Account
0x4bc65c4b20c8b0e56376d0293b20ac30dba554d3 Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | 37.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.05 | Trades | |||
Trump and Biden both win nomination? | Yes | No | 62.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7400 | 0.79 | 0.21 | 49.38 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -46.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.38 | Trades | ||
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 22.99 | 0.00% | 0.8700 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 87.91 | 0.00% | 0.9100 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | ||
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 15 2024 | β | 375.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 375.39 | Trades | ||
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 351.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 351.53 | Trades | ||
Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | 224.86 | 14.88 | 0.00 | 239.74 | Trades | ||
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? | Yes | No | 253.75 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1766 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 253.75 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -44.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 208.95 | Trades | |
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 163.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 163.55 | Trades | ||
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 05 2022 | β | 155.69 | 4.17 | 0.00 | 159.86 | Trades | ||
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? | Yes | No | 129.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1935 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 129.20 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 104.20 | Trades | |
Will the euro be worth less than the U.S. dollar by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 15 2022 | β | 55.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.67 | Trades | ||
Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 54.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 54.67 | Trades | ||
Will the price of $SOL be above $100 on February 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 01 2022 | β | 50.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.40 | Trades | ||
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 15 2023 | β | 46.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.09 | Trades | ||
Will EIP-3756 "Gas Limit Cap" be accepted prior to January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | 41.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.84 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | 38.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.05 | Trades | ||
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 255.68 | 0.00% | 0.8604 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 255.68 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -220.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.68 | Trades | |
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 103.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6763 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 103.51 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | β | -70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.51 | Trades | |
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 08 2022 | β | 15.19 | 18.07 | 0.00 | 33.27 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 71.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5619 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 71.18 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.18 | Trades | |
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.5% or more in January? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 23 2022 | β | 28.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.29 | Trades | ||
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | 24.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.04 | Trades | ||
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | β | 23.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.96 | Trades | ||
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in November 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | β | 22.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.16 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | β | 21.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.09 | Trades | ||
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | 20.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.21 | Trades | ||
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 140.38 | 0.00% | 0.8804 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 140.38 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -123.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.79 | Trades | |
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 14.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.95 | Trades | ||
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? | Yes | No | 193.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9304 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 193.46 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | -180.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.46 | Trades | |
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 112.36 | 0.00% | 0.8900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 112.36 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.36 | Trades | |
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? | Yes | No | 172.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 172.04 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 30 2023 | β | -160.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.04 | Trades | |
What will the price of $ETH be on August 11? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.72 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | β | 11.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.92 | Trades | ||
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 7.0%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 10 2022 | β | 11.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.72 | Trades | ||
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in May 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | β | 11.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.46 | Trades | ||
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 111.11 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 111.11 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.11 | Trades | |
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | 10.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.50 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 140.22 | 0.00% | 0.9271 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 140.22 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -130.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.22 | Trades | |
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | β | 9.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.22 | Trades | ||
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.60 | 0.00% | 0.8300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.60 | Thu Feb 29 2024 | β | -42.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.60 | Trades | |
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4 by April 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 08 2022 | β | 8.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.42 | Trades | ||
Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 85% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | β | 8.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.18 | Trades | ||
Will Ethereum dip below $2000 by March 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | 8.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.16 | Trades | ||
What will the price of $ADA be on August 27, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 27 2021 | β | 8.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.01 | Trades | ||
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 31 2022 | β | 7.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.42 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 357.14 | 0.00% | 0.9800 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 357.14 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | -350.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.14 | Trades | |
Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.84 | 0.00% | 0.7741 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.84 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.84 | Trades | |
Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 165.77 | 0.00% | 0.9652 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 165.77 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -160.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.77 | Trades | |
Will UST (TerraUSD) regain its peg by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.48 | 0.00% | 0.9834 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.48 | Fri May 20 2022 | β | -295.50 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 5.27 | Trades | |
What will the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index be for July 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.65 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | β | 4.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.70 | Trades | ||
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 8.0% or more in April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 18 2022 | β | 4.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.68 | Trades | ||
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | β | 4.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.66 | Trades | ||
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | β | 4.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.08 | Trades | ||
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 53.11 | 0.00% | 0.9414 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 53.11 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.11 | Trades | |
Will @Snowden tweet again by May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | 2.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.40 | Trades | ||
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | β | 2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.07 | Trades | ||
