Polymarket Whales

🌙 ☀

Account

Trades

Etherscan
PolygonScan

Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 2.65 0.00 0.00% -125.4836 0.45 0.55 1.19 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 332.89 142.80 0.00 476.88 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 1,045.73 0.00 0.00% -0.1412 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 147.61 0.00 0.00 147.61 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 38.90 0.00 0.00 38.90 Trades
Is John McAfee alive? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 27.00 0.00 0.00 27.00 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -97.56 0.00 0.00 -97.56 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? Yes No 4.75 0.00 0.00% 22.3113 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -105.98 0.00 0.00 -105.98 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 323.26 0.00 0.00% 0.3533 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -114.21 0.00 0.00 -114.21 Trades
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -223.08 0.00 0.00 -223.08 Trades
Doge ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 10,270.78 0.00 0.00% 0.0380 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -390.65 0.00 0.00 -390.65 Trades
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? Yes No 3,900.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1323 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -516.00 0.00 0.00 -516.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 115.84 0.00 0.00 115.84 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 30.33 0.00 0.00 30.33 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -55.02 0.00 0.00 -55.02 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -57.00 0.00 0.00 -57.00 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 0.00 61.45 0.00% 1.7791 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -109.32 0.00 0.00 -109.32 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 1,100.01 0.00 0.00% 0.1078 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -118.56 0.00 0.00 -118.56 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 2,095.95 0.00 0.00% 0.0652 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -136.55 0.00 0.00 -136.55 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -150.67 0.00 0.00 -150.67 Trades
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -181.34 0.00 0.00 -181.34 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 1.25 0.00 0.00% 157.9144 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -197.60 0.00 0.00 -197.60 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 2,999.97 0.00 0.00% 0.0781 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -234.18 0.00 0.00 -234.18 Trades
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Netanyahu Sinwar 0.00 231.85 0.00% 1.1410 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 -264.54 0.00 0.00 -264.54 Trades
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 471.00 0.00% 0.5957 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -280.56 0.00 0.00 -280.56 Trades
Canada federal election in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -297.19 0.00 0.00 -297.19 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -303.36 0.00 0.00 -303.36 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 0.00 505.88 0.00% 0.7433 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -376.03 0.00 0.00 -376.03 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? Yes No 0.03 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -378.74 0.00 0.00 -378.74 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 341.74 0.00 0.00% 1.2134 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -414.66 0.00 0.00 -414.66 Trades
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? Yes No 1,400.50 0.00 0.00% 0.3256 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -455.95 0.00 0.00 -455.95 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -516.19 0.00 0.00 -516.19 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 3,298.85 0.00 0.00% 0.1567 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -516.87 0.00 0.00 -516.87 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 2,582.03 0.00 0.00% 0.2003 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -517.28 0.00 0.00 -517.28 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 0.46 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -540.24 0.00 0.00 -540.24 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 9,070.40 0.00 0.00% 0.0718 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -650.87 0.00 0.00 -650.87 Trades
Will 2024 be better than 2023? Yes No 1,800.01 0.00 0.00% 0.4659 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -838.58 0.00 0.00 -838.58 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -960.04 0.00 0.00 -960.04 Trades
Solana ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 1,000.51 0.00 0.00% 1.5640 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,564.83 0.00 0.00 -1,564.83 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 40,649.61 0.00 0.00 40,649.61 Trades
Taiko airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 24,212.18 0.00 0.00 24,212.18 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 ✅ 17,881.77 840.41 0.00 18,722.18 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 18,494.22 0.00 0.00 18,494.22 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 17,953.34 0.00 0.00 17,953.34 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 ✅ 17,356.50 0.00 0.00 17,356.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 16,518.70 0.00 0.00 16,518.70 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ 14,629.87 0.00 0.00 14,629.87 Trades
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 14,408.86 1.25 0.00 14,410.10 Trades
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 ✅ 12,525.70 0.00 0.00 12,525.70 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 265.70 0.01% -8.3359 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 ✅ 2,214.81 9,715.62 0.00 11,930.43 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ 11,528.29 0.00 0.00 11,528.29 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 10,785.31 0.00 0.00 10,785.31 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 25,928.99 0.00% 0.5910 0.00 1.00 0.00 25,928.99 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -15,324.09 0.00 0.00 10,604.91 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 ✅ 9,376.99 903.04 0.00 10,280.03 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 9,200.10 0.00 0.00 9,200.10 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.45 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.45 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 ✅ 7,735.53 1,248.70 0.00 8,984.68 Trades
Sierra Leone Presidential Election: Will Julius Maada Bio win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 24 2023 ✅ 8,465.85 0.00 0.00 8,465.85 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 2.84 0.00% -2266.4338 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ 6,425.54 674.88 0.00 7,100.42 Trades
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 6,400.82 2.93 0.00 6,403.75 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 ✅ 6,280.66 0.00 0.00 6,280.66 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 6,230.97 0.00 0.00 6,230.97 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 80,820.29 0.00 0.00% 0.9345 1.00 0.00 80,820.29 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -75,524.79 218.39 0.00 5,513.89 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 5,322.59 0.00 0.00 5,322.59 Trades
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.17% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 17 2021 ✅ 5,188.15 79.00 0.00 5,267.15 Trades
Will TD get over 11% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 5,205.40 0.00 0.00 5,205.40 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? Yes No 6,605.21 0.00 0.00% 0.2252 1.00 0.00 6,605.21 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -1,487.37 0.00 0.00 5,117.84 Trades
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 14 2024 ✅ 5,076.11 0.00 0.00 5,076.11 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? Yes No 0.00 2,216.71 0.00% -2.0261 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 4,491.38 0.00 0.00 4,491.38 Trades
Sui Airdrop by May 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 ✅ 4,371.51 0.00 0.00 4,371.51 Trades
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 ✅ 4,199.24 0.00 0.00 4,199.24 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 0.00 13,417.36 0.00% 0.7926 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,417.36 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -10,634.77 1,340.37 0.00 4,122.96 Trades
Will Syriza win >31% of votes in the Greek election? (first round) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 20 2023 ✅ 4,102.00 0.00 0.00 4,102.00 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 4,089.00 0.00 0.00 4,089.00 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 12,937,618.12 -2071.57% 0.9997 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,937,618.12 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -12,933,597.63 30.55 0.00 4,051.04 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 ✅ 3,936.35 0.00 0.00 3,936.35 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? Yes No 11,840.61 0.00 0.00% 0.6752 1.00 0.00 11,840.61 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -7,994.21 6.14 0.00 3,852.54 Trades
Will N.D. win >35% of votes the Greek election? (first round) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 20 2023 ✅ 3,838.00 0.00 0.00 3,838.00 Trades
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 15,379.16 0.00% 0.7602 0.00 1.00 0.00 15,379.16 Sun Feb 12 2023 ✅ -11,691.97 0.00 0.00 3,687.19 Trades
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 ✅ 3,647.45 0.00 0.00 3,647.45 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 129.70 0.00 0.00% -23.6880 1.00 0.00 129.70 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 3,072.28 416.68 0.00 3,618.66 Trades
Will Rodolfo Hernández win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 8,312.57 0.00% 0.5937 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,312.57 Sun May 29 2022 ✅ -4,935.55 160.28 0.00 3,537.30 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 ✅ 3,480.72 0.00 0.00 3,480.72 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.16 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 ✅ 3,086.43 311.83 0.00 3,398.26 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3,306.65 0.00 0.00 3,306.65 Trades
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 3,160.31 0.00 0.00 3,160.31 Trades
Will N.D. win a plurality in the Greek election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 ✅ 3,105.14 0.00 0.00 3,105.14 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 ✅ 2,512.72 589.50 0.00 3,102.22 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ 3,073.22 0.00 0.00 3,073.22 Trades
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 3,035.22 0.00 0.00 3,035.22 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 6.55 0.00 0.00% -211.2850 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ 1,383.13 1,491.21 0.00 2,874.35 Trades
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 3,817.07 0.00% 0.2830 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,817.07 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -1,080.39 82.90 0.00 2,819.58 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 30? Yes No 5,878.85 0.00 0.00% 0.5229 1.00 0.00 5,878.85 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ -3,073.76 0.00 0.00 2,805.09 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 0.00 22,517.58 0.00% 0.9266 0.00 1.00 0.00 22,517.58 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -20,863.74 1,091.00 0.00 2,744.84 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 531.93 0.00% -1.2090 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 643.13 2,081.44 0.00 2,724.57 Trades
Confederate Memorial at Arlington Cemetery removed by Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ 2,691.16 0.00 0.00 2,691.16 Trades
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 5,744.21 0.00 0.00% 0.5486 1.00 0.00 5,744.21 0.00 Sat Nov 18 2023 ✅ -3,151.02 0.00 0.00 2,593.19 Trades
What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? Long Short 0.33 0.00 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.26 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 ✅ 2,516.59 0.00 0.00 2,516.85 Trades
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ 2,457.61 0.00 0.00 2,457.61 Trades
Will Gustavo Petro win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 6,675.49 0.00 0.00% 0.6345 1.00 0.00 6,675.49 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 ✅ -4,235.65 1.39 0.00 2,441.23 Trades
Texans vs. Browns Texans Browns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 2,316.80 0.00 0.00 2,316.80 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 2,421.68 0.00 0.00% 0.0635 1.00 0.00 2,421.68 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -153.78 0.00 0.00 2,267.89 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 5,139.26 0.00% 0.5592 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,139.26 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ -2,874.06 0.00 0.00 2,265.19 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,099.44 0.00% 0.8149 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,099.44 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ -3,340.47 1,324.80 0.00 2,083.78 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,946.95 0.00% -0.4145 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 2,050.68 14.81 0.00 2,065.50 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,913.49 0.00% 0.7120 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,913.49 Wed Jun 15 2022 ✅ -4,922.33 30.22 0.00 2,021.38 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 610.65 0.00 1.44% -1.0613 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 ✅ 648.09 1,360.34 0.00 2,008.43 Trades
