Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 7,146.00 0.00 0.00 7,146.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 758.97 0.00 0.00 758.97 Trades
Drift airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 703.33 0.00% -0.0717 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 50.45 0.00 0.00 50.45 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 36.00 0.00 0.00 36.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by September 18? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 18 2024 7.75 0.00 0.00 7.75 Trades
India Election: Modi reelected? Yes No 0.00 220.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -15.40 0.00 0.00 -15.40 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Rabby airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 26.03 0.00 0.00 26.03 Trades
Linea airdrop by June 30? Yes No 791.11 0.00 0.00% -0.0258 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 20.41 0.00 0.00 20.41 Trades
Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 18.50 0.00 0.00 18.50 Trades
Will Ansem win his fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 9.00 0.00 0.00 9.00 Trades
Zircuit airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? Yes No 0.36 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 6.55 0.00 0.00 6.55 Trades
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -11.21 0.00 0.00 -11.21 Trades
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -29.37 0.00 0.00 -29.37 Trades
Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid? Yes No 0.00 498.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 01 2024 -39.82 0.00 0.00 -39.82 Trades
Will Bronny James be drafted? Yes No 175.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2386 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 27 2024 -41.75 0.00 0.00 -41.75 Trades
Solana ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -42.00 0.00 0.00 -42.00 Trades
Doge ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 4.94 0.00% 9.0072 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -44.50 0.00 0.00 -44.50 Trades
Will Garcia vs. Haney be canceled? Yes No 215.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 20 2024 -49.45 0.00 0.00 -49.45 Trades
Taiko airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -56.70 0.00 0.00 -56.70 Trades
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? Yes No 475.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1389 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -66.00 0.00 0.00 -66.00 Trades
Scroll airdrop by June 30? Yes No 233.63 0.00 0.00% 0.2903 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -67.82 0.00 0.00 -67.82 Trades
Aleo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 331.16 0.00 0.00% 0.3154 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -104.46 0.00 0.00 -104.46 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 929.41 0.00 0.00% 0.1565 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -145.41 0.00 0.00 -145.41 Trades
MarginFi airdrop by June 30? Yes No 276.83 0.00 0.00% 0.6077 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -168.22 0.00 0.00 -168.22 Trades
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? Yes No 62.00 0.00 0.00% 2.7397 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -169.86 0.00 0.00 -169.86 Trades
Swell airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -226.80 0.00 0.00 -226.80 Trades
Puffer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 666.97 0.00 0.00% 0.4853 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -323.70 0.00 0.00 -323.70 Trades
Berachain airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 499.39 0.00% 0.7275 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -363.33 0.00 0.00 -363.33 Trades
OpenAI Sora public release before May? Yes No 582.43 0.00 0.00% 0.6499 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -378.52 0.00 0.00 -378.52 Trades
Base airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 455.00 0.00% 0.9090 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -413.60 0.00 0.00 -413.60 Trades
Parcl airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 3,720.05 0.00% 0.1355 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -503.92 0.00 0.00 -503.92 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by June 30? Yes No 590.62 0.00 0.00% 0.9715 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -573.76 0.00 0.00 -573.76 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 5,055.57 0.00% 0.4514 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -2,282.01 0.00 0.00 -2,282.01 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.83 0.17 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 4,684.93 311.83 0.00 4,996.76 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.09 0.00% 0.10 0.90 0.00 0.08 Tue Sep 10 2024 836.40 0.00 0.00 836.48 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 376.50 0.00 0.00 376.50 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.01% 0.07 0.93 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 116.61 127.56 0.00 244.17 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 6,254.72 0.00 0.00% 0.4608 0.47 0.53 2,967.03 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 -2,882.16 142.80 0.00 227.67 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 214.54 0.00 0.00 214.54 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 154.86 0.00 0.00 154.86 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 70.72 0.00 0.00 70.72 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 28.76 0.00 0.00 28.76 Trades
Is John McAfee alive? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 27.00 0.00 0.00 27.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 7.89 0.00 0.00 7.89 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 2.76 0.00 0.00 2.76 Trades
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.02 0.98 0.00 0.01 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.77 0.00 0.00 -1.76 Trades
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Bryan Johnson's functional sperm above 20.0 M/ejac on next test? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 -7.01 0.00 0.00 -7.01 Trades
Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -9.00 0.00 0.00 -9.00 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -11.82 0.00 0.00 -11.82 Trades
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? Yes No 226.13 0.00 0.00% 0.0591 0.01 0.99 1.38 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -13.37 0.00 0.00 -11.99 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.03 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -17.11 0.40 0.00 -16.71 Trades
Will Kraken IPO by June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -24.30 0.00 0.00 -24.30 Trades
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -38.25 0.00 0.00 -38.25 Trades
Will Elon Musk own X through June 30? Yes No 0.00 476.13 0.00% 0.1078 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -51.33 0.00 0.00 -51.33 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -55.02 0.00 0.00 -55.02 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -57.00 0.00 0.00 -57.00 Trades
Aleo airdrop by April? Yes No 1,312.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0492 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -64.50 0.00 0.00 -64.50 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 10,996.89 0.00 0.00% 0.5089 0.50 0.50 5,498.44 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -5,596.15 0.00 0.00 -97.71 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? Yes No 4.75 0.00 0.00% 22.3113 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -105.98 0.00 0.00 -105.98 Trades
Rainbow airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 184.44 0.00% 0.5766 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -106.36 0.00 0.00 -106.36 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 0.00 61.45 0.00% 1.7791 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -109.32 0.00 0.00 -109.32 Trades
Base airdrop by May 1? Yes No 540.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2382 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -128.63 0.00 0.00 -128.63 Trades
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? Yes No 0.00 220.00 0.00% 0.6700 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -147.40 0.00 0.00 -147.40 Trades
Fed rate cut by December 18? Yes No 225.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 18 2024 -162.00 0.00 0.00 -162.00 Trades
OpenSea token by May 1? Yes No 647.73 0.00 0.00% 0.2663 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -172.50 0.00 0.00 -172.50 Trades
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6545 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -196.34 0.00 0.00 -196.34 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? Yes No 3,419.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0582 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 -198.83 0.00 0.00 -198.83 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 4,980.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0402 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
CZ sentenced to prison? Yes No 0.00 462.18 0.00% 0.4387 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -202.76 0.00 0.00 -202.76 Trades
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? Yes No 0.00 217.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -206.15 0.00 0.00 -206.15 Trades
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Netanyahu Sinwar 159.60 0.00 0.00% 1.3338 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 -212.88 0.00 0.00 -212.88 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -223.10 0.00 0.00 -223.10 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 2,119.48 0.00 0.00% 0.1056 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -223.74 0.00 0.00 -223.74 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -233.98 0.00 0.00 -233.98 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by April? Yes No 167.53 0.00 0.00% 1.4167 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -237.35 0.00 0.00 -237.35 Trades
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? Yes No 1,050.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2548 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 26 2024 -267.50 0.00 0.00 -267.50 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop before May? Yes No 651.80 0.00 0.00% 0.4184 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -272.72 0.00 0.00 -272.72 Trades
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 471.00 0.00% 0.5957 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -280.56 0.00 0.00 -280.56 Trades
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? Yes No 350.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8957 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -313.50 0.00 0.00 -313.50 Trades
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine before July? Yes No 0.00 333.71 0.00% 0.9548 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -318.63 0.00 0.00 -318.63 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 3,286.77 0.00 0.00% 0.1048 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -344.41 0.00 0.00 -344.41 Trades
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation? Yes No 1,700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2282 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -388.00 0.00 0.00 -388.00 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 237.25 0.00 0.00% 1.6886 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -400.63 0.00 0.00 -400.63 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 3,054.14 0.00 0.00% 0.1354 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -413.51 0.00 0.00 -413.51 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 2,151.70 0.00 0.00% 0.2038 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -438.60 0.00 0.00 -438.60 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 0.00 2,000.01 0.00% 0.2385 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -476.99 0.00 0.00 -476.99 Trades
Canada federal election in 2024? Yes No 2,558.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1956 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -500.41 0.00 0.00 -500.41 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 -507.59 0.00 0.00 -507.59 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 516.17 0.00 0.00% 0.9904 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -511.20 0.00 0.00 -511.20 Trades
zkSync airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 400.07 0.00% 1.2871 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -514.93 0.00 0.00 -514.93 Trades
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? Yes No 3,900.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1323 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -516.00 0.00 0.00 -516.00 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1197 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -598.62 0.00 0.00 -598.62 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? Yes No 5,951.79 0.00 0.00% 0.1056 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -628.77 0.00 0.00 -628.77 Trades
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? Yes No 3,511.40 0.00 0.00% 0.1842 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -646.81 0.00 0.00 -646.81 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 250.12 0.00% 2.7263 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -681.92 0.00 0.00 -681.92 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 1,330.86 0.00% 0.5397 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -718.28 0.00 0.00 -718.28 Trades
Fed rate cut by November 7? Yes No 900.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8290 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 07 2024 -746.10 0.00 0.00 -746.10 Trades
Will Man City win the Premier League? Yes No 1,550.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 -759.50 0.00 0.00 -759.50 Trades
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? Yes No 0.00 804.96 0.00% 0.9822 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 01 2024 -790.63 0.00 0.00 -790.63 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 1,365.77 0.00 0.00% 0.6117 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -835.51 0.00 0.00 -835.51 Trades
Will 2024 be better than 2023? Yes No 1,800.01 0.00 0.00% 0.4659 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -838.58 0.00 0.00 -838.58 Trades
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? Yes No 6,640.25 0.00 0.00% 0.1460 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -969.29 0.00 0.00 -969.29 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 8,954.96 0.00 0.00% 0.1120 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,003.38 0.00 0.00 -1,003.38 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.00 384.95 0.00% 2.7062 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1,041.76 0.00 0.00 -1,041.76 Trades
Fed rate cut by June 12? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 12 2024 -1,053.91 0.00 0.00 -1,053.91 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 3,000.31 0.00 0.00% 0.3687 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,106.19 0.00 0.00 -1,106.19 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.00 2,000.00 0.00% 0.5974 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 19 2024 -1,194.86 0.00 0.00 -1,194.86 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? Yes No 2,115.03 0.00 0.00% 0.6028 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,275.01 0.00 0.00 -1,275.01 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,795.12 0.00% 0.7947 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,426.65 0.00 0.00 -1,426.65 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.01 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1,438.64 0.00 0.00 -1,438.63 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,896.01 0.00% 0.9063 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,718.31 0.00 0.00 -1,718.31 Trades
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? Yes No 0.00 2,702.30 0.00% 0.6554 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,771.12 0.00 0.00 -1,771.12 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by April? Yes No 3,430.39 0.00 0.00% 0.5233 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -1,794.99 0.00 0.00 -1,794.99 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 2,860.62 0.00 0.00% 0.7234 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -2,069.50 0.00 0.00 -2,069.50 Trades
Will Circle IPO by June? Yes No 16,898.48 0.00 0.00% 0.6355 0.50 0.50 8,449.24 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -10,738.29 0.00 0.00 -2,289.05 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 3,362.79 0.00% 0.7157 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -2,406.60 0.00 0.00 -2,406.60 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 9,700.02 0.00 0.00% 0.2772 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -2,689.07 0.00 0.00 -2,689.07 Trades
Blast airdrop by June 30? Yes No 4,060.72 0.00 0.00% 0.9568 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -3,885.50 0.00 0.00 -3,885.50 Trades
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? Yes No 0.00 5,148.21 0.00% 0.9035 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -4,651.33 0.00 0.00 -4,651.33 Trades
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? Yes No 0.00 13,352.61 0.00% 0.4004 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 -5,346.91 0.00 0.00 -5,346.91 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 48,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.1587 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 -7,778.51 0.00 0.00 -7,778.51 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -17,681.55 2,298.32 0.00 -15,383.23 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 40,649.61 0.00 0.00 40,649.61 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 17,881.77 840.41 0.00 18,722.18 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 18,494.22 0.00 0.00 18,494.22 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 17,953.34 0.00 0.00 17,953.34 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 17,356.50 0.00 0.00 17,356.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 16,518.70 0.00 0.00 16,518.70 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 14,629.87 0.00 0.00 14,629.87 Trades
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14,408.86 1.25 0.00 14,410.10 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 265.70 0.01% -8.3359 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 2,214.81 9,715.62 0.00 11,930.43 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 11,528.29 0.00 0.00 11,528.29 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 10,785.31 0.00 0.00 10,785.31 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 25,928.99 0.00% 0.5910 0.00 1.00 0.00 25,928.99 Sun Dec 31 2023 -15,324.09 0.00 0.00 10,604.91 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 9,376.99 903.04 0.00 10,280.03 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 9,200.10 0.00 0.00 9,200.10 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.45 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.45 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 7,735.53 1,248.70 0.00 8,984.68 Trades
Sierra Leone Presidential Election: Will Julius Maada Bio win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 24 2023 8,465.85 0.00 0.00 8,465.85 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 2.84 0.00% -2266.4338 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 6,425.54 674.88 0.00 7,100.42 Trades
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6,400.82 2.93 0.00 6,403.75 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 6,280.66 0.00 0.00 6,280.66 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 6,230.97 0.00 0.00 6,230.97 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 80,820.29 0.00 0.00% 0.9345 1.00 0.00 80,820.29 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 -75,524.79 218.39 0.00 5,513.89 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 5,322.59 0.00 0.00 5,322.59 Trades
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.17% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 17 2021 5,188.15 79.00 0.00 5,267.15 Trades
Will TD get over 11% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 5,205.40 0.00 0.00 5,205.40 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? Yes No 6,605.21 0.00 0.00% 0.2252 1.00 0.00 6,605.21 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 -1,487.37 0.00 0.00 5,117.84 Trades
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 14 2024 5,076.11 0.00 0.00 5,076.11 Trades
Sui Airdrop by May 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 4,371.51 0.00 0.00 4,371.51 Trades
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 4,199.24 0.00 0.00 4,199.24 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 0.00 13,417.36 0.00% 0.7926 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,417.36 Tue Nov 08 2022 -10,634.77 1,340.37 0.00 4,122.96 Trades
Will Syriza win >31% of votes in the Greek election? (first round) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 20 2023 4,102.00 0.00 0.00 4,102.00 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4,089.00 0.00 0.00 4,089.00 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 12,937,618.12 -2071.57% 0.9997 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,937,618.12 Wed Jun 01 2022 -12,933,597.63 30.55 0.00 4,051.04 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 3,936.35 0.00 0.00 3,936.35 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? Yes No 11,840.61 0.00 0.00% 0.6752 1.00 0.00 11,840.61 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 -7,994.21 6.14 0.00 3,852.54 Trades
Will N.D. win >35% of votes the Greek election? (first round) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 20 2023 3,838.00 0.00 0.00 3,838.00 Trades
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 15,379.16 0.00% 0.7602 0.00 1.00 0.00 15,379.16 Sun Feb 12 2023 -11,691.97 0.00 0.00 3,687.19 Trades
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 3,647.45 0.00 0.00 3,647.45 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 129.70 0.00 0.00% -23.6880 1.00 0.00 129.70 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 3,072.28 416.68 0.00 3,618.66 Trades
Will Rodolfo Hernández win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 8,312.57 0.00% 0.5937 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,312.57 Sun May 29 2022 -4,935.55 160.28 0.00 3,537.30 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 3,480.72 0.00 0.00 3,480.72 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 3,306.65 0.00 0.00 3,306.65 Trades
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 3,160.31 0.00 0.00 3,160.31 Trades
Will N.D. win a plurality in the Greek election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 3,105.14 0.00 0.00 3,105.14 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 2,512.72 589.50 0.00 3,102.22 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 3,073.22 0.00 0.00 3,073.22 Trades
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 3,035.22 0.00 0.00 3,035.22 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 6.55 0.00 0.00% -211.2850 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 1,383.13 1,491.21 0.00 2,874.35 Trades
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 3,817.07 0.00% 0.2830 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,817.07 Tue Nov 08 2022 -1,080.39 82.90 0.00 2,819.58 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 0.00 22,517.58 0.00% 0.9266 0.00 1.00 0.00 22,517.58 Fri Jan 06 2023 -20,863.74 1,091.00 0.00 2,744.84 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 531.93 0.00% -1.2090 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 643.13 2,081.44 0.00 2,724.57 Trades
Confederate Memorial at Arlington Cemetery removed by Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 2,691.16 0.00 0.00 2,691.16 Trades
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 5,744.21 0.00 0.00% 0.5486 1.00 0.00 5,744.21 0.00 Sat Nov 18 2023 -3,151.02 0.00 0.00 2,593.19 Trades
What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? Long Short 0.33 0.00 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.26 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 2,516.59 0.00 0.00 2,516.85 Trades
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 2,457.61 0.00 0.00 2,457.61 Trades
Will Gustavo Petro win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 6,675.49 0.00 0.00% 0.6345 1.00 0.00 6,675.49 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 -4,235.65 1.39 0.00 2,441.23 Trades
Texans vs. Browns Texans Browns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 2,316.80 0.00 0.00 2,316.80 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 2,421.68 0.00 0.00% 0.0635 1.00 0.00 2,421.68 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -153.78 0.00 0.00 2,267.89 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 5,139.26 0.00% 0.5592 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,139.26 Sat Oct 21 2023 -2,874.06 0.00 0.00 2,265.19 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,099.44 0.00% 0.8149 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,099.44 Thu Sep 01 2022 -3,340.47 1,324.80 0.00 2,083.78 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,946.95 0.00% -0.4145 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 2,050.68 14.81 0.00 2,065.50 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,913.49 0.00% 0.7120 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,913.49 Wed Jun 15 2022 -4,922.33 30.22 0.00 2,021.38 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 610.65 0.00 1.44% -1.0613 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 648.09 1,360.34 0.00 2,008.43 Trades
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 1,963.46 0.00 0.00 1,963.46 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 1,961.62 0.00 0.00 1,961.62 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 561.21 1,377.71 0.00 1,938.92 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 221.77 0.00 0.00% -2.5763 1.00 0.00 221.77 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 571.35 1,109.91 0.00 1,903.03 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 104.10 1,742.77 0.00 1,846.87 Trades
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 1,780.40 0.00 0.00 1,780.40 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 82,016.68 0.00% 0.9784 0.00 1.00 0.00 82,016.68 Tue Mar 08 2022 -80,244.62 0.24 0.00 1,772.31 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 1,101.78 575.78 0.00 1,677.56 Trades
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 1,669.77 0.00 0.00 1,669.77 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,663.30 0.00 0.00 1,663.30 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 -26.01 1,657.48 0.00 1,631.47 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 1,596.92 0.00 0.00 1,596.92 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.32 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.32 Tue Nov 30 2021 1,228.05 329.62 0.00 1,557.99 Trades
Cowboys vs. Packers Cowboys Packers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 1,500.00 0.00 0.00 1,500.00 Trades
How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 1,467.46 0.00 0.00 1,467.46 Trades
Bangladesh Election: Sheikh Hasina reelected as Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 07 2024 1,450.75 0.00 0.00 1,450.75 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 1,394.85 0.00 0.00 1,394.85 Trades
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 1,384.26 0.00 0.00 1,384.26 Trades
NFL: Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Dallas Cowboys, scheduled for September 11, 8:20 PM ET? Buccaneers Cowboys 2,711.00 0.00 0.02% 0.5376 1.00 0.00 2,711.00 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 -1,457.35 126.69 0.00 1,380.34 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 2,002.51 0.00 0.00% 0.4261 1.00 0.00 2,002.51 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -853.17 187.16 0.01 1,336.50 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? Yes No 2,164.94 0.00 0.00% 0.4052 1.00 0.00 2,164.94 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -877.20 45.12 0.00 1,332.86 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 6.69 0.00 0.00% -186.7855 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 1,250.39 42.52 0.00 1,292.92 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 55,849.78 0.00 0.00% 0.9770 1.00 0.00 55,849.78 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 -54,562.53 0.07 0.00 1,287.31 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 1,833.68 0.00% 0.3138 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,833.68 Wed Mar 01 2023 -575.39 0.00 0.00 1,258.29 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,725.98 0.00% 0.3034 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,725.98 Mon Apr 25 2022 -523.73 35.60 0.00 1,237.85 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 1,232.32 0.00 0.00 1,232.32 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? Yes No 1,535.98 0.00 0.00% 0.1983 1.00 0.00 1,535.98 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -304.66 0.00 0.00 1,231.32 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? Yes No 6,733.54 0.00 0.00% 0.8307 1.00 0.00 6,733.54 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 -5,593.79 75.20 0.00 1,214.96 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 225,329.54 0.92% 0.0008 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 -182.10 1,389.26 0.00 1,207.16 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 5,910.85 0.00 0.00% 0.8066 1.00 0.00 5,910.85 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -4,767.72 19.31 0.00 1,162.44 Trades
