Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.06 0.94 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 13.80 0.00 0.00 13.80 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 3.37 0.00 0.00 3.38 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.30 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.19 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -2.12 0.00 0.00 -2.12 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.83 0.17 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -2.81 0.00 0.00 -2.81 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 0.00 5.00 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -4.60 0.00 0.00 -4.60 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.05 0.95 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -12.73 0.00 0.00 -12.73 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 167.28 0.00 0.00% 0.0897 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -18.35 0.00 0.00 -18.35 Trades
Fed rate cut by June 12? Yes No 0.47 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 12 2024 -47.64 0.00 0.00 -47.64 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 -127.14 0.00 0.00 -127.14 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 457.69 0.00% -25.0551 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 ✅ 11,467.37 0.00 0.00 11,467.37 Trades
Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.37 0.00% -1167.9649 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ 6,267.79 0.00 0.00 6,267.79 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 0.00 45,440.58 0.00% -0.0809 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 ✅ 3,674.58 0.00 0.00 3,674.58 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 2,432.22 0.00 0.00 2,432.22 Trades
Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th? Yes No 230.51 0.00 0.00% -8.9296 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 15 2021 ✅ 2,058.32 0.00 0.00 2,058.32 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 6,029.07 0.00 0.00% -0.3195 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 1,926.50 0.00 0.00 1,926.50 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 235.00 0.00 0.00% -7.0771 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ 1,663.12 0.00 0.00 1,663.12 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% -1.4315 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 1,431.48 0.00 0.00 1,431.48 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 ✅ 1,263.95 0.00 0.00 1,263.95 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 23 2024 ✅ 1,253.49 0.00 0.00 1,253.50 Trades
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 ✅ 1,207.35 0.00 0.00 1,207.35 Trades
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ 1,175.64 0.00 0.00 1,175.64 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Will the margin of victory be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 0.00 107.33 0.00% -9.7613 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 ✅ 1,047.68 0.00 0.00 1,047.68 Trades
Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 ✅ 1,015.50 18.94 0.00 1,034.44 Trades
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 ✅ 1,004.37 0.00 0.00 1,004.37 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 970.87 0.00 0.00 970.87 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 909.12 0.00 0.00 909.12 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 1? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 23 2021 ✅ 872.64 0.00 0.00 872.64 Trades
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ 860.56 0.00 0.00 860.56 Trades
Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 19 2021 ✅ 787.25 0.00 0.00 787.25 Trades
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 ✅ 777.66 0.00 0.00 777.66 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.46 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 ✅ 723.00 0.00 0.00 723.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 715.59 0.00 0.00 715.59 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 4,763.26 0.00% -0.1389 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ 661.64 0.00 0.00 661.64 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 632.29 0.00 0.00 632.29 Trades
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 3,180.24 0.00% -0.1943 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ 617.90 0.00 0.00 617.90 Trades
Will Trump be arrested by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 24 2023 ✅ 550.16 0.00 0.00 550.16 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 525.00 0.00 0.00 525.00 Trades
Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.88 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ 426.02 0.00 0.00 426.02 Trades
Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.97 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 ✅ 421.94 0.00 0.00 421.94 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 08 2022 ✅ 407.29 0.00 0.00 407.29 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 1,468.00 0.00% -0.2651 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 389.18 0.00 0.00 389.18 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 382.11 0.00 0.00 382.11 Trades
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 17 2021 ✅ 334.25 0.00 0.00 334.25 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 329.48 0.00 0.00 329.48 Trades
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 ✅ 320.47 0.00 0.00 320.47 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 ✅ 286.37 0.00 0.00 286.37 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? Yes No 1,709.04 0.00 0.00% -0.1578 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ 269.66 0.00 0.00 269.66 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 2? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 ✅ 258.91 0.00 0.00 258.91 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ 241.91 0.00 0.00 241.91 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ 234.87 0.00 0.00 234.87 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 109.65 0.00% -2.0510 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 ✅ 224.90 0.00 0.00 224.90 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.30 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ 198.47 0.00 0.00 198.47 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.00 366.92 0.00% -0.5404 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ 198.30 0.00 0.00 198.30 Trades
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.62 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 ✅ 192.96 0.00 0.00 192.96 Trades
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ 190.10 0.00 0.00 190.10 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ 179.43 0.00 0.00 179.43 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 12,014.50 0.00% -0.0142 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 171.19 0.00 0.00 171.19 Trades
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 ✅ 171.00 0.00 0.00 171.00 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022? Yes No 53.47 0.00 0.00% -2.1472 1.00 0.00 53.47 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ 114.82 0.00 0.00 168.30 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 153.44 0.00 0.00 153.44 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 07 2021 ✅ 146.68 0.00 0.00 146.68 Trades
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.60 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.60 Mon Nov 29 2021 ✅ 142.66 0.00 0.00 143.26 Trades
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 141.12 0.00 0.00 141.12 Trades
Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 03 2021 ✅ 133.72 0.00 0.00 133.72 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before September 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 01 2022 ✅ 122.38 0.00 0.00 122.38 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 177.71 0.00 0.00% -0.6667 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ 118.49 0.43 0.00 118.92 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ 113.87 0.00 0.00 113.87 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 110.86 0.00 0.00 110.86 Trades
Will Kathy Barnette win the Republican nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ 109.07 0.00 0.00 109.07 Trades
Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami by January 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 10 2022 ✅ 103.35 0.00 0.00 103.35 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ 97.00 0.00 0.00 97.00 Trades
Will the 76ers or the Hawks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? 76ers Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 20 2021 ✅ 94.31 0.00 0.00 94.31 Trades
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? Yes No 24.99 0.00 0.00% -2.6000 1.00 0.00 24.99 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 ✅ 64.98 0.00 0.00 89.97 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 09 2021 ✅ 84.88 0.00 0.00 84.88 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the Bulls by more than 1.5 points in their November 27th matchup? Yes No 0.00 125.72 0.00% -0.6618 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 ✅ 83.20 0.00 0.00 83.20 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 ✅ 82.76 0.00 0.00 82.76 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 80.74 0.00 0.00 80.75 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.00 68.88 0.00% -1.1281 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ 77.69 0.00 0.00 77.69 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5,110.01 0.00% -0.0142 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 72.71 0.00 0.00 72.71 Trades
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 67.40 0.00 0.00 67.40 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 20 speech? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 20 2021 ✅ 64.60 0.00 0.00 64.60 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 571.31 0.00 0.00% -0.1080 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 12 2021 ✅ 61.67 0.00 0.00 61.67 Trades
Will Lebron James play against the New York Knicks on Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 23 2021 ✅ 60.48 0.61 0.00 61.09 Trades
How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office? Long Short 0.00 0.02 0.00% 0.38 0.62 0.00 0.01 Thu Apr 29 2021 ✅ 59.48 0.00 0.00 59.50 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 ✅ 58.48 0.00 0.00 58.48 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 300.43 0.00 0.00% -0.1909 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 57.34 0.00 0.00 57.34 Trades
$2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 28 2021 ✅ 56.38 0.00 0.00 56.38 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 ✅ 56.04 0.00 0.00 56.04 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? Yes No 296.89 0.00 0.00% -0.1869 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 16 2023 ✅ 55.50 0.00 0.00 55.50 Trades
