Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.06 0.00 0.00% 0.01 0.99 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 3,086.43 311.83 0.00 3,398.26 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.09 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.08 Tue Sep 10 2024 836.40 0.00 0.00 836.49 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 244.73 0.00 0.00% -2.9521 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 722.47 0.00 0.00 722.47 Trades
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 2.65 0.00 0.00% -125.3881 0.35 0.65 0.94 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 332.89 142.80 0.00 476.63 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Fed rate cut by December 18? Yes No 0.00 77.64 0.00% 0.1666 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 18 2024 -12.94 0.00 0.00 -12.94 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.03 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -17.11 0.40 0.00 -16.71 Trades
Fed rate cut by September 18? Yes No 0.00 249.99 0.00% 0.3790 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 18 2024 -94.75 0.00 0.00 -94.75 Trades
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? Yes No 3,900.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1323 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -516.00 0.00 0.00 -516.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 30.33 0.00 0.00 30.33 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -97.56 0.00 0.00 -97.56 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 376.50 0.00 0.00 376.50 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 214.54 0.00 0.00 214.54 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 115.84 0.00 0.00 115.84 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 104.61 0.00 0.00 104.61 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 38.90 0.00 0.00 38.90 Trades
Is John McAfee alive? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 27.00 0.00 0.00 27.00 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -55.02 0.00 0.00 -55.02 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -57.00 0.00 0.00 -57.00 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 442.68 0.00 0.00% 0.1824 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -80.74 0.00 0.00 -80.74 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 1,489.09 0.00 0.00% 0.0646 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -96.14 0.00 0.00 -96.14 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? Yes No 4.75 0.00 0.00% 22.3113 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -105.98 0.00 0.00 -105.98 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 0.00 61.45 0.00% 1.7791 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -109.32 0.00 0.00 -109.32 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 323.26 0.00 0.00% 0.3533 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -114.21 0.00 0.00 -114.21 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 1,100.01 0.00 0.00% 0.1078 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -118.56 0.00 0.00 -118.56 Trades
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -181.34 0.00 0.00 -181.34 Trades
Will โ‰ฅ10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 1.25 0.00 0.00% 157.9144 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -197.60 0.00 0.00 -197.60 Trades
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Netanyahu Sinwar 0.00 231.85 0.00% 1.1410 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 -264.54 0.00 0.00 -264.54 Trades
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? Yes No 0.00 471.00 0.00% 0.5957 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -280.56 0.00 0.00 -280.56 Trades
Canada federal election in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -297.19 0.00 0.00 -297.19 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -303.36 0.00 0.00 -303.36 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 0.00 505.88 0.00% 0.7433 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -376.03 0.00 0.00 -376.03 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? Yes No 0.03 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -378.74 0.00 0.00 -378.74 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 4,585.37 0.00 0.00% 0.0835 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -382.76 0.00 0.00 -382.76 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 28.88 0.00 0.00% 13.2746 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -383.38 0.00 0.00 -383.38 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 2,899.87 0.00 0.00% 0.1370 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -397.15 0.00 0.00 -397.15 Trades
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? Yes No 0.00 404.96 0.00% 1.0189 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 01 2024 -412.63 0.00 0.00 -412.63 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 582.04 0.00 0.00% 0.7169 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -417.28 0.00 0.00 -417.28 Trades
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? Yes No 1,400.50 0.00 0.00% 0.3256 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -455.95 0.00 0.00 -455.95 Trades
Doge ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 11,811.27 0.00 0.00% 0.0425 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -501.56 0.00 0.00 -501.56 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 3,298.85 0.00 0.00% 0.1567 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -516.87 0.00 0.00 -516.87 Trades
Fed rate cut by November 7? Yes No 592.83 0.00 0.00% 0.9020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 07 2024 -534.71 0.00 0.00 -534.71 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 0.46 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -540.24 0.00 0.00 -540.24 Trades
Will 2024 be better than 2023? Yes No 1,800.01 0.00 0.00% 0.4659 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -838.58 0.00 0.00 -838.58 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -960.04 0.00 0.00 -960.04 Trades
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? Yes No 0.00 1,818.36 0.00% 0.6770 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,231.08 0.00 0.00 -1,231.08 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 1,660.62 0.00 0.00% 0.8108 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,346.50 0.00 0.00 -1,346.50 Trades
Solana ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 1,000.51 0.00 0.00% 1.5640 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,564.83 0.00 0.00 -1,564.83 Trades
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 22 2024 -1,811.16 0.00 0.00 -1,811.16 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.01 0.99 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -4,025.23 0.00 0.00 -4,025.23 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 โœ… 40,649.61 0.00 0.00 40,649.61 Trades
Taiko airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 24,212.18 0.00 0.00 24,212.18 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 โœ… 17,881.77 840.41 0.00 18,722.18 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 โœ… 18,494.22 0.00 0.00 18,494.22 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 โœ… 17,953.34 0.00 0.00 17,953.34 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 โœ… 17,356.50 0.00 0.00 17,356.50 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… 16,518.70 0.00 0.00 16,518.70 Trades
Will ErdoฤŸan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 โœ… 14,629.87 0.00 0.00 14,629.87 Trades
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 โœ… 14,408.86 1.25 0.00 14,410.10 Trades
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 โœ… 12,525.70 0.00 0.00 12,525.70 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 265.70 0.01% -8.3359 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 โœ… 2,214.81 9,715.62 0.00 11,930.43 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 โœ… 11,528.29 0.00 0.00 11,528.29 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (ไพฏๅ‹ๅฎœ) or Ko Wen-je (ๆŸฏๆ–‡ๅ“ฒ)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 โœ… 10,785.31 0.00 0.00 10,785.31 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 25,928.99 0.00% 0.5910 0.00 1.00 0.00 25,928.99 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -15,324.09 0.00 0.00 10,604.91 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 โœ… 9,376.99 903.04 0.00 10,280.03 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 โœ… 9,200.10 0.00 0.00 9,200.10 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.45 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.45 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 โœ… 7,735.53 1,248.70 0.00 8,984.68 Trades
Sierra Leone Presidential Election: Will Julius Maada Bio win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 24 2023 โœ… 8,465.85 0.00 0.00 8,465.85 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 2.84 0.00% -2266.4338 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 โœ… 6,425.54 674.88 0.00 7,100.42 Trades
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 โœ… 6,400.82 2.93 0.00 6,403.75 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 โœ… 6,280.66 0.00 0.00 6,280.66 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 โœ… 6,230.97 0.00 0.00 6,230.97 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 80,820.29 0.00 0.00% 0.9345 1.00 0.00 80,820.29 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 โœ… -75,524.79 218.39 0.00 5,513.89 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 5,322.59 0.00 0.00 5,322.59 Trades
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 4.17% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 17 2021 โœ… 5,188.15 79.00 0.00 5,267.15 Trades
Will TD get over 11% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 โœ… 5,205.40 0.00 0.00 5,205.40 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? Yes No 6,605.21 0.00 0.00% 0.2252 1.00 0.00 6,605.21 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 โœ… -1,487.37 0.00 0.00 5,117.84 Trades
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 14 2024 โœ… 5,076.11 0.00 0.00 5,076.11 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? Yes No 0.00 2,216.71 0.00% -2.0261 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 4,491.38 0.00 0.00 4,491.38 Trades
Sui Airdrop by May 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 โœ… 4,371.51 0.00 0.00 4,371.51 Trades
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 โœ… 4,199.24 0.00 0.00 4,199.24 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 0.00 13,417.36 0.00% 0.7926 0.00 1.00 0.00 13,417.36 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -10,634.77 1,340.37 0.00 4,122.96 Trades
Will Syriza win >31% of votes in the Greek election? (first round) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 20 2023 โœ… 4,102.00 0.00 0.00 4,102.00 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 โœ… 4,089.00 0.00 0.00 4,089.00 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 12,937,618.12 -2071.57% 0.9997 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,937,618.12 Wed Jun 01 2022 โœ… -12,933,597.63 30.55 0.00 4,051.04 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 โœ… 3,936.35 0.00 0.00 3,936.35 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? Yes No 11,840.61 0.00 0.00% 0.6752 1.00 0.00 11,840.61 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 โœ… -7,994.21 6.14 0.00 3,852.54 Trades
Will N.D. win >35% of votes the Greek election? (first round) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 20 2023 โœ… 3,838.00 0.00 0.00 3,838.00 Trades
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 15,379.16 0.00% 0.7602 0.00 1.00 0.00 15,379.16 Sun Feb 12 2023 โœ… -11,691.97 0.00 0.00 3,687.19 Trades
Edmonton Oilers longest winning streak in NHL history? (>17 games) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 โœ… 3,647.45 0.00 0.00 3,647.45 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 129.70 0.00 0.00% -23.6880 1.00 0.00 129.70 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… 3,072.28 416.68 0.00 3,618.66 Trades
Will Rodolfo Hernรกndez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 8,312.57 0.00% 0.5937 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,312.57 Sun May 29 2022 โœ… -4,935.55 160.28 0.00 3,537.30 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 โœ… 3,480.72 0.00 0.00 3,480.72 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 3,306.65 0.00 0.00 3,306.65 Trades
Will Ohioโ€™s abortion referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 โœ… 3,160.31 0.00 0.00 3,160.31 Trades
Will N.D. win a plurality in the Greek election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 โœ… 3,105.14 0.00 0.00 3,105.14 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 โœ… 2,512.72 589.50 0.00 3,102.22 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 โœ… 3,073.22 0.00 0.00 3,073.22 Trades
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 โœ… 3,035.22 0.00 0.00 3,035.22 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? Yes No 6.55 0.00 0.00% -211.2850 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 โœ… 1,383.13 1,491.21 0.00 2,874.35 Trades
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 3,817.07 0.00% 0.2830 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,817.07 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -1,080.39 82.90 0.00 2,819.58 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 30? Yes No 5,878.85 0.00 0.00% 0.5229 1.00 0.00 5,878.85 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… -3,073.76 0.00 0.00 2,805.09 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? Yes No 0.00 22,517.58 0.00% 0.9266 0.00 1.00 0.00 22,517.58 Fri Jan 06 2023 โœ… -20,863.74 1,091.00 0.00 2,744.84 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 531.93 0.00% -1.2090 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… 643.13 2,081.44 0.00 2,724.57 Trades
