609.56 0.00 0.00 82.76 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.29 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.29 Sun Jan 28 2024 ✅ 81.85 0.00 0.00 82.14 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 8 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ 81.69 0.00 0.00 81.69 Trades
Will Trump win Utah Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 3,905.00 0.00% -0.0209 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 81.45 0.00 0.00 81.45 Trades
Will Eric Greitens win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 191.85 0.00% 0.5786 0.00 1.00 0.00 191.85 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 80.85 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by June 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 79.74 0.62 0.00 80.36 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5 by March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 524.11 0.00% 0.8471 0.00 1.00 0.00 524.11 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ -444.00 0.00 0.00 80.11 Trades
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 31? Yes No 0.00 3,684.80 0.00% 0.9785 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,684.80 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -3,605.65 0.00 0.00 79.15 Trades
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? Yes No 0.00 4,329.78 0.00% 0.9819 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,329.78 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -4,251.25 0.00 0.00 78.53 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Kissinger in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,000.85 0.00% 0.9609 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,000.85 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -1,922.65 0.00 0.00 78.21 Trades
Will the KyberSwap hacker return 50% of the exploited funds by Dec 15? Yes No 0.00 711.29 0.00% 0.8901 0.00 1.00 0.00 711.29 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -633.09 0.00 0.00 78.20 Trades
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 2,799.08 0.00% 0.9721 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,799.08 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ -2,721.05 0.00 0.00 78.03 Trades
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $5 on its 1st day of trading? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 76.73 0.00 0.00 76.73 Trades
(Early Resolved) Will President Biden declare a new National Emergency before September? Yes No 0.00 691.94 0.00% 0.3903 0.50 0.50 0.00 345.97 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ -270.06 0.00 0.00 75.91 Trades
Prop 27: Will California legalize online sports betting? Yes No 4.40 0.00 0.00% -17.1953 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 75.65 0.00 0.00 75.65 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 1,187.58 0.00% 0.9363 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,187.58 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1,111.99 0.00 0.00 75.60 Trades
OpenSea acquired before March? Yes No 933.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0804 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 75.00 0.00 0.00 75.00 Trades
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? Yes No 3,955.22 0.00 0.00% 0.9811 1.00 0.00 3,955.22 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 ✅ -3,880.41 0.00 0.00 74.82 Trades
Will David Perdue win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? Yes No 0.00 123.55 0.00% 0.4043 0.00 1.00 0.00 123.55 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ -49.96 1.10 0.00 74.69 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? Yes No 7.67 0.00 0.00% -6.5614 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ 50.35 23.96 0.00 74.31 Trades
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? SBF Bitboy 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 74.05 0.00 0.00 74.05 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win UCLA Bruins vs. North Carolina Tar Heels, scheduled for March 25, 9:39 PM ET? UCLA Bruins North Carolina Tar Heels 72,626.14 0.00 43.29% -0.0009 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 64.97 8.88 0.00 73.85 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $20 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 431.45 0.00 0.58% 0.3603 0.50 0.50 215.73 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -155.43 13.53 0.00 73.83 Trades
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 194.17 0.00% 0.6216 0.00 1.00 0.00 194.17 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -120.70 0.00 0.00 73.46 Trades
Triton Poker: Will Jason Koon place 1st in at least one event? Yes No 0.00 5,907.76 0.00% 0.9881 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,907.76 Thu Apr 07 2022 ✅ -5,837.66 2.90 0.00 73.01 Trades
Will Cate Blanchett win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? Yes No 0.00 10.54 0.00% -5.6920 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.54 Sun Mar 12 2023 ✅ 59.97 0.00 0.00 70.51 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? Yes No 0.00 354.07 0.00% 0.8020 0.00 1.00 0.00 354.07 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -283.96 0.00 0.00 70.11 Trades
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2022 FIFA World Cup? Yes No 14.10 0.00 0.00% -3.5631 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 50.23 19.68 0.00 69.91 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $60m opening weekend? Yes No 926.17 0.00 0.00% 0.9247 1.00 0.00 926.17 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 ✅ -856.39 0.00 0.00 69.78 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 10? Yes No 537.90 0.00 0.00% -0.1282 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 10 2023 ✅ 68.93 0.00 0.00 68.93 Trades
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1,989.98 0.00% 0.9654 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,989.98 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -1,921.19 0.00 0.00 68.79 Trades
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $48m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 23,201.12 0.00% -0.0029 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 11 2024 ✅ 68.39 0.00 0.00 68.39 Trades
Will June Huh win the 2022 Fields Medal? Yes No 734.25 0.00 0.00% 0.9071 1.00 0.00 734.25 0.00 Thu Jul 14 2022 ✅ -666.00 0.00 0.00 68.25 Trades
Will Sheikh Jassim buy Man United in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,972.48 0.00% 0.9655 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,972.48 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,904.44 0.00 0.00 68.04 Trades
Will Biden and Putin meet by March 21, 2022? Yes No 0.00 289.67 0.00% 0.7664 0.00 1.00 0.00 289.67 Mon Mar 21 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 67.67 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ 67.51 0.00 0.00 67.51 Trades
Will roon deactivate his account in February? Yes No 33.33 0.00 0.00% -2.0202 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 67.33 0.00 0.00 67.33 Trades
Will Brian Kemp win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? Yes No 0.00 6.12 0.00% -10.7315 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ 65.64 1.15 0.00 66.79 Trades
Will ApeCoin (APE) reach $20 by May 4? Yes No 364.66 0.00 0.00% 0.8696 1.00 0.00 364.66 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 ✅ -317.12 18.77 0.00 66.32 Trades
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? Yes No 0.00 1,326.74 0.00% 0.9502 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,326.74 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1,260.62 0.00 0.00 66.12 Trades
Will SOL outperform ETH in January? Yes No 3.57 0.00 0.00% -18.5236 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 66.09 0.00 0.00 66.09 Trades
Will Declan Rice sign for Arsenal? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 65.96 0.00 0.00 65.96 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 108.99 0.00% 0.3992 0.00 1.00 0.00 108.99 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -43.51 0.00 0.00 65.48 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 802.51 0.01% 0.9205 0.00 1.00 0.00 802.51 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -738.75 1.70 0.00 65.46 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 17, 2022? Yes No 4.83 0.00 0.00% -12.0542 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 17 2022 ✅ 58.21 6.59 0.00 64.80 Trades
Will Aella find someone new to seriously date in 2023? Yes No 9.88 0.00 0.00% -6.4719 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 63.97 0.00 0.00 63.97 Trades
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 385.06 0.00 0.00% -0.1635 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 62.96 0.00 0.00 62.96 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in July? Yes No 0.00 1,151.87 0.00% 0.9454 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,151.87 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -1,089.03 0.00 0.00 62.84 Trades
Will anyone say "GPT" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 445.23 0.00% 0.8593 0.00 1.00 0.00 445.23 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -382.58 0.00 0.00 62.65 Trades
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? Yes No 0.00 422.73 0.00% 0.8521 0.00 1.00 0.00 422.73 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ -360.21 0.00 0.00 62.52 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 1st, 2022? Yes No 6.40 0.00 0.00% -9.7478 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 62.34 0.00 0.00 62.34 Trades
Will the Phillies win the World Series? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 03 2023 ✅ 62.00 0.00 0.00 62.00 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Russia" or "Putin" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 ✅ 61.00 0.00 0.00 61.00 Trades
Will ‘Elvis’ gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 216.16 0.00% 0.7201 0.00 1.00 0.00 216.16 Mon Jun 27 2022 ✅ -155.66 0.00 0.00 60.50 Trades
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.825 on October 14? Yes No 5.58 0.00 0.00% -9.5011 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 14 2022 ✅ 53.01 7.22 0.00 60.23 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,311.11 0.00% -0.0457 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 59.94 0.00 0.00 59.94 Trades
Will Solana Network go down again in February? Yes No 247.61 0.00 0.00% -0.2417 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 59.85 0.00 0.00 59.85 Trades
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou Fury Ngannou 403.91 0.00 0.00% 0.8530 1.00 0.00 403.91 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 ✅ -344.55 0.00 0.00 59.36 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,500 or $2,500 first? $1,500 $2,500 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 59.25 0.00 0.00 59.25 Trades
Opepen floor price over .69 ETH on July 28? Yes No 0.00 0.37 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.37 Fri Jul 28 2023 ✅ 58.77 0.00 0.00 59.13 Trades
Emmys 2022: Will ‘White Lotus’ win Outstanding Limited Series? Yes No 149.80 0.00 0.00% 0.6341 1.00 0.00 149.80 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ -94.99 4.17 0.00 58.99 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida? Democrat Republican 0.00 3,331.63 0.00% 0.9825 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,331.63 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -3,273.33 0.00 0.00 58.30 Trades
Will ‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ gross less than $180 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 6.47 0.00 0.00% -8.9919 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 13 2022 ✅ 58.17 0.00 0.00 58.17 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October? Yes No 0.00 4,461.63 0.00% 0.9873 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,461.63 Mon Oct 31 2022 ✅ -4,405.17 1.69 0.00 58.15 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? Yes No 230.06 0.00 0.02% -0.0746 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 17.16 40.50 0.00 57.66 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 152.96 0.00% -0.3764 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 57.58 0.00 0.00 57.58 Trades
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday? Yes No 0.00 73.28 0.00% 0.2267 0.00 1.00 0.00 73.28 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -16.61 0.00 0.00 56.66 Trades
Will Biden visit Hawaii by Friday? Yes No 0.00 390.56 0.00% 0.8563 0.00 1.00 0.00 390.56 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ -334.45 0.00 0.00 56.11 Trades
Aevo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 450.16 0.00% -0.1243 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 55.97 0.00 0.00 55.97 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 72.85 0.00% 0.2324 0.00 1.00 0.00 72.85 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -16.93 0.00 0.00 55.91 Trades
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 8.51 0.00% -6.5644 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 55.89 0.00 0.00 55.89 Trades
Will anyone say "Bitcoin" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 254.65 0.00% 0.7831 0.00 1.00 0.00 254.65 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -199.40 0.00 0.00 55.24 Trades
Will Drake drop his album on time? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 ✅ 55.20 0.00 0.00 55.20 Trades
NHL: Will the Blues beat the Rangers by more than 1.5 goals in their March 2 matchup (7.30 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 132.01 0.00% 0.5833 0.00 1.00 0.00 132.01 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ -77.00 0.00 0.00 55.01 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13? Yes No 0.00 20.31 0.00% -1.7066 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.31 Sun Aug 13 2023 ✅ 34.66 0.00 0.00 54.96 Trades
Will J. Michelle Childs be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 1,756.36 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,756.36 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -1,703.60 1.46 0.00 54.22 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Piers Morgan? Yes No 0.00 188.64 0.00% 0.7139 0.00 1.00 0.00 188.64 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -134.67 0.00 0.00 53.97 Trades
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? Yes No 365.45 0.00 0.00% -0.1473 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 53.82 0.00 0.00 53.82 Trades
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 275.40 0.00% 0.8061 0.00 1.00 0.00 275.40 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 53.40 Trades
Will Liverpool get 2nd place in the 2021-22 English Premier League? Yes No 334.09 0.00 0.00% 0.8408 1.00 0.00 334.09 0.00 Sun May 22 2022 ✅ -280.89 0.18 0.00 53.38 Trades
Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 2,347.57 0.00% 0.9774 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,347.57 Mon Nov 27 2023 ✅ -2,294.51 0.00 0.00 53.06 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 128.19 0.00 0.00% -0.4131 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 52.96 0.00 0.00 52.96 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 15-50? Yes No 354.69 0.00 0.00% -0.1489 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 52.80 0.00 0.00 52.80 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 6,986.99 0.00 0.00% -0.0075 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 52.45 0.00 0.00 52.45 Trades
Will Spirit Airlines announce bankruptcy by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 406.19 0.00% 0.8716 0.00 1.00 0.00 406.19 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -354.02 0.00 0.00 52.17 Trades
NHL: Will the Sharks beat the Kraken by more than 1.5 goals in their February 27 matchup (10 PM ET)? Yes No 66.71 0.00 0.00% 0.2248 1.00 0.00 66.71 0.00 Sun Feb 27 2022 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 51.71 Trades
Will Layer Zero have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 756.57 0.00% 0.9338 0.00 1.00 0.00 756.57 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -706.47 1.60 0.00 51.69 Trades
Will Valerie Pecresse win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 643.58 0.00% 0.9209 0.00 1.00 0.00 643.58 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -592.69 0.05 0.00 50.94 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 1,917.71 0.00 0.00% -0.0265 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 50.74 0.00 0.00 50.74 Trades
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ 50.61 0.00 0.00 50.61 Trades
Will MrBeast's next Youtube video get over 50M views in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 48.44 1.86 0.00 50.30 Trades
Senate: Will an Independent (McMullin) or Republican (Lee) win in Utah? Independent Republican 0.00 551.53 0.00% 0.9088 0.00 1.00 0.00 551.53 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -501.25 0.00 0.00 50.28 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? Yes No 204.98 0.00 0.00% -0.2448 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 17 2023 ✅ 50.19 0.00 0.00 50.19 Trades
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 214.95 0.00% 0.7671 0.00 1.00 0.00 214.95 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -164.88 0.00 0.00 50.07 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in November? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -950.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
49ers vs. Packers 49ers Packers 0.00 70.68 0.00% -0.7033 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ 49.71 0.00 0.00 49.71 Trades
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? Yes No 104.01 0.00 0.00% 0.5364 1.00 0.00 104.01 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 ✅ -55.79 0.00 0.00 48.22 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 48.00 0.00 0.00 48.00 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? Yes No 0.00 596.75 0.00% 0.9281 0.00 1.00 0.00 596.75 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -553.85 5.07 0.00 47.97 Trades
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? Yes No 16.34 0.00 0.01% 2.1629 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -35.34 83.30 0.00 47.96 Trades
Will Chelsea win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.00 2,221.00 0.00% 0.9785 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,221.00 Sat May 28 2022 ✅ -2,173.23 0.00 0.00 47.77 Trades
Will Ethereum's (ETH) price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in May 2022? Yes No 4,644.07 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 4,644.07 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -4,597.82 1.19 0.00 47.45 Trades
Will Bitboy remarry by EOY? Yes No 0.00 2,110.81 0.00% 0.9777 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,110.81 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,063.81 0.00 0.00 47.00 Trades
Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) cry? Yes No 3,126.02 0.00 0.00% -0.0150 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ 46.75 0.00 0.00 46.75 Trades
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 ✅ 46.61 0.00 0.00 46.61 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.012 by June 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 12 2022 ✅ 46.16 0.00 0.00 46.16 Trades
Minouche Shafik out as Columbia President before March? Yes No 0.00 922.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 922.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -875.90 0.00 0.00 46.10 Trades
2022 NFL Draft: Will Charles Cross be in the top 7 picks? Yes No 0.00 93.89 0.00% 0.5122 0.00 1.00 0.00 93.89 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ -48.09 0.00 0.00 45.81 Trades
Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) get KO'd? Yes No 1,211.03 0.00 0.00% -0.0378 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 45.80 0.00 0.00 45.80 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on June 24, 2022? Yes No 0.00 600.59 0.00% 0.9241 0.00 1.00 0.00 600.59 Fri Jun 24 2022 ✅ -555.00 0.00 0.00 45.59 Trades
Will Kane sign for Real Madrid? Yes No 1,159.45 0.00 0.00% -0.0388 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 45.01 0.00 0.00 45.01 Trades
Will Adam22 and Lena The Plug break up this month? Yes No 0.00 1,500.00 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,500.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -1,455.00 0.00 0.00 45.00 Trades
Will Trump win Maine Republican Primary? Yes No 714.46 0.00 0.00% 0.9372 1.00 0.00 714.46 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -669.59 0.00 0.00 44.87 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Kansas Jayhawks vs. Miami Hurricanes, scheduled for March 27, 2:20 PM ET? Kansas Jayhawks Miami Hurricanes 110.85 0.00 0.00% 0.5954 1.00 0.00 110.85 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -66.00 0.00 0.00 44.85 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? Barbie Oppenheimer 9,508.18 0.00 0.00% 0.9954 1.00 0.00 9,508.18 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -9,464.32 0.00 0.00 43.86 Trades
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $2 on its 1st day of trading? Yes No 1.21 0.00 3.01% -35.9381 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 43.35 0.44 0.00 43.79 Trades
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA ‘21-’22 Championship? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 19 2022 ✅ 43.70 0.00 0.00 43.70 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by March 5? Yes No 0.00 372.86 0.00% -0.1170 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 43.61 0.00 0.00 43.61 Trades
Will Kanye West mention Pete Davidson as "Skete" again on Instagram before March 1? Yes No 11,154.53 0.00 0.00% 0.9961 1.00 0.00 11,154.53 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -11,111.00 0.00 0.00 43.53 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 43.50 0.00 0.00 43.50 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 4.5 points in their April 24, 1:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 ✅ 37.79 5.30 0.00 43.08 Trades
Will 'Joy Ride' gross more than $13.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ 42.90 0.00 0.00 42.90 Trades
NHL: Will the Islanders beat the Canucks by more than 1.5 goals in their March 3 matchup (7.30 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 97.69 0.00% 0.5630 0.00 1.00 0.00 97.69 Thu Mar 03 2022 ✅ -55.00 0.00 0.00 42.69 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Suns vs. Knicks, scheduled for March 4 (10 PM ET)? Suns Knicks 97.69 0.00 0.00% 0.5630 1.00 0.00 97.69 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 ✅ -55.00 0.00 0.00 42.69 Trades
Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ 27.02 15.66 0.00 42.67 Trades