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 1,152.95 0.00 0.00 1,152.95 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,900.00 0.00% 0.6055 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,900.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -1,756.00 0.00 0.00 1,144.00 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 1,050.70 57.31 0.00 1,108.02 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,359.12 0.01% 0.7046 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,359.12 Sat Oct 01 2022 -2,366.91 102.92 0.00 1,095.13 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 9.10 0.00 0.80% 16.2084 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 -147.43 1,232.63 0.00 1,085.19 Trades
Will Labor win more seats than the Liberal-Nationals in the 2022 Australian Federal Election? Yes No 7,662.17 0.00 0.00% 0.8959 1.00 0.00 7,662.17 0.00 Sat May 21 2022 -6,864.52 277.98 0.00 1,075.63 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 778.99 0.00 0.00% 0.6551 1.00 0.00 778.99 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -510.34 799.12 0.00 1,067.77 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 3,810.04 0.00 0.00% 0.7625 1.00 0.00 3,810.04 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 -2,905.34 138.28 0.00 1,042.98 Trades
US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 1,038.87 0.00 0.00 1,038.87 Trades
Will Chile vote to change its constitution? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 1,002.00 0.00 0.00 1,002.00 Trades
Starknet airdrop in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 984.75 0.00 0.00 984.75 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,467.75 0.02% 0.3803 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,467.75 Tue Dec 13 2022 -558.18 75.08 0.00 984.66 Trades
NFL Thursday: Colts vs. Broncos Colts Broncos 1,393.05 0.00 0.02% 0.3656 1.00 0.00 1,393.05 0.00 Thu Oct 06 2022 -509.23 14.28 0.00 898.10 Trades
Lions vs. Buccaneers Lions Buccaneers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 21 2024 870.00 0.00 0.00 870.00 Trades
[From kain.eth] Will Synthetix capture more single day fees than Bitcoin by September 8? Yes No 0.00 7.72 0.00% -111.7433 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 862.38 4.95 0.00 867.33 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 3,150.00 0.00% 0.7256 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,150.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -2,285.50 0.00 0.00 864.50 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,500.10 0.00% 0.4416 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,500.10 Mon Aug 08 2022 -662.44 11.11 0.00 848.77 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 14,500.00 0.00% 0.9423 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,500.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 -13,664.03 0.00 0.00 835.97 Trades
Ravens vs. Chiefs Ravens Chiefs 0.00 1,224.84 0.00% 0.3237 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,224.84 Sun Jan 28 2024 -396.45 0.00 0.00 828.39 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? Yes No 9.06 0.00 0.00% -89.1100 1.00 0.00 9.06 0.00 Tue Aug 01 2023 807.23 0.00 0.00 816.29 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10? Yes No 0.00 1,564.08 0.00% 0.4921 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,564.08 Thu Sep 15 2022 -769.64 16.80 0.00 811.24 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from March to April 2022? Yes No 2,441.80 0.00 0.01% 0.6785 1.00 0.00 2,441.80 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 -1,656.84 23.91 0.00 808.87 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 12,684.60 0.00 0.00% 0.9385 1.00 0.00 12,684.60 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 -11,904.62 28.85 0.00 808.83 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1,765.45 0.00% 0.5470 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,765.45 Sun Jan 14 2024 -965.63 0.00 0.00 799.81 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) Dems/Warnock Reps/Loeffler 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 799.74 0.00 0.00 799.74 Trades
UK election called by end of year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 795.00 0.00 0.00 795.00 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Uruguay beat Ghana? Yes No 1,623.56 0.00 0.02% 0.5384 1.00 0.00 1,623.56 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 -874.14 21.95 0.00 771.38 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - Will France beat Tunisia? Yes No 0.00 1,040.06 0.02% 0.3026 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,040.06 Wed Nov 30 2022 -314.73 43.37 0.00 768.70 Trades
Ethena airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 763.79 0.00 0.00 763.80 Trades
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 1,046.40 0.00 0.00% 0.2735 1.00 0.00 1,046.40 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -286.15 0.00 0.00 760.25 Trades
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 743.63 0.00 0.00 743.63 Trades
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? Yes No 868.81 0.00 0.00% 0.1460 1.00 0.00 868.81 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 -126.89 0.00 0.00 741.92 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 735.67 0.00 0.00 735.67 Trades
Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election? Yes No 0.00 705.98 0.26% 0.1487 0.00 1.00 0.00 705.98 Tue May 17 2022 -104.96 120.62 0.00 721.64 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Keiko Fujimori Pedro Castillo 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 314.71 403.72 0.00 718.43 Trades
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 712.00 0.00 0.00 712.00 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 705.62 0.00 0.00 705.62 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? Yes No 0.00 1,303.27 0.03% 0.5093 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,303.27 Fri Sep 30 2022 -663.74 54.54 0.00 694.07 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 890.00 0.00% 0.2219 0.00 1.00 0.00 890.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -197.45 0.00 0.00 692.55 Trades
Will Walmart buy Vizio in February? Yes No 1,700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5959 1.00 0.00 1,700.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -1,013.00 0.00 0.00 687.00 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 871.35 0.00% 0.2152 0.00 1.00 0.00 871.35 Sun Jun 30 2024 -187.51 0.00 0.00 683.84 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 642.71 34.52 0.00 677.23 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.59 0.00% -0.0756 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 0.50 664.16 0.00 664.66 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.04 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 658.91 0.00 0.00 658.95 Trades
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 3,989.04 0.00% 0.8564 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,989.04 Wed May 18 2022 -3,416.25 85.60 0.00 658.39 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Jan 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 653.55 0.00 0.00 653.55 Trades
Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 05 2020 651.66 0.00 0.00 651.66 Trades
NBA: Will the Wizards beat the Trail Blazers by more than 6.5 points in their March 12 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,312.07 0.00% 0.5079 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,312.07 Sat Mar 12 2022 -666.34 5.45 0.00 651.18 Trades
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. 49ers Cowboys 49ers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 22 2023 649.67 0.00 0.00 649.67 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 4.43 0.00 0.00% -138.5958 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 614.01 35.08 0.00 649.09 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 635.00 0.00 0.00 635.00 Trades
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 630.60 0.00 0.00 630.60 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,700.32 0.00% 0.8307 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,700.32 Sun Dec 31 2023 -3,073.70 0.00 0.00 626.62 Trades
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 11 2024 620.82 0.00 0.00 620.82 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 3,660.20 0.00 0.00% -0.1695 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 28 2024 620.31 0.00 0.00 620.31 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 0.00 9.37 5.83% -56.4567 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 528.97 87.00 0.00 615.96 Trades
Will "China" be said 15 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 610.00 0.00 0.00 610.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Bucks vs. Jazz, scheduled for March 14 (10 PM ET)? Bucks Jazz 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 593.19 16.52 0.00 609.71 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 606.95 0.00 0.00 606.95 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference? Yes No 0.00 47.08 0.00% -9.3659 0.00 1.00 0.00 47.08 Tue May 31 2022 440.96 118.56 0.00 606.60 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 605.22 0.00 0.00 605.22 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 604.88 0.00 0.00 604.88 Trades
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? Yes No 789.73 0.00 0.01% 0.2536 1.00 0.00 789.73 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 -200.25 6.12 0.00 595.59 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 2,579.67 0.00% 0.7697 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,579.67 Tue Nov 07 2023 -1,985.55 0.00 0.00 594.12 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 4,412.41 0.00% 0.8664 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,412.41 Tue Oct 31 2023 -3,822.75 0.00 0.00 589.66 Trades
Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,014.64 0.00% 0.8848 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,014.64 Sun Dec 31 2023 -4,436.95 0.00 0.00 577.69 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 1,745.75 0.00 0.00% 0.6763 1.00 0.00 1,745.75 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -1,180.60 4.16 0.00 569.31 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 550.10 0.00 0.00 550.10 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 0.00 1,921.45 0.00% 0.7161 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,921.45 Thu Feb 29 2024 -1,375.95 0.00 0.00 545.50 Trades
Will SOL outperform ETH in January? Yes No 0.00 1,004.02 0.00% 0.4586 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,004.02 Wed Jan 31 2024 -460.42 0.00 0.00 543.59 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 2,956.99 0.00 0.00% 0.8807 1.00 0.00 2,956.99 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -2,604.25 180.69 0.00 533.43 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? Yes No 987.79 0.00 0.00% 0.5030 1.00 0.00 987.79 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 -496.90 39.35 0.00 530.24 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 192,407.17 0.00 263.73% -0.0025 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 481.94 45.83 0.00 527.77 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 5,863.93 0.00% 0.9122 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,863.93 Tue May 31 2022 -5,349.13 6.32 0.00 521.12 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 8.5 points in their May 4, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 1,005.41 0.00 0.00% 0.4936 1.00 0.00 1,005.41 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 -496.25 5.20 0.00 514.35 Trades
Will Fratelli D'italia or Partito Democratico win more seats in the Italian Chamber in the 2022 election? Partito Democratico Fratelli D'Italia 0.00 2,594.15 0.00% 0.8110 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,594.15 Mon Sep 26 2022 -2,103.77 14.19 0.00 504.57 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 94.90 0.00% -3.3863 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 321.36 179.15 0.00 500.50 Trades
Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 26 2024 497.78 0.00 0.00 497.78 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 2,663.03 0.00 0.00% 0.8862 1.00 0.00 2,663.03 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -2,360.01 194.57 0.00 497.59 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will any film win 6 or more awards? Yes No 5,768.69 0.00 0.00% 0.9155 1.00 0.00 5,768.69 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 -5,281.02 7.70 0.00 495.36 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 1,096.56 0.00 0.00% 0.5510 1.00 0.00 1,096.56 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 -604.17 0.00 0.00 492.39 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 10.88 0.00 0.01% -39.7782 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 432.96 55.90 0.00 488.86 Trades
Will Canada hold a federal election in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 483.58 0.00 0.00 483.58 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 483.00 0.00 0.00 483.00 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 481.35 0.00 0.00 481.35 Trades
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 397.10 78.21 0.00 475.31 Trades
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 465.00 0.00 0.00 465.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden get Coronavirus before the election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 04 2020 464.90 0.00 0.00 464.90 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 557.72 0.00 0.00% 0.1667 1.00 0.00 557.72 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 -92.96 0.00 0.00 464.76 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Pakistan vs. Australia, 3rd ODI? Pakistan Australia 1,174.85 0.00 0.00% 0.6157 1.00 0.00 1,174.85 0.00 Sat Apr 02 2022 -723.35 8.75 0.00 460.24 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) Dems/Ossoff Reps/Perdue 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 455.76 0.00 0.00 455.76 Trades
JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 23 2023 455.47 0.00 0.00 455.47 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 447.90 0.00 0.00 447.90 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 445.97 0.00 0.00 445.97 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 437.00 0.00 0.00 437.00 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 7,762.98 0.00 0.00% 0.9442 1.00 0.00 7,762.98 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -7,329.48 0.00 0.00 433.50 Trades
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 1,430.00 0.00% 0.6974 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,430.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 -997.25 0.00 0.00 432.75 Trades
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 1,883.97 0.00% 0.8070 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,883.97 Tue Nov 08 2022 -1,520.43 62.32 0.00 425.86 Trades
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? Yes No 5,007.89 0.00 0.01% 0.9344 1.00 0.00 5,007.89 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 -4,679.43 94.30 0.00 422.76 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 2,715.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8470 1.00 0.00 2,715.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -2,299.50 0.00 0.00 415.50 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? Yes No 667.13 0.00 0.00% 0.3918 1.00 0.00 667.13 0.00 Fri Jun 24 2022 -261.35 3.78 0.00 409.56 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 0.00 824.05 0.00% 0.5121 0.00 1.00 0.00 824.05 Sat Dec 31 2022 -421.97 7.18 0.00 409.26 Trades
Jupiter airdrop by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 405.65 0.00 0.00 405.65 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Ecuador beat Senegal? Yes No 0.00 916.39 0.02% 0.5677 0.00 1.00 0.00 916.39 Tue Nov 29 2022 -520.27 0.00 0.00 396.12 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,535.90 0.00% 0.9501 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,535.90 Sat Dec 31 2022 -5,259.45 114.41 0.00 390.86 Trades
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.25% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 379.75 0.00 0.00 379.75 Trades
Formula 1: Who will finish ahead at the Saudi Arabia Grand Prix: Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc? Max Verstappen Charles Leclerc 2,972.54 0.00 0.00% 0.8742 1.00 0.00 2,972.54 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 -2,598.46 3.54 0.00 377.62 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22? Yes No 0.00 3,858.39 0.00% 0.9077 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,858.39 Wed Apr 20 2022 -3,502.43 21.04 0.00 377.00 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 5,987.71 0.00 0.00% -0.0615 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 368.31 0.00 0.00 368.31 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 5,729.94 0.00% 0.9360 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,729.94 Thu Nov 30 2023 -5,363.11 0.00 0.00 366.83 Trades
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 25 2023 365.60 0.00 0.00 365.60 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 990.85 0.00 0.00% 0.7776 1.00 0.00 990.85 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 -770.49 136.20 0.00 356.55 Trades
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? Lee Jae-myung Yoon Seok-youl 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 330.98 20.26 0.00 351.24 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win 2nd place in the Republican primary for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 532.26 0.00% 0.3621 0.00 1.00 0.00 532.26 Tue May 03 2022 -192.75 11.43 0.00 350.95 Trades
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 1,250.00 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,250.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -900.00 0.00 0.00 350.00 Trades
Ethereum all time high by end of March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 346.11 0.00 0.00 346.11 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 458.42 0.00% 0.2839 0.00 1.00 0.00 458.42 Tue Aug 16 2022 -130.16 15.75 0.00 344.01 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) Protasiewicz Kelly 2,335.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8528 1.00 0.00 2,335.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 -1,991.40 0.00 0.00 343.60 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,458.00 0.00% 0.7644 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,458.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -1,114.50 0.00 0.00 343.50 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 342.50 0.00 0.00 342.50 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 5,451.04 0.00% 0.9381 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,451.04 Wed Feb 01 2023 -5,113.49 0.00 0.00 337.55 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 19,855.26 0.00% 0.9831 0.00 1.00 0.00 19,855.26 Tue Mar 08 2022 -19,520.42 0.00 0.00 334.85 Trades
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,954.64 0.00% 0.8896 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,954.64 Sun Dec 31 2023 -2,628.45 0.00 0.00 326.18 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,227.48 0.28% 0.9306 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,227.48 Sat Oct 01 2022 -3,003.52 101.61 0.00 325.57 Trades
Chiefs vs. Dolphins Chiefs Dolphins 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 325.17 0.00 0.00 325.17 Trades
World Cup: Monday - Will Brazil beat Switzerland? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 28 2022 325.03 0.00 0.00 325.03 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,699.89 0.00% 0.8800 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,699.89 Wed Feb 07 2024 -2,375.90 0.00 0.00 323.99 Trades
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 323.55 0.00 0.00 323.55 Trades
Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis Haney Progrias 1,358.33 0.00 0.00% 0.7663 1.00 0.00 1,358.33 0.00 Sat Dec 09 2023 -1,040.83 0.00 0.00 317.50 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 6,472.85 0.00% 0.9513 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,472.85 Mon Sep 20 2021 -6,157.49 0.00 0.00 315.35 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 656.33 0.00% 0.5463 0.00 1.00 0.00 656.33 Mon Sep 12 2022 -358.57 16.18 0.00 313.94 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 388.89 0.00 0.00% 0.1929 1.00 0.00 388.89 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -75.00 0.00 0.00 313.89 Trades
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 03 2021 309.32 0.00 0.00 309.32 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 308.73 0.00 0.00 308.73 Trades
Continued US strikes against Houthis? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 308.00 0.00 0.00 308.00 Trades
NFL Sunday: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Chiefs Buccaneers 571.81 0.00 0.02% 0.4734 1.00 0.00 571.81 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 -270.70 2.76 0.00 303.87 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 303.09 0.00 0.00 303.09 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 300.85 0.00 0.00 300.85 Trades
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 298.38 0.00 0.00 298.38 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 555.34 0.00 0.00% 0.8014 1.00 0.00 555.34 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -445.03 185.26 0.00 295.57 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 4.08 0.00 0.01% -32.9035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 134.21 161.28 0.00 295.49 Trades
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? Yes No 12,466.13 0.00 0.00% 0.9768 1.00 0.00 12,466.13 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 -12,177.04 3.98 0.00 293.08 Trades
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa González win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 290.68 0.00 0.00 290.68 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Celtics, scheduled for April 23, 7:30 PM ET? Nets Celtics 0.00 482.70 0.00% 0.4075 0.00 1.00 0.00 482.70 Sat Apr 23 2022 -196.70 3.28 0.00 289.28 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Jessica Chastain win Best Actress? Yes No 624.47 0.00 0.00% 0.5705 1.00 0.00 624.47 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 -356.27 17.65 0.00 285.85 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 72.68 0.00% -3.9219 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 285.05 0.00 0.00 285.05 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 280.76 0.00 0.00 280.76 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 280.65 0.00 0.00 280.65 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 280.00 0.00 0.00 280.00 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 277.37 0.00 0.00 277.37 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23? Yes No 793.44 0.00 0.00% 0.6572 1.00 0.00 793.44 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 -521.48 3.17 0.00 275.14 Trades
NFL Monday: Broncos vs. Chargers Broncos Chargers 5.46 0.00 0.02% -48.9331 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 17 2022 267.16 5.52 0.00 272.69 Trades
Will Hilary hit US as a hurricane? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 270.20 0.00 0.00 270.20 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 268.75 0.00 0.00 268.75 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? Yes No 11,694.58 0.00 0.00% 0.9779 1.00 0.00 11,694.58 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 -11,435.68 5.93 0.00 264.84 Trades
NFL Thursday: Dolphins vs. Bengals Dolphins Bengals 0.00 720.07 0.02% 0.6418 0.00 1.00 0.00 720.07 Thu Sep 29 2022 -462.13 5.08 0.00 263.02 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? Yes No 0.00 455.00 0.00% 0.4235 0.00 1.00 0.00 455.00 Mon Dec 04 2023 -192.70 0.00 0.00 262.30 Trades
College Football Championship: Michigan vs. Washington Michigan Washington 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 08 2024 260.16 0.00 0.00 260.16 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 837.57 0.00 0.00% 0.6955 1.00 0.00 837.57 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -582.57 3.99 0.00 258.99 Trades
NFL Sunday: Giants vs. Packers Giants Packers 312.08 0.00 0.00% 0.2141 1.00 0.00 312.08 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 -66.81 0.74 0.00 246.01 Trades
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 245.48 0.00 0.00 245.48 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Mavericks by more than 4.5 points in their February 27 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 496.96 0.00% 0.5260 0.00 1.00 0.00 496.96 Sun Feb 27 2022 -261.41 7.61 0.00 243.15 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 800.45 0.00% 0.6975 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.45 Sat Sep 30 2023 -558.34 0.00 0.00 242.11 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 646.32 0.00% 0.6294 0.00 1.00 0.00 646.32 Mon Sep 12 2022 -406.80 1.80 0.00 241.32 Trades
World Cup: Sunday - Will Belgium beat Morocco? Yes No 0.00 421.40 0.02% 0.4787 0.00 1.00 0.00 421.40 Sun Nov 27 2022 -201.71 21.23 0.00 240.93 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Netherlands beat Ecuador? Yes No 0.00 413.24 0.02% 0.4288 0.00 1.00 0.00 413.24 Fri Nov 25 2022 -177.18 2.14 0.00 238.21 Trades
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. Eagles Cowboys Eagles 0.00 816.54 0.02% 0.7202 0.00 1.00 0.00 816.54 Sun Oct 16 2022 -588.09 1.04 0.00 229.49 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 3.5 points in their May 10, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 5.47 0.00% -41.4144 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 10 2022 226.56 2.10 0.00 228.67 Trades
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? Yes No 0.00 10,999.99 0.00% 0.9795 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,999.99 Sun Mar 06 2022 -10,774.26 0.00 0.00 225.73 Trades
Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 182.70 42.48 0.00 225.18 Trades
NFL Sunday: Jets vs. Packers Jets Packers 292.69 0.00 0.02% 0.2397 1.00 0.00 292.69 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 -70.17 1.80 0.00 224.32 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? Yes No 137.38 0.00 0.00% -0.3472 1.00 0.00 137.38 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 47.70 38.32 0.00 223.40 Trades
NBA: Who will win Celtics vs. Bucks, scheduled for May 3, 7:00 PM ET? Celtics Bucks 583.13 0.00 0.00% 0.6250 1.00 0.00 583.13 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 -364.45 3.94 0.00 222.62 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Will Poland beat Saudi Arabia? Yes No 418.85 0.00 0.02% 0.5275 1.00 0.00 418.85 0.00 Sat Nov 26 2022 -220.94 23.26 0.00 221.17 Trades
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 219.20 0.36 0.00 219.55 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 215.00 0.00 0.00 215.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Navalny in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,050.00 0.00% 0.8966 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,050.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -1,838.00 0.00 0.00 212.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 7.5 points in their May 2, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 426.15 0.00 0.00% 0.5127 1.00 0.00 426.15 0.00 Mon May 02 2022 -218.50 4.14 0.00 211.79 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 210.75 0.00 0.00 210.76 Trades
Will Tony Snell be signed today? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 02 2024 210.28 0.00 0.00 210.28 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Mavericks by more than 6.5 points in their May 4, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 401.99 0.00 0.00% 0.4941 1.00 0.00 401.99 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 -198.64 3.11 0.00 206.46 Trades
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 205.21 0.00 0.00 205.21 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 205.21 0.00 0.00 205.21 Trades
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.5900 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -295.00 0.00 0.00 205.00 Trades
Will Spain have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, France, and Italy on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 376.71 10.00% 0.4646 0.00 1.00 0.00 376.71 Wed Mar 02 2022 -175.00 0.00 0.00 201.71 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 201.61 0.00 0.00 201.62 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Australia vs. England, 2nd T20I, starting on October 12? Australia England 0.00 384.91 0.00% 0.4915 0.00 1.00 0.00 384.91 Wed Oct 12 2022 -189.17 5.11 0.00 200.85 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 681.43 0.00% 0.7067 0.00 1.00 0.00 681.43 Wed Jun 01 2022 -481.55 0.00 0.00 199.88 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 59.05 0.00 0.00% -3.3557 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 198.15 0.00 0.00 198.15 Trades
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 197.76 0.00 0.00 197.76 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,070.80 0.00% 0.8159 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,070.80 Wed Feb 07 2024 -873.69 0.00 0.00 197.11 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 193.51 0.00 0.00 193.51 Trades
Will Eric Zemmour win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 1,203.18 0.00% 0.8405 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,203.18 Mon Apr 25 2022 -1,011.25 0.00 0.00 191.92 Trades
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 10 2024 191.75 0.00 0.00 191.75 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Grizzlies by more than 3.5 points in their May 11 (9:30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 360.80 0.00% 0.4762 0.00 1.00 0.00 360.80 Wed May 11 2022 -171.83 1.90 0.00 190.86 Trades
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 1,872.45 0.00 0.00% 0.8987 1.00 0.00 1,872.45 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -1,682.70 0.00 0.00 189.75 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 188.54 0.00 0.00 188.54 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 9,499.98 0.00 0.00% 0.9802 1.00 0.00 9,499.98 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -9,311.55 0.00 0.00 188.43 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Denmark beat Tunisia? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 22 2022 188.43 0.00 0.00 188.43 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 214.48 0.00 0.00% 0.1994 1.00 0.00 214.48 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 -42.77 14.16 0.00 185.88 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? Yes No 5.29 0.00 0.00% -34.0959 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 180.30 1.97 0.00 182.27 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 8,925.94 0.00% 0.9796 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,925.94 Sun Jun 30 2024 -8,743.94 0.00 0.00 182.01 Trades