Confederate Memorial at Arlington Cemetery removed by Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 โœ… 2,691.16 0.00 0.00 2,691.16 Trades
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? Yes No 5,744.21 0.00 0.00% 0.5486 1.00 0.00 5,744.21 0.00 Sat Nov 18 2023 โœ… -3,151.02 0.00 0.00 2,593.19 Trades
What will Coinbaseโ€™s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? Long Short 0.33 0.00 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.26 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 โœ… 2,516.59 0.00 0.00 2,516.85 Trades
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 โœ… 2,457.61 0.00 0.00 2,457.61 Trades
Will Gustavo Petro win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 6,675.49 0.00 0.00% 0.6345 1.00 0.00 6,675.49 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 โœ… -4,235.65 1.39 0.00 2,441.23 Trades
Texans vs. Browns Texans Browns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 โœ… 2,316.80 0.00 0.00 2,316.80 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 2,421.68 0.00 0.00% 0.0635 1.00 0.00 2,421.68 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -153.78 0.00 0.00 2,267.89 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 5,139.26 0.00% 0.5592 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,139.26 Sat Oct 21 2023 โœ… -2,874.06 0.00 0.00 2,265.19 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,099.44 0.00% 0.8149 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,099.44 Thu Sep 01 2022 โœ… -3,340.47 1,324.80 0.00 2,083.78 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,946.95 0.00% -0.4145 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 2,050.68 14.81 0.00 2,065.50 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,913.49 0.00% 0.7120 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,913.49 Wed Jun 15 2022 โœ… -4,922.33 30.22 0.00 2,021.38 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 610.65 0.00 1.44% -1.0613 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 โœ… 648.09 1,360.34 0.00 2,008.43 Trades
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 โœ… 1,963.46 0.00 0.00 1,963.46 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 โœ… 1,961.62 0.00 0.00 1,961.62 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 โœ… 561.21 1,377.71 0.00 1,938.92 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 221.77 0.00 0.00% -2.5763 1.00 0.00 221.77 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… 571.35 1,109.91 0.00 1,903.03 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 โœ… 104.10 1,742.77 0.00 1,846.87 Trades
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 1,780.40 0.00 0.00 1,780.40 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 82,016.68 0.00% 0.9784 0.00 1.00 0.00 82,016.68 Tue Mar 08 2022 โœ… -80,244.62 0.24 0.00 1,772.31 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 โœ… 1,101.78 575.78 0.00 1,677.56 Trades
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 1,669.77 0.00 0.00 1,669.77 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 1,663.30 0.00 0.00 1,663.30 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 โœ… -26.01 1,657.48 0.00 1,631.47 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 โœ… 1,596.92 0.00 0.00 1,596.92 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.32 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.32 Tue Nov 30 2021 โœ… 1,228.05 329.62 0.00 1,557.99 Trades
Cowboys vs. Packers Cowboys Packers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 โœ… 1,500.00 0.00 0.00 1,500.00 Trades
How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 โœ… 1,467.46 0.00 0.00 1,467.46 Trades
Bangladesh Election: Sheikh Hasina reelected as Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 07 2024 โœ… 1,450.75 0.00 0.00 1,450.75 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 โœ… 1,394.85 0.00 0.00 1,394.85 Trades
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 โœ… 1,384.26 0.00 0.00 1,384.26 Trades
NFL: Who will win Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Dallas Cowboys, scheduled for September 11, 8:20 PM ET? Buccaneers Cowboys 2,711.00 0.00 0.02% 0.5376 1.00 0.00 2,711.00 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 โœ… -1,457.35 126.69 0.00 1,380.34 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 2,002.51 0.00 0.00% 0.4261 1.00 0.00 2,002.51 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -853.17 187.16 0.01 1,336.50 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? Yes No 2,164.94 0.00 0.00% 0.4052 1.00 0.00 2,164.94 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… -877.20 45.12 0.00 1,332.86 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 6.69 0.00 0.00% -186.7855 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… 1,250.39 42.52 0.00 1,292.92 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 55,849.78 0.00 0.00% 0.9770 1.00 0.00 55,849.78 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 โœ… -54,562.53 0.07 0.00 1,287.31 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 1,833.68 0.00% 0.3138 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,833.68 Wed Mar 01 2023 โœ… -575.39 0.00 0.00 1,258.29 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,725.98 0.00% 0.3034 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,725.98 Mon Apr 25 2022 โœ… -523.73 35.60 0.00 1,237.85 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 1,232.32 0.00 0.00 1,232.32 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before March? Yes No 1,535.98 0.00 0.00% 0.1983 1.00 0.00 1,535.98 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -304.66 0.00 0.00 1,231.32 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? Yes No 6,733.54 0.00 0.00% 0.8307 1.00 0.00 6,733.54 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 โœ… -5,593.79 75.20 0.00 1,214.96 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 225,329.54 0.92% 0.0008 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 โœ… -182.10 1,389.26 0.00 1,207.16 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 5,910.85 0.00 0.00% 0.8066 1.00 0.00 5,910.85 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 โœ… -4,767.72 19.31 0.00 1,162.44 Trades
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 โœ… 1,152.95 0.00 0.00 1,152.95 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Trump 5 or more times in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,900.00 0.00% 0.6055 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,900.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -1,756.00 0.00 0.00 1,144.00 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.10 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 โœ… 1,050.70 57.31 0.00 1,108.02 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,359.12 0.01% 0.7046 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,359.12 Sat Oct 01 2022 โœ… -2,366.91 102.92 0.00 1,095.13 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 9.10 0.00 0.80% 16.2084 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 โœ… -147.43 1,232.63 0.00 1,085.19 Trades
Will Labor win more seats than the Liberal-Nationals in the 2022 Australian Federal Election? Yes No 7,662.17 0.00 0.00% 0.8959 1.00 0.00 7,662.17 0.00 Sat May 21 2022 โœ… -6,864.52 277.98 0.00 1,075.63 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 778.99 0.00 0.00% 0.6551 1.00 0.00 778.99 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -510.34 799.12 0.00 1,067.77 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 3,810.04 0.00 0.00% 0.7625 1.00 0.00 3,810.04 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 โœ… -2,905.34 138.28 0.00 1,042.98 Trades
US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 โœ… 1,038.87 0.00 0.00 1,038.87 Trades
Will Chile vote to change its constitution? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 โœ… 1,002.00 0.00 0.00 1,002.00 Trades
Starknet airdrop in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 984.75 0.00 0.00 984.75 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,467.75 0.02% 0.3803 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,467.75 Tue Dec 13 2022 โœ… -558.18 75.08 0.00 984.66 Trades
NFL Thursday: Colts vs. Broncos Colts Broncos 1,393.05 0.00 0.02% 0.3656 1.00 0.00 1,393.05 0.00 Thu Oct 06 2022 โœ… -509.23 14.28 0.00 898.10 Trades
Lions vs. Buccaneers Lions Buccaneers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 21 2024 โœ… 870.00 0.00 0.00 870.00 Trades
[From kain.eth] Will Synthetix capture more single day fees than Bitcoin by September 8? Yes No 0.00 7.72 0.00% -111.7433 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 09 2022 โœ… 862.38 4.95 0.00 867.33 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 3,150.00 0.00% 0.7256 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,150.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -2,285.50 0.00 0.00 864.50 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,500.10 0.00% 0.4416 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,500.10 Mon Aug 08 2022 โœ… -662.44 11.11 0.00 848.77 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 14,500.00 0.00% 0.9423 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,500.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 โœ… -13,664.03 0.00 0.00 835.97 Trades
Ravens vs. Chiefs Ravens Chiefs 0.00 1,224.84 0.00% 0.3237 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,224.84 Sun Jan 28 2024 โœ… -396.45 0.00 0.00 828.39 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? Yes No 9.06 0.00 0.00% -89.1100 1.00 0.00 9.06 0.00 Tue Aug 01 2023 โœ… 807.23 0.00 0.00 816.29 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 213k for the week ending on September 10? Yes No 0.00 1,564.08 0.00% 0.4921 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,564.08 Thu Sep 15 2022 โœ… -769.64 16.80 0.00 811.24 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from March to April 2022? Yes No 2,441.80 0.00 0.01% 0.6785 1.00 0.00 2,441.80 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 โœ… -1,656.84 23.91 0.00 808.87 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? Yes No 12,684.60 0.00 0.00% 0.9385 1.00 0.00 12,684.60 0.00 Sat Oct 30 2021 โœ… -11,904.62 28.85 0.00 808.83 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.00 2,400.00 0.00% 0.6644 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,400.00 Fri Apr 19 2024 โœ… -1,594.46 0.00 0.00 805.54 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1,765.45 0.00% 0.5470 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,765.45 Sun Jan 14 2024 โœ… -965.63 0.00 0.00 799.81 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) Dems/Warnock Reps/Loeffler 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 โœ… 799.74 0.00 0.00 799.74 Trades
UK election called by end of year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 795.00 0.00 0.00 795.00 Trades
Will Man City win the Premier League? Yes No 1,550.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4900 1.00 0.00 1,550.00 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 โœ… -759.50 0.00 0.00 790.50 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Uruguay beat Ghana? Yes No 1,623.56 0.00 0.02% 0.5384 1.00 0.00 1,623.56 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 โœ… -874.14 21.95 0.00 771.38 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - Will France beat Tunisia? Yes No 0.00 1,040.06 0.02% 0.3026 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,040.06 Wed Nov 30 2022 โœ… -314.73 43.37 0.00 768.70 Trades
Ethena airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 763.79 0.00 0.00 763.80 Trades
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 1,046.40 0.00 0.00% 0.2735 1.00 0.00 1,046.40 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -286.15 0.00 0.00 760.25 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 โœ… 746.42 0.00 0.00 746.42 Trades
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 โœ… 743.63 0.00 0.00 743.63 Trades
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? Yes No 868.81 0.00 0.00% 0.1460 1.00 0.00 868.81 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 โœ… -126.89 0.00 0.00 741.92 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… 735.67 0.00 0.00 735.67 Trades
Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election? Yes No 0.00 705.98 0.26% 0.1487 0.00 1.00 0.00 705.98 Tue May 17 2022 โœ… -104.96 120.62 0.00 721.64 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Keiko Fujimori Pedro Castillo 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 โœ… 314.71 403.72 0.00 718.43 Trades
Will George Santos announce he's running for congress before May? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… 712.00 0.00 0.00 712.00 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 705.62 0.00 0.00 705.62 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? Yes No 0.00 1,303.27 0.03% 0.5093 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,303.27 Fri Sep 30 2022 โœ… -663.74 54.54 0.00 694.07 Trades
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? Yes No 0.00 890.00 0.00% 0.2219 0.00 1.00 0.00 890.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -197.45 0.00 0.00 692.55 Trades
