Account
0x687349b551df31c4a330bbaf1519458cb521d9e5 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 43,744.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43,744.01 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | 4,571.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,571.64 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 4,000.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,000.56 | Trades | ||
| $2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | ✅ | 3,357.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,357.29 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 2,985.87 | 0.34 | 0.00 | 2,986.21 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 16 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | 2,879.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,879.12 | Trades | ||
| Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | 2,854.51 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 2,854.63 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 2,700.90 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2,700.91 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | 2,247.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,247.43 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 1,840.99 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 1,841.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 1,785.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,785.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | 1,656.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,656.60 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 1,618.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,618.43 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 1,613.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,613.55 | Trades | |||
| Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 1,099.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,099.67 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 1,093.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,093.83 | Trades | ||
| Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 1,065.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,065.72 | Trades | ||
| Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 1,021.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,021.42 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 832.95 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 833.02 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 800.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 800.18 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 774.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 774.69 | Trades | |||
| Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 15 2021 | ✅ | 759.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 759.02 | Trades | ||
| Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 707.25 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 707.37 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 695.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 695.51 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | 678.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 678.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 669.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 669.79 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | ✅ | 664.21 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 664.45 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 17 2021 | ✅ | 643.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 643.08 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-3756 "Gas Limit Cap" be accepted prior to January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 603.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 603.48 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 580.77 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 580.78 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 559.13 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 559.33 | Trades | ||
| Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 551.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 551.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | 549.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 549.13 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 5.26% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | 538.45 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 538.75 | Trades | ||
| Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 526.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 526.64 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 09 2021 | ✅ | 521.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 521.68 | Trades | ||
| Will Manchester United F.C. announce their new manager by December 2? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 02 2021 | ✅ | 507.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 507.38 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 494.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 494.95 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Molnupiravir before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 460.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 460.16 | Trades | ||
| How many Yea votes in the House for the American Rescue Plan? | 218 or fewer 219 220 221 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 455.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 455.84 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 445.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 445.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | 442.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 442.09 | Trades | ||
| Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 429.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 429.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | ✅ | 424.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 424.40 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 420.15 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 420.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 419.72 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 419.98 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 407.58 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 407.74 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,000.04 | 0.00% | 0.8985 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,000.04 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -3,593.98 | 0.58 | 0.00 | 406.64 | Trades | |
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | 395.29 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 396.43 | Trades | ||
| Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 355.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 355.92 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | ✅ | 354.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 354.18 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | ✅ | 352.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 352.03 | Trades | ||
| Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 20 2021 | ✅ | 345.72 | 0.27 | 0.00 | 345.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021? | Texas Florida California |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 15 2021 | ✅ | 319.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 319.88 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 313.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 313.46 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 295.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 295.67 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 292.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 292.71 | Trades | ||
| Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | 270.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 270.15 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | 270.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 270.03 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on February 3, 2021? | 49 or less 50-59 60-69 70-79 80 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
9.09% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 03 2021 | ✅ | 243.14 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 243.21 | Trades | ||||||
| Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 232.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 232.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | ✅ | 227.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 227.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7,500.16 | 0.69% | 0.9698 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 7,500.16 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -7,273.90 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 226.27 | Trades | |
| How many subscribers will /r/wallstreetbets have on February 7, 2021? | Less than 6.5 Million 6.5-7.5 Million 7.5-8.5 Million 8.5-9.5 Million 9.5-10.5 Million Greater than 10.5 Million |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Feb 07 2021 | ✅ | 213.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 213.16 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 203.74 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 203.92 | Trades | ||
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 201.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 201.54 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 20 speech? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | ✅ | 196.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 196.92 | Trades | ||
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 196.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 196.91 | Trades | |||||||
| Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 190.68 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 190.73 | Trades | ||
| How many tweets will @DonaldJTrumpJr post from Jan 18th to 25th? | 80 or more 70-79 60-69 50-59 49 or less |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Jan 25 2021 | ✅ | 182.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 182.75 | Trades | ||||||
| Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 181.82 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 181.87 | Trades | ||
