Account
0x833c271d7e552fe53d77985a662f7135260d28e5 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | β | 1,443.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,443.07 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 608.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 608.57 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | β | 326.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 326.46 | Trades | ||
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | 302.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 302.81 | Trades | ||
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 237.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 237.84 | Trades | ||
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | 215.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 215.57 | Trades | ||
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | β | 178.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 178.48 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 173.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 173.51 | Trades | ||
Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 845.18 | 0.00% | 0.8046 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 845.18 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | -680.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 165.18 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | β | 122.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 122.29 | Trades | ||
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | 117.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 117.05 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | 97.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.14 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | β | 87.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 87.34 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | β | 85.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.49 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | β | 82.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.63 | Trades | ||
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 76.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.06 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,759.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9573 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,759.16 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -1,684.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.16 | Trades | |
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 72.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.71 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | β | 72.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.19 | Trades | ||
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $45 on May 17, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 17 2021 | β | 71.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 71.99 | Trades | ||
Will $LINK (Chainlink) be above $27 on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 65.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.26 | Trades | ||
Will Italy be the Group A winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 62.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.79 | Trades | ||
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 61.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.74 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | β | 54.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.51 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 49.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.13 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 48.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.46 | Trades | ||
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 704.63 | 0.00% | 0.9383 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 704.63 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -661.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.48 | Trades | |
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 41.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.69 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. Menβs Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | 39.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.02 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | β | 36.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.44 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,219.29 | 0.00% | 0.9706 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,219.29 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -1,183.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.81 | Trades | |
Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? | Bitcoin | Tesla | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | 34.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.71 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | β | 33.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.94 | Trades | ||
Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | 32.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.52 | Trades | ||
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 611.16 | 0.00% | 0.9490 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 611.16 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -580.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.16 | Trades | |
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 30.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.26 | Trades | ||
Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 11 2022 | β | 29.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.69 | Trades | ||
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | 28.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.41 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 720.93 | 0.00% | 0.9626 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 720.93 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | -694.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.93 | Trades | |
Will Belgium be the Group B winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 26.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.80 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 26.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.71 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | β | 25.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.21 | Trades | ||
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 23.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.96 | Trades | ||
Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 23.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.90 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 23.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.84 | Trades | ||
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | β | 23.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.81 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 23.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.02 | Trades | ||
Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 607.51 | 0.00% | 0.9629 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 607.51 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -585.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.51 | Trades | |
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 334.67 | 0.00% | 0.9348 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 334.67 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -312.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.81 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 514.91 | 0.00% | 0.9613 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 514.91 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -495.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.91 | Trades | |
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | 18.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.42 | Trades | ||
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | 17.75 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 17.83 | Trades | ||
Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 372.82 | 0.00% | 0.9522 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 372.82 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -355.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.82 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | β | 16.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.81 | Trades | ||
Will 3 or more of Dan Arielyβs papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 336.04 | 0.00% | 0.9552 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 336.04 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -321.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.04 | Trades | |
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | 12.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.65 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin (BTC) price be closer to $42,069 or $69,420 at noon on January 11? | $42,069 | $69,420 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 11 2022 | β | 11.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.49 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | 11.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.33 | Trades | ||
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? | Bezos | Musk | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | 10.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.73 | Trades | ||
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | β | 10.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.67 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | β | 10.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.62 | Trades | ||
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | 10.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.56 | Trades | ||
Will England be the Group D winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 10.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.22 | Trades | ||
Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 185.05 | 0.00% | 0.9457 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 185.05 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -175.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.05 | Trades | |
Will the Netherlands be the Group C winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 9.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.67 | Trades | ||
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.01 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | 9.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09 | Trades | |||||||
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 808.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9889 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 808.94 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -800.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.94 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | β | 8.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.17 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | 8.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.10 | Trades | ||
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 8,002.16 | 0.00 | 0.69% | -0.0010 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 7.69 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 8.02 | Trades | |
Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 407.78 | 0.00% | 0.9809 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 407.78 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.78 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | β | 6.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.96 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | β | 6.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.79 | Trades | ||
Will LINK be above $30 on February 10th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 10 2021 | β | 6.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.32 | Trades | ||
Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on November 7? | Yes | No | 126.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9504 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 126.26 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 07 2021 | β | -120.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.26 | Trades | |
