Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
50,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9781
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 01 2021
|
✅ |
-48,903.37
|
1.07
|
0.00
|
-48,902.30
|
Trades
|
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
28,699.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7713
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 01 2021
|
✅ |
-22,136.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22,136.09
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the senate? |
Republican |
Democratic |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 01 2021
|
✅ |
-3,302.78
|
5.30
|
0.00
|
-3,297.47
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? |
Yes |
No |
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 01 2020
|
✅ |
-689.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-689.36
|
Trades
|
Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.06
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
-397.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-397.75
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 22 2021
|
✅ |
-359.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-359.62
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 22 2021
|
✅ |
-234.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-234.36
|
Trades
|
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 16 2021
|
✅ |
-225.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-225.98
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) |
Dems/Warnock |
Reps/Loeffler |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
-180.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-180.46
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) |
Dems/Ossoff |
Reps/Perdue |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
-170.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-170.05
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 01 2021
|
✅ |
-677.79
|
545.76
|
0.00
|
-132.04
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.40
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 02 2021
|
✅ |
-143.35
|
21.22
|
0.00
|
-122.12
|
Trades
|
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 01 2021
|
✅ |
-32.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.64
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 21 2021
|
✅ |
27.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.71
|
Trades
|
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
1.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-43.0823
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 07 2021
|
✅ |
43.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.73
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 01 2021
|
✅ |
5.38
|
100.71
|
0.00
|
106.09
|
Trades
|
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
165.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
165.12
|
Trades
|
Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.45% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 01 2021
|
✅ |
-120.32
|
504.98
|
0.00
|
384.66
|
Trades
|
Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
19,923.71
|
4.17% |
|
-0.0202
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 17 2021
|
✅ |
402.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
402.38
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 23 2021
|
✅ |
704.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
704.87
|
Trades
|
Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
761.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
761.12
|
Trades
|
Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
✅ |
2,954.45
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
2,954.53
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 01 2021
|
✅ |
3,556.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,556.62
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 20 2020
|
✅ |
7,487.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,487.65
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-61,464.90
|
1,179.12
|
0.00
|
-60,285.78
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-61,464.90
|
1,179.12
|
0.00
|
-60,285.78
|
|