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 ✅ 1,963.46 0.00 0.00 1,963.46 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ 1,961.62 0.00 0.00 1,961.62 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 ✅ 561.21 1,377.71 0.00 1,938.92 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 221.77 0.00 0.00% -2.5763 1.00 0.00 221.77 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 571.35 1,109.91 0.00 1,903.03 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 ✅ 104.10 1,742.77 0.00 1,846.87 Trades
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1,780.40 0.00 0.00 1,780.40 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 82,016.68 0.00% 0.9784 0.00 1.00 0.00 82,016.68 Tue Mar 08 2022 ✅ -80,244.62 0.24 0.00 1,772.31 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 ✅ 1,101.78 575.78 0.00 1,677.56 Trades
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1,669.77 0.00 0.00 1,669.77 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,663.30 0.00 0.00 1,663.30 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 ✅ -26.01 1,657.48 0.00 1,631.47 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 1,596.92 0.00 0.00 1,596.92 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.32 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.32 Tue Nov 30 2021 ✅ 1,228.05 329.62 0.00 1,557.99 Trades
Cowboys vs. Packers Cowboys Packers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ 1,500.00 0.00 0.00 1,500.00 Trades
How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 ✅ 1,467.46 0.00 0.00 1,467.46 Trades
Bangladesh Election: Sheikh Hasina reelected as Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 07 2024 ✅ 1,450.75 0.00 0.00 1,450.75 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ 1,394.85 0.00 0.00 1,394.85 Trades
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 ✅ 1,384.26 0.00 0.00 1,384.26 Trades
NFL: Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Dallas Cowboys, scheduled for September 11, 8:20 PM ET? Buccaneers Cowboys 2,711.00 0.00 0.02% 0.5376 1.00 0.00 2,711.00 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 ✅ -1,457.35 126.69 0.00 1,380.34 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 2,002.51 0.00 0.00% 0.4261 1.00 0.00 2,002.51 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -853.17 187.16 0.00 1,336.49 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? Yes No 2,164.94 0.00 0.00% 0.4052 1.00 0.00 2,164.94 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -877.20 45.12 0.00 1,332.86 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 6.69 0.00 0.00% -186.7855 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 1,250.39 42.52 0.00 1,292.92 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 55,849.78 0.00 0.00% 0.9770 1.00 0.00 55,849.78 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -54,562.53 0.07 0.00 1,287.31 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 1,833.68 0.00% 0.3138 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,833.68 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ -575.39 0.00 0.00 1,258.29 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,725.98 0.00% 0.3034 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,725.98 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -523.73 35.60 0.00 1,237.85 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 1,232.32 0.00 0.00 1,232.32 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? Yes No 1,535.98 0.00 0.00% 0.1983 1.00 0.00 1,535.98 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -304.66 0.00 0.00 1,231.32 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? Yes No 6,733.54 0.00 0.00% 0.8307 1.00 0.00 6,733.54 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ -5,593.79 75.20 0.00 1,214.96 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 225,329.54 0.92% 0.0008 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -182.10 1,389.26 0.00 1,207.16 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 5,896.89 0.00 0.00% 0.8061 1.00 0.00 5,896.89 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -4,753.76 19.31 0.00 1,162.44 Trades
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ 1,152.95 0.00 0.00 1,152.95 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,900.00 0.00% 0.6055 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,900.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -1,756.00 0.00 0.00 1,144.00 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 ✅ 1,050.70 57.31 0.00 1,108.02 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,359.12 0.01% 0.7046 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,359.12 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -2,366.91 102.92 0.00 1,095.13 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 9.10 0.00 0.80% 16.2084 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -147.43 1,232.63 0.00 1,085.19 Trades
Will Labor win more seats than the Liberal-Nationals in the 2022 Australian Federal Election? Yes No 7,662.17 0.00 0.00% 0.8959 1.00 0.00 7,662.17 0.00 Sat May 21 2022 ✅ -6,864.52 277.98 0.00 1,075.63 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 778.99 0.00 0.00% 0.6551 1.00 0.00 778.99 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -510.34 799.12 0.00 1,067.77 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 3,810.04 0.00 0.00% 0.7625 1.00 0.00 3,810.04 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -2,905.34 138.28 0.00 1,042.98 Trades
US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ 1,038.87 0.00 0.00 1,038.87 Trades
Will Chile vote to change its constitution? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 ✅ 1,002.00 0.00 0.00 1,002.00 Trades
Starknet airdrop in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 984.75 0.00 0.00 984.75 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,467.75 0.02% 0.3803 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,467.75 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ -558.18 75.08 0.00 984.66 Trades
NFL Thursday: Colts vs. Broncos Colts Broncos 1,393.05 0.00 0.02% 0.3656 1.00 0.00 1,393.05 0.00 Thu Oct 06 2022 ✅ -509.23 14.28 0.00 898.10 Trades
Lions vs. Buccaneers Lions Buccaneers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 21 2024 ✅ 870.00 0.00 0.00 870.00 Trades
[From kain.eth] Will Synthetix capture more single day fees than Bitcoin by September 8? Yes No 0.00 7.72 0.00% -111.7433 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 ✅ 862.38 4.95 0.00 867.33 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 3,150.00 0.00% 0.7256 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,150.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -2,285.50 0.00 0.00 864.50 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,500.10 0.00% 0.4416 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,500.10 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -662.44 11.11 0.00 848.77 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.09 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.09 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 836.40 0.00 0.00 836.49 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 14,500.00 0.00% 0.9423 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,500.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 ✅ -13,664.03 0.00 0.00 835.97 Trades
Ravens vs. Chiefs Ravens Chiefs 0.00 1,224.84 0.00% 0.3237 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,224.84 Sun Jan 28 2024 ✅ -396.45 0.00 0.00 828.39 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? Yes No 9.06 0.00 0.00% -89.1100 1.00 0.00 9.06 0.00 Tue Aug 01 2023 ✅ 807.23 0.00 0.00 816.29 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10? Yes No 0.00 1,564.08 0.00% 0.4921 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,564.08 Thu Sep 15 2022 ✅ -769.64 16.80 0.00 811.24 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from March to April 2022? Yes No 2,441.80 0.00 0.01% 0.6785 1.00 0.00 2,441.80 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ -1,656.84 23.91 0.00 808.87 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 12,684.60 0.00 0.00% 0.9385 1.00 0.00 12,684.60 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 ✅ -11,904.62 28.85 0.00 808.83 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.00 2,400.00 0.00% 0.6644 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,400.00 Fri Apr 19 2024 ✅ -1,594.46 0.00 0.00 805.54 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1,765.45 0.00% 0.5470 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,765.45 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ -965.63 0.00 0.00 799.81 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) Dems/Warnock Reps/Loeffler 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 799.74 0.00 0.00 799.74 Trades
UK election called by end of year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 795.00 0.00 0.00 795.00 Trades
Will Man City win the Premier League? Yes No 1,550.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4900 1.00 0.00 1,550.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 ✅ -759.50 0.00 0.00 790.50 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Uruguay beat Ghana? Yes No 1,623.56 0.00 0.02% 0.5384 1.00 0.00 1,623.56 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 ✅ -874.14 21.95 0.00 771.38 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - Will France beat Tunisia? Yes No 0.00 1,040.06 0.02% 0.3026 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,040.06 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ -314.73 43.37 0.00 768.70 Trades
Ethena airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 763.79 0.00 0.00 763.80 Trades
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 1,046.40 0.00 0.00% 0.2735 1.00 0.00 1,046.40 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -286.15 0.00 0.00 760.25 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ 746.42 0.00 0.00 746.42 Trades
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ 743.63 0.00 0.00 743.63 Trades
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? Yes No 868.81 0.00 0.00% 0.1460 1.00 0.00 868.81 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ -126.89 0.00 0.00 741.92 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 735.67 0.00 0.00 735.67 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 244.73 0.00 0.00% -2.9521 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 ✅ 722.47 0.00 0.00 722.47 Trades
Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election? Yes No 0.00 705.98 0.26% 0.1487 0.00 1.00 0.00 705.98 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ -104.96 120.62 0.00 721.64 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Keiko Fujimori Pedro Castillo 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 ✅ 314.71 403.72 0.00 718.43 Trades
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 712.00 0.00 0.00 712.00 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 705.62 0.00 0.00 705.62 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? Yes No 0.00 1,303.27 0.03% 0.5093 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,303.27 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ -663.74 54.54 0.00 694.07 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 890.00 0.00% 0.2219 0.00 1.00 0.00 890.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -197.45 0.00 0.00 692.55 Trades
Will Walmart buy Vizio in February? Yes No 1,700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5959 1.00 0.00 1,700.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1,013.00 0.00 0.00 687.00 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 871.35 0.00% 0.2152 0.00 1.00 0.00 871.35 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -187.51 0.00 0.00 683.84 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 ✅ 642.71 34.52 0.00 677.23 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.59 0.00% -0.0756 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ 0.50 664.16 0.00 664.66 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.04 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 658.91 0.00 0.00 658.95 Trades
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 3,989.04 0.00% 0.8564 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,989.04 Wed May 18 2022 ✅ -3,416.25 85.60 0.00 658.39 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Jan 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 ✅ 653.55 0.00 0.00 653.55 Trades
Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 05 2020 ✅ 651.66 0.00 0.00 651.66 Trades
NBA: Will the Wizards beat the Trail Blazers by more than 6.5 points in their March 12 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,312.07 0.00% 0.5079 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,312.07 Sat Mar 12 2022 ✅ -666.34 5.45 0.00 651.18 Trades
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. 49ers Cowboys 49ers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 22 2023 ✅ 649.67 0.00 0.00 649.67 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 4.43 0.00 0.00% -138.5958 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ 614.01 35.08 0.00 649.09 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 635.00 0.00 0.00 635.00 Trades