Will Walmart buy Vizio in February? Yes No 1,700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5959 1.00 0.00 1,700.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -1,013.00 0.00 0.00 687.00 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 871.35 0.00% 0.2152 0.00 1.00 0.00 871.35 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -187.51 0.00 0.00 683.84 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 โœ… 642.71 34.52 0.00 677.23 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.59 0.00% -0.0756 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 โœ… 0.50 664.16 0.00 664.66 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03ยฐC or higher) Yes No 0.04 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 658.91 0.00 0.00 658.95 Trades
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 3,989.04 0.00% 0.8564 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,989.04 Wed May 18 2022 โœ… -3,416.25 85.60 0.00 658.39 Trades
Will Kanye release โ€˜Vulturesโ€™ by Jan 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 โœ… 653.55 0.00 0.00 653.55 Trades
Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 05 2020 โœ… 651.66 0.00 0.00 651.66 Trades
NBA: Will the Wizards beat the Trail Blazers by more than 6.5 points in their March 12 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 1,312.07 0.00% 0.5079 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,312.07 Sat Mar 12 2022 โœ… -666.34 5.45 0.00 651.18 Trades
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. 49ers Cowboys 49ers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 22 2023 โœ… 649.67 0.00 0.00 649.67 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 4.43 0.00 0.00% -138.5958 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 โœ… 614.01 35.08 0.00 649.09 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 635.00 0.00 0.00 635.00 Trades
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 โœ… 630.60 0.00 0.00 630.60 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,700.32 0.00% 0.8307 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,700.32 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -3,073.70 0.00 0.00 626.62 Trades
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 11 2024 โœ… 620.82 0.00 0.00 620.82 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 3,660.20 0.00 0.00% -0.1695 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 28 2024 โœ… 620.31 0.00 0.00 620.31 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 0.00 9.37 5.83% -56.4567 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… 528.97 87.00 0.00 615.96 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.16 0.00 0.01% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 โœ… 485.15 127.56 0.00 612.70 Trades
Will "China" be said 15 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 โœ… 610.00 0.00 0.00 610.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Bucks vs. Jazz, scheduled for March 14 (10 PM ET)? Bucks Jazz 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 โœ… 593.19 16.52 0.00 609.71 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 โœ… 606.95 0.00 0.00 606.95 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference? Yes No 0.00 47.08 0.00% -9.3659 0.00 1.00 0.00 47.08 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… 440.96 118.56 0.00 606.60 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 605.22 0.00 0.00 605.22 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… 604.88 0.00 0.00 604.88 Trades
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? Yes No 789.73 0.00 0.01% 0.2536 1.00 0.00 789.73 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 โœ… -200.25 6.12 0.00 595.59 Trades
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 2,579.67 0.00% 0.7697 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,579.67 Tue Nov 07 2023 โœ… -1,985.55 0.00 0.00 594.12 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 4,412.41 0.00% 0.8664 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,412.41 Tue Oct 31 2023 โœ… -3,822.75 0.00 0.00 589.66 Trades
Will the Gรคvle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,014.64 0.00% 0.8848 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,014.64 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -4,436.95 0.00 0.00 577.69 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 1,745.75 0.00 0.00% 0.6763 1.00 0.00 1,745.75 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 โœ… -1,180.60 4.16 0.00 569.31 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 โœ… 550.10 0.00 0.00 550.10 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 0.00 1,921.45 0.00% 0.7161 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,921.45 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -1,375.95 0.00 0.00 545.50 Trades
Will SOL outperform ETH in January? Yes No 0.00 1,004.02 0.00% 0.4586 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,004.02 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -460.42 0.00 0.00 543.59 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 2,956.99 0.00 0.00% 0.8807 1.00 0.00 2,956.99 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -2,604.25 180.69 0.00 533.43 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? Yes No 987.79 0.00 0.00% 0.5030 1.00 0.00 987.79 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 โœ… -496.90 39.35 0.00 530.24 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 192,407.17 0.00 263.73% -0.0025 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 โœ… 481.94 45.83 0.00 527.77 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 5,863.93 0.00% 0.9122 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,863.93 Tue May 31 2022 โœ… -5,349.13 6.32 0.00 521.12 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 8.5 points in their May 4, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 1,005.41 0.00 0.00% 0.4936 1.00 0.00 1,005.41 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 โœ… -496.25 5.20 0.00 514.35 Trades
Will Fratelli D'italia or Partito Democratico win more seats in the Italian Chamber in the 2022 election? Partito Democratico Fratelli D'Italia 0.00 2,594.15 0.00% 0.8110 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,594.15 Mon Sep 26 2022 โœ… -2,103.77 14.19 0.00 504.57 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 94.90 0.00% -3.3863 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 โœ… 321.36 179.15 0.00 500.50 Trades
Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 26 2024 โœ… 497.78 0.00 0.00 497.78 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? Democrat Republican 2,663.03 0.00 0.00% 0.8862 1.00 0.00 2,663.03 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -2,360.01 194.57 0.00 497.59 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will any film win 6 or more awards? Yes No 5,768.69 0.00 0.00% 0.9155 1.00 0.00 5,768.69 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 โœ… -5,281.02 7.70 0.00 495.36 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 1,096.56 0.00 0.00% 0.5510 1.00 0.00 1,096.56 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 โœ… -604.17 0.00 0.00 492.39 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 10.88 0.00 0.01% -39.7782 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… 432.96 55.90 0.00 488.86 Trades
Will Canada hold a federal election in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.02 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 โœ… 483.58 0.00 0.00 483.58 Trades
Will Brandon Johnson win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 โœ… 483.00 0.00 0.00 483.00 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 481.35 0.00 0.00 481.35 Trades
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 20 2020 โœ… 397.10 78.21 0.00 475.31 Trades
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 โœ… 465.00 0.00 0.00 465.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden get Coronavirus before the election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 04 2020 โœ… 464.90 0.00 0.00 464.90 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 557.72 0.00 0.00% 0.1667 1.00 0.00 557.72 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 โœ… -92.96 0.00 0.00 464.76 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Pakistan vs. Australia, 3rd ODI? Pakistan Australia 1,174.85 0.00 0.00% 0.6157 1.00 0.00 1,174.85 0.00 Sat Apr 02 2022 โœ… -723.35 8.75 0.00 460.24 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) Dems/Ossoff Reps/Perdue 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 โœ… 455.76 0.00 0.00 455.76 Trades
JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 23 2023 โœ… 455.47 0.00 0.00 455.47 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 โœ… 447.90 0.00 0.00 447.90 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 445.97 0.00 0.00 445.97 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 โœ… 437.00 0.00 0.00 437.00 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 7,762.98 0.00 0.00% 0.9442 1.00 0.00 7,762.98 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -7,329.48 0.00 0.00 433.50 Trades
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 1,430.00 0.00% 0.6974 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,430.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 โœ… -997.25 0.00 0.00 432.75 Trades
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 1,883.97 0.00% 0.8070 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,883.97 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -1,520.43 62.32 0.00 425.86 Trades
Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? Yes No 5,007.89 0.00 0.01% 0.9344 1.00 0.00 5,007.89 0.00 Wed Aug 03 2022 โœ… -4,679.43 94.30 0.00 422.76 Trades
Aleo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 3,450.68 0.00 0.00% -0.1223 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… 422.03 0.00 0.00 422.03 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 2,715.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8470 1.00 0.00 2,715.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -2,299.50 0.00 0.00 415.50 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? Yes No 667.13 0.00 0.00% 0.3918 1.00 0.00 667.13 0.00 Fri Jun 24 2022 โœ… -261.35 3.78 0.00 409.56 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 0.00 824.05 0.00% 0.5121 0.00 1.00 0.00 824.05 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -421.97 7.18 0.00 409.26 Trades
Jupiter airdrop by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 405.65 0.00 0.00 405.65 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Ecuador beat Senegal? Yes No 0.00 916.39 0.02% 0.5677 0.00 1.00 0.00 916.39 Tue Nov 29 2022 โœ… -520.27 0.00 0.00 396.12 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,535.90 0.00% 0.9501 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,535.90 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -5,259.45 114.41 0.00 390.86 Trades
Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.25% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 โœ… 379.75 0.00 0.00 379.75 Trades
Formula 1: Who will finish ahead at the Saudi Arabia Grand Prix: Max Verstappen or Charles Leclerc? Max Verstappen Charles Leclerc 2,972.54 0.00 0.00% 0.8742 1.00 0.00 2,972.54 0.00 Mon Mar 28 2022 โœ… -2,598.46 3.54 0.00 377.62 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22? Yes No 0.00 3,858.39 0.00% 0.9077 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,858.39 Wed Apr 20 2022 โœ… -3,502.43 21.04 0.00 377.00 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 5,987.71 0.00 0.00% -0.0615 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 โœ… 368.31 0.00 0.00 368.31 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 5,729.94 0.00% 0.9360 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,729.94 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… -5,363.11 0.00 0.00 366.83 Trades
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 25 2023 โœ… 365.60 0.00 0.00 365.60 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 990.85 0.00 0.00% 0.7776 1.00 0.00 990.85 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 โœ… -770.49 136.20 0.00 356.55 Trades
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… 352.60 0.00 0.00 352.60 Trades
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? Lee Jae-myung Yoon Seok-youl 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 โœ… 330.98 20.26 0.00 351.24 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win 2nd place in the Republican primary for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 532.26 0.00% 0.3621 0.00 1.00 0.00 532.26 Tue May 03 2022 โœ… -192.75 11.43 0.00 350.95 Trades
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 1,250.00 0.00% 0.7200 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,250.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 โœ… -900.00 0.00 0.00 350.00 Trades
Ethereum all time high by end of March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 346.11 0.00 0.00 346.11 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 458.42 0.00% 0.2839 0.00 1.00 0.00 458.42 Tue Aug 16 2022 โœ… -130.16 15.75 0.00 344.01 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) Protasiewicz Kelly 2,335.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8528 1.00 0.00 2,335.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 โœ… -1,991.40 0.00 0.00 343.60 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say gay in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,458.00 0.00% 0.7644 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,458.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -1,114.50 0.00 0.00 343.50 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 โœ… 342.50 0.00 0.00 342.50 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 5,451.04 0.00% 0.9381 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,451.04 Wed Feb 01 2023 โœ… -5,113.49 0.00 0.00 337.55 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 19,855.26 0.00% 0.9831 0.00 1.00 0.00 19,855.26 Tue Mar 08 2022 โœ… -19,520.42 0.00 0.00 334.85 Trades
