Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
483.09
|
1,003.83
|
0.00
|
1,486.92
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.47 |
0.53 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
356.08
|
80.82
|
0.00
|
436.90
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
438.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.9799
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
429.37
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-429.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.43
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-241.18
|
236.90
|
0.00
|
-4.27
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
430.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.10 |
0.90 |
43.91
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-60.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.33
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,680.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3233
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
|
-1,513.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,513.20
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6,028.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.5106
|
0.83 |
0.17 |
0.00
|
1,043.67
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-3,078.05
|
257.13
|
0.00
|
-1,777.24
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.84
|
0.00% |
|
-2800.0771
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
21,965.44
|
235.54
|
0.00
|
22,200.98
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
16,539.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16,539.81
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
17,592.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2492
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
17,592.05
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-4,383.99
|
50.60
|
0.00
|
13,258.66
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.84
|
0.00% |
|
-3567.2524
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
10,113.47
|
324.61
|
0.00
|
10,438.09
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
6,168.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,168.76
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
4,361.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,361.63
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
3.73
|
0.00% |
|
-1022.5974
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
3,815.34
|
98.29
|
0.00
|
3,913.64
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
4,862.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2365
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4,862.49
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-1,150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,712.49
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Evers) or Republican (Michels) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
3,289.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,289.93
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
1,425.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,425.53
|
Trades
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
39,600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9648
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
39,600.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-38,208.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,392.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
1,350.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,350.22
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
1,296.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,296.00
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
1,194.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,194.83
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
1,019.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,019.04
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
799.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
799.37
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
564.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
564.00
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
558.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
558.65
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
549.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
549.93
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
497.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
497.15
|
Trades
|
The Thiel Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
366.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
366.50
|
Trades
|
Fury Vs. KSI |
Fury |
KSI |
970.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
970.44
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-756.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
213.50
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9813
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6,000.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-5,888.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
112.00
|
Trades
|
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
79.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.37
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
76.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
76.23
|
Trades
|
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
β
|
58.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.49
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Mills) or Republican (LePage) win in Maine? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
48.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.77
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
47.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.38
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Walz) or Republican (Jensen) win in Minnesota? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
36.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.24
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Murray) or Republican (Smiley) win in Washington? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
33.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.35
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hofmeister) or Republican (Stitt) win in Oklahoma? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
27.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.02
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (O'Rourke) or Republican (Abbott) win in Texas? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
25.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.86
|
Trades
|
UFC 285: Who will win - Jones or Gane? |
Jones |
Gane |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 04 2023
|
β
|
21.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.15
|
Trades
|
UFC 285: Who will win - Shevchenko or Grasso? |
Shevchenko |
Grasso |
0.00
|
8.24
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1232
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
8.24
|
Sat Mar 04 2023
|
β
|
1.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.25
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will an Independent (McMullin) or Republican (Lee) win in Utah? |
Independent |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
4.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.52
|
Trades
|
UFC 285: Who will win - Neal or Rakhmonov? |
Neal |
Rakhmonov |
0.00
|
8.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.7600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
8.33
|
Sat Mar 04 2023
|
β
|
-6.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Chargers vs. 49ers |
Chargers |
49ers |
2.63
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
5.1360
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 13 2022
|
β
|
-13.50
|
2.41
|
0.00
|
-11.09
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Browns vs. Dolphins |
Browns |
Dolphins |
7.45
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
2.4483
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 13 2022
|
β
|
-18.25
|
0.71
|
0.00
|
-17.55
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
180.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
-34.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.20
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0090
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,418.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-56.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.74
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
-95.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-95.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
261.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3819
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
112.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.8926
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. Packers |
Cowboys |
Packers |
103,644.94
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
0.0014
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 13 2022
|
β
|
-149.88
|
15.57
|
0.00
|
-134.32
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on November 8? |
Yes |
No |
919.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5437
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,531.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.1696
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-599.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-599.00
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
5,163.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1162
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-600.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.66
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-1,083.01
|
463.69
|
0.00
|
-619.33
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? |
Democrat |
Republican |
7,812.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1280
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,000.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
22,894.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1214
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-2,778.46
|
573.90
|
0.01
|
-2,204.55
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
9,508.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2840
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-2,700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,700.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
8.92
|
0.00% |
|
390.5427
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-3,481.85
|
666.68
|
0.00
|
-2,815.17
|
Trades
|
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,076.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.5910
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-3,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,000.00
|
Trades
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,107,124.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.0045
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-4,998.18
|
859.19
|
0.00
|
-4,138.99
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
13,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3908
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-5,080.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,080.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
110,130.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.0657
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-7,238.09
|
1,488.47
|
0.00
|
-5,749.62
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14,970.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.3861
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-5,780.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,780.56
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-9,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9,500.00
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7140
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
β
|
-17,850.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17,850.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23,424.98
|
45,616.57
|
|
|
-40,854.01
|
4,779.65
|
0.02
|
32,967.20
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
43.91
|
1,473.06
|
|
|
-4,483.30
|
1,578.68
|
0.00
|
-1,387.66
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23,468.89
|
47,089.63
|
|
|
-45,337.31
|
6,358.32
|
0.02
|
31,579.54
|
|