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? Yes No 0.00 1,601.71 0.00% -0.0339 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 05 2023 ✅ 54.26 0.00 0.00 54.26 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.00 9,184.65 0.00% -0.0059 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 ✅ 54.10 0.00 0.00 54.10 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 ✅ 53.78 0.00 0.00 53.78 Trades
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5000 1.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? Bucks Suns 0.00 110.75 0.00% -0.4371 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 14 2021 ✅ 48.41 0.00 0.00 48.41 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 ✅ 47.44 0.00 0.00 47.44 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ 45.78 0.00 0.00 45.78 Trades
Will another US bank fail in March? Yes No 0.00 1,401.99 0.00% -0.0307 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 43.05 0.00 0.00 43.05 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.10 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 ✅ 41.69 0.00 0.00 41.69 Trades
Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 23 2021 ✅ 41.62 0.00 0.00 41.62 Trades
Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? Paul Woodley 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 29 2021 ✅ 41.47 0.00 0.00 41.47 Trades
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be tiebreaks? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 14 2021 ✅ 40.43 0.00 0.00 40.43 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 ✅ 37.43 0.00 0.00 37.43 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 31.5M global streams for the week ending on February 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 ✅ 37.15 0.00 0.00 37.15 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 89.88 0.00% -0.4071 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ 36.59 0.00 0.00 36.59 Trades
Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? Yes No 0.00 1.34 0.00% -26.8281 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 20 2021 ✅ 35.94 0.00 0.00 35.94 Trades
Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ 35.66 0.00 0.00 35.66 Trades
Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 06 2022 ✅ 35.58 0.00 0.00 35.58 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 45M global streams for the week ending on November 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 26 2021 ✅ 34.64 0.00 0.00 34.64 Trades
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? Yes No 0.67 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.67 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ 33.69 0.00 0.00 34.35 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ 34.20 0.00 0.00 34.20 Trades
Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? Yes No 188.52 0.00 0.00% -0.1810 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ 34.12 0.00 0.00 34.12 Trades
Will Lebron James be suspended for 3 or more games? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 ✅ 33.34 0.00 0.00 33.34 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ 32.30 0.00 0.00 32.31 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ 31.60 0.00 0.00 31.60 Trades
Will Joseph Delong announce he’s leaving SushiSwap as CTO before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ 28.87 0.00 0.00 28.87 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 76.92 0.00 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 76.92 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 26.92 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 4? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 29 2021 ✅ 26.40 0.00 0.00 26.40 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 45.24 0.00% -0.5671 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 25.65 0.00 0.00 25.65 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 25.50 0.00 0.00 25.50 Trades
Will Julie Su be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ 25.22 0.00 0.00 25.22 Trades
(NBA) Bucks in six? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 20 2021 ✅ 23.87 0.00 0.00 23.87 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ 23.34 0.00 0.00 23.34 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? Yes No 0.00 196.57 0.00% 0.8819 0.00 1.00 0.00 196.57 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -173.36 0.00 0.00 23.21 Trades
Will the City of Ottawa cease its state of emergency by March 2, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ 23.02 0.00 0.00 23.02 Trades
Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 22 2021 ✅ 22.87 0.00 0.00 22.87 Trades
2022 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs, Round 1: Who will win Rangers vs. Penguins? Rangers Penguins 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 15 2022 ✅ 22.55 0.00 0.00 22.55 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 22.36 0.00 0.00 22.36 Trades
How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for July? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.54 0.46 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 24 2021 ✅ 21.89 0.00 0.00 21.89 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 6? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 03 2021 ✅ 19.96 0.00 0.00 19.96 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 19.95 0.00 0.00 19.95 Trades
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ 18.91 0.00 0.00 18.91 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 46.08 0.00% -0.4101 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 18.90 0.00 0.00 18.90 Trades
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? Haley DeSantis 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ 18.76 0.00 0.00 18.76 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ 17.78 0.00 0.00 17.79 Trades
Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 23 2021 ✅ 16.58 0.00 0.00 16.58 Trades
Will the Ukrainian Government receive more than $25M in Crypto donations by March 10? Yes No 0.00 718.20 0.00% -0.0213 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 ✅ 15.29 0.00 0.00 15.29 Trades
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? Yes No 0.00 59.02 0.00% -0.2556 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ 15.08 0.00 0.00 15.08 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ 14.92 0.00 0.00 14.92 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross between $120 million and $160 million on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ 14.63 0.00 0.00 14.63 Trades
What will the ETH floor price of Chain Runners be on December 2? Long Short 0.44 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 ✅ 14.62 0.00 0.00 14.62 Trades
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 85.00 0.00% 0.8282 0.00 1.00 0.00 85.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -70.40 0.00 0.00 14.60 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 02 2022 ✅ 14.59 0.00 0.00 14.59 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 13.85 0.00 0.00 13.85 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.8% or higher on March 30? Yes No 8.05 0.00 0.00% -1.6679 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 30 2022 ✅ 13.43 0.00 0.00 13.43 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ 13.15 0.00 0.00 13.15 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 1? Celtics Warriors 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 ✅ 12.93 0.00 0.00 12.93 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ 12.50 0.00 0.00 12.50 Trades
Will Hellbound be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 49, 2021 (Nov 29 - Dec 5)? Yes No 1.35 0.00 0.00% -8.8542 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 06 2021 ✅ 11.98 0.00 0.00 11.98 Trades
Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 ✅ 11.92 0.00 0.00 11.92 Trades
Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? WI SC 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 ✅ 11.79 0.00 0.00 11.79 Trades
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 15 2023 ✅ 11.69 0.00 0.00 11.69 Trades
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? Yes No 0.57 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 18 2021 ✅ 11.05 0.00 0.00 11.05 Trades
Will Ketanji Jackson Brown receive 53 or more votes in favor of her confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 10.02 0.00 0.00 10.02 Trades
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 9.92 0.00 0.00 9.92 Trades
Will Manchester United F.C. announce their new manager by December 2? Yes No 0.00 0.71 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.71 Thu Dec 02 2021 ✅ 9.03 0.00 0.00 9.74 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.19 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ 9.51 0.00 0.00 9.51 Trades
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 10 2023 ✅ 9.20 0.00 0.00 9.20 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 9.19 0.00 0.00 9.19 Trades
Which party will control the senate? Republican Democratic 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 ✅ 8.66 0.00 0.00 8.66 Trades
Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ 8.56 0.00 0.00 8.56 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 8.51 0.00 0.00 8.51 Trades
Will the floor price of Chain Runners be above 1.25 ETH on December 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 ✅ 7.94 0.00 0.00 7.94 Trades
What will the margin be in Newsom’s recall election? Under 10%
10% to 15%
Over 15%		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		✅ 7.93 0.00 0.00 7.93 Trades
Will a candidate say something racist at the next Republican debate? Yes No 0.00 58.28 0.00% 0.8656 0.00 1.00 0.00 58.28 Wed Oct 04 2023 ✅ -50.45 0.00 0.00 7.83 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Spurs by more than 7.5 points in their December 6 matchup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 06 2021 ✅ 7.48 0.00 0.00 7.48 Trades
NHL: Who will win the Rangers v. Penguins game on May 11? Rangers Penguins 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ 7.04 0.00 0.00 7.04 Trades
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 6.61 0.00 0.00 6.61 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 ✅ 6.59 0.00 0.00 6.59 Trades
Will President Biden mention Cryptocurrency in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ 6.52 0.00 0.00 6.52 Trades
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 14 2022 ✅ 6.24 0.00 0.00 6.24 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 6.18 0.00 0.00 6.18 Trades
NHL: Will the Blues beat the Rangers by more than 1.5 goals in their March 2 matchup (7.30 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 02 2022 ✅ 5.77 0.00 0.00 5.77 Trades
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ 5.56 0.00 0.00 5.56 Trades
(In-game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 3? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 27 2021 ✅ 5.54 0.00 0.00 5.54 Trades