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 ✅ 630.60 0.00 0.00 630.60 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,700.32 0.00% 0.8307 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,700.32 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3,073.70 0.00 0.00 626.62 Trades
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 11 2024 ✅ 620.82 0.00 0.00 620.82 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 3,660.20 0.00 0.00% -0.1695 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 28 2024 ✅ 620.31 0.00 0.00 620.31 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 0.00 9.37 5.83% -56.4567 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 528.97 87.00 0.00 615.96 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.16 0.00 0.01% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 485.15 127.56 0.00 612.70 Trades
Will "China" be said 15 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ 610.00 0.00 0.00 610.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Bucks vs. Jazz, scheduled for March 14 (10 PM ET)? Bucks Jazz 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 ✅ 593.19 16.52 0.00 609.71 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 ✅ 606.95 0.00 0.00 606.95 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference? Yes No 0.00 47.08 0.00% -9.3659 0.00 1.00 0.00 47.08 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 440.96 118.56 0.00 606.60 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 605.22 0.00 0.00 605.22 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 604.88 0.00 0.00 604.88 Trades
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? Yes No 789.73 0.00 0.01% 0.2536 1.00 0.00 789.73 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 ✅ -200.25 6.12 0.00 595.59 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 2,579.67 0.00% 0.7697 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,579.67 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -1,985.55 0.00 0.00 594.12 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 4,412.41 0.00% 0.8664 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,412.41 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -3,822.75 0.00 0.00 589.66 Trades
Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,014.64 0.00% 0.8848 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,014.64 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -4,436.95 0.00 0.00 577.69 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 1,745.75 0.00 0.00% 0.6763 1.00 0.00 1,745.75 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ -1,180.60 4.16 0.00 569.31 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ 550.10 0.00 0.00 550.10 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 0.00 1,921.45 0.00% 0.7161 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,921.45 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1,375.95 0.00 0.00 545.50 Trades
Will SOL outperform ETH in January? Yes No 0.00 1,004.02 0.00% 0.4586 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,004.02 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -460.42 0.00 0.00 543.59 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 2,956.99 0.00 0.00% 0.8807 1.00 0.00 2,956.99 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -2,604.25 180.69 0.00 533.43 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? Yes No 987.79 0.00 0.00% 0.5030 1.00 0.00 987.79 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -496.90 39.35 0.00 530.24 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 192,407.17 0.00 263.73% -0.0025 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 481.94 45.83 0.00 527.77 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 5,863.93 0.00% 0.9122 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,863.93 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -5,349.13 6.32 0.00 521.12 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 8.5 points in their May 4, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 1,005.41 0.00 0.00% 0.4936 1.00 0.00 1,005.41 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 ✅ -496.25 5.20 0.00 514.35 Trades
Will Fratelli D'italia or Partito Democratico win more seats in the Italian Chamber in the 2022 election? Partito Democratico Fratelli D'Italia 0.00 2,594.15 0.00% 0.8110 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,594.15 Mon Sep 26 2022 ✅ -2,103.77 14.19 0.00 504.57 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 94.90 0.00% -3.3863 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 ✅ 321.36 179.15 0.00 500.50 Trades
Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 26 2024 ✅ 497.78 0.00 0.00 497.78 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 2,663.03 0.00 0.00% 0.8862 1.00 0.00 2,663.03 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -2,360.01 194.57 0.00 497.59 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will any film win 6 or more awards? Yes No 5,768.69 0.00 0.00% 0.9155 1.00 0.00 5,768.69 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -5,281.02 7.70 0.00 495.36 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 1,096.56 0.00 0.00% 0.5510 1.00 0.00 1,096.56 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -604.17 0.00 0.00 492.39 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 10.88 0.00 0.01% -39.7782 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ 432.96 55.90 0.00 488.86 Trades
Will Canada hold a federal election in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ 483.58 0.00 0.00 483.58 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ 483.00 0.00 0.00 483.00 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 481.35 0.00 0.00 481.35 Trades
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 ✅ 397.10 78.21 0.00 475.31 Trades
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 ✅ 465.00 0.00 0.00 465.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden get Coronavirus before the election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 04 2020 ✅ 464.90 0.00 0.00 464.90 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 557.72 0.00 0.00% 0.1667 1.00 0.00 557.72 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ -92.96 0.00 0.00 464.76 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Pakistan vs. Australia, 3rd ODI? Pakistan Australia 1,174.85 0.00 0.00% 0.6157 1.00 0.00 1,174.85 0.00 Sat Apr 02 2022 ✅ -723.35 8.75 0.00 460.24 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) Dems/Ossoff Reps/Perdue 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 455.76 0.00 0.00 455.76 Trades
JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 23 2023 ✅ 455.47 0.00 0.00 455.47 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 447.90 0.00 0.00 447.90 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 445.97 0.00 0.00 445.97 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ 437.00 0.00 0.00 437.00 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 7,762.98 0.00 0.00% 0.9442 1.00 0.00 7,762.98 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -7,329.48 0.00 0.00 433.50 Trades
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 1,430.00 0.00% 0.6974 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,430.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -997.25 0.00 0.00 432.75 Trades
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 1,883.97 0.00% 0.8070 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,883.97 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -1,520.43 62.32 0.00 425.86 Trades
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? Yes No 5,007.89 0.00 0.01% 0.9344 1.00 0.00 5,007.89 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 ✅ -4,679.43 94.30 0.00 422.76 Trades
Aleo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 3,450.68 0.00 0.00% -0.1223 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 422.03 0.00 0.00 422.03 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 2,715.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8470 1.00 0.00 2,715.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,299.50 0.00 0.00 415.50 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? Yes No 667.13 0.00 0.00% 0.3918 1.00 0.00 667.13 0.00 Fri Jun 24 2022 ✅ -261.35 3.78 0.00 409.56 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 0.00 824.05 0.00% 0.5121 0.00 1.00 0.00 824.05 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -421.97 7.18 0.00 409.26 Trades
Jupiter airdrop by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 405.65 0.00 0.00 405.65 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Ecuador beat Senegal? Yes No 0.00 916.39 0.02% 0.5677 0.00 1.00 0.00 916.39 Tue Nov 29 2022 ✅ -520.27 0.00 0.00 396.12 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,535.90 0.00% 0.9501 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,535.90 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -5,259.45 114.41 0.00 390.86 Trades
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.25% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 ✅ 379.75 0.00 0.00 379.75 Trades
Formula 1: Who will finish ahead at the Saudi Arabia Grand Prix: Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc? Max Verstappen Charles Leclerc 2,972.54 0.00 0.00% 0.8742 1.00 0.00 2,972.54 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 ✅ -2,598.46 3.54 0.00 377.62 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22? Yes No 0.00 3,858.39 0.00% 0.9077 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,858.39 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -3,502.43 21.04 0.00 377.00 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 ✅ 376.50 0.00 0.00 376.50 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 5,987.71 0.00 0.00% -0.0615 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ 368.31 0.00 0.00 368.31 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 5,729.94 0.00% 0.9360 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,729.94 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -5,363.11 0.00 0.00 366.83 Trades
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 25 2023 ✅ 365.60 0.00 0.00 365.60 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 990.85 0.00 0.00% 0.7776 1.00 0.00 990.85 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 ✅ -770.49 136.20 0.00 356.55 Trades
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ 352.60 0.00 0.00 352.60 Trades
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? Lee Jae-myung Yoon Seok-youl 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 ✅ 330.98 20.26 0.00 351.24 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win 2nd place in the Republican primary for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 532.26 0.00% 0.3621 0.00 1.00 0.00 532.26 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -192.75 11.43 0.00 350.95 Trades
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 1,250.00 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,250.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -900.00 0.00 0.00 350.00 Trades
Ethereum all time high by end of March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 346.11 0.00 0.00 346.11 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 458.42 0.00% 0.2839 0.00 1.00 0.00 458.42 Tue Aug 16 2022 ✅ -130.16 15.75 0.00 344.01 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) Protasiewicz Kelly 2,335.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8528 1.00 0.00 2,335.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 ✅ -1,991.40 0.00 0.00 343.60 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,458.00 0.00% 0.7644 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,458.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -1,114.50 0.00 0.00 343.50 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ 342.50 0.00 0.00 342.50 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 5,451.04 0.00% 0.9381 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,451.04 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ -5,113.49 0.00 0.00 337.55 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 19,855.26 0.00% 0.9831 0.00 1.00 0.00 19,855.26 Tue Mar 08 2022 ✅ -19,520.42 0.00 0.00 334.85 Trades
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,954.64 0.00% 0.8896 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,954.64 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,628.45 0.00 0.00 326.18 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,227.48 0.28% 0.9306 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,227.48 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ -3,003.52 101.61 0.00 325.57 Trades
Chiefs vs. Dolphins Chiefs Dolphins 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 325.17 0.00 0.00 325.17 Trades
World Cup: Monday - Will Brazil beat Switzerland? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 28 2022 ✅ 325.03 0.00 0.00 325.03 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,699.89 0.00% 0.8800 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,699.89 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -2,375.90 0.00 0.00 323.99 Trades
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 ✅ 323.55 0.00 0.00 323.55 Trades
Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis Haney Progrias 1,358.33 0.00 0.00% 0.7663 1.00 0.00 1,358.33 0.00 Sat Dec 09 2023 ✅ -1,040.83 0.00 0.00 317.50 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 6,472.85 0.00% 0.9513 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,472.85 Mon Sep 20 2021 ✅ -6,157.49 0.00 0.00 315.35 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 656.33 0.00% 0.5463 0.00 1.00 0.00 656.33 Mon Sep 12 2022 ✅ -358.57 16.18 0.00 313.94 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 388.89 0.00 0.00% 0.1929 1.00 0.00 388.89 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -75.00 0.00 0.00 313.89 Trades
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 03 2021 ✅ 309.32 0.00 0.00 309.32 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 308.73 0.00 0.00 308.73 Trades
Continued US strikes against Houthis? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ 308.00 0.00 0.00 308.00 Trades
NFL Sunday: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Chiefs Buccaneers 571.81 0.00 0.02% 0.4734 1.00 0.00 571.81 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 ✅ -270.70 2.76 0.00 303.87 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 303.09 0.00 0.00 303.09 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 ✅ 300.85 0.00 0.00 300.85 Trades
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 ✅ 298.38 0.00 0.00 298.38 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 555.34 0.00 0.00% 0.8014 1.00 0.00 555.34 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -445.03 185.26 0.00 295.57 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 4.08 0.00 0.01% -32.9035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ 134.21 161.28 0.00 295.49 Trades
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? Yes No 12,466.13 0.00 0.00% 0.9768 1.00 0.00 12,466.13 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ -12,177.04 3.98 0.00 293.08 Trades
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa González win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 290.68 0.00 0.00 290.68 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Celtics, scheduled for April 23, 7:30 PM ET? Nets Celtics 0.00 482.70 0.00% 0.4075 0.00 1.00 0.00 482.70 Sat Apr 23 2022 ✅ -196.70 3.28 0.00 289.28 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Jessica Chastain win Best Actress? Yes No 624.47 0.00 0.00% 0.5705 1.00 0.00 624.47 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -356.27 17.65 0.00 285.85 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 72.68 0.00% -3.9219 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 285.05 0.00 0.00 285.05 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 280.76 0.00 0.00 280.76 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 280.65 0.00 0.00 280.65 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 280.00 0.00 0.00 280.00 Trades
Rabby airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 279.01 0.00 0.00 279.02 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 277.37 0.00 0.00 277.37 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23? Yes No 793.44 0.00 0.00% 0.6572 1.00 0.00 793.44 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ -521.48 3.17 0.00 275.14 Trades
NFL Monday: Broncos vs. Chargers Broncos Chargers 5.46 0.00 0.02% -48.9331 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 17 2022 ✅ 267.16 5.52 0.00 272.69 Trades
Will Hilary hit US as a hurricane? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 ✅ 270.20 0.00 0.00 270.20 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ 268.75 0.00 0.00 268.75 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 ✅ 266.47 0.00 0.00 266.47 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? Yes No 11,694.58 0.00 0.00% 0.9779 1.00 0.00 11,694.58 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ -11,435.68 5.93 0.00 264.84 Trades
NFL Thursday: Dolphins vs. Bengals Dolphins Bengals 0.00 720.07 0.02% 0.6418 0.00 1.00 0.00 720.07 Thu Sep 29 2022 ✅ -462.13 5.08 0.00 263.02 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? Yes No 0.00 455.00 0.00% 0.4235 0.00 1.00 0.00 455.00 Mon Dec 04 2023 ✅ -192.70 0.00 0.00 262.30 Trades
College Football Championship: Michigan vs. Washington Michigan Washington 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 08 2024 ✅ 260.16 0.00 0.00 260.16 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 837.57 0.00 0.00% 0.6955 1.00 0.00 837.57 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -582.57 3.99 0.00 258.99 Trades
NFL Sunday: Giants vs. Packers Giants Packers 312.08 0.00 0.00% 0.2141 1.00 0.00 312.08 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 ✅ -66.81 0.74 0.00 246.01 Trades
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 ✅ 245.48 0.00 0.00 245.48 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Mavericks by more than 4.5 points in their February 27 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 496.96 0.00% 0.5260 0.00 1.00 0.00 496.96 Sun Feb 27 2022 ✅ -261.41 7.61 0.00 243.15 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 800.45 0.00% 0.6975 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.45 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -558.34 0.00 0.00 242.11 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 646.32 0.00% 0.6294 0.00 1.00 0.00 646.32 Mon Sep 12 2022 ✅ -406.80 1.80 0.00 241.32 Trades
World Cup: Sunday - Will Belgium beat Morocco? Yes No 0.00 421.40 0.02% 0.4787 0.00 1.00 0.00 421.40 Sun Nov 27 2022 ✅ -201.71 21.23 0.00 240.93 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Netherlands beat Ecuador? Yes No 0.00 413.24 0.02% 0.4288 0.00 1.00 0.00 413.24 Fri Nov 25 2022 ✅ -177.18 2.14 0.00 238.20 Trades
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. Eagles Cowboys Eagles 0.00 816.54 0.02% 0.7202 0.00 1.00 0.00 816.54 Sun Oct 16 2022 ✅ -588.09 1.04 0.00 229.49 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 3.5 points in their May 10, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 5.47 0.00% -41.4144 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 10 2022 ✅ 226.56 2.10 0.00 228.67 Trades
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? Yes No 0.00 10,999.99 0.00% 0.9795 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,999.99 Sun Mar 06 2022 ✅ -10,774.26 0.00 0.00 225.73 Trades
Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ 182.70 42.48 0.00 225.18 Trades
NFL Sunday: Jets vs. Packers Jets Packers 292.69 0.00 0.02% 0.2397 1.00 0.00 292.69 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 ✅ -70.17 1.80 0.00 224.32 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? Yes No 137.38 0.00 0.00% -0.3472 1.00 0.00 137.38 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 47.70 38.32 0.00 223.40 Trades
NBA: Who will win Celtics vs. Bucks, scheduled for May 3, 7:00 PM ET? Celtics Bucks 583.13 0.00 0.00% 0.6250 1.00 0.00 583.13 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -364.45 3.94 0.00 222.62 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Will Poland beat Saudi Arabia? Yes No 418.85 0.00 0.02% 0.5275 1.00 0.00 418.85 0.00 Sat Nov 26 2022 ✅ -220.94 23.26 0.00 221.17 Trades
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 ✅ 219.20 0.36 0.00 219.55 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 ✅ 215.00 0.00 0.00 215.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Navalny in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,050.00 0.00% 0.8966 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,050.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -1,838.00 0.00 0.00 212.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 7.5 points in their May 2, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 426.15 0.00 0.00% 0.5127 1.00 0.00 426.15 0.00 Mon May 02 2022 ✅ -218.50 4.14 0.00 211.79 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 210.75 0.00 0.00 210.76 Trades
Will Tony Snell be signed today? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 02 2024 ✅ 210.28 0.00 0.00 210.28 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Mavericks by more than 6.5 points in their May 4, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 401.99 0.00 0.00% 0.4941 1.00 0.00 401.99 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 ✅ -198.64 3.11 0.00 206.46 Trades
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 205.21 0.00 0.00 205.21 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 205.21 0.00 0.00 205.21 Trades
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.5900 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ -295.00 0.00 0.00 205.00 Trades
Will Spain have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, France, and Italy on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 376.71 10.00% 0.4646 0.00 1.00 0.00 376.71 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ -175.00 0.00 0.00 201.71 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ 201.61 0.00 0.00 201.62 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Australia vs. England, 2nd T20I, starting on October 12? Australia England 0.00 384.91 0.00% 0.4915 0.00 1.00 0.00 384.91 Wed Oct 12 2022 ✅ -189.17 5.11 0.00 200.85 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 681.43 0.00% 0.7067 0.00 1.00 0.00 681.43 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -481.55 0.00 0.00 199.88 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 59.05 0.00 0.00% -3.3557 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 ✅ 198.15 0.00 0.00 198.15 Trades
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 ✅ 197.76 0.00 0.00 197.76 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,070.80 0.00% 0.8159 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,070.80 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -873.69 0.00 0.00 197.11 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 193.51 0.00 0.00 193.51 Trades
Will Eric Zemmour win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 1,203.18 0.00% 0.8405 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,203.18 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -1,011.25 0.00 0.00 191.92 Trades
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 10 2024 ✅ 191.75 0.00 0.00 191.75 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Grizzlies by more than 3.5 points in their May 11 (9:30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 360.80 0.00% 0.4762 0.00 1.00 0.00 360.80 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ -171.83 1.90 0.00 190.86 Trades
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 1,872.45 0.00 0.00% 0.8987 1.00 0.00 1,872.45 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -1,682.70 0.00 0.00 189.75 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 ✅ 188.54 0.00 0.00 188.54 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 9,499.98 0.00 0.00% 0.9802 1.00 0.00 9,499.98 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ -9,311.55 0.00 0.00 188.43 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Denmark beat Tunisia? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 22 2022 ✅ 188.43 0.00 0.00 188.43 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 214.48 0.00 0.00% 0.1994 1.00 0.00 214.48 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ -42.77 14.16 0.00 185.88 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? Yes No 5.29 0.00 0.00% -34.0959 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 ✅ 180.30 1.97 0.00 182.27 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 8,925.94 0.00% 0.9796 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,925.94 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -8,743.94 0.00 0.00 182.01 Trades
NFL: Who will win Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals, scheduled for September 11, 1:00 PM ET? Steelers Bengals 245.75 0.00 0.02% 0.2661 1.00 0.00 245.75 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 ✅ -65.39 1.04 0.00 181.41 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Tails Never Fails Parlay Yes No 0.00 547.06 0.00% 0.6691 0.00 1.00 0.00 547.06 Sat Feb 10 2024 ✅ -366.06 0.00 0.00 181.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 3.20 0.00 0.00% -55.8753 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ 178.67 1.48 0.00 180.15 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 668.46 0.00% 0.7331 0.00 1.00 0.00 668.46 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -490.06 1.72 0.00 180.12 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Lakers by more than 4.5 points in their March 1 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 372.02 0.00 1.35% 0.5312 1.00 0.00 372.02 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -197.63 5.39 0.00 179.79 Trades
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? Yes No 236.08 0.00 0.00% 0.2466 1.00 0.00 236.08 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ -58.21 0.00 0.00 177.87 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 15, 2022? Yes No 4,987.70 0.00 0.00% 0.9648 1.00 0.00 4,987.70 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ -4,812.32 0.00 0.00 175.38 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 0.00 923.73 0.01% 0.8827 0.00 1.00 0.00 923.73 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ -815.36 66.93 0.00 175.30 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by May 1, 2022? Yes No 7,864.80 0.00 0.00% 0.9779 1.00 0.00 7,864.80 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 ✅ -7,690.96 0.00 0.00 173.84 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? Yes No 492.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6477 1.00 0.00 492.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -318.66 0.00 0.00 173.34 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Kissinger in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,956.20 0.00% 0.9118 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,956.20 Wed Feb 07 2024 ✅ -1,783.58 0.00 0.00 172.62 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,189.27 0.00% 0.8557 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,189.27 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,017.63 0.00 0.00 171.64 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 5.84 0.00 0.00% -11.4783 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ 67.03 101.28 0.00 168.31 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ 167.19 0.00 0.00 167.19 Trades