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 4th: $DOGE or $SHIB? | Dogecoin | Shiba Inu | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | β | 6.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.06 | Trades | ||
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace launch before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 181.05 | 0.00% | 0.9666 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 181.05 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -175.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.05 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 6.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.01 | Trades | ||
How many tweets will @DonaldJTrumpJr post from Jan 18th to 25th? | 80 or more 70-79 60-69 50-59 49 or less |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Jan 25 2021 | β | 5.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.42 | Trades | ||||||
Will the New York Yankees win the 2021 AL East? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 04 2021 | β | 5.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.01 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | β | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Billie Eilishβs βHappier Than Everβ sell more than 400K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | β | 4.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.83 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 4.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.51 | Trades | ||
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 4.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.48 | Trades | ||
Will @elonmusk post more than 70 new tweets by June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | 4.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.47 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 161.24 | 0.00% | 0.9303 | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 154.07 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | β | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.07 | Trades | |
Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired before June 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 3.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.51 | Trades | ||
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 3.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.29 | Trades | ||
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | 3.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.16 | Trades | ||
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $40 on June 17, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | 2.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.81 | Trades | ||
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 45.76 | 0.00% | 0.9398 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 45.76 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | -43.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.76 | Trades | |
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | β | 2.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.44 | Trades | ||
Will Russia or Belgium win their Euro 2020 match? | Russia | Belgium | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | β | 2.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.24 | Trades | ||
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 2.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.16 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trumpβs Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.01 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | β | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.93 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 1.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.87 | Trades | ||
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | 1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.75 | Trades | ||
Will Clubhouse officially announce theyβve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 126.73 | 0.00% | 0.9864 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 126.73 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -125.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.73 | Trades | |
Will the Knicks or the Hawks win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.72 | Trades | ||
Will Turkey or Italy win their Euro 2020 match? | Turkey | Italy | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 11 2021 | β | 1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.51 | Trades | ||
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.00 | 26.39 | 0.00% | 0.9474 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 26.39 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.39 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | 1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.39 | Trades | ||
Will Italy or Switzerland win their Euro 2020 match? | Italy | Switzerland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | β | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.33 | Trades | ||
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | β | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.20 | Trades | ||||||
Will the 76ers or the Wizards win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | 76ers | Wizards | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.20 | Trades | ||
Will 25 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 50% of residents by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | β | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.17 | Trades | ||
Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | 1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.16 | Trades | ||
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | β | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.14 | Trades | ||
Will Hashmasks be the highest volume NFT category by 7-day volume on February 25, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 25 2021 | β | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.84 | Trades | ||
Will there be more than 140 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 20 2021 | β | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | Trades | ||
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.79 | 0.00% | 0.7180 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.79 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.79 | Trades | |
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.70 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | β | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 | Trades | ||
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 104.50 | 0.00% | 0.9952 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 104.50 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | β | -104.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 19.5 ETH on August 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump attend Joe Bidenβs inauguration ceremony in person? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | β | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.19 | Trades | ||
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | Trades | ||
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | β | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.12 | Trades | ||
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by December 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | β | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | ||
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | β | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their boxing exhibition match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | β | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.64 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | β | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | Trades | ||
What will the price of $MATIC be on June 17? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | β | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | Trades | ||
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | -1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.20 | Trades | ||
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 165 Gwei on February 16? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -3.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.01 | Trades | ||
Will the 76ers or the Hawks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? | 76ers | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | β | -3.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.50 | Trades | ||
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | ||
Will PNAS retract Dan Arielyβs 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.52 | 0.00% | 0.4200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
β | -4.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.59 | Trades | |||||||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
Will Dogecoin (DOGE) price be $0.19 or more at noon on December 21, 2021? | Yes | No | 24.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1 on May 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | -5.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.86 | Trades | ||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | ||
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.45 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -7.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.37 | Trades | ||
Will the Clippers or the Mavericks win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Clippers | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | ||
Will there be over 220,000 encounters at the US-Mexico border in August 2021? | Yes | No | 22.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3698 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | β | -8.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.50 | Trades | |
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -9.60 | 0.95 | 0.00 | -8.66 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | β | -9.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.00 | Trades | ||
Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 15 2021 | β | -14.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.45 | Trades | ||
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) | Dems/Warnock | Reps/Loeffler | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | β | -19.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.40 | Trades | |||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | β | -23.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.97 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | β | -24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.00 | Trades | ||
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on May 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 04 2021 | β | -34.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -34.17 | Trades | ||
Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the UK be greater than 44,000 on November 8? | Yes | No | 302.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1654 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 12 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 64.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8124 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | β | -52.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -52.00 | Trades | |
Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | β | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | ||
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 650K for the week ending on April 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -151.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -151.15 | Trades | ||
Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami by January 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 288.11 | 0.00% | 0.6942 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | β | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | |
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,680.56 | 0.00% | 0.9521 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | -1,600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,600.00 | Trades | |
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,837.21 | 0.00% | 0.7673 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | β | -2,177.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,177.03 | Trades | |
Resolved | 2,694.36 | 7,501.81 | -8,827.35 | 1.36 | 0.00 | 1,370.17 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
Total | 2,694.36 | 7,501.81 | -8,827.35 | 1.36 | 0.00 | 1,370.17 |