Will Nate Silver win the WSOP main event? Yes No 0.00 2,424.90 0.00% 0.9825 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,424.90 Mon Jul 17 2023 ✅ -2,382.50 0.00 0.00 42.40 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 02 2022 ✅ 36.00 6.30 0.00 42.30 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Bulls vs. Pistons, scheduled for March 9 (7 PM ET)? Bulls Pistons 97.25 0.00 0.00% 0.5656 1.00 0.00 97.25 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 ✅ -55.00 0.00 0.00 42.25 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will Lady Gaga's and Tony Bennet's "I Get a Kick Out of You" win Record of the Year? Yes No 0.00 97.25 0.00% 0.5656 0.00 1.00 0.00 97.25 Sun Apr 03 2022 ✅ -55.00 0.00 0.00 42.25 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 40.00 0.00 0.00% -1.0382 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ 41.53 0.00 0.00 41.53 Trades
Will President Biden mention Trump in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 263.50 0.00% 0.8425 0.00 1.00 0.00 263.50 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 41.50 Trades
Will Hugo Duminil-Copin win the 2022 Fields Medal? Yes No 596.37 0.00 0.00% 0.9306 1.00 0.00 596.37 0.00 Thu Jul 14 2022 ✅ -555.00 0.00 0.00 41.37 Trades
Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit? Yes No 17.03 0.00 0.00% -2.4168 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ 41.15 0.02 0.00 41.17 Trades
Will Logan Paul and Nina Agdal's engagement be called off? Yes No 1,121.30 0.00 0.00% -0.0367 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 41.16 0.00 0.00 41.16 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 0.73 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.73 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ 39.84 0.00 0.00 40.57 Trades
Will BTC hit $60,000 in March? Yes No 7,982.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9950 1.00 0.00 7,982.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -7,941.75 0.00 0.00 40.25 Trades
NBA: Who will win 76ers vs. Lakers, scheduled for March 23 (10 PM ET)? 76ers Lakers 149.80 0.00 0.00% 0.7343 1.00 0.00 149.80 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 ✅ -110.00 0.00 0.00 39.80 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish, scheduled for March 20, 7:10 PM ET? Texas Tech Red Raiders Notre Dame Fighting Irish 94.40 0.00 0.00% 0.5826 1.00 0.00 94.40 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ -55.00 0.00 0.00 39.40 Trades
zkSync airdrop in 2023? Yes No 25.37 0.00 0.00% -1.5520 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 39.38 0.00 0.00 39.38 Trades
Will Barbara Lee replace Feinstein? Yes No 0.00 278.00 0.00% 0.8587 0.00 1.00 0.00 278.00 Mon Nov 04 2024 ✅ -238.73 0.00 0.00 39.27 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell still be a Senator on August 4? Yes No 3,470.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9887 1.00 0.00 3,470.00 0.00 Fri Aug 04 2023 ✅ -3,430.80 0.00 0.00 39.20 Trades
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? Yes No 72.60 0.00 0.00% 0.4603 1.00 0.00 72.60 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 ✅ -33.42 0.00 0.00 39.19 Trades
Will Trump say "beautiful" ten or more times during his CNN town hall? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ 38.88 0.00 0.00 38.88 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? Yes No 0.00 14.35 0.00% -2.2716 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 12 2022 ✅ 32.61 5.31 0.00 37.91 Trades
Will Biden say "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 170.82 0.00 0.00% 0.7849 1.00 0.00 170.82 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -134.07 0.00 0.00 36.75 Trades
Will Warpcast break top 5 on the iOS App Store in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 36.35 0.00 0.00 36.35 Trades
Meghan Markle & Prince Harry split by July 31? Yes No 1,418.23 0.00 0.00% -0.0252 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 35.73 0.00 0.00 35.73 Trades
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2023? Yes No 0.00 594.00 0.00% 0.9399 0.00 1.00 0.00 594.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -558.30 0.00 0.00 35.70 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? Yes No 0.00 9.45 0.00% -2.7752 0.00 1.00 0.00 9.45 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 26.24 0.00 0.00 35.69 Trades
GRAMMYs 2022: Will Billie Eilish win a Grammy? Yes No 0.00 51.52 0.00% 0.3098 0.00 1.00 0.00 51.52 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -15.96 0.00 0.00 35.55 Trades
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? Yes No 0.00 3,605.00 0.00% -0.0098 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ 35.50 0.00 0.00 35.50 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nuggets vs. Clippers, scheduled for March 22, 10:00 PM ET? Nuggets Clippers 90.19 0.00 0.00% 0.6098 1.00 0.00 90.19 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 ✅ -55.00 0.00 0.00 35.19 Trades
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023? Yes No 0.00 8,052.65 0.00% 0.9956 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,052.65 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8,017.57 0.00 0.00 35.08 Trades
Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.8600 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -215.00 0.00 0.00 35.00 Trades
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal? Yes No 0.00 16.13 0.00% -2.1638 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 34.90 0.00 0.00 34.90 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Mavericks vs. Lakers, scheduled for March 1 (10 PM ET)? Mavericks Lakers 77.85 0.00 0.00% 0.5652 1.00 0.00 77.85 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -44.00 0.00 0.00 33.85 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 11? Yes No 1,222.53 0.00 0.00% 0.9724 1.00 0.00 1,222.53 0.00 Wed Oct 11 2023 ✅ -1,188.80 0.00 0.00 33.73 Trades
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? Yes No 3,425.88 0.00 0.00% -0.0098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ 33.41 0.00 0.00 33.41 Trades
Will 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' get a 80% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 77.32 0.00% 0.5691 0.00 1.00 0.00 77.32 Tue Apr 19 2022 ✅ -44.00 0.00 0.00 33.32 Trades
NCAAB March Madness: Who will win Villanova vs. Kansas, scheduled for April 2 (6:09 PM ET)? Villanova Kansas 0.00 4,071.24 0.00% 0.9919 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,071.24 Sat Apr 02 2022 ✅ -4,038.17 0.00 0.00 33.08 Trades
Will Hunter Biden face new criminal charges before November 1? Yes No 0.00 336.52 0.00% 0.9022 0.00 1.00 0.00 336.52 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -303.60 0.00 0.00 32.92 Trades
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,254.85 0.00% 0.9738 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,254.85 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -1,222.00 0.00 0.00 32.85 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 290.04 0.00% 0.8871 0.00 1.00 0.00 290.04 Tue Mar 21 2023 ✅ -257.31 0.00 0.00 32.73 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 694.10 0.00% 0.9536 0.00 1.00 0.00 694.10 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -661.89 0.00 0.00 32.21 Trades
Will natural gas close above $6 on June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 70.10 0.00% 0.5577 0.00 1.00 0.00 70.10 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -39.10 0.05 0.00 31.05 Trades
Will Lil Uzi Vert's new album have over 175k sales in its first week? Yes No 14.66 0.00 0.00% -2.0391 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 06 2023 ✅ 29.89 0.00 0.00 29.89 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 3,773.84 0.00% 0.9921 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,773.84 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ -3,744.01 0.00 0.00 29.83 Trades
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? Yes No 350.85 0.00 0.00% -0.0845 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ 29.64 0.00 0.00 29.64 Trades
Will Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11? Yes No 0.00 570.03 0.00% 0.9486 0.00 1.00 0.00 570.03 Tue Jul 11 2023 ✅ -540.71 0.00 0.00 29.32 Trades
NBA: Who will win Cavaliers vs. Magic, scheduled for March 28, 7:00 PM ET? Cavaliers Magic 117.23 0.00 0.00% 0.7507 1.00 0.00 117.23 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 ✅ -88.00 0.00 0.00 29.23 Trades
Will Trump win Alaska Republican Primary? Yes No 4,138.16 0.00 0.00% 0.9930 1.00 0.00 4,138.16 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -4,109.11 0.00 0.00 29.05 Trades
Milady Floor above 3 ETH on September 22? Yes No 295.87 0.00 0.00% -0.0982 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 22 2023 ✅ 29.04 0.00 0.00 29.04 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? Yes No 0.00 255.96 0.00% 0.8870 0.00 1.00 0.00 255.96 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -227.03 0.00 0.00 28.94 Trades
Will Hikaru win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 04 2023 ✅ 28.90 0.00 0.00 28.90 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Celtics vs. Hawks, scheduled for March 1 (7.30 PM ET)? Celtics Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ 27.79 0.00 0.00 27.79 Trades
WorldCoin Market cap (FDV) over $10b one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 1,194.85 0.00% -0.0231 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ 27.60 0.00 0.00 27.60 Trades
NBA: Will the Nuggets beat the Clippers by more than 6.5 points in their March 22, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 54.72 0.00% -0.4468 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 ✅ 24.45 2.95 0.00 27.40 Trades
Another House member censured by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 1,200.68 0.00% 0.9773 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,200.68 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -1,173.47 0.00 0.00 27.21 Trades
Will Biden say "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 559.83 0.00 0.00% -0.0485 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 27.16 0.00 0.00 27.16 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? Yes No 225.00 0.00 0.00% -0.1196 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 26.90 0.00 0.00 26.90 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 4.13 0.00% -3.4340 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 14.19 12.57 0.00 26.77 Trades
NHL: Who will win Oilers vs. Devils, scheduled for March 19, 3:00 PM ET? Oilers Devils 59.50 0.00 0.00% 0.5546 1.00 0.00 59.50 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
NHL: Will the Islanders beat the Flyers by more than 1.5 goals in their March 20, 2:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 59.50 0.00% 0.5546 0.00 1.00 0.00 59.50 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
NHL: Will the Capitals beat the Blues by more than 1.5 goals in their March 22, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 59.50 0.00% 0.5546 0.00 1.00 0.00 59.50 Tue Mar 22 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the 2022 NBA playoffs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ 26.50 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
NBA: Who will win Pistons vs. Thunder, scheduled for April 1, 8:10 PM ET? Pistons Thunder 59.50 0.00 0.00% 0.5546 1.00 0.00 59.50 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (O'Rourke) or Republican (Abbott) win in Texas? Democrat Republican 2.67 0.00 0.00% -9.9109 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 26.42 0.00 0.00 26.42 Trades
Will 'The Exorcist: Believer' gross over $28m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% -0.0520 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.00 Mon Oct 09 2023 ✅ 1.30 0.00 0.00 26.30 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 137.28 0.00% 0.8086 0.00 1.00 0.00 137.28 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 26.28 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 25.02 1.07 0.00 26.09 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? Yes No 2.65 0.00 0.00% -6.0093 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ 15.93 10.14 0.00 26.07 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? $1800 $2200 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 ✅ 26.03 0.00 0.00 26.03 Trades
Will Wagner take Moscow by Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 1,970.16 0.00% 0.9868 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,970.16 Tue Jun 27 2023 ✅ -1,944.23 0.00 0.00 25.93 Trades
Will 'Morbius' get a 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 588.43 0.00% 0.9559 0.00 1.00 0.00 588.43 Mon Apr 04 2022 ✅ -562.51 0.00 0.00 25.92 Trades
Will MOEX close above 2,500 by April 15, 2022? Yes No 58.74 0.00 0.00% 0.5618 1.00 0.00 58.74 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 25.74 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first? Token Public 641.34 0.00 0.08% 0.4970 0.50 0.50 320.67 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -318.72 23.51 0.00 25.46 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Coin Toss Heads or Tails? Heads Tails 0.00 872.81 0.00% -0.0290 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ 25.35 0.00 0.00 25.35 Trades
Rainbow airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 182.46 0.00% 0.8612 0.00 1.00 0.00 182.46 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -157.13 0.00 0.00 25.32 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by October 31? Yes No 5,545.81 0.00 0.00% 0.9955 1.00 0.00 5,545.81 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 ✅ -5,520.63 0.00 0.00 25.19 Trades
Will 'Saw X' gross over $21m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 50.06 0.00% 0.5001 0.00 1.00 0.00 50.06 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ -25.04 0.00 0.00 25.03 Trades
Kung Fu Panda 4 over $36m opening weekend? Yes No 9,872.65 0.00 0.00% 0.9975 1.00 0.00 9,872.65 0.00 Mon Mar 11 2024 ✅ -9,847.80 0.00 0.00 24.84 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Welch) or Republican (Malloy) win in Vermont? Democrat Republican 35.17 0.00 0.00% 0.2953 1.00 0.00 35.17 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -10.39 0.00 0.00 24.79 Trades
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 14.96 0.00% -0.6372 0.00 1.00 0.00 14.96 Wed Jul 12 2023 ✅ 9.54 0.00 0.00 24.50 Trades
NHL: Who will win Wild vs. Canucks, scheduled for March 24, 8:00 PM ET? Wild Canucks 54.49 0.00 0.00% 0.5505 1.00 0.00 54.49 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -30.00 0.00 0.00 24.49 Trades
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? Yes No 0.00 1,431.17 0.00% 0.9832 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,431.17 Fri Aug 25 2023 ✅ -1,407.14 0.00 0.00 24.04 Trades
NHL: Will the Stars beat the Jets by more than 1.5 goals in their March 4 matchup (8 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 57.02 0.00% 0.5787 0.00 1.00 0.00 57.02 Fri Mar 04 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 24.02 Trades
Will BTC hit $40,000 by Halloween? Yes No 67.42 0.00 0.00% -0.3560 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 24.00 0.00 0.00 24.00 Trades
Will President Biden mention "reset" in his press conference on January 19 ? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 ✅ 23.60 0.00 0.00 23.60 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 4,263.02 0.00 0.00% -0.0055 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ 23.47 0.00 0.00 23.47 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by July 1st, 2022? Yes No 160.64 0.00 0.00% 0.8551 1.00 0.00 160.64 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ -137.36 0.00 0.00 23.28 Trades
Will "abortion" be said 5 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 169.71 0.00 0.00% -0.1369 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 23.24 0.00 0.00 23.24 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 0.34 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 15.37 7.60 0.00 22.97 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? Yes No 0.00 1,107.09 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,107.09 Mon Oct 31 2022 ✅ -1,084.98 0.78 0.00 22.89 Trades
Will Sergio Moro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 577.61 0.00% 0.9609 0.00 1.00 0.00 577.61 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ -555.00 0.00 0.00 22.61 Trades
SBF guilty of all charges? Yes No 57.77 0.00 0.00% 0.6133 1.00 0.00 57.77 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -35.43 0.00 0.00 22.34 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Timberwolves vs. Pistons, scheduled for February 3 (7 PM ET)? Timberwolves Pistons 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 03 2022 ✅ 22.26 0.00 0.00 22.26 Trades
Golf: Will an American win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 196.50 0.00 0.00% 0.8989 1.00 0.00 196.50 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ -176.63 2.34 0.00 22.21 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 16.90 0.00% -0.3078 0.00 1.00 0.00 16.90 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 5.20 0.00 0.00 22.10 Trades
Will Kim Kardashian or Taylor Swift have a higher Google Trends 7-day rank in the US on March 3? Kim Kardashian Taylor Swift 54.49 0.00 0.00% 0.6056 1.00 0.00 54.49 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 21.49 Trades
Will Trump win Massachusetts Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 1,968.28 0.00% -0.0108 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 21.33 0.00 0.00 21.33 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $30 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,105.92 0.00% 0.9808 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,105.92 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -1,084.65 0.00 0.00 21.27 Trades
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? Yes No 143.67 0.00 0.00% -0.1436 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 20.62 0.00 0.00 20.62 Trades
Will Holly Mitchell replace Feinstein? Yes No 130.00 0.00 0.00% -0.1569 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 04 2024 ✅ 20.40 0.00 0.00 20.40 Trades
MLB: Who will win Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers, scheduled for April 12, 1:11 PM ET? Boston Red Sox Detroit Tigers 42.09 0.00 0.00% 0.5227 1.00 0.00 42.09 0.00 Tue Apr 12 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 20.09 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,138.94 0.00% 0.9927 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,138.94 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ -1,130.59 11.39 0.00 19.75 Trades
NHL: Will the Panthers beat the Senators by more than 1.5 goals in their March 3 matchup (7 PM ET)? Yes No 41.62 0.00 0.00% 0.5286 1.00 0.00 41.62 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 19.62 Trades
NHL: Will the Oilers beat the Blackhawks by more than 1.5 goals in their March 3 matchup (8.30 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 41.62 0.00% 0.5286 0.00 1.00 0.00 41.62 Thu Mar 03 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 19.62 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Hawks vs. Wizards, scheduled for March 4 (7 PM ET)? Hawks Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 ✅ 19.62 0.00 0.00 19.62 Trades
$WIF all time high before February? Yes No 0.00 0.36 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.36 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 19.09 0.00 0.00 19.45 Trades
NHL: Will the Predators beat the Flyers by more than 1.5 goals in their March 17, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 41.42 0.00% 0.5311 0.00 1.00 0.00 41.42 Thu Mar 17 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 19.42 Trades
Antony suspended by Man United? Yes No 4.86 0.00 0.00% -3.9593 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 12 2023 ✅ 19.23 0.00 0.00 19.23 Trades
MLB: Who will win Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners, scheduled for April 16, 9:11 PM ET? Houston Astros Seattle Mariners 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 16 2022 ✅ 18.95 0.00 0.00 18.95 Trades
MLB: Who will win Yankees vs. Red Sox, scheduled for April 10 (7:08 PM ET)? Yankees Red Sox 0.00 0.83 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.83 Sun Apr 10 2022 ✅ 16.23 1.80 0.00 18.86 Trades
NCAAB: Will the Kansas Jayhawks beat the Providence Friars by more than 7.5 points in their March 25, 7:29 PM ET matchup? Yes No 2.18 0.00 0.00% -1.7357 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 3.78 15.07 0.00 18.85 Trades
NBA: Who will win Magic vs. Thunder, scheduled for March 20, 6:10 PM ET? Magic Thunder 40.80 0.00 0.00% 0.5392 1.00 0.00 40.80 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 18.80 Trades
NBA: Who will win Pelicans vs. Lakers, scheduled for March 27, 7:10 PM ET? Pelicans Lakers 40.80 0.00 0.00% 0.5392 1.00 0.00 40.80 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 18.80 Trades
Kanye digital release of 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by Friday? Yes No 74.73 0.00 0.00% -0.2504 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ 18.71 0.00 0.00 18.71 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.09 0.00% -0.8823 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 7.14 11.44 0.00 18.58 Trades
Will the Pound dip below the US Dollar before November? Yes No 0.00 1,105.12 0.00% 0.9832 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,105.12 Mon Oct 31 2022 ✅ -1,086.56 0.00 0.00 18.57 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 22.67 0.00 0.00% -0.8069 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 18.29 0.00 0.00 18.29 Trades
Will Mitt Romney vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 985.17 0.00 0.00% 0.9834 1.00 0.00 985.17 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -968.82 1.91 0.00 18.26 Trades
Will Chelsea get 2nd place in the 2021-22 English Premier League? Yes No 0.00 462.09 0.00% 0.9609 0.00 1.00 0.00 462.09 Sun May 22 2022 ✅ -444.00 0.00 0.00 18.09 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.15 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.15 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 16.58 1.33 0.00 18.07 Trades
NHL: Will the Stars beat the Kings by more than 1.5 goals in their March 2 matchup (8.30 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 34.47 0.00% 0.4766 0.00 1.00 0.00 34.47 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ -16.43 0.00 0.00 18.04 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 1, 2022? Yes No 28.93 0.00 0.00% 0.3802 1.00 0.00 28.93 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 17.93 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Elon Musk? Yes No 7.67 0.00 0.00% -2.3363 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 17.92 0.00 0.00 17.92 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Mark Zuckerberg or Michael Bloomberg? Mark Zuckerberg Michael Bloomberg 0.00 572.64 0.00% 0.9692 0.00 1.00 0.00 572.64 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -555.00 0.00 0.00 17.64 Trades