World Cup: Monday - Will Portugal beat Uruguay? Yes No 0.00 3.86 0.02% -41.8270 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 28 2022 ✅ 161.42 5.26 0.00 166.68 Trades
Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 163.62 0.93 0.00 164.55 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 162.50 0.00 0.00 162.50 Trades
Will David McCormick win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 4.86 0.00 0.00% -33.2815 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ 161.65 0.00 0.00 161.65 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 996.00 0.01% 1.4009 0.00 1.00 0.00 996.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ -1,395.29 560.12 0.00 160.83 Trades
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ 143.94 14.77 0.00 158.71 Trades
World Cup: Sunday - Will Croatia beat Canada? Yes No 254.05 0.00 0.02% 0.4334 1.00 0.00 254.05 0.00 Sun Nov 27 2022 ✅ -110.09 12.36 0.00 156.32 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Grizzlies by more than 8.5 points in their May 13, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 285.86 0.00 0.00% 0.4591 1.00 0.00 285.86 0.00 Fri May 13 2022 ✅ -131.23 1.62 0.00 156.24 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.00 823.56 0.01% 0.8397 0.00 1.00 0.00 823.56 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ -691.51 23.14 0.00 155.19 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 154.86 0.00 0.00 154.86 Trades
Will Federico Gutiérrez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 686.51 0.00% 0.7760 0.00 1.00 0.00 686.51 Sun May 29 2022 ✅ -532.72 0.00 0.00 153.79 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? Yes No 0.00 784.06 0.00% 0.8074 0.00 1.00 0.00 784.06 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -633.08 2.44 0.00 153.42 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 153.00 0.00 0.00 153.00 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 152.30 0.00 0.00 152.30 Trades
NBA: Will the Nuggets beat the Suns by more than 3.5 points in their March 24 (9 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 350.52 0.00% 0.5727 0.00 1.00 0.00 350.52 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -200.75 1.51 0.00 151.29 Trades
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 216.22 0.00% 0.3122 0.00 1.00 0.00 216.22 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -67.50 0.00 0.00 148.72 Trades
NFL Sunday: Raiders vs. Cardinals Raiders Cardinals 0.00 204.91 0.02% 0.3013 0.00 1.00 0.00 204.91 Sun Sep 18 2022 ✅ -61.73 2.15 0.00 145.33 Trades
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4200 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 ✅ -105.00 0.00 0.00 145.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Suns vs. Mavericks, scheduled for May 12, 9:30 PM ET? Suns Mavericks 0.00 253.96 0.00% 0.4351 0.00 1.00 0.00 253.96 Thu May 12 2022 ✅ -110.49 1.43 0.00 144.90 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 ✅ 141.64 0.00 0.00 141.64 Trades
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.56 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.56 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 110.08 28.09 0.00 138.73 Trades
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 1,855.54 0.00% 0.9253 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,855.54 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -1,716.96 0.00 0.00 138.58 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 138.00 0.00 0.00 138.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? Yes No 5,134.24 0.00 0.00% 0.9734 1.00 0.00 5,134.24 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 ✅ -4,997.74 0.65 0.00 137.15 Trades
Will Bongbong Marcos be elected President of the Philippines in 2022? Yes No 6,893.76 0.00 0.00% 0.9833 1.00 0.00 6,893.76 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 ✅ -6,778.80 21.15 0.00 136.11 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.57% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ 132.26 0.01 0.00 132.27 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 401.70 0.00 0.00% 0.6944 1.00 0.00 401.70 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ -278.93 8.87 0.00 131.64 Trades
Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed before Nov 3rd, 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 04 2020 ✅ 129.41 0.00 0.00 129.41 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ 127.96 0.00 0.00 127.96 Trades
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 21 2021 ✅ 127.73 0.00 0.00 127.73 Trades
Will Kathy Barnette win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 1,993.80 0.01% 0.9362 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,993.80 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ -1,866.63 0.00 0.00 127.16 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 348.71 0.00 0.00% 0.6356 1.00 0.00 348.71 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -221.65 0.00 0.00 127.06 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Mexico beat Saudi Arabia? Yes No 261.76 0.00 0.02% 0.5563 1.00 0.00 261.76 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ -145.62 9.51 0.00 125.65 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.65 0.00% 11.3225 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -41.36 162.95 0.00 121.59 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Will France beat Denmark? Yes No 229.88 0.00 0.02% 0.5334 1.00 0.00 229.88 0.00 Sat Nov 26 2022 ✅ -122.61 14.22 0.00 121.49 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.00 357.59 0.00% 0.7668 0.00 1.00 0.00 357.59 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -274.20 38.02 0.00 121.41 Trades
India Election: Modi reelected? Yes No 0.00 3,174.50 0.00% -0.0382 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 ✅ 121.22 0.00 0.00 121.22 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 07 2023 ✅ 100.37 20.44 0.00 120.81 Trades
Martha Pollack out as Cornell President before March? Yes No 0.00 5.01 0.00% -22.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 115.32 0.00 0.00 120.33 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9760 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ -4,880.00 0.00 0.00 120.00 Trades
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 119.33 0.00 0.00 119.33 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bills vs. Dolphins Bills Dolphins 3.65 0.00 0.02% -32.2199 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 ✅ 117.46 0.32 0.00 117.77 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,520.32 0.00% 0.9230 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,520.32 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,403.22 0.00 0.00 117.10 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15? Yes No 0.00 6.04 0.00% -18.3446 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 ✅ 110.74 6.17 0.00 116.91 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 6.66 0.00 0.00% -2.0849 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 13.88 100.65 0.00 114.52 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8,345.96 10.00% 0.9863 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,345.96 Tue Mar 08 2022 ✅ -8,231.45 0.00 0.00 114.51 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 206.82 0.00 0.00% 0.5287 1.00 0.00 206.82 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -109.36 16.84 0.00 114.31 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022? Yes No 211.64 0.00 0.00% 0.4813 1.00 0.00 211.64 0.00 Thu Jun 09 2022 ✅ -101.85 4.19 0.00 113.97 Trades
Will Italy have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, France, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 341.66 0.00% 0.6678 0.00 1.00 0.00 341.66 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ -228.17 0.00 0.00 113.49 Trades
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 US Open? Yes No 340.92 0.00 0.00% 0.6778 1.00 0.00 340.92 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 ✅ -231.06 3.17 0.00 113.03 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ 112.76 0.00 0.00 112.76 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 11,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9906 1.00 0.00 11,999.99 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -11,887.76 0.00 0.00 112.23 Trades
Will Conor McGregor announce presidential run by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 112.00 0.00 0.00 112.00 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ 110.16 0.00 0.00 110.16 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7800 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 ✅ -390.00 0.00 0.00 110.00 Trades
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? Yes No 0.00 1,783.34 0.00% 0.9386 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,783.34 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1,673.84 0.00 0.00 109.50 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 3,321.46 0.00 0.00% 0.9671 1.00 0.00 3,321.46 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ -3,212.21 0.00 0.00 109.25 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 108.90 0.00 0.00 108.90 Trades
marginfi airdrop by March 1? Yes No 649.99 0.00 0.00% -0.1675 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 108.89 0.00 0.00 108.89 Trades
What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 ✅ 108.75 0.00 0.00 108.75 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 9,276.88 0.00% 0.9883 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,276.88 Tue Feb 08 2022 ✅ -9,168.53 0.00 0.00 108.35 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 1,900.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9432 1.00 0.00 1,900.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ -1,791.99 0.00 0.00 108.01 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? Yes No 0.00 1,437.50 0.00% 0.9256 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,437.50 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1,330.50 0.00 0.00 107.00 Trades
Will DRX or T1 win the 2022 League of Legends World Championship? DRX T1 139.84 0.00 0.00% 0.2509 1.00 0.00 139.84 0.00 Sun Nov 06 2022 ✅ -35.09 0.73 0.00 105.48 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 9,994.01 0.00% 0.9895 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,994.01 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ -9,889.05 0.00 0.00 104.96 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 ✅ 104.61 0.00 0.00 104.61 Trades
Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 ✅ 102.30 0.56 0.00 102.86 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? Democrat Republican 0.00 12,878.37 0.00% 0.0006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -7.37 110.12 0.00 102.75 Trades
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 ✅ 102.73 0.00 0.00 102.73 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for April 29, 9:05 PM ET? Grizzlies Timberwolves 200.91 0.00 0.00% 0.5078 1.00 0.00 200.91 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 ✅ -102.03 3.29 0.00 102.18 Trades
Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 102.15 0.00 0.00 102.15 Trades
NFL Sunday: Packers vs. Buccaneers Packers Buccaneers 184.19 0.00 0.02% 0.4628 1.00 0.00 184.19 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 ✅ -85.23 1.42 0.00 100.37 Trades
NFL Monday: Vikings vs. Eagles Vikings Eagles 0.00 223.59 0.02% 0.5550 0.00 1.00 0.00 223.59 Mon Sep 19 2022 ✅ -124.08 0.57 0.00 100.08 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4500 0.50 0.50 1,000.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -900.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 536.00 0.00% 0.8142 0.00 1.00 0.00 536.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -436.41 0.00 0.00 99.59 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 11 be higher than on February 18? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 ✅ 98.47 0.00 0.00 98.47 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? Yes No 148.56 0.00 0.02% 0.4477 1.00 0.00 148.56 0.00 Tue Nov 29 2022 ✅ -66.50 15.87 0.00 97.93 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 97.50 0.00 0.00 97.50 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 4.31 0.00 0.00% -20.6871 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 ✅ 89.16 7.72 0.00 96.89 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 11.5 points in their April 27, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 190.83 0.00 0.01% 0.5185 1.00 0.00 190.83 0.00 Wed Apr 27 2022 ✅ -98.96 3.85 0.00 95.72 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 4,850.39 0.00% 0.9803 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,850.39 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ -4,754.92 0.00 0.00 95.47 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,021.08 0.00% 0.9684 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,021.08 Tue Mar 08 2022 ✅ -2,925.73 0.00 0.00 95.35 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 0.00 701.00 0.00% 0.8643 0.00 1.00 0.00 701.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -605.84 0.00 0.00 95.16 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Ravens Bengals Ravens 0.00 245.07 0.02% 0.6224 0.00 1.00 0.00 245.07 Sun Oct 09 2022 ✅ -152.53 2.25 0.00 94.80 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 23? Yes No 0.00 6.35 0.00% -14.6570 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 23 2022 ✅ 93.12 1.14 0.00 94.26 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 3,994.25 0.00 0.00% 0.9765 1.00 0.00 3,994.25 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -3,900.32 0.00 0.00 93.93 Trades
