Account
0x9554bec712f97b78491f347877ce6bc5238c7b10 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | |||
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | 8,699.55 | 5.89 | 0.00 | 8,705.44 | Trades | ||
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 14 2023 | β | 3,726.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,726.46 | Trades | ||
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | β | 2,477.57 | 212.54 | 0.00 | 2,690.11 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | 1,631.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,631.98 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | 1,353.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,353.12 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 03 2021 | β | 1,193.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,193.21 | Trades | ||
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | 1,015.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,015.53 | Trades | ||
Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? | France USA Italy Spain |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | 834.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 834.97 | Trades | ||||||
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | 813.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 813.09 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,375.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5478 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,375.07 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | -753.32 | 20.89 | 0.00 | 642.65 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | 637.91 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 637.94 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be between 41.6% and 41.8%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,949.09 | 0.00% | 0.8477 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,949.09 | Sat Jan 22 2022 | β | -2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 449.09 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.3% or less on January 26? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 26 2022 | β | 272.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 272.82 | Trades | ||
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 26 2022 | β | 227.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 227.59 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be 41.2% or less? | Yes | No | 240.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2499 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 240.08 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 22 2022 | β | -60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 180.08 | Trades | |
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | -451.45 | 585.66 | 0.00 | 134.21 | Trades | ||
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | 128.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 128.29 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be 42.2% or more? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 333.25 | 0.00% | 0.7502 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 333.25 | Sat Jan 22 2022 | β | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.25 | Trades | |
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -1.42 | 69.29 | 0.00 | 67.88 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | 14.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.67 | Trades | ||
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | 0.57 | 8.77 | 0.00 | 9.34 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | 0.91 | 6.90 | 0.00 | 7.80 | Trades | |||
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | 2.35 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 2.43 | Trades | ||
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.92 0.00 0.81 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.92 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | -0.60 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.38 | Trades | ||||||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -0.02 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
What will the fully diluted market cap of SuperRareβs token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00% | 0.51 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.39 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | Trades | ||
Will LINK be above $30 on February 10th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 10 2021 | β | -2.08 | 0.69 | 0.00 | -1.39 | Trades | ||
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -3.98 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -3.95 | Trades | ||||||
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | β | -12.54 | 7.96 | 0.00 | -4.58 | Trades | ||
How many more tweets will be on the @MCuban account on February 10, 2021? | Less than 30 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 10 2021 | β | -11.54 | 3.15 | 0.00 | -8.39 | Trades | ||||||
Carabao Cup: Who will win the Arsenal v. Liverpool game on January 13? | -other- Arsenal Liverpool |
0.00 31.26 3.83 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Jan 13 2022 | β | -10.67 | 1.09 | 0.00 | -9.57 | Trades | ||||||
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -13.82 | 2.47 | 0.00 | -11.35 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? | Bitcoin | Tesla | 0.00 | 20.62 | 0.02% | 0.6526 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -13.45 | 0.38 | 0.00 | -13.07 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 221.29 | 0.00% | 0.1356 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be between 41.3% and 41.5%? | Yes | No | 177.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2229 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 22 2022 | β | -39.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.49 | Trades | |
Will Joe Bidenβs disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | β | -95.28 | 51.96 | 0.00 | -43.32 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 1,000,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | -47.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.09 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 213 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -47.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.68 | Trades | ||
Will France have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 02 2022 | β | -63.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -63.17 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by February 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 15 2022 | β | -89.74 | 23.15 | 0.00 | -66.59 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 211 million fully vaccinated people in the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -71.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -71.99 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | β | -79.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -79.78 | Trades | ||
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,994.97 | 0.00% | 0.0401 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -102.51 | 18.86 | 0.00 | -83.65 | Trades | ||
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -88.44 | 0.64 | 0.00 | -87.80 | Trades | ||
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 537.48 | 0.00% | 0.2684 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | β | -144.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -144.25 | Trades | |
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 3,781.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.0596 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,781.31 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -4,006.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -225.20 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 500,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 778.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3520 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | -274.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -274.07 | Trades | |
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -331.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -331.71 | Trades | ||
Will Trump complete his first term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | -410.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -410.82 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -460.41 | 39.83 | 0.00 | -420.58 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | -432.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -432.28 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | -524.63 | 20.57 | 0.00 | -504.06 | Trades | ||
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,333.49 | 0.00% | 0.2571 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -600.00 | Trades | |
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -693.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -693.08 | Trades | ||
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -1,043.18 | 218.17 | 0.00 | -825.02 | Trades | ||
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,503.63 | 0.00% | 0.3964 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -992.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -992.36 | Trades | |
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | β | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 1,889.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7846 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | β | -1,482.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,482.73 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 600,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 4,948.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3248 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | β | -1,607.48 | 121.38 | 0.00 | -1,486.10 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | -1,719.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,719.90 | Trades | ||
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | β | -2,697.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,697.85 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 9,560.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4321 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | β | -4,131.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,131.04 | Trades | |
Resolved | 5,397.38 | 3,282.73 | -4,442.32 | 1,420.47 | 0.00 | 5,658.26 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | ||||||||||||
Total | 5,397.38 | 3,282.73 | -4,440.83 | 1,420.47 | 0.00 | 5,659.76 |