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 17, 2022? Yes No 41.75 0.00 0.00% -0.4119 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 17 2022 ✅ 17.19 0.00 0.00 17.19 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Magic by more than 8.5 points in their March 22, 7:10 PM ET matchup? Yes No 31.75 0.00 0.00% -0.2750 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 ✅ 8.73 8.02 0.00 16.76 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ 16.68 0.00 0.00 16.68 Trades
Will President Biden visit Saudi Arabia before July 2022? Yes No 0.00 571.53 0.00% 0.9711 0.00 1.00 0.00 571.53 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -555.00 0.00 0.00 16.53 Trades
Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31? Yes No 298.96 0.00 0.00% 0.9449 1.00 0.00 298.96 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -282.50 0.00 0.00 16.46 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Rockets, scheduled for March 20, 3:40 PM ET? Grizzlies Rockets 71.16 0.00 0.00% 0.7729 1.00 0.00 71.16 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ -55.00 0.00 0.00 16.16 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 2,222.00 0.00% 0.9928 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,222.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -2,205.97 0.00 0.00 16.03 Trades
Will Brittney Griner play in her next scheduled game? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 06 2022 ✅ 15.51 0.44 0.00 15.94 Trades
Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY? Yes No 0.00 237.83 0.00% 0.9334 0.00 1.00 0.00 237.83 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 15.83 Trades
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? Yes No 0.00 435.50 0.00% 0.9639 0.00 1.00 0.00 435.50 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -419.78 0.00 0.00 15.72 Trades
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Women's Singles? Yes No 96.99 0.00 0.00% 0.8382 1.00 0.00 96.99 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ -81.29 0.00 0.00 15.69 Trades
Will MEXC become insolvent by July 3? Yes No 0.00 1,285.00 0.00% 0.9878 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,285.00 Mon Jul 03 2023 ✅ -1,269.34 0.00 0.00 15.66 Trades
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 08 2022 ✅ 15.40 0.00 0.00 15.40 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 6.25 0.00 0.00% -1.4462 1.00 0.00 6.25 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 9.03 0.00 0.00 15.28 Trades
Will Real Madrid win 2021-22 La Liga? Yes No 459.19 0.00 0.00% 0.9669 1.00 0.00 459.19 0.00 Sun May 22 2022 ✅ -444.00 0.00 0.00 15.19 Trades
Will Liverpool FC win the 2021-22 English Premier League? Yes No 0.00 102.82 0.00% 0.8547 0.00 1.00 0.00 102.82 Sun May 22 2022 ✅ -87.88 0.16 0.00 15.10 Trades
NFL: Will the Chiefs beat the Bengals by more than 7.5 points in their January 30 matchup? Yes No 1.12 0.00 0.00% -13.2182 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 06 2022 ✅ 14.86 0.00 0.00 14.86 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? Yes No 0.78 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ 14.55 0.00 0.00 14.55 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1? Yes No 4.55 0.00 0.00% 1.9549 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ -8.90 23.39 0.00 14.49 Trades
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes? Yes No 0.67 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.67 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 ✅ 13.34 0.44 0.00 14.45 Trades
SPX6900 over $37m by Sep 30? Yes No 2.13 0.00 0.00% -6.6846 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 14.22 0.00 0.00 14.22 Trades
NBA: Will the Celtics beat the Heat by more than 4.5 points in their March 30 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 30 2022 ✅ 12.46 1.45 0.00 13.91 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Celtics vs. Grizzlies, scheduled for March 3 (7.30 PM ET)? Celtics Grizzlies 28.81 0.00 0.00% 0.5206 1.00 0.00 28.81 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 13.81 Trades
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) Presley Reeves 0.00 36.52 0.00% 0.6237 0.00 1.00 0.00 36.52 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -22.78 0.00 0.00 13.74 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Lakers by more than 12.5 points in their April 7 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 88.43 0.00% -0.1180 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 07 2022 ✅ 10.43 3.29 0.00 13.72 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Warriors vs. Nuggets, scheduled for March 10 (10 PM ET)? Warriors Nuggets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 ✅ 13.67 0.00 0.00 13.67 Trades
NBA: Will the Raptors beat the Cavaliers by more than 3.5 points in their March 24 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 28.36 0.00 0.00% 0.5289 1.00 0.00 28.36 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 13.36 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nuggets vs. Lakers, scheduled for April 3, 3:40 PM ET? Nuggets Lakers 28.36 0.00 0.00% 0.5289 1.00 0.00 28.36 0.00 Sun Apr 03 2022 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 13.36 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ 13.11 0.00 0.00 13.11 Trades
Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? Yes No 10.54 0.00 0.00% -0.2348 1.00 0.00 10.54 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ 2.47 0.00 0.00 13.01 Trades
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY? Yes No 0.00 91.59 0.00% 0.8627 0.00 1.00 0.00 91.59 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -79.02 0.00 0.00 12.57 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? Yes No 111.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8900 1.00 0.00 111.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -98.79 0.00 0.00 12.21 Trades
Yulia Navalnaya arrested in February? Yes No 0.00 576.32 0.00% 0.9788 0.00 1.00 0.00 576.32 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -564.12 0.00 0.00 12.20 Trades
Will Iran or Pakistan declare war against the other in January? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -188.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be below 40 ETH on April 27? Yes No 0.00 554.00 0.00% 0.9787 0.00 1.00 0.00 554.00 Wed Apr 27 2022 ✅ -542.20 0.00 0.00 11.80 Trades
Golf: Will Collin Morikawa win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 554.57 0.00% 0.9788 0.00 1.00 0.00 554.57 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ -542.82 0.00 0.00 11.76 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 68.84 0.00 0.00% -0.1681 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ 11.57 0.00 0.00 11.57 Trades
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 10, 2022? Yes No 3.75 0.00 0.00% -1.4372 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ 5.39 6.07 0.00 11.47 Trades
FTX claims worth >75¢ on the dollar by end of Q1? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2400 1.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -3.60 0.00 0.00 11.40 Trades
Is Vivek Ramaswamy GCR? Yes No 0.00 1,060.00 0.00% 0.9895 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,060.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -1,048.86 0.00 0.00 11.14 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Wizards vs. Pistons, scheduled for March 1 (7 PM ET)? Wizards Pistons 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ 10.89 0.00 0.00 10.89 Trades
Superbowl LVI: Will the point difference be greater than 5.5? Yes No 0.79 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 ✅ 10.82 0.00 0.00 10.82 Trades
NHL: Who will win Leafs vs. Devils, scheduled for March 23, 7:00 PM ET? Leafs Devils 32.80 0.00 0.00% 0.6706 1.00 0.00 32.80 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 10.80 Trades
Will Menendez announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 31.10 0.00 0.00% -0.3402 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 10.58 0.00 0.00 10.58 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 10.53 0.00 0.00 10.53 Trades
Will Elon Musk visit Gaza in 2023? Yes No 0.00 621.84 0.00% 0.9832 0.00 1.00 0.00 621.84 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -611.39 0.00 0.00 10.46 Trades
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 223.76 0.00% 0.9853 0.00 1.00 0.00 223.76 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -220.47 7.03 0.00 10.32 Trades
Will Tucker interview Putin? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% -2.0599 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 10.30 0.00 0.00 10.30 Trades
North Korea missile test by July 31? Yes No 185.06 0.00 100.00% 0.9452 1.00 0.00 185.06 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -174.92 0.00 0.00 10.14 Trades
NHL: Who will win Islanders vs. Stars, scheduled for March 19, 2:00 PM ET? Islanders Stars 21.04 0.00 0.00% 0.5227 1.00 0.00 21.04 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 10.04 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Bucks, scheduled for March 26, 8:10 PM ET? Grizzlies Bucks 21.04 0.00 0.00% 0.5227 1.00 0.00 21.04 0.00 Sat Mar 26 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 10.04 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? Yes No 0.00 1,043.51 0.00% 0.9904 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,043.51 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -1,033.47 0.00 0.00 10.04 Trades
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -90.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Emmys 2022: Will ‘Succession’ win Outstanding Drama Series? Yes No 48.66 0.00 0.00% 0.8088 1.00 0.00 48.66 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ -39.35 0.69 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 332.94 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 332.94 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -322.95 0.00 0.00 9.99 Trades
UFC 276: Who will win - Adesanya vs Cannonier Adesanya Cannonier 0.00 2.40 0.00% -1.5130 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 02 2022 ✅ 3.64 6.35 0.00 9.99 Trades
Will President Biden mention "anti-vaxxers" in his press conference on January 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 19 2022 ✅ 9.97 0.00 0.00 9.97 Trades
MLB: Who will win Blue Jays vs. Yankees game on April 13? Blue Jays Yankees 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 13 2022 ✅ 9.25 0.69 0.00 9.95 Trades
Ledger hacker identified by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 24.74 0.00% 0.6015 0.00 1.00 0.00 24.74 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -14.88 0.00 0.00 9.86 Trades
NHL: Will the Predators beat the Kraken by more than 1.5 goals in their March 2 matchup (10 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 9.28 0.00% -0.0371 0.00 1.00 0.00 9.28 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ 0.34 0.00 0.00 9.62 Trades
New Ye music this year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 9.60 0.00 0.00 9.60 Trades
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 548.14 0.00 0.00% 0.9828 1.00 0.00 548.14 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -538.69 0.00 0.00 9.45 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nuggets vs. Hornets, scheduled for March 28, 7:00 PM ET? Nuggets Hornets 19.83 0.00 0.00% 0.5546 1.00 0.00 19.83 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 8.83 Trades
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? Yes No 0.00 396.47 0.00% 0.9790 0.00 1.00 0.00 396.47 Sun Jan 07 2024 ✅ -388.15 0.00 0.00 8.32 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Mavericks by more than 4.5 points in their April 3, 1:10 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 19.18 0.00% 0.5735 0.00 1.00 0.00 19.18 Sun Apr 03 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 8.18 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 221.96 0.45% 0.4886 0.50 0.50 0.00 110.98 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -108.45 5.48 0.00 8.01 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 10.13 0.00% 4.1344 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -41.89 49.81 0.00 7.91 Trades
Will Rubiales remain Spanish FA president through Sep 11? Yes No 0.00 8.75 0.00% 0.0992 0.00 1.00 0.00 8.75 Mon Sep 11 2023 ✅ -0.87 0.00 0.00 7.88 Trades
NCAA March Madness: Who will win Wright State vs. Bryant, scheduled for March 16 (6.40 PM ET)? Wright State Bryant 0.00 0.00 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 16 2022 ✅ -25.47 33.32 0.00 7.85 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 23.30 0.00 0.06% 0.8960 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -20.88 28.62 0.00 7.74 Trades
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA ‘21-’22 Championship? Yes No 0.00 400.30 0.00% 0.9807 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.30 Sun Jun 19 2022 ✅ -392.57 0.00 0.00 7.73 Trades
College Football Championship: Michigan vs. Washington Michigan Washington 0.00 326.52 0.00% -0.0236 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 08 2024 ✅ 7.71 0.00 0.00 7.71 Trades
Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA ‘21-’22 Championship? Yes No 0.00 307.68 0.00% 0.9750 0.00 1.00 0.00 307.68 Sun Jun 19 2022 ✅ -300.00 0.00 0.00 7.68 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers be Traded by NFL week 1? Yes No 0.00 234.41 0.00% -0.0320 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 07 2023 ✅ 7.51 0.00 0.00 7.51 Trades
Will the first letter in SBF’s next tweet be “P”? Yes No 28.88 0.00 0.00% 0.7451 1.00 0.00 28.88 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ -21.52 0.00 0.00 7.36 Trades
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31? Yes No 523.11 0.00 0.00% -0.0141 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 7.35 0.00 0.00 7.35 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ 7.27 0.00 0.00 7.27 Trades
Will "China" be said 15 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 605.74 0.00% -0.0119 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 7.19 0.00 0.00 7.19 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.9883 0.00 1.00 0.00 600.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 ✅ -593.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 939.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9927 1.00 0.00 939.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -932.13 0.00 0.00 6.87 Trades
New Carti music this year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 6.85 0.00 0.00 6.85 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 555.00 0.00% 0.9878 0.00 1.00 0.00 555.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ -548.23 0.00 0.00 6.77 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura Qualify for the FIDE 2022 Candidates Tournament? Yes No 5,554.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9989 1.00 0.00 5,554.00 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 ✅ -5,547.81 0.00 0.00 6.19 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,104.45 0.00% 0.9944 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,104.45 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ -1,098.28 0.00 0.00 6.18 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Nuggets vs. Suns, scheduled for March 24 (9 PM ET)? Nuggets Suns 0.00 11.16 0.00% 0.4481 0.00 1.00 0.00 11.16 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 6.16 Trades
Will Shirley Weber replace Feinstein? Yes No 238.82 0.00 0.00% -0.0248 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 04 2024 ✅ 5.93 0.00 0.00 5.93 Trades
2022 Winter Olympics: Will the USA or Canada get more gold medals? USA Canada 0.11 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.11 0.00 Sun Feb 20 2022 ✅ 5.66 0.00 0.00 5.77 Trades
Will Jeff Bartos win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 550.19 0.01% 0.9898 0.00 1.00 0.00 550.19 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ -544.61 0.00 0.00 5.59 Trades
Will the Turkish Central Bank raise interest rates at its June meeting? Yes No 288.24 0.00 0.00% 0.9806 1.00 0.00 288.24 0.00 Thu Jun 22 2023 ✅ -282.66 0.00 0.00 5.58 Trades
Will Eric Zemmour win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 116.45 0.00% 0.9532 0.00 1.00 0.00 116.45 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 5.45 Trades
Is Google shutting down Gmail? Yes No 0.00 68.88 0.00% 0.9219 0.00 1.00 0.00 68.88 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ -63.50 0.00 0.00 5.38 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 94.34 0.00% 0.9445 0.00 1.00 0.00 94.34 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -89.11 0.00 0.00 5.23 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? $2000 $2500 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 ✅ 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? Yes No 0.00 20.83 0.00% 0.7600 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.83 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -15.83 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will USA win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 60.49 0.00 0.02% -0.0823 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ 4.98 0.00 0.00 4.98 Trades
Will Nina Agdal win restraining order against Dillon Danis? Yes No 495.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 495.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ -490.05 0.00 0.00 4.95 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? Democrat Republican 0.00 1.02 0.00% 1.1715 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -1.20 6.14 0.00 4.94 Trades
Will MOEX close above 3,000 by April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ 4.87 0.05 0.00 4.92 Trades
Will the U-3 unemployment rate in January be above 3.6%? Yes No 115.90 0.00 0.00% 0.9578 1.00 0.00 115.90 0.00 Fri Feb 04 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 4.90 Trades
Fury Vs. KSI Fury KSI 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ 4.76 0.00 0.00 4.76 Trades
Coinbase top 25 app by Friday? Yes No 1,611.51 0.00 0.00% -0.0029 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 4.74 0.00 0.00 4.74 Trades
Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs Eagles Chiefs 0.00 8.67 0.00% 0.4611 0.00 1.00 0.00 8.67 Sun Feb 12 2023 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 4.67 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 221.79 0.00% 0.9790 0.00 1.00 0.00 221.79 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -217.14 0.00 0.00 4.65 Trades
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 0.5350 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.35 0.00 0.00 4.65 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 15? Yes No 5,652.86 0.00 0.00% 0.9992 1.00 0.00 5,652.86 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -5,648.30 0.00 0.00 4.55 Trades
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the NBA ‘21-’22 Championship? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 19 2022 ✅ 4.46 0.00 0.00 4.46 Trades
NBA: Will the Magic beat the Pistons by more than 3.5 points in their March 17, 7:10 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.14 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.14 Thu Mar 17 2022 ✅ 4.15 0.00 0.00 4.29 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 333.00 0.00% 0.9876 0.00 1.00 0.00 333.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ -328.86 0.00 0.00 4.14 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 198.97 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 198.97 Thu Jun 29 2023 ✅ -194.99 0.00 0.00 3.98 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 3.85 0.00 0.00 3.85 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $70k today? Yes No 0.00 2,048.64 0.00% 0.9983 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,048.64 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -2,045.25 0.00 0.00 3.39 Trades
Will ‘The Marvels’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Morbius'? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 ✅ 3.29 0.00 0.00 3.29 Trades
Will Artemis or Starship reach space first? Artemis Starship 0.00 7.10 0.00% -0.4362 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3.10 0.00 0.00 3.10 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 125.32 0.00% 1.0505 0.00 1.00 0.00 125.32 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ -131.65 9.35 0.00 3.02 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the next Chiefs home game? Yes No 9.61 0.00 0.00% 0.7104 1.00 0.00 9.61 0.00 Thu Oct 12 2023 ✅ -6.82 0.00 0.00 2.78 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 4.5 points in their April 5 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 1.21 0.00% -2.2081 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 05 2022 ✅ 2.68 0.07 0.00 2.76 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? Yes No 12,238.62 0.00 0.00% -0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 2.75 0.00 0.00 2.75 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? Yes No 0.00 71.10 0.00% -0.0363 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2.58 0.00 0.00 2.58 Trades
NBA: Who will win Pelicans vs. Spurs, scheduled for April 13 (9:30 PM ET)? Pelicans Spurs 0.00 0.90 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 13 2022 ✅ -15.81 18.34 0.00 2.53 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% 0.9000 0.00 1.00 0.00 25.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -22.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 4? Celtics Warriors 12.36 0.00 0.09% 0.3925 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ -4.85 7.26 0.00 2.41 Trades
Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20? Yes No 2,850.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9992 1.00 0.00 2,850.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 ✅ -2,847.70 0.00 0.00 2.30 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Bulls by more than 6.5 points in their March 18, 10:10 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.07 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 18 2022 ✅ 1.35 0.85 0.00 2.20 Trades
Will Trump win Alabama Republican Primary? Yes No 2,122.51 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 2,122.51 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -2,120.39 0.00 0.00 2.12 Trades
Golf: Will Justin Thomas win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.70 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ 2.12 0.00 0.00 2.12 Trades
Will a European team win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ 2.05 0.00 0.00 2.05 Trades
Will Friend Tech fall off? Yes No 0.00 121.54 0.00% -0.0168 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 17 2023 ✅ 2.04 0.00 0.00 2.04 Trades
New lockdown in US? Yes No 0.00 232.00 0.00% 0.9915 0.00 1.00 0.00 232.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ -230.02 0.00 0.00 1.98 Trades
Will Biden say "Putin" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 63.18 0.00 0.00% 0.9689 1.00 0.00 63.18 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -61.21 0.00 0.00 1.97 Trades
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? Yes No 133.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0156 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 06 2022 ✅ -2.09 4.04 0.00 1.95 Trades