NHL: Will the Islanders beat the Blackhawks by more than 1.5 points in their December 5 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 05 2021 ✅ 5.22 0.00 0.00 5.22 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 262.01 0.00 0.00% -0.0198 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 5.20 0.00 0.00 5.20 Trades
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 11 2021 ✅ 5.18 0.00 0.00 5.18 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.79 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.79 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ 4.29 0.00 0.00 5.08 Trades
NHL: Who will win Lightning vs. Rangers, scheduled for June 3, 8:10 PM ET? Lightning Rangers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 03 2022 ✅ 4.81 0.00 0.00 4.81 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 9.80 0.00 0.00% 0.5100 1.00 0.00 9.80 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 4.80 Trades
Will J. Michelle Childs be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.50 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 4.57 0.00 0.00 4.57 Trades
Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 ✅ 4.13 0.00 0.00 4.13 Trades
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? Yes No 0.00 75.00 0.00% 0.9467 0.00 1.00 0.00 75.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -71.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Magic by more than 11.5 points in their November 20th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 20 2021 ✅ 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 ✅ 3.89 0.00 0.00 3.89 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 3.73 0.00 0.00 3.73 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 3.21 0.00 0.00% -1.0881 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 3.49 0.00 0.00 3.49 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ 3.32 0.00 0.00 3.32 Trades
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 3.22 0.00 0.00 3.22 Trades
Will Penny Mordaunt be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 2.82 0.00 0.00 2.82 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 103.08 0.00 0.00% 0.4750 0.50 0.50 51.54 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -48.96 0.00 0.00 2.58 Trades
Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 ✅ 2.48 0.00 0.00 2.48 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ 2.40 0.00 0.00 2.40 Trades
Will Ronna McDaniel be reelected as RNC Chair? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 27 2023 ✅ 2.36 0.00 0.00 2.36 Trades
Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? Yes No 0.31 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ 2.22 0.00 0.00 2.22 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $120 million or less on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ 2.16 0.00 0.00 2.16 Trades
Will Binance Coin (BNB) have a higher market cap than Ethereum (ETH) at any time before July 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 ✅ 2.02 0.00 0.00 2.02 Trades
NHL: Will the Jets beat the Rangers by more than 1.5 goals in their March 6 matchup (7 PM ET)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 06 2022 ✅ 1.80 0.00 0.00 1.80 Trades
Will 'Vikings: Valhalla: Season 1' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending March 20? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 22 2022 ✅ 1.77 0.00 0.00 1.77 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace launch before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ 1.72 0.00 0.00 1.72 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 ✅ 1.67 0.00 0.00 1.67 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1.65 0.00 0.00 1.65 Trades
Which movie will gross more domestically on opening weekend: Venom 2 or No Time to Die? Venom 2 No Time to Die 0.00 79.70 0.00% -0.0190 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 11 2021 ✅ 1.51 0.00 0.00 1.51 Trades
Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 47, 2021 (Nov 22 - Nov 28)? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 ✅ 1.47 0.00 0.00 1.47 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 1.29 0.00 0.00 1.29 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 22 2022 ✅ 1.28 0.00 0.00 1.28 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 24 2021 ✅ 1.27 0.00 0.00 1.27 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ 1.24 0.00 0.00 1.24 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ 1.23 0.00 0.00 1.24 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 30.5M global streams for the week ending on March 24? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ 1.23 0.00 0.00 1.23 Trades
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 ✅ 1.15 0.00 0.00 1.16 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ 1.08 0.00 0.00 1.08 Trades
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 ✅ 1.08 0.00 0.00 1.08 Trades
Will "peace" hit its Google Trends all time high (global, monthly) before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 ✅ 1.06 0.00 0.00 1.06 Trades
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 Trades
Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 ✅ 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.84 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 ✅ 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.77 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.76 0.00 0.00 0.76 Trades
Will Brittney Griner play in her next scheduled game? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 06 2022 ✅ 0.74 0.00 0.00 0.74 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 0.70 0.00 0.00 0.70 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck Musk Zuck 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 ✅ 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.68 Trades
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 11 2022 ✅ 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.68 Trades
NHL: Who will win Hurricanes vs. Rangers, scheduled for May 28, 8:00 PM ET? Hurricanes Rangers 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 ✅ 0.61 0.00 0.00 0.61 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 6? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 ✅ 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.51 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.49 Trades
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? Yes No 0.42 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.46 Trades
Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 14 2021 ✅ 0.42 0.00 0.00 0.42 Trades
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 ✅ 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.33 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.24 Trades
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? Yes No 0.00 1.20 0.00% 0.8300 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.20 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.26 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.26 Sat Jul 31 2021 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.16 Trades
Will PNAS retract Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.07 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.03 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.03 Fri Jul 30 2021 ✅ -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 13 2021 ✅ -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will two or more U.S. Supreme Court Justices be nominated in 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will Naomi Osaka win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.06 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 ✅ -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
What will the margin of victory be in the 2021 OH-11 democratic primary? Long Short 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.15 0.85 0.00 0.00 ✅ -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 ✅ -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play in an NBA game by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 31 2021 ✅ -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.19 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.22 Trades
(Early Resolved) Will President Biden declare a new National Emergency before September? Yes No 0.00 1.44 0.00% 0.6951 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.72 Wed Aug 31 2022 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.28 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.37 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.41 Trades
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 24 2021 ✅ -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.46 Trades
Will there be more than 10,000 Monkeypox cases in the USA by August 1, 2022? Yes No 204.19 0.00 0.00% 0.0024 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 01 2022 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.51 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by Noon, November 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 15 2021 ✅ -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.52 Trades
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by January 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 09 2022 ✅ -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.57 Trades
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.59 Trades
Will President Biden mention Trump in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.60 Trades
Will Kawhi Leonard Sign with the Clippers for the NBA 2021-22 season on or before October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.65 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 ✅ -0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.66 Trades
SBF reduced sentence because autism? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Thu Mar 28 2024 ✅ -0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.67 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.67 Trades
Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 ✅ -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.69 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.75 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.0150 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.75 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 ✅ -0.76 0.00 0.00 -0.76 Trades
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -0.82 0.00 0.00 -0.82 Trades
Will Conor Lamb win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 ✅ -0.89 0.00 0.00 -0.89 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 ✅ -0.92 0.00 0.00 -0.92 Trades
Will VOX win over 13.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? Yes No 2.78 0.00 0.00% 0.3600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 22 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? Yes No 1.92 0.00 0.00% 0.5200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 22 2021 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