NFL: Who will win Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals, scheduled for September 11, 1:00 PM ET? Steelers Bengals 245.75 0.00 0.02% 0.2661 1.00 0.00 245.75 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 -65.39 1.04 0.00 181.41 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Tails Never Fails Parlay Yes No 0.00 547.06 0.00% 0.6691 0.00 1.00 0.00 547.06 Sat Feb 10 2024 -366.06 0.00 0.00 181.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 3.20 0.00 0.00% -55.8753 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 178.67 1.48 0.00 180.15 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 668.46 0.00% 0.7331 0.00 1.00 0.00 668.46 Sat Dec 31 2022 -490.06 1.72 0.00 180.12 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Lakers by more than 4.5 points in their March 1 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 372.02 0.00 1.35% 0.5312 1.00 0.00 372.02 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 -197.63 5.39 0.00 179.79 Trades
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? Yes No 236.08 0.00 0.00% 0.2466 1.00 0.00 236.08 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 -58.21 0.00 0.00 177.87 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 15, 2022? Yes No 4,987.70 0.00 0.00% 0.9648 1.00 0.00 4,987.70 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 -4,812.32 0.00 0.00 175.38 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 0.00 923.73 0.01% 0.8827 0.00 1.00 0.00 923.73 Fri Jul 01 2022 -815.36 66.93 0.00 175.30 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by May 1, 2022? Yes No 7,864.80 0.00 0.00% 0.9779 1.00 0.00 7,864.80 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 -7,690.96 0.00 0.00 173.84 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? Yes No 492.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6477 1.00 0.00 492.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 -318.66 0.00 0.00 173.34 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Kissinger in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,956.20 0.00% 0.9118 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,956.20 Wed Feb 07 2024 -1,783.58 0.00 0.00 172.62 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,189.27 0.00% 0.8557 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,189.27 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,017.63 0.00 0.00 171.64 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 5.84 0.00 0.00% -11.4783 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 67.03 101.28 0.00 168.31 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 167.19 0.00 0.00 167.19 Trades
World Cup: Monday - Will Portugal beat Uruguay? Yes No 0.00 3.86 0.02% -41.8270 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 28 2022 161.42 5.26 0.00 166.68 Trades
Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 163.62 0.93 0.00 164.55 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 162.50 0.00 0.00 162.50 Trades
Will David McCormick win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 4.86 0.00 0.00% -33.2815 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 161.65 0.00 0.00 161.65 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 996.00 0.01% 1.4009 0.00 1.00 0.00 996.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 -1,395.29 560.12 0.00 160.83 Trades
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 143.94 14.77 0.00 158.71 Trades
World Cup: Sunday - Will Croatia beat Canada? Yes No 254.05 0.00 0.02% 0.4334 1.00 0.00 254.05 0.00 Sun Nov 27 2022 -110.09 12.36 0.00 156.32 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Grizzlies by more than 8.5 points in their May 13, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 285.86 0.00 0.00% 0.4591 1.00 0.00 285.86 0.00 Fri May 13 2022 -131.23 1.62 0.00 156.25 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.00 823.56 0.01% 0.8397 0.00 1.00 0.00 823.56 Wed May 11 2022 -691.51 23.14 0.00 155.19 Trades
Will Federico Gutiérrez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 686.51 0.00% 0.7760 0.00 1.00 0.00 686.51 Sun May 29 2022 -532.72 0.00 0.00 153.79 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? Yes No 0.00 784.06 0.00% 0.8074 0.00 1.00 0.00 784.06 Sun May 01 2022 -633.08 2.44 0.00 153.42 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 153.00 0.00 0.00 153.00 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 152.30 0.00 0.00 152.30 Trades
NBA: Will the Nuggets beat the Suns by more than 3.5 points in their March 24 (9 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 350.52 0.00% 0.5727 0.00 1.00 0.00 350.52 Thu Mar 24 2022 -200.75 1.51 0.00 151.29 Trades
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 216.22 0.00% 0.3122 0.00 1.00 0.00 216.22 Wed Mar 06 2024 -67.50 0.00 0.00 148.72 Trades
NFL Sunday: Raiders vs. Cardinals Raiders Cardinals 0.00 204.91 0.02% 0.3013 0.00 1.00 0.00 204.91 Sun Sep 18 2022 -61.73 2.15 0.00 145.33 Trades
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4200 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 -105.00 0.00 0.00 145.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Suns vs. Mavericks, scheduled for May 12, 9:30 PM ET? Suns Mavericks 0.00 253.96 0.00% 0.4351 0.00 1.00 0.00 253.96 Thu May 12 2022 -110.49 1.43 0.00 144.90 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 141.64 0.00 0.00 141.64 Trades
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.56 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.56 Sun Jul 31 2022 110.08 28.09 0.00 138.73 Trades
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 1,855.54 0.00% 0.9253 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,855.54 Wed Jan 31 2024 -1,716.96 0.00 0.00 138.58 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 138.00 0.00 0.00 138.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? Yes No 5,134.24 0.00 0.00% 0.9734 1.00 0.00 5,134.24 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 -4,997.74 0.65 0.00 137.15 Trades
Will Bongbong Marcos be elected President of the Philippines in 2022? Yes No 6,893.76 0.00 0.00% 0.9833 1.00 0.00 6,893.76 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 -6,778.80 21.15 0.00 136.11 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.57% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 132.26 0.01 0.00 132.27 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 401.70 0.00 0.00% 0.6944 1.00 0.00 401.70 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 -278.93 8.87 0.00 131.64 Trades
Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed before Nov 3rd, 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 04 2020 129.41 0.00 0.00 129.41 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 127.96 0.00 0.00 127.96 Trades
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 21 2021 127.73 0.00 0.00 127.73 Trades
Will Kathy Barnette win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 1,993.80 0.01% 0.9362 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,993.80 Tue May 17 2022 -1,866.63 0.00 0.00 127.16 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 348.71 0.00 0.00% 0.6356 1.00 0.00 348.71 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -221.65 0.00 0.00 127.06 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Mexico beat Saudi Arabia? Yes No 261.76 0.00 0.02% 0.5563 1.00 0.00 261.76 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 -145.62 9.51 0.00 125.65 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.65 0.00% 11.3225 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -41.36 162.95 0.00 121.59 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Will France beat Denmark? Yes No 229.88 0.00 0.02% 0.5334 1.00 0.00 229.88 0.00 Sat Nov 26 2022 -122.61 14.22 0.01 121.49 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.00 357.59 0.00% 0.7668 0.00 1.00 0.00 357.59 Tue Nov 08 2022 -274.20 38.02 0.00 121.41 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 07 2023 100.37 20.44 0.00 120.81 Trades
Martha Pollack out as Cornell President before March? Yes No 0.00 5.01 0.00% -22.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 115.32 0.00 0.00 120.33 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9760 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 -4,880.00 0.00 0.00 120.00 Trades
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 119.33 0.00 0.00 119.33 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bills vs. Dolphins Bills Dolphins 3.65 0.00 0.02% -32.2199 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 117.46 0.32 0.00 117.78 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,520.32 0.00% 0.9230 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,520.32 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,403.22 0.00 0.00 117.10 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15? Yes No 0.00 6.04 0.00% -18.3446 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 110.74 6.17 0.00 116.91 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 6.66 0.00 0.00% -2.0849 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 13.88 100.65 0.00 114.52 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8,345.96 10.00% 0.9863 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,345.96 Tue Mar 08 2022 -8,231.45 0.00 0.00 114.51 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 206.82 0.00 0.00% 0.5287 1.00 0.00 206.82 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -109.36 16.84 0.00 114.31 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022? Yes No 211.64 0.00 0.00% 0.4813 1.00 0.00 211.64 0.00 Thu Jun 09 2022 -101.85 4.19 0.00 113.97 Trades
Will Italy have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, France, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 341.66 0.00% 0.6678 0.00 1.00 0.00 341.66 Wed Mar 02 2022 -228.17 0.00 0.00 113.49 Trades
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 US Open? Yes No 340.92 0.00 0.00% 0.6778 1.00 0.00 340.92 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 -231.06 3.17 0.00 113.03 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 112.76 0.00 0.00 112.76 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 11,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9906 1.00 0.00 11,999.99 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 -11,887.76 0.00 0.00 112.23 Trades
Will Conor McGregor announce presidential run by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 112.00 0.00 0.00 112.00 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 110.16 0.00 0.00 110.16 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7800 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 -390.00 0.00 0.00 110.00 Trades
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? Yes No 0.00 1,783.34 0.00% 0.9386 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,783.34 Sun Mar 31 2024 -1,673.84 0.00 0.00 109.50 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 3,321.46 0.00 0.00% 0.9671 1.00 0.00 3,321.46 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -3,212.21 0.00 0.00 109.25 Trades
marginfi airdrop by March 1? Yes No 649.99 0.00 0.00% -0.1675 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 108.89 0.00 0.00 108.89 Trades
What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 108.75 0.00 0.00 108.75 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 9,276.88 0.00% 0.9883 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,276.88 Tue Feb 08 2022 -9,168.53 0.00 0.00 108.35 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? Yes No 0.00 1,437.50 0.00% 0.9256 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,437.50 Sun Mar 31 2024 -1,330.50 0.00 0.00 107.00 Trades
Will DRX or T1 win the 2022 League of Legends World Championship? DRX T1 139.84 0.00 0.00% 0.2509 1.00 0.00 139.84 0.00 Sun Nov 06 2022 -35.09 0.73 0.00 105.48 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 9,994.01 0.00% 0.9895 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,994.01 Fri Feb 16 2024 -9,889.05 0.00 0.00 104.96 Trades
Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 102.30 0.56 0.00 102.86 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? Democrat Republican 0.00 12,878.37 0.00% 0.0006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -7.37 110.12 0.00 102.75 Trades
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 102.73 0.00 0.00 102.73 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for April 29, 9:05 PM ET? Grizzlies Timberwolves 200.91 0.00 0.00% 0.5078 1.00 0.00 200.91 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 -102.03 3.29 0.00 102.18 Trades
Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 102.15 0.00 0.00 102.15 Trades
NFL Sunday: Packers vs. Buccaneers Packers Buccaneers 184.19 0.00 0.02% 0.4628 1.00 0.00 184.19 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 -85.23 1.42 0.00 100.37 Trades
NFL Monday: Vikings vs. Eagles Vikings Eagles 0.00 223.59 0.02% 0.5550 0.00 1.00 0.00 223.59 Mon Sep 19 2022 -124.08 0.57 0.00 100.08 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4500 0.50 0.50 1,000.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 -900.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 536.00 0.00% 0.8142 0.00 1.00 0.00 536.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -436.41 0.00 0.00 99.59 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 11 be higher than on February 18? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 98.47 0.00 0.00 98.47 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? Yes No 148.56 0.00 0.02% 0.4477 1.00 0.00 148.56 0.00 Tue Nov 29 2022 -66.50 15.87 0.00 97.93 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 97.50 0.00 0.00 97.50 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 4.31 0.00 0.00% -20.6871 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 89.16 7.72 0.00 96.89 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 11.5 points in their April 27, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 190.83 0.00 0.01% 0.5185 1.00 0.00 190.83 0.00 Wed Apr 27 2022 -98.96 3.85 0.00 95.72 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 4,850.39 0.00% 0.9803 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,850.39 Fri Dec 31 2021 -4,754.92 0.00 0.00 95.47 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,021.08 0.00% 0.9684 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,021.08 Tue Mar 08 2022 -2,925.73 0.00 0.00 95.35 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 0.00 701.00 0.00% 0.8643 0.00 1.00 0.00 701.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -605.84 0.00 0.00 95.16 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Ravens Bengals Ravens 0.00 245.07 0.02% 0.6224 0.00 1.00 0.00 245.07 Sun Oct 09 2022 -152.53 2.25 0.00 94.80 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 23? Yes No 0.00 6.35 0.00% -14.6570 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 23 2022 93.12 1.14 0.00 94.26 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 3,994.25 0.00 0.00% 0.9765 1.00 0.00 3,994.25 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 -3,900.32 0.00 0.00 93.93 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 19,229.31 0.00 0.00% 0.9952 1.00 0.00 19,229.31 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 -19,137.58 0.24 0.00 91.97 Trades
Will Valerie Pecresse win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 1,195.76 0.00% 0.9236 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,195.76 Mon Apr 25 2022 -1,104.37 0.00 0.00 91.39 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? Celtics Warriors 0.00 210.61 0.00% 0.6219 0.00 1.00 0.00 210.61 Sun Jun 05 2022 -130.98 11.70 0.00 91.32 Trades
Will the US have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than France, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 91.11 0.00 0.00 91.11 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,900 on May 7, 2022? Yes No 6.93 0.00 0.08% -9.4447 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 65.45 25.17 0.00 90.62 Trades
What will the price of $ETH be on June 22? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 90.27 0.00 0.00 90.27 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 2,149.90 0.00% 0.9580 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,149.90 Sat Jan 14 2023 -2,059.65 0.00 0.00 90.25 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 88.95 0.00 0.00 88.95 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 300,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,375.72 10.00% 0.9737 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,375.72 Tue Mar 08 2022 -3,286.95 0.00 0.00 88.76 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 142.73 0.00% 0.6035 0.00 1.00 0.00 142.73 Sat Dec 31 2022 -86.14 31.93 0.00 88.52 Trades
Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 87.58 0.00 0.00 87.58 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 195.53 0.00 0.00% 0.8115 1.00 0.00 195.53 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 -158.68 50.68 0.00 87.53 Trades
Will USA qualify from Group B? Yes No 153.52 0.00 0.02% 0.4654 1.00 0.00 153.52 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 -71.45 5.35 0.00 87.43 Trades
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 833.43 0.00% 0.8957 0.00 1.00 0.00 833.43 Tue Nov 08 2022 -746.46 0.00 0.00 86.97 Trades
Will $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15? Yes No 0.00 10.31 0.00% -8.1297 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 83.83 2.70 0.00 86.53 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 86.52 0.00 0.00 86.52 Trades
Will UST (TerraUSD) lose its peg by March 1st? Yes No 0.00 19,399.99 0.00% 0.9956 0.00 1.00 0.00 19,399.99 Tue Mar 01 2022 -19,314.25 0.00 0.00 85.74 Trades
NHL 2022 Stanley Cup Finals: Who will win Avalanche vs. Lightning, Game 6? Avalanche Lightning 0.00 3.50 0.00% -24.0354 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 26 2022 84.15 1.00 0.00 85.15 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 84.80 0.00 0.00 84.80 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 0.00 522.04 0.00% 0.9795 0.00 1.00 0.00 522.04 Sun Jan 01 2023 -511.35 73.64 0.00 84.32 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 83.37 0.64 0.00 84.01 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? Yes No 1.47 0.00 0.00% -56.8134 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 83.48 0.00 0.00 83.48 Trades
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 3,010.61 0.00% 0.9727 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,010.61 Sat Jan 14 2023 -2,928.37 0.00 0.00 82.24 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 222.00 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 222.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -139.86 0.00 0.00 82.14 Trades
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.8975 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 -718.00 0.00 0.00 82.00 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 18 be higher than on February 25? Yes No 916.76 0.00 10.00% 0.9106 1.00 0.00 916.76 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 -834.83 0.00 0.00 81.93 Trades
Will Switzerland qualify from Group G? Yes No 0.00 72.80 0.01% -0.8508 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 61.94 19.88 0.00 81.82 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 81.81 0.00 0.00 81.81 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 182.91 0.00% 0.5797 0.00 1.00 0.00 182.91 Mon Aug 01 2022 -106.03 4.02 0.00 80.90 Trades
Will Arbitrum have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 179.08 0.00% 0.5584 0.00 1.00 0.00 179.08 Sun May 01 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 79.08 Trades
Any Hamas leader out in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 79.08 0.00 0.00 79.08 Trades
Will Warpcast flip X on the app store in February? Yes No 0.00 1,388.00 0.00% 0.9435 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,388.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -1,309.60 0.00 0.00 78.40 Trades
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% 0.8886 0.00 1.00 0.00 700.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -622.00 0.00 0.00 78.00 Trades
$Bitcoin (Hpos10i) all time high by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 640.00 0.00% 0.8789 0.00 1.00 0.00 640.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -562.50 0.00 0.00 77.50 Trades
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 23 2021 77.35 0.00 0.00 77.35 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 61.59 0.00 0.00% -0.0335 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 2.07 74.29 0.00 76.36 Trades
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 76.20 0.00 0.00 76.20 Trades
Golf: Will Jon Rahm win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 157.22 0.00 0.00% -0.3545 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 55.74 19.39 0.00 75.12 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 6,835.64 0.00 0.00% -0.0110 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 74.95 0.00 0.00 74.95 Trades
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 1,200.00 0.00% 0.9383 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,200.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,126.00 0.00 0.00 74.00 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 383.93 0.00% 0.8266 0.00 1.00 0.00 383.93 Sat Dec 31 2022 -317.34 5.70 0.00 72.29 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 1.41 0.00 0.00% -49.1131 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 69.21 2.99 0.00 72.20 Trades
World Cup: Thursday - Will Germany beat Costa Rica? Yes No 527.64 0.00 0.02% 0.8703 1.00 0.00 527.64 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 -459.23 3.75 0.00 72.17 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 1,000,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 9,844.47 0.00% 0.9927 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,844.47 Tue Feb 08 2022 -9,772.44 0.00 0.00 72.03 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 0.00 5,386.87 0.00% 0.9961 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,386.87 Fri Mar 25 2022 -5,365.85 50.78 0.00 71.80 Trades
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Lakers by more than 7.5 points in their March 23 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 70.91 0.72 0.00 71.63 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 250,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,006.21 11.11% 0.9822 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,006.21 Tue Mar 08 2022 -3,934.86 0.00 0.00 71.35 Trades
Will Optimism have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 71.13 0.00 0.00 71.13 Trades
Will the Ukrainian Government receive more than $25M in Crypto donations by March 10? Yes No 35,113.43 0.00 0.00% 0.9980 1.00 0.00 35,113.43 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 -35,043.28 0.00 0.00 70.15 Trades
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 -930.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 4, 2022 be higher than on February 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 18 2022 69.69 0.00 0.00 69.69 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 210.04 0.00% 0.6780 0.00 1.00 0.00 210.04 Sun Dec 31 2023 -142.41 1.01 0.00 68.64 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,091.71 0.00% 0.9714 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,091.71 Fri Jul 01 2022 -2,031.86 6.96 0.00 66.81 Trades
Will Canada qualify from Group F? Yes No 4.95 0.00 0.02% -12.5102 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 61.95 4.55 0.00 66.50 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th? Yes No 0.00 27.08 0.00% -1.3853 0.00 1.00 0.00 27.08 Tue Apr 19 2022 37.51 0.00 0.00 64.59 Trades
Will "peace" hit its Google Trends all time high (global, monthly) before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,295.23 0.00% 0.9850 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,295.23 Sun Jun 05 2022 -4,230.91 0.00 0.00 64.32 Trades
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6.05 0.00% -8.5923 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 51.94 11.29 0.00 63.23 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 16,998.85 0.00 0.00% 0.9963 1.00 0.00 16,998.85 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 -16,935.90 0.01 0.00 62.95 Trades
Will StarkNet have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 133.50 0.00% 0.5334 0.00 1.00 0.00 133.50 Sun May 01 2022 -71.21 0.00 0.00 62.29 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 180.51 0.00% -0.3433 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 61.98 0.00 0.00 61.98 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8? Yes No 0.00 3.11 0.00% -12.4271 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 08 2022 38.63 23.04 0.00 61.68 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Hawks by more than 7.5 points in their April 26, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 151.10 9.09% 0.6028 0.00 1.00 0.00 151.10 Tue Apr 26 2022 -91.08 1.19 0.00 61.21 Trades
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 60.50 0.00 0.00 60.50 Trades
Will Drake release a new studio album before the end of 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 60.39 0.00 0.00 60.39 Trades
Will MOEX close above 2,500 by April 15, 2022? Yes No 9,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9940 1.00 0.00 9,999.99 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 -9,939.72 0.00 0.00 60.27 Trades
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 0.00% 0.9713 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 -1,942.56 0.00 0.00 57.44 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,799.98 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,799.98 Sun Dec 31 2023 -2,743.98 0.00 0.00 56.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? Yes No 7.67 0.00 0.00% -6.8867 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 52.81 2.66 0.00 55.48 Trades
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 225.31 0.00% 0.7545 0.00 1.00 0.00 225.31 Wed Mar 06 2024 -170.00 0.00 0.00 55.31 Trades
Will zkSync have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 123.66 0.00% 0.5545 0.00 1.00 0.00 123.66 Sun May 01 2022 -68.57 0.00 0.00 55.09 Trades
NBA: Who will win Lakers vs. Pelicans, scheduled for April 1, 10:40 PM ET? Lakers Pelicans 0.00 104.29 0.00% 0.4884 0.00 1.00 0.00 104.29 Fri Apr 01 2022 -50.93 0.66 0.00 54.02 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 103.19 0.00 0.00% 0.4950 1.00 0.00 103.19 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -51.07 1.57 0.00 53.68 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $6.5 billion in volume in January 2022? Yes No 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.9947 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,000.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 -9,946.55 0.00 0.00 53.45 Trades
Golf: Will Justin Thomas win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 781.58 0.00% 0.9359 0.00 1.00 0.00 781.58 Mon Apr 11 2022 -731.50 3.24 0.00 53.31 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Pena vs Nunes Pena Nunes 0.00 173.66 0.00% 0.7226 0.00 1.00 0.00 173.66 Sat Jul 30 2022 -125.48 4.85 0.00 53.03 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 765.00 0.00% 0.9308 0.00 1.00 0.00 765.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -712.05 0.00 0.00 52.95 Trades
NBA: Will the Clippers beat the Knicks by more than 4.5 points in their March 6 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 2.24 0.00 0.00% 0.7707 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 06 2022 -1.73 54.08 0.00 52.36 Trades
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? Yes No 0.00 1,739.09 0.01% 0.9701 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,739.09 Sat Apr 30 2022 -1,687.02 0.00 0.00 52.08 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 5,993.51 0.00 0.00% 0.9914 1.00 0.00 5,993.51 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 -5,942.08 0.00 0.00 51.44 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on January 28, 2022 be higher than on February 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 10.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 11 2022 50.78 0.00 0.00 50.78 Trades
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? Yes No 80.17 0.00 0.00% 0.3701 1.00 0.00 80.17 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -29.67 0.00 0.00 50.50 Trades
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 14 2023 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8000 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -200.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 999.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 999.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 -949.05 0.00 0.00 49.95 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 600,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,092.78 0.00% 0.9761 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,092.78 Tue Feb 08 2022 -2,042.86 0.00 0.00 49.92 Trades
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23? Yes No 0.00 80.99 0.00% 0.4158 0.00 1.00 0.00 80.99 Fri Sep 23 2022 -33.68 2.03 0.00 49.35 Trades