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | β | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.66 | Trades | ||
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416.2 ppm on August 3, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 04 2021 | β | 1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.03 | Trades | ||
Alien contact in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | Trades | ||
Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | β | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 | Trades | ||
What will the fully diluted market cap of Openseaβs token be 1 week after it starts trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | Trades | ||
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.76 | 0.00% | 1.6176 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 08 2022 | β | -12.55 | 12.00 | 0.00 | -0.55 | Trades | |
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner | Putin | Wagner | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.0200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
What will the price of Ethereum ($ETH) be on March 10, 2022? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | β | -1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.66 | Trades | ||
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | β | -1.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.94 | Trades | ||
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.98 | Trades | ||
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 111.00 | 0.00% | 0.0180 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by February 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 15 2022 | β | -3.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.55 | Trades | ||
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5 by March 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 29.86 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1339 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | β | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |
Will 'The Witcher: Season 2' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 9? | Yes | No | 103.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0485 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | ||
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14.24 | 0.00% | 0.4212 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? | Yes | No | 46.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1728 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 20 2022 | β | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | |
Any Hamas leader out in January? | Yes | No | 23.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4213 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -9.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.69 | Trades | |
Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on Sept 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 21.50 | 0.00% | 0.4652 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | β | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? | France USA Italy Spain |
0.00 0.00 115.17 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Jan 14 2022 | β | -12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.00 | Trades | ||||||
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? | Yes | No | 300.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.00 | Trades | |
Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | β | -13.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.91 | Trades | ||
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | β | -14.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.22 | Trades | ||
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | β | -14.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.49 | Trades | ||
Will the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average be 7% or higher on October 6? | Yes | No | 71.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2523 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 06 2022 | β | -18.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.00 | Trades | |
Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -19.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.31 | Trades | ||
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | β | -19.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.85 | Trades | ||
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? | Yes | No | 186.81 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1071 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.6% or higher on March 2? | Yes | No | 26.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7511 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 03 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 47.53 | 0.00% | 0.4208 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 43.14 | 0.00% | 0.4636 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 15 2022 | β | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
Will Bitcoin or Ethereum perform better in February 2022? | Bitcoin | Ethereum | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -21.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.84 | Trades | ||
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 167.62 | 0.00% | 0.1372 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -23.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.00 | Trades | |
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in conterminous U.S. by November 29th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | β | -25.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.46 | Trades | ||
What will be the average price for a NYC unrestricted taxi medallion in August 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.64 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | β | -27.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.17 | Trades | ||
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 34.75 | 0.00% | 0.8634 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will Girl with Balloon (by Banksy) sell for Β£500k or more at Sothebyβs? | Yes | No | 51.65 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5809 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 26 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 57.38 | 0.00% | 0.5228 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 16 2022 | β | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 30 2023 | β | -31.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.25 | Trades | ||
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? | Yes | No | 153.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2281 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | β | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -39.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.48 | Trades | ||
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | β | -39.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.97 | Trades | ||
Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve? | Poland | United Kingdom | 65.89 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6071 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | β | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | β | -46.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -46.57 | Trades | ||
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 73.53 | 0.00% | 0.6800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 63.29 | 0.00% | 0.7900 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 31 2024 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 54.11 | 0.00% | 0.9241 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 30 2022 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
Will Ethereum (ETH) be above $3,000 at noon on January 31 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 31 2022 | β | -61.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -61.03 | Trades | ||
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.05 | 0.00% | 1.6921 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.05 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | β | -169.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -69.24 | Trades | |
Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 120.13 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6032 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | β | -72.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -72.46 | Trades | |
Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? | USA | China | 0.00 | 95.04 | 0.00% | 0.7822 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | β | -74.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -74.34 | Trades | |
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? | Yes | No | 126.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6300 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | β | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 158.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5063 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | β | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | β | -93.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -93.09 | Trades | ||
Will UST (Terra USD) fall below 90 cents by July 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 158.75 | 0.00% | 0.6299 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | β | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 301.92 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3975 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | β | -120.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -120.00 | Trades | |
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 502.04 | 0.00% | 0.5298 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | β | -266.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -266.00 | Trades | |
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 548.44 | 0.00% | 0.4854 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | β | -266.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -266.20 | Trades | |
Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | β | -368.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -368.48 | Trades | ||
Resolved | 923.15 | 1,812.76 | -2,868.47 | 49.40 | 0.00 | -83.16 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 49.38 | 0.00 | -108.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -59.57 | ||||||||||||
Total | 972.53 | 1,812.76 | -2,977.41 | 49.40 | 0.00 | -142.72 |