Will Trump mention "Joe/Joseph Biden" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall? Yes No 185.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 185.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ -183.15 0.00 0.00 1.85 Trades
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? Yes No 0.00 3,002.51 0.00% 0.9995 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,002.51 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ -3,001.00 0.00 0.00 1.51 Trades
Golf: Will Daniel Berger win Honda Classic 2022? Yes No 0.00 223.44 0.00% 0.9935 0.00 1.00 0.00 223.44 Sun Feb 27 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 1.44 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 62.32 0.00% 0.9776 0.00 1.00 0.00 62.32 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -60.93 0.00 0.00 1.39 Trades
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 152.33 0.00% 0.9913 0.00 1.00 0.00 152.33 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -151.01 0.00 0.00 1.33 Trades
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -3.96 5.20 0.00 1.24 Trades
Ansem vs Bitlord Ansem Bitlord 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ 1.12 0.00 0.00 1.12 Trades
NBA: Who will win Heat vs. Bulls, scheduled for April 2, 8:00 PM ET? Heat Bulls 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 02 2022 ✅ -1.08 2.20 0.00 1.12 Trades
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? Yes No 0.41 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.76 Trades
NBA: Will the Clippers beat the Lakers by more than 2.5 points in their March 3 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 47.53 0.00% 0.0668 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 ✅ -3.18 3.78 0.00 0.60 Trades
Another Tesla recall before July? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9600 1.00 0.00 15.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -14.40 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -8.07 8.51 0.00 0.44 Trades
Will Trump mention "Russia/Putin" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.30 Trades
Drake's 'For All the Dogs" over 400k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.4893 0.50 0.50 0.00 7.50 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -7.34 0.00 0.00 0.16 Trades
NBA: Who will win Bucks vs. Bulls, scheduled for April 22, 8:30 PM ET? Bucks Bulls 166.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9994 1.00 0.00 166.99 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 ✅ -166.89 0.01 0.00 0.11 Trades
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 6.95 0.00% 0.0827 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -0.57 0.66 0.00 0.08 Trades
Anthony Fauci jail by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Buccaneers vs. Eagles Buccaneers Eagles 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Bills vs. Steelers Bills Steelers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines, scheduled for March 19, 5:15 PM ET? Tennessee Volunteers Michigan Wolverines 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 ✅ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Superbowl LVI: Who will win Rams v. Bengals? Rams Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.11% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the ‘21-’22 Superbowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the ‘21-’22 Superbowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Biden win Mississippi Democratic Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Cricket: Who will win the India vs. Pakistan match starting October 23? India Pakistan 0.00 4.59 0.00% 0.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 23 2022 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Compound suffer an exploit by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Friday? Yes No 36,951.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
OpenAI renamed to ClosedAI in March? Yes No 10.06 0.00 0.00% 0.0060 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.06 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Clippers by more than 7.5 points in their March 8 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 1.33 0.00% 0.0492 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 ✅ -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.06 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.09 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Celtics, scheduled for April 23, 7:30 PM ET? Nets Celtics 0.09 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 23 2022 ✅ -0.10 0.01 0.00 -0.09 Trades
Utopia (Travis Scott) vs. Austin (Post Malone) 1st week sales Utopia Austin 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 03 2023 ✅ -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 Trades
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? Yes No 139.46 0.00 0.00% 0.0008 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 Trades
Will the Lightning beat the Capitals by more than 1.5 goals in their April 6 matchup (7.30 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 06 2022 ✅ -1.57 1.35 0.00 -0.21 Trades
Will Trump win Washington Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 223.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 ✅ -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.22 Trades
NBA: Will the Clippers beat the Knicks by more than 4.5 points in their March 6 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 06 2022 ✅ -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.26 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 9.5 points in their April 20, 9:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 1.48 0.00 0.02% 0.2252 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -0.33 0.04 0.00 -0.29 Trades
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? Yes No 1.14 0.00 0.00% 0.2900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.33 Trades
UFC 276: Will Adesanya KO/TKO Cannonier? Yes No 2.86 0.00 0.00% 0.2726 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 02 2022 ✅ -0.78 0.43 0.00 -0.35 Trades
NBA: Will the Grizzlies beat the Pelicans by more than 5.5 points in their March 8 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 5.21 0.00% 0.0683 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 ✅ -0.36 0.01 0.00 -0.35 Trades
NBA: Will the Celtics beat the Nets by more than 3.5 points in their April 20, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -0.40 0.01 0.00 -0.39 Trades
Will the floor price of Azuki be 30 ETH or more on April 19? Yes No 0.00 2,151.66 0.00% 1.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,151.66 Tue Apr 19 2022 ✅ -2,152.29 0.23 0.00 -0.40 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Second quarter winner? Chiefs 49ers 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Idalia hit Florida as a major hurricane? Yes No 0.00 122.84 0.00% 0.0041 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $200 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 581.95 0.00% 1.1283 0.00 1.00 0.00 581.95 Mon May 09 2022 ✅ -656.61 74.04 0.00 -0.61 Trades
MLB: Who will win Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres, scheduled for April 14, 8:11 PM ET? Atlanta Braves San Diego Padres 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 14 2022 ✅ -1.95 1.12 0.00 -0.84 Trades
Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2023-24 season? Yes No 2.99 0.00 0.00% 0.3300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -0.99 0.00 0.00 -0.99 Trades
Will Daniil Medvedev play in the 2022 French Open? Yes No 0.00 520.15 0.00% 0.0019 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Wednesday? Yes No 81.66 0.00 0.00% 0.0122 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.08 0.00 0.00 -1.08 Trades
Will "Pinocchio" win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film? Yes No 5.32 0.00 0.00% 1.2220 1.00 0.00 5.32 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 ✅ -6.50 0.00 0.00 -1.18 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 0.00 10.83 0.00% 0.1100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.19 0.00 0.00 -1.19 Trades
Did SBF launch BALD? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ -1.24 0.00 0.00 -1.24 Trades
NBA: Who will win Heat vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 24, 7:00 PM ET? Heat Hawks 0.00 0.80 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 ✅ -1.83 0.56 0.00 -1.26 Trades
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 12,920.33 0.00% 0.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -1.29 0.00 0.00 -1.29 Trades
Will Chelsea F.C. win another Premier League game this year? Yes No 0.00 325.02 0.00% 0.0043 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.41 0.00 0.00 -1.41 Trades
NBA: Will the Nuggets beat the Suns by more than 3.5 points in their March 24 (9 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 41.98 0.00 0.00% 0.0411 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -1.73 0.29 0.00 -1.44 Trades
Drake's 'For All the Dogs" over 300k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 0.58 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.29 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -1.82 0.00 0.00 -1.52 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? Yes No 1,622.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1.62 0.00 0.00 -1.62 Trades
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 17.25 0.00% 0.0963 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ -1.66 0.00 0.00 -1.66 Trades
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.1200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -1.80 0.00 0.00 -1.80 Trades
NYC Air Quality Index above 165 on June 8? Yes No 0.00 19.82 0.00% 0.0916 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 08 2023 ✅ -1.82 0.00 0.00 -1.82 Trades
Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022? Yes No 55.10 0.00 0.00% 0.0397 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 13 2022 ✅ -2.19 0.02 0.00 -2.17 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson be arrested before April? Yes No 222.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2.22 0.00 0.00 -2.22 Trades
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? Yes No 0.34 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 ✅ -2.56 0.00 0.00 -2.56 Trades
NBA: Who will win 76ers vs. Raptors, scheduled for April 20, 8:00 PM ET? 76ers Raptors 0.00 1.64 0.00% 2.5915 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -4.25 1.58 0.00 -2.67 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -3.97 1.11 0.00 -2.87 Trades
Will Tesla deliver a Cybertruck in Q3? Yes No 22.13 0.00 0.00% 0.1406 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 19 2023 ✅ -3.11 0.00 0.00 -3.11 Trades
Will Vicky Hartzler win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7861 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ -3.93 0.74 0.00 -3.19 Trades
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 937.35 0.00 0.00% 0.0035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -3.27 0.00 0.00 -3.27 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 135.88 0.00% 1.0245 0.00 1.00 0.00 135.88 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ -139.20 0.00 0.00 -3.32 Trades
DOGE all time high by Friday? Yes No 116.62 0.00 0.00% 0.0314 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -3.67 0.00 0.00 -3.67 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -3.77 0.00 0.00 -3.77 Trades
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? Yes No 113.86 0.00 0.00% 0.0334 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3.80 0.00 0.00 -3.80 Trades
Will Moriah Mills leak a sex tape with Zion Williamson? Yes No 30.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -3.90 0.00 0.00 -3.90 Trades
Will the price of Bitcoin (BTC) be above $42,000 on 4/20? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -14.19 10.29 0.00 -3.90 Trades
Will Russia invade Alaska before March? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Facebook outage caused by hack? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0133 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 10 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 679.24 0.00% 1.0064 0.00 1.00 0.00 679.24 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -683.61 0.00 0.00 -4.37 Trades
Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA ‘21-’22 NBA Championship? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 19 2022 ✅ -4.58 0.17 0.00 -4.41 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: First quarter winner? Chiefs 49ers 0.00 456.82 0.00% 0.5100 0.50 0.50 0.00 228.41 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -232.98 0.00 0.00 -4.57 Trades
Martha Pollack out as Cornell President before March? Yes No 15.19 0.00 0.00% 0.3047 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -4.63 0.00 0.00 -4.63 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win UCLA Bruins vs. Saint Mary's Gaels, scheduled for March 19, 7:10 PM ET? UCLA Bruins Saint Mary's Gaels 1,456.01 0.00 0.00% 1.0073 1.00 0.00 1,456.01 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 ✅ -1,466.61 5.94 0.00 -4.66 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? Yes No 829.93 0.00 0.00% 0.0057 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4.74 0.00 0.00 -4.74 Trades
$Bitcoin (Hpos10i) all time high by Jan 31? Yes No 136.88 0.00 0.00% 0.0393 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -5.38 0.00 0.00 -5.38 Trades
Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023? Yes No 0.00 236.42 0.00% 0.0233 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.52 0.00 0.00 -5.52 Trades
Will David Hoffman say the word “fundamentals” in the first 5 minutes of the debate? Yes No 0.00 43.31 0.00% 0.6375 0.50 0.50 0.00 21.66 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -27.61 0.00 0.00 -5.96 Trades
Zherka Vs. Izi Prime Zherka Izi Prime 0.00 846.00 0.00% 0.0072 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 18 2023 ✅ -6.07 0.00 0.00 -6.07 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -6.09 0.00 0.00 -6.09 Trades
Ilhan Omar expelled from Congress before March? Yes No 305.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -6.10 0.00 0.00 -6.10 Trades
Will the Kyberswap exploiter's demands be met? Yes No 550.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0114 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -6.28 0.00 0.00 -6.28 Trades
Who will crowdfund more money: Policeman or Nahel? Police Nahel 0.00 614.28 0.00% 0.0103 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 07 2023 ✅ -6.34 0.00 0.00 -6.34 Trades
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? Yes No 0.00 5.74 0.00% 1.4986 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -8.61 2.16 0.00 -6.45 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 03 2023 ✅ -6.73 0.00 0.00 -6.73 Trades
USD/TRY (Turkish Central Bank buy rate) above 25 on July 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 03 2023 ✅ -7.17 0.00 0.00 -7.17 Trades
Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -7.50 0.00 0.00 -7.50 Trades
Will the Florida Panthers win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 48.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1590 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 ✅ -7.63 0.11 0.00 -7.52 Trades
Will Hilary hit US as a hurricane? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 ✅ -7.83 0.00 0.00 -7.83 Trades
NBA: Will the Cavaliers beat the Raptors by more than 4.5 points in their March 6 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 06 2022 ✅ -8.22 0.38 0.00 -7.84 Trades
$WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in March? Yes No 0.00 7,905.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -7.91 0.00 0.00 -7.91 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.08 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.18 0.00 0.00 -8.18 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -18.42 10.21 0.00 -8.21 Trades
Golf: Will Jordan Spieth win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ -8.77 0.51 0.00 -8.26 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? Yes No 2,623.82 0.00 0.00% 0.0032 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 ✅ -8.46 0.00 0.00 -8.46 Trades
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0566 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -8.49 0.00 0.00 -8.49 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US in 2023? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0567 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.50 0.00 0.00 -8.50 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,700 on May 14, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 ✅ -8.68 0.00 0.00 -8.68 Trades
Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 58.45 0.00% 0.1488 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -8.70 0.00 0.00 -8.70 Trades
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 241.05 0.00% 0.0363 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.75 0.00 0.00 -8.75 Trades
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? Yes No 0.00 5.26 0.00% 2.7226 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.26 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -14.33 0.00 0.00 -9.07 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Franken) or Republican (Grassley) win in Iowa? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -9.11 0.00 0.00 -9.11 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 137.14 0.00 0.00% 1.0666 1.00 0.00 137.14 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -146.28 0.00 0.00 -9.14 Trades
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 13,880.28 0.00% 0.0007 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -9.23 0.00 0.00 -9.23 Trades
Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -9.29 0.00 0.00 -9.29 Trades
Will Mbappé sign for Chelsea? Yes No 235.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -9.40 0.00 0.00 -9.40 Trades
NCAAB: Will the Gonzaga Bulldogs beat the Memphis Tigers by more than 10.5 points in their March 19, 9:40 PM ET matchup? Yes No 244.93 0.00 0.00% 0.0718 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 ✅ -17.58 8.16 0.00 -9.42 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 7.37 0.00 0.00% 1.5503 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -11.42 1.83 0.00 -9.58 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? Yes No 240.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ -9.60 0.00 0.00 -9.60 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? Yes No 319.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0303 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -9.66 0.00 0.00 -9.66 Trades
Starknet airdrop in February? Yes No 0.00 9,990.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -9.76 0.00 0.00 -9.76 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 51-100? Yes No 1,403.52 0.00 0.00% 0.0070 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -9.88 0.00 0.00 -9.88 Trades
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -9.90 0.00 0.00 -9.90 Trades
Will Biden win Washington Democratic Primary? Yes No 0.00 10,101.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 ✅ -10.10 0.00 0.00 -10.10 Trades
Will anyone say "Clinton" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 250.97 0.00 0.00% 0.0403 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ -10.11 0.00 0.00 -10.11 Trades
Will Unslashed Insurance payout for an Anchor + UST depeg by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6.45 0.00% 1.5994 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -10.32 0.20 0.00 -10.13 Trades
Will an earthquake with magnitude 8.0 or above occur anywhere on Earth before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,292.88 0.00% 1.0081 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,292.88 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -1,303.35 0.02 0.00 -10.45 Trades
NHL: Will the Hurricanes beat the Capitals by more than 1.5 goals in their March 28, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 19.83 0.00% 0.5546 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price still be above $4 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 39.93 0.00% 0.2755 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Islanders beat the Stars by more than 1.5 goals in their March 19, 2:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 16.89 0.00% 0.6511 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Warriors vs. Magic, scheduled for March 22, 7:10 PM ET? Warriors Magic 15.36 0.00 0.00% 0.7160 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
NHL: Who will win Avalanche vs. Canucks, scheduled for March 23, 9:30 PM ET? Avalanche Canucks 17.29 0.00 0.00% 0.6362 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Raptors vs. Heat, scheduled for April 3, 7:10 PM ET? Raptors Heat 18.78 0.00 0.00% 0.5859 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 03 2022 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by end of March? Yes No 523.95 0.00 0.00% 0.0210 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Will any Friend Tech user's share price be >5 ETH by Friday? Yes No 424.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0264 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 ✅ -11.18 0.00 0.00 -11.18 Trades
Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift seen together again? Yes No 0.00 645.93 0.00% 0.0175 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -11.30 0.00 0.00 -11.30 Trades
Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 183.88 0.00% 0.0623 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 23 2023 ✅ -11.45 0.00 0.00 -11.45 Trades
Will Grayscale win v. SEC? Yes No 0.00 45.08 0.00% 0.2546 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -11.47 0.00 0.00 -11.47 Trades
Another Ledger exploit by Jan 31? Yes No 230.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0502 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -11.55 0.00 0.00 -11.55 Trades
Will anyone say "Obama" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 70.00 0.00 0.00% 1.1700 1.00 0.00 70.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -81.90 0.00 0.00 -11.90 Trades
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November? Yes No 0.00 5.40 0.00% 3.1493 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 ✅ -17.01 5.03 0.00 -11.97 Trades
Damian Lillard traded before start of season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 24 2023 ✅ -12.34 0.00 0.00 -12.34 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Troy Trojans, scheduled for March 20, 7:30 PM ET? Abilene Christian Wildcats Troy Trojans 0.00 17.02 0.00% 0.8530 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ -14.52 2.18 0.00 -12.34 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 ✅ -12.50 0.00 0.00 -12.50 Trades
2022 French Open: Who will win Nadal vs. Zverev? Nadal Zverev 0.00 34.23 0.00% 0.3733 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 ✅ -12.78 0.00 0.00 -12.78 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 16.22 0.00% 1.7878 0.00 1.00 0.00 16.22 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -29.00 0.00 0.00 -12.78 Trades