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? Yes No 285.80 0.00 0.00% 0.8275 1.00 0.00 285.80 0.00 Thu Feb 22 2024 -236.50 0.00 0.00 49.30 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,979.50 0.00% 0.9751 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,979.50 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,930.26 0.00 0.00 49.24 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Julius Baer Generation Cup? Yes No 70.82 0.00 10.00% 0.3174 1.00 0.00 70.82 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 -22.48 0.49 0.00 48.83 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.14 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 -394.53 442.84 0.00 48.31 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 467.10 0.00% 0.9008 0.00 1.00 0.00 467.10 Tue Aug 30 2022 -420.75 1.94 0.00 48.29 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 48.08 0.00 0.00 48.08 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 168.33 0.00 0.00% 0.7178 1.00 0.00 168.33 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 -120.83 0.00 0.00 47.50 Trades
Will Uniswap v3 launch before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 47.31 0.00 0.00 47.31 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 -35.82 82.77 0.00 46.95 Trades
NBA: Who will win Bucks vs. Celtics, scheduled for May 9, 7:30 PM ET? Bucks Celtics 0.00 82.87 0.00% 0.4416 0.00 1.00 0.00 82.87 Mon May 09 2022 -36.60 0.47 0.00 46.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.07% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 46.31 0.00 0.00 46.31 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,301.74 0.00% 1.0007 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,301.74 Tue Mar 15 2022 -11,309.20 53.70 0.00 46.24 Trades
Who will win 76ers v. Wizards: Game 5? 76ers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 45.97 0.00 0.00 45.97 Trades
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 45.60 0.00 0.00 45.60 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 45.43 0.00 0.00 45.43 Trades
Tensor airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 45.32 0.00 0.00 45.32 Trades
Will João Doria win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 2.92 0.00 0.00% -15.2055 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 44.45 0.00 0.00 44.45 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 0.00 8,019.67 8.33% 0.9945 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,019.67 Mon Feb 28 2022 -7,975.37 0.00 0.00 44.31 Trades
NFL Monday: Rams vs. 49ers Rams 49ers 0.00 87.68 0.02% 0.5048 0.00 1.00 0.00 87.68 Mon Oct 03 2022 -44.26 0.55 0.00 43.97 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.22 0.00% -10.2011 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 43.07 0.27 0.00 43.34 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 42.54 0.00 0.00 42.54 Trades
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 5? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 42.51 0.00 0.00 42.51 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,993.37 0.01% 0.9894 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,993.37 Sun May 01 2022 -3,951.03 0.00 0.00 42.35 Trades
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? Yes No 99.99 0.00 0.00% 0.5800 1.00 0.00 99.99 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -57.99 0.00 0.00 42.00 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Argentina beat Poland? Yes No 77.86 0.00 0.02% 0.5979 1.00 0.00 77.86 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 -46.55 10.35 0.00 41.66 Trades
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? Adams
Garcia
Wiley
Yang
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tue Jun 22 2021 40.21 0.00 0.00 40.21 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 40.03 0.00 0.00 40.03 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on June 30? Yes No 0.00 15.83 0.00% -2.4877 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 39.39 0.29 0.00 39.67 Trades
Aevo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 780.00 0.00% -0.0504 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 39.30 0.00 0.00 39.30 Trades
Will the City of Ottawa cease its state of emergency by March 2, 2022? Yes No 7,040.40 0.00 0.00% 0.9945 1.00 0.00 7,040.40 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 -7,001.62 0.01 0.00 38.79 Trades
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.34 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 38.53 0.00 0.00 38.53 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 38.77 0.00 0.00% 0.1040 1.00 0.00 38.77 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 -4.03 3.66 0.00 38.40 Trades
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 50.69 0.00 0.00% 0.2669 1.00 0.00 50.69 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -13.53 0.00 0.00 37.16 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 37.00 0.00 0.00 37.00 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Will Steph Curry score over 28.5 points in Game 2? Yes No 54.73 0.00 0.00% 0.3293 1.00 0.00 54.73 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 -18.02 0.24 0.00 36.95 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Duke vs. Texas Tech, scheduled for March 24 (9:39 PM ET)? Duke Texas Tech 71.29 0.00 0.00% 0.5023 1.00 0.00 71.29 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 -35.81 1.31 0.00 36.79 Trades
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 35.10 1.37 0.00 36.47 Trades
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,484.80 0.00% 0.9762 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,484.80 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,449.50 0.00 0.00 35.30 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $120 million or less on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 3,200.32 0.00% 0.9890 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,200.32 Mon Mar 07 2022 -3,165.12 0.00 0.00 35.20 Trades
NBA: Will the Lakers beat the Rockets by more than 3.5 points in their March 9 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 58.51 0.00% 0.4201 0.00 1.00 0.00 58.51 Wed Mar 09 2022 -24.58 1.21 0.00 35.14 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August? Yes No 0.00 4,000.98 0.00% 0.9930 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,000.98 Mon Aug 01 2022 -3,973.14 7.25 0.00 35.09 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day? Yes No 314.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8890 1.00 0.00 314.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 -279.16 0.00 0.00 34.84 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9657 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 -965.65 0.00 0.00 34.34 Trades
Emmys 2022: Will ‘Ted Lasso’ win Outstanding Comedy Series? Yes No 59.11 0.00 0.00% 0.4266 1.00 0.00 59.11 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 -25.22 0.44 0.00 34.34 Trades
World Cup: Sunday - Will Spain beat Germany? Yes No 3.66 0.00 0.02% -5.8111 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 27 2022 21.26 12.99 0.00 34.25 Trades
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 0.00 48.62 0.00% 0.3000 0.00 1.00 0.00 48.62 Sun Dec 31 2023 -14.59 0.00 0.00 34.03 Trades
Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.9578 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -766.26 0.00 0.00 33.74 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 601.30 0.00% 1.0007 0.00 1.00 0.00 601.30 Tue May 03 2022 -601.72 33.74 0.00 33.32 Trades
Will US attack Iran in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 33.14 0.00 0.00 33.15 Trades
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? Yes No 488.47 0.00 0.00% 0.9324 1.00 0.00 488.47 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 -455.45 0.00 0.00 33.02 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 9.40 0.00 0.00% -3.4478 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 32.42 0.00 0.00 32.42 Trades
NFL Sunday: Chiefs vs. 49ers Chiefs 49ers 58.46 0.00 0.00% 0.4850 1.00 0.00 58.46 0.00 Sun Oct 23 2022 -28.35 1.68 0.00 31.79 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 7? Yes No 60.79 0.00 0.00% 0.4998 1.00 0.00 60.79 0.00 Fri Oct 07 2022 -30.38 0.85 0.00 31.26 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 5.91 0.00% -1.1769 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 6.96 24.02 0.00 30.97 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8? Yes No 1,200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9744 1.00 0.00 1,200.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 -1,169.33 0.00 0.00 30.67 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 30.56 0.00 0.00 30.56 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8800 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -220.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 10,459.33 0.00 0.00% 1.0018 1.00 0.00 10,459.33 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 -10,478.09 48.50 0.00 29.74 Trades
Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 01 2020 29.74 0.00 0.00 29.74 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Lakers: Game 6? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 03 2021 0.16 28.99 0.00 29.15 Trades
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 278.41 0.00% 0.8964 0.00 1.00 0.00 278.41 Wed Jan 31 2024 -249.57 0.00 0.00 28.84 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 4,052.40 0.00 0.00% 0.9929 1.00 0.00 4,052.40 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 -4,023.80 0.00 0.00 28.60 Trades
Who will win Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennady Golovkin 3 on September 17? Alvarez Golovkin 0.00 3.26 0.00% -6.6433 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 17 2022 21.68 6.81 0.00 28.48 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 39.0% or higher on August 4? Yes No 123.75 0.00 0.00% 0.7809 1.00 0.00 123.75 0.00 Thu Aug 04 2022 -96.63 1.13 0.00 28.25 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 0.00 80.95 0.00% 0.6612 0.00 1.00 0.00 80.95 Sun Jun 05 2022 -53.53 0.17 0.00 27.60 Trades
Will natural gas close above $6 on July 11, 2022? Yes No 48.01 0.00 0.00% 0.4632 1.00 0.00 48.01 0.00 Mon Jul 11 2022 -22.24 1.71 0.00 27.48 Trades
Etherfi airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 27.00 0.00 0.00 27.00 Trades
Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 26.96 0.00 0.00 26.97 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 26.58 0.00 0.00 26.58 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 26.50 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
Will Biden and Putin meet by March 21, 2022? Yes No 0.00 501.08 0.00% 0.9480 0.00 1.00 0.00 501.08 Mon Mar 21 2022 -475.00 0.00 0.00 26.08 Trades
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 183.51 0.00% 0.8654 0.00 1.00 0.00 183.51 Thu Feb 29 2024 -158.80 0.00 0.00 24.71 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bills vs. Chiefs Bills Chiefs 47.45 0.00 0.02% 0.4893 1.00 0.00 47.45 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 -23.22 0.25 0.00 24.48 Trades
Will Argentina qualify from Group C? Yes No 51.02 0.00 0.02% 0.6067 1.00 0.00 51.02 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 -30.95 4.23 0.00 24.29 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 24.00 0.00 0.00 24.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 20,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9988 1.00 0.00 20,000.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 -19,976.90 0.00 0.00 23.10 Trades
UFC 272: Who will win - Colby Covington or Jorge Masvidal? Covington Masvidal 30.96 0.00 5.00% 0.7489 1.00 0.00 30.96 0.00 Sat Mar 05 2022 -23.18 14.83 0.00 22.61 Trades
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? Yes No 0.00 2.48 0.02% -9.0211 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 22.36 0.00 0.00 22.36 Trades
Will Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 1,519.55 0.00 0.00% 0.1418 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 -215.55 237.87 0.00 22.33 Trades
Golf: Will Tiger Woods win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 1,155.30 0.00% 0.9834 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,155.30 Mon Apr 11 2022 -1,136.08 2.27 0.00 21.48 Trades
Will Warpcast break top 5 on the iOS App Store in February? Yes No 4,430.15 0.00 0.00% -0.0047 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 20.89 0.00 0.00 20.89 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? Yes No 8.47 0.00 0.00% -1.0837 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 9.18 11.67 0.00 20.86 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 20.05 0.00 0.00 20.05 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Who will win Nuggets v. Trail Blazers: Game 6? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 6.67% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 03 2021 19.74 0.00 0.00 19.75 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 19,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 19,999.99 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 -19,980.42 0.00 0.00 19.58 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Prince Andrew? Yes No 163.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8810 1.00 0.00 163.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -143.61 0.00 0.00 19.39 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? Democrat Republican 94.36 0.00 0.00% 0.7972 1.00 0.00 94.36 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -75.22 0.00 0.00 19.14 Trades
Golf: Will Collin Morikawa win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 526.49 0.00% 1.0042 0.00 1.00 0.00 526.49 Mon Apr 11 2022 -528.69 20.95 0.00 18.74 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Celtics by more than 3.5 points in their March 16 (10 PM ET) matchup? Warriors (Yes) Celtics (No) 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 16 2022 15.80 2.93 0.00 18.73 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 9,000.04 0.00 68.97% 0.9980 1.00 0.00 9,000.04 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 -8,981.92 0.51 0.00 18.64 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 6.17 0.00% 29.1760 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -180.08 198.71 0.00 18.63 Trades
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? Yes No 0.00 27.86 0.00% 0.3692 0.00 1.00 0.00 27.86 Mon Aug 01 2022 -10.28 0.51 0.00 18.08 Trades
Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 18.00 0.00 0.00 18.00 Trades
Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 23 2023 17.88 0.00 0.00 17.88 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24? Yes No 0.00 20.60 0.00% 0.4425 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.60 Thu Sep 29 2022 -9.12 6.12 0.00 17.60 Trades
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 17.37 0.00 0.00 17.37 Trades
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.63% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 -0.39 17.66 0.00 17.28 Trades
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 17.05 0.00 0.00 17.05 Trades
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 11.25 5.76 0.00 17.01 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $8.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (SEP 2022 future) Yes No 0.00 4.24 0.00% -3.8609 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 22 2022 16.37 0.41 0.00 16.78 Trades
$BONK all time high before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 16.76 0.00 0.00 16.76 Trades
US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024? Yes No 0.00 30.45 0.00% 0.4500 0.00 1.00 0.00 30.45 Tue Mar 12 2024 -13.70 0.00 0.00 16.75 Trades
Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 6.67% 0.9919 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Tue Jan 11 2022 -1,983.72 0.00 0.00 16.27 Trades
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,000.00 0.00% 0.9960 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -3,984.06 0.00 0.00 15.94 Trades
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 15.75 0.00 0.00 15.75 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? Yes No 0.00 2,300.00 0.00% 0.9933 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,300.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 -2,284.56 0.00 0.00 15.44 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on June 24, 2022? Yes No 0.00 305.53 0.00% 0.9589 0.00 1.00 0.00 305.53 Fri Jun 24 2022 -292.98 2.58 0.00 15.12 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5 by March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,999.99 0.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,999.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 -4,985.07 0.17 0.00 15.09 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 3,000.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0050 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Who will win Jazz vs. Grizzlies: Game 5? Jazz Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 14.29% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 14.92 0.00 0.00 14.92 Trades
US travel ban for China in 2023? Yes No 0.00 490.32 0.00% 0.9697 0.00 1.00 0.00 490.32 Sun Dec 31 2023 -475.48 0.00 0.00 14.84 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? Yes No 13.90 0.00 0.00% -0.0198 1.00 0.00 13.90 0.00 Fri Aug 12 2022 0.28 0.64 0.00 14.82 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 14.50 0.00 0.00 14.50 Trades
Saudi Arabia and Yemeni Houthis peace deal by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 634.00 0.00% 0.9772 0.00 1.00 0.00 634.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -619.56 0.00 0.00 14.44 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Pelicans by more than 10.5 points in their April 19 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 15,999.99 0.02% 0.9991 0.00 1.00 0.00 15,999.99 Tue Apr 19 2022 -15,985.67 0.00 0.00 14.33 Trades
$SPX6900 all time high by Jan 31? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% -0.7025 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 14.05 0.00 0.00 14.05 Trades
New lockdown in US? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 14.01 0.00 0.00 14.01 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Nepal vs. Papua New Guinea, 2nd ODI? Nepal Papua New Guinea 0.00 12,999.99 0.00% 0.9989 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,999.99 Sat Mar 26 2022 -12,986.00 0.00 0.00 14.00 Trades
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,999.99 0.00% 0.9954 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,999.99 Fri Apr 01 2022 -2,986.10 0.00 0.00 13.89 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 500,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 7.14% 0.9972 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 -4,986.22 0.00 0.00 13.78 Trades
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 6.8%? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.02% 0.9973 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 0.00 Thu Feb 10 2022 -4,986.54 0.00 0.00 13.46 Trades
Will Larva Lab’s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $25M or more at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 4,000.00 0.02% 0.9966 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 Wed Feb 23 2022 -3,986.55 0.00 0.00 13.44 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? Yes No 0.00 738.56 0.00% 0.9820 0.00 1.00 0.00 738.56 Fri Feb 23 2024 -725.26 0.00 0.00 13.29 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 327.00 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 327.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 -313.92 0.00 0.00 13.08 Trades
UFC 280: Who will win - Oliveira vs Makhachev Oliveira Makhachev 2.52 0.00 0.00% -4.5331 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 22 2022 11.41 1.58 0.00 12.99 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 12.58 0.00 0.00 12.58 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 12.56 0.00 0.00 12.56 Trades
Will Larva Lab’s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $20M or more at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 4,035.74 10.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,035.74 Wed Feb 23 2022 -4,023.52 0.00 0.00 12.22 Trades
Will Jane Timken win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 5,994.37 0.00% 0.9980 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,994.37 Tue May 03 2022 -5,982.24 0.00 0.00 12.12 Trades
UFC 271: Who will win - Israel Adesanya or Robert Whittaker? Adesanya Whittaker 4,000.00 0.00 11.11% 0.9970 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 0.00 Sat Feb 12 2022 -3,987.98 0.00 0.00 12.02 Trades
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,993.29 0.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,993.29 Wed Jun 01 2022 -3,981.28 0.00 0.00 12.01 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? Yes No 29,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9996 1.00 0.00 29,999.99 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 -29,988.12 0.00 0.00 11.87 Trades
NFL Monday: Raiders vs. Chiefs Raiders Chiefs 0.00 44.90 0.02% 0.7476 0.00 1.00 0.00 44.90 Mon Oct 10 2022 -33.57 0.41 0.00 11.75 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 3.02 0.00 0.00% -3.8721 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 11.68 0.00 0.00 11.68 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 12.22 0.00 0.00% -0.9406 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 11.50 0.00 0.00 11.50 Trades
Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 11.38 0.00 0.00 11.38 Trades
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $1 on its 1st day of trading? Yes No 0.00 6.46 0.01% -0.9916 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 6.41 4.62 0.00 11.03 Trades
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 10.79 0.00 0.00 10.79 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 199.60 0.00 0.00% 0.9485 1.00 0.00 199.60 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -189.32 0.00 0.00 10.28 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 10.24 0.00 0.00 10.25 Trades
NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Mavericks by more than 6.5 points in their April 21, 9:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 21 2022 -17.24 27.40 0.00 10.16 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -0.10 0.00 0.00 9.90 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 153.33 0.00 0.00% 0.9354 1.00 0.00 153.33 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -143.43 0.00 0.00 9.90 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No 8.58 0.00 0.00% 8.7591 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -75.14 84.98 0.00 9.84 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will CODA win Best Picture? Yes No 7,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9988 1.00 0.00 7,999.99 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 -7,990.35 0.00 0.00 9.65 Trades
World Cup: Thursday - Will Belgium beat Croatia? Yes No 0.00 5.41 0.02% 0.0830 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.41 Thu Dec 01 2022 -0.45 4.64 0.00 9.59 Trades
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 9.55 0.00 0.00 9.55 Trades
FIDE World Chess Grand Prix 2022: Will Anish Giri win Leg #2? Yes No 0.00 3,500.00 0.00% 0.9973 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,500.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 -3,490.59 0.00 0.00 9.40 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 9.37 0.00 0.00 9.37 Trades
Will the 76ers or the Wizards win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? 76ers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 9.31 0.00 0.00 9.31 Trades
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? Yes No 7,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9989 1.00 0.00 7,999.99 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 -7,990.94 0.00 0.00 9.06 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? Yes No 4,993.48 0.00 0.00% 0.9982 1.00 0.00 4,993.48 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 -4,984.43 0.00 0.00 9.04 Trades
Will Hikaru Nakamura Qualify for the FIDE 2022 Candidates Tournament? Yes No 18.98 0.00 0.00% 0.5267 1.00 0.00 18.98 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 -10.00 0.00 0.00 8.98 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 50,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 1,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9955 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 -1,991.07 0.00 0.00 8.92 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? Yes No 3,992.18 0.00 0.00% 0.9978 1.00 0.00 3,992.18 0.00 Fri Jan 27 2023 -3,983.38 0.00 0.00 8.80 Trades
NHL: Will the Panthers beat the Sharks by more than 1.5 goals in their January 29 matchup (6 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 8,000.00 0.00% 0.9989 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,000.00 Sat Jan 29 2022 -7,991.43 0.00 0.00 8.57 Trades
Coinbase a top 100 app before Feb? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Jan 31 2024 8.55 0.00 0.00 8.56 Trades
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 1,989.25 0.00% 0.9959 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,989.25 Sun May 29 2022 -1,981.14 0.00 0.00 8.11 Trades
Will Elden Ring be in the top 5 most played games on Steam on March 15, 2022? Yes No 2,402.63 0.00 0.00% 0.9966 1.00 0.00 2,402.63 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 -2,394.52 0.00 0.00 8.11 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,493.97 0.00% 0.9968 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,493.97 Wed Jun 01 2022 -2,485.91 0.01 0.00 8.06 Trades
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 8.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 Trades
Will the price of $UMA be above $8.00 on March 17, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 7.96 0.00 0.00 7.96 Trades
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 2,329.98 0.00% 0.9967 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,329.98 Sat Oct 14 2023 -2,322.33 0.00 0.00 7.65 Trades
Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 7.57 0.00 0.00 7.57 Trades
Will 'Vikings: Valhalla: Season 1' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending March 20? Yes No 0.00 4,999.99 0.00% 0.9986 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,999.99 Tue Mar 22 2022 -4,992.87 0.00 0.00 7.13 Trades
Will Elden Ring be in the top 5 most played games on Steam on April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 0.00% 0.9965 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Mon Apr 25 2022 -1,992.91 0.00 0.00 7.08 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 7.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) hit $20,000 or less by June 30? Yes No 1,353.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9949 1.00 0.00 1,353.99 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -1,347.14 0.02 0.00 6.87 Trades
Will 'Morbius' get a 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 6.87 0.00 0.00 6.87 Trades
Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 6.83 0.00 0.00 6.83 Trades
Will OpenSea have more volume in April ‘22 than it did in March ‘22? Yes No 4,992.76 0.00 0.00% 0.9987 1.00 0.00 4,992.76 0.00 Mon May 02 2022 -4,986.05 0.00 0.00 6.72 Trades
Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday? Yes No 55.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8800 1.00 0.00 55.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -48.40 0.00 0.00 6.60 Trades
Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? Yes No 0.00 2,490.27 0.00% 0.9974 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,490.27 Wed Jun 01 2022 -2,483.70 0.00 0.00 6.57 Trades
NBA: Who will win 76ers vs. Raptors, scheduled for April 28, 7:00 PM ET? 76ers Raptors 3.86 0.00 0.00% -0.5799 1.00 0.00 3.86 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 2.24 0.33 0.00 6.43 Trades
Will Jeff Bartos win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 1,494.45 0.01% 0.9958 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,494.45 Tue May 17 2022 -1,488.15 0.01 0.00 6.31 Trades
Will the bill making Daylight Savings Time permanent be signed into law by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.9895 0.00 1.00 0.00 600.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 -593.72 0.00 0.00 6.28 Trades
MLB: Who will win New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants, scheduled for April 18, 7:11 PM ET? New York Mets San Francisco Giants 4,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9988 1.00 0.00 4,999.99 0.00 Mon Apr 18 2022 -4,994.02 0.00 0.00 5.97 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1200 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,991.48 0.00% 0.9988 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,991.48 Fri Mar 25 2022 -4,985.51 0.00 0.00 5.97 Trades
Will Sergio Moro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 4.64 0.00 0.00% -1.2699 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 5.90 0.00 0.00 5.90 Trades
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 5.86 0.00 0.00 5.86 Trades
Alien contact in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 5.79 0.00 0.00 5.79 Trades
Will President Biden mention Trump in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 105.76 0.00% 0.9455 0.00 1.00 0.00 105.76 Tue Mar 01 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 5.76 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be under 69 ETH on 4/20/2022? Yes No 0.00 4,999.98 0.00% 0.9989 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,999.98 Wed Apr 20 2022 -4,994.24 0.00 0.00 5.74 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8? Yes No 3,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9981 1.00 0.00 3,000.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 -2,994.27 0.00 0.00 5.72 Trades
Will Rafah border crossing open for humanitarian aid by Sunday? Yes No 5,855.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 5,855.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 -5,849.35 0.00 0.00 5.65 Trades
Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yeah Nope 0.00 745.71 0.00% 0.9925 0.00 1.00 0.00 745.71 Mon Jul 25 2022 -740.08 0.00 0.00 5.62 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.13 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 5.40 0.00 0.00 5.40 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 65 ETH on April 21? Yes No 2,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9982 1.00 0.00 2,999.99 0.00 Thu Apr 21 2022 -2,994.64 0.00 0.00 5.35 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 5.34 0.00 0.00 5.34 Trades