Berachain airdrop by June 30? Yes No 2,617.34 0.00 0.00% -0.0352 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 92.02 0.00 0.00 92.02 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 19,229.31 0.00 0.00% 0.9952 1.00 0.00 19,229.31 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -19,137.58 0.24 0.00 91.97 Trades
Will Valerie Pecresse win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 1,195.76 0.00% 0.9236 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,195.76 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -1,104.37 0.00 0.00 91.39 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? Celtics Warriors 0.00 210.61 0.00% 0.6219 0.00 1.00 0.00 210.61 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ -130.98 11.70 0.00 91.32 Trades
Will the US have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than France, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ 91.11 0.00 0.00 91.11 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,900 on May 7, 2022? Yes No 6.93 0.00 0.08% -9.4447 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 ✅ 65.45 25.17 0.00 90.62 Trades
What will the price of $ETH be on June 22? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 ✅ 90.27 0.00 0.00 90.27 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 2,149.90 0.00% 0.9580 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,149.90 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -2,059.65 0.00 0.00 90.25 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 88.95 0.00 0.00 88.95 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 300,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,375.72 10.00% 0.9737 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,375.72 Tue Mar 08 2022 ✅ -3,286.95 0.00 0.00 88.76 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 142.73 0.00% 0.6035 0.00 1.00 0.00 142.73 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -86.14 31.93 0.00 88.52 Trades
Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 ✅ 87.58 0.00 0.00 87.58 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 195.53 0.00 0.00% 0.8115 1.00 0.00 195.53 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ -158.68 50.68 0.00 87.53 Trades
Will USA qualify from Group B? Yes No 153.52 0.00 0.02% 0.4654 1.00 0.00 153.52 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -71.45 5.35 0.00 87.43 Trades
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 833.43 0.00% 0.8957 0.00 1.00 0.00 833.43 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -746.46 0.00 0.00 86.97 Trades
Will $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15? Yes No 0.00 10.31 0.00% -8.1297 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ 83.83 2.70 0.00 86.53 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 86.52 0.00 0.00 86.52 Trades
Will UST (TerraUSD) lose its peg by March 1st? Yes No 0.00 19,399.99 0.00% 0.9956 0.00 1.00 0.00 19,399.99 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -19,314.25 0.00 0.00 85.74 Trades
NHL 2022 Stanley Cup Finals: Who will win Avalanche vs. Lightning, Game 6? Avalanche Lightning 0.00 3.50 0.00% -24.0354 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 26 2022 ✅ 84.15 1.00 0.00 85.15 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ 84.80 0.00 0.00 84.80 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 0.00 522.04 0.00% 0.9795 0.00 1.00 0.00 522.04 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -511.35 73.64 0.00 84.32 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 ✅ 83.37 0.64 0.00 84.01 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? Yes No 1.47 0.00 0.00% -56.8134 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ 83.48 0.00 0.00 83.48 Trades
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 3,010.61 0.00% 0.9727 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,010.61 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -2,928.37 0.00 0.00 82.24 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 222.00 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 222.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -139.86 0.00 0.00 82.14 Trades
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.8975 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -718.00 0.00 0.00 82.00 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 18 be higher than on February 25? Yes No 916.76 0.00 10.00% 0.9106 1.00 0.00 916.76 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 ✅ -834.83 0.00 0.00 81.93 Trades
Will Switzerland qualify from Group G? Yes No 0.00 72.80 0.01% -0.8508 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ 61.94 19.88 0.00 81.81 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 ✅ 81.81 0.00 0.00 81.81 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 182.91 0.00% 0.5797 0.00 1.00 0.00 182.91 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -106.03 4.02 0.00 80.90 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 01 2024 ✅ 79.26 0.00 0.00 79.26 Trades
Will Arbitrum have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 179.08 0.00% 0.5584 0.00 1.00 0.00 179.08 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -100.00 0.00 0.00 79.08 Trades
Any Hamas leader out in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 79.08 0.00 0.00 79.08 Trades
Will Warpcast flip X on the app store in February? Yes No 0.00 1,388.00 0.00% 0.9435 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,388.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -1,309.60 0.00 0.00 78.40 Trades
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% 0.8886 0.00 1.00 0.00 700.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -622.00 0.00 0.00 78.00 Trades
$Bitcoin (Hpos10i) all time high by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 640.00 0.00% 0.8789 0.00 1.00 0.00 640.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -562.50 0.00 0.00 77.50 Trades
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 23 2021 ✅ 77.35 0.00 0.00 77.35 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 61.59 0.00 0.00% -0.0335 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 2.07 74.29 0.00 76.36 Trades
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 76.20 0.00 0.00 76.20 Trades
Golf: Will Jon Rahm win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 157.22 0.00 0.00% -0.3545 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ 55.74 19.39 0.00 75.12 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 6,835.64 0.00 0.00% -0.0110 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 74.95 0.00 0.00 74.95 Trades
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 1,200.00 0.00% 0.9383 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,200.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,126.00 0.00 0.00 74.00 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 383.93 0.00% 0.8266 0.00 1.00 0.00 383.93 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -317.34 5.70 0.00 72.29 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 1.41 0.00 0.00% -49.1131 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ 69.21 2.99 0.00 72.20 Trades
World Cup: Thursday - Will Germany beat Costa Rica? Yes No 527.64 0.00 0.02% 0.8703 1.00 0.00 527.64 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 ✅ -459.23 3.75 0.00 72.17 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 1,000,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 9,844.47 0.00% 0.9927 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,844.47 Tue Feb 08 2022 ✅ -9,772.44 0.00 0.00 72.03 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 0.00 5,386.87 0.00% 0.9961 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,386.87 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -5,365.85 50.78 0.00 71.80 Trades
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Lakers by more than 7.5 points in their March 23 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 ✅ 70.91 0.72 0.00 71.63 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 250,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,006.21 11.11% 0.9822 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,006.21 Tue Mar 08 2022 ✅ -3,934.86 0.00 0.00 71.35 Trades
Will Optimism have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ 71.13 0.00 0.00 71.13 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 ✅ 70.72 0.00 0.00 70.72 Trades
Will the Ukrainian Government receive more than $25M in Crypto donations by March 10? Yes No 35,113.43 0.00 0.00% 0.9980 1.00 0.00 35,113.43 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 ✅ -35,043.28 0.00 0.00 70.15 Trades
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -930.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 4, 2022 be higher than on February 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 18 2022 ✅ 69.69 0.00 0.00 69.69 Trades
Scroll airdrop by June 30? Yes No 9,267.73 0.00 0.00% -0.0074 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ 68.83 0.00 0.00 68.83 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 210.04 0.00% 0.6780 0.00 1.00 0.00 210.04 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -142.41 1.01 0.00 68.64 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,091.71 0.00% 0.9714 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,091.71 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ -2,031.86 6.96 0.00 66.81 Trades
Will Canada qualify from Group F? Yes No 4.95 0.00 0.02% -12.5102 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ 61.95 4.55 0.00 66.50 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th? Yes No 0.00 27.08 0.00% -1.3853 0.00 1.00 0.00 27.08 Tue Apr 19 2022 ✅ 37.51 0.00 0.00 64.59 Trades
Will "peace" hit its Google Trends all time high (global, monthly) before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,295.23 0.00% 0.9850 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,295.23 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ -4,230.91 0.00 0.00 64.32 Trades
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6.05 0.00% -8.5923 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 ✅ 51.94 11.29 0.00 63.23 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 16,998.85 0.00 0.00% 0.9963 1.00 0.00 16,998.85 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ -16,935.90 0.01 0.00 62.95 Trades
Will StarkNet have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 133.50 0.00% 0.5334 0.00 1.00 0.00 133.50 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -71.21 0.00 0.00 62.29 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 180.51 0.00% -0.3433 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 61.98 0.00 0.00 61.98 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8? Yes No 0.00 3.11 0.00% -12.4271 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 08 2022 ✅ 38.63 23.04 0.00 61.68 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Hawks by more than 7.5 points in their April 26, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 151.10 9.09% 0.6028 0.00 1.00 0.00 151.10 Tue Apr 26 2022 ✅ -91.08 1.19 0.00 61.21 Trades
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 ✅ 60.50 0.00 0.00 60.50 Trades
Will Drake release a new studio album before the end of 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 ✅ 60.39 0.00 0.00 60.39 Trades
Will MOEX close above 2,500 by April 15, 2022? Yes No 9,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9940 1.00 0.00 9,999.99 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ -9,939.72 0.00 0.00 60.27 Trades
Fed rate cut by November 7? Yes No 592.83 0.00 0.00% 0.9020 1.00 0.00 592.83 0.00 Thu Nov 07 2024 ✅ -534.71 0.00 0.00 58.11 Trades
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? Yes No 0.00 2,430.38 0.00% 0.9762 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,430.38 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -2,372.61 0.00 0.00 57.77 Trades
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 0.00% 0.9713 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ -1,942.56 0.00 0.00 57.44 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,799.98 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,799.98 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,743.98 0.00 0.00 56.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? Yes No 7.67 0.00 0.00% -6.8867 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ 52.81 2.66 0.00 55.48 Trades
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 225.31 0.00% 0.7545 0.00 1.00 0.00 225.31 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -170.00 0.00 0.00 55.31 Trades
Will zkSync have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 123.66 0.00% 0.5545 0.00 1.00 0.00 123.66 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -68.57 0.00 0.00 55.09 Trades
