Account
0x5da7346d021f21c415e51671a28ed8ab5a9270b5 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -92.7382 | 0.72 | 0.28 | 21.47 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 2,782.16 | 96.34 | 0.00 | 2,899.97 | Trades | ||
| Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 50.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.79 | Trades | |||
| Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.14 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | 10.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.25 | Trades | |||
| Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.66 | 0.00% | -6658.8808 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | ✅ | 24,366.64 | 10.59 | 0.00 | 24,377.24 | Trades | |
| Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14,330.39 | 0.00% | -0.0859 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 14,330.39 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 1,231.43 | 73.47 | 0.00 | 15,635.29 | Trades | |
| $2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | ✅ | 12,955.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12,955.14 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 3? | Yes | No | 7.39 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1675.0564 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 03 2022 | ✅ | 12,376.43 | 7.62 | 0.00 | 12,384.06 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? | Yes | No | 7.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1360.8336 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | ✅ | 10,443.93 | 65.82 | 0.00 | 10,509.75 | Trades | |
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 7,871.47 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 7,872.28 | Trades | ||
| Will natural gas close above $9 on June 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1549.4317 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | ✅ | 6,195.39 | 29.25 | 0.00 | 6,224.64 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | ✅ | 5,430.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,430.39 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH hit $1,500 or $2,500 first? | $1,500 | $2,500 | 12,520.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5884 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 12,520.35 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -7,367.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,152.89 | Trades | |
| Will natural gas close above $6 on June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,419.25 | 0.00% | -2.4694 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,419.25 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 3,504.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,923.88 | Trades | |
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 10 2022 | ✅ | 4,220.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4,220.01 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 4,106.22 | 8.80 | 0.00 | 4,115.01 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 15 2022 | ✅ | 3,870.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,870.87 | Trades | ||
| Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? | Yes | No | 12,298.95 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6890 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 12,298.95 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | -8,474.12 | 1.52 | 0.00 | 3,826.35 | Trades | |
| Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,259.35 | 0.00% | 0.0157 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,259.35 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | ✅ | -51.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3,208.05 | Trades | |
| Will natural gas close above $9 on June 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,920.58 | 0.00% | 0.3064 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,920.58 | Fri Jun 17 2022 | ✅ | -1,201.20 | 8.04 | 0.00 | 2,727.41 | Trades | |
| How many tweets will @DonaldJTrumpJr post from Jan 18th to 25th? | 80 or more 70-79 60-69 50-59 49 or less |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Jan 25 2021 | ✅ | 2,688.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,688.50 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | ✅ | 2,518.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,518.89 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | 2,500.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,500.48 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 2,455.14 | 25.98 | 0.00 | 2,481.13 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 09 2021 | ✅ | 2,384.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,384.03 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 2,371.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,371.68 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | ✅ | 2,146.38 | 26.62 | 0.00 | 2,173.00 | Trades | ||
| Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.67 | 0.00% | -531.0601 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 30 2022 | ✅ | 1,948.49 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1,948.50 | Trades | |
| Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 1,864.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,864.54 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | ✅ | 1,829.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,829.27 | Trades | ||
| Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 1,551.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,551.72 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,953.28 | 0.00% | 0.2978 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,953.28 | Fri May 20 2022 | ✅ | -581.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,371.53 | Trades | |
| Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 27,713.45 | 0.00% | 0.9514 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 27,713.45 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -26,365.66 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 1,347.85 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH be above $1,700 on June 17? | Yes | No | 3.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -359.4509 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 17 2022 | ✅ | 1,304.90 | 7.44 | 0.00 | 1,312.34 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 6.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -197.9767 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | ✅ | 1,294.99 | 13.44 | 0.00 | 1,308.43 | Trades | |
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022? | Yes | No | 6,485.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8261 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6,485.70 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 18 2022 | ✅ | -5,358.03 | 3.13 | 0.00 | 1,130.80 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 6.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -179.4583 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | ✅ | 1,108.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,108.59 | Trades | |
| Will FTX's deal with BlockFi be announced by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | 1,091.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,091.14 | Trades | ||
| NFL Monday: Bears vs. Patriots | Bears | Patriots | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 24 2022 | ✅ | 1,055.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,055.95 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | ✅ | 937.74 | 21.91 | 0.00 | 959.65 | Trades | ||
| Will natural gas close above $8 on May 27, 2022? | Yes | No | 2,490.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6268 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,490.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 27 2022 | ✅ | -1,560.68 | 2.76 | 0.00 | 932.07 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | ✅ | 890.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 890.90 | Trades | ||
| Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 811.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 811.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,661.25 | 0.00% | 0.5776 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,661.25 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -959.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 701.66 | Trades | |
| Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 321.41 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.0215 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 321.41 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 328.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 649.73 | Trades | |
| Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? | Yes | No | 1,593.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6704 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,593.18 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,068.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 525.05 | Trades | |
| Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,994.79 | 0.03% | 0.9011 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4,994.79 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | ✅ | -4,500.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 494.17 | Trades | |
| Will Terra USD (UST) fall below 50 cents by July 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | 428.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 428.19 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 7.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -51.2525 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | 406.41 | 4.70 | 0.00 | 411.11 | Trades | |
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 398.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 398.14 | Trades | ||
| NFL Monday: Broncos vs. Chargers | Broncos | Chargers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 17 2022 | ✅ | 360.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 360.40 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | ✅ | 350.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 350.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,496.39 | 0.00% | 0.7685 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,496.39 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -1,150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 346.39 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 341.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 341.72 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 6,001.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0537 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | 322.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 322.29 | Trades | |
| Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | ✅ | 303.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 303.46 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 27? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 27 2022 | ✅ | 299.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 299.74 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 3,103.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0938 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 17 2022 | ✅ | 291.24 | 2.70 | 0.00 | 293.94 | Trades | |
| Will 'Nope' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yeah | Nope | 5.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -50.1797 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 25 2022 | ✅ | 274.58 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 274.60 | Trades | |
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 665.19 | 0.00% | 0.5902 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 665.19 | Fri Jul 22 2022 | ✅ | -392.57 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 272.70 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH hit 3 digits (sub $1000) by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 337.10 | 0.00% | -0.8024 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 270.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 270.49 | Trades | |
| Will Mitt Romney vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 249.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 249.45 | Trades | ||
| Will $UST be above $0.10 on May 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | ✅ | 241.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 241.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 231.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 231.11 | Trades | ||
| What will Beeple's “Ocean Front” sell for in its Nifty Gateway auction? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | 226.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 226.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 222.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 222.81 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 26 2022 | ✅ | 190.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 190.46 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention Trump in his press conference on January 19? | Yes | No | 295.07 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3558 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 295.07 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 19 2022 | ✅ | -105.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 190.07 | Trades | |
| Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | ✅ | 189.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 189.69 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 183.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 183.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.08 | 0.00% | -21.6874 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 175.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 175.34 | Trades | |
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,567.34 | 0.00% | 0.9326 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,567.34 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | ✅ | -2,394.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 173.03 | Trades | |
| Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? | Yes | No | 93.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.7501 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 93.98 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 29 2022 | ✅ | 70.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 164.49 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump mention the word “rigged” on his communications platform by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 163.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 163.10 | Trades | ||
| Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,971.26 | 0.00% | 0.9477 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,971.26 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | ✅ | -2,815.90 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 155.44 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 137.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 137.78 | Trades | ||
| (Early Resolved) Will President Biden declare a new National Emergency before September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | ✅ | 115.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 115.51 | Trades | ||
| Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $140 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? | Yes | No | 211.84 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4721 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 211.84 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 111.84 | Trades | |
| Will Lindsey Graham vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to the Supreme Court by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,345.23 | 0.00% | 0.9594 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,345.23 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -2,250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.23 | Trades | |
| Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through August? | Yes | No | 2,044.68 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9547 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,044.68 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,951.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.71 | Trades | |
| Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.41 | 0.00% | -12.3202 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 91.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.30 | Trades | |
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | ✅ | 91.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 61.20 | 0.00% | -0.3900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 61.20 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | ✅ | 23.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.08 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 26 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 26 2021 | ✅ | 78.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.39 | Trades | ||
| Will the Cardinals beat the Packers by more than 3.5 points in their October 28th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 28 2021 | ✅ | 77.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.43 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 77.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.26 | Trades | ||
| Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 69.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.49 | 0.12% | -11.4790 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 63.04 | 3.06 | 0.00 | 66.10 | Trades | |
| Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? | Yes | No | 2,839.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0215 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | ✅ | 60.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.94 | Trades | |
| Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? | Yes | No | 4.75 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -12.5683 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 59.71 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 60.36 | Trades | |
| Will Optimism ($OP) close above $2 on its 1st day of trading? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 60.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | 55.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.58 | Trades | ||
| 2022 French Open: Who will win Nadal vs. Zverev? | Nadal | Zverev | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 03 2022 | ✅ | 53.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | 49.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.24 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | ✅ | 47.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Alito deliver the final majority opinion in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization? | Yes | No | 3,996.75 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.9883 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,996.75 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 03 2022 | ✅ | -3,949.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.76 | Trades | |
| Will natural gas close above $8 on May 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 193.54 | 0.00 | 0.39% | 0.7657 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 193.54 | 0.00 | Fri May 20 2022 | ✅ | -148.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.35 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden mention Manchin, Sinema or filibuster in his press conference on January 19 ? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 19 2022 | ✅ | 43.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.54 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 42.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.46 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) hit $20,000 or less by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 42.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.25 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention Russia in his press conference on January 19? | Yes | No | 145.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7207 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 145.69 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 19 2022 | ✅ | -105.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.69 | Trades | |
| NFL Monday: Raiders vs. Chiefs | Raiders | Chiefs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 10 2022 | ✅ | 38.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.06 | Trades | ||
| NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. Packers | Cowboys | Packers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 13 2022 | ✅ | 36.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.61 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 529.08 | 0.00% | 0.9450 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 529.08 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.08 | Trades | |
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 15 2022 | ✅ | 26.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.36 | Trades | ||
| Will Tiger Woods play in the 2022 US Masters Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | ✅ | 26.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.34 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? | $1,000 | $2,000 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -6.3687 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.50 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 22.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.76 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.54 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.54 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 24.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.27 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | ✅ | 24.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | ✅ | 22.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.06 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of Ryder Ripps BAYC (RR/BAYC) be above 1 ETH on June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 21.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.93 | Trades | ||
| Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 21.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.80 | Trades | ||
| Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Adams Garcia Wiley Yang |
0.00 40.93 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 40.93 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.93 | Trades | ||||||
| Will there be a Mega Millions jackpot winner on July 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.43 | 0.00% | -2.0625 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 29 2022 | ✅ | 13.26 | 7.39 | 0.00 | 20.65 | Trades | |
| Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | ✅ | 20.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.14 | Trades | ||
| Will Beeple's “Ocean Front” sell for more than $25 million at auction? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | 17.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022? | Yes | No | 3,994.77 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9962 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,994.77 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 09 2022 | ✅ | -3,979.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.10 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 12.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.51 | Trades | ||
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 12.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.49 | Trades | ||
| Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 11.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | 11.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Rafael Nadal play in the 2022 Wimbledon? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | 9.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.38 | Trades | ||
| Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 9.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.19 | Trades | ||
| Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | 9.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.19 | Trades | ||
| Will MOEX close above 3,000 by April 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 15 2022 | ✅ | 9.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.18 | Trades | ||
| Who will win 76ers v. Hawks: Conference Semifinal Game 3? | 76ers | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 11 2021 | ✅ | 8.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.73 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 07 2021 | ✅ | 7.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 6.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 6.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.32 | Trades | ||
| How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.35% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -0.04 | 5.02 | 0.00 | 4.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.59 | 0.00% | -0.2791 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 02 2022 | ✅ | 1.84 | 2.50 | 0.00 | 4.34 | Trades | |
| Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $20 Billion a week after its launch? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 3.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.64 | Trades | ||
| Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 30 2022 | ✅ | 3.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.04 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 5? | Suns | Clippers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 28 2021 | ✅ | 2.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.56 | Trades | ||
| [From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 1.38 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 1.94 | Trades | ||
| Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.80 | Trades | |||
| Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.77 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.63 | Trades | ||
| NFL Thursday: Falcons vs. Panthers | Falcons | Panthers | 0.00 | 2.48 | 0.00% | 0.4025 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.48 | Thu Nov 10 2022 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.48 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden’s first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trump’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.42 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.05 | Trades | ||