Will FC Barcelona win the 2021-22 UEFA Europa League? Yes No 0.00 4,999.99 0.00% 0.9990 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,999.99 Thu May 19 2022 -4,994.95 0.00 0.00 5.04 Trades
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
Coinbase a top 100 app before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 5.00 0.00 0.00 5.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Lakers beat the Wizards by more than 4.5 points in their March 11 (10.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 9.85 0.00 0.00% 0.4977 1.00 0.00 9.85 0.00 Fri Mar 11 2022 -4.90 0.05 0.00 5.00 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? Yes No 5,000.01 0.00 0.02% 0.9991 1.00 0.00 5,000.01 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 -4,995.44 0.20 0.00 4.77 Trades
UFC 271: Who will win - Jared Cannonier or Derek Brunson? Cannonier Brunson 2,000.00 0.00 20.00% 0.9976 1.00 0.00 2,000.00 0.00 Sat Feb 12 2022 -1,995.25 0.00 0.00 4.75 Trades
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Bulls by more than 6.5 points in their March 7 (7 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 9.67 0.00 0.00% 0.5203 1.00 0.00 9.67 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 -5.03 0.05 0.00 4.69 Trades
Haiti intervention in March? Yes No 0.00 104.17 0.00% 0.9552 0.00 1.00 0.00 104.17 Sun Mar 31 2024 -99.50 0.00 0.00 4.67 Trades
North Korea nuke by March 31? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.6900 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -10.35 0.00 0.00 4.65 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? Yes No 6.43 0.00 0.00% 35.1369 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -225.90 230.50 0.00 4.60 Trades
Who will win Clippers v. Mavericks: Game 5? Clippers Mavericks 0.00 0.00 25.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 4.20 0.17 0.00 4.37 Trades
Will the USA ambassador be recalled or expelled from Russia before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,493.20 0.00% 0.9971 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,493.20 Wed Jun 01 2022 -1,488.86 0.00 0.00 4.34 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022? Yes No 36.06 0.00 0.00% 1.2652 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 10 2022 -45.62 49.81 0.00 4.19 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Mar 01 2024 4.16 0.00 0.00 4.17 Trades
Will Andy Warhol’s 'Shot Sage Blue Marilyn' sell at Christie's for $200 million or more? Yes No 0.00 4,992.33 0.00% 0.9992 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,992.33 Mon May 09 2022 -4,988.17 0.00 0.00 4.15 Trades
NFL Sunday: Eagles vs. Cardinals Eagles Cardinals 0.00 1.13 0.02% -3.5765 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 4.05 0.00 0.00 4.05 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $4k today? Yes No 0.00 268.26 0.00% 0.9850 0.00 1.00 0.00 268.26 Thu Mar 07 2024 -264.24 0.00 0.00 4.02 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $4.25 billion in volume in January 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 4.02 0.00 0.00 4.02 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9960 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 -996.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 993.56 0.00 0.00% 0.9960 1.00 0.00 993.56 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -989.59 0.00 0.00 3.97 Trades
NHL: Who will win Avalanche vs. Predators, scheduled for May 5, 9:30 PM ET? Avalanche Predators 11.75 0.00 0.01% 0.6685 1.00 0.00 11.75 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 -7.85 0.02 0.00 3.92 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 3.90 0.00 0.00 3.90 Trades
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 3.88 0.00 0.00 3.88 Trades
Will President Biden mention SWIFT in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 503.81 0.00% 0.9924 0.00 1.00 0.00 503.81 Tue Mar 01 2022 -500.00 0.00 0.00 3.81 Trades
NHL: Will the Oilers beat the Senators by more than 1.5 goals in their January 31 matchup (7.30 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 3,000.00 0.00% 0.9987 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,000.00 Mon Jan 31 2022 -2,996.20 0.00 0.00 3.79 Trades
NHL: Will the Flames beat the Coyotes by more than 1.5 goals in their February 2 matchup (9.30 PM ET)? Yes No 3,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9988 1.00 0.00 3,000.00 0.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 -2,996.30 0.00 0.00 3.69 Trades
NHL: Who will win Rangers vs. Penguins, scheduled for May 7, 7:00 PM ET? Rangers Penguins 10.52 0.00 0.01% -0.3422 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 3.60 0.03 0.00 3.63 Trades
Formula 1: Who will finish ahead at the 2022 Emilia Romagna Grand Prix: Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc? Max Verstappen Charles Leclerc 3,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9991 1.00 0.00 3,999.99 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 -3,996.44 0.00 0.00 3.56 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $3.5 billion in volume in January 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 3.51 0.00 0.00 3.51 Trades
Will the Treasury Department mint the trillion dollar coin by November 5th? Yes No 0.11 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 05 2021 3.33 0.00 0.00 3.33 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 3.33 0.00 0.00 3.33 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil reach $150 by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 400.00 0.00% 0.9921 0.00 1.00 0.00 400.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 -396.84 0.00 0.00 3.16 Trades
Will Mexico qualify from Group C? Yes No 25.61 0.00 0.01% -0.0422 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 1.08 2.06 0.00 3.15 Trades
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 3.11 0.00 0.00 3.11 Trades
NHL: Will the Panthers beat the Blue Jackets by more than 1.5 goals in their January 31 matchup (7 PM ET)? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9985 1.00 0.00 2,000.00 0.00 Mon Jan 31 2022 -1,996.92 0.00 0.00 3.08 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 3.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 1,993.15 0.00 0.00% 0.9985 1.00 0.00 1,993.15 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 -1,990.15 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on May 28? Yes No 0.00 1,494.55 0.00% 0.9980 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,494.55 Sun May 29 2022 -1,491.55 0.00 0.00 3.00 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? Yes No 1,660.78 0.00 0.00% -0.0018 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 2.91 0.00 0.00 2.91 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Warriors vs. Rockets, scheduled for January 31 (8 PM ET)? Warriors Rockets 2,000.00 0.00 25.00% 0.9985 1.00 0.00 2,000.00 0.00 Mon Jan 31 2022 -1,997.10 0.00 0.00 2.90 Trades
Will Zerion airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 299.99 0.00% 0.9904 0.00 1.00 0.00 299.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 -297.11 0.00 0.00 2.88 Trades
Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get a 95% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 4.59 0.00% -0.6204 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 2.85 0.00 0.00 2.85 Trades
Will 'Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore' gross $53 million or more on opening weekend in the United States? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 0.00% 0.9986 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Mon Apr 18 2022 -1,997.28 0.00 0.00 2.71 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Bill Gates or Warren Buffet? Bill Gates Warren Buffet 2,499.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9989 1.00 0.00 2,499.99 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 -2,497.31 0.00 0.00 2.68 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $7 billion in volume in January 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 2.60 0.00 0.00 2.60 Trades
Will Mario Draghi be elected as President of Italy in the upcoming 2022 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 25 2022 2.57 0.00 0.00 2.57 Trades
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 0.00 2,989.79 0.00% 0.9992 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,989.79 Mon Jun 20 2022 -2,987.26 0.00 0.00 2.54 Trades
NHL: Will the Panthers beat the Senators by more than 1.5 goals in their March 3 matchup (7 PM ET)? Yes No 1,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9987 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 -1,997.48 0.00 0.00 2.51 Trades
Will Elon musk have the highest net worth on April 20? Yes No 2,499.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 2,499.99 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 -2,497.49 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will Biden say "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 2.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 Trades
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in March 2022? Bitcoin Ethereum 0.00 2,999.99 0.00% 0.9992 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,999.99 Fri Apr 01 2022 -2,997.50 0.00 0.00 2.49 Trades
NHL: Will the Capitals beat the Oilers by more than 1.5 goals in their February 2 matchup (7 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? Yes No 102.35 0.00 0.00% 0.9770 1.00 0.00 102.35 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 2.35 Trades
TikTok sale announced in March? Yes No 0.00 258.52 0.00% 0.9910 0.00 1.00 0.00 258.52 Sun Mar 31 2024 -256.19 0.00 0.00 2.33 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20: Bernard Arnault or Jeff Bezos? Bernard Arnault Jeff Bezos 0.00 1,999.99 0.00% 0.9989 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Wed Apr 20 2022 -1,997.70 0.00 0.00 2.30 Trades
Will Taiwan report 20,000 or more daily COVID-19 cases by May 10? Yes No 0.00 6.69 0.00% -0.3287 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 10 2022 2.20 0.00 0.00 2.20 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Cavaliers beat the Hawks by more than 1.5 points in their February 15 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 2,200.00 0.00% 0.9992 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,200.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 -2,198.24 0.00 0.00 1.76 Trades
Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 1.70 0.00 0.00 1.70 Trades
NHL: Will the Wild beat the Red Wings by more than 1.5 goals in their February 14 matchup (8 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 20.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 14 2022 1.64 0.00 0.00 1.64 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $2.75 billion in volume in January 2022? Yes No 999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9984 1.00 0.00 999.99 0.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 -998.37 0.00 0.00 1.63 Trades
NBA: Who will win Heat vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 19, 7:30 PM ET? Heat Hawks 1,999.78 0.00 0.00% 0.9992 1.00 0.00 1,999.78 0.00 Tue Apr 19 2022 -1,998.16 0.00 0.00 1.62 Trades
Will OpenSea airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 199.95 0.00% 0.9920 0.00 1.00 0.00 199.95 Thu Mar 31 2022 -198.34 0.00 0.00 1.60 Trades
NHL: Will the Maple Leafs beat the Kraken by more than 1.5 goals in their February 14 matchup (9 PM ET)? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 20.00% 0.9992 1.00 0.00 2,000.00 0.00 Mon Feb 14 2022 -1,998.41 0.00 0.00 1.59 Trades
NHL: Will the Avalanche beat the Stars by more than 1.5 goals in their February 15 matchup (9 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 2,000.00 0.00% 0.9992 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,000.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 -1,998.42 0.00 0.00 1.58 Trades
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022? Yes No 38.98 0.00 11.11% -0.0386 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 1.50 0.06 0.00 1.56 Trades
NHL: Will the Predators beat the Capitals by more than 1.5 goals in their February 15 matchup (7 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 1.51 0.00 0.00 1.51 Trades
Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 496.18 0.00% 0.9971 0.00 1.00 0.00 496.18 Tue Jun 07 2022 -494.72 0.00 0.00 1.47 Trades
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 7.8% or more in March? Yes No 1,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9993 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 0.00 Thu Apr 21 2022 -1,998.58 0.00 0.00 1.41 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 989.87 0.00 0.00% 0.9986 1.00 0.00 989.87 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -988.51 0.00 0.00 1.36 Trades
Will Cozy Finance airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 199.99 0.00% 0.9932 0.00 1.00 0.00 199.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 -198.64 0.00 0.00 1.35 Trades
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? 0
1
2
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.94% 0.33
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.05 1.38 0.00 1.33 Trades
Will SBF plead guilty by August 21? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 21 2023 1.31 0.00 0.00 1.31 Trades
MLB: Who will win New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for April 24, 4:11 PM ET? New York Mets Arizona Diamondbacks 1,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9994 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 -1,998.72 0.00 0.00 1.28 Trades
NHL: Will the Panthers beat the Lightning by more than 1.5 goals in their April 24, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 0.00% 0.9994 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Sun Apr 24 2022 -1,998.73 0.00 0.00 1.27 Trades
MLB: Who will win Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres, scheduled for April 24, 4:11 PM ET? Los Angeles Dodgers San Diego Padres 1,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9994 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 -1,998.73 0.00 0.00 1.27 Trades
NHL: Will the Capitals beat the Leafs by more than 1.5 goals in their April 24, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 0.00% 0.9994 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Sun Apr 24 2022 -1,998.74 0.00 0.00 1.25 Trades
NHL: Will the Oilers beat the Blackhawks by more than 1.5 goals in their March 3 matchup (8.30 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 1,499.99 0.00% 0.9992 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,499.99 Thu Mar 03 2022 -1,498.75 0.00 0.00 1.25 Trades
NHL: Will the Islanders beat the Canucks by more than 1.5 goals in their March 3 matchup (7.30 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 1,499.99 0.00% 0.9992 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,499.99 Thu Mar 03 2022 -1,498.78 0.00 0.00 1.21 Trades
Will Coinbase reach #1 in the Finance category on the US iOS App Store before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 1.07 0.00 0.00 1.07 Trades
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 1.06 0.00 0.00 1.06 Trades
NHL: Will the Maple Leafs beat the Devils by more than 1.5 goals in their January 31 matchup (7.30 PM ET)? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 20.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 0.00 Mon Jan 31 2022 -998.95 0.00 0.00 1.04 Trades
Will $USDT depeg by August 31? Yes No 0.00 35.71 0.00% 0.9720 0.00 1.00 0.00 35.71 Thu Aug 31 2023 -34.71 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? Yes No 5.50 0.00 0.00% -0.1745 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 0.96 0.00 0.00 0.96 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for April 19, 8:30 PM ET? Grizzlies Timberwolves 1,199.99 0.00 0.02% 0.9992 1.00 0.00 1,199.99 0.00 Tue Apr 19 2022 -1,199.04 0.00 0.00 0.95 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Celtics vs. Pelicans, scheduled for January 29 (7 PM ET)? Celtics Pelicans 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 29 2022 0.93 0.00 0.00 0.93 Trades
2022 French Legislative Election: Will Macron's party win an outright majority? Yes No 0.00 994.47 0.00% 0.9991 0.00 1.00 0.00 994.47 Mon Jun 20 2022 -993.54 0.00 0.00 0.93 Trades
Is the Loch Ness Monster real? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 300.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 -299.10 0.00 0.00 0.90 Trades
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 0.81 0.00 0.00 0.81 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31? Yes No 496.94 0.00 0.00% 0.9984 1.00 0.00 496.94 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 -496.13 0.00 0.00 0.80 Trades
NHL: Will the Penguins beat the Flyers by more than 1.5 goals in their April 24, 4:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 999.99 0.00% 0.9992 0.00 1.00 0.00 999.99 Sun Apr 24 2022 -999.20 0.00 0.00 0.79 Trades
Will the Socialist Party win 108 or more seats in the January 30, 2022 Portuguese legislative election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 31 2022 0.78 0.00 0.00 0.78 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? Yes No 0.00 2.59 0.00% 0.7100 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.59 Fri Oct 20 2023 -1.84 0.00 0.00 0.75 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 740.00 0.00% 0.9990 0.00 1.00 0.00 740.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -739.26 0.00 0.00 0.74 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 0.72 0.00 0.00 0.72 Trades
MLB: Who will win Chicago Cubs v. New York Mets, scheduled for September 12, 7:10 PM ET? Cubs Mets 0.00 3.23 0.02% -0.2089 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 12 2022 0.67 0.01 0.00 0.68 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Clippers vs Lakers, scheduled for March 3 (10 PM ET)? Clippers Lakers 999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9994 1.00 0.00 999.99 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 -999.38 0.00 0.00 0.61 Trades
MLB: Who will win Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for April 24, 7:09 PM ET? Philadelphia Phillies Milwaukee Brewers 0.00 999.99 0.00% 0.9994 0.00 1.00 0.00 999.99 Sun Apr 24 2022 -999.39 0.00 0.00 0.61 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Heat vs. Nets, scheduled for March 3 (7.30 PM ET)? Heat Nets 999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9994 1.00 0.00 999.99 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 -999.44 0.00 0.00 0.55 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Celtics vs. Grizzlies, scheduled for March 3 (7.30 PM ET)? Celtics Grizzlies 999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9994 1.00 0.00 999.99 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 -999.44 0.00 0.00 0.55 Trades
NFL Sunday: Ravens vs. Giants Ravens Giants 7.11 0.00 0.02% -0.0737 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.52 Trades
NBA: Will the Bulls beat the Hawks by more than 1.5 points in their March 3 (7 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 999.79 0.00% 0.9995 0.00 1.00 0.00 999.79 Thu Mar 03 2022 -999.27 0.00 0.00 0.52 Trades
Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Chiefs Bucs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 08 2021 -0.39 0.91 0.00 0.52 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.012 by June 12? Yes No 5.46 0.00 0.00% -0.0849 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 12 2022 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.46 Trades
Will Frog Nation DAO vote to remove Sifu as Wonderland’s treasury manager? Yes No 999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9995 1.00 0.00 999.99 0.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 -999.53 0.00 0.00 0.46 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? Yes No 455.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 455.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -454.55 0.00 0.00 0.45 Trades
NBA: Who will win 76ers vs. Heat, scheduled for May 12, 7:00 PM ET? 76ers Heat 7.48 0.00 0.00% -0.0536 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 12 2022 0.40 0.00 0.00 0.40 Trades
Will the floor price of Ryder Ripps BAYC (RR/BAYC) be above 1 ETH on June 30? Yes No 0.00 17.58 0.00% 0.5304 0.50 0.50 0.00 8.79 Thu Jun 30 2022 -9.33 0.92 0.00 0.39 Trades
[Flagged to Resolve at 0.32/0.68] NFL Sunday: Seahawks vs. Saints Seahawks Saints 0.00 45.91 0.02% 0.6752 0.32 0.68 0.00 31.22 Sun Oct 09 2022 -31.00 0.13 0.00 0.35 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 27? Yes No 9.68 0.00 0.00% 0.0286 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 27 2022 -0.28 0.60 0.00 0.32 Trades
Will President Biden mention Cryptocurrency in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 1.32 0.00% 0.7589 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.32 Tue Mar 01 2022 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ in 2023? Yes No 0.00 7.00 0.00% 0.9550 0.00 1.00 0.00 7.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -6.68 0.00 0.00 0.32 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9561 1.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 -4.78 0.00 0.00 0.22 Trades
Will Biden win Mississippi Democratic Primary? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 200.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 -199.80 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will Foundation airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 9.99 0.00% 0.9815 0.00 1.00 0.00 9.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 -9.80 0.00 0.00 0.18 Trades
NHL: Will the Wild beat the Blues by more than 1.5 goals in their January 1 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.14 Trades
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.07 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Hornets by more than 10.5 points in their February 28 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 Mon Feb 28 2022 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will the Nuggets or the Trail Blazers win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.08 0.00 6.67% 1.00 0.00 0.08 0.00 Sat Jun 05 2021 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
UFC 271: Who will win - Derrick Lewis or Tai Tuivasa? Lewis Tuivasa 0.00 0.00 20.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 12 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Knicks by more than 10.5 points in their March 2 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Sabres beat the Coyotes by more than 1.5 goals in their January 29 matchup (9 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 29 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Flames beat the Canucks by more than 1.5 goals in their January 29 matchup (10 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 29 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
UFC 271: Will Adesanya KO/TKO/RTD Whittaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 12 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Wednesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Panthers beat the Wings by more than 2.5 goals in their April 21, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 21 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Grizzlies beat the Knicks by more than 9.5 points in their March 11 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 11 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 60 ETH on February 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Mavericks vs. Pelicans, scheduled for February 17 (8 PM ET)? Mavericks Pelicans 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Oilers beat the Canadiens by more than 1.5 goals in their January 29 matchup (7 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 29 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Heat vs. Hornets, scheduled for February 17 (7 PM ET)? Heat Hornets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Clippers beat the Lakers by more than 2.5 points in their March 3 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Nets beat the Wizards by more than 4.5 points in their February 17 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Pelicans by more than 2.5 points in their February 17 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Heat by more than 4.5 points in their March 2 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Nets vs. Wizards, scheduled for February 17 (7.30PM ET)? Nets Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Hornets by more than 4.5 points in their February 17 (7PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Bucks vs. 76ers, scheduled for February 17 (8.30 PM ET)? Bucks 76ers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5.00 by June 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3.70 0.00% 0.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Chilean presidential elections? Boric Kast 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 23 2021 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022? Yes No 3.93 0.00 0.00% 0.0007 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NHL: Who will win Lightning vs. Leafs, scheduled for May 12, 7:30 PM ET? Lightning Leafs 0.00 4.58 0.01% 0.0009 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 12 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will $MATIC reach $1 by July 31? Yes No 3.91 0.00 0.00% 0.0013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NHL: Who will win Leafs vs. Lightning, scheduled for May 10, 7:30 PM ET? Leafs Lightning 0.00 6.61 0.01% 0.0006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 10 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Celtics beat the Bucks by more than 5.5 points in their May 11 (7 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 5.41 0.00 0.00% 0.0009 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Celtics, scheduled for April 25, 7:01 PM ET? Nets Celtics 5.71 0.00 0.00% 0.0009 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $8.25 or more on September 19, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 4.28 0.00 0.00% 0.0013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 19 2022 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NFL Sunday: Dolphins vs. Ravens Dolphins Ravens 0.00 4.01 0.02% 0.0013 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 18 2022 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
NHL: Who will win Penguins vs. Rangers, scheduled for May 9, 7:00 PM ET? Penguins Rangers 0.00 6.42 0.01% 0.0008 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022? Yes No 9.53 0.00 0.00% 0.0015 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on May 26, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.40 0.00% 0.0055 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 26 2022 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? Yes No 0.14 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
NHL: Will the Flames beat the Canadiens by more than 2.5 goals in their March 3 matchup (9 PM ET)? Yes No 22.82 0.00 0.00% 0.0010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? Yes No 0.00 1.10 0.00% 0.0900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.15 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1.32 1.16 0.00 -0.16 Trades
Will $MATIC reach 1$ again by June 1? Yes No 148.80 0.00 0.00% 0.0014 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
Will Belgium qualify from Group F? Yes No 0.68 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Biden cognitive test before April? Yes No 3,300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.30 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 3.33 0.00% 0.1000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.33 Trades
Another Tesla recall before July? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% 0.0400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.60 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Wales beat Iran? Yes No 18.93 0.00 0.02% 0.2349 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 25 2022 -4.45 3.83 0.00 -0.61 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 8 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 5.88 0.00% 0.1500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.88 Trades
Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? Yes No 0.00 2.50 0.00% 0.3993 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Nets by more than 2.5 points in their March 3 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 74,981.65 0.00% 0.0000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 -1.02 0.01 0.00 -1.02 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $20 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1.74 0.00 0.00 -1.74 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18? Yes No 1,990.51 0.00 0.00% 1.0011 1.00 0.00 1,990.51 0.00 Thu Aug 18 2022 -1,992.78 0.43 0.00 -1.85 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 9.5 points in their April 20, 9:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 3.53 0.00 0.02% 0.5301 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 -1.87 0.01 0.00 -1.86 Trades
Lions vs. Rams Lions Rams 0.00 5.08 0.00% 0.4000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 -2.03 0.00 0.00 -2.03 Trades
Will Trump win Mississippi Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 2,042.02 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 -2.04 0.00 0.00 -2.04 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $87.50 or more on September 19, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 7.37 0.00 0.00% 0.5469 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 19 2022 -4.03 1.93 0.00 -2.10 Trades
Will natural gas close above $7 on July 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 12.18 0.00% 0.1919 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 -2.34 0.04 0.00 -2.30 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28? Yes No 0.00 44.30 0.00% 0.0573 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 -2.54 0.22 0.00 -2.31 Trades
Will the Canadian "Emergencies Act" be revoked by March 7, 2022? Yes No 6,592.61 0.00 0.00% 1.0005 1.00 0.00 6,592.61 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 -6,596.14 1.09 0.00 -2.44 Trades