NBA: Who will win the Spurs v. Mavericks game on November 3rd? Spurs Mavericks 3.21 0.00 0.00% 0.3113 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 03 2021 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
NBA: Will Kevin Durant score more than 585 points in the NBA 2021/22 Regular Season by November 29th? Yes No 2.71 0.00 0.00% 0.3687 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? Yes No 0.00 131.11 0.00% 0.0076 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 24 2022 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on July 29? Yes No 0.00 25.60 0.00% 0.0391 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will George Santos resign by January 31? Yes No 127.97 0.00 0.00% 0.0078 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 07 2022 ✅ -1.01 0.00 0.00 -1.01 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 ✅ -1.08 0.00 0.00 -1.08 Trades
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 ✅ -1.14 0.00 0.00 -1.14 Trades
Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? Yes No 0.00 0.64 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.64 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ -1.85 0.00 0.00 -1.21 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Lakers by more than 8.5 points in their November 17th matchup? Yes No 4.11 0.00 0.00% 0.3653 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 17 2021 ✅ -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -1.50 0.00 0.00 -1.50 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 07 2022 ✅ -1.55 0.00 0.00 -1.55 Trades
Will 'Morbius' gross $50 million or more on opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 04 2022 ✅ -1.66 0.00 0.00 -1.66 Trades
Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? Yes No 0.29 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.29 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ -1.99 0.00 0.00 -1.70 Trades
What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? Under 1%
1% to 2%
Over 2%		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		✅ -1.91 0.00 0.00 -1.91 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ -1.95 0.00 0.00 -1.95 Trades
Will Candyman gross more than $19M domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 7.13 0.00% 0.2792 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 30 2021 ✅ -1.99 0.00 0.00 -1.99 Trades
Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the ‘second week’ of October? Yes No 0.00 32.63 0.00% 0.0613 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 14 2021 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
NHL: Will the Hurricanes beat the Rangers by more than 1.5 goals in their March 20, 6:00 PM ET matchup? Yes No 2,127.61 0.00 0.00% 0.0009 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 20 2022 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 10? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.0080 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 09 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -2.04 0.00 0.00 -2.04 Trades
Will Ethereum reach $4500 by November 11th? Yes No 0.00 30.82 0.00% 0.0678 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 11 2021 ✅ -2.09 0.00 0.00 -2.09 Trades
Will the Warriors or Lakers win their season opener? Warriors Lakers 0.00 12.42 0.00% 0.1772 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 19 2021 ✅ -2.20 0.00 0.00 -2.20 Trades
NBA: Will the Knicks beat the Lakers by more than 4.5 points in their November 23rd matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 23 2021 ✅ -2.30 0.00 0.00 -2.30 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.31 0.00 0.00 -2.31 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 59.65 0.00% 0.0393 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -2.35 0.00 0.00 -2.35 Trades
Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? Gavin Newsom
Larry Elder
Other		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		✅ -2.42 0.00 0.00 -2.42 Trades
Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? Jeff Bezos
Elon Musk
Other		 0.50
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.50
0.00
0.00 		Sat Feb 27 2021 ✅ -3.12 0.00 0.00 -2.62 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 700.00 0.00% 0.0039 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.70 0.00 0.00 -2.70 Trades
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 ✅ -2.71 0.00 0.00 -2.71 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -2.71 0.00 0.00 -2.71 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? Yes No 27.73 0.00 0.00% 0.0983 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 ✅ -2.72 0.00 0.00 -2.72 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Heat by more than 5.5 points in their December 8 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 08 2021 ✅ -2.77 0.00 0.00 -2.77 Trades
Will Uniswap be live on Polygon before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ -2.94 0.00 0.00 -2.94 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 425.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0070 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.98 0.00 0.00 -2.98 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 30, 2021? Less than 70
70-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
More than 110		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Tue Mar 30 2021 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Cavaliers by more than 5.5 points in their November 29th matchup? Yes No 14.29 0.00 0.00% 0.2100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.00 Trades
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 15 2021 ✅ -3.05 0.00 0.00 -3.05 Trades
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 ✅ -3.27 0.00 0.00 -3.27 Trades
Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ -3.27 0.00 0.00 -3.27 Trades
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 273.00 0.00% 0.0123 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 ✅ -3.35 0.00 0.00 -3.35 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.0700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -3.50 0.00 0.00 -3.50 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -3.71 0.00 0.00 -3.71 Trades
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? Bezos Musk 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 25 2021 ✅ -3.74 0.00 0.00 -3.74 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th? Yes No 19.53 0.00 0.00% 0.1931 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 19 2022 ✅ -3.77 0.00 0.00 -3.77 Trades
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 ✅ -3.90 0.00 0.00 -3.90 Trades
NHL: Who will win Hurricanes vs. Rangers, scheduled for May 22, 3:30 PM ET? Hurricanes Rangers 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 22 2022 ✅ -3.93 0.00 0.00 -3.93 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 ✅ -3.98 0.00 0.00 -3.98 Trades
NBA: Will the Raptors beat the Wizards by more than 1.5 points in their December 5 matchup? Yes No 0.00 55.13 0.00% 0.0724 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 05 2021 ✅ -3.99 0.00 0.00 -3.99 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Celtics by more than 5.5 points in their December 10 matchup? Yes No 0.00 23.97 0.00% 0.1669 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 10 2021 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -4.00 0.00 0.00 -4.00 Trades
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA ‘21-’22 Champsionship? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 19 2022 ✅ -4.08 0.00 0.00 -4.08 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 ✅ -4.14 0.00 0.00 -4.14 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (O'Rourke) or Republican (Abbott) win in Texas? Democrat Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -4.19 0.00 0.00 -4.19 Trades
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 05 2021 ✅ -4.47 0.00 0.00 -4.47 Trades
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 ✅ -4.53 0.00 0.00 -4.53 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Aug 16 2022 ✅ -4.69 0.00 0.00 -4.69 Trades
Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ -4.84 0.00 0.00 -4.84 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 23rd be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 0.00 12.50% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 ✅ -5.00 0.13 0.00 -4.87 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be above 75,000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 08 2022 ✅ -4.87 0.00 0.00 -4.87 Trades
Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? Yes No 20.53 0.00 0.00% 0.2399 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 02 2021 ✅ -4.93 0.00 0.00 -4.93 Trades
Will $XRP hit $1 by July 20? Yes No 55.56 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 20 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 2,527.14 0.00% 0.0020 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 13.51 0.00% 0.3700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? Yes No 0.00 9.26 0.00% 0.5400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 4? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Trail Blazers by more than 7.5 points in their November 29th matchup? Yes No 0.00 10.26 0.00% 0.4872 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Nuggets beat the Timberwolves by more than 4.5 points in their December 15 matchup? Yes No 55.28 0.00 0.00% 0.0904 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 15 2021 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will any film win 6 or more awards? Yes No 0.00 8.01 0.00% 0.6240 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? Yes No 0.00 112.34 0.00% 0.0445 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
NHL: Who will win Hurricanes vs. Rangers, scheduled for May 26, 7:00 PM ET? Hurricanes Rangers 0.00 12.00 0.00% 0.4167 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 26 2022 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Will the series end on Game 6? Yes No 0.00 67.85 0.00% 0.0737 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 17 2022 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans or Democrats on August 15? Republicans Democrats 30.37 0.00 0.00% 0.1646 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Twitter vote "Yes" on Musk's poll to reinstate @realDonaldTrump? Yes No 0.00 360.73 0.00% 0.0139 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 19 2022 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will @elonmusk have more than 22,726 tweets on February 10? Yes No 50.81 0.00 0.00% 0.0984 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 10 2023 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 ✅ -5.29 0.00 0.00 -5.29 Trades
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -5.30 0.00 0.00 -5.30 Trades
Will 'Wonka' gross over $40m over its opening weekend? Yes No 552.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 17 2023 ✅ -5.52 0.00 0.00 -5.52 Trades
