Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.17
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 31 2021
|
β
|
6,904.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,904.73
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.11
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 30 2021
|
β
|
578.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
578.65
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Bidenβs disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 16 2021
|
β
|
546.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
546.34
|
Trades
|
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.42
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 15 2021
|
β
|
465.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
466.15
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 28 2021
|
β
|
360.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
360.38
|
Trades
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.32
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.32
|
Tue Oct 05 2021
|
β
|
294.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
294.77
|
Trades
|
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
272.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
272.11
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.04
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 16 2021
|
β
|
251.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
251.67
|
Trades
|
Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 30 2021
|
β
|
217.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
217.90
|
Trades
|
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? |
California |
Florida |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
173.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
173.68
|
Trades
|
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
140.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
140.43
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 18 2021
|
β
|
116.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.52
|
Trades
|
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
116.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
116.14
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 01 2021
|
β
|
112.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
112.99
|
Trades
|
Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 01 2021
|
β
|
105.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
105.68
|
Trades
|
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
99.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
99.56
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 17 2021
|
β
|
95.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
95.07
|
Trades
|
Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
93.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
93.45
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 23 2021
|
β
|
71.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71.42
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 28 2021
|
β
|
51.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.61
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.5% or higher on December 12th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 13 2021
|
β
|
45.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.68
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 06 2021
|
β
|
41.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.52
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 16 2021
|
β
|
35.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.01
|
Trades
|
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
20.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.18
|
Trades
|
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
16.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.11
|
Trades
|
Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 01 2021
|
β
|
15.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.11
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
12.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.99
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 07 2022
|
β
|
8.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.65
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 02 2021
|
β
|
3.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.45
|
Trades
|
Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.96
|
0.00% |
|
-0.8250
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 05 2021
|
β
|
2.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.45
|
Trades
|
Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 15 2021
|
β
|
0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.23
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.69% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on June 10, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 10 2021
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 05 2021
|
β
|
-3.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.41
|
Trades
|
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 13 2021
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 26 2021
|
β
|
-6.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.37
|
Trades
|
Will President Biden say βfolksβ in his first Joint Address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 28 2021
|
β
|
-6.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.45
|
Trades
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
-10.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.91
|
Trades
|
Will there be another (1071st) NFL Scorigami in November 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 30 2021
|
β
|
-11.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.87
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-21.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.09
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 22 2021
|
β
|
-23.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.13
|
Trades
|
Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebookβs decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 01 2021
|
β
|
-24.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.00
|
Trades
|
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
-26.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.35
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-29.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.24
|
Trades
|
Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 15 2021
|
β
|
-29.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.78
|
Trades
|
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 09 2021
|
β
|
-32.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.36
|
Trades
|
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
β
|
-35.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.39
|
Trades
|
Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami in December 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
-36.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36.78
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 14 2021
|
β
|
-47.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-47.38
|
Trades
|
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 01 2021
|
β
|
-60.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.19
|
Trades
|
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
212.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.3565
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 09 2021
|
β
|
-75.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-75.74
|
Trades
|
Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 15 2021
|
β
|
-78.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-78.75
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 02 2021
|
β
|
-153.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-153.04
|
Trades
|
Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
383.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.5217
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 10 2021
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? |
Yes |
No |
617.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3611
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 24 2021
|
β
|
-222.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-222.81
|
Trades
|
Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record? |
Yes |
No |
2,258.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4605
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
-1,039.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,039.85
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.59
|
0.32
|
|
|
9,088.82
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
9,089.74
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.59
|
0.32
|
|
|
9,088.82
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
9,089.74
|
|