| World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 29 2022 | ✅ | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.18 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.42 | Trades | ||
| Will the Bucks or Hawks win the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 | Trades | |||
| Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07 | Trades | ||
| Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? | Yes | No | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9933 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.01 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will The Conjuring: The Devil Made Me Do It gross more than $25M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 08 2021 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | ✅ | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.27 | Trades | ||
| Will 'DC League of Super-Pets' get a 70% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | ✅ | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -1.01 | 0.17 | 0.00 | -0.84 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 5? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 02 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? | Bucks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.63 | 0.00% | 0.6129 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? | Yes | No | 28.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0354 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 17 2022 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will the first letter in SBF’s next tweet be “P”? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.36 | 0.00% | 0.2293 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 30 2022 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Mehmet Oz win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | ✅ | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.13 | Trades | ||
| Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 17.22 | 0.00% | 0.0839 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 02 2022 | ✅ | -1.45 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -1.40 | Trades | |
| What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.83 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14.03 | 0.00% | 0.1425 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 15 2022 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will $UST be above $0.30 on May 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | ✅ | -2.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | -3.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.45 | Trades | ||
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -4.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.73 | Trades | ||
| Will the Clippers or the Mavericks win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Clippers | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| UFC Fight Night London: Will 6 or more British fighters win? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 58.36 | 0.00% | 0.0857 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 23 2022 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | ✅ | -5.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | -9.31 | 1.50 | 0.00 | -7.81 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? | Long | Short | 39.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2086 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 26 2021 | ✅ | -8.27 | 0.17 | 0.00 | -8.11 | Trades | |
| Will 'Top Gun: Maverick' get an 85% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 27.31 | 0.00% | 0.3662 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| 2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 3? | Celtics | Warriors | 0.00 | 55.74 | 0.00% | 0.1794 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 08 2022 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Solana ($SOL) hit $35 or $50 first? | $35 | $50 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -10.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.52 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of natural gas be $8.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (SEP 2022 future) | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 22 2022 | ✅ | -14.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.79 | Trades | ||
| 2022 Norway Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any game? | Yes | No | 40.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4922 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 11 2022 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 22 2022 | ✅ | -20.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.88 | Trades | ||
| Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 20.17 | 0.00% | 1.1561 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 15 2022 | ✅ | -23.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.32 | Trades | |
| Will Mac Jones be the 3rd pick in the NFL draft? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.00 | Trades | ||
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? | Democrat | Republican | 282.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0886 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 226.71 | 0.00% | 0.1103 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 08 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 120.80 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2070 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 93.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3204 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | ✅ | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
| Will $UST be above $0.01 on May 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | ✅ | -33.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.67 | Trades | ||
| (In-Game Trading) Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 5? | Suns | Clippers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 28 2021 | ✅ | -34.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -34.96 | Trades | ||
| Golf: Will an American win the 2022 Masters Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 105.10 | 0.00% | 0.3450 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 11 2022 | ✅ | -36.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.26 | Trades | |
| Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -36.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.86 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on June 24, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 24 2022 | ✅ | -42.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -42.42 | Trades | ||
| Will Optimism ($OP) close above $5 on its 1st day of trading? | Yes | No | 2,282.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0195 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -44.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -44.58 | Trades | |
| Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | ✅ | -48.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.58 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -48.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Emily Ratajkowski’s NFT go for more than $2 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? | Yes | No | 376.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1328 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? | Yes | No | 603.39 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0829 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 31 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 381.44 | 0.00% | 0.1311 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 115.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4348 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 19 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chiefs | Bucs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | ✅ | -50.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.13 | Trades | ||
| Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? | Yes | No | 1,344.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0405 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | -54.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.51 | Trades | |
| Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.85% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -55.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -55.88 | Trades | ||
| Will SBF’s tweet storm spell "HAPPENED"? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 236.00 | 0.00% | 0.2542 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 30 2022 | ✅ | -60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | -70.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -70.86 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? | $1,000 | $2,000 | 271.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2758 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
| Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 616.04 | 0.00% | 0.1299 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 30 2022 | ✅ | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
| How many Yea votes in the House for the American Rescue Plan? | 218 or fewer 219 220 221 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -85.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -85.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.25 ppm on March 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 23 2021 | ✅ | -92.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -92.10 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his October 21st town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 198.05 | 0.00% | 0.4696 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 21 2021 | ✅ | -93.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -93.00 | Trades | |
| Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -101.85 | 6.80 | 0.00 | -95.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? | Yes | No | 635.22 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1574 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,691.24 | 0.00% | 0.0658 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 25 2022 | ✅ | -111.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -111.25 | Trades | |
| Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -113.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -113.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | -113.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -113.50 | Trades | ||
| Will natural gas close above $6 on July 11, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 11 2022 | ✅ | -119.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -119.02 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 317.23 | 0.00% | 0.3769 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -119.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -119.58 | Trades | |
| Will any NBA Topshot sell for more than $300,000 by March 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 20 2021 | ✅ | -127.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -127.06 | Trades | ||
| Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,250.01 | 0.00% | 0.1035 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 15 2022 | ✅ | -129.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -129.42 | Trades | |
| Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 999.63 | 0.00% | 0.1366 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -136.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -136.50 | Trades | |
| World Cup 2022: Monday - Will USA beat Wales? | Yes | No | 369.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3920 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 21 2022 | ✅ | -144.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -144.71 | Trades | |
| Will the FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game between Magnus Carlsen and Alireza Firouzja end in a draw? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | ||
| Will USD overtake EUR again by August 1? | Yes | No | 479.44 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3129 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | ✅ | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | |
| Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? | Yes | No | 33.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 6.6673 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 33.46 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 15 2022 | ✅ | -223.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -189.63 | Trades | |
| Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 90 ETH on June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 685.63 | 0.00% | 0.2948 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -202.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -202.10 | Trades | |
| Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.80 | 0.00% | 8.8963 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.80 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -229.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -203.70 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | -205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -205.00 | Trades | ||
| Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,260.17 | 0.00 | 2.63% | 0.2510 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -316.35 | 96.28 | 0.00 | -220.08 | Trades | |
| Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? | Yes | No | 664.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3340 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -222.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -222.00 | Trades | |
| NFL Thursday: Commanders vs. Bears | Commanders | Bears | 0.00 | 550.93 | 0.00% | 0.4538 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 13 2022 | ✅ | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -250.00 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 507.25 | 0.00% | 0.5049 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | ✅ | -256.10 | 5.42 | 0.00 | -250.67 | Trades | |
| Will box office sales be higher than $200 million in the first quarter of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 03 2021 | ✅ | -254.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -254.47 | Trades | ||
| Will natural gas close above $7 on July 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 779.35 | 0.00% | 0.3339 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 22 2022 | ✅ | -260.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -260.21 | Trades | |
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 32,368.99 | 0.00% | 0.0083 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -267.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -267.54 | Trades | |
| Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,856.56 | 0.00% | 0.0589 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | ✅ | -286.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -286.00 | Trades | |
| Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 754.80 | 0.00% | 0.3842 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -290.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -290.00 | Trades | |
| Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 4,402.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0673 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | ✅ | -296.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -296.37 | Trades | |
| Will Rafael Nadal win the Roland-Garros (French Open)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.14% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | ✅ | -297.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -297.74 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,279.00 | 0.00% | 0.1316 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | ✅ | -300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -300.00 | Trades | |
| Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? | Yes | No | 2,959.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1048 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | -310.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -310.07 | Trades | |
| Will natural gas close above $8 on June 24, 2022? | Yes | No | 2,847.84 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1113 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 24 2022 | ✅ | -317.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -317.03 | Trades | |
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 745.60 | 0.00% | 0.4466 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 13 2022 | ✅ | -333.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -333.00 | Trades | |
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -366.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -366.57 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $92.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (OCT 2022 future) | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 22 2022 | ✅ | -380.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -380.04 | Trades | ||
| Will the Buccaneers beat the Bears by more than 12.5 points in their October 24th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,655.09 | 0.00% | 0.2326 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 24 2021 | ✅ | -385.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -385.00 | Trades | |
| NFL: Who will win Buccaneers v. Rams? | Buccaneers | Rams | 7,081.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0565 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 23 2022 | ✅ | -400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -400.00 | Trades | |
| Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Democratic | Republican | 4,327.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1084 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -468.93 | 22.70 | 0.00 | -446.23 | Trades | |