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 29.0M global streams for the week ending on March 10, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 11 2022 ✅ -5.75 0.00 0.00 -5.75 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 0.00 10.15 0.00% 1.5819 0.00 1.00 0.00 10.15 Mon Feb 28 2022 ✅ -16.05 0.00 0.00 -5.91 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be on April 9? 49,999 or fewer
50,000-62,499
62,500-74,999
75,000 or more		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Fri Apr 09 2021 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 02 2021 ✅ -6.02 0.00 0.00 -6.02 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on December 7, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 07 2021 ✅ -6.11 0.00 0.00 -6.11 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ -6.17 0.00 0.00 -6.17 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 5? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 17 2021 ✅ -6.30 0.00 0.00 -6.30 Trades
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -6.36 0.00 0.00 -6.36 Trades
What will the “Official Edition” of the United States Constitution sell for at Sotheby’s? Less than 20m
20-30m
More than 30m		 99.25
8.95
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		Thu Nov 18 2021 ✅ -6.50 0.00 0.00 -6.50 Trades
Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 04 2021 ✅ -6.83 0.00 0.00 -6.83 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from June to July 2022? Yes No 92.88 0.00 0.00% 0.0754 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 ✅ -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 33.50 0.00% 0.2089 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 ✅ -7.00 0.00 0.00 -7.00 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Mark Zuckerberg or Michael Bloomberg? Mark Zuckerberg Michael Bloomberg 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -7.11 0.00 0.00 -7.11 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 02 2021 ✅ -7.25 0.00 0.00 -7.25 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 5,047.32 0.00 0.00% 0.0015 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 ✅ -7.44 0.00 0.00 -7.44 Trades
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? Yes No 0.00 43.96 0.00% 0.1706 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -7.50 0.00 0.00 -7.50 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 20 2021 ✅ -7.50 0.00 0.00 -7.50 Trades
NBA: Will the Pelicans beat the Thunder by more than 2.5 points in their December 15 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 15 2021 ✅ -7.66 0.00 0.00 -7.66 Trades
Will Leondra Kruger be the next nominee for Supreme Court Justice? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -7.95 0.00 0.00 -7.95 Trades
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 15 2021 ✅ -8.01 0.00 0.00 -8.01 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 ✅ -8.08 0.00 0.00 -8.08 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 33.93 0.00 0.00% 0.2499 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.48 0.00 0.00 -8.48 Trades
Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ -8.49 0.00 0.00 -8.49 Trades
Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? Yes No 0.00 1.92 0.00% 4.4330 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 25 2022 ✅ -8.52 0.00 0.00 -8.52 Trades
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -8.68 0.00 0.00 -8.68 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 ✅ -8.74 0.00 0.00 -8.74 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.1790 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.95 0.00 0.00 -8.95 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ -9.12 0.00 0.00 -9.12 Trades
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 ✅ -9.26 0.00 0.00 -9.26 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? Yes No 20.06 0.00 0.00% 0.4645 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -9.32 0.00 0.00 -9.32 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 ✅ -9.50 0.00 0.00 -9.50 Trades
Will Menendez announce resignation by EoY? Yes No 10.64 0.00 0.00% 0.8975 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -9.55 0.00 0.00 -9.55 Trades
Who will win Nets v. Bucks: Conference Semifinal Game 3? Nets Bucks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 10 2021 ✅ -9.59 0.00 0.00 -9.59 Trades
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? Cisneros Cuellar 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ -9.87 0.02 0.00 -9.85 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ -9.96 0.00 0.00 -9.96 Trades
Will anyone say "Obama" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 22.22 0.00% 0.4500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Italy or Austria qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? Italy Austria 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Rockets beat the Thunder by more than 2.5 points in their November 29th matchup? Yes No 0.00 175.33 0.00% 0.0570 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? Healthcare Workers
WHO
Joe Biden
Anthony Fauci
Other		 50.77
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Mon Dec 13 2021 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Spurs by more than 9.5 points in their December 4 matchup? Yes No 62.79 0.00 0.00% 0.1593 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 04 2021 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
NHL: Who will win Hurricanes vs. Rangers, scheduled for May 20, 8:00 PM ET? Hurricanes Rangers 0.00 35.80 0.00% 0.2793 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from July to August 2022? Yes No 24.92 0.00 0.00% 0.4013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -10.15 0.00 0.00 -10.15 Trades
Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1? Yes No 0.38 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 ✅ -10.16 0.00 0.00 -10.16 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price still be above $4 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -10.43 0.00 0.00 -10.43 Trades
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws? More Less 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 14 2021 ✅ -10.58 0.00 0.00 -10.58 Trades
Will Snake Eyes or Old gross more domestically opening weekend? Snake Eyes Old 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 27 2021 ✅ -11.04 0.00 0.00 -11.04 Trades
Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 22 2021 ✅ -11.59 0.00 0.00 -11.59 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 ✅ -11.89 0.00 0.00 -11.89 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ -12.00 0.00 0.00 -12.00 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -12.00 0.00 0.00 -12.00 Trades
Will Barbara Lee replace Feinstein? Yes No 67.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 04 2024 ✅ -12.06 0.00 0.00 -12.06 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 2? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 08 2021 ✅ -12.09 0.00 0.00 -12.09 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? Yes No 0.00 251.00 0.00% 0.0488 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -12.25 0.00 0.00 -12.25 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 ✅ -12.30 0.00 0.00 -12.30 Trades
Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 ✅ -12.39 0.00 0.00 -12.39 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,250.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -12.50 0.00 0.00 -12.50 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? Yes No 961.49 0.00 0.00% 0.0136 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -13.05 0.00 0.00 -13.05 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by April 30? Yes No 78.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1677 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -13.08 0.00 0.00 -13.08 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.41 0.59 0.00 0.00 ✅ -13.28 0.00 0.00 -13.28 Trades
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.20 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.20 Mon Feb 01 2021 ✅ -13.63 0.00 0.00 -13.43 Trades
Will an official Presidential inauguration take place in-person outside the US Capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 ✅ -13.63 0.00 0.00 -13.63 Trades
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 ✅ -17.64 3.96 0.00 -13.68 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 3? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 27 2021 ✅ -14.00 0.00 0.00 -14.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on June 17? Yes No 1,068.47 0.00 0.00% 0.0131 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 17 2022 ✅ -14.00 0.00 0.00 -14.00 Trades
Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 107.27 0.00 0.00% 0.1326 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 ✅ -14.22 0.00 0.00 -14.22 Trades
NBA: Will the Trail Blazers beat the 76ers by more than 6.5 points in their November 20th matchup? Yes No 0.00 32.60 0.00% 0.4466 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 20 2021 ✅ -14.56 0.00 0.00 -14.56 Trades
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Wizards by more than 6.5 points in their November 27th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 ✅ -14.59 0.00 0.00 -14.59 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 17, 2022? Yes No 141.84 0.00 0.00% 0.1044 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 17 2022 ✅ -14.81 0.00 0.00 -14.81 Trades
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 ✅ -14.84 0.00 0.00 -14.84 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 26.79 0.00% 0.5600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Bulls beat the Hornets by more than 5.5 points in their November 29th matchup? Yes No 0.00 62.63 0.00% 0.2395 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Wizards beat the Spurs by more than 3.5 points in their November 29th matchup? Yes No 348.14 0.00 0.00% 0.0431 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 6? Celtics Warriors 170.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0877 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 16 2022 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? Yes No 0.00 43.35 0.00% 0.3460 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ -15.00 0.00 0.00 -15.00 Trades
Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? Yes No 335.54 0.00 0.00% 0.0450 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -15.09 0.00 0.00 -15.09 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 50.00 0.00% 0.3040 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -15.20 0.00 0.00 -15.20 Trades
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.83 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ -15.22 0.00 0.00 -15.22 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 ✅ -15.52 0.00 0.00 -15.52 Trades
Will Declan Rice sign for Chelsea on or before August 31, 2021? Yes No 0.50 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 ✅ -15.71 0.00 0.00 -15.71 Trades
Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 ✅ -15.75 0.00 0.00 -15.75 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 23, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 23 2021 ✅ -15.89 0.00 0.00 -15.89 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? Yes No 996.36 0.00 0.00% 0.0164 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 ✅ -16.30 0.00 0.00 -16.30 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 28 2021 ✅ -16.40 0.00 0.00 -16.40 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -16.56 0.00 0.00 -16.56 Trades
Who will score more points in Clippers vs. Suns Game 5: Paul George or Devin Booker? George Booker 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 28 2021 ✅ -17.00 0.00 0.00 -17.00 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 ✅ -17.42 0.00 0.00 -17.42 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 ✅ -17.67 0.00 0.00 -17.66 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 265.19 0.00% 0.0674 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -17.87 0.00 0.00 -17.87 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 4? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 14 2021 ✅ -17.91 0.00 0.00 -17.91 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 40.00 0.00% 0.4562 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -18.25 0.00 0.00 -18.25 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -18.26 0.00 0.00 -18.26 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? Yes No 500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0367 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 ✅ -18.33 0.00 0.00 -18.33 Trades
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -18.50 0.00 0.00 -18.50 Trades
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? Yes No 30.61 0.00 0.00% 0.6125 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 12 2023 ✅ -18.75 0.00 0.00 -18.75 Trades
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Magic by more than 14.5 points in their December 6 matchup? Yes No 0.00 104.87 0.00% 0.1812 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 06 2021 ✅ -19.00 0.00 0.00 -19.00 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil reach $150 by March 25, 2022? Yes No 146.55 0.00 0.00% 0.1301 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -19.06 0.00 0.00 -19.06 Trades
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 26 2021 ✅ -19.15 0.00 0.00 -19.15 Trades
Will the New York Rangers win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -19.20 0.00 0.00 -19.20 Trades
Will the Bucks win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 53.32 0.00% 0.3751 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 ✅ -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Timberwolves beat the Pacers by more than 4.5 points in their November 29th matchup? Yes No 73.82 0.00 0.00% 0.2709 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 ✅ -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? Yes No 106.95 0.00 0.00% 0.1870 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 ✅ -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4? Yes No 0.00 150.00 0.00% 0.1333 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 04 2023 ✅ -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 0.00 500.00 0.00% 0.0400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 ✅ -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will ‘The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? Yes No 1,640.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0129 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -21.19 0.00 0.00 -21.19 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? Yes No 3,203.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0068 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -21.67 0.00 0.00 -21.67 Trades
Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 ✅ -22.04 0.00 0.00 -22.04 Trades
Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 75% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 ✅ -22.46 0.00 0.00 -22.46 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 07 2021 ✅ -22.97 0.00 0.00 -22.97 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ -23.24 0.00 0.00 -23.23 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 413.96 0.00% 0.0563 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -23.32 0.00 0.00 -23.32 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 ✅ -23.91 0.03 0.00 -23.87 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 30.78 0.00% 1.7774 0.00 1.00 0.00 30.78 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ -54.71 0.04 0.00 -23.89 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 5? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 28 2021 ✅ -24.13 0.00 0.00 -24.13 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Keiko Fujimori Pedro Castillo 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 ✅ -24.40 0.00 0.00 -24.40 Trades
Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed? Yes No 0.00 315.00 0.00% 0.0786 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -24.75 0.00 0.00 -24.75 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price be above $60,000 at noon on November 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 30 2021 ✅ -24.80 0.00 0.00 -24.80 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 14 2023 ✅ -25.32 0.00 0.00 -25.32 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? Yes No 4,122.97 0.00 0.00% 0.0062 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 ✅ -25.43 0.00 0.00 -25.43 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? Yes No 38.82 0.00 0.00% 0.6556 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 ✅ -25.45 0.00 0.00 -25.45 Trades
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 29 2021 ✅ -25.77 0.00 0.00 -25.77 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -25.96 0.00 0.00 -25.96 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 16 2021 ✅ -26.10 0.00 0.00 -26.10 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -26.50 0.00 0.00 -26.50 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 06 2023 ✅ -27.50 0.00 0.00 -27.50 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1,819.65 0.00% 0.0152 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -27.74 0.00 0.00 -27.74 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 3,060.42 0.00 0.00% 0.0094 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -28.74 0.00 0.00 -28.74 Trades
(In-game Trading) Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 4? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 26 2021 ✅ -28.92 0.00 0.00 -28.92 Trades
Will John Fetterman win the Democratic nomination for the 2022 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 18 2022 ✅ -28.92 0.00 0.00 -28.92 Trades
Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 ✅ -29.91 0.00 0.00 -29.91 Trades
NBA: Will the Cavaliers beat the Magic by more than 9.5 points in their November 27th matchup? Yes No 0.00 142.49 0.00% 0.2105 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 ✅ -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
NBA: Will the Suns beat the Pistons by more than 12.5 points in their December 2 matchup? Yes No 248.54 0.00 0.00% 0.1207 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 02 2021 ✅ -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? Dune Shang-Chi 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 21 2021 ✅ -30.38 0.00 0.00 -30.38 Trades
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 ✅ -30.74 0.00 0.00 -30.74 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 3? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 11 2021 ✅ -30.98 0.00 0.00 -30.98 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 ✅ -31.95 0.00 0.00 -31.95 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -32.00 0.00 0.00 -32.00 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -34.44 0.00 0.00 -34.44 Trades
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 73.61 0.00% 0.4708 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ -34.66 0.00 0.00 -34.66 Trades
Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 08 2021 ✅ -34.73 0.00 0.00 -34.73 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 400k or more by January 8? Yes No 0.00 4,583.94 0.00% 0.0076 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 ✅ -35.00 0.00 0.00 -35.00 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on May 26, 2022? Yes No 0.00 114.69 0.00% 0.3052 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 26 2022 ✅ -35.00 0.00 0.00 -35.00 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? $1,000 $2,000 0.00 299.96 0.00% 0.1167 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -35.00 0.00 0.00 -35.00 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? Yes No 250.01 0.00 0.00% 0.1410 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -35.24 0.00 0.00 -35.24 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -35.25 0.00 0.00 -35.25 Trades
Will ‘The Marvels’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Morbius'? Yes No 0.00 53.36 0.00% 0.6684 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 13 2023 ✅ -35.67 0.00 0.00 -35.67 Trades
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2022 US Masters Tournament? Yes No 0.00 474.24 0.00% 0.0763 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 ✅ -36.20 0.23 0.00 -35.97 Trades
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -36.55 0.00 0.00 -36.55 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 68.47 0.00 0.00% 0.5344 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 ✅ -36.59 0.00 0.00 -36.59 Trades
Ukraine aid package in February? Yes No 857.14 0.00 0.00% 0.0433 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -37.14 0.00 0.00 -37.14 Trades
Will 'The Batman' gross $160 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 07 2022 ✅ -39.47 0.00 0.00 -39.47 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 ✅ -40.25 0.00 0.00 -40.25 Trades
Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 ✅ -40.72 0.00 0.00 -40.72 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2046 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 ✅ -40.92 0.00 0.00 -40.92 Trades
Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 ✅ -43.00 0.00 0.00 -43.00 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 0.00 204.41 0.00% 0.2120 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -43.34 0.00 0.00 -43.34 Trades
NBA: Will the Hornets beat the Rockets by more than 5.5 points in their November 27th matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 ✅ -43.38 0.00 0.00 -43.38 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.00 7,472.00 0.00% 0.0059 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -44.44 0.00 0.00 -44.44 Trades
Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first? Biden DeSantis 0.00 87.50 0.00% 0.5086 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -44.50 0.00 0.00 -44.50 Trades