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,954.64 0.00% 0.8896 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,954.64 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -2,628.45 0.00 0.00 326.18 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,227.48 0.28% 0.9306 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,227.48 Sat Oct 01 2022 โœ… -3,003.52 101.61 0.00 325.57 Trades
Chiefs vs. Dolphins Chiefs Dolphins 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 โœ… 325.17 0.00 0.00 325.17 Trades
World Cup: Monday - Will Brazil beat Switzerland? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 28 2022 โœ… 325.03 0.00 0.00 325.03 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,699.89 0.00% 0.8800 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,699.89 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -2,375.90 0.00 0.00 323.99 Trades
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 โœ… 323.55 0.00 0.00 323.55 Trades
Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis Haney Progrias 1,358.33 0.00 0.00% 0.7663 1.00 0.00 1,358.33 0.00 Sat Dec 09 2023 โœ… -1,040.83 0.00 0.00 317.50 Trades
Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? Yes No 0.00 6,472.85 0.00% 0.9513 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,472.85 Mon Sep 20 2021 โœ… -6,157.49 0.00 0.00 315.35 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $9 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 656.33 0.00% 0.5463 0.00 1.00 0.00 656.33 Mon Sep 12 2022 โœ… -358.57 16.18 0.00 313.94 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 388.89 0.00 0.00% 0.1929 1.00 0.00 388.89 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 โœ… -75.00 0.00 0.00 313.89 Trades
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 03 2021 โœ… 309.32 0.00 0.00 309.32 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 308.73 0.00 0.00 308.73 Trades
Continued US strikes against Houthis? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 โœ… 308.00 0.00 0.00 308.00 Trades
NFL Sunday: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Chiefs Buccaneers 571.81 0.00 0.02% 0.4734 1.00 0.00 571.81 0.00 Sun Oct 02 2022 โœ… -270.70 2.76 0.00 303.87 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 โœ… 303.09 0.00 0.00 303.09 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 โœ… 300.85 0.00 0.00 300.85 Trades
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 โœ… 298.38 0.00 0.00 298.38 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 555.34 0.00 0.00% 0.8014 1.00 0.00 555.34 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -445.03 185.26 0.00 295.57 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 4.08 0.00 0.01% -32.9035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 โœ… 134.21 161.28 0.00 295.49 Trades
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? Yes No 12,466.13 0.00 0.00% 0.9768 1.00 0.00 12,466.13 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 โœ… -12,177.04 3.98 0.00 293.08 Trades
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa Gonzรกlez win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 โœ… 290.68 0.00 0.00 290.68 Trades
NBA: Who will win Nets vs. Celtics, scheduled for April 23, 7:30 PM ET? Nets Celtics 0.00 482.70 0.00% 0.4075 0.00 1.00 0.00 482.70 Sat Apr 23 2022 โœ… -196.70 3.28 0.00 289.28 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Jessica Chastain win Best Actress? Yes No 624.47 0.00 0.00% 0.5705 1.00 0.00 624.47 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 โœ… -356.27 17.65 0.00 285.85 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 72.68 0.00% -3.9219 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 285.05 0.00 0.00 285.05 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… 280.76 0.00 0.00 280.76 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyโ€™s? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 280.65 0.00 0.00 280.65 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 280.00 0.00 0.00 280.00 Trades
Rabby airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… 279.01 0.00 0.00 279.02 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 โœ… 277.37 0.00 0.00 277.37 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23? Yes No 793.44 0.00 0.00% 0.6572 1.00 0.00 793.44 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 โœ… -521.48 3.17 0.00 275.14 Trades
NFL Monday: Broncos vs. Chargers Broncos Chargers 5.46 0.00 0.02% -48.9331 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 17 2022 โœ… 267.16 5.52 0.00 272.69 Trades
Will Hilary hit US as a hurricane? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 โœ… 270.20 0.00 0.00 270.20 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 โœ… 268.75 0.00 0.00 268.75 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 โœ… 266.47 0.00 0.00 266.47 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? Yes No 11,694.58 0.00 0.00% 0.9779 1.00 0.00 11,694.58 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 โœ… -11,435.68 5.93 0.00 264.84 Trades
NFL Thursday: Dolphins vs. Bengals Dolphins Bengals 0.00 720.07 0.02% 0.6418 0.00 1.00 0.00 720.07 Thu Sep 29 2022 โœ… -462.13 5.08 0.00 263.02 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? Yes No 0.00 455.00 0.00% 0.4235 0.00 1.00 0.00 455.00 Mon Dec 04 2023 โœ… -192.70 0.00 0.00 262.30 Trades
College Football Championship: Michigan vs. Washington Michigan Washington 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 08 2024 โœ… 260.16 0.00 0.00 260.16 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 837.57 0.00 0.00% 0.6955 1.00 0.00 837.57 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -582.57 3.99 0.00 258.99 Trades
NFL Sunday: Giants vs. Packers Giants Packers 312.08 0.00 0.00% 0.2141 1.00 0.00 312.08 0.00 Sun Oct 09 2022 โœ… -66.81 0.74 0.00 246.01 Trades
Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 5.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 01 2021 โœ… 245.48 0.00 0.00 245.48 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Mavericks by more than 4.5 points in their February 27 (7.30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 496.96 0.00% 0.5260 0.00 1.00 0.00 496.96 Sun Feb 27 2022 โœ… -261.41 7.61 0.00 243.15 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 800.45 0.00% 0.6975 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.45 Sat Sep 30 2023 โœ… -558.34 0.00 0.00 242.11 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 646.32 0.00% 0.6294 0.00 1.00 0.00 646.32 Mon Sep 12 2022 โœ… -406.80 1.80 0.00 241.32 Trades
World Cup: Sunday - Will Belgium beat Morocco? Yes No 0.00 421.40 0.02% 0.4787 0.00 1.00 0.00 421.40 Sun Nov 27 2022 โœ… -201.71 21.23 0.00 240.93 Trades
World Cup: Friday - Will Netherlands beat Ecuador? Yes No 0.00 413.24 0.02% 0.4288 0.00 1.00 0.00 413.24 Fri Nov 25 2022 โœ… -177.18 2.14 0.00 238.21 Trades
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. Eagles Cowboys Eagles 0.00 816.54 0.02% 0.7202 0.00 1.00 0.00 816.54 Sun Oct 16 2022 โœ… -588.09 1.04 0.00 229.49 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 3.5 points in their May 10, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 5.47 0.00% -41.4144 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 10 2022 โœ… 226.56 2.10 0.00 228.67 Trades
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? Yes No 0.00 10,999.99 0.00% 0.9795 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,999.99 Sun Mar 06 2022 โœ… -10,774.26 0.00 0.00 225.73 Trades
Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… 182.70 42.48 0.00 225.18 Trades
NFL Sunday: Jets vs. Packers Jets Packers 292.69 0.00 0.02% 0.2397 1.00 0.00 292.69 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 โœ… -70.17 1.80 0.00 224.32 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? Yes No 137.38 0.00 0.00% -0.3472 1.00 0.00 137.38 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 โœ… 47.70 38.32 0.00 223.40 Trades
NBA: Who will win Celtics vs. Bucks, scheduled for May 3, 7:00 PM ET? Celtics Bucks 583.13 0.00 0.00% 0.6250 1.00 0.00 583.13 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 โœ… -364.45 3.94 0.00 222.62 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Will Poland beat Saudi Arabia? Yes No 418.85 0.00 0.02% 0.5275 1.00 0.00 418.85 0.00 Sat Nov 26 2022 โœ… -220.94 23.26 0.00 221.17 Trades
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 โœ… 219.20 0.36 0.00 219.55 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 โœ… 215.00 0.00 0.00 215.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Navalny in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 2,050.00 0.00% 0.8966 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,050.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -1,838.00 0.00 0.00 212.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 7.5 points in their May 2, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 426.15 0.00 0.00% 0.5127 1.00 0.00 426.15 0.00 Mon May 02 2022 โœ… -218.50 4.14 0.00 211.79 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 210.75 0.00 0.00 210.76 Trades
Will Tony Snell be signed today? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 02 2024 โœ… 210.28 0.00 0.00 210.28 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Mavericks by more than 6.5 points in their May 4, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 401.99 0.00 0.00% 0.4941 1.00 0.00 401.99 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 โœ… -198.64 3.11 0.00 206.46 Trades
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 205.21 0.00 0.00 205.21 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 205.21 0.00 0.00 205.21 Trades
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.5900 0.00 1.00 0.00 500.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 โœ… -295.00 0.00 0.00 205.00 Trades
Will Spain have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, France, and Italy on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 376.71 10.00% 0.4646 0.00 1.00 0.00 376.71 Wed Mar 02 2022 โœ… -175.00 0.00 0.00 201.71 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 โœ… 201.61 0.00 0.00 201.62 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Australia vs. England, 2nd T20I, starting on October 12? Australia England 0.00 384.91 0.00% 0.4915 0.00 1.00 0.00 384.91 Wed Oct 12 2022 โœ… -189.17 5.11 0.00 200.85 Trades
Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 681.43 0.00% 0.7067 0.00 1.00 0.00 681.43 Wed Jun 01 2022 โœ… -481.55 0.00 0.00 199.88 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 59.05 0.00 0.00% -3.3557 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 โœ… 198.15 0.00 0.00 198.15 Trades
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 โœ… 197.76 0.00 0.00 197.76 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,070.80 0.00% 0.8159 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,070.80 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -873.69 0.00 0.00 197.11 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 193.51 0.00 0.00 193.51 Trades
Will Eric Zemmour win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 1,203.18 0.00% 0.8405 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,203.18 Mon Apr 25 2022 โœ… -1,011.25 0.00 0.00 191.92 Trades
Israel + Hamas hostage deal by Ramadan? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 10 2024 โœ… 191.75 0.00 0.00 191.75 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Grizzlies by more than 3.5 points in their May 11 (9:30 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 360.80 0.00% 0.4762 0.00 1.00 0.00 360.80 Wed May 11 2022 โœ… -171.83 1.90 0.00 190.86 Trades
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 1,872.45 0.00 0.00% 0.8987 1.00 0.00 1,872.45 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… -1,682.70 0.00 0.00 189.75 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 โœ… 188.54 0.00 0.00 188.54 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 9,499.98 0.00 0.00% 0.9802 1.00 0.00 9,499.98 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 โœ… -9,311.55 0.00 0.00 188.43 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Denmark beat Tunisia? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 22 2022 โœ… 188.43 0.00 0.00 188.43 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 214.48 0.00 0.00% 0.1994 1.00 0.00 214.48 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 โœ… -42.77 14.16 0.00 185.88 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? Yes No 5.29 0.00 0.00% -34.0959 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 โœ… 180.30 1.97 0.00 182.27 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 8,925.94 0.00% 0.9796 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,925.94 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -8,743.94 0.00 0.00 182.01 Trades
NFL: Who will win Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals, scheduled for September 11, 1:00 PM ET? Steelers Bengals 245.75 0.00 0.02% 0.2661 1.00 0.00 245.75 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 โœ… -65.39 1.04 0.00 181.41 Trades
Super Bowl LVIII: Tails Never Fails Parlay Yes No 0.00 547.06 0.00% 0.6691 0.00 1.00 0.00 547.06 Sat Feb 10 2024 โœ… -366.06 0.00 0.00 181.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 3.20 0.00 0.00% -55.8753 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 โœ… 178.67 1.48 0.00 180.15 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 668.46 0.00% 0.7331 0.00 1.00 0.00 668.46 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -490.06 1.72 0.00 180.12 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Lakers by more than 4.5 points in their March 1 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 372.02 0.00 1.35% 0.5312 1.00 0.00 372.02 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 โœ… -197.63 5.39 0.00 179.79 Trades