Will Bongbong Marcos be elected President of the Philippines in 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.34 0.00% 3.9598 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 ✅ -17.18 3.65 0.00 -13.53 Trades
Golf: Will Tiger Woods win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.87 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ -13.96 0.33 0.00 -13.63 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1070 on May 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 19.01 0.01% 0.7252 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 ✅ -13.78 0.00 0.00 -13.78 Trades
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $70 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.1400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 ✅ -14.00 0.00 0.00 -14.00 Trades
Blast exploit by March 7? Yes No 493.35 0.00 0.00% 0.0288 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 07 2024 ✅ -14.20 0.00 0.00 -14.20 Trades
Will Trump win Tennessee Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 20,517.06 0.00% 0.0007 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -14.51 0.00 0.00 -14.51 Trades
Did P. Diddy have sex with Meek Mill? Yes No 14,911.45 0.00 0.00% 0.0010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -14.91 0.00 0.00 -14.91 Trades
NHL: Will the Flames beat the Canadiens by more than 2.5 goals in their March 3 matchup (9 PM ET)? Yes No 28.81 0.00 0.00% 0.5206 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
NHL: Who will win Penguins vs. Sabres, scheduled for March 23, 7:30 PM ET? Penguins Sabres 24.34 0.00 0.00% 0.6162 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
UK election called by end of year? Yes No 303.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0503 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15.23 0.00 0.00 -15.23 Trades
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 ✅ -15.31 0.00 0.00 -15.31 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 4.5 points in their March 4 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 214,830.36 0.00% 0.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 ✅ -15.84 0.08 0.00 -15.76 Trades
Will LeBron say COVID vaccine could've caused Bronny's cardiac arrest? Yes No 615.08 0.00 0.00% 0.0256 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -15.77 0.00 0.00 -15.77 Trades
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? Yes No 0.00 279.43 0.00% 1.0587 0.00 1.00 0.00 279.43 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -295.83 0.00 0.00 -16.40 Trades
Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a solar flare? Yes No 16,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -16.50 0.00 0.00 -16.50 Trades
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 518.21 0.00% 0.0321 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ -16.62 0.00 0.00 -16.62 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.1700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -17.00 0.00 0.00 -17.00 Trades
Will US attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ -17.00 0.00 0.00 -17.00 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? Yes No 0.00 165.27 0.00% 1.1036 0.00 1.00 0.00 165.27 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ -182.38 0.00 0.00 -17.11 Trades
Celestia token above $5 one week after airdrop? Yes No 802.26 0.00 0.00% 0.0214 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 06 2023 ✅ -17.14 0.00 0.00 -17.14 Trades
SHIB all time high by Friday? Yes No 245.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0708 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -17.35 0.00 0.00 -17.35 Trades
Will Trump win North Carolina Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 15,628.34 0.00% 0.0011 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -17.92 0.00 0.00 -17.92 Trades
Will Biden say "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 170.71 0.00% 0.1074 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -18.34 0.00 0.00 -18.34 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 143.52 0.02% 1.1543 0.00 1.00 0.00 143.52 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -165.67 3.18 0.00 -18.97 Trades
Binance insolvent in 2023? Yes No 239.58 0.00 0.00% 0.0796 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -19.06 0.00 0.00 -19.06 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on June 24, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 24 2022 ✅ -19.30 0.00 0.00 -19.30 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 1,100.27 0.00 0.00% 0.0182 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -20.05 0.00 0.00 -20.05 Trades
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2022 US Masters Tournament? Yes No 121.36 0.00 0.00% 1.2300 1.00 0.00 121.36 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 ✅ -149.28 7.51 0.00 -20.41 Trades
Will Trump win Arkansas Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 20,504.99 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -20.50 0.00 0.00 -20.50 Trades
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? Yes No 180.15 0.00 0.00% 0.1153 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -20.77 0.00 0.00 -20.77 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 2.85 0.00% 7.2933 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -20.79 0.00 0.00 -20.79 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Prince Andrew? Yes No 0.00 409.70 0.00% 0.0526 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -21.53 0.00 0.00 -21.53 Trades
Will Ben Armstrong regain control of BitBoy Crypto by EOY? Yes No 385.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0561 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -21.61 0.00 0.00 -21.61 Trades
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1? Yes No 1,272.00 0.00 0.00% 1.0170 1.00 0.00 1,272.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -1,293.68 0.00 0.00 -21.68 Trades
Will ETH dip below $2,000 by end of Jan? Yes No 190.01 0.00 0.00% 0.1145 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -21.76 0.00 0.00 -21.76 Trades
Will Tony Snell be signed today? Yes No 1,735.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0127 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 02 2024 ✅ -21.96 0.00 0.00 -21.96 Trades
NHL: Will the Maple Leafs beat the Sabres by more than 1.5 goals in their March 2 matchup (7.30 PM ET)? Yes No 41.62 0.00 0.00% 0.5286 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
NHL: Who will win Blues vs. Jackets, scheduled for March 19, 5:00 PM ET? Blues Jackets 40.80 0.00 0.00% 0.5392 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 19 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Will the mystery couple win "Proof of Love"? Yes No 85.53 0.00 0.00% 0.2572 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Will Terra USD (UST) fall below 50 cents by July 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 43.30 0.00% 0.5081 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? Yes No 168.87 0.00 0.00% 0.1303 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 20 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hofmeister) or Republican (Stitt) win in Oklahoma? Democrat Republican 276.79 0.00 0.00% 0.0795 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Will a candidate say something racist at the next Republican debate? Yes No 391.66 0.00 0.00% 0.0569 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 04 2023 ✅ -22.27 0.00 0.00 -22.27 Trades
Will Faze Banks’ share price be >10 ETH this month? Yes No 2,510.03 0.00 0.00% 0.0091 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -22.84 0.00 0.00 -22.84 Trades
Golf: Will Jon Rahm win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 1.30 0.00% 24.7563 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.30 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ -32.23 7.95 0.00 -22.98 Trades
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? Yes No 164.41 0.00 0.00% 0.1410 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 10 2023 ✅ -23.18 0.00 0.00 -23.18 Trades
North Korea nuke by March 31? Yes No 0.00 115.91 0.00% 1.2010 0.00 1.00 0.00 115.91 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -139.21 0.00 0.00 -23.30 Trades
Will a world leader shit themselves before March? Yes No 2,601.55 0.00 0.00% 0.0092 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -24.05 0.00 0.00 -24.05 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day? Yes No 0.00 682.10 0.00% 0.0363 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ -24.75 0.00 0.00 -24.75 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? Yes No 1,000.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $80 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 ✅ -26.00 0.00 0.00 -26.00 Trades
2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Magnus Carlsen win top 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ -26.77 0.00 0.00 -26.77 Trades
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 940.46 0.00% 0.0286 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -26.92 0.00 0.00 -26.92 Trades
Will SBF plead guilty by August 21? Yes No 911.08 0.00 0.00% 0.0304 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 21 2023 ✅ -27.68 0.00 0.00 -27.68 Trades
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? Yes No 13.02 0.00 0.00% 2.6757 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ -34.84 7.09 0.00 -27.75 Trades
Will SAG end strike by Oct 31? Yes No 38.45 0.00 0.00% 0.7347 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -28.25 0.00 0.00 -28.25 Trades
Will Trump mention DeSantis more than Biden during his CNN town hall? Yes No 430.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0660 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ -28.40 0.00 0.00 -28.40 Trades
Will OG Anunoby return before the playoffs? Yes No 0.00 1,633.06 0.00% 0.0174 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 14 2024 ✅ -28.44 0.00 0.00 -28.44 Trades
Sierra Leone Presidential Election: Will Julius Maada Bio win? Yes No 0.00 127.08 0.00% 0.2352 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 24 2023 ✅ -29.89 0.00 0.00 -29.89 Trades
Will Barbara Lee advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 9.60 0.00 0.00% 3.1558 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -30.30 0.00 0.00 -30.30 Trades
Will Manchester City win the 2021-22 English Premier League? Yes No 0.00 85.78 0.00% 0.3596 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 22 2022 ✅ -30.85 0.51 0.00 -30.34 Trades
Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a hack? Yes No 0.00 1,590.25 0.00% 1.0194 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,590.25 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1,621.09 0.00 0.00 -30.84 Trades
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by October 14? Yes No 575.53 0.00 0.00% 0.0538 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ -30.99 0.00 0.00 -30.99 Trades
Will Ayatollah Khamenei still be in power in Iran by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 628.00 0.00% 0.0494 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -31.00 0.00 0.00 -31.00 Trades
Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ -31.14 0.00 0.00 -31.14 Trades
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? Yes No 167.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1874 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -31.30 0.00 0.00 -31.30 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Heat vs. Raptors, scheduled for January 29 (8 PM ET)? Heat Raptors 135.66 0.00 0.00% 0.2346 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 29 2022 ✅ -31.83 0.00 0.00 -31.83 Trades
Will the Diamondbacks win the World Series? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 03 2023 ✅ -32.80 0.00 0.00 -32.80 Trades
NHL: Will the Maple Leafs beat the Stars by more than 1.5 goals in their March 15 matchup (7 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 60.75 0.00% 0.5432 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 -33.00 Trades
NHL: Who will win Hurricanes vs. Stars, scheduled for March 24, 7:00 PM ET? Hurricanes Stars 59.50 0.00 0.00% 0.5546 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 -33.00 Trades
NHL: Who will win Jets vs. Senators, scheduled for March 24, 8:00 PM ET? Jets Senators 59.50 0.00 0.00% 0.5546 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 -33.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Sharks beat the Ducks by more than 1.5 goals in their March 26, 10:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 59.50 0.00% 0.5546 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 26 2022 ✅ -33.00 0.00 0.00 -33.00 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 250.88 0.00% 0.1322 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -33.18 0.00 0.00 -33.18 Trades
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 589.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0567 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -33.43 0.00 0.00 -33.43 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 574.74 0.00% 0.0599 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -34.45 0.00 0.00 -34.45 Trades
US/Iran declare war before March? Yes No 13,978.39 0.00 0.00% 0.0025 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -34.49 0.00 0.00 -34.49 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by March 31? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.1700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -34.85 0.00 0.00 -34.85 Trades
Will a Korean team win LOL Worlds 2023? Yes No 0.00 55.56 0.00% 0.6400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -35.56 0.00 0.00 -35.56 Trades
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 162.23 0.00 0.00% 0.2464 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 ✅ -39.98 4.35 0.00 -35.63 Trades
Will Rafah border crossing open for humanitarian aid by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 515.00 0.00% 0.0703 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 ✅ -36.22 0.00 0.00 -36.22 Trades
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked? Yes No 1,154.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0316 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -36.48 0.00 0.00 -36.48 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? Yes No 0.00 903.61 0.00% 1.0410 0.00 1.00 0.00 903.61 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -940.67 0.00 0.00 -37.06 Trades
NCAA March Madness: Who will win Notre Dame vs. Rutgers, scheduled for March 16 (9.10 PM ET)? Notre Dame Rutgers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 16 2022 ✅ -155.21 117.45 0.00 -37.76 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 874.24 0.00 0.00% 0.0437 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -38.24 0.00 0.00 -38.24 Trades
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15¢ and 65¢ EOW? Yes No 0.00 4,693.95 0.00% 0.0083 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 06 2023 ✅ -38.92 0.00 0.00 -38.92 Trades
Will Xi Jinping be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 775.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0506 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -39.25 0.00 0.00 -39.25 Trades
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? Yes No 0.00 3,498.04 0.00% 1.0112 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,498.04 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ -3,537.30 0.00 0.00 -39.26 Trades
Texans vs. Browns Texans Browns 0.00 1,736.57 0.00% 0.0229 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ -39.75 0.00 0.00 -39.75 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? Yes No 202.09 0.00 0.00% 0.1969 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -39.79 0.00 0.00 -39.79 Trades
Will Biden say "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 84.70 0.00% 0.4706 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -39.86 0.00 0.00 -39.86 Trades
Ledger hacker arrested by end of 2023? Yes No 1,056.17 0.00 0.00% 0.0380 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -40.18 0.00 0.00 -40.18 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 119.81 0.00 0.00% 0.3359 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -40.25 0.00 0.00 -40.25 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? Yes No 115.18 0.00 0.00% 0.3515 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -40.49 0.00 0.00 -40.49 Trades
Another Celestia airdrop by March 1? Yes No 430.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0944 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -40.61 0.00 0.00 -40.61 Trades
Will CZ be arrested by Aug 31? Yes No 1,625.31 0.00 0.00% 0.0250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -40.71 0.00 0.00 -40.71 Trades
Will the Astros win the World Series? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 03 2023 ✅ -41.00 0.00 0.00 -41.00 Trades
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA ‘21-’22 Championship? Yes No 117.18 0.00 0.00% 0.3646 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 19 2022 ✅ -42.73 1.25 0.00 -41.47 Trades
TikTok sale announced in March? Yes No 1,598.84 0.00 0.00% 0.0259 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -41.48 0.00 0.00 -41.48 Trades
Will anyone say "Bitcoin" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 320.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1316 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ -42.10 0.00 0.00 -42.10 Trades
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 406.67 0.00% 0.1050 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -42.72 0.00 0.00 -42.72 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? Yes No 0.00 66.87 0.00% 0.6479 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -43.33 0.00 0.00 -43.33 Trades
Will Manchester City win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 95.67 0.00 0.00% 0.4599 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 ✅ -44.00 0.00 0.00 -44.00 Trades
Biden v. Nebraska: Student Loan Forgiveness Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2950 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -44.25 0.00 0.00 -44.25 Trades
Any rug >$1m on Blast today? Yes No 0.00 386.68 0.00% 1.1186 0.00 1.00 0.00 386.68 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -432.54 0.00 0.00 -45.86 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Warriors vs. Clippers, scheduled for March 8 (10 PM ET)? Warriors Clippers 3,284.03 0.00 0.02% 1.0154 1.00 0.00 3,284.03 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 ✅ -3,334.51 4.47 0.00 -46.01 Trades
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 206.09 0.00% 0.2236 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ -46.08 0.00 0.00 -46.08 Trades
Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) land any strikes? Yes No 0.00 656.24 0.00% 0.0711 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ -46.67 0.00 0.00 -46.67 Trades
Will Nick White say "modular" at least 10 times during the debate? Yes No 0.00 409.93 0.00% 0.6150 0.50 0.50 0.00 204.96 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -252.10 0.00 0.00 -47.14 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $120 million or less on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 1,099.89 0.00% 1.1517 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,099.89 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ -1,266.78 118.08 0.00 -48.82 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 5.03 0.00% 27.5965 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -138.75 89.59 0.00 -49.16 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 4.00 0.00 0.01% 31.6029 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ -126.46 76.10 0.00 -50.36 Trades
Charlotte Fang vs. Sonora Sprite Charlotte Sprite 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 15 2023 ✅ -50.94 0.00 0.00 -50.94 Trades
Will Milady flip Azuki by Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 56.89 0.00% 0.8954 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -50.94 0.00 0.00 -50.94 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 220.38 0.00% 0.2314 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ -51.00 0.00 0.00 -51.00 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? Yes No 41,830.73 0.00 0.00% 0.0012 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -51.77 0.00 0.00 -51.77 Trades
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March? Yes No 12,000.01 0.00 0.00% 0.0044 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -52.21 0.00 0.00 -52.21 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House by Nov 30? Yes No 3,073.92 0.00 0.00% 0.0173 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -53.15 0.00 0.00 -53.15 Trades
Will 'Jurassic World Dominion' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 14 2022 ✅ -53.27 0.00 0.00 -53.27 Trades
Ethereum all time high by Friday? Yes No 2,629.56 0.00 0.00% 0.0203 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -53.40 0.00 0.00 -53.40 Trades
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? Yes No 1,521.26 0.00 0.00% 0.0353 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 ✅ -53.72 0.00 0.00 -53.72 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022? Yes No 97.30 0.00 0.00% 0.5837 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 10 2022 ✅ -56.79 2.62 0.00 -54.17 Trades
Celestia token above $1 one week after airdrop? Yes No 0.00 1,800.00 0.00% 0.0305 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 06 2023 ✅ -54.85 0.00 0.00 -54.85 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Field goal from 50+ yards? Yes No 0.00 979.13 0.00% 0.0561 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -54.95 0.00 0.00 -54.95 Trades
Will 'Thor: Love and Thunder' get a 75% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 71.34 0.00 0.00% 0.7710 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 11 2022 ✅ -55.00 0.00 0.00 -55.00 Trades
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 0.00 120.11 0.00% 0.5011 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 ✅ -60.19 4.24 0.00 -55.95 Trades
Will Nikola Jokic win 2023 NBA MVP? Yes No 321.43 0.00 0.00% 0.1747 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -56.14 0.00 0.00 -56.14 Trades
Will Trump mention "Ron DeSantis" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall? Yes No 422.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1353 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ -57.08 0.00 0.00 -57.08 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023? Yes No 2,207.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0264 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -58.27 0.00 0.00 -58.27 Trades
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 1,640.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0363 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -59.47 0.00 0.00 -59.47 Trades