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -44.89 0.00 0.00 -44.89 Trades
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? Less than 8M
8M to less than 10M
10M to less than 15M
15M to less than 20M
20M or more		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Sat May 01 2021 ✅ -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 5? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 ✅ -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
2023 Australian Open Final: Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas Djokovic Tsitsipas 0.00 227.27 0.00% 0.2200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 29 2023 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Suns: NBA Finals Game 1? Bucks Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 06 2021 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will Carlina Rivera win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? Yes No 691.10 0.00 0.00% 0.0723 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 23 2022 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will Texas reinstate a mask mandate by April 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 11 2021 ✅ -51.20 0.00 0.00 -51.20 Trades
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -51.50 0.00 0.00 -51.50 Trades
NBA: Will the Bucks beat the Celtics by more than 7.5 points in their December 25 matchup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 ✅ -52.20 0.00 0.00 -52.20 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @laurenboebert account on April 6, 2021? Less than 30
30-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
More than 80		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Tue Apr 06 2021 ✅ -52.94 0.00 0.00 -52.94 Trades
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 25 2021 ✅ -53.03 0.00 0.00 -53.03 Trades
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -53.21 0.00 0.00 -53.21 Trades
Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully in 2021? Yes No 0.00 186.19 0.00% 0.2885 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ -53.71 0.00 0.00 -53.71 Trades
US bank failure in February? Yes No 857.14 0.00 0.00% 0.0642 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -55.00 0.00 0.00 -55.00 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -57.02 0.00 0.00 -57.02 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 10 2022 ✅ -57.60 0.00 0.00 -57.60 Trades
Will Kari Lake win the 2022 Arizona Republican Gubernatorial nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 ✅ -58.10 0.00 0.00 -58.10 Trades
Will the Suns or Clippers win the 2021 NBA Western Conference Finals? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 26 2002 ✅ -59.56 0.00 0.00 -59.56 Trades
Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? Yes No 1,021.96 0.00 0.00% 0.0584 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 ✅ -59.68 0.00 0.00 -59.68 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 16 2021 ✅ -59.86 0.00 0.00 -59.86 Trades
Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 30 2021 ✅ -60.20 0.00 0.00 -60.20 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? Yes No 398.90 0.00 0.00% 0.1554 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 ✅ -62.00 0.00 0.00 -62.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -62.08 0.00 0.00 -62.07 Trades
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -62.41 0.00 0.00 -62.41 Trades
Will President Biden mention Russia/Putin 12 or more times in his 1st State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ -66.23 0.00 0.00 -66.23 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? Yes No 700.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0989 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ -69.25 0.00 0.00 -69.25 Trades
Will President Biden say “Trump” during his October 21st town hall? Yes No 0.00 142.37 0.00% 0.5056 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 21 2021 ✅ -71.97 0.00 0.00 -71.97 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ -72.00 0.00 0.00 -72.00 Trades
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? Yes No 0.00 209.75 0.00% 0.3547 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 ✅ -74.39 0.00 0.00 -74.39 Trades
Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 2? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 25 2021 ✅ -75.00 0.00 0.00 -75.00 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? Yes No 0.00 5,760.00 0.00% 0.0130 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -75.16 0.00 0.00 -75.16 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 9, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 ✅ -76.10 0.00 0.00 -76.10 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -77.40 0.00 0.00 -77.40 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 0.00 218.19 0.00% 0.3623 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 10 2023 ✅ -79.05 0.00 0.00 -79.05 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ -81.08 0.00 0.00 -81.08 Trades
Will PAW Patrol: The Movie and The Protege have a combined domestic opening weekend gross of over 17M? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 23 2021 ✅ -81.99 0.00 0.00 -81.99 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Bucks v. Hawks: Eastern Conference Finals Game 2? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 25 2021 ✅ -83.55 0.00 0.00 -83.55 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 300.15 0.00 0.00% 0.2805 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -84.19 0.00 0.00 -84.19 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 02 2021 ✅ -87.83 0.00 0.00 -87.83 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 0.00 5,000.00 0.00% 0.0180 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -90.00 0.00 0.00 -90.00 Trades
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 ✅ -92.97 0.00 0.00 -92.97 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? Yes No 9,782.79 0.00 0.00% 0.0096 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 ✅ -94.09 0.00 0.00 -94.09 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) hit $20,000 or less by June 30? Yes No 0.00 494.12 0.00% 0.1910 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -94.36 0.00 0.00 -94.36 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' flop? Yes No 0.00 400.20 0.00% 0.2404 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -96.20 0.00 0.00 -96.20 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? Yes No 2,040.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0479 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 ✅ -97.70 0.00 0.00 -97.70 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 818.79 0.00 0.00% 0.1208 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ -98.91 0.00 0.00 -98.91 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.00 81.01 0.00% 1.2775 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 17 2021 ✅ -103.49 0.00 0.00 -103.49 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? Yes No 27.91 0.00 0.00% 3.7095 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -103.52 0.00 0.00 -103.52 Trades
Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 85% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 25 2021 ✅ -107.50 0.00 0.00 -107.50 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? Yes No 3,634.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0297 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -107.78 0.00 0.00 -107.78 Trades
(In-Game Trading) Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Finals Game 3? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 24 2021 ✅ -110.00 0.00 0.00 -110.00 Trades
Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ -113.48 0.00 0.00 -113.48 Trades
Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -116.67 0.00 0.00 -116.67 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 643.18 0.00 0.00% 0.1863 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -119.80 0.00 0.00 -119.80 Trades
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 08 2021 ✅ -120.00 0.00 0.00 -120.00 Trades
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 ✅ -120.01 0.00 0.00 -120.01 Trades
Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ -124.21 0.00 0.00 -124.21 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 789.18 0.00 0.00% 0.1597 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -126.06 0.00 0.00 -126.06 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 1,088.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1161 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -126.33 0.00 0.00 -126.33 Trades
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? Yes No 0.00 900.00 0.00% 0.1480 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -133.17 0.00 0.00 -133.17 Trades
Will the Bucks or Hawks win the 2021 NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Bucks Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -140.16 0.00 0.00 -140.16 Trades
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? Yes No 1,800.04 0.00 0.00% 0.0811 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 27 2021 ✅ -146.03 0.00 0.00 -146.03 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 ✅ -153.92 0.00 0.00 -153.92 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 347.60 0.00 0.00% 0.4468 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -155.32 0.00 0.00 -155.32 Trades
North Korea missile test by August 31? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.6374 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -159.35 0.00 0.00 -159.35 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 430.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3837 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -165.00 0.00 0.00 -165.00 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 824.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2096 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -172.75 0.00 0.00 -172.75 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 22, 2021? Less than 80
80-95
96-110
111-125
126-140
More than 140		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Mon Mar 22 2021 ✅ -179.10 0.00 0.00 -179.10 Trades
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? Yes No 0.00 0.57 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.57 Mon Nov 01 2021 ✅ -183.32 0.00 0.00 -182.75 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ -183.63 0.00 0.00 -183.63 Trades
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Molnupiravir before 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ -183.64 0.00 0.00 -183.64 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 ✅ -185.90 0.00 0.00 -185.90 Trades
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay Yes No 780.83 0.00 0.00% 0.2433 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 ✅ -190.00 0.00 0.00 -190.00 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? Yes No 32,713.78 0.00 0.00% 0.0058 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -190.33 0.00 0.00 -190.33 Trades
Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 26 2023 ✅ -206.29 0.00 0.00 -206.29 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? Yes No 0.00 553.33 0.00% 0.3827 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -211.74 0.00 0.00 -211.74 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 300k or more by January 8? Yes No 0.00 8.26 0.00% 25.7933 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 ✅ -213.02 0.00 0.00 -213.02 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 1.1100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -221.99 0.00 0.00 -221.99 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 ✅ -230.53 0.00 0.00 -230.53 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 1,145.70 0.00% 0.2040 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 ✅ -233.68 0.00 0.00 -233.68 Trades
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -234.47 0.00 0.00 -234.47 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 3,019.33 0.00 0.00% 0.0779 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ -235.26 0.00 0.00 -235.26 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 06 2022 ✅ -236.20 0.00 0.00 -236.20 Trades
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? Yes No 1,375.24 0.00 0.00% 0.1763 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ -242.40 0.00 0.00 -242.40 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -246.30 0.00 0.00 -246.30 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 0.00 757.77 0.00% 0.3363 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -254.83 0.00 0.00 -254.83 Trades
Will Texas or Virginia have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 1, 2022? Texas Virginia 0.00 1,943.01 0.00% 0.1325 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 ✅ -257.45 0.00 0.00 -257.45 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 4,129.00 0.00% 0.0647 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -267.30 0.00 0.00 -267.30 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? Yes No 2,500.64 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ -275.07 0.00 0.00 -275.07 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 ✅ -277.07 0.00 0.00 -277.07 Trades
Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift Killers Taylor Swift 4,512.60 0.00 0.00% 0.0646 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 23 2023 ✅ -291.56 0.00 0.00 -291.56 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? Yes No 3,895.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0749 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -291.71 0.00 0.00 -291.71 Trades
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 15 2021 ✅ -306.19 0.00 0.00 -306.19 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 6,793.94 0.00 0.00% 0.0454 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 ✅ -308.21 0.00 0.00 -308.21 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 3,175.48 0.00 0.00% 0.1025 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -325.58 0.00 0.00 -325.58 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 ✅ -329.51 0.00 0.00 -329.51 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 11,384.57 0.00 0.00% 0.0297 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 ✅ -337.81 0.00 0.00 -337.81 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? Yes No 0.00 988.47 0.00% 0.3799 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ -375.53 0.00 0.00 -375.53 Trades
Will the Clippers win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 ✅ -393.32 0.00 0.00 -393.32 Trades
Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? Adams
Garcia
Wiley
Yang		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Tue Jun 22 2021 ✅ -397.47 0.00 0.00 -397.47 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? Yes No 524.61 0.00 0.00% 0.7625 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -400.00 0.00 0.00 -400.00 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 3,000.11 0.00 0.00% 0.1336 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 ✅ -400.67 0.00 0.00 -400.67 Trades
Will the Hawks win the 2021 NBA Finals? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 22 2021 ✅ -411.47 0.00 0.00 -411.47 Trades
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 ✅ -424.51 0.00 0.00 -424.51 Trades
Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021? Texas
Florida
California		 0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00 		Thu Apr 15 2021 ✅ -429.26 0.00 0.00 -429.26 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 ✅ -434.37 0.00 0.00 -434.37 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ -454.02 0.00 0.00 -454.02 Trades
Will ETH be above $2000 on April 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 ✅ -455.00 0.00 0.00 -455.00 Trades
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April? Yes No 69,602.43 0.00 0.00% 0.0066 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -458.15 0.00 0.00 -458.15 Trades
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? Yes No 992.43 0.00 0.00% 0.4770 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -473.44 0.00 0.00 -473.44 Trades
Will Trump win Colorado Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 5,272.25 0.00% 0.0922 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -485.89 0.00 0.00 -485.89 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? Yes No 29,331.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0194 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 06 2023 ✅ -568.42 0.00 0.00 -568.42 Trades
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? Yes No 0.00 11,025.76 0.00% 0.0519 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 31 2021 ✅ -572.01 0.00 0.00 -572.01 Trades
Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 21 2021 ✅ -597.66 0.00 0.00 -597.66 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 7,450.44 0.00% 0.0814 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -606.16 0.00 0.00 -606.16 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,624.74 0.00% 0.2445 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 ✅ -641.71 0.00 0.00 -641.71 Trades
Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ -660.15 0.00 0.00 -660.15 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 19,106.37 0.00 0.00% 0.0350 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ -668.69 0.00 0.00 -668.69 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 42,487.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0162 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -686.96 0.00 0.00 -686.96 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? Yes No 0.00 163.05 0.00% 4.2582 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 ✅ -694.32 0.00 0.00 -694.32 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 2,758.31 0.00% 0.2612 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -720.34 0.00 0.00 -720.34 Trades
Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? California Florida 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ -738.05 0.00 0.00 -738.05 Trades
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 01 2021 ✅ -747.51 0.00 0.00 -747.51 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,573.00 0.00% 0.3145 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -809.19 0.00 0.00 -809.19 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? Yes No 0.00 25.02 0.00% 33.6542 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 15 2022 ✅ -842.08 0.00 0.00 -842.08 Trades
Who will win Suns v. Clippers: Western Conference Finals Game 3? Suns Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 24 2021 ✅ -940.00 0.00 0.00 -940.00 Trades
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,937.08 0.00% 0.3312 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 ✅ -972.86 0.00 0.00 -972.86 Trades
Biden cognitive test before April? Yes No 2,142.20 0.00 0.00% 0.4614 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -988.51 0.00 0.00 -988.51 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? Yes No 24,289.46 0.00 0.00% 0.0431 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -1,045.88 0.00 0.00 -1,045.88 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 0.00 288.37 0.00% 3.6817 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -1,061.71 0.00 0.00 -1,061.71 Trades
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? Yes No 7,961.95 0.00 0.00% 0.1343 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -1,069.67 0.00 0.00 -1,069.67 Trades
New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 ✅ -1,070.93 0.00 0.00 -1,070.93 Trades
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 16,680.15 0.00% 0.0643 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 ✅ -1,072.21 0.00 0.00 -1,072.21 Trades
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31? Yes No 10,104.34 0.00 0.00% 0.1086 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 01 2022 ✅ -1,097.69 0.00 0.00 -1,097.69 Trades
Will Trump complete his first term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 20 2021 ✅ -1,247.93 0.00 0.00 -1,247.93 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 15 2021 ✅ -1,278.84 0.00 0.00 -1,278.84 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -1,322.83 0.00 0.00 -1,322.83 Trades
Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,113.69 0.00% 0.6497 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 04 2022 ✅ -1,373.31 0.00 0.00 -1,373.31 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 53,866.47 0.00% 0.0314 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 ✅ -1,688.81 0.00 0.00 -1,688.81 Trades
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 ✅ -2,197.63 0.00 0.00 -2,197.63 Trades
Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 22 2021 ✅ -2,216.14 0.00 0.00 -2,216.14 Trades
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 3.33% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 30 2021 ✅ -2,681.83 376.55 0.00 -2,305.28 Trades
Will Donald Trump pardon a family member before Inauguration Day? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 22 2021 ✅ -2,400.83 0.00 0.00 -2,400.83 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? 40,999 or fewer
41,000-65,999
66,000-99,999
100,000 or more		 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00 		Sat May 15 2021 ✅ -2,678.86 0.33 0.00 -2,678.53 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 118,898.59 0.00% 0.0282 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -3,351.76 0.00 0.00 -3,351.76 Trades
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? Yes No 31,696.53 0.00 0.00% 0.1212 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 ✅ -3,840.45 0.00 0.00 -3,840.45 Trades
Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 16 2021 ✅ -8,461.02 19.76 0.00 -8,441.25 Trades
Resolved 319.05 460.79 -17,604.96 421.03 0.00 -16,404.09
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -216.06 0.00 0.00 -216.06
Total 319.06 460.79 -17,821.03 421.03 0.00 -16,620.15