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? Yes No 236.08 0.00 0.00% 0.2466 1.00 0.00 236.08 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 โœ… -58.21 0.00 0.00 177.87 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 15, 2022? Yes No 4,987.70 0.00 0.00% 0.9648 1.00 0.00 4,987.70 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 โœ… -4,812.32 0.00 0.00 175.38 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 0.00 923.73 0.01% 0.8827 0.00 1.00 0.00 923.73 Fri Jul 01 2022 โœ… -815.36 66.93 0.00 175.30 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by May 1, 2022? Yes No 7,864.80 0.00 0.00% 0.9779 1.00 0.00 7,864.80 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 โœ… -7,690.96 0.00 0.00 173.84 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? Yes No 492.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6477 1.00 0.00 492.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 โœ… -318.66 0.00 0.00 173.34 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Kissinger in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 1,956.20 0.00% 0.9118 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,956.20 Wed Feb 07 2024 โœ… -1,783.58 0.00 0.00 172.62 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,189.27 0.00% 0.8557 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,189.27 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -1,017.63 0.00 0.00 171.64 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 5.84 0.00 0.00% -11.4783 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 โœ… 67.03 101.28 0.00 168.31 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 โœ… 167.19 0.00 0.00 167.19 Trades
World Cup: Monday - Will Portugal beat Uruguay? Yes No 0.00 3.86 0.02% -41.8270 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 28 2022 โœ… 161.42 5.26 0.00 166.68 Trades
Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 163.62 0.93 0.00 164.55 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 โœ… 162.50 0.00 0.00 162.50 Trades
Will David McCormick win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 4.86 0.00 0.00% -33.2815 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 โœ… 161.65 0.00 0.00 161.65 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 996.00 0.01% 1.4009 0.00 1.00 0.00 996.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 โœ… -1,395.29 560.12 0.00 160.83 Trades
Will NATO declare a No Fly-Zone over any Ukrainian territory by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 โœ… 143.94 14.77 0.00 158.71 Trades
World Cup: Sunday - Will Croatia beat Canada? Yes No 254.05 0.00 0.02% 0.4334 1.00 0.00 254.05 0.00 Sun Nov 27 2022 โœ… -110.09 12.36 0.00 156.32 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Grizzlies by more than 8.5 points in their May 13, 10:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 285.86 0.00 0.00% 0.4591 1.00 0.00 285.86 0.00 Fri May 13 2022 โœ… -131.23 1.62 0.00 156.25 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.00 823.56 0.01% 0.8397 0.00 1.00 0.00 823.56 Wed May 11 2022 โœ… -691.51 23.14 0.00 155.19 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 โœ… 154.86 0.00 0.00 154.86 Trades
Will Federico Gutiรฉrrez win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 686.51 0.00% 0.7760 0.00 1.00 0.00 686.51 Sun May 29 2022 โœ… -532.72 0.00 0.00 153.79 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? Yes No 0.00 784.06 0.00% 0.8074 0.00 1.00 0.00 784.06 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… -633.08 2.44 0.00 153.42 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 โœ… 153.00 0.00 0.00 153.00 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 152.30 0.00 0.00 152.30 Trades
NBA: Will the Nuggets beat the Suns by more than 3.5 points in their March 24 (9 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 350.52 0.00% 0.5727 0.00 1.00 0.00 350.52 Thu Mar 24 2022 โœ… -200.75 1.51 0.00 151.29 Trades
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 216.22 0.00% 0.3122 0.00 1.00 0.00 216.22 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… -67.50 0.00 0.00 148.72 Trades
NFL Sunday: Raiders vs. Cardinals Raiders Cardinals 0.00 204.91 0.02% 0.3013 0.00 1.00 0.00 204.91 Sun Sep 18 2022 โœ… -61.73 2.15 0.00 145.33 Trades
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4200 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 โœ… -105.00 0.00 0.00 145.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win Suns vs. Mavericks, scheduled for May 12, 9:30 PM ET? Suns Mavericks 0.00 253.96 0.00% 0.4351 0.00 1.00 0.00 253.96 Thu May 12 2022 โœ… -110.49 1.43 0.00 144.90 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 โœ… 141.64 0.00 0.00 141.64 Trades
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.56 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.56 Sun Jul 31 2022 โœ… 110.08 28.09 0.00 138.73 Trades
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 1,855.54 0.00% 0.9253 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,855.54 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -1,716.96 0.00 0.00 138.58 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 138.00 0.00 0.00 138.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? Yes No 5,134.24 0.00 0.00% 0.9734 1.00 0.00 5,134.24 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 โœ… -4,997.74 0.65 0.00 137.15 Trades
Will Bongbong Marcos be elected President of the Philippines in 2022? Yes No 6,893.76 0.00 0.00% 0.9833 1.00 0.00 6,893.76 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 โœ… -6,778.80 21.15 0.00 136.11 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.57% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 โœ… 132.26 0.01 0.00 132.27 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 401.70 0.00 0.00% 0.6944 1.00 0.00 401.70 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 โœ… -278.93 8.87 0.00 131.64 Trades
Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed before Nov 3rd, 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 04 2020 โœ… 129.41 0.00 0.00 129.41 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 โœ… 127.96 0.00 0.00 127.96 Trades
Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 21 2021 โœ… 127.73 0.00 0.00 127.73 Trades
Will Kathy Barnette win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 1,993.80 0.01% 0.9362 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,993.80 Tue May 17 2022 โœ… -1,866.63 0.00 0.00 127.16 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 348.71 0.00 0.00% 0.6356 1.00 0.00 348.71 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -221.65 0.00 0.00 127.06 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Mexico beat Saudi Arabia? Yes No 261.76 0.00 0.02% 0.5563 1.00 0.00 261.76 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 โœ… -145.62 9.51 0.00 125.65 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.65 0.00% 11.3225 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -41.36 162.95 0.00 121.59 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Will France beat Denmark? Yes No 229.88 0.00 0.02% 0.5334 1.00 0.00 229.88 0.00 Sat Nov 26 2022 โœ… -122.61 14.22 0.01 121.49 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? Democrat Republican 0.00 357.59 0.00% 0.7668 0.00 1.00 0.00 357.59 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -274.20 38.02 0.00 121.41 Trades
India Election: Modi reelected? Yes No 0.00 3,174.50 0.00% -0.0382 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 โœ… 121.22 0.00 0.00 121.22 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 07 2023 โœ… 100.37 20.44 0.00 120.81 Trades
Martha Pollack out as Cornell President before March? Yes No 0.00 5.01 0.00% -22.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 5.01 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 115.32 0.00 0.00 120.33 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9760 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 โœ… -4,880.00 0.00 0.00 120.00 Trades
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 โœ… 119.33 0.00 0.00 119.33 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bills vs. Dolphins Bills Dolphins 3.65 0.00 0.02% -32.2199 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 โœ… 117.46 0.32 0.00 117.78 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,520.32 0.00% 0.9230 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,520.32 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -1,403.22 0.00 0.00 117.10 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15? Yes No 0.00 6.04 0.00% -18.3446 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 โœ… 110.74 6.17 0.00 116.91 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by September 30, 2022? Yes No 6.66 0.00 0.00% -2.0849 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 โœ… 13.88 100.65 0.00 114.52 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 8,345.96 10.00% 0.9863 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,345.96 Tue Mar 08 2022 โœ… -8,231.45 0.00 0.00 114.51 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 206.82 0.00 0.00% 0.5287 1.00 0.00 206.82 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… -109.36 16.84 0.00 114.31 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022? Yes No 211.64 0.00 0.00% 0.4813 1.00 0.00 211.64 0.00 Thu Jun 09 2022 โœ… -101.85 4.19 0.00 113.97 Trades
Will Italy have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than the US, France, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 341.66 0.00% 0.6678 0.00 1.00 0.00 341.66 Wed Mar 02 2022 โœ… -228.17 0.00 0.00 113.49 Trades
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 US Open? Yes No 340.92 0.00 0.00% 0.6778 1.00 0.00 340.92 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 โœ… -231.06 3.17 0.00 113.03 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 โœ… 112.76 0.00 0.00 112.76 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 11,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9906 1.00 0.00 11,999.99 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 โœ… -11,887.76 0.00 0.00 112.23 Trades
Will Conor McGregor announce presidential run by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 112.00 0.00 0.00 112.00 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 โœ… 110.16 0.00 0.00 110.16 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7800 1.00 0.00 500.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 โœ… -390.00 0.00 0.00 110.00 Trades
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? Yes No 0.00 1,783.34 0.00% 0.9386 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,783.34 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -1,673.84 0.00 0.00 109.50 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 3,321.46 0.00 0.00% 0.9671 1.00 0.00 3,321.46 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 โœ… -3,212.21 0.00 0.00 109.25 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30, 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 108.90 0.00 0.00 108.90 Trades
marginfi airdrop by March 1? Yes No 649.99 0.00 0.00% -0.1675 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 108.89 0.00 0.00 108.89 Trades
What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 โœ… 108.75 0.00 0.00 108.75 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 9,276.88 0.00% 0.9883 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,276.88 Tue Feb 08 2022 โœ… -9,168.53 0.00 0.00 108.35 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 1,900.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9432 1.00 0.00 1,900.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 โœ… -1,791.99 0.00 0.00 108.01 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? Yes No 0.00 1,437.50 0.00% 0.9256 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,437.50 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -1,330.50 0.00 0.00 107.00 Trades
Will DRX or T1 win the 2022 League of Legends World Championship? DRX T1 139.84 0.00 0.00% 0.2509 1.00 0.00 139.84 0.00 Sun Nov 06 2022 โœ… -35.09 0.73 0.00 105.48 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 9,994.01 0.00% 0.9895 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,994.01 Fri Feb 16 2024 โœ… -9,889.05 0.00 0.00 104.96 Trades
Will President Biden say โ€œfolksโ€ in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 โœ… 102.30 0.56 0.00 102.86 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? Democrat Republican 0.00 12,878.37 0.00% 0.0006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -7.37 110.12 0.00 102.75 Trades
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 โœ… 102.73 0.00 0.00 102.73 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for April 29, 9:05 PM ET? Grizzlies Timberwolves 200.91 0.00 0.00% 0.5078 1.00 0.00 200.91 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 โœ… -102.03 3.29 0.00 102.18 Trades
Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… 102.15 0.00 0.00 102.15 Trades
NFL Sunday: Packers vs. Buccaneers Packers Buccaneers 184.19 0.00 0.02% 0.4628 1.00 0.00 184.19 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 โœ… -85.23 1.42 0.00 100.37 Trades