NBA: Who will win Lakers vs. Pelicans, scheduled for April 1, 10:40 PM ET? Lakers Pelicans 0.00 104.29 0.00% 0.4884 0.00 1.00 0.00 104.29 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -50.93 0.66 0.00 54.02 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 103.19 0.00 0.00% 0.4950 1.00 0.00 103.19 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -51.07 1.57 0.00 53.68 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $6.5 billion in volume in January 2022? Yes No 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.9947 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,000.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 ✅ -9,946.55 0.00 0.00 53.45 Trades
Golf: Will Justin Thomas win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 781.58 0.00% 0.9359 0.00 1.00 0.00 781.58 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ -731.50 3.24 0.00 53.31 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Pena vs Nunes Pena Nunes 0.00 173.66 0.00% 0.7226 0.00 1.00 0.00 173.66 Sat Jul 30 2022 ✅ -125.48 4.85 0.00 53.03 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 765.00 0.00% 0.9308 0.00 1.00 0.00 765.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -712.05 0.00 0.00 52.95 Trades
NBA: Will the Clippers beat the Knicks by more than 4.5 points in their March 6 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 2.24 0.00 0.00% 0.7707 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 06 2022 ✅ -1.73 54.08 0.00 52.36 Trades
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? Yes No 0.00 1,739.09 0.01% 0.9701 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,739.09 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ -1,687.02 0.00 0.00 52.08 Trades
Drift airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 6,383.60 0.00% -0.0081 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 51.48 0.00 0.00 51.48 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 5,993.51 0.00 0.00% 0.9914 1.00 0.00 5,993.51 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ -5,942.08 0.00 0.00 51.44 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on January 28, 2022 be higher than on February 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 10.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 11 2022 ✅ 50.78 0.00 0.00 50.78 Trades
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? Yes No 80.17 0.00 0.00% 0.3701 1.00 0.00 80.17 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -29.67 0.00 0.00 50.50 Trades
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 14 2023 ✅ 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8000 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -200.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 999.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 999.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 ✅ -949.05 0.00 0.00 49.95 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 600,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,092.78 0.00% 0.9761 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,092.78 Tue Feb 08 2022 ✅ -2,042.86 0.00 0.00 49.92 Trades
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23? Yes No 0.00 80.99 0.00% 0.4158 0.00 1.00 0.00 80.99 Fri Sep 23 2022 ✅ -33.68 2.03 0.00 49.35 Trades
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? Yes No 285.80 0.00 0.00% 0.8275 1.00 0.00 285.80 0.00 Thu Feb 22 2024 ✅ -236.50 0.00 0.00 49.30 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,979.50 0.00% 0.9751 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,979.50 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,930.26 0.00 0.00 49.24 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Julius Baer Generation Cup? Yes No 70.82 0.00 10.00% 0.3174 1.00 0.00 70.82 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 ✅ -22.48 0.49 0.00 48.83 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.14 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 ✅ -394.53 442.84 0.00 48.31 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 467.10 0.00% 0.9008 0.00 1.00 0.00 467.10 Tue Aug 30 2022 ✅ -420.75 1.94 0.00 48.29 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 ✅ 48.08 0.00 0.00 48.08 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 168.33 0.00 0.00% 0.7178 1.00 0.00 168.33 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -120.83 0.00 0.00 47.50 Trades
Will Uniswap v3 launch before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 ✅ 47.31 0.00 0.00 47.31 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ -35.82 82.77 0.00 46.95 Trades
NBA: Who will win Bucks vs. Celtics, scheduled for May 9, 7:30 PM ET? Bucks Celtics 0.00 82.87 0.00% 0.4416 0.00 1.00 0.00 82.87 Mon May 09 2022 ✅ -36.60 0.47 0.00 46.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.07% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 ✅ 46.31 0.00 0.00 46.31 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,301.74 0.00% 1.0007 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,301.74 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -11,309.20 53.70 0.00 46.24 Trades
Who will win 76ers v. Wizards: Game 5? 76ers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 ✅ 45.97 0.00 0.00 45.97 Trades
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 45.60 0.00 0.00 45.60 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 45.43 0.00 0.00 45.43 Trades
Tensor airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 45.32 0.00 0.00 45.32 Trades
Will João Doria win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 2.92 0.00 0.00% -15.2055 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ 44.45 0.00 0.00 44.45 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 0.00 8,019.67 8.33% 0.9945 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,019.67 Mon Feb 28 2022 ✅ -7,975.37 0.00 0.00 44.31 Trades
NFL Monday: Rams vs. 49ers Rams 49ers 0.00 87.68 0.02% 0.5048 0.00 1.00 0.00 87.68 Mon Oct 03 2022 ✅ -44.26 0.55 0.00 43.97 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.22 0.00% -10.2011 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ 43.07 0.27 0.00 43.34 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 42.54 0.00 0.00 42.54 Trades
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 5? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 ✅ 42.51 0.00 0.00 42.51 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,993.37 0.01% 0.9894 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,993.37 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -3,951.03 0.00 0.00 42.35 Trades
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? Yes No 99.99 0.00 0.00% 0.5800 1.00 0.00 99.99 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 ✅ -57.99 0.00 0.00 42.00 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Argentina beat Poland? Yes No 77.86 0.00 0.02% 0.5979 1.00 0.00 77.86 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ -46.55 10.35 0.00 41.66 Trades
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? Adams
Garcia
Wiley
Yang		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.02% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Tue Jun 22 2021 ✅ 40.21 0.00 0.00 40.21 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 40.03 0.00 0.00 40.03 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on June 30? Yes No 0.00 15.83 0.00% -2.4877 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 39.39 0.29 0.00 39.67 Trades
Aevo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 780.00 0.00% -0.0504 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 39.30 0.00 0.00 39.30 Trades
Will the City of Ottawa cease its state of emergency by March 2, 2022? Yes No 7,040.40 0.00 0.00% 0.9945 1.00 0.00 7,040.40 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ -7,001.62 0.01 0.00 38.79 Trades
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.34 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 ✅ 38.53 0.00 0.00 38.53 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 38.77 0.00 0.00% 0.1040 1.00 0.00 38.77 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 ✅ -4.03 3.66 0.00 38.40 Trades
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 50.69 0.00 0.00% 0.2669 1.00 0.00 50.69 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ -13.53 0.00 0.00 37.16 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 37.00 0.00 0.00 37.00 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Will Steph Curry score over 28.5 points in Game 2? Yes No 54.73 0.00 0.00% 0.3293 1.00 0.00 54.73 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ -18.02 0.24 0.00 36.94 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Duke vs. Texas Tech, scheduled for March 24 (9:39 PM ET)? Duke Texas Tech 71.29 0.00 0.00% 0.5023 1.00 0.00 71.29 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -35.81 1.31 0.00 36.79 Trades
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 ✅ 35.10 1.37 0.00 36.47 Trades
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,484.80 0.00% 0.9762 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,484.80 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1,449.50 0.00 0.00 35.30 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $120 million or less on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 3,200.32 0.00% 0.9890 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,200.32 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ -3,165.12 0.00 0.00 35.20 Trades
NBA: Will the Lakers beat the Rockets by more than 3.5 points in their March 9 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 58.51 0.00% 0.4201 0.00 1.00 0.00 58.51 Wed Mar 09 2022 ✅ -24.58 1.21 0.00 35.14 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August? Yes No 0.00 4,000.98 0.00% 0.9930 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,000.98 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -3,973.14 7.25 0.00 35.09 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day? Yes No 314.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8890 1.00 0.00 314.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ -279.16 0.00 0.00 34.84 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9657 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ -965.65 0.00 0.00 34.34 Trades
Emmys 2022: Will ‘Ted Lasso’ win Outstanding Comedy Series? Yes No 59.11 0.00 0.00% 0.4266 1.00 0.00 59.11 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ -25.22 0.44 0.00 34.34 Trades
World Cup: Sunday - Will Spain beat Germany? Yes No 3.66 0.00 0.02% -5.8111 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 27 2022 ✅ 21.26 12.99 0.00 34.25 Trades
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 0.00 48.62 0.00% 0.3000 0.00 1.00 0.00 48.62 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -14.59 0.00 0.00 34.03 Trades
Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.9578 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ -766.26 0.00 0.00 33.74 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 601.30 0.00% 1.0007 0.00 1.00 0.00 601.30 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -601.72 33.74 0.00 33.32 Trades
Will US attack Iran in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 33.14 0.00 0.00 33.15 Trades
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? Yes No 488.47 0.00 0.00% 0.9324 1.00 0.00 488.47 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 ✅ -455.45 0.00 0.00 33.02 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 9.40 0.00 0.00% -3.4478 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 32.42 0.00 0.00 32.42 Trades
NFL Sunday: Chiefs vs. 49ers Chiefs 49ers 58.46 0.00 0.00% 0.4850 1.00 0.00 58.46 0.00 Sun Oct 23 2022 ✅ -28.35 1.68 0.00 31.79 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 7? Yes No 60.79 0.00 0.00% 0.4998 1.00 0.00 60.79 0.00 Fri Oct 07 2022 ✅ -30.38 0.85 0.00 31.26 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 5.91 0.00% -1.1769 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 ✅ 6.96 24.02 0.00 30.97 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8? Yes No 1,200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9744 1.00 0.00 1,200.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 ✅ -1,169.33 0.00 0.00 30.67 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 30.56 0.00 0.00 30.56 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8800 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -220.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 10,459.33 0.00 0.00% 1.0018 1.00 0.00 10,459.33 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ -10,478.09 48.50 0.00 29.74 Trades
Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 01 2020 ✅ 29.74 0.00 0.00 29.74 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Lakers: Game 6? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 03 2021 ✅ 0.16 28.99 0.00 29.15 Trades
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 278.41 0.00% 0.8964 0.00 1.00 0.00 278.41 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -249.57 0.00 0.00 28.84 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 4,052.40 0.00 0.00% 0.9929 1.00 0.00 4,052.40 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 ✅ -4,023.80 0.00 0.00 28.60 Trades
Who will win Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennady Golovkin 3 on September 17? Alvarez Golovkin 0.00 3.26 0.00% -6.6433 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 17 2022 ✅ 21.68 6.81 0.00 28.48 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 39.0% or higher on August 4? Yes No 123.75 0.00 0.00% 0.7809 1.00 0.00 123.75 0.00 Thu Aug 04 2022 ✅ -96.63 1.13 0.00 28.25 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 0.00 80.95 0.00% 0.6612 0.00 1.00 0.00 80.95 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ -53.53 0.17 0.00 27.60 Trades