Was the Super Bowl rigged? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -60.14 0.00 0.00 -60.14 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? Yes No 514.52 0.00 0.00% 0.1214 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ -62.45 0.00 0.00 -62.45 Trades
Will Trump win Minnesota Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 60,255.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -62.55 0.00 0.00 -62.55 Trades
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 407.69 0.00 0.00% 0.1541 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -62.82 0.00 0.00 -62.82 Trades
Will Meltem Demirors say "inflows" at least 5 times during the debate? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.8100 0.50 0.50 0.00 102.50 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -166.05 0.00 0.00 -63.55 Trades
Will the US soldier be released from North Korea by July 25? Yes No 3,577.31 0.00 0.00% 0.0180 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ -64.27 0.00 0.00 -64.27 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -64.45 0.00 0.00 -64.45 Trades
Will Curve's founder get liquidated? Yes No 1,202.69 0.00 0.00% 0.0543 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ -65.34 0.00 0.00 -65.34 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? Yes No 1,380.51 0.00 0.00% 0.0483 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -66.68 0.00 0.00 -66.68 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: First offensive play Run or Pass? Run Pass 0.00 590.37 0.00% 0.1137 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -67.14 0.00 0.00 -67.14 Trades
Confederate Memorial at Arlington Cemetery removed by Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 1,043.78 0.00% 0.0647 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ -67.58 0.00 0.00 -67.58 Trades
Any Blast rug >$1m by Mar 7? Yes No 374.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1817 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 07 2024 ✅ -67.97 0.00 0.00 -67.97 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will score more points in Game 3, Steph Curry or Jayson Tatum? Curry Tatum 0.00 236.28 0.00% 0.3379 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 08 2022 ✅ -79.83 11.29 0.00 -68.54 Trades
JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? Yes No 0.00 489.24 0.00% 0.1403 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 23 2023 ✅ -68.64 0.00 0.00 -68.64 Trades
Will $USDC repeg by March 31? Yes No 0.00 1,744.00 0.00% 0.0400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -69.76 0.00 0.00 -69.76 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? Yes No 0.00 438.88 0.00% 0.1632 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -71.61 1.31 0.00 -70.30 Trades
Will Russian Chess Player Sergey Karjakin be removed or withdraw from the FIDE 2022 Candidates Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 07 2022 ✅ -78.58 7.87 0.00 -70.71 Trades
Will James Harden be traded? Yes No 0.00 189.55 0.00% 0.3759 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 08 2024 ✅ -71.25 0.00 0.00 -71.25 Trades
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? Yes No 3,815.25 0.00 0.00% 0.0188 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -71.66 0.00 0.00 -71.66 Trades
Haiti intervention in March? Yes No 1,850.24 0.00 0.00% 0.0390 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -72.14 0.00 0.00 -72.14 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for April 23, 10:00 PM ET? Grizzlies Timberwolves 197.62 0.00 0.00% 0.4360 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 23 2022 ✅ -86.16 13.93 0.00 -72.22 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 690.22 0.00% 0.1062 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -73.33 0.00 0.00 -73.33 Trades
Jupiter airdrop in 2023? Yes No 0.00 648.06 0.00% 1.1132 0.00 1.00 0.00 648.06 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -721.41 0.00 0.00 -73.35 Trades
Will another plane's cabin door blow off in January? Yes No 1,603.89 0.00 0.00% 0.0459 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -73.56 0.00 0.00 -73.56 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? Yes No 3,860.08 0.00 0.00% 0.0193 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -74.43 0.00 0.00 -74.43 Trades
Will Trump win California Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 75,250.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -75.25 0.00 0.00 -75.25 Trades
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview over 300 million views on X in first 24 hours? Yes No 0.00 19.98 0.00% 4.7867 0.00 1.00 0.00 19.98 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -95.62 0.00 0.00 -75.64 Trades
Ravens vs. Texans Ravens Texans 0.00 1,093.96 0.00% 0.0694 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ -75.89 0.00 0.00 -75.89 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 822.77 0.00 0.00% 0.0930 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ -76.52 0.00 0.00 -76.52 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop in 2023? Yes No 884.08 0.00 0.00% 0.0867 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -76.61 0.00 0.00 -76.61 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,000 in January? Yes No 0.00 253.56 0.00% 1.3033 0.00 1.00 0.00 253.56 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -330.48 0.00 0.00 -76.92 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? Yes No 1.94 0.00 0.02% 43.0687 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -83.35 6.05 0.00 -77.30 Trades
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2023 Tour de France? Yes No 344.90 0.00 0.00% 0.2278 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -78.56 0.00 0.00 -78.56 Trades
Will US attack Iran in 2023? Yes No 0.00 188.46 0.00% 1.4236 0.00 1.00 0.00 188.46 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -268.29 0.00 0.00 -79.83 Trades
Hyperliquid airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,627.70 0.00% 0.0493 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ -80.19 0.00 0.00 -80.19 Trades
Will Trump win Oklahoma Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 90,960.72 0.00% 0.0009 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -80.55 0.00 0.00 -80.55 Trades
Will BTC hit $65,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 566.00 0.00% 0.1436 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -81.29 0.00 0.00 -81.29 Trades
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? Yes No 0.00 322.96 0.00% 0.2523 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -81.49 0.00 0.00 -81.49 Trades
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? Yes No 0.00 586.59 0.00% 0.1417 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ -83.15 0.00 0.00 -83.15 Trades
Will Donald Trump endorse Lara Trump for RNC co-chair in February? Yes No 0.00 82,000.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -84.00 0.00 0.00 -84.00 Trades
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis Paul Danis 0.00 1,360.00 0.00% 0.0620 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ -84.35 0.00 0.00 -84.35 Trades
Will EIP-4844 be implemented by EOY? Yes No 218.66 0.00 0.00% 0.3863 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -84.47 0.00 0.00 -84.47 Trades
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March? Yes No 645.73 0.00 0.00% 0.1311 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -84.64 0.00 0.00 -84.64 Trades
Alex Wice vs. Hsaka - Most Liked Post Today Alex Wice Hsaka 0.00 1,085.19 0.00% 1.0781 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,085.19 Thu Mar 07 2024 ✅ -1,169.96 0.00 0.00 -84.77 Trades
Will David McCormick win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 5.41 0.00 0.00% 64.1747 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ -347.43 261.78 0.00 -85.64 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 40.00 0.00% 2.1650 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -86.60 0.00 0.00 -86.60 Trades
2022 Hungarian elections: Will Fidesz win at least 113 parliamentary seats? Yes No 7.41 0.00 0.00% 12.7663 1.00 0.00 7.41 0.00 Sun Apr 03 2022 ✅ -94.56 0.00 0.00 -87.15 Trades
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 287.71 0.00 0.00% 0.3074 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -88.44 0.00 0.00 -88.44 Trades
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.00 5,817.77 0.00% 1.0153 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,817.77 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ -5,906.52 0.00 0.00 -88.75 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,264.99 0.00% 1.0401 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,264.99 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -2,355.89 0.00 0.00 -90.89 Trades
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 ✅ -91.86 0.00 0.00 -91.86 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 3,143.15 0.00 0.00% 0.0295 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -92.68 0.00 0.00 -92.68 Trades
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,247.78 0.00% 0.0289 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -93.95 0.00 0.00 -93.95 Trades
Virginia State Legislature: Will Republicans gain full control? Yes No 1,565.60 0.00 0.00% 0.0605 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -94.68 0.00 0.00 -94.68 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $20m on Christmas Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ -96.19 0.00 0.00 -96.19 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister? Yes No 0.00 1,021.50 0.00% 1.0960 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,021.50 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -1,119.55 0.00 0.00 -98.05 Trades
Will Biden say "China/Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 419.17 0.00% 0.2350 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -98.50 0.00 0.00 -98.50 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 1,221.18 0.00 0.00% 0.0826 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -100.88 0.00 0.00 -100.88 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of over 100? Yes No 1,488.23 0.00 0.00% 0.0679 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -101.03 0.00 0.00 -101.03 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win 2nd place in the Republican primary for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 5.41 0.00 0.00% 21.9520 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -118.83 16.87 0.00 -101.96 Trades
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 2,723.22 0.00% 0.0375 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -102.00 0.00 0.00 -102.00 Trades
SPX6900 over $5m by Friday? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 22 2023 ✅ -102.50 0.00 0.00 -102.50 Trades
Will Trump win Texas Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 100,255.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -102.55 0.00 0.00 -102.55 Trades
NBA: Will the Grizzlies beat the Knicks by more than 9.5 points in their March 11 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 11 2022 ✅ -110.98 6.99 0.00 -103.99 Trades
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? Yes No 13,206.64 0.00 0.00% 0.0080 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -105.62 0.00 0.00 -105.62 Trades
Will there be a Senate vacancy in Pennsylvania by EOY? Yes No 0.00 2.52 0.00% 43.0720 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.52 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -108.42 0.00 0.00 -105.91 Trades
JUP above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 1,678.33 0.00 0.00% 0.0632 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 ✅ -106.15 0.00 0.00 -106.15 Trades
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,070.02 0.00% 0.1068 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -114.27 7.98 0.00 -106.29 Trades
$BITCOIN (HPOS10i) all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 27.00 0.00% 4.9967 0.00 1.00 0.00 27.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -134.91 0.00 0.00 -107.91 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Points scored on first drive? Yes No 645.81 0.00 0.00% 0.1678 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -108.35 0.00 0.00 -108.35 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 ✅ -108.56 0.00 0.00 -108.56 Trades
2022 NBA Draft: Will Jabari Smith Jr. be the #1 Pick? Yes No 265.87 0.00 0.00% 0.4175 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 23 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 -111.00 Trades
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yeah Nope 235.54 0.00 0.00% 0.4713 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 25 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 -111.00 Trades
Will UST (Terra USD) fall below 85 cents by July 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 7.25 0.00% 16.2705 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -117.98 6.87 0.00 -111.11 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Third quarter winner? Chiefs 49ers 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.1133 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -113.25 0.00 0.00 -113.25 Trades
Will anyone say "January 6th" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 216.63 0.00% 0.5361 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ -116.13 0.00 0.00 -116.13 Trades
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 1,051.62 0.00 0.00% 0.1105 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -116.23 0.00 0.00 -116.23 Trades
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 232.02 0.00% 0.5053 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ -117.24 0.74 0.00 -116.50 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Jessica Chastain win Best Actress? Yes No 5,630.71 0.00 0.00% 1.0255 1.00 0.00 5,630.71 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -5,774.28 25.94 0.00 -117.63 Trades
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? Yes No 0.00 361.12 0.00% 0.3358 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -121.27 0.00 0.00 -121.27 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4? Yes No 1,053.03 0.00 0.00% 0.1162 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 17 2024 ✅ -122.37 0.00 0.00 -122.37 Trades
NBA: Will the Hawks beat the Pistons by more than 4.5 points in their March 23 (7 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 22.14 0.00% 8.0707 0.00 1.00 0.00 22.14 Wed Mar 23 2022 ✅ -178.71 33.85 0.00 -122.71 Trades
Will Biden say "Folks" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 1,251.98 0.00% 0.0985 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ -123.36 0.00 0.00 -123.36 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Jazz by more than 1.5 points in their March 21, 7:40 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 2.48 0.00% 58.1971 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 21 2022 ✅ -144.12 19.54 0.00 -124.58 Trades
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 41.14 0.00% 5.2016 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ -213.99 88.89 0.00 -125.10 Trades
Epstein documents unsealed by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 1,355.71 0.00% 0.0955 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -129.50 0.00 0.00 -129.50 Trades
Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift Killers Taylor Swift 0.00 3,772.60 0.00% 1.0344 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,772.60 Mon Oct 23 2023 ✅ -3,902.29 0.00 0.00 -129.70 Trades
Will Trump post on Threads by July 31? Yes No 1,909.38 0.00 0.00% 0.0681 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -129.95 0.00 0.00 -129.95 Trades
Will 'Halloween Ends' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 5.91 0.00 0.00% 22.0548 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 17 2022 ✅ -130.42 0.03 0.00 -130.40 Trades
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA ‘21-’22 Champsionship? Yes No 0.00 2,670.18 0.00% 0.0921 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 19 2022 ✅ -245.84 114.93 0.00 -130.90 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Miami Hurricanes vs. Iowa State Cyclones, scheduled for March 25, 10:00 PM ET? Miami Hurricanes Iowa State Cyclones 0.00 27.47 0.00% 5.1954 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -142.70 11.29 0.00 -131.42 Trades
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 625.08 0.00 0.00% 0.2106 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -131.62 0.00 0.00 -131.62 Trades
Will Messi score in his next game? Yes No 0.00 397.61 0.00% 0.3359 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 19 2023 ✅ -133.54 0.00 0.00 -133.54 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 323.54 0.00% 0.4127 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -133.54 0.00 0.00 -133.54 Trades
Will Warpcast flip X on the app store in February? Yes No 3,184.18 0.00 0.00% 0.0426 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -135.53 0.00 0.00 -135.53 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.97 0.01% 29.1475 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 ✅ -144.80 7.35 0.00 -137.44 Trades
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? Yes No 0.00 6,659.81 0.00% 0.0208 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 22 2024 ✅ -138.85 0.00 0.00 -138.85 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Australia vs. England, 2nd T20I, starting on October 12? Australia England 0.00 11,271.49 0.00% 1.0146 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,271.49 Wed Oct 12 2022 ✅ -11,436.58 25.48 0.00 -139.61 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,526.83 0.00% 0.1294 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -197.50 57.85 0.00 -139.65 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8? Yes No 1,127.53 0.00 0.00% 0.1251 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 ✅ -141.09 0.00 0.00 -141.09 Trades
OpenAI board out by end of week? Yes No 1,339.24 0.00 0.00% 0.1060 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ -141.90 0.00 0.00 -141.90 Trades
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 1,673.82 0.00 0.00% 1.0851 1.00 0.00 1,673.82 0.00 Mon Nov 27 2023 ✅ -1,816.25 0.00 0.00 -142.43 Trades
$WIF all time high by Friday? Yes No 2,795.00 0.00 0.00% 1.0510 1.00 0.00 2,795.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -2,937.55 0.00 0.00 -142.55 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Arizona vs. Houston, scheduled for March 24 (9:59 PM ET)? Arizona Houston 48.58 0.00 10.00% 3.3765 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -164.03 21.39 0.00 -142.65 Trades
Musk drops OpenAI case in March? Yes No 2,203.91 0.00 0.00% 0.0653 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -143.83 0.00 0.00 -143.83 Trades
Will Blur Season 2 end this year? Yes No 0.00 238.64 0.00% 0.6051 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -144.41 0.00 0.00 -144.41 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 2,774.90 0.00 0.00% 1.0523 1.00 0.00 2,774.90 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2,920.02 0.00 0.00 -145.12 Trades
NCAA March Madness: What seed will the Champion be? 1-3 4-16 285.17 0.00 0.00% 1.7344 1.00 0.00 285.17 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 ✅ -494.60 64.02 0.00 -145.41 Trades
Will Tom Wambsgans be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 0.00 177.00 0.00% 0.8300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 ✅ -146.91 0.00 0.00 -146.91 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? Yes No 0.00 480.23 0.00% 0.3093 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -148.52 0.00 0.00 -148.52 Trades
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 9, 2022? Yes No 7.58 0.00 0.00% 22.5824 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 ✅ -171.19 22.28 0.00 -148.90 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Villanova vs. Michigan, scheduled for March 24 (7:29 PM ET)? Villanova Michigan 0.00 9.73 0.00% 16.5589 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -161.05 11.56 0.00 -149.49 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,697.44 0.00% 0.0406 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -150.06 0.00 0.00 -150.06 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 6.5 points in their March 22, 8:10 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 2.52 0.00% 63.8941 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 ✅ -161.19 9.51 0.00 -151.68 Trades
NCAAB: Will the Houston Cougars beat the Villanova Wildcats by more than 2.5 points in their March 26, 6:09 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,563.94 0.00% 1.1255 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,563.94 Sat Mar 26 2022 ✅ -1,760.26 42.26 0.00 -154.07 Trades
Will the US win Bronze in Curling at the 2022 Winter Olympics? Yes No 0.00 3,224.69 0.00% 1.0486 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,224.69 Fri Feb 18 2022 ✅ -3,381.34 0.08 0.00 -156.58 Trades
Will Michelle Yeoh win the Oscar for Best Actress in a Leading Role? Yes No 0.00 413.43 0.00% 0.3796 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 ✅ -156.92 0.00 0.00 -156.92 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Navalny in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 1,039.34 0.00 0.00% 0.1515 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -157.41 0.00 0.00 -157.41 Trades
Saudi Arabia and Yemeni Houthis peace deal by end of 2023? Yes No 2,950.88 0.00 0.00% 0.0536 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -158.13 0.00 0.00 -158.13 Trades
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? BTC ETH 0.00 500.01 0.00% 0.3214 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 ✅ -160.68 0.00 0.00 -160.68 Trades
Will the Brooklyn Nets make the 2022 NBA playoffs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 16 2022 ✅ -213.79 51.27 0.00 -162.52 Trades
Will Josh Giddey's contract be terminated? Yes No 3,009.85 0.00 0.00% 0.0559 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ -168.33 0.00 0.00 -168.33 Trades
Bangladesh Election: Sheikh Hasina reelected as Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 949.16 0.00% 0.1780 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 07 2024 ✅ -168.99 0.00 0.00 -168.99 Trades
Will the Kansas "Value Them Both" anti-abortion amendment pass? Yes No 0.00 501.46 0.00% 1.3455 0.00 1.00 0.00 501.46 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ -674.73 3.68 0.00 -169.59 Trades
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? Yes No 0.00 996.27 0.00% 0.1731 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -172.49 0.00 0.00 -172.49 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? Yes No 0.00 5,327.07 0.00% 0.0327 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -173.97 0.00 0.00 -173.97 Trades
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? Yes No 396.99 0.00 0.00% 0.4519 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 ✅ -179.38 0.00 0.00 -179.38 Trades