NFL Monday: Vikings vs. Eagles Vikings Eagles 0.00 223.59 0.02% 0.5550 0.00 1.00 0.00 223.59 Mon Sep 19 2022 โœ… -124.08 0.57 0.00 100.08 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4500 0.50 0.50 1,000.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… -900.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 536.00 0.00% 0.8142 0.00 1.00 0.00 536.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -436.41 0.00 0.00 99.59 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 11 be higher than on February 18? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 โœ… 98.47 0.00 0.00 98.47 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? Yes No 148.56 0.00 0.02% 0.4477 1.00 0.00 148.56 0.00 Tue Nov 29 2022 โœ… -66.50 15.87 0.00 97.93 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 97.50 0.00 0.00 97.50 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $7.00 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 4.31 0.00 0.00% -20.6871 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 โœ… 89.16 7.72 0.00 96.89 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Bulls by more than 11.5 points in their April 27, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 190.83 0.00 0.01% 0.5185 1.00 0.00 190.83 0.00 Wed Apr 27 2022 โœ… -98.96 3.85 0.00 95.72 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 4,850.39 0.00% 0.9803 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,850.39 Fri Dec 31 2021 โœ… -4,754.92 0.00 0.00 95.47 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,021.08 0.00% 0.9684 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,021.08 Tue Mar 08 2022 โœ… -2,925.73 0.00 0.00 95.35 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 0.00 701.00 0.00% 0.8643 0.00 1.00 0.00 701.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -605.84 0.00 0.00 95.16 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Ravens Bengals Ravens 0.00 245.07 0.02% 0.6224 0.00 1.00 0.00 245.07 Sun Oct 09 2022 โœ… -152.53 2.25 0.00 94.80 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 23? Yes No 0.00 6.35 0.00% -14.6570 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 23 2022 โœ… 93.12 1.14 0.00 94.26 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 3,994.25 0.00 0.00% 0.9765 1.00 0.00 3,994.25 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 โœ… -3,900.32 0.00 0.00 93.93 Trades
Berachain airdrop by June 30? Yes No 2,617.34 0.00 0.00% -0.0352 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… 92.02 0.00 0.00 92.02 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 19,229.31 0.00 0.00% 0.9952 1.00 0.00 19,229.31 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 โœ… -19,137.58 0.24 0.00 91.97 Trades
Will Valerie Pecresse win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 1,195.76 0.00% 0.9236 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,195.76 Mon Apr 25 2022 โœ… -1,104.37 0.00 0.00 91.39 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? Celtics Warriors 0.00 210.61 0.00% 0.6219 0.00 1.00 0.00 210.61 Sun Jun 05 2022 โœ… -130.98 11.70 0.00 91.32 Trades
Will the US have a higher COVID-19 Case Average per capita than France, Italy, and Spain on March 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 โœ… 91.11 0.00 0.00 91.11 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,900 on May 7, 2022? Yes No 6.93 0.00 0.08% -9.4447 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 โœ… 65.45 25.17 0.00 90.62 Trades
What will the price of $ETH be on June 22? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 โœ… 90.27 0.00 0.00 90.27 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 2,149.90 0.00% 0.9580 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,149.90 Sat Jan 14 2023 โœ… -2,059.65 0.00 0.00 90.25 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… 88.95 0.00 0.00 88.95 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 300,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,375.72 10.00% 0.9737 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,375.72 Tue Mar 08 2022 โœ… -3,286.95 0.00 0.00 88.76 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 142.73 0.00% 0.6035 0.00 1.00 0.00 142.73 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -86.14 31.93 0.00 88.52 Trades
Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 โœ… 87.58 0.00 0.00 87.58 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 195.53 0.00 0.00% 0.8115 1.00 0.00 195.53 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 โœ… -158.68 50.68 0.00 87.53 Trades
Will USA qualify from Group B? Yes No 153.52 0.00 0.02% 0.4654 1.00 0.00 153.52 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 โœ… -71.45 5.35 0.00 87.43 Trades
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 833.43 0.00% 0.8957 0.00 1.00 0.00 833.43 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -746.46 0.00 0.00 86.97 Trades
Will $MATIC reach 1$ by August 15? Yes No 0.00 10.31 0.00% -8.1297 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 โœ… 83.83 2.70 0.00 86.53 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 86.52 0.00 0.00 86.52 Trades
Will UST (TerraUSD) lose its peg by March 1st? Yes No 0.00 19,399.99 0.00% 0.9956 0.00 1.00 0.00 19,399.99 Tue Mar 01 2022 โœ… -19,314.25 0.00 0.00 85.74 Trades
NHL 2022 Stanley Cup Finals: Who will win Avalanche vs. Lightning, Game 6? Avalanche Lightning 0.00 3.50 0.00% -24.0354 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 26 2022 โœ… 84.15 1.00 0.00 85.15 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 โœ… 84.80 0.00 0.00 84.80 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 0.00 522.04 0.00% 0.9795 0.00 1.00 0.00 522.04 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… -511.35 73.64 0.00 84.32 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 โœ… 83.37 0.64 0.00 84.01 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? Yes No 1.47 0.00 0.00% -56.8134 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 โœ… 83.48 0.00 0.00 83.48 Trades
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 3,010.61 0.00% 0.9727 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,010.61 Sat Jan 14 2023 โœ… -2,928.37 0.00 0.00 82.24 Trades
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 222.00 0.00% 0.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 222.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -139.86 0.00 0.00 82.14 Trades
Did the Alaska balloon come from China? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.8975 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 โœ… -718.00 0.00 0.00 82.00 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 18 be higher than on February 25? Yes No 916.76 0.00 10.00% 0.9106 1.00 0.00 916.76 0.00 Fri Mar 04 2022 โœ… -834.83 0.00 0.00 81.93 Trades
Will Switzerland qualify from Group G? Yes No 0.00 72.80 0.01% -0.8508 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 โœ… 61.94 19.88 0.00 81.82 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 โœ… 81.81 0.00 0.00 81.81 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 182.91 0.00% 0.5797 0.00 1.00 0.00 182.91 Mon Aug 01 2022 โœ… -106.03 4.02 0.00 80.90 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 01 2024 โœ… 79.26 0.00 0.00 79.26 Trades
Will Arbitrum have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 179.08 0.00% 0.5584 0.00 1.00 0.00 179.08 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 79.08 Trades
Any Hamas leader out in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 79.08 0.00 0.00 79.08 Trades
Will Warpcast flip X on the app store in February? Yes No 0.00 1,388.00 0.00% 0.9435 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,388.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -1,309.60 0.00 0.00 78.40 Trades
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% 0.8886 0.00 1.00 0.00 700.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… -622.00 0.00 0.00 78.00 Trades
$Bitcoin (Hpos10i) all time high by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 640.00 0.00% 0.8789 0.00 1.00 0.00 640.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -562.50 0.00 0.00 77.50 Trades
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 23 2021 โœ… 77.35 0.00 0.00 77.35 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 61.59 0.00 0.00% -0.0335 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… 2.07 74.29 0.00 76.36 Trades
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 76.20 0.00 0.00 76.20 Trades
Golf: Will Jon Rahm win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 157.22 0.00 0.00% -0.3545 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 11 2022 โœ… 55.74 19.39 0.00 75.12 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 6,835.64 0.00 0.00% -0.0110 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 74.95 0.00 0.00 74.95 Trades
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 1,200.00 0.00% 0.9383 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,200.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -1,126.00 0.00 0.00 74.00 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 383.93 0.00% 0.8266 0.00 1.00 0.00 383.93 Sat Dec 31 2022 โœ… -317.34 5.70 0.00 72.29 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 1.41 0.00 0.00% -49.1131 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 โœ… 69.21 2.99 0.00 72.20 Trades
World Cup: Thursday - Will Germany beat Costa Rica? Yes No 527.64 0.00 0.02% 0.8703 1.00 0.00 527.64 0.00 Thu Dec 01 2022 โœ… -459.23 3.75 0.00 72.17 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 1,000,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 9,844.47 0.00% 0.9927 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,844.47 Tue Feb 08 2022 โœ… -9,772.44 0.00 0.00 72.03 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 0.00 5,386.87 0.00% 0.9961 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,386.87 Fri Mar 25 2022 โœ… -5,365.85 50.78 0.00 71.80 Trades
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Lakers by more than 7.5 points in their March 23 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 23 2022 โœ… 70.91 0.72 0.00 71.63 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 250,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,006.21 11.11% 0.9822 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,006.21 Tue Mar 08 2022 โœ… -3,934.86 0.00 0.00 71.35 Trades
Will Optimism have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… 71.13 0.00 0.00 71.13 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 โœ… 70.72 0.00 0.00 70.72 Trades
Will the Ukrainian Government receive more than $25M in Crypto donations by March 10? Yes No 35,113.43 0.00 0.00% 0.9980 1.00 0.00 35,113.43 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 โœ… -35,043.28 0.00 0.00 70.15 Trades
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 โœ… -930.00 0.00 0.00 70.00 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 4, 2022 be higher than on February 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 18 2022 โœ… 69.69 0.00 0.00 69.69 Trades
Scroll airdrop by June 30? Yes No 9,267.73 0.00 0.00% -0.0074 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 โœ… 68.83 0.00 0.00 68.83 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 210.04 0.00% 0.6780 0.00 1.00 0.00 210.04 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -142.41 1.01 0.00 68.64 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,091.71 0.00% 0.9714 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,091.71 Fri Jul 01 2022 โœ… -2,031.86 6.96 0.00 66.81 Trades
Will Canada qualify from Group F? Yes No 4.95 0.00 0.02% -12.5102 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 โœ… 61.95 4.55 0.00 66.50 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th? Yes No 0.00 27.08 0.00% -1.3853 0.00 1.00 0.00 27.08 Tue Apr 19 2022 โœ… 37.51 0.00 0.00 64.59 Trades
Will "peace" hit its Google Trends all time high (global, monthly) before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,295.23 0.00% 0.9850 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,295.23 Sun Jun 05 2022 โœ… -4,230.91 0.00 0.00 64.32 Trades
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6.05 0.00% -8.5923 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 โœ… 51.94 11.29 0.00 63.23 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 16,998.85 0.00 0.00% 0.9963 1.00 0.00 16,998.85 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 โœ… -16,935.90 0.01 0.00 62.95 Trades
Will StarkNet have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 133.50 0.00% 0.5334 0.00 1.00 0.00 133.50 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… -71.21 0.00 0.00 62.29 Trades
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 180.51 0.00% -0.3433 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 โœ… 61.98 0.00 0.00 61.98 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8? Yes No 0.00 3.11 0.00% -12.4271 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 08 2022 โœ… 38.63 23.04 0.00 61.68 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Hawks by more than 7.5 points in their April 26, 7:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 151.10 9.09% 0.6028 0.00 1.00 0.00 151.10 Tue Apr 26 2022 โœ… -91.08 1.19 0.00 61.21 Trades
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 โœ… 60.50 0.00 0.00 60.50 Trades
Will Drake release a new studio album before the end of 2020? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 02 2021 โœ… 60.39 0.00 0.00 60.39 Trades
Will MOEX close above 2,500 by April 15, 2022? Yes No 9,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9940 1.00 0.00 9,999.99 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 โœ… -9,939.72 0.00 0.00 60.27 Trades
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? Yes No 0.00 2,430.38 0.00% 0.9762 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,430.38 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -2,372.61 0.00 0.00 57.77 Trades