| Will Canada hold a federal election in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 181.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 181.70 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 178.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 178.36 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | ✅ | 173.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 173.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | ✅ | 171.49 | 0.69 | 0.00 | 172.18 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 165.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 165.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 163.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 163.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 161.69 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 161.71 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | ✅ | 159.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 159.92 | Trades | ||
| Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 158.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 158.73 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | 152.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 152.86 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 142.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 142.39 | Trades | |||
| Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 140.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 140.20 | Trades | ||
| Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 137.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 137.76 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 123.08 | 11.63 | 0.00 | 134.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | ✅ | 132.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.73 | Trades | ||
| Will Black Widow gross more than $87.5M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | ✅ | 132.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.41 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears’ father James Spears be charged with a crime by Halloween? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | ✅ | 128.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 128.64 | Trades | ||
| Will Uniswap be live on Polygon before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 121.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 121.59 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 120.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 120.37 | Trades | ||
| Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 14 2021 | ✅ | 119.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 9, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 104.89 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 105.07 | Trades | ||
| Will box office sales be higher than $200 million in the first quarter of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 03 2021 | ✅ | 95.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.42 | Trades | ||
| Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? | Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7 Minari Promising Young Woman Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | 94.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.66 | Trades | ||||||
| Will “meta” be included in Facebook’s new name? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | ✅ | 94.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | 86.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 82.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump’s Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 82.56 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 82.67 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 81.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.03 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 24 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 24 2021 | ✅ | 76.98 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 77.47 | Trades | ||
| Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 76.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.66 | Trades | ||
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 73.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.79 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 73.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.67 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 03 2021 | ✅ | 73.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.44 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 71.94 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 72.49 | Trades | ||
| Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 01 2020 | ✅ | 68.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.21 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | ✅ | 66.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.95 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 07 2021 | ✅ | 66.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.45 | Trades | ||
| Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 60.47 | 4.75 | 0.00 | 65.22 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by Noon, November 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 60.53 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 60.55 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 54.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.20 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | 49.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.91 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | 49.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.73 | Trades | ||
| Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | ✅ | 47.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.90 | Trades | ||
| Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 47.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.14 | Trades | |||
| Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Adams Garcia Wiley Yang |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 44.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 44.17 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | 43.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Germany or United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 24? | Germany | United Kingdom | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | ✅ | 43.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.05 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | 42.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.08 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by December 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 41.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.77 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 41.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.48 | Trades | ||
| Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | 41.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.02 | Trades | ||
| Will the Treasury Department mint the trillion dollar coin by November 5th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 05 2021 | ✅ | 36.82 | 2.33 | 0.00 | 39.15 | Trades | ||
| Will the 76ers or the Hawks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? | 76ers | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | 38.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.91 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @MCuban account on February 10, 2021? | Less than 30 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 10 2021 | ✅ | 37.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.61 | Trades | ||||||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 37.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.34 | Trades | ||
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 37.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.14 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 37.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | 36.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.49 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 35.40 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 35.41 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 34.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 34.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.90 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | ✅ | 33.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.91 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @MCuban account on February 17, 2021? | Less Than 20 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 17 2021 | ✅ | 30.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.28 | Trades | ||||||
| How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 30.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.06 | Trades | ||||||
| Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | 25.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | ✅ | 25.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | ✅ | 24.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 22.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.60 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 22.45 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 22.49 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 20.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.91 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on April 14, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | 19.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.56 | Trades | ||||||
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 19.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.36 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 19.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.05 | Trades | ||
| Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | 18.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.54 | Trades | ||
| Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 18.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.41 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | ✅ | 17.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.12 | Trades | ||
| Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on May 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 04 2021 | ✅ | 16.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.60 | Trades | ||
| Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 16.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.40 | Trades | |||
| Will Uniswap v3 launch before April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | ✅ | 15.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.55 | Trades | ||
| What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? | Under 1% 1% to 2% Over 2% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
9.09% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 12.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.68 | Trades | |||||||
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | 12.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.02 | Trades | ||
| Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chiefs | Bucs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | ✅ | 12.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.01 | Trades | ||
| Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | ✅ | 10.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.55 | Trades | ||||||
| Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | ✅ | 10.16 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10.17 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | ✅ | 10.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | 9.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 8.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.76 | Trades | ||
| Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | ✅ | 8.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.22 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.05 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 22nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 23 2021 | ✅ | 7.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.70 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) | Dems/Warnock | Reps/Loeffler | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 7.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.27 | Trades | |||
| Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 7.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | ✅ | 6.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.72 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 6.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.71 | Trades | ||
| How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | 6.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.38 | Trades | ||
| Will J.Lo and Ben Affleck get engaged by Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | ✅ | 5.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 5.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.71 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 5.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.58 | Trades | |||
| Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 5.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Jungle Cruise gross more than $30M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | 5.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.19 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 4.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.97 | Trades | ||
| Will there be over 56 points scored in Super Bowl 55? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | ✅ | 4.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.77 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have 200M total COVID-19 vaccines administered by Biden’s 100th day in office? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 4.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.67 | Trades | ||
| Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 4.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.64 | Trades | |||
| Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 4.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.07 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul’s boxing match against Ben Askren end in a KO, Decision, or DQ? | KO Decision DQ |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Apr 17 2021 | ✅ | 3.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.55 | Trades | ||||||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.07 | Trades | ||
| Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.85% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 2.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.85 | Trades | ||
| Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | ✅ | 2.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.80 | Trades | ||
| Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 2.25 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 2.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.63 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | 2.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 2.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 15 2021 | ✅ | 2.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.13 | Trades | ||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 1.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.87 | Trades | ||
| Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.80 | Trades | ||
| Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.73 | Trades | ||
| Will 130 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 15 2021 | ✅ | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Texas reinstate a mask mandate by April 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 11 2021 | ✅ | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.61 | Trades | ||
| What will the final score points spread be for Super Bowl 55? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | ✅ | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.93 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.96 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | ✅ | 0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.77 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 06 2021 | ✅ | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.58 | Trades | ||
| Will Drake release a new studio album before the end of 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.49 | Trades | ||
| What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 | Trades | ||
| What rating will theneedledrop give Drake’s "Certified Lover Boy"? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.33 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | Trades | |||
| How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09% | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | ✅ | -0.50 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.48 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the first 10 picks in the NFL draft be traded during the draft? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.81 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 22, 2021? | Less than 80 80-95 96-110 111-125 126-140 More than 140 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | -1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.20 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 18 2021 | ✅ | -1.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.61 | Trades | ||
| Will Miso Robotics expand its restaurant partnerships in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.98 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @laurenboebert account on April 6, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 06 2021 | ✅ | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Donald Trump's Twitter account be active on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -3.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.26 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | -4.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.66 | Trades | ||
| Will Coinbase delist Ripple (XRP) before they begin publicly trading? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -4.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.74 | Trades | ||
| Will any NBA Topshot sell for more than $300,000 by March 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 20 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | -5.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.01 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? | Paul | Woodley | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 29 2021 | ✅ | -5.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.76 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 10 2021 | ✅ | -5.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.85 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | -6.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.33 | Trades | ||
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | ✅ | -6.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.64 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | -8.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.06 | Trades | ||
| Will the Senate convict Donald Trump on impeachment by April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -8.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.08 | Trades | |||
| Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -8.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 05 2020 | ✅ | -8.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -9.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.25 | Trades | ||
| Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -11.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.98 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | ✅ | -12.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.07 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -12.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.46 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -12.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | ✅ | -13.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.36 | Trades | ||
| Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | ✅ | -13.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.93 | Trades | ||
| Who will get more votes in the 2021 California recall election: Paffrath, Faulconer, or Cox? | Paffrath Faulconer Cox |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -14.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.80 | Trades | |||||||
| Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | ✅ | -16.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | -16.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.21 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | -19.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | -19.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump pardon Edward Snowden? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | -20.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.33 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.25 ppm on March 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 23 2021 | ✅ | -20.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Logan Paul knock down Floyd Mayweather? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -21.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.01 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | -32.17 | 10.67 | 0.00 | -21.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | -21.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Kyrie Irving play in an NBA game by October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | ✅ | -21.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.79 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -23.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Playboi Carti release a new album before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | -23.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | -24.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired before June 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -24.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.37 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -24.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.82 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @WHCOS account on March 4, 2021? | Less than 170 170-185 186-200 201-215 216-230 More than 230 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Mar 04 2021 | ✅ | -27.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.23 | Trades | ||||||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | ✅ | -27.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.89 | Trades | ||
| Will the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 06 2020 | ✅ | -27.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Floyd Mayweather KO, TKO, or retire Logan Paul? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -28.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -28.69 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | -28.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -28.76 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -31.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.79 | Trades | ||
| Will Airbnb begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | -32.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.28 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? | Dems | Reps | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | ✅ | -35.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.10 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -36.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.49 | Trades | ||
| Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -39.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.20 | Trades | ||
| Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -47.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | -48.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.38 | Trades | ||
| Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | -48.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.93 | Trades | ||
| Will there be an NFL Scorigami in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -49.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.87 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -50.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.10 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -57.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -57.45 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | ✅ | -57.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -57.79 | Trades | ||
| What will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for at auction? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 11 2021 | ✅ | -63.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -63.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 17 2021 | ✅ | -69.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -69.38 | Trades | ||
| Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -89.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -89.75 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @DonaldJTrumpJr account by February 1, 2021? | 39 or less 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | -92.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -92.07 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -96.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -96.81 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | -98.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -98.00 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @SouljaBoy account on February 25, 2021? | Less than 60 60-75 76-90 91-105 106-120 more than 120 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Feb 25 2021 | ✅ | -109.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -109.57 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -112.85 | 0.28 | 0.00 | -112.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for more than $10 million in its Christie's auction? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 11 2021 | ✅ | -120.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -120.69 | Trades | ||
| Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | ✅ | -131.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -131.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | ✅ | -139.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -139.89 | Trades | ||
| Will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for more than $20 million in its Christie's auction? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 11 2021 | ✅ | -144.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -144.57 | Trades | ||
| Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 165 Gwei on February 16? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | ✅ | -145.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -145.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump mention the word “rigged” on his communications platform by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | -147.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -147.18 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | ✅ | -181.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -181.31 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -184.39 | 0.11 | 0.00 | -184.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | ✅ | -185.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -185.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -190.03 | 4.12 | 0.00 | -185.92 | Trades | |||
| Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 01 2020 | ✅ | -203.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -203.40 | Trades | ||
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -208.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -208.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.76% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | -220.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -220.36 | Trades | ||
| Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -229.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -229.56 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | -230.97 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -230.96 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -254.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -254.66 | Trades | ||
| Will PNAS retract Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -290.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -290.92 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | -308.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -308.46 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | ✅ | -318.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -318.13 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.56% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | ✅ | -332.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -332.35 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -340.94 | 0.40 | 0.00 | -340.54 | Trades | ||
| Will the Boeing CST-100 Starliner Spacecraft successfully dock with the ISS before August 6? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | -362.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -362.62 | Trades | ||
| New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -378.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -378.70 | Trades | ||
| Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | -401.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -401.99 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -486.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -486.28 | Trades | ||
| How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -525.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -525.62 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | -570.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -570.85 | Trades | ||
| Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | -706.07 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -706.03 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | -708.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -708.69 | Trades | ||
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | -762.58 | 47.34 | 0.00 | -715.24 | Trades | ||||||
| Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -741.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -741.03 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 0.01 | 11,500.20 | 87,580.46 | 88.57 | 0.00 | 99,169.23 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 0.01 | 11,500.20 | 87,580.46 | 88.57 | 0.00 | 99,169.23 | ||||||||||||