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC in February? Yes No 0.00 1,891.14 0.00% 0.0952 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -180.00 0.00 0.00 -180.00 Trades
Will Austin Butler win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -180.71 0.00 0.00 -180.71 Trades
Will ‘Jurassic World Dominion’ gross more than $150 million domestically in its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 437.61 0.00% 1.4322 0.00 1.00 0.00 437.61 Mon Jun 13 2022 ✅ -626.74 7.70 0.00 -181.44 Trades
Will an American win WSOP main event? Yes No 0.00 465.00 0.00% 0.3949 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 17 2023 ✅ -183.65 0.00 0.00 -183.65 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 275.29 0.00% 0.6781 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -186.68 0.00 0.00 -186.68 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? Yes No 221.59 0.00 0.00% 1.8428 1.00 0.00 221.59 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -408.36 0.00 0.00 -186.76 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Lakers by more than 11.5 points in their March 29 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 910.35 0.00% 0.2391 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 29 2022 ✅ -217.65 29.92 0.00 -187.73 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Clinton? Yes No 0.00 211.00 0.00% 0.8907 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -187.93 0.00 0.00 -187.93 Trades
ETH above $4,000 next Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -188.28 0.00 0.00 -188.28 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Michigan St Spartans vs. Davidson Wildcats, scheduled for March 18, 9:40 PM ET? Michigan St Spartans Davidson Wildcats 0.00 430.05 0.00% 0.4834 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 18 2022 ✅ -207.88 19.45 0.00 -188.44 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday? Yes No 5,415.10 0.00 0.00% 0.0354 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -191.46 0.00 0.00 -191.46 Trades
Will Rodolfo Hernández win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 320.41 0.00 0.00% 0.6579 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 ✅ -210.82 19.01 0.00 -191.81 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6.01 0.00% 43.4555 0.00 1.00 0.00 6.01 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -260.98 63.14 0.00 -191.83 Trades
tremp vs. boden - Most Liked Post Tmrw $tremp $boden 0.00 410.00 0.00% 0.4700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -192.70 0.00 0.00 -192.70 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Heat by more than 3.5 points in their March 26, 8:10 PM ET matchup? Yes No 1,543.14 0.00 0.00% 1.1650 1.00 0.00 1,543.14 0.00 Sat Mar 26 2022 ✅ -1,797.83 60.01 0.00 -194.68 Trades
Will Federico Gutiérrez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun May 29 2022 ✅ -195.16 0.00 0.00 -195.15 Trades
$JTO above $2 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 4,208.55 0.00% 0.0465 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -195.84 0.00 0.00 -195.84 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14? Yes No 0.00 1,450.07 0.00% 1.1412 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,450.07 Fri Oct 14 2022 ✅ -1,654.89 8.28 0.00 -196.54 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 1.0% from February to March 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 12 2022 ✅ -216.37 15.42 0.00 -200.95 Trades
Ravens vs. Chiefs Ravens Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 28 2024 ✅ -203.66 0.00 0.00 -203.66 Trades
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by Jan 31? Yes No 2,890.44 0.00 0.00% 0.0705 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -203.67 0.00 0.00 -203.67 Trades
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 4,782.82 0.00 0.00% 0.0439 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -210.04 0.00 0.00 -210.04 Trades
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? Yes No 1,586.19 0.00 0.00% 0.1341 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 ✅ -212.74 0.00 0.00 -212.74 Trades
Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2023-24 season? Yes No 581.74 0.00 0.00% 0.3699 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -215.21 0.00 0.00 -215.21 Trades
NCAAB: Will the Duke Blue Devils beat the Arkansas Razorbacks by more than 3.5 points in their March 26, 8:49 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 13.06 0.00% 18.2175 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 26 2022 ✅ -238.01 22.07 0.00 -215.94 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 1,317.91 0.00 0.00% 0.1684 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ -222.00 0.00 0.00 -222.00 Trades
Coinbase a top 100 app before Feb? Yes No 1,204.02 0.00 0.00% 0.1863 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -224.28 0.00 0.00 -224.28 Trades
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? Yes No 3,045.63 0.00 0.00% 0.0742 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -226.10 0.00 0.00 -226.10 Trades
Will Josh Dobbs start for the Vikings in Week 14? Yes No 0.00 149.41 0.00% 1.5183 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 11 2023 ✅ -226.86 0.00 0.00 -226.86 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,250 on April 13th, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 13 2022 ✅ -1,427.17 1,200.13 0.00 -227.04 Trades
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 859.47 0.00% 0.2939 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ -252.58 0.00 0.00 -252.58 Trades
Will Elon Musk tweet “Doge” or “Dogecoin” before March 19, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.61 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 18 2022 ✅ -252.92 0.00 0.00 -252.92 Trades
$BONK all time high before February? Yes No 1,198.33 0.00 0.00% 0.2111 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -253.00 0.00 0.00 -253.00 Trades
Will Ben Armstrong and More Light go the distance? Yes No 0.00 906.23 0.00% 0.2797 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ -253.50 0.00 0.00 -253.50 Trades
Will Jordan Henderson leave Saudi Arabia this transfer window? Yes No 0.00 276.15 0.00% 0.9300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -256.81 0.00 0.00 -256.81 Trades
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? Yes No 0.00 905.41 0.00% 0.2847 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ -257.79 0.00 0.00 -257.79 Trades
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Lakers by more than 7.5 points in their March 23 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 597.01 0.00 0.00% 0.4466 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 ✅ -266.64 5.73 0.00 -260.91 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? Yes No 5,542.48 0.00 0.01% 1.0624 1.00 0.00 5,542.48 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 ✅ -5,888.61 80.68 0.00 -265.44 Trades
Will 'Insidious: The Red Door' gross more than $26.5m on its 3-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 478.58 0.00% 0.5576 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ -266.85 0.00 0.00 -266.85 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 0.00 669.36 0.00% 0.4288 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -287.01 7.94 0.00 -279.07 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $10 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 4.32 0.00% 65.2866 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -282.30 0.00 0.00 -282.29 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Fourth quarter winner? Chiefs 49ers 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5665 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -283.27 0.00 0.00 -283.27 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 543.96 0.00 0.00% 0.5220 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -283.97 0.00 0.00 -283.97 Trades
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? Yes No 3,402.87 0.00 0.00% 0.0835 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 21 2023 ✅ -284.19 0.00 0.00 -284.19 Trades
Will another Bonkler be minted this month? Yes No 1,086.32 0.00 0.00% 0.2663 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -289.28 0.00 0.00 -289.28 Trades
Will Messi score in his next game? Yes No 485.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5991 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ -290.55 0.00 0.00 -290.55 Trades
Will Real Madrid win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 ✅ -298.19 0.00 0.00 -298.19 Trades
NFL: Who will win Packers v. 49ers Packers 49ers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 22 2022 ✅ -301.70 0.00 0.00 -301.70 Trades
Will Remilia's stolen funds be returned this month? Yes No 14,561.28 0.00 0.00% 0.0207 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -301.82 0.00 0.00 -301.82 Trades
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? Yes No 3,129.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0969 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -303.19 0.00 0.00 -303.19 Trades
Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed? Yes No 0.00 2,730.58 0.00% 0.1123 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -306.67 0.00 0.00 -306.67 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? Yes No 4,505.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0683 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -307.65 0.00 0.00 -307.65 Trades
Lions vs. Buccaneers Lions Buccaneers 0.00 862.59 0.00% 0.3591 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 21 2024 ✅ -309.73 0.00 0.00 -309.73 Trades
WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance? Yes No 3,364.14 0.00 0.00% 0.0923 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ -310.41 0.00 0.00 -310.41 Trades
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,089.61 0.00% 0.3183 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ -346.83 29.69 0.00 -317.14 Trades
NBA: Who will win Hawks vs. Cavaliers, scheduled for April 15 (7:30 PM ET)? Hawks Cavaliers 0.00 638.62 0.00% 0.4995 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ -319.00 0.00 0.00 -319.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Hawks beat the Hornets by more than 4.5 points in their April 13 (7 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 3.12 0.00% 107.4513 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 13 2022 ✅ -335.10 15.42 0.00 -319.68 Trades
Will Kendall Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5333 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 ✅ -320.00 0.00 0.00 -320.00 Trades
Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26? Yes No 4,153.55 0.00 0.00% 0.0773 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 26 2024 ✅ -321.14 0.00 0.00 -321.14 Trades
NBA: Who will win Celtics vs. Nuggets, scheduled for March 20, 8:10 PM ET? Celtics Nuggets 0.00 45.86 0.00% 7.6083 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ -348.88 24.92 0.00 -323.97 Trades
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 1,717.15 0.00 0.00% 0.1903 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ -326.72 0.00 0.00 -326.72 Trades
NBA: Will the Bulls beat the Grizzlies by more than 1.5 points in their February 26 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 32.13 0.00 0.00% 10.2275 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 26 2022 ✅ -328.61 0.00 0.00 -328.61 Trades
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January? Yes No 0.00 2,242.26 0.00% 0.1489 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -333.81 0.00 0.00 -333.81 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 34,234.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0098 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ -334.94 0.00 0.00 -334.94 Trades
Will Steve Garvey advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 1,200.00 0.00% 0.2792 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -335.00 0.00 0.00 -335.00 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 2,008.96 0.00 0.00% 0.1673 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -336.05 0.00 0.00 -336.05 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? Yes No 0.00 59.74 0.00% 6.2985 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ -376.25 37.32 0.00 -338.93 Trades
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? Yes No 0.00 5.84 0.00% 76.0682 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 ✅ -443.96 102.82 0.00 -341.13 Trades
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? Yes No 0.00 922.70 0.00% 0.3728 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -343.97 0.00 0.00 -343.97 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? Yes No 4,225.49 0.00 0.00% 0.0827 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -349.58 0.00 0.00 -349.58 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 15,472.96 0.00% 0.0230 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -355.63 0.00 0.00 -355.63 Trades
Will Daniel Alegre change pfp by April 1? Yes No 1,235.56 0.00 0.00% 0.2880 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -355.85 0.00 0.00 -355.85 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Purdue Boilermakers vs. Texas Longhorns, scheduled for March 20, 8:40 PM ET? Purdue Boilermakers Texas Longhorns 3,162.61 0.00 0.00% 1.1239 1.00 0.00 3,162.61 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ -3,554.41 31.30 0.00 -360.50 Trades
Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31? Yes No 0.00 1,362.57 0.00% 0.2646 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -360.51 0.00 0.00 -360.51 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? Yes No 0.00 399.44 0.00% 0.9125 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -364.51 0.00 0.00 -364.51 Trades
Will Bryce Young be first QB selected in the 2023 NFL draft? Yes No 0.00 804.38 0.00% 0.4551 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 28 2023 ✅ -366.10 0.00 0.00 -366.10 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 6,322.48 0.00 0.00% 0.0591 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ -373.70 0.00 0.00 -373.70 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 5,837.77 0.00% 0.0648 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -378.00 0.00 0.00 -378.00 Trades
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 2,798.32 0.00% 0.1405 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 18 2023 ✅ -393.11 0.00 0.00 -393.11 Trades
NCAAB: Will the Villanova Wildcats beat the Ohio State Buckeyes by more than 5.5 points in their March 20, 2:40 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 1.41 0.00% 307.1550 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ -432.84 32.18 0.00 -400.66 Trades
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? Yes No 7.93 0.00 0.00% 56.0471 1.00 0.00 7.93 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -444.25 28.00 0.00 -408.33 Trades
NBA: Who will win Hawks vs. Knicks, scheduled for March 22, 7:30 PM ET? Hawks Knicks 0.00 1.28 0.00% 344.1438 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 ✅ -440.75 30.52 0.00 -410.23 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 1,490.15 0.00 0.00% 0.2768 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -412.40 0.00 0.00 -412.40 Trades
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? Yes No 0.00 277.28 0.00% 1.4937 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 ✅ -414.15 0.00 0.00 -414.15 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 3,703.48 0.00 0.00% 0.1124 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ -416.44 0.00 0.00 -416.44 Trades
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? Google NVIDIA 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -424.99 0.00 0.00 -424.99 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 486.57 0.00% 0.8747 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -425.62 0.00 0.00 -425.62 Trades
New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March? Yes No 2,259.62 0.00 0.00% 0.1933 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -436.75 0.00 0.00 -436.75 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 0.00 7.93 0.00% 63.3895 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -502.44 63.32 0.00 -439.12 Trades
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? Yes No 0.00 670.91 0.00% 0.6556 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -439.85 0.00 0.00 -439.85 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? Yes No 2,721.40 0.00 0.00% 0.1617 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 ✅ -440.01 0.00 0.00 -440.01 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 810.00 0.00% 0.5475 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -443.46 0.00 0.00 -443.46 Trades
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? Yes No 0.00 544.62 0.00% 0.8144 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -443.55 0.00 0.00 -443.55 Trades
Will Nikola Jokić win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 6,978.08 0.00 0.21% 1.1728 1.00 0.00 6,978.08 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ -8,183.98 762.10 0.00 -443.79 Trades
Will Labor win more seats than the Liberal-Nationals in the 2022 Australian Federal Election? Yes No 0.00 1,291.26 0.00% 0.3439 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 21 2022 ✅ -444.00 0.00 0.00 -444.00 Trades
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 815.83 0.00 0.00% 0.5552 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -452.97 0.00 0.00 -452.97 Trades
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 ✅ -551.55 97.75 0.00 -453.80 Trades
More hostages in Gaza freed before April? Yes No 2,872.26 0.00 0.00% 0.1606 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -461.31 0.00 0.00 -461.31 Trades
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? Yes No 12,374.46 0.00 0.00% 0.0389 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -480.89 16.04 0.00 -464.86 Trades
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 0.00 484.97 0.05% 0.9711 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -470.97 1.78 0.00 -469.19 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 3,067.01 0.00 0.00% 0.2488 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -763.18 290.98 0.00 -472.19 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? Yes No 0.00 8,581.64 0.00% 1.0561 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,581.64 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -9,062.88 0.00 0.00 -481.25 Trades
Aella: Will more men report they were spanked than women? Yes No 570.42 0.00 0.00% 0.8442 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -481.57 0.00 0.00 -481.57 Trades
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? Yes No 7,600.21 0.00 0.00% 1.1623 1.00 0.00 7,600.21 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 ✅ -8,833.53 741.12 0.00 -492.21 Trades
NBA: Who will win Hawks vs. Warriors, scheduled for March 25, 7:40 PM ET? Hawks Warriors 129.08 0.00 0.00% 4.9691 1.00 0.00 129.08 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -641.41 18.28 0.00 -494.05 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 9,046.35 0.00% 1.0548 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,046.35 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -9,542.26 0.00 0.00 -495.91 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? Yes No 1,881.14 0.00 0.00% 1.2690 1.00 0.00 1,881.14 0.00 Fri Apr 14 2023 ✅ -2,387.10 0.00 0.00 -505.96 Trades
US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,687.69 0.00% 0.3018 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ -509.27 0.00 0.00 -509.27 Trades
Will Kathy Barnette win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 6.20 0.00 0.01% 83.7388 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ -519.48 9.54 0.00 -509.94 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 878.22 0.00% 0.5811 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ -510.33 0.00 0.00 -510.33 Trades
Will Lost Ark be in the top 5 most played games on Steam on April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,391.68 0.00% 0.2213 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ -529.20 17.98 0.00 -511.22 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? Yes No 108.54 0.00 0.00% 5.7369 1.00 0.00 108.54 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -622.70 0.00 0.00 -514.16 Trades
Will Conor McGregor announce presidential run by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 768.23 0.00% 0.6745 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -518.21 0.00 0.00 -518.21 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? Yes No 2,241.60 0.00 0.00% 0.2327 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -521.53 0.00 0.00 -521.53 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 5.85 0.00 0.00% 89.8158 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ -525.02 0.93 0.00 -524.09 Trades
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31? Yes No 930.52 0.00 0.00% 0.5638 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -524.61 0.00 0.00 -524.61 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 5,841.61 0.00% 0.0922 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -538.36 0.00 0.00 -538.36 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from March to April 2022? Yes No 2,834.17 0.00 0.01% 0.1934 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ -548.10 8.28 0.00 -539.82 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Cavaliers by more than 8.5 points in their April 12 (7 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 728.35 0.00 0.00% 0.7620 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 12 2022 ✅ -555.00 0.00 0.00 -555.00 Trades
Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1? Yes No 0.00 302.10 0.00% 1.8397 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -555.77 0.00 0.00 -555.77 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? Yes No 0.00 642.76 0.00% 0.8691 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -558.59 0.00 0.00 -558.59 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for April 21, 7:30 PM ET? Grizzlies Timberwolves 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 21 2022 ✅ -558.62 0.00 0.00 -558.61 Trades
Continued US strikes against Houthis? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ -558.89 0.00 0.00 -558.89 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 1,375.28 0.00 0.00% 0.4085 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -561.75 0.00 0.00 -561.75 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of less than 15? Yes No 0.00 1,565.00 0.00% 0.3675 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ -575.15 0.00 0.00 -575.15 Trades
Celestia token above $2 one week after airdrop? Yes No 0.00 1,795.41 0.00% 0.3220 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 06 2023 ✅ -578.09 0.00 0.00 -578.09 Trades
Coinbase a top 25 app in March? Yes No 8,560.23 0.00 0.00% 0.0680 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -581.69 0.00 0.00 -581.69 Trades
$WIF listed on Coinbase in March? Yes No 2,443.76 0.00 0.00% 0.2462 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -601.68 0.00 0.00 -601.68 Trades