Will MetaMask airdrop a native token by March 31st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 0.00% 0.9713 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 โœ… -1,942.56 0.00 0.00 57.44 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia agree to sell oil to China in Yuan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,799.98 0.00% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,799.98 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -2,743.98 0.00 0.00 56.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? Yes No 7.67 0.00 0.00% -6.8867 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 โœ… 52.81 2.66 0.00 55.48 Trades
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 225.31 0.00% 0.7545 0.00 1.00 0.00 225.31 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… -170.00 0.00 0.00 55.31 Trades
Will zkSync have a token by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 123.66 0.00% 0.5545 0.00 1.00 0.00 123.66 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… -68.57 0.00 0.00 55.09 Trades
NBA: Who will win Lakers vs. Pelicans, scheduled for April 1, 10:40 PM ET? Lakers Pelicans 0.00 104.29 0.00% 0.4884 0.00 1.00 0.00 104.29 Fri Apr 01 2022 โœ… -50.93 0.66 0.00 54.02 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 103.19 0.00 0.00% 0.4950 1.00 0.00 103.19 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -51.07 1.57 0.00 53.68 Trades
Will OpenSea have more than $6.5 billion in volume in January 2022? Yes No 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.9947 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,000.00 Wed Feb 02 2022 โœ… -9,946.55 0.00 0.00 53.45 Trades
Golf: Will Justin Thomas win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 781.58 0.00% 0.9359 0.00 1.00 0.00 781.58 Mon Apr 11 2022 โœ… -731.50 3.24 0.00 53.31 Trades
UFC 277: Who will win - Pena vs Nunes Pena Nunes 0.00 173.66 0.00% 0.7226 0.00 1.00 0.00 173.66 Sat Jul 30 2022 โœ… -125.48 4.85 0.00 53.03 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 765.00 0.00% 0.9308 0.00 1.00 0.00 765.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 โœ… -712.05 0.00 0.00 52.95 Trades
NBA: Will the Clippers beat the Knicks by more than 4.5 points in their March 6 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 2.24 0.00 0.00% 0.7707 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 06 2022 โœ… -1.73 54.08 0.00 52.36 Trades
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? Yes No 0.00 1,739.09 0.01% 0.9701 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,739.09 Sat Apr 30 2022 โœ… -1,687.02 0.00 0.00 52.08 Trades
Drift airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 6,383.60 0.00% -0.0081 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… 51.48 0.00 0.00 51.48 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 5,993.51 0.00 0.00% 0.9914 1.00 0.00 5,993.51 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 โœ… -5,942.08 0.00 0.00 51.44 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on January 28, 2022 be higher than on February 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 10.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 11 2022 โœ… 50.78 0.00 0.00 50.78 Trades
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? Yes No 80.17 0.00 0.00% 0.3701 1.00 0.00 80.17 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 โœ… -29.67 0.00 0.00 50.50 Trades
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 14 2023 โœ… 50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8000 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 999.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 999.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 โœ… -949.05 0.00 0.00 49.95 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 600,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,092.78 0.00% 0.9761 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,092.78 Tue Feb 08 2022 โœ… -2,042.86 0.00 0.00 49.92 Trades
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23? Yes No 0.00 80.99 0.00% 0.4158 0.00 1.00 0.00 80.99 Fri Sep 23 2022 โœ… -33.68 2.03 0.00 49.35 Trades
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? Yes No 285.80 0.00 0.00% 0.8275 1.00 0.00 285.80 0.00 Thu Feb 22 2024 โœ… -236.50 0.00 0.00 49.30 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,979.50 0.00% 0.9751 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,979.50 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -1,930.26 0.00 0.00 49.24 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Julius Baer Generation Cup? Yes No 70.82 0.00 10.00% 0.3174 1.00 0.00 70.82 0.00 Sun Sep 25 2022 โœ… -22.48 0.49 0.00 48.83 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.14 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 โœ… -394.53 442.84 0.00 48.31 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 467.10 0.00% 0.9008 0.00 1.00 0.00 467.10 Tue Aug 30 2022 โœ… -420.75 1.94 0.00 48.29 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 โœ… 48.08 0.00 0.00 48.08 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 168.33 0.00 0.00% 0.7178 1.00 0.00 168.33 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… -120.83 0.00 0.00 47.50 Trades
Will Uniswap v3 launch before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 01 2021 โœ… 47.31 0.00 0.00 47.31 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.69% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 โœ… -35.82 82.77 0.00 46.95 Trades
NBA: Who will win Bucks vs. Celtics, scheduled for May 9, 7:30 PM ET? Bucks Celtics 0.00 82.87 0.00% 0.4416 0.00 1.00 0.00 82.87 Mon May 09 2022 โœ… -36.60 0.47 0.00 46.74 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.07% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 โœ… 46.31 0.00 0.00 46.31 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 11,301.74 0.00% 1.0007 0.00 1.00 0.00 11,301.74 Tue Mar 15 2022 โœ… -11,309.20 53.70 0.00 46.24 Trades
Who will win 76ers v. Wizards: Game 5? 76ers Wizards 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 โœ… 45.97 0.00 0.00 45.97 Trades
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 45.60 0.00 0.00 45.60 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 โœ… 45.43 0.00 0.00 45.43 Trades
Tensor airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… 45.32 0.00 0.00 45.32 Trades
Will Joรฃo Doria win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 2.92 0.00 0.00% -15.2055 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 โœ… 44.45 0.00 0.00 44.45 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 0.00 8,019.67 8.33% 0.9945 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,019.67 Mon Feb 28 2022 โœ… -7,975.37 0.00 0.00 44.31 Trades
NFL Monday: Rams vs. 49ers Rams 49ers 0.00 87.68 0.02% 0.5048 0.00 1.00 0.00 87.68 Mon Oct 03 2022 โœ… -44.26 0.55 0.00 43.97 Trades
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4.22 0.00% -10.2011 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 โœ… 43.07 0.27 0.00 43.34 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 42.54 0.00 0.00 42.54 Trades
Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 5? Knicks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.02% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 โœ… 42.51 0.00 0.00 42.51 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,993.37 0.01% 0.9894 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,993.37 Sun May 01 2022 โœ… -3,951.03 0.00 0.00 42.35 Trades
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? Yes No 99.99 0.00 0.00% 0.5800 1.00 0.00 99.99 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 โœ… -57.99 0.00 0.00 42.00 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Argentina beat Poland? Yes No 77.86 0.00 0.02% 0.5979 1.00 0.00 77.86 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 โœ… -46.55 10.35 0.00 41.66 Trades
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? Adams
Garcia
Wiley
Yang
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tue Jun 22 2021 โœ… 40.21 0.00 0.00 40.21 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 40.03 0.00 0.00 40.03 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on June 30? Yes No 0.00 15.83 0.00% -2.4877 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 โœ… 39.39 0.29 0.00 39.67 Trades
Aevo airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 780.00 0.00% -0.0504 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… 39.30 0.00 0.00 39.30 Trades
Will the City of Ottawa cease its state of emergency by March 2, 2022? Yes No 7,040.40 0.00 0.00% 0.9945 1.00 0.00 7,040.40 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 โœ… -7,001.62 0.01 0.00 38.79 Trades
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.34 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 โœ… 38.53 0.00 0.00 38.53 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 38.77 0.00 0.00% 0.1040 1.00 0.00 38.77 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 โœ… -4.03 3.66 0.00 38.40 Trades
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 50.69 0.00 0.00% 0.2669 1.00 0.00 50.69 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 โœ… -13.53 0.00 0.00 37.16 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 โœ… 37.00 0.00 0.00 37.00 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Will Steph Curry score over 28.5 points in Game 2? Yes No 54.73 0.00 0.00% 0.3293 1.00 0.00 54.73 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 โœ… -18.02 0.24 0.00 36.95 Trades
March Madness: Who will win Duke vs. Texas Tech, scheduled for March 24 (9:39 PM ET)? Duke Texas Tech 71.29 0.00 0.00% 0.5023 1.00 0.00 71.29 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 โœ… -35.81 1.31 0.00 36.79 Trades
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 โœ… 35.10 1.37 0.00 36.47 Trades
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,484.80 0.00% 0.9762 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,484.80 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -1,449.50 0.00 0.00 35.30 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $120 million or less on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 3,200.32 0.00% 0.9890 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,200.32 Mon Mar 07 2022 โœ… -3,165.12 0.00 0.00 35.20 Trades
NBA: Will the Lakers beat the Rockets by more than 3.5 points in their March 9 (8 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 58.51 0.00% 0.4201 0.00 1.00 0.00 58.51 Wed Mar 09 2022 โœ… -24.58 1.21 0.00 35.14 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August? Yes No 0.00 4,000.98 0.00% 0.9930 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,000.98 Mon Aug 01 2022 โœ… -3,973.14 7.25 0.00 35.09 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day? Yes No 314.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8890 1.00 0.00 314.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 โœ… -279.16 0.00 0.00 34.84 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9657 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 โœ… -965.65 0.00 0.00 34.34 Trades
Emmys 2022: Will โ€˜Ted Lassoโ€™ win Outstanding Comedy Series? Yes No 59.11 0.00 0.00% 0.4266 1.00 0.00 59.11 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 โœ… -25.22 0.44 0.00 34.34 Trades
World Cup: Sunday - Will Spain beat Germany? Yes No 3.66 0.00 0.02% -5.8111 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 27 2022 โœ… 21.26 12.99 0.00 34.25 Trades
Will Trudeau announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 0.00 48.62 0.00% 0.3000 0.00 1.00 0.00 48.62 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -14.59 0.00 0.00 34.03 Trades
Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? Yes No 0.00 800.00 0.00% 0.9578 0.00 1.00 0.00 800.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 โœ… -766.26 0.00 0.00 33.74 Trades
Will Matt Dolan win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 601.30 0.00% 1.0007 0.00 1.00 0.00 601.30 Tue May 03 2022 โœ… -601.72 33.74 0.00 33.32 Trades
Will US attack Iran in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 33.14 0.00 0.00 33.15 Trades
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? Yes No 488.47 0.00 0.00% 0.9324 1.00 0.00 488.47 0.00 Tue Nov 01 2022 โœ… -455.45 0.00 0.00 33.02 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 9.40 0.00 0.00% -3.4478 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… 32.42 0.00 0.00 32.42 Trades
NFL Sunday: Chiefs vs. 49ers Chiefs 49ers 58.46 0.00 0.00% 0.4850 1.00 0.00 58.46 0.00 Sun Oct 23 2022 โœ… -28.35 1.68 0.00 31.79 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 7? Yes No 60.79 0.00 0.00% 0.4998 1.00 0.00 60.79 0.00 Fri Oct 07 2022 โœ… -30.38 0.85 0.00 31.26 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 5.91 0.00% -1.1769 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 โœ… 6.96 24.02 0.00 30.97 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 350k or more by January 8? Yes No 1,200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9744 1.00 0.00 1,200.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 โœ… -1,169.33 0.00 0.00 30.67 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… 30.56 0.00 0.00 30.56 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8800 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 โœ… -220.00 0.00 0.00 30.00 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 10,459.33 0.00 0.00% 1.0018 1.00 0.00 10,459.33 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 โœ… -10,478.09 48.50 0.00 29.74 Trades
Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 01 2020 โœ… 29.74 0.00 0.00 29.74 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Lakers: Game 6? Suns Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 03 2021 โœ… 0.16 28.99 0.00 29.15 Trades
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 278.41 0.00% 0.8964 0.00 1.00 0.00 278.41 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… -249.57 0.00 0.00 28.84 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 200,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 4,052.40 0.00 0.00% 0.9929 1.00 0.00 4,052.40 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 โœ… -4,023.80 0.00 0.00 28.60 Trades