| NCAA Finals: Who will win UNC vs. Kansas, scheduled for Apr 4 (9.20 PM ET)? | UNC | Kansas | 1,403.39 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3563 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 04 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
| Will the floor price of Bored Apes be 70 ETH or above on Aug 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 929.52 | 0.00% | 0.5917 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | ✅ | -550.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -550.00 | Trades | |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? | Yes | No | 1,560.72 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3526 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | ✅ | -550.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -550.36 | Trades | |
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | -583.71 | 5.96 | 0.00 | -577.74 | Trades | ||
| NFL: Will the Chiefs beat the Chargers by more than 3.5 points in their December 16 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,198.69 | 0.00% | 0.5005 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 16 2021 | ✅ | -600.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -600.00 | Trades | |
| Will 'Bullet Train' gross more than $32.5 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 3,367.66 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1788 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | ✅ | -601.98 | 0.16 | 0.00 | -601.82 | Trades | |
| Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | ✅ | -639.54 | 22.30 | 0.00 | -617.24 | Trades | ||
| Will natural gas close above $8 on August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 850.78 | 0.00% | 0.7264 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | ✅ | -617.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -617.98 | Trades | |
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $110 or more on June 3, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 03 2022 | ✅ | -622.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -622.54 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.56% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | ✅ | -642.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -642.09 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 22, 2021? | Less than 80 80-95 96-110 111-125 126-140 More than 140 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | -700.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -700.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the Green Bay Packers or the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC Championship? | Packers | Buccaneers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 25 2021 | ✅ | -728.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -728.43 | Trades | ||
| Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Mark Zuckerberg or Michael Bloomberg? | Mark Zuckerberg | Michael Bloomberg | 1,500.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4920 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | ✅ | -738.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -738.01 | Trades | |
| New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -791.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -791.43 | Trades | ||
| Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -800.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -800.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? | Jake Paul | Anderson Silva | 0.00 | 2,583.89 | 0.00% | 0.3153 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 29 2022 | ✅ | -814.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -814.57 | Trades | |
| Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | ✅ | -850.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -850.00 | Trades | ||
| NFL: Will the Bengals beat the Raiders by more than 5.5 points in their January 15 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,755.19 | 0.00% | 0.4862 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | -853.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -853.35 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH be above $1,600 on July 29? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,454.78 | 0.00% | 0.6333 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 29 2022 | ✅ | -921.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -921.28 | Trades | |
| NFL: Who will win Chiefs v. Bills? | Chiefs | Bills | 0.00 | 2,160.93 | 0.00% | 0.4628 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 23 2022 | ✅ | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | |
| Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | -1,025.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,025.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -1,045.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,045.31 | Trades | ||
| Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,583.51 | 0.00% | 0.7353 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,164.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,164.35 | Trades | |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -1,339.62 | 2.41 | 0.00 | -1,337.21 | Trades | ||
| Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 4,132.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3305 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,365.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,365.85 | Trades | |
| Will ‘Nope’ gross more than $60 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 5,896.92 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2394 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 25 2022 | ✅ | -1,411.81 | 3.57 | 0.00 | -1,408.23 | Trades | |
| How much will “In the Heights” gross domestically on opening weekend? | Under $22M $22M-$29M Over $29M |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | -1,540.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,540.01 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | ✅ | -1,594.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,594.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? | Yes | No | 9,000.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1777 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,599.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,599.07 | Trades | |
| Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,070.75 | 0.00% | 0.5372 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -1,649.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,649.56 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 18,279.28 | 0.00% | 0.1116 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 24 2022 | ✅ | -2,039.63 | 35.19 | 0.00 | -2,004.45 | Trades | |
| Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? | Yes | No | 7,838.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2761 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | -2,164.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,164.30 | Trades | |
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7,960.96 | 0.00% | 0.2947 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | ✅ | -2,345.85 | 17.84 | 0.00 | -2,328.01 | Trades | |
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 5,200.84 | 0.00% | 0.4807 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,500.00 | Trades | |
| Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.61 | 0.00% | 244.1088 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -3,810.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,810.64 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 9,735.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4209 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 15 2022 | ✅ | -4,097.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,097.79 | Trades | |
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 27,462.73 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1602 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | -4,400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,400.00 | Trades | |
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -6,954.65 | 0.28 | 0.00 | -6,954.37 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 17,166.09 | 0.00% | 0.4094 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 21 2022 | ✅ | -7,028.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7,028.33 | Trades | |
| Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 136,122.49 | 0.00% | 0.4707 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -64,070.04 | 1,022.03 | 0.00 | -63,048.01 | Trades | |
| Resolved | 46,723.91 | 69,957.79 | -77,687.59 | 1,577.47 | 0.00 | 40,571.58 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 21.47 | 0.00 | 2,843.19 | 96.34 | 0.00 | 2,961.01 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 46,745.38 | 69,957.79 | -74,844.39 | 1,673.81 | 0.00 | 43,532.59 | ||||||||||||