Paramount merger/acquisition in Q1? Yes No 1,465.59 0.00 0.00% 0.4162 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -609.94 0.00 0.00 -609.94 Trades
US inflation >0.1% from Jan to Feb 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,586.61 0.00% 0.2380 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 ✅ -615.73 0.00 0.00 -615.73 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? Yes No 0.00 4,030.00 0.00% 0.1529 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 05 2023 ✅ -616.22 0.00 0.00 -616.22 Trades
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? Yes No 2,430.16 0.00 0.00% 0.2617 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -636.03 0.00 0.00 -636.03 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 3,154.04 0.00 0.00% 0.2020 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -637.20 0.00 0.00 -637.20 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 3,205.98 0.00 0.00% 0.2096 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -672.05 0.00 0.00 -672.05 Trades
Will 'Morbius' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 1,016.78 0.00 0.00% 0.8679 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 ✅ -882.45 209.83 0.00 -672.61 Trades
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? Yes No 0.00 7,970.42 0.00% 0.0849 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -676.57 0.00 0.00 -676.57 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 12,245.73 0.00 0.00% 0.0567 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ -694.45 0.00 0.00 -694.45 Trades
Etherfi airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 67.16 0.00% 10.4419 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -701.31 0.00 0.00 -701.31 Trades
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 1.1833 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -710.00 0.00 0.00 -710.00 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 2,608.96 0.00% 0.2770 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -722.81 0.00 0.00 -722.81 Trades
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 356.57 0.00% 2.1474 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 29 2023 ✅ -765.69 0.00 0.00 -765.69 Trades
SBF jail by August 31? Yes No 0.00 908.15 0.00% 0.8547 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -776.23 0.00 0.00 -776.23 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1? Yes No 0.00 971.31 0.00% 0.8128 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -789.47 0.00 0.00 -789.47 Trades
Community notes on Biden Xeet by December 11? Yes No 0.00 1,427.64 0.00% 0.5560 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 11 2023 ✅ -793.83 0.00 0.00 -793.83 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? Yes No 531.38 0.00 0.00% 1.5179 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 ✅ -806.61 0.00 0.00 -806.61 Trades
NBA: Who will win Warriors vs. Grizzlies, scheduled for May 3, 9:30 PM ET? Warriors Grizzlies 2,231.09 0.00 0.00% 0.3987 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -889.51 76.23 0.00 -813.28 Trades
Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 3.53 0.00% 533.9192 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ -1,883.24 1,061.71 0.00 -821.53 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? Yes No 1.68 0.00 0.00% 681.1700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ -1,146.26 313.34 0.00 -832.92 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,551.96 0.00% 0.3285 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -838.22 0.00 0.00 -838.22 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 8.54 0.00 0.00% 99.0713 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ -846.13 3.54 0.00 -842.58 Trades
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? Yes No 1,990.12 0.00 0.00% 0.4283 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 10 2024 ✅ -852.33 0.00 0.00 -852.33 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross between $180 million and $200 million on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 1,897.87 0.00 0.00% 1.4888 1.00 0.00 1,897.87 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 ✅ -2,825.57 47.97 0.00 -879.73 Trades
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? Cisneros Cuellar 3.30 0.00 7.14% 272.2418 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ -899.65 12.83 0.00 -886.82 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say nuclear in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,789.99 0.00% 0.3212 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -896.20 0.00 0.00 -896.20 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 14,753.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0612 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 ✅ -903.33 0.00 0.00 -903.33 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,058.10 0.00% 0.8653 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -915.61 0.00 0.00 -915.61 Trades
Will $MATIC reach 1$ again by June 1? Yes No 1,389.12 0.00 0.00% 0.6722 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 ✅ -933.79 13.45 0.00 -920.34 Trades
Kate Middleton appearance by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 03 2024 ✅ -974.79 0.00 0.00 -974.79 Trades
$SPX6900 all time high by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 985.00 0.00% 0.9940 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -979.09 0.00 0.00 -979.09 Trades
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? Yes No 1,904.03 0.00 0.00% 0.5160 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 ✅ -982.49 0.00 0.00 -982.49 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Prigozhin in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -983.22 0.00 0.00 -983.22 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 4,316.84 0.00 0.00% 0.2289 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 ✅ -987.98 0.00 0.00 -987.98 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? Yes No 5,548.50 0.00 0.00% 1.1827 1.00 0.00 5,548.50 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -6,562.43 10.46 0.00 -1,003.47 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 1,558.65 0.00% 0.6455 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -1,006.05 0.98 0.00 -1,005.07 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Magic by more than 9.5 points in their March 15 (7 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -1,010.58 1.08 0.00 -1,009.49 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Nuggets by more than 8.5 points in their April 27, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 4.89 0.00 0.01% 220.0670 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 27 2022 ✅ -1,075.04 62.55 0.00 -1,012.48 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? Yes No 0.00 1,852.42 0.00% 0.5812 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1,076.60 0.00 0.00 -1,076.60 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 0.00 1,844.24 0.00% 0.5903 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1,088.64 0.00 0.00 -1,088.64 Trades
MOG vs. BITCOIN - Most Liked Post Today $MOG $BITCOIN 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -1,089.33 0.00 0.00 -1,089.33 Trades
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? Yes No 2,311.76 0.00 0.00% 0.4717 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -1,090.50 0.00 0.00 -1,090.50 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Hawks by more than 7.5 points in their April 19, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.84 0.35% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 19 2022 ✅ -1,123.79 16.04 0.00 -1,107.75 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? Yes No 4,053.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3504 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ -1,420.16 279.77 0.00 -1,140.39 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? Yes No 0.00 8,107.47 0.00% 0.1420 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -1,151.10 0.00 0.00 -1,151.10 Trades
Bitcoin all time high in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,655.59 0.00% 0.4358 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 ✅ -1,157.42 0.00 0.00 -1,157.42 Trades
NCAAB March Madness: Who will win North Carolina vs. Duke, scheduled for April 2 (8:49 PM ET)? North Carolina Duke 0.00 1,761.28 0.00% 0.6586 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 02 2022 ✅ -1,160.00 0.00 0.00 -1,160.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.23 0.00% 290.9810 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -1,229.79 57.65 0.00 -1,172.14 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Overtime? Yes No 0.00 1,294.12 0.00% 0.9074 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -1,174.34 0.00 0.00 -1,174.34 Trades
49ers vs. Lions 49ers Lions 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 28 2024 ✅ -1,189.99 0.00 0.00 -1,189.99 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 2,832.36 0.00% 0.4211 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,192.70 0.00 0.00 -1,192.70 Trades
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? Yes No 0.00 4,104.88 0.00% 0.2929 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -1,202.12 0.00 0.00 -1,202.12 Trades
Cricket World Cup: India vs. Australia India Australia 2,363.90 0.00 0.00% 0.5198 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -1,228.85 0.00 0.00 -1,228.85 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 4,452.86 0.05% 0.2791 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ -1,242.94 11.15 0.02 -1,231.76 Trades
Will USA win the 2023 Women's World Cup? Yes No 7,011.04 0.00 0.00% 0.1808 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 19 2023 ✅ -1,267.68 0.00 0.00 -1,267.68 Trades
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? Yes No 7,196.75 0.00 0.00% 1.1780 1.00 0.00 7,196.75 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -8,478.09 0.00 0.00 -1,281.34 Trades
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? Yes No 0.00 4.68 0.00% 305.5762 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ -1,429.76 146.73 0.00 -1,283.03 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 3,468.25 0.00 0.00% 0.4122 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 ✅ -1,429.69 133.07 0.00 -1,296.62 Trades
Australian Open Final: Medvedev vs. Sinner Medvedev Sinner 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 28 2024 ✅ -1,352.93 0.00 0.00 -1,352.93 Trades
Will ETH hit $3,500 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 2,772.68 0.00% 0.4892 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 ✅ -1,356.39 0.00 0.00 -1,356.39 Trades
Will Salah join a Saudi club next transfer window? Yes No 0.00 1,929.94 0.00% 0.7256 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1,400.31 0.00 0.00 -1,400.31 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 1,888.94 0.00% 0.7424 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -1,402.32 0.00 0.00 -1,402.32 Trades
NCAA March Madness: Who will win the Indiana vs. Wyoming, scheduled for March 15 (9.10 PM ET)? Indiana Wyoming 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -1,523.77 108.79 0.00 -1,414.98 Trades
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 2,014.45 0.00 0.00% 0.7123 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -1,434.89 0.00 0.00 -1,434.89 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? Celtics Warriors 0.00 1,575.89 0.00% 1.9386 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,575.89 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ -3,055.02 5.05 0.00 -1,474.08 Trades
NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Mavericks by more than 5.5 points in their April 23, 4:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 23 2022 ✅ -1,548.16 49.97 0.00 -1,498.19 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 54.17 0.00% 27.9750 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -1,515.39 9.92 0.00 -1,505.47 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 27? Yes No 9.68 0.00 0.00% 158.3605 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 27 2022 ✅ -1,533.24 21.12 0.00 -1,512.11 Trades
Biden cognitive test before April? Yes No 4,832.94 0.00 0.00% 0.3168 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1,531.15 0.00 0.00 -1,531.15 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 6,417.34 0.00 0.00% 0.2421 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1,553.67 0.00 0.00 -1,553.67 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Pelicans by more than 5.5 points in their March 15 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -1,554.99 0.06 0.00 -1,554.93 Trades
Lions vs. Rams Lions Rams 0.00 4,122.84 0.00% 0.3995 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ -1,646.91 0.00 0.00 -1,646.91 Trades
Coinbase a top 100 app before April? Yes No 0.00 2,428.06 0.00% 0.6897 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1,674.52 0.00 0.00 -1,674.52 Trades
Bitcoin new all time high by Friday? Yes No 1,216.54 0.00 0.00% 2.3861 1.00 0.00 1,216.54 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 ✅ -2,902.84 0.00 0.00 -1,686.30 Trades
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ -1,748.13 0.00 0.00 -1,748.13 Trades
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? Yes No 0.00 8,306.87 0.00% 0.2160 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -1,794.55 45.90 0.00 -1,748.65 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 29,253.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0605 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -1,768.61 0.00 0.00 -1,768.61 Trades
Kanye "Carnival" #1 Billboard Hot 100 next week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 ✅ -1,780.07 0.00 0.00 -1,780.07 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? Yes No 4,044.37 0.00 0.00% 0.4463 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1,805.07 0.00 0.00 -1,805.07 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 29.20 0.00% 64.5212 0.00 1.00 0.00 29.20 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -1,884.03 0.00 0.00 -1,854.83 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,916.87 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -1,897.70 0.00 0.00 -1,897.70 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 25,018.69 100.00% 0.0777 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -1,944.73 0.00 0.06 -1,944.66 Trades
NFL: Who will win Rams v. 49ers? Rams 49ers 0.00 3,893.06 0.00% 0.5078 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 06 2022 ✅ -1,976.92 0.00 0.00 -1,976.92 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 5,569.44 0.00 0.00% 0.3650 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ -2,032.74 0.00 0.00 -2,032.74 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 4,730.11 0.00 0.00% 0.4312 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 ✅ -2,039.81 0.00 0.00 -2,039.81 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 100 ETH on April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 13,882,623.58 1057.99% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -2,103.86 16.97 0.00 -2,086.89 Trades
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ -2,095.26 0.00 0.00 -2,095.26 Trades
US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024? Yes No 4,347.46 0.00 0.00% 0.4953 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 ✅ -2,153.26 0.00 0.00 -2,153.26 Trades
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 3,048.09 0.00% 0.7094 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -2,162.44 0.00 0.00 -2,162.44 Trades
Will BTC hit $70,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 7,187.92 0.00% 0.3049 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -2,191.27 0.00 0.00 -2,191.27 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on June 17? Yes No 0.00 13.12 0.00% 193.6156 0.00 1.00 0.00 13.12 Fri Jun 17 2022 ✅ -2,540.99 158.01 0.00 -2,369.86 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? Yes No 13,301.06 0.00 0.00% 0.1792 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ -2,382.97 0.00 0.00 -2,382.97 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 1,298.27 0.00 0.00% 2.8727 1.00 0.00 1,298.27 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 ✅ -3,729.58 32.98 0.00 -2,398.33 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 481.72 0.00% 6.6376 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ -3,197.46 760.45 0.00 -2,437.01 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Heels vs. Eagles, scheduled for March 17, 4:30 PM ET? Heels Eagles 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 ✅ -2,577.10 10.61 0.00 -2,566.48 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ -2,666.33 0.00 0.00 -2,666.33 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -2,709.37 0.00 0.00 -2,709.37 Trades
NFL: Who will win Chiefs v. Bengals? Chiefs Bengals 151.02 0.00 0.00% 18.5674 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 06 2022 ✅ -2,804.12 0.43 0.00 -2,803.69 Trades
(To be Emergency Resolved) Will Amber Heard be found guilty of defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 10,746.09 0.00 0.01% 0.4733 0.20 0.80 2,149.22 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -5,085.82 24.88 0.00 -2,911.72 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,298.38 8.33% 1.8837 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,298.38 Mon Feb 28 2022 ✅ -6,213.09 0.00 0.00 -2,914.71 Trades
TikTok/UMG deal before March? Yes No 7,095.60 0.00 0.00% 0.4319 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -3,064.67 0.00 0.00 -3,064.67 Trades
BTC above $70,000 next friday? Yes No 0.00 3,457.91 0.00% 0.9439 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -3,263.94 0.00 0.00 -3,263.94 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -5,284.16 1,974.51 0.00 -3,309.65 Trades
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $50m on its second weekend? Yes No 6,744.41 0.00 100.00% 0.5048 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -3,404.58 0.00 0.00 -3,404.58 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 6? Celtics Warriors 7,036.01 0.00 0.00% 0.5055 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 16 2022 ✅ -3,556.54 85.13 0.00 -3,471.41 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? Yes No 0.00 13,412.35 0.00% 0.2732 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -3,664.67 0.00 0.00 -3,664.67 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 10,169.60 0.00% 0.3984 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4,051.67 0.00 0.00 -4,051.67 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? Yes No 0.00 8,953.13 0.00% 0.4959 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ -4,439.93 0.00 0.00 -4,439.93 Trades
NCAAB: Who will win Gaels vs. Hoosiers, scheduled for March 17, 7:20 PM ET? Gaels Hoosiers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 ✅ -4,459.10 6.19 0.00 -4,452.91 Trades
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 5,270.63 0.00% 0.8569 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -4,516.51 0.00 0.00 -4,516.51 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 0.00 3,681.31 0.74% 1.2582 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ -4,631.68 0.00 0.00 -4,631.68 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 6,501.43 0.00% 0.7255 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -4,717.10 0.00 0.00 -4,717.10 Trades
Will Luton Town win a Premier League game this year? Yes No 5,541.13 0.00 0.00% 0.9078 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5,030.03 0.00 0.00 -5,030.03 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 28 2024 ✅ -5,468.99 0.00 0.00 -5,468.99 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Celtics by more than 5.5 points in their April 7, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 07 2022 ✅ -5,499.87 0.07 0.00 -5,499.80 Trades
Will the price of $UMA be above $8.00 on March 17, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 ✅ -5,537.46 0.12 0.00 -5,537.34 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 4,000.81 0.00 0.00% 1.3849 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -5,540.91 0.00 0.00 -5,540.91 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.83 0.00% 1050.0861 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -6,119.51 460.64 0.00 -5,658.87 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 ✅ -6,550.92 0.00 0.00 -6,550.92 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -6,646.69 59.75 0.00 -6,586.94 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 15,958.77 0.00% 0.4760 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -7,596.08 0.00 0.00 -7,596.08 Trades
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 14 2024 ✅ -8,693.62 0.00 0.00 -8,693.62 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 40,901.33 0.00 0.00% 0.2194 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -8,974.60 0.00 0.00 -8,974.60 Trades
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay Yes No 36,630.58 0.00 0.00% 0.2592 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ -9,496.27 0.00 0.00 -9,496.27 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $160 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.22% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ -10,210.59 521.58 0.00 -9,689.01 Trades
Will President Biden mention Russia/Putin 12 or more times in his 1st State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -11,346.62 0.39 0.00 -11,346.23 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Pakistan vs. Australia, 2nd ODI, starting March 31? Pakistan Australia 0.00 11,742.22 0.00% 1.0684 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ -12,545.59 0.00 0.00 -12,545.59 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.01 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 ✅ -12,896.98 0.00 0.00 -12,896.98 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 4,243.46 0.00 0.00% 4.2707 1.00 0.00 4,243.46 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -18,122.68 196.60 0.00 -13,682.62 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ -16,661.08 0.00 0.00 -16,661.08 Trades
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ -17,232.65 0.00 0.00 -17,232.65 Trades
Will the US hit its highest recorded gas price per gallon according to AAA by March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -17,767.70 13.55 0.00 -17,754.15 Trades
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? Lee Jae-myung Yoon Seok-youl 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 ✅ -18,944.51 3.29 0.00 -18,941.22 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross between $120 million and $160 million on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.85% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ -22,711.59 521.59 0.00 -22,190.01 Trades
Resolved 775,755.60 1,193,826.63 -860,121.66 30,615.79 0.22 1,140,076.58
Unresolved 9,225.64 37,302.63 -465,860.04 6,758.54 0.00 -412,573.23
Total 784,981.24 1,231,129.26 -1,325,981.71 37,374.33 0.22 727,503.35