Will the Academy strip Will Smith’s Oscar by April 30? Yes No 0.00 990.23 0.02% 1.0054 0.00 1.00 0.00 990.23 Sat Apr 30 2022 -995.59 2.76 0.00 -2.60 Trades
UFC 278: Who will win - Usman vs Edwards 2 Usman Edwards 2.95 0.00 0.00% 1.8780 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 20 2022 -5.54 2.43 0.00 -3.11 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -3.24 0.00 0.00 -3.24 Trades
Will Layer Zero have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 -3.38 0.00 0.00 -3.38 Trades
Will Haley win the Iowa Caucus? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0117 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 -3.50 0.00 0.00 -3.50 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29? Yes No 14.72 0.00 0.00% 0.2639 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 -3.89 0.05 0.00 -3.84 Trades
DOGE all time high by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
FTX claims worth >75¢ on the dollar by end of Q1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -4.40 0.00 0.00 -4.40 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,990.71 0.01% 1.0020 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,990.71 Mon May 02 2022 -12,014.99 19.55 0.00 -4.74 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 3? Yes No 42.95 0.00 0.00% 0.3360 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 -14.43 9.52 0.00 -4.91 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? Yes No 0.00 1,908.63 0.00% 1.0028 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,908.63 Fri Feb 25 2022 -1,914.06 0.33 0.00 -5.10 Trades
Will 'Don't Worry Darling' gross more than $20 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 26 2022 -5.22 0.00 0.00 -5.22 Trades
NBA: Who will win 76ers vs. Raptors, scheduled for April 20, 8:00 PM ET? 76ers Raptors 0.00 11.83 0.00% 0.4595 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 -5.44 0.03 0.00 -5.41 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on September 22? Yes No 0.00 6.65 0.00% 0.9503 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 -6.32 0.70 0.00 -5.62 Trades
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Raptors by more than 7.5 points in their April 25, 8:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 17.97 0.00 0.00% 0.3255 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 -5.85 0.09 0.00 -5.75 Trades
AI on Amazon speaker by June? Yes No 0.00 1.27 0.00% 4.5945 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -5.82 0.00 0.00 -5.82 Trades
Will Hamas surrender before February? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.02 Wed Jan 31 2024 -5.86 0.00 0.00 -5.83 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? Yes No 154.58 0.00 0.00% 1.3465 1.00 0.00 154.58 0.00 Fri Sep 16 2022 -208.14 47.64 0.00 -5.92 Trades
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 -6.01 0.00 0.00 -6.01 Trades
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2022 US Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 -6.64 0.39 0.00 -6.25 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.89 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -6.72 0.00 0.00 -6.72 Trades
Paramount merger/acquisition in Q1? Yes No 0.00 0.24 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.24 Sun Mar 31 2024 -7.14 0.00 0.00 -6.90 Trades
Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a solar flare? Yes No 7,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 -7.04 0.00 0.00 -7.04 Trades
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 -7.36 0.00 0.00 -7.36 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 -7.75 0.00 0.00 -7.75 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -8.00 0.00 0.00 -8.00 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? Higher Lower 42.29 0.00 0.00% 0.2010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -8.50 0.31 0.00 -8.19 Trades
NBA: Who will win Heat vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 24, 7:00 PM ET? Heat Hawks 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 -11.90 3.24 0.00 -8.66 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 3,000.00 0.00% 0.0030 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -9.00 0.00 0.00 -9.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Sharks beat the Kraken by more than 1.5 goals in their February 27 matchup (10 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 13.20 0.00% 0.6907 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 27 2022 -9.11 0.08 0.00 -9.03 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Prigozhin in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 77.61 0.00 0.00% 0.1179 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -9.15 0.00 0.00 -9.15 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by end of March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -9.19 0.00 0.00 -9.19 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? Yes No 231.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 05 2023 -9.24 0.00 0.00 -9.24 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? Yes No 0.00 1,000.66 0.00% 1.0107 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.66 Mon Oct 31 2022 -1,011.38 1.44 0.00 -9.28 Trades
What will the margin be in Newsom’s recall election? Under 10%
10% to 15%
Over 15%
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-9.40 0.00 0.00 -9.40 Trades
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 16 2021 -10.38 0.53 0.00 -9.85 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Community notes on Biden Xeet by December 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 11 2023 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 26 2021 -10.05 0.00 0.00 -10.05 Trades
Rainbow airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -10.60 0.00 0.00 -10.60 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Suns by more than 7.5 points in their March 9 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 32.72 0.00 0.00% 0.3725 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 -12.19 1.36 0.00 -10.83 Trades
Was the Super Bowl rigged? Yes No 28,893.66 0.00 0.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -10.89 0.00 0.00 -10.89 Trades
Will @elonmusk's tweet count be over 17,600 on May 5 (12 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 -11.46 0.53 0.00 -10.92 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 8.62 0.00 0.00% 2.8363 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 -24.45 13.49 0.00 -10.97 Trades
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? Yes No 0.00 3,150.77 0.00% 0.0035 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 -11.15 0.00 0.00 -11.15 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 142.51 0.00% 0.0881 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 -12.56 1.15 0.00 -11.40 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? Yes No 0.00 412.17 0.00% 0.0287 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -11.83 0.00 0.00 -11.83 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 4.70 0.00 0.00% 4.3225 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -20.32 8.01 0.00 -12.31 Trades
Will Biden win Georgia Democratic Primary? Yes No 0.00 12,313.04 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 -12.31 0.00 0.00 -12.31 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Will Argentina beat Mexico? Yes No 0.00 78.27 0.02% 0.3453 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 26 2022 -27.02 14.65 0.00 -12.37 Trades
Will US inflation be more than 0.4% from December 2022 to January 2023? Yes No 0.00 24.51 0.00% 0.5051 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 14 2023 -12.38 0.00 0.00 -12.38 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be 75 ETH or above on August 19? Yes No 5.60 0.00 0.00% 2.4596 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 -13.78 1.06 0.00 -12.72 Trades
NBA: Will the Celtics beat the Grizzlies by more than 1.5 points in their March 3 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 286.96 0.00 0.00% 1.0452 1.00 0.00 286.96 0.00 Thu Mar 03 2022 -299.92 0.09 0.00 -12.87 Trades
Will OG Anunoby return before the playoffs? Yes No 0.00 215.00 0.00% 0.0600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 14 2024 -12.90 0.00 0.00 -12.90 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 -13.00 0.00 0.00 -13.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -13.20 0.00 0.00 -13.20 Trades
Will roon deactivate his account in February? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -13.20 0.00 0.00 -13.20 Trades
Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? Yes No 557.79 0.00 0.00% 1.0243 1.00 0.00 557.79 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -571.33 0.00 0.00 -13.54 Trades
UFC 281: Who will win - Carla Esparza vs Weili Zhang Esparza Zhang 6.09 0.00 0.00% 2.3173 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 14 2022 -14.11 0.38 0.00 -13.73 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by February 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,999.99 0.00% 1.0028 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,999.99 Tue Feb 15 2022 -5,013.83 0.00 0.00 -13.84 Trades
Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 16 2023 -14.38 0.00 0.00 -14.38 Trades
Will SpaceX's 3rd Starship go higher than its prior launch before April? Yes No 0.00 66.48 0.00% 0.2171 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -14.43 0.00 0.00 -14.43 Trades
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20? Yes No 7.04 0.00 0.00% 2.0834 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 -14.66 0.07 0.00 -14.59 Trades
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? Yes No 697.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0210 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -14.64 0.00 0.00 -14.64 Trades
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? BTC ETH 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -15.32 0.00 0.00 -15.32 Trades
Epstein documents unsealed by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.1550 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -15.50 0.00 0.00 -15.50 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day? Yes No 0.00 4.77 0.00% 3.4339 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -16.36 0.74 0.00 -15.62 Trades
Will George Santos start an OnlyFans in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -15.74 0.00 0.00 -15.74 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? Yes No 0.00 2,782.48 0.00% 1.0057 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,782.48 Wed Jan 31 2024 -2,798.36 0.00 0.00 -15.89 Trades
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 -16.00 0.00 0.00 -16.00 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on June 3, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11.76 0.00% 1.5136 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 -17.80 1.73 0.00 -16.06 Trades
MLB: Who will win Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for July 11, 7:10 PM ET? Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays 36.67 0.00 0.00% 0.4469 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 11 2022 -16.39 0.08 0.00 -16.31 Trades
Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 3,299.99 6.67% 1.0064 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,299.99 Mon Mar 07 2022 -3,321.06 4.68 0.00 -16.39 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,700 on May 14, 2022? Yes No 9.13 0.00 0.01% 4.1030 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 -37.45 21.04 0.00 -16.40 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell endorse Trump before Super Tuesday? Yes No 450.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0367 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -16.50 0.00 0.00 -16.50 Trades
Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a hack? Yes No 427.69 0.00 0.00% 0.0392 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -16.76 0.00 0.00 -16.76 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? Yes No 0.00 670.70 0.00% 1.0250 0.00 1.00 0.00 670.70 Thu Feb 29 2024 -687.49 0.00 0.00 -16.79 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the 76ers by more than 6.5 points in their February 17 (8.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 35.07 0.00 0.00% 0.4959 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 -17.39 0.53 0.00 -16.86 Trades
Will Kanye West's song "Everybody" reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -17.01 0.00 0.00 -17.01 Trades
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? Yes No 900.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0190 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -17.10 0.00 0.00 -17.10 Trades
Will Solana Network go down again in February? Yes No 551.65 0.00 0.00% 0.0313 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -17.24 0.00 0.00 -17.24 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -17.61 0.00 0.00 -17.61 Trades
Coinbase top 25 app by Friday? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -18.00 0.00 0.00 -18.00 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 0.00 75.41 0.00% 0.2395 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -18.06 0.00 0.00 -18.06 Trades
Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification? Yes No 0.00 287.55 0.00% 0.1448 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 -41.65 23.49 0.00 -18.15 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1500 on November 4? Yes No 0.00 44.95 0.00% 0.4157 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 04 2022 -18.68 0.36 0.00 -18.32 Trades
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any regular game in the 2022 Tata Steel Masters? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 30 2022 -18.95 0.00 0.00 -18.95 Trades
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? Yes No 215.85 0.00 0.00% 0.0959 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 -20.69 1.57 0.00 -19.13 Trades
Another Ledger exploit by Jan 31? Yes No 497.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -19.90 0.00 0.00 -19.90 Trades
Will Trump win Georgia Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 20,000.00 0.00% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 12 2024 -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Andrew Tate launch a cryptocurrency in February? Yes No 0.00 321.17 0.00% 1.0624 0.00 1.00 0.00 321.17 Thu Feb 29 2024 -341.21 0.00 0.00 -20.04 Trades
NYC trucker strike for Trump by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 -20.30 0.00 0.00 -20.30 Trades
UFC 276: Who will win - Volkanovski vs Holloway Volkanovski Holloway 0.00 66.59 0.00% 0.3183 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 02 2022 -21.19 0.80 0.00 -20.39 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 -20.91 0.00 0.00 -20.91 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 1,215.38 0.00% 1.0324 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,215.38 Tue Jun 07 2022 -1,254.73 18.38 0.00 -20.97 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 -21.00 0.00 0.00 -21.00 Trades
Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 13 2022 -30.56 9.26 0.00 -21.30 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Will Netherlands beat USA? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 03 2022 -21.31 0.00 0.00 -21.31 Trades
Drift airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 1,147.68 0.00% 1.0188 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,147.68 Tue Feb 27 2024 -1,169.24 0.00 0.00 -21.57 Trades
Will Russian Chess Player Sergey Karjakin be removed or withdraw from the FIDE 2022 Candidates Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 07 2022 -24.63 3.05 0.00 -21.58 Trades
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -21.90 0.00 0.00 -21.90 Trades
Ledger hacker identified by end of 2023? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Minouche Shafik out as Columbia President before March? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0550 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -22.00 0.00 0.00 -22.00 Trades
Will the US hit its highest recorded gas price per gallon according to AAA by March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1.13 0.00% 20.2033 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 -22.76 0.60 0.00 -22.17 Trades
2023-24 Detroit Pistons worst NBA team of all time? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 14 2024 -22.19 0.00 0.00 -22.19 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 0.00 165.73 0.00% 0.2460 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -40.77 18.48 0.00 -22.29 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 57.41 0.00% 0.4003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -22.98 0.63 0.00 -22.35 Trades
Will Daniil Medvedev play in the 2022 French Open? Yes No 0.00 5.02 0.01% 4.9690 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 -24.93 1.52 0.00 -23.41 Trades
Will the ILWU announce a strike for US port workers by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,565.50 0.00% 1.0225 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,565.50 Sun Jul 31 2022 -1,600.75 11.48 0.00 -23.77 Trades
Will a South Korean team win LOL Worlds 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.29 0.00% 6.9138 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 05 2022 -29.67 5.89 0.00 -23.78 Trades
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? Yes No 0.00 10.00 0.00% 2.3950 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -23.95 0.00 0.00 -23.95 Trades
Ledger hacker arrested by end of 2023? Yes No 600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -24.00 0.00 0.00 -24.00 Trades
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? Yes No 0.49 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -25.85 1.66 0.00 -24.19 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 942.10 0.00 0.00% 0.2725 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -256.74 232.54 0.00 -24.20 Trades
JUP above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 420.00 0.00% 1.0579 0.00 1.00 0.00 420.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 -444.30 0.00 0.00 -24.30 Trades
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? Yes No 1,250.13 0.00 0.01% 0.0615 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -76.89 52.52 0.00 -24.37 Trades
Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.0500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? Yes No 6.44 0.00 0.00% 4.2463 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 -27.33 1.99 0.00 -25.33 Trades
NFL Sunday: 49ers vs. Broncos 49ers Broncos 72.80 0.00 0.02% 0.4515 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 -32.87 6.93 0.00 -25.94 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1? Yes No 64.49 0.00 0.00% 0.4876 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 -31.45 5.19 0.00 -26.26 Trades
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -26.63 0.00 0.00 -26.63 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Piers Morgan? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -26.65 0.00 0.00 -26.65 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 -27.78 0.00 0.00 -27.78 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -27.95 0.00 0.00 -27.95 Trades
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 -28.95 0.00 0.00 -28.95 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 124.52 0.00% 0.5738 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -71.45 42.49 0.00 -28.96 Trades
WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in February? Yes No 272.22 0.00 0.00% 0.1065 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -29.00 0.00 0.00 -29.00 Trades
Will there be a new (1,073rd) NFL Scorigami in September 2022? Yes No 14.42 0.00 0.00% 3.1715 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 -45.74 16.72 0.00 -29.02 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? Yes No 25,100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0012 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -29.70 0.00 0.00 -29.70 Trades
NFL Monday: Titans vs. Bills Titans Bills 152.78 0.00 0.02% 0.1964 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 19 2022 -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
TRUMP all time high by Friday? Yes No 215.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 -30.10 0.00 0.00 -30.10 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Zury Ríos win? Yes No 2,166.39 0.00 0.00% 0.0140 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 -30.31 0.00 0.00 -30.31 Trades
Will Olivia Chow win the 2023 Toronto mayoral by-election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 -30.43 0.00 0.00 -30.43 Trades
Will US attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Feb 15 2024 -31.31 0.00 0.00 -31.30 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? Yes No 0.00 650.00 0.00% 1.0485 0.00 1.00 0.00 650.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -681.50 0.00 0.00 -31.50 Trades
Will Spirit Airlines announce bankruptcy by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -31.50 0.00 0.00 -31.50 Trades
Will daily volume on Opensea drop below $20M by June 15? Yes No 0.00 10.30 0.00% 3.3574 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 -34.59 2.36 0.00 -32.23 Trades
Will Johnson and Johnson's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 -32.58 0.00 0.00 -32.58 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross between $120 million and $160 million on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.01 3.85% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 -132.37 99.60 0.00 -32.77 Trades
SHIB all time high by Friday? Yes No 1,100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0298 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 -32.80 0.00 0.00 -32.80 Trades
Rabby airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -33.38 0.00 0.00 -33.38 Trades
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes? Yes No 3,999.99 0.00 0.00% 1.0083 1.00 0.00 3,999.99 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 -4,033.38 0.00 0.00 -33.39 Trades
Blast exploit by March 7? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 07 2024 -33.40 0.00 0.00 -33.40 Trades
World Cup: Monday - Will South Korea beat Ghana? Yes No 111.02 0.00 0.02% 0.3411 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 28 2022 -37.87 3.58 0.00 -34.28 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? Yes No 0.00 1,676.02 0.00% 1.0206 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,676.02 Wed Jan 31 2024 -1,710.47 0.00 0.00 -34.45 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 22, 2022? Yes No 77.83 0.00 0.00% 0.4589 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 -35.71 0.58 0.00 -35.14 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Bills Bengals Bills 0.00 51.00 0.00% 0.6898 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 22 2023 -35.18 0.00 0.00 -35.18 Trades
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal? Yes No 0.00 80.62 0.00% 0.4542 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -36.61 1.31 0.00 -35.30 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 78.73 0.00 0.00% 1.4511 1.00 0.00 78.73 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -114.24 0.00 0.00 -35.51 Trades
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? Yes No 880.66 0.00 0.00% 0.0482 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -42.44 6.24 0.00 -36.20 Trades
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0724 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -36.20 0.00 0.00 -36.20 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war before February? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.02 Wed Jan 31 2024 -36.28 0.00 0.00 -36.26 Trades
Zvbear arrested before February? Yes No 0.00 2,153.45 0.00% 1.0175 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,153.45 Wed Jan 31 2024 -2,191.20 0.00 0.00 -37.75 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 3? Celtics Warriors 0.00 107.16 0.27% 0.3918 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 08 2022 -41.99 4.19 0.00 -37.79 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on September 15? Yes No 122.31 0.00 0.00% 0.3148 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 -38.50 0.43 0.00 -38.07 Trades
Will ApeCoin (APE) be below $4.20 on 4/20/2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 -42.81 4.74 0.00 -38.07 Trades
Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 -38.31 0.00 0.00 -38.31 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 642.19 0.00 0.00% 0.2412 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 -154.88 116.07 0.00 -38.81 Trades
UFC 276: Who will win - Adesanya vs Cannonier Adesanya Cannonier 0.00 205.83 0.00% 0.2082 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 02 2022 -42.85 3.74 0.00 -39.11 Trades
Another Celestia airdrop by March 1? Yes No 270.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1485 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -40.10 0.00 0.00 -40.10 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 994.52 0.38% 1.0485 0.00 1.00 0.00 994.52 Tue Nov 08 2022 -1,042.77 6.77 0.00 -41.48 Trades
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? Yes No 831.40 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 29 2023 -41.57 0.00 0.00 -41.57 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 5? Celtics Warriors 119.05 0.00 0.00% 0.3614 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 13 2022 -43.02 0.65 0.00 -42.37 Trades
Will MOEX close above 3,000 by April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 -49.70 6.39 0.00 -43.30 Trades
Haniyeh still in Hamas leadership through March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -43.83 0.00 0.00 -43.83 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day? Democrats Republicans 198.82 0.00 0.00% 0.2261 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -44.96 0.71 0.00 -44.25 Trades
Kate Middleton appearance by Sunday? Yes No 150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2967 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 03 2024 -44.50 0.00 0.00 -44.50 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will score more points in Game 3, Steph Curry or Jayson Tatum? Curry Tatum 0.00 99.79 0.00% 0.4533 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 08 2022 -45.23 0.25 0.00 -44.98 Trades
UFC 281: Who will win - Adesanya vs Pereira Adesanya Pereira 75.71 0.00 0.00% 0.6234 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 14 2022 -47.20 1.94 0.00 -45.26 Trades
Will the UCP win a plurality of seats in the 2023 Alberta general election? Yes No 0.00 195.51 0.00% 0.2328 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 29 2023 -45.51 0.00 0.00 -45.51 Trades
Will anyone say "Hunter" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -45.80 0.00 0.00 -45.80 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -45.88 0.00 0.00 -45.88 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -46.86 0.00 0.00 -46.86 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 99.23 0.00% 0.4800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -47.63 0.00 0.00 -47.63 Trades
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.75 on Sept 30? Yes No 0.00 110.99 0.00% 0.4434 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 -49.21 0.79 0.00 -48.42 Trades
OpenSea acquired before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -49.90 0.00 0.00 -49.90 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 -50.34 0.00 0.00 -50.34 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 61.18 0.00% 0.8956 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -54.79 4.04 0.00 -50.76 Trades
Saga airdrop By March 1? Yes No 74.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6865 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -50.80 0.00 0.00 -50.80 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0510 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -51.00 0.00 0.00 -51.00 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? Yes No 81.71 0.00 0.00% 0.6621 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -54.10 2.97 0.00 -51.13 Trades
Golf: Will an American win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 -53.08 1.25 0.00 -51.82 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 -52.44 0.46 0.00 -51.98 Trades
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? Yes No 587.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0888 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -52.13 0.00 0.00 -52.13 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? Yes No 128.46 0.00 0.00% 0.4488 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 10 2022 -57.65 5.43 0.00 -52.21 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,100 on April 28, 2022? Yes No 119.61 0.00 0.00% 0.5184 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 -62.01 9.54 0.00 -52.47 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 17, 2022? Yes No 70.28 0.00 0.00% 0.8187 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 17 2022 -57.54 4.96 0.00 -52.59 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.41 0.59 0.00 0.00 -52.90 0.00 0.00 -52.90 Trades
UFC 281: Who will win - Dustin Poirier vs Michael Chandler Poirier Chandler 0.00 172.17 0.00% 0.3151 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 14 2022 -54.26 1.05 0.00 -53.21 Trades
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? Yes No 499.66 0.00 0.00% 0.1092 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -54.57 0.00 0.00 -54.57 Trades
Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1? Yes No 1,284.57 0.00 0.00% 0.0426 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -54.67 0.00 0.00 -54.67 Trades
Will Lori Lightfoot win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 1.43 0.00 0.00% 38.1478 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 -54.67 0.00 0.00 -54.67 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Arizona vs. Houston, scheduled for March 24 (9:59 PM ET)? Arizona Houston 105.67 0.00 10.00% 0.5332 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 -56.34 1.10 0.00 -55.24 Trades
Will Biden say "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 455.00 0.00% 0.1225 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -55.75 0.00 0.00 -55.75 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.2300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -57.50 0.00 0.00 -57.50 Trades