Will natural gas close above $6 on July 11, 2022? Yes No 48.01 0.00 0.00% 0.4632 1.00 0.00 48.01 0.00 Mon Jul 11 2022 ✅ -22.24 1.71 0.00 27.48 Trades
Etherfi airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 27.00 0.00 0.00 27.00 Trades
Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 26.96 0.00 0.00 26.97 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 ✅ 26.58 0.00 0.00 26.58 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 26.50 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
Will Biden and Putin meet by March 21, 2022? Yes No 0.00 501.08 0.00% 0.9480 0.00 1.00 0.00 501.08 Mon Mar 21 2022 ✅ -475.00 0.00 0.00 26.08 Trades
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 183.51 0.00% 0.8654 0.00 1.00 0.00 183.51 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -158.80 0.00 0.00 24.71 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bills vs. Chiefs Bills Chiefs 47.45 0.00 0.02% 0.4893 1.00 0.00 47.45 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 ✅ -23.22 0.25 0.00 24.48 Trades
Will Argentina qualify from Group C? Yes No 51.02 0.00 0.02% 0.6067 1.00 0.00 51.02 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -30.95 4.23 0.00 24.29 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 24.00 0.00 0.00 24.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 20,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9988 1.00 0.00 20,000.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -19,976.90 0.00 0.00 23.10 Trades
UFC 272: Who will win - Colby Covington or Jorge Masvidal? Covington Masvidal 30.96 0.00 5.00% 0.7489 1.00 0.00 30.96 0.00 Sat Mar 05 2022 ✅ -23.18 14.83 0.00 22.61 Trades
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? Yes No 0.00 2.48 0.02% -9.0211 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 ✅ 22.36 0.00 0.00 22.36 Trades
Will Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 1,519.55 0.00 0.00% 0.1418 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -215.55 237.87 0.00 22.33 Trades
Golf: Will Tiger Woods win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 1,155.30 0.00% 0.9834 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,155.30 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ -1,136.08 2.27 0.00 21.48 Trades
Will Warpcast break top 5 on the iOS App Store in February? Yes No 4,430.15 0.00 0.00% -0.0047 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 20.89 0.00 0.00 20.89 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? Yes No 8.47 0.00 0.00% -1.0837 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ 9.18 11.67 0.00 20.85 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 20.05 0.00 0.00 20.05 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 ✅ 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Who will win Nuggets v. Trail Blazers: Game 6? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 6.67% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 03 2021 ✅ 19.74 0.00 0.00 19.75 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 19,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 19,999.99 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -19,980.42 0.00 0.00 19.58 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Prince Andrew? Yes No 163.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8810 1.00 0.00 163.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -143.61 0.00 0.00 19.39 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? Democrat Republican 94.36 0.00 0.00% 0.7972 1.00 0.00 94.36 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -75.22 0.00 0.00 19.14 Trades
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 19.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 Trades
Golf: Will Collin Morikawa win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 526.49 0.00% 1.0042 0.00 1.00 0.00 526.49 Mon Apr 11 2022 ✅ -528.69 20.95 0.00 18.74 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Celtics by more than 3.5 points in their March 16 (10 PM ET) matchup? Warriors (Yes) Celtics (No) 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 16 2022 ✅ 15.80 2.93 0.00 18.73 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 9,000.04 0.00 68.97% 0.9980 1.00 0.00 9,000.04 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 ✅ -8,981.92 0.51 0.00 18.64 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 6.17 0.00% 29.1760 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -180.08 198.71 0.00 18.63 Trades
Base airdrop by June 30? Yes No 6,999.99 0.00 0.00% -0.0026 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 ✅ 18.48 0.00 0.00 18.48 Trades
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? Yes No 0.00 27.86 0.00% 0.3692 0.00 1.00 0.00 27.86 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -10.28 0.51 0.00 18.08 Trades
Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 18.00 0.00 0.00 18.00 Trades
Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 23 2023 ✅ 17.88 0.00 0.00 17.88 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24? Yes No 0.00 20.60 0.00% 0.4425 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.60 Thu Sep 29 2022 ✅ -9.12 6.12 0.00 17.60 Trades
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 17.37 0.00 0.00 17.37 Trades
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.63% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 ✅ -0.39 17.66 0.00 17.28 Trades
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 ✅ 17.05 0.00 0.00 17.05 Trades
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 11.25 5.76 0.00 17.01 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $8.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (SEP 2022 future) Yes No 0.00 4.24 0.00% -3.8609 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 22 2022 ✅ 16.37 0.41 0.00 16.78 Trades
$BONK all time high before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 16.76 0.00 0.00 16.76 Trades
US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024? Yes No 0.00 30.45 0.00% 0.4500 0.00 1.00 0.00 30.45 Tue Mar 12 2024 ✅ -13.70 0.00 0.00 16.75 Trades
Linea airdrop by June 30? Yes No 3,520.03 0.00 0.00% -0.0047 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ 16.68 0.00 0.00 16.68 Trades
Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 6.67% 0.9919 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Tue Jan 11 2022 ✅ -1,983.72 0.00 0.00 16.27 Trades
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,000.00 0.00% 0.9960 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ -3,984.06 0.00 0.00 15.94 Trades
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ 15.75 0.00 0.00 15.75 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? Yes No 0.00 2,300.00 0.00% 0.9933 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,300.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 ✅ -2,284.56 0.00 0.00 15.44 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on June 24, 2022? Yes No 0.00 305.53 0.00% 0.9589 0.00 1.00 0.00 305.53 Fri Jun 24 2022 ✅ -292.98 2.58 0.00 15.12 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5 by March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,999.99 0.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,999.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ -4,985.07 0.17 0.00 15.09 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 3,000.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0050 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 ✅ 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Who will win Jazz vs. Grizzlies: Game 5? Jazz Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 14.29% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 ✅ 14.92 0.00 0.00 14.92 Trades
US travel ban for China in 2023? Yes No 0.00 490.32 0.00% 0.9697 0.00 1.00 0.00 490.32 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -475.48 0.00 0.00 14.84 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? Yes No 13.90 0.00 0.00% -0.0198 1.00 0.00 13.90 0.00 Fri Aug 12 2022 ✅ 0.28 0.64 0.00 14.82 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 ✅ 14.50 0.00 0.00 14.50 Trades
Saudi Arabia and Yemeni Houthis peace deal by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 634.00 0.00% 0.9772 0.00 1.00 0.00 634.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -619.56 0.00 0.00 14.44 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Pelicans by more than 10.5 points in their April 19 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 15,999.99 0.02% 0.9991 0.00 1.00 0.00 15,999.99 Tue Apr 19 2022 ✅ -15,985.67 0.00 0.00 14.33 Trades
$SPX6900 all time high by Jan 31? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% -0.7025 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 14.05 0.00 0.00 14.05 Trades
New lockdown in US? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ 14.01 0.00 0.00 14.01 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Nepal vs. Papua New Guinea, 2nd ODI? Nepal Papua New Guinea 0.00 12,999.99 0.00% 0.9989 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,999.99 Sat Mar 26 2022 ✅ -12,986.00 0.00 0.00 14.00 Trades
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,999.99 0.00% 0.9954 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,999.99 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -2,986.10 0.00 0.00 13.89 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 500,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 7.14% 0.9972 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 ✅ -4,986.22 0.00 0.00 13.78 Trades
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 6.8%? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.02% 0.9973 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 0.00 Thu Feb 10 2022 ✅ -4,986.54 0.00 0.00 13.46 Trades
Will Larva Lab’s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $25M or more at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 4,000.00 0.02% 0.9966 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 Wed Feb 23 2022 ✅ -3,986.55 0.00 0.00 13.44 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? Yes No 0.00 738.56 0.00% 0.9820 0.00 1.00 0.00 738.56 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ -725.26 0.00 0.00 13.29 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 327.00 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 327.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -313.92 0.00 0.00 13.08 Trades
UFC 280: Who will win - Oliveira vs Makhachev Oliveira Makhachev 2.52 0.00 0.00% -4.5331 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 22 2022 ✅ 11.41 1.58 0.00 12.99 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 12.58 0.00 0.00 12.58 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ 12.56 0.00 0.00 12.56 Trades
Will Larva Lab’s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $20M or more at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 4,035.74 10.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,035.74 Wed Feb 23 2022 ✅ -4,023.52 0.00 0.00 12.22 Trades
Will Jane Timken win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 5,994.37 0.00% 0.9980 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,994.37 Tue May 03 2022 ✅ -5,982.24 0.00 0.00 12.12 Trades
UFC 271: Who will win - Israel Adesanya or Robert Whittaker? Adesanya Whittaker 4,000.00 0.00 11.11% 0.9970 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 0.00 Sat Feb 12 2022 ✅ -3,987.98 0.00 0.00 12.02 Trades
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,993.29 0.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,993.29 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -3,981.28 0.00 0.00 12.01 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? Yes No 29,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9996 1.00 0.00 29,999.99 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 ✅ -29,988.12 0.00 0.00 11.87 Trades
NFL Monday: Raiders vs. Chiefs Raiders Chiefs 0.00 44.90 0.02% 0.7476 0.00 1.00 0.00 44.90 Mon Oct 10 2022 ✅ -33.57 0.41 0.00 11.75 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 3.02 0.00 0.00% -3.8721 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 11.68 0.00 0.00 11.68 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 12.22 0.00 0.00% -0.9406 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ 11.50 0.00 0.00 11.50 Trades
Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 ✅ 11.38 0.00 0.00 11.38 Trades
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $1 on its 1st day of trading? Yes No 0.00 6.46 0.01% -0.9916 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 6.41 4.62 0.00 11.03 Trades
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? Yes No 0.00 217.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 217.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -206.15 0.00 0.00 10.85 Trades
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 10.79 0.00 0.00 10.79 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 199.60 0.00 0.00% 0.9485 1.00 0.00 199.60 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ -189.32 0.00 0.00 10.28 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 10.24 0.00 0.00 10.25 Trades
NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Mavericks by more than 6.5 points in their April 21, 9:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 21 2022 ✅ -17.24 27.40 0.00 10.16 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ 10.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 9.90 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 153.33 0.00 0.00% 0.9354 1.00 0.00 153.33 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -143.43 0.00 0.00 9.90 Trades
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31st, 2022? Yes No