Account
0x725d6e239a94bd0de2ebc7e035f213873c510c3e Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | 1,337.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,337.69 | Trades | ||
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 892.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 892.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 739.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 739.12 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 462.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.5019 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 462.51 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | ✅ | 232.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 694.66 | Trades | |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 650.97 | 1.30 | 0.00 | 652.27 | Trades | ||
| Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | ✅ | 643.93 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 644.08 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 606.55 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 606.63 | Trades | ||
| Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? | Yes | No | 638.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0783 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 638.50 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 28 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 588.50 | Trades | |
| Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 467.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 467.20 | Trades | ||
| Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,999.99 | 0.00% | 0.8455 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,999.99 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | ✅ | -2,536.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 463.44 | Trades | |
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 16.85 | 0.00% | -26.8641 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 452.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 452.53 | Trades | |
| Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 366.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 366.55 | Trades | |||
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 302.67 | 0.02% | -1.1739 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 355.31 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 355.33 | Trades | |
| Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 51.56 | 0.00% | -6.2140 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 320.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 320.40 | Trades | |
| Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | ✅ | 281.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 281.90 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 274.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 274.61 | Trades | ||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.7310 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | -731.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 268.99 | Trades | |
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 249.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 249.49 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Andy Warhol’s “Two Marilyns” sell for more than $18 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 241.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 241.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 232.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 232.85 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 214.91 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 215.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 2,535.99 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9170 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,535.99 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -2,325.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 210.38 | Trades | |
| Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? | Yes | No | 353.74 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4129 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 353.74 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 27 2023 | ✅ | -146.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 207.68 | Trades | |
| Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 145.30 | 0.00% | -0.2909 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 145.30 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 42.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 187.56 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 184.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 184.60 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 182.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 182.95 | Trades | ||
| Will 'Eternals' get 90% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | ✅ | 182.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 182.42 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 177.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 177.14 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9578 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,000.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | -3,831.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 168.84 | Trades | |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 17 2021 | ✅ | 167.42 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 167.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? | Paul | Woodley | 394.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6342 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 394.20 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 29 2021 | ✅ | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 144.20 | Trades | |
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 41.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -3.4498 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | ✅ | 143.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 143.01 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,999.99 | 0.00% | 0.9741 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,999.99 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -4,870.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 129.35 | Trades | |
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 166.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2564 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 166.29 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -42.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 123.65 | Trades | |
| Will van Gogh’s “Le pont de Trinquetaille” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 119.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.21 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 299.00 | 0.00% | 0.6108 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 299.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | ✅ | -182.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 116.37 | Trades | |
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 106.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 106.16 | Trades | ||
| What will Edward Snowden’s NFT “Stay Free” sell for at auction? | Less than $250,000 $250,000-$500,000 $500,000-$750,000 $750,000-$1M $1M-$2M $2M or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Apr 16 2021 | ✅ | 100.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.03 | Trades | ||||||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 97.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.88 | Trades | ||
| What will the fully diluted market cap of SuperRare’s token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.51 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 91.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 89.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 4,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9792 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,000.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | ✅ | -3,916.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.14 | Trades | |
| Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7473 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -224.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 75.82 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | ✅ | 72.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.30 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 399.97 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8238 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 399.97 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | -329.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.47 | Trades | |
| Will Japan or the USA win gold in Baseball at the 2020 Olympics? | Japan | USA | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | ✅ | 64.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 482.67 | 0.01% | 0.8803 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 482.67 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -424.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.77 | Trades | |
| Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 26 2021 | ✅ | 56.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,000.00 | 0.00% | 0.9721 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,000.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | -1,944.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.78 | Trades | |
| Will Joan Miró’s “Femme (Femme debout)” sell for more than $10 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 55.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.07 | Trades | ||
| Will Roy Lichtenstein’s “Interior: Perfect Pitcher” sell for more than $30 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 54.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Georges Seurat's “Paysage et personnages” sell for more than $8 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 54.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 53.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.62 | Trades | |||
| Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
1,000.00 0.00 0.00 1,000.00 1,000.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1,000.00 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | ✅ | -948.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.19 | Trades | ||||||
| Will President Biden’s first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trump’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 41.76 | 5.23 | 0.00 | 46.99 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | 44.29 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 44.33 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 37.99 | 5.64 | 0.00 | 43.63 | Trades | ||
| Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.85% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 28.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.66 | Trades | ||
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | 28.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.02 | Trades | ||
| Will the Bucks or Hawks win the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 27.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.37 | Trades | |||
| Will Donald Trump mention the word “rigged” on his communications platform by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 26.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.89 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.43 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | 24.24 | 2.15 | 0.00 | 26.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Princeton University remain the highest ranking national university in the US according to the 2022 US News ranking? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 24.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Marc Chagall’s “Les trois bouquets” sell for more than $1 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | ✅ | 20.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.18 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $ETH be on August 11? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.72 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | ✅ | 18.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.82 | Trades | ||
| Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 11, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 11 2022 | ✅ | 17.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 16.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Pablo Picasso’s “Femme dans un fauteuil” sell for more than $20 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 15.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.91 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 15.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.18 | Trades | ||
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 381.47 | 0.00% | 0.9634 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 381.47 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | ✅ | -367.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.96 | Trades | |
| Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 49.99 | 0.00% | 0.7223 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 49.99 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | ✅ | -36.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.88 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.42 | 12.39 | 0.00 | 12.82 | Trades | |||
| Will Emily Ratajkowski’s NFT go for more than $2 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | ✅ | 12.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.61 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | 11.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.49 | Trades | ||
| Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -5.4151 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | 8.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.25 | Trades | |
| What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 8.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.18 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 8.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.11 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on April 14, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | 6.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.29 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Claude Monet’s “Waterloo Bridge” sell for more than $35 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | 6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | Trades | ||
| Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 4.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump’s Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 4.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Hockney’s “Self-Portrait on the Terrace” sell for more than $12 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | 1.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.13 | Trades | ||
| Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? | Bezos | Musk | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | 0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.56 | Trades | ||
| Will any of SuperRare, Zora, Foundation, OpenSea, or NiftyGateway have a live token by April 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.97 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.97 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | ✅ | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 140 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 20 2021 | ✅ | -0.34 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the first 10 picks in the NFL draft be traded during the draft? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
| How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.35% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 27 2022 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.30 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -0.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 06 2021 | ✅ | -0.88 | 0.44 | 0.00 | -0.44 | Trades | ||
| Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.96 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $ADA be on August 27, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 250.67 | 0.00% | 0.0040 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 27 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? | Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7 Minari Promising Young Woman Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | -2.96 | 1.73 | 0.00 | -1.24 | Trades | ||||||
| Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -2.77 | 0.50 | 0.00 | -2.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -2.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.33 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 7.80 | 0.00% | 1.0997 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.00 | 4.10 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | -8.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.48 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul’s boxing match against Ben Askren end in a KO, Decision, or DQ? | KO Decision DQ |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Apr 17 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on December 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,826.85 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0027 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 07 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.85 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -13.16 | 5.70 | 0.00 | -6.61 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -12.03 | 3.15 | 0.00 | -8.88 | Trades | ||
| Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.70% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | -10.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.31 | Trades | ||
| Will George Condo’s “Reclining Blue Form” sell for more than $3.5 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -12.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.77 | Trades | ||
| Will the next recession in the US happen in Q4 2021? | Yes | No | 834.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0168 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 27 2022 | ✅ | -14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.00 | Trades | |
| Will Henry Moore's “Girl: Bust” sell for more than $1 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | ✅ | -24.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Kees van Dongen's "Danseuse assise" sell for more than $700K at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | ✅ | -24.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.97 | Trades | ||
| Will Pablo Picasso’s “Femme assise près d'une fenêtre (Marie-Thérèse)” sell for more than $55 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Jeff Koons' “Pancakes” sell for more than $1.5 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -25.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Basquiat’s “Versus Medici” sell for more than $50 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | -36.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.79 | Trades | ||
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
2.94% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -64.67 | 18.15 | 0.00 | -46.52 | Trades | |||||||
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | -49.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.07 | Trades | ||
| Will Caitlyn Jenner announce she is running for CA Governor by May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | -49.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.21 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | -49.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.75 | Trades | ||
| Will Joan Mitchell's "Untitled" sell for more than $15 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Mark Rothko’s “Untitled” sell for more than $40 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 13 2021 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | -59.51 | 0.26 | 0.00 | -59.26 | Trades | ||
| Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on May 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6.25% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 04 2021 | ✅ | -85.24 | 6.45 | 0.00 | -78.79 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,534.07 | 0.00% | 0.0652 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -100.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.89 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -111.49 | 5.14 | 0.00 | -106.34 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 16 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 147.54 | 0.00% | 0.7616 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | -112.36 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -112.34 | Trades | |
| How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -140.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -140.31 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Cy Twombly’s “Untitled (Rome)” sell for more than $45 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 10 2021 | ✅ | -182.63 | 28.19 | 0.00 | -154.44 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 203.59 | 0.00% | 0.7749 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | ✅ | -157.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -157.76 | Trades | |
| Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -184.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -184.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.76% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | -303.56 | 30.11 | 0.00 | -273.45 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -306.16 | 16.22 | 0.00 | -289.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Keith Haring’s “Untitled” sell for more than $6 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk tweet “Doge” or “Dogecoin” before March 19, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 484.02 | 0.00% | 0.6198 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 18 2022 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -315.67 | 11.65 | 0.00 | -304.01 | Trades | ||
| Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 681.34 | 0.00% | 0.5871 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | ✅ | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -400.00 | Trades | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | -408.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -408.71 | Trades | ||
| Will Robert Colescott’s “George Washington Carver Crossing the Delaware” sell for more than $12 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -417.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -417.93 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -483.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -483.58 | Trades | ||
| Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Adams Garcia Wiley Yang |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.02% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -515.75 | 0.07 | 0.00 | -515.68 | Trades | ||||||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8166 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | ✅ | -816.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -816.65 | Trades | |
| Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 2,918.66 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3084 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | -900.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -900.00 | Trades | |
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 1,950.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6707 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | ✅ | -1,307.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,307.91 | Trades | |
| [From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 3,372.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4448 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -1,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,500.00 | Trades | |
| Resolved | 9,252.51 | 16,359.40 | -22,328.29 | 156.21 | 0.02 | 4,439.84 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.11 | 4.10 | 44.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.14 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 9,252.62 | 16,363.50 | -22,283.37 | 156.21 | 0.02 | 4,488.98 | ||||||||||||