Will Biden say "China/Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.2300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -57.50 0.00 0.00 -57.50 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -57.50 0.00 0.00 -57.50 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Denmark beat Australia? Yes No 117.09 0.00 0.02% 0.5906 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 -69.15 10.21 0.00 -58.94 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 8, 2022? Yes No 182.22 0.00 0.00% 0.3354 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 -61.11 1.77 0.00 -59.34 Trades
NHL: Who will win Rangers vs. Penguins, scheduled for May 5, 7:10 PM ET? Rangers Penguins 0.00 158.20 0.00% 0.3881 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 -61.40 0.56 0.00 -60.84 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by March? Yes No 273.99 0.00 0.00% 0.2237 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -61.30 0.00 0.00 -61.30 Trades
WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 -61.48 0.00 0.00 -61.48 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? Yes No 2,435.68 0.00 0.00% 0.0254 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -61.88 0.00 0.00 -61.88 Trades
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6? Yes No 207.32 0.00 0.00% 0.3087 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 06 2022 -63.99 0.88 0.00 -63.11 Trades
NFL Sunday: Browns vs. Falcons Browns Falcons 128.97 0.00 0.02% 0.4972 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 -64.13 0.61 0.00 -63.51 Trades
Will $USDD fall below 85 cents by July 30? Yes No 508.59 0.00 0.00% 0.1365 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 -69.43 4.87 0.00 -64.56 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on September 9? Democrats Republicans 0.00 42.84 0.00% 1.6092 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 -68.94 4.00 0.00 -64.94 Trades
Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 -66.96 0.00 0.00 -66.96 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from August to September 2022? Yes No 0.00 85.94 0.00% 0.8959 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 -77.00 9.71 0.00 -67.29 Trades
Broncos (-6.5) v. Seahawks Spread Broncos Seahawks 147.90 0.00 0.00% 0.4740 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 12 2022 -70.11 2.52 0.00 -67.59 Trades
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -67.96 0.00 0.00 -67.96 Trades
The Thiel Parlay Yes No 166.91 0.00 0.00% 0.4514 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -75.33 7.04 0.00 -68.29 Trades
Golf: Will Jordan Spieth win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 -104.85 36.20 0.00 -68.65 Trades
Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1? Yes No 0.00 45.00 0.00% 1.5273 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -68.73 0.00 0.00 -68.73 Trades
Will Katie Britt win the 2022 Alabama Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 10.17 0.00% 9.0179 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 24 2022 -91.70 22.81 0.00 -68.89 Trades
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -73.56 4.19 0.00 -69.37 Trades
Will Joel Embiid win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 -107.48 38.09 0.00 -69.39 Trades
Will President Biden mention Russia/Putin 12 or more times in his 1st State of the Union address? Yes No 2,766.09 0.00 0.00% 1.0269 1.00 0.00 2,766.09 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 -2,840.57 5.05 0.00 -69.44 Trades
US bank failure in February? Yes No 200.01 0.00 0.00% 0.3550 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -71.01 0.00 0.00 -71.01 Trades
SOL/ETH new high by Jan 31? Yes No 249.99 0.00 0.00% 0.2850 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -71.24 0.00 0.00 -71.24 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 -72.00 0.00 0.00 -72.00 Trades
Russian nuke in space by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -72.00 0.00 0.00 -72.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for April 23, 10:00 PM ET? Grizzlies Timberwolves 130.86 0.00 0.00% 0.5766 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 23 2022 -75.46 3.10 0.00 -72.35 Trades
Musk drops OpenAI case in March? Yes No 1,110.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0657 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -72.90 0.00 0.00 -72.90 Trades
Will Solana Network go down in January? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -73.02 0.00 0.00 -73.02 Trades
Will ETH hit $2000 by August 19? Yes No 0.00 677.16 0.00% 0.1196 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 20 2022 -80.97 6.95 0.00 -74.02 Trades
Will the price of Polygon (MATIC) be above $1.45 on April 29th, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 -85.12 10.87 0.00 -74.25 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 17? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 -75.00 0.00 0.00 -75.00 Trades
Will OpenAI launch a Web Search Product by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -75.00 0.00 0.00 -75.00 Trades
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -94.50 19.45 0.00 -75.06 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -75.80 0.00 0.00 -75.80 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 0.00 50.61 0.00% 1.5782 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -79.87 3.74 0.00 -76.13 Trades
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -77.90 0.00 0.00 -77.90 Trades
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC in February? Yes No 0.00 222.00 0.00% 0.3520 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -78.14 0.00 0.00 -78.14 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -80.00 0.00 0.00 -80.00 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 17 2024 -81.00 0.00 0.00 -81.00 Trades
Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 05 2021 -81.03 0.00 0.00 -81.03 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on June 24, 2022? Yes No 623.38 0.00 0.00% 0.1677 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 24 2022 -104.54 23.05 0.00 -81.48 Trades
Biden executive action on US-Mexico border in February? Yes No 800.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1025 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -82.00 0.00 0.00 -82.00 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on Sept 30? Yes No 0.00 179.11 0.00% 0.4667 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 -83.59 1.41 0.00 -82.17 Trades
Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 3.52 0.00% 131.4063 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 -463.12 379.79 0.00 -83.33 Trades
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 541.61 0.00 0.00% 0.1885 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -102.08 18.67 0.00 -83.41 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Nuggets by more than 8.5 points in their April 27, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 4.89 0.00 0.01% 17.7942 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 27 2022 -87.06 2.95 0.00 -84.11 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.77 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 -85.43 0.59 0.00 -84.83 Trades
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -85.00 0.00 0.00 -85.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -98.16 12.91 0.00 -85.25 Trades
Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? Yes No 2,436.15 0.00 0.00% 0.0713 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 17 2022 -173.62 87.95 0.00 -85.67 Trades
Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 -85.69 0.00 0.00 -85.69 Trades
Will they find another Jewish tunnel in NYC by Monday? Yes No 1,613.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0542 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 -87.39 0.00 0.00 -87.39 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Senegal beat Qatar? Yes No 0.00 239.83 0.02% 0.3847 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 25 2022 -92.26 4.75 0.00 -87.51 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $30 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 60.44 0.00 0.00% 1.6097 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 -97.29 7.89 0.00 -89.39 Trades
$PEPE listed on Coinbase in March? Yes No 1,387.71 0.00 0.00% 0.0644 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -89.39 0.00 0.00 -89.39 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will England beat Wales? Yes No 0.00 278.30 0.00% 0.3234 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 29 2022 -90.00 0.00 0.00 -90.00 Trades
UFC 276: Will Adesanya KO/TKO Cannonier? Yes No 272.92 0.00 0.00% 0.3364 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 02 2022 -91.80 1.36 0.00 -90.43 Trades
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -99.20 8.19 0.00 -91.01 Trades
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? Yes No 6.16 0.00 0.00% 21.3053 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 -131.34 39.73 0.00 -91.61 Trades
Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,999.99 0.00% 1.0266 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,999.99 Sat Apr 30 2022 -4,106.49 13.69 0.00 -92.81 Trades
Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 1,787.26 0.00 0.00% 1.0755 1.00 0.00 1,787.26 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -1,922.25 40.20 0.00 -94.79 Trades
Eric Adams criminal charges before April? Yes No 1,600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -96.00 0.00 0.00 -96.00 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Will Smith win Best Actor? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 -124.42 28.42 0.00 -96.00 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price still be above $4 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 180.85 0.00% 0.5463 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 -98.81 1.98 0.00 -96.82 Trades
Kate Middleton video appearance in March? Yes No 0.00 198.26 0.00% 0.4933 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -97.80 0.00 0.00 -97.80 Trades
US bank failure in March? Yes No 118.08 0.00 0.00% 0.8453 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -99.81 0.00 0.00 -99.81 Trades
Kamino airdrop by March 1? Yes No 521.72 0.00 0.00% 0.1914 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -99.86 0.00 0.00 -99.86 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Netherlands beat Qatar? Yes No 0.00 573.36 0.00% 0.1744 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 29 2022 -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.2000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Wormhole airdrop by March 1? Yes No 525.64 0.00 0.00% 0.1903 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -100.03 0.00 0.00 -100.03 Trades
World Cup: Sunday - Will Japan beat Costa Rica? Yes No 9.33 0.00 0.02% 12.0698 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 27 2022 -112.60 11.93 0.00 -100.66 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 0.00 206.68 0.00% 0.4995 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -103.25 0.00 0.00 -103.25 Trades
Which party will control the senate? Republican Democratic 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Mon Feb 01 2021 -133.51 29.65 0.00 -103.85 Trades
NBA: Who will win Warriors vs. Nuggets, scheduled for April 21, 10:00 PM ET? Warriors Nuggets 0.00 255.54 0.00% 0.4667 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 21 2022 -119.26 13.28 0.00 -105.98 Trades
NYT drop OpenAI case by March? Yes No 232.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4572 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -106.06 0.00 0.00 -106.06 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 3.5 points in their May 6, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 263.37 0.00 0.00% 0.4308 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 06 2022 -113.46 6.83 0.00 -106.63 Trades
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8,590.74 0.00% 1.0125 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,590.74 Mon Feb 21 2022 -8,697.86 0.00 0.00 -107.12 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? Yes No 722.80 0.00 0.00% 0.1487 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 -107.46 0.00 0.00 -107.46 Trades
Will "Putin" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 628.26 0.00 0.00% 0.1719 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -108.00 0.00 0.00 -108.00 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? Yes No 0.00 755.00 0.00% 1.1439 0.00 1.00 0.00 755.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -863.64 0.00 0.00 -108.64 Trades
More hostages in Gaza freed before April? Yes No 210.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -109.20 0.00 0.00 -109.20 Trades
Haiti Prime Minister resigns in March? Yes No 0.00 210.00 0.00% 0.5300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -111.30 0.00 0.00 -111.30 Trades
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 -111.82 0.00 0.00 -111.82 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? Yes No 3.87 0.00 0.00% 33.0847 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -128.18 15.86 0.00 -112.33 Trades
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? Yes No 800.62 0.00 0.00% 0.1405 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -112.50 0.00 0.00 -112.50 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Will Australia beat Tunisia? Yes No 0.00 168.08 0.02% 0.6991 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 26 2022 -117.51 4.75 0.00 -112.76 Trades
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 -114.86 0.00 0.00 -114.86 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 180.40 0.00 0.00% 0.6616 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -119.36 3.52 0.00 -115.83 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $20m on Christmas Day? Yes No 220.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5323 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 -117.10 0.00 0.00 -117.10 Trades
Jupiter airdrop in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -118.69 0.00 0.00 -118.69 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? Yes No 350.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -119.00 0.00 0.00 -119.00 Trades
Will MrBeast's next Youtube video get over 50M views in its first week? Yes No 0.00 3,052.10 0.00% 1.0425 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,052.10 Fri Jul 01 2022 -3,181.67 8.12 0.00 -121.45 Trades
Will Sinema announce she's running for re-election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 08 2024 -124.15 0.00 0.00 -124.15 Trades
NBA: Who will win Suns vs. Mavericks, scheduled for May 2, 10:00 PM ET? Suns Mavericks 0.00 423.72 0.00% 0.3017 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 02 2022 -127.82 3.02 0.00 -124.80 Trades
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? Yes No 0.73 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.73 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 -125.90 0.00 0.00 -125.17 Trades
NBA: Who will win Mavericks vs. Jazz, scheduled for April 25, 9:30 PM ET? Mavericks Jazz 0.00 325.45 0.01% 0.4237 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 -137.89 8.12 0.00 -129.77 Trades
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? Yes No 0.00 37.31 0.00% 4.5436 0.00 1.00 0.00 37.31 Thu Feb 15 2024 -169.50 0.00 0.00 -132.19 Trades
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Yes No 0.00 0.05 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.05 Wed Feb 28 2024 -132.80 0.00 0.00 -132.76 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on May 27, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6.51 0.00% 21.3215 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 27 2022 -138.82 4.42 0.00 -134.39 Trades
Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -135.00 0.00 0.00 -135.00 Trades
Will the Progressive Conservative Party win a majority in the 2022 Ontario General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 -137.31 0.00 0.00 -137.31 Trades
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -140.00 0.00 0.00 -140.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 -146.55 0.00 0.00 -146.55 Trades
Will Mitt Romney vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,360,342.90 537.02% 0.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -147.02 0.41 0.00 -146.61 Trades
Will 75% of Americans think the USA is on the Wrong Track on August 1? Yes No 345.61 0.00 0.00% 0.4306 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 -148.81 1.60 0.00 -147.22 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 716.28 0.00% 0.2138 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 -153.15 5.14 0.00 -148.01 Trades
Will Milady flip MAYC by March 1? Yes No 399.74 0.00 0.00% 0.3705 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -148.10 0.00 0.00 -148.10 Trades
NFL Thursday: Saints vs. Cardinals Saints Cardinals 346.77 0.00 0.00% 0.4326 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 20 2022 -150.00 0.00 0.00 -150.00 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Mark Zuckerberg or Michael Bloomberg? Mark Zuckerberg Michael Bloomberg 0.00 1,999.99 0.00% 1.0785 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Wed Apr 20 2022 -2,156.98 6.30 0.00 -150.68 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 4? Celtics Warriors 264.22 0.00 0.09% 0.5936 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 -156.83 5.14 0.00 -151.70 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? Yes No 723.20 0.00 0.00% 0.2126 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 -153.72 0.00 0.00 -153.72 Trades
Coinbase a top 25 app in March? Yes No 1,660.23 0.00 0.00% 0.0928 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -154.05 0.00 0.00 -154.05 Trades
NFL Saturday: Jaguars vs. Chiefs Jaguars Chiefs 895.98 0.00 0.00% 0.1720 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 21 2023 -154.13 0.00 0.00 -154.13 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 224.00 0.00% 0.7000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 -156.80 0.00 0.00 -156.80 Trades
UFC 276: Who will win - Strickland vs Pereira Strickland Pereira 311.71 0.00 0.00% 0.5147 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 02 2022 -160.44 1.80 0.00 -158.64 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? Yes No 0.00 6,000.00 0.00% 1.0270 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,000.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -6,162.04 0.00 0.00 -162.04 Trades
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) Presley Reeves 1,477.78 0.00 0.00% 0.1107 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -163.53 0.00 0.00 -163.53 Trades
NBA: Who will win Jazz vs. Mavericks, scheduled for April 28, 10:00 PM ET? Jazz Mavericks 363.08 0.00 0.00% 0.4790 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 -173.92 9.97 0.00 -163.95 Trades
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -165.00 0.00 0.00 -165.00 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 -166.40 0.00 0.00 -166.40 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 5? Yes No 347.73 0.00 0.00% 0.4909 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 05 2022 -170.71 1.65 0.00 -169.06 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -177.78 7.89 0.00 -169.89 Trades
NFL Sunday: Broncos vs. Raiders Broncos Raiders 403.31 0.00 0.02% 0.4359 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 -175.80 5.62 0.00 -170.19 Trades
Pudgy Penguins airdrop before March? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -173.74 0.00 0.00 -173.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? Yes No 0.00 726.77 0.00% 0.3051 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -221.75 47.18 0.00 -174.58 Trades
NBA: Who will win Suns vs. Pelicans, scheduled for April 22, 9:30 PM ET? Suns Pelicans 0.00 417.84 0.00% 0.4451 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 -185.96 10.96 0.00 -175.00 Trades
Border + Ukraine aid deal by Feb 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 -179.35 0.00 0.00 -179.35 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? Yes No 0.00 384.10 0.00% 1.4719 0.00 1.00 0.00 384.10 Wed Jan 31 2024 -565.35 0.00 0.00 -181.25 Trades
Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? Yes No 0.00 4.56 0.00% 44.6740 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 25 2022 -203.49 19.69 0.00 -183.80 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? Yes No 450.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4107 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 -184.80 0.00 0.00 -184.80 Trades
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 31.99 0.00 0.05% 8.5450 1.00 0.00 31.99 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -273.32 55.93 0.00 -185.40 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Switzerland beat Serbia? Yes No 0.00 293.68 0.02% 0.6423 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 -188.64 1.71 0.00 -186.93 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? Yes No 1.68 0.00 0.00% 306.9035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 -516.34 329.19 0.00 -187.16 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? Yes No 630.31 0.00 0.00% 0.2970 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -187.22 0.00 0.00 -187.22 Trades
NHL: Will the Panthers beat the Capitals by more than 1.5 goals in their May 3, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 401.85 0.00 0.01% 0.4695 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 -188.68 1.22 0.00 -187.46 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for April 21, 7:30 PM ET? Grizzlies Timberwolves 0.00 441.64 0.00% 0.4519 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 21 2022 -199.58 12.11 0.00 -187.47 Trades
NFL Sunday: Browns vs. Ravens Browns Ravens 684.73 0.00 0.00% 0.2773 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 23 2022 -189.87 1.95 0.00 -187.92 Trades
Virginia State Legislature: Will Republicans gain full control? Yes No 837.45 0.00 0.00% 0.2260 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -189.24 0.00 0.00 -189.24 Trades
Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' gross more than $40 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 381.41 0.00 0.00% 0.5354 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 -204.21 13.92 0.00 -190.29 Trades
NBA: Who will win Heat vs. Hawks, scheduled for April 22, 7:00 PM ET? Heat Hawks 384.79 0.00 0.00% 0.5246 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 -201.88 10.08 0.00 -191.80 Trades
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January? Yes No 0.00 1,191.86 0.00% 0.1615 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -192.44 0.00 0.00 -192.44 Trades
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31? Yes No 3,443.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0566 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -194.80 0.00 0.00 -194.80 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.7900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -197.50 0.00 0.00 -197.50 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Bucks vs. Warriors, scheduled for March 12 (8.30 PM ET)? Bucks Warriors 361.27 0.00 0.00% 0.5536 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 12 2022 -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Saga airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -205.33 0.00 0.00 -205.33 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Bernardo Arévalo win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 -211.32 0.00 0.00 -211.32 Trades
New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March? Yes No 968.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2222 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -215.07 0.00 0.00 -215.07 Trades
NFL Thursday: Commanders vs. Bears Commanders Bears 0.00 451.04 0.02% 0.4899 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 -220.99 3.09 0.00 -217.89 Trades
NFL Thursday: Steelers vs. Browns Steelers Browns 674.51 0.00 0.02% 0.3376 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 -227.69 9.62 0.00 -218.08 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -218.61 0.00 0.00 -218.61 Trades
UFC Fight Night London: Will 6 or more British fighters win? Yes No 0.00 645.00 0.00% 0.3488 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 23 2022 -225.00 2.91 0.00 -222.09 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Moreno vs Kara-France Moreno Kara-France 0.00 678.04 0.00% 0.3359 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 30 2022 -227.78 5.37 0.00 -222.42 Trades
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 10, 2022? Yes No 48.07 0.00 0.00% 4.7608 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 -228.87 6.29 0.00 -222.58 Trades
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 1,291.15 0.00% 0.2051 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -264.88 42.12 0.00 -222.76 Trades
NFL Saturday: Giants vs. Eagles Giants Eagles 997.70 0.00 0.00% 0.2240 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 21 2023 -223.44 0.00 0.00 -223.44 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 -224.55 0.00 0.00 -224.55 Trades
Will Jesus "Chuy" Garcia win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 -228.15 0.00 0.00 -228.15 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 22 2022 -239.48 9.01 0.00 -230.47 Trades
TikTok/UMG deal before March? Yes No 754.04 0.00 0.00% 0.3144 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -237.05 0.00 0.00 -237.05 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 -247.74 8.65 0.00 -239.10 Trades
Will the Brooklyn Nets make the 2022 NBA playoffs? Yes No 0.00 1,616.09 0.00% 0.1671 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 16 2022 -270.01 29.40 0.00 -240.61 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 1 by Feb 16? Yes No 0.00 350.00 0.00% 0.6900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 -241.50 0.00 0.00 -241.50 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Zelensky in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,278.00 0.00% 0.1921 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -245.50 0.00 0.00 -245.50 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on April 30? Yes No 0.00 1,323.39 0.00% 0.2000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 -264.67 15.37 0.00 -249.31 Trades
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 300.00 0.00% 0.8320 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 -249.60 0.00 0.00 -249.60 Trades
Will $MATIC be above $0.60 on June 4? Yes No 377.16 0.00 0.00% 0.6698 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 04 2022 -252.62 2.30 0.00 -250.32 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? Yes No 0.15 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -251.73 0.00 0.00 -251.73 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on May 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 54.32 0.39% 4.9960 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 -271.39 17.13 0.00 -254.25 Trades
Erdoğan >93¢ on May 26? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 26 2023 -256.25 0.00 0.00 -256.25 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 0.00 886.88 0.00% 0.3003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 -266.33 6.65 0.00 -259.69 Trades
Will France have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 357.10 0.00% 0.7317 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 -261.30 0.00 0.00 -261.30 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 419.70 0.00% 0.6338 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -266.00 0.00 0.00 -266.00 Trades
Ukraine aid package in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -268.32 0.00 0.00 -268.32 Trades
NBA: Who will win Bucks vs. Bulls, scheduled for April 22, 8:30 PM ET? Bucks Bulls 0.00 91,939.55 0.00% 0.0035 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 -322.12 52.32 0.00 -269.81 Trades
NBA: Who will win Suns vs. Pelicans, scheduled for April 28, 7:30 PM ET? Suns Pelicans 0.00 606.03 0.00% 0.4646 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 -281.55 10.03 0.00 -271.52 Trades
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 -934.20 661.97 0.00 -272.23 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? Yes No 0.00 640.00 0.00% 0.4345 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -278.10 0.00 0.00 -278.10 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 593.79 0.00% 0.4685 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -278.20 0.00 0.00 -278.20 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Points scored on first drive? Yes No 605.56 0.00 0.00% 0.4600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 -278.56 0.00 0.00 -278.56 Trades
Will natural gas close above $6 on June 30, 2022? Yes No 4.39 0.00 0.00% 75.6573 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -332.29 50.92 0.00 -281.36 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? Democrat Republican 0.00 863.90 0.00% 0.5282 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -456.34 173.03 0.00 -283.30 Trades
2022 Norway Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any game? Yes No 4.89 0.00 0.00% 78.6672 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 11 2022 -384.82 92.59 0.00 -292.22 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Edmond Mulet win? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7354 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 -294.16 0.00 0.00 -294.16 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -299.32 0.00 0.00 -299.32 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 912.48 0.00% 0.3628 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -331.02 31.47 0.00 -299.55 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still at large through February? Yes No 0.00 2,225.34 0.00% 0.1356 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -301.75 0.00 0.00 -301.75 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 380.08 0.00% 0.7966 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 -302.79 0.00 0.00 -302.79 Trades