Who will win Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennady Golovkin 3 on September 17? Alvarez Golovkin 0.00 3.26 0.00% -6.6433 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 17 2022 โœ… 21.68 6.81 0.00 28.48 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 39.0% or higher on August 4? Yes No 123.75 0.00 0.00% 0.7809 1.00 0.00 123.75 0.00 Thu Aug 04 2022 โœ… -96.63 1.13 0.00 28.25 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 0.00 80.95 0.00% 0.6612 0.00 1.00 0.00 80.95 Sun Jun 05 2022 โœ… -53.53 0.17 0.00 27.60 Trades
Will natural gas close above $6 on July 11, 2022? Yes No 48.01 0.00 0.00% 0.4632 1.00 0.00 48.01 0.00 Mon Jul 11 2022 โœ… -22.24 1.71 0.00 27.48 Trades
Etherfi airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 27.00 0.00 0.00 27.00 Trades
Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 โœ… 26.96 0.00 0.00 26.97 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 โœ… 26.58 0.00 0.00 26.58 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 26.50 0.00 0.00 26.50 Trades
Will Biden and Putin meet by March 21, 2022? Yes No 0.00 501.08 0.00% 0.9480 0.00 1.00 0.00 501.08 Mon Mar 21 2022 โœ… -475.00 0.00 0.00 26.08 Trades
Fani Willis off Georgia case by Feb 29? Yes No 0.00 183.51 0.00% 0.8654 0.00 1.00 0.00 183.51 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -158.80 0.00 0.00 24.71 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bills vs. Chiefs Bills Chiefs 47.45 0.00 0.02% 0.4893 1.00 0.00 47.45 0.00 Sun Oct 16 2022 โœ… -23.22 0.25 0.00 24.48 Trades
Will Argentina qualify from Group C? Yes No 51.02 0.00 0.02% 0.6067 1.00 0.00 51.02 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 โœ… -30.95 4.23 0.00 24.29 Trades
Biden to drop out before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 24.00 0.00 0.00 24.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 20,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9988 1.00 0.00 20,000.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 โœ… -19,976.90 0.00 0.00 23.10 Trades
UFC 272: Who will win - Colby Covington or Jorge Masvidal? Covington Masvidal 30.96 0.00 5.00% 0.7489 1.00 0.00 30.96 0.00 Sat Mar 05 2022 โœ… -23.18 14.83 0.00 22.61 Trades
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? Yes No 0.00 2.48 0.02% -9.0211 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 15 2022 โœ… 22.36 0.00 0.00 22.36 Trades
Will Josh Mandel win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 1,519.55 0.00 0.00% 0.1418 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 โœ… -215.55 237.87 0.00 22.33 Trades
Golf: Will Tiger Woods win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 1,155.30 0.00% 0.9834 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,155.30 Mon Apr 11 2022 โœ… -1,136.08 2.27 0.00 21.48 Trades
Will Warpcast break top 5 on the iOS App Store in February? Yes No 4,430.15 0.00 0.00% -0.0047 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… 20.89 0.00 0.00 20.89 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? Yes No 8.47 0.00 0.00% -1.0837 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 โœ… 9.18 11.67 0.00 20.86 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… 20.05 0.00 0.00 20.05 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 โœ… 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 โœ… 20.00 0.00 0.00 20.00 Trades
Who will win Nuggets v. Trail Blazers: Game 6? Nuggets Trail Blazers 0.00 0.00 6.67% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 03 2021 โœ… 19.74 0.00 0.00 19.75 Trades
Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on April 1st, 2022? Bored Apes CryptoPunks 19,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9990 1.00 0.00 19,999.99 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 โœ… -19,980.42 0.00 0.00 19.58 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Prince Andrew? Yes No 163.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8810 1.00 0.00 163.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 โœ… -143.61 0.00 0.00 19.39 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? Democrat Republican 94.36 0.00 0.00% 0.7972 1.00 0.00 94.36 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 โœ… -75.22 0.00 0.00 19.14 Trades
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… 19.00 0.00 0.00 19.00 Trades
Golf: Will Collin Morikawa win the 2022 Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 526.49 0.00% 1.0042 0.00 1.00 0.00 526.49 Mon Apr 11 2022 โœ… -528.69 20.95 0.00 18.74 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Celtics by more than 3.5 points in their March 16 (10 PM ET) matchup? Warriors (Yes) Celtics (No) 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 16 2022 โœ… 15.80 2.93 0.00 18.73 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 9,000.04 0.00 68.97% 0.9980 1.00 0.00 9,000.04 0.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 โœ… -8,981.92 0.51 0.00 18.64 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 6.17 0.00% 29.1760 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 โœ… -180.08 198.71 0.00 18.63 Trades
Base airdrop by June 30? Yes No 6,999.99 0.00 0.00% -0.0026 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 โœ… 18.48 0.00 0.00 18.48 Trades
Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? Yes No 0.00 27.86 0.00% 0.3692 0.00 1.00 0.00 27.86 Mon Aug 01 2022 โœ… -10.28 0.51 0.00 18.08 Trades
Over $4 billion inflows in spot Bitcoin ETFs on first day of trading? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 18.00 0.00 0.00 18.00 Trades
Will Argentina presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 23 2023 โœ… 17.88 0.00 0.00 17.88 Trades
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24? Yes No 0.00 20.60 0.00% 0.4425 0.00 1.00 0.00 20.60 Thu Sep 29 2022 โœ… -9.12 6.12 0.00 17.60 Trades
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 17.37 0.00 0.00 17.37 Trades
Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 2.63% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 โœ… -0.39 17.66 0.00 17.28 Trades
Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 โœ… 17.05 0.00 0.00 17.05 Trades
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 โœ… 11.25 5.76 0.00 17.01 Trades
Will the price of natural gas be $8.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (SEP 2022 future) Yes No 0.00 4.24 0.00% -3.8609 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 22 2022 โœ… 16.37 0.41 0.00 16.78 Trades
$BONK all time high before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 16.76 0.00 0.00 16.76 Trades
US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024? Yes No 0.00 30.45 0.00% 0.4500 0.00 1.00 0.00 30.45 Tue Mar 12 2024 โœ… -13.70 0.00 0.00 16.75 Trades
Linea airdrop by June 30? Yes No 3,520.03 0.00 0.00% -0.0047 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 โœ… 16.68 0.00 0.00 16.68 Trades
Will Youtube bring back the dislike count by January 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,999.99 6.67% 0.9919 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,999.99 Tue Jan 11 2022 โœ… -1,983.72 0.00 0.00 16.27 Trades
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,000.00 0.00% 0.9960 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 โœ… -3,984.06 0.00 0.00 15.94 Trades
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 โœ… 15.75 0.00 0.00 15.75 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? Yes No 0.00 2,300.00 0.00% 0.9933 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,300.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 โœ… -2,284.56 0.00 0.00 15.44 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on June 24, 2022? Yes No 0.00 305.53 0.00% 0.9589 0.00 1.00 0.00 305.53 Fri Jun 24 2022 โœ… -292.98 2.58 0.00 15.12 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5 by March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,999.99 0.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,999.99 Thu Mar 31 2022 โœ… -4,985.07 0.17 0.00 15.09 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? Yes No 3,000.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0050 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 โœ… 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 โœ… 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 โœ… 15.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Trades
Who will win Jazz vs. Grizzlies: Game 5? Jazz Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 14.29% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 02 2021 โœ… 14.92 0.00 0.00 14.92 Trades
US travel ban for China in 2023? Yes No 0.00 490.32 0.00% 0.9697 0.00 1.00 0.00 490.32 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -475.48 0.00 0.00 14.84 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? Yes No 13.90 0.00 0.00% -0.0198 1.00 0.00 13.90 0.00 Fri Aug 12 2022 โœ… 0.28 0.64 0.00 14.82 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 โœ… 14.50 0.00 0.00 14.50 Trades
Saudi Arabia and Yemeni Houthis peace deal by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 634.00 0.00% 0.9772 0.00 1.00 0.00 634.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 โœ… -619.56 0.00 0.00 14.44 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Pelicans by more than 10.5 points in their April 19 (10 PM ET) matchup? Yes No 0.00 15,999.99 0.02% 0.9991 0.00 1.00 0.00 15,999.99 Tue Apr 19 2022 โœ… -15,985.67 0.00 0.00 14.33 Trades
$SPX6900 all time high by Jan 31? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% -0.7025 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 โœ… 14.05 0.00 0.00 14.05 Trades
New lockdown in US? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 โœ… 14.01 0.00 0.00 14.01 Trades
Cricket: Who will win Nepal vs. Papua New Guinea, 2nd ODI? Nepal Papua New Guinea 0.00 12,999.99 0.00% 0.9989 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,999.99 Sat Mar 26 2022 โœ… -12,986.00 0.00 0.00 14.00 Trades
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,999.99 0.00% 0.9954 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,999.99 Fri Apr 01 2022 โœ… -2,986.10 0.00 0.00 13.89 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 500,000 on February 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5,000.00 7.14% 0.9972 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 Tue Feb 08 2022 โœ… -4,986.22 0.00 0.00 13.78 Trades
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 6.8%? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.02% 0.9973 1.00 0.00 5,000.00 0.00 Thu Feb 10 2022 โœ… -4,986.54 0.00 0.00 13.46 Trades
Will Larva Labโ€™s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $25M or more at Sothebyโ€™s? Yes No 0.00 4,000.00 0.02% 0.9966 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 Wed Feb 23 2022 โœ… -3,986.55 0.00 0.00 13.44 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? Yes No 0.00 738.56 0.00% 0.9820 0.00 1.00 0.00 738.56 Fri Feb 23 2024 โœ… -725.26 0.00 0.00 13.29 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 327.00 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 327.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 โœ… -313.92 0.00 0.00 13.08 Trades
UFC 280: Who will win - Oliveira vs Makhachev Oliveira Makhachev 2.52 0.00 0.00% -4.5331 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 22 2022 โœ… 11.41 1.58 0.00 12.99 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 โœ… 12.58 0.00 0.00 12.58 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 โœ… 12.56 0.00 0.00 12.56 Trades
Will Larva Labโ€™s 104 Cryptopunks sell for $20M or more at Sothebyโ€™s? Yes No 0.00 4,035.74 10.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,035.74 Wed Feb 23 2022 โœ… -4,023.52 0.00 0.00 12.22 Trades
Will Jane Timken win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio? Yes No 0.00 5,994.37 0.00% 0.9980 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,994.37 Tue May 03 2022 โœ… -5,982.24 0.00 0.00 12.12 Trades
UFC 271: Who will win - Israel Adesanya or Robert Whittaker? Adesanya Whittaker 4,000.00 0.00 11.11% 0.9970 1.00 0.00 4,000.00 0.00 Sat Feb 12 2022 โœ… -3,987.98 0.00 0.00 12.02 Trades
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,993.29 0.00% 0.9970 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,993.29 Wed Jun 01 2022 โœ… -3,981.28 0.00 0.00 12.01 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? Yes No 29,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.9996 1.00 0.00 29,999.99 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 โœ… -29,988.12 0.00 0.00 11.87 Trades
NFL Monday: Raiders vs. Chiefs Raiders Chiefs 0.00 44.90 0.02% 0.7476 0.00 1.00 0.00 44.90 Mon Oct 10 2022 โœ… -33.57 0.41 0.00 11.75 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 3.02 0.00 0.00% -3.8721 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 โœ… 11.68 0.00 0.00 11.68 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 12.22 0.00 0.00% -0.9406 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 โœ… 11.50 0.00 0.00 11.50 Trades
Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 โœ… 11.38 0.00 0.00 11.38 Trades
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $1 on its 1st day of trading? Yes No 0.00 6.46 0.01% -0.9916 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 โœ… 6.41 4.62 0.00 11.03 Trades
US congress stock trading ban by June 30? Yes No 0.00 217.00 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 217.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 โœ… -206.15 0.00 0.00 10.85 Trades
Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 โœ… 10.79 0.00 0.00 10.79 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 199.60 0.00