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.6100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 -305.00 0.00 0.00 -305.00 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? Celtics Warriors 0.00 525.39 0.38% 0.6101 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 -320.52 12.14 0.00 -308.38 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 1.5507 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -310.15 0.00 0.00 -310.15 Trades
NBA: Will the Grizzlies beat the Timberwolves by more than 6.5 points in their April 26, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 925.33 0.00 0.01% 0.4564 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 26 2022 -422.27 101.60 0.00 -320.67 Trades
$JTO above $2 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 710.00 0.00% 0.4534 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 -321.90 0.00 0.00 -321.90 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 -327.29 0.00 0.00 -327.29 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 505.00 0.00% 0.6603 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -333.45 0.00 0.00 -333.45 Trades
NBA: Who will win Suns vs. Pelicans, scheduled for April 24, 9:30 PM ET? Suns Pelicans 1.24 0.00 0.00% 272.1896 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 -336.72 2.77 0.00 -333.95 Trades
Will ApeCoin (APE) reach $20 by May 4? Yes No 0.00 6.70 0.00% 64.1296 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 -429.55 93.21 0.00 -336.34 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,573.53 0.00% 0.2279 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 -358.57 19.81 0.00 -338.76 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? Yes No 2,908.38 0.00 0.00% 0.1170 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -340.24 0.00 0.00 -340.24 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Nazi in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,200.00 0.00% 0.2850 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -342.00 0.00 0.00 -342.00 Trades
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 698.89 0.00% 0.5015 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 -350.51 0.00 0.00 -350.51 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Mavericks by more than 6.5 points in their May 10, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 693.46 0.00% 0.5158 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 10 2022 -357.65 6.95 0.00 -350.71 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 -406.29 51.23 0.00 -355.06 Trades
Arévalo inaugurated in Guatemala in January? Yes No 0.00 1,710.00 0.00% 0.2083 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -356.20 0.00 0.00 -356.20 Trades
Will J. D. Vance win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 26,637.40 0.00 0.00% 1.0293 1.00 0.00 26,637.40 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 -27,418.94 421.63 0.00 -359.91 Trades
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -362.61 0.00 0.00 -362.61 Trades
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.6100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 -366.00 0.00 0.00 -366.00 Trades
Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election? Yes No 1,929.11 0.00 0.00% 0.1931 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 -372.57 0.00 0.00 -372.57 Trades
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? Yes No 1,299.27 0.00 0.00% 0.2887 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 -375.07 0.00 0.00 -375.07 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? Democrat Republican 3,903.84 0.00 0.00% 0.1138 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -444.12 62.74 0.00 -381.39 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 466.87 0.00% 0.8300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -387.50 0.00 0.00 -387.50 Trades
World Cup: Thursday - Will Morocco beat Canada? Yes No 0.00 774.56 0.02% 0.5152 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 -399.05 11.51 0.00 -387.53 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? Yes No 1,150.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 -391.00 0.00 0.00 -391.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Warriors vs. Grizzlies, scheduled for May 3, 9:30 PM ET? Warriors Grizzlies 735.24 0.00 0.00% 0.5409 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 -397.72 3.79 0.00 -393.93 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.00 7,963.38 0.00% 0.0719 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -572.55 162.67 0.00 -409.89 Trades
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? Google NVIDIA 983.30 0.00 0.00% 0.4190 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -412.04 0.00 0.00 -412.04 Trades
Ukraine aid package by March 31? Yes No 586.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7038 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -412.44 0.00 0.00 -412.44 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? Democrat Republican 0.00 1,124.17 0.00% 0.4260 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -478.87 63.30 0.00 -415.57 Trades
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? Yes No 6,159.54 0.00 0.00% 0.0686 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -422.65 0.00 0.00 -422.65 Trades
Will Atiku Abubakar be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 433.48 0.00% 0.9841 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 25 2023 -426.58 0.00 0.00 -426.58 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 900.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4756 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 -428.00 0.00 0.00 -428.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 27.13 0.00% 16.1179 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -437.35 0.00 0.00 -437.35 Trades
Bills vs. Steelers Bills Steelers 0.00 2,321.95 0.00% 0.1886 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 -437.95 0.00 0.00 -437.95 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 1,004.79 0.00% 0.4479 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 -450.00 0.00 0.00 -450.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 -450.07 0.00 0.00 -450.07 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? Yes No 810.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5578 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -451.85 0.00 0.00 -451.85 Trades
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -453.73 0.00 0.00 -453.73 Trades
$WIF listed on Coinbase in March? Yes No 2,050.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2229 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -457.00 0.00 0.00 -457.00 Trades
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,604.21 0.01% 0.3069 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 -492.38 32.24 0.00 -460.14 Trades
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 -589.69 125.99 0.00 -463.69 Trades
Will South Korea qualify from Group H? Yes No 0.00 708.18 0.02% 0.6630 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 -469.50 4.31 0.00 -465.19 Trades
World Cup: Thursday - Will Spain beat Japan? Yes No 703.50 0.00 0.02% 0.6765 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 -475.91 8.01 0.00 -467.90 Trades
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.5875 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 -470.00 0.00 0.00 -470.00 Trades
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 464.06 0.00% 1.0188 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 -472.77 0.00 0.00 -472.77 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 16.17 0.00 0.00% 30.7661 1.00 0.00 16.17 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 -497.38 7.66 0.00 -473.55 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 343.77 0.00% 1.3828 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -475.35 0.00 0.00 -475.35 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 599.99 0.00 0.00% 0.7983 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -478.99 0.00 0.00 -478.99 Trades
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? Yes No 0.00 1,387.00 0.00% 0.3485 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -483.34 0.00 0.00 -483.34 Trades
NBA: Who will win Lakers vs. Warriors, scheduled for October 18 (10:00 PM ET)? Lakers Warriors 1,729.73 0.00 0.00% 0.2817 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 18 2022 -487.33 3.34 0.00 -483.99 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? Yes No 0.00 4,693.65 0.00% 0.1086 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -509.75 20.60 0.00 -489.16 Trades
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? Jake Paul Anderson Silva 0.00 1,596.53 0.00% 0.3321 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 29 2022 -530.27 37.49 0.00 -492.77 Trades
Will David Hoffman say the word “fundamentals” in the first 5 minutes of the debate? Yes No 0.00 1,562.00 0.00% 0.8159 0.50 0.50 0.00 781.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -1,274.41 0.00 0.00 -493.41 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 1,601.74 0.00 0.00% 0.4032 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 -645.85 150.95 0.00 -494.90 Trades
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? Haley DeSantis 1,391.14 0.00 0.00% 0.3570 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -496.62 0.00 0.00 -496.62 Trades
UFC 297: Who will win - Strickland or Du Plessis? Strickland Du Plessis 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 18 2024 -510.00 0.00 0.00 -510.00 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.00 4.60 0.00% 115.8770 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 -532.74 11.78 0.00 -520.96 Trades
Hyperliquid airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 2,300.43 0.00% 0.2291 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 -527.05 0.00 0.00 -527.05 Trades
Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? Dems Reps 0.07 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 -529.43 0.00 0.00 -529.43 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.5300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -530.00 0.00 0.00 -530.00 Trades
World Cup: Monday - Will Serbia beat Cameroon? Yes No 1,047.71 0.00 0.02% 0.5319 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 28 2022 -557.32 23.79 0.00 -533.52 Trades
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Yes No 12,000.00 0.00 0.00% 1.0453 1.00 0.00 12,000.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -12,543.56 0.00 0.00 -543.56 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,243.62 0.00% 0.4503 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 -560.02 11.32 0.00 -548.69 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -566.11 0.00 0.00 -566.11 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Portugal beat South Korea? Yes No 1,097.21 0.00 0.02% 0.5417 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 -594.41 22.30 0.00 -572.11 Trades
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 -588.78 14.18 0.00 -574.59 Trades
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? Yes No 0.00 1,648.98 0.00% 0.3532 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 -582.40 0.00 0.00 -582.40 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 1,015.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5824 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 -591.10 0.00 0.00 -591.10 Trades
Which cryptocurrency will have a higher market cap on March 15: Terra ($LUNA) or Solana ($SOL)? Terra Solana 0.00 780,272.43 171.19% 0.0008 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 -607.96 1.42 0.00 -606.54 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? Yes No 0.00 877.61 0.00% 0.6954 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -610.29 0.00 0.00 -610.29 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 13,500.51 0.00% 1.0519 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,500.51 Sun Mar 27 2022 -14,200.54 88.25 0.00 -611.77 Trades
Will Pudgy Penguins flip BAYC by February 15? Yes No 1,992.50 0.00 0.00% 0.3117 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 -621.02 0.00 0.00 -621.02 Trades
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? Yes No 0.00 0.42 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -633.86 0.00 0.00 -633.86 Trades
Will Katie Porter advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 1,983.08 0.00 0.00% 0.3224 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -639.34 0.00 0.00 -639.34 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross between $180 million and $200 million on its opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 447.05 0.00% 1.4792 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 -661.29 13.19 0.00 -648.10 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 0.00 82.89 0.00% 8.5384 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 -707.75 57.81 0.00 -649.94 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 717.91 0.00% 0.9404 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 -675.12 23.31 0.00 -651.80 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 -1,042.44 382.77 0.00 -659.67 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 -802.45 120.26 0.00 -682.19 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -694.91 0.00 0.00 -694.91 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 1,574.27 0.00 0.00% 0.4568 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 -719.12 16.26 0.00 -702.86 Trades
NFL: Who will win Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings, scheduled for September 11, 4:25 PM ET? Packers Vikings 1,560.29 0.00 0.02% 0.5108 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 -797.01 90.79 0.00 -706.22 Trades
NBA: Who will win Mavericks vs. Suns, scheduled for May 6, 9:30 PM ET? Mavericks Suns 0.00 1,444.84 0.00% 0.5042 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 06 2022 -728.50 21.18 0.00 -707.32 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -709.11 0.00 0.00 -709.11 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 6.06 0.00 0.00% 140.1070 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -849.41 139.63 0.00 -709.78 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13? Yes No 1,340.58 0.00 0.00% 0.5497 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 18 2022 -736.89 8.10 0.00 -728.79 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? Yes No 1,062.30 0.00 0.00% 1.7005 1.00 0.00 1,062.30 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 -1,806.43 15.20 0.00 -728.93 Trades
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.04 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.04 Thu Apr 01 2021 -743.55 0.00 0.00 -743.51 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $92.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (OCT 2022 future) Yes No 1,664.23 0.00 0.00% 0.4504 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 22 2022 -749.50 5.75 0.00 -743.75 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 1,205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6234 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -751.20 0.00 0.00 -751.20 Trades
Do Kwon extradited before March? Yes No 1,936.10 0.00 0.00% 0.3908 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -756.64 0.00 0.00 -756.64 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 877.08 0.00% 0.8746 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -767.10 0.00 0.00 -767.10 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 -780.00 0.00 0.00 -780.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 2,816.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2965 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -835.04 46.03 0.00 -789.00 Trades
“All I want for Christmas is You” #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 06 2024 -794.57 0.00 0.00 -794.57 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17? Yes No 0.00 2,006.68 0.00% 0.4172 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 -837.17 42.16 0.00 -795.01 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $160 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.01 0.00 2.22% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 -831.89 36.27 0.00 -795.62 Trades
Will Ronna Mcdaniel step down as RNC Chair before Super Tuesday? Yes No 8,578.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0930 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -798.11 0.00 0.00 -798.11 Trades
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? Yes No 0.00 5.50 0.12% 149.0559 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 -819.46 19.82 0.00 -799.64 Trades
Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 26 2020 -800.27 0.00 0.00 -800.27 Trades
Will Helen Gym win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? Yes No 2,551.48 0.00 0.00% 0.3152 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 -804.19 0.00 0.00 -804.19 Trades
Will Mike Gibbons win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 1,994.63 0.00% 1.4713 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,994.63 Tue May 03 2022 -2,934.72 130.87 0.00 -809.23 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Brazil beat Cameroon? Yes No 1,155.26 0.00 0.02% 0.7407 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 -855.70 19.99 0.00 -835.71 Trades
Will natural gas close above $9 on June 17, 2022? Yes No 4.59 0.00 0.00% 190.6747 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 17 2022 -874.84 23.88 0.00 -850.96 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 15, 2022? Yes No 2,004.56 0.00 0.00% 0.4320 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 -865.98 12.23 0.00 -853.74 Trades
Will Peter Obi be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? Yes No 1,829.45 0.00 0.00% 0.4674 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 25 2023 -855.01 0.00 0.00 -855.01 Trades
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 999.99 0.00% 1.9332 0.00 1.00 0.00 999.99 Mon Apr 25 2022 -1,933.18 33.57 0.00 -899.62 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say nuclear in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,745.17 0.00% 0.3283 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -901.36 0.00 0.00 -901.36 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Overtime? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 10 2024 -920.00 0.00 0.00 -920.00 Trades
Tensor airdrop by March 1? Yes No 0.00 986.62 0.00% 0.9436 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -931.00 0.00 0.00 -931.00 Trades
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? Cisneros Cuellar 3.30 0.00 7.14% 303.1055 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 -1,001.54 28.35 0.00 -973.19 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 -1,002.43 11.05 0.00 -991.39 Trades
49ers vs. Lions 49ers Lions 0.00 4,000.00 0.00% 0.2500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 28 2024 -1,000.00 0.00 0.00 -1,000.00 Trades
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 1,369.00 0.00% 0.7647 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -1,046.92 44.39 0.00 -1,002.53 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will England beat USA? Yes No 1,689.72 0.00 0.02% 0.6159 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 25 2022 -1,040.65 11.43 0.00 -1,029.22 Trades
Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? Yes No 2,963.39 0.00 0.00% 0.4001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -1,185.57 140.08 0.00 -1,045.48 Trades
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 -1,119.72 0.00 0.00 -1,119.72 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 31 2021 -1,407.48 287.66 0.00 -1,119.82 Trades
Will 'Bullet Train' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 625.32 0.00 0.00% 1.8349 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 -1,147.42 22.45 0.00 -1,124.97 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 -1,273.58 141.35 0.00 -1,132.23 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,270.54 0.00% 0.3577 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 -1,169.99 20.23 0.00 -1,149.76 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Grizzlies by more than 10.5 points in their May 9, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 2,522.95 0.00 0.00% 0.4933 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 -1,244.57 17.67 0.00 -1,226.90 Trades
Buccaneers vs. Eagles Buccaneers Eagles 0.00 1,233.58 0.00% 1.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 -1,233.68 0.00 0.00 -1,233.68 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by April 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 -1,286.25 27.69 0.00 -1,258.56 Trades
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? Yes No 8,974.39 0.00 0.00% 1.1548 1.00 0.00 8,974.39 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 -10,364.01 69.36 0.00 -1,320.26 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Biden 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 3,124.39 0.00 0.00% 0.4330 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 -1,352.73 0.00 0.00 -1,352.73 Trades
Will Rebecca Rhynhart win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 -1,366.45 0.00 0.00 -1,366.45 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,371.67 0.00 0.00 -1,371.67 Trades
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? Yes No 5,994.16 0.00 0.00% 1.2429 1.00 0.00 5,994.16 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 -7,449.88 37.42 0.00 -1,418.30 Trades
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,183.64 0.00% 0.3460 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 -1,447.33 19.88 0.00 -1,427.45 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,345.95 0.00% 0.6610 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 -1,550.64 43.14 0.00 -1,507.50 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? Yes No 2,424.66 0.00 0.00% 0.6230 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -1,510.63 0.00 0.00 -1,510.63 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022? Yes No 174.97 0.00 0.00% 9.7343 1.00 0.00 174.97 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 -1,703.20 14.46 0.00 -1,513.77 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 2,954.53 0.00% 0.6635 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 -1,960.38 426.61 0.01 -1,533.76 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? Yes No 3,327.37 0.00 0.00% 0.4664 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 -1,551.95 12.94 0.00 -1,539.01 Trades
Will Steve Garvey advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 7,916.66 0.00% 0.1982 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -1,568.83 0.00 0.00 -1,568.83 Trades
$WIF all time high before February? Yes No 0.00 2,297.53 0.00% 0.7062 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -1,622.57 0.00 0.00 -1,622.57 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 650.52 0.00% 3.2225 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 -2,096.31 463.01 0.00 -1,633.30 Trades
NFL Sunday: 49ers vs. Eagles 49ers Eagles 4,341.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 29 2023 -1,736.40 0.00 0.00 -1,736.40 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 4,001.23 0.00 0.00% 0.4598 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 -1,839.61 84.33 0.00 -1,755.28 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $200 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 7.83 0.00 0.00% 231.4268 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 -1,812.25 23.46 0.00 -1,788.79 Trades
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 4,842.57 0.00 0.00% 0.3821 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 -1,850.33 48.09 0.00 -1,802.24 Trades
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? Yes No 4,720.79 0.00 0.00% 0.3888 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -1,835.50 0.00 0.00 -1,835.50 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 -1,902.90 0.00 0.00 -1,902.90 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 3,313.03 0.00 0.00% 0.6075 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 -2,012.82 0.00 0.00 -2,012.82 Trades
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.00 46,385.74 0.00% 0.0450 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -2,088.74 0.00 0.00 -2,088.74 Trades
2023 Australian Open Final: Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas Djokovic Tsitsipas 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.2200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 29 2023 -2,200.00 0.00 0.00 -2,200.00 Trades
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes No 0.00 5,770.17 0.00% 0.3870 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -2,233.21 33.20 0.00 -2,200.01 Trades
Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 -2,232.80 0.00 0.00 -2,232.80 Trades
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 -2,342.18 0.00 0.00 -2,342.18 Trades
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay Yes No 9,479.15 0.00 0.00% 0.2478 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 -2,349.37 0.00 0.00 -2,349.37 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Chiefs Bengals Chiefs 4,583.33 0.00 0.00% 0.5200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 29 2023 -2,383.33 0.00 0.00 -2,383.33 Trades
Will 'Morbius' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 -2,486.28 71.36 0.00 -2,414.92 Trades
Will Nikola Jokić win NBA ’21-’22 MVP? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 -2,746.52 257.34 0.00 -2,489.18 Trades
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? Yes No 30,091.71 0.00 0.00% 1.0877 1.00 0.00 30,091.71 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 -32,729.97 135.62 0.00 -2,502.64 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 1.0% from February to March 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,841.66 0.00% 0.3776 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 12 2022 -2,583.73 66.83 0.00 -2,516.90 Trades
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 3,000.00 0.00% 0.8674 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 -2,602.30 0.00 0.00 -2,602.30 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 1,776.51 0.00% 1.5308 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 -2,719.45 0.00 0.00 -2,719.45 Trades
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? Yes No 221,331.93 0.00 0.00% 0.0133 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 -2,936.58 202.98 0.00 -2,733.60 Trades
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? Yes No 0.00 4,213.91 0.00% 0.6992 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 -2,946.44 116.26 0.00 -2,830.17 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? Yes No 5,917.73 0.00 0.00% 0.5297 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -3,134.44 0.00 0.00 -3,134.44 Trades
Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -3,155.34 0.00 0.00 -3,155.34 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.0% or higher on May 18? Yes No 4,733.90 0.00 0.01% 0.6870 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 19 2022 -3,252.33 30.63 0.00 -3,221.70 Trades
(To be Emergency Resolved) Will Amber Heard be found guilty of defaming Johnny Depp? Yes No 13,866.68 0.00 0.01% 0.4379 0.20 0.80 2,773.34 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -6,072.67 42.81 0.00 -3,256.52 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 -3,732.66 232.11 0.00 -3,500.56 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? Yes No 13.18 0.00 0.02% 277.9296 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 -3,662.82 29.27 0.00 -3,633.54 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? Yes No 0.00 755.41 0.00% 5.2761 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 08 2022 -3,985.63 220.65 0.00 -3,764.99 Trades
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? Yes No 3,400.00 0.00 0.00% 1.1971 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 -4,070.00 0.00 0.00 -4,070.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from March to April 2022? Yes No 10,311.29 0.00 0.06% 0.4380 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 -4,516.83 93.61 0.00 -4,423.21 Trades
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? Yes No 6,000.00 0.00 0.00% 1.7469 1.00 0.00 6,000.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 -10,481.48 52.41 0.00 -4,429.08 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,462.22 0.02% 2.8194 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,462.22 Fri Jul 01 2022 -6,942.06 33.74 0.00 -4,446.09 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 8,095.21 0.00 0.00% 0.5591 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 -4,526.22 0.00 0.00 -4,526.22 Trades
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 20,907.92 0.00 0.00% 0.2252 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 -4,707.44 0.00 0.00 -4,707.44 Trades
Will Cherelle Parker win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? Yes No 0.00 13,394.59 0.00% 0.6003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 -8,041.06 0.00 0.00 -8,041.06 Trades
Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs Eagles Chiefs 15,939.78 0.00 0.00% 0.5203 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 -8,293.46 0.00 0.00 -8,293.46 Trades
Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? Yes No 0.00 7.77 0.00% 1411.5787 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 22 2022 -10,973.32 670.80 0.00 -10,302.52 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 48,058.81 0.00% 0.2248 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 -10,805.81 0.00 0.00 -10,805.81 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 17,084.66 0.00 0.00% 0.8579 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 -14,657.47 0.00 0.00 -14,657.47 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 28,453.82 0.00 0.00% 0.5551 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 -15,794.23 0.00 0.00 -15,794.23 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 -27,136.13 0.00 0.00 -27,136.13 Trades
Resolved 781,237.26 13,715,992.38 -14,301,050.31 53,290.87 0.30 249,470.50
Unresolved 16,916.10 0.09 -90,162.31 2,880.89 0.00 -70,365.21
Total 798,153.36 13,715,992.47 -14,391,212.62 56,171.77 0.30 179,105.28