Account
0x424eea9dbf8257f8375a344ec3c656bc546feb0a Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.83 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 128.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 128.11 | Trades | |||
| Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 105.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 105.32 | Trades | |||
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.05 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 32.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.10 | Trades | |||
| Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sat Aug 10 2024 | 2.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.42 | Trades | |||
| Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.90 | Trades | |||
| Will Pope Francis remain Pope through June 30? | Yes | No | 14.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9100 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -13.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.38 | Trades | ||
| Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.8500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -21.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.25 | Trades | ||
| Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 39.68 | 0.00% | 0.6300 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.07 | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -31.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.37 | Trades | |||
| Packy vs Harry: TCS London Marathon - who beats their time by more? | Packy | Harry | 240.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5062 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 21 2024 | -121.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -121.50 | Trades | ||
| Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 387.63 | 0.00% | 0.7871 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 31 2024 | -305.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -305.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 739.70 | 0.00% | 0.6084 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 53.18 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -450.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -396.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,034.67 | 0.00% | 0.9243 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 31 2024 | -956.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -956.40 | Trades | ||
| Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,939.52 | 0.65% | -0.2397 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | ✅ | 1,183.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,183.89 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? | Yes | No | 36.38 | 0.00 | 0.01% | -22.7266 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 31 2023 | ✅ | 826.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 826.75 | Trades | |
| Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 01 2024 | ✅ | 813.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 813.10 | Trades | ||
| Will the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022? | Yes | No | 696.72 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0731 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 696.72 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 28 2022 | ✅ | -50.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 645.81 | Trades | |
| Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | Yes | No | 481.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2181 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 481.42 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | ✅ | -105.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 376.42 | Trades | |
| Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? | Yes | No | 458.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5753 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 458.08 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -263.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 194.53 | Trades | |
| Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 183.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 183.25 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 13.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -12.7460 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 13.12 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 167.21 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 180.35 | Trades | |
| Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on the New Year's Eve (Dec 31)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,697.48 | 0.00% | 0.9467 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,697.48 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -2,553.62 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 143.87 | Trades | |
| How many subscribers will /r/wallstreetbets have on February 7, 2021? | Less than 6.5 Million 6.5-7.5 Million 7.5-8.5 Million 8.5-9.5 Million 9.5-10.5 Million Greater than 10.5 Million |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Feb 07 2021 | ✅ | 127.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 127.30 | Trades | ||||||
| Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 112.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 112.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 30 2023 | ✅ | 112.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 112.00 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | 96.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 96.51 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.12 | 0.00% | -6.4024 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10.12 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 64.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.88 | Trades | |
| Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? | SBF | Bitboy | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 70.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.73 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the first 10 picks in the NFL draft be traded during the draft? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 68.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.61 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 60.62 | 2.38 | 0.00 | 63.00 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? | Yes | No | 8.85 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -7.0995 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 02 2022 | ✅ | 62.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.81 | Trades | |
| Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 116.80 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5137 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 116.80 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.80 | Trades | |
| Will the Omicron variant be marked as a Variant Of High Consequence by the CDC before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 48.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 892.95 | 0.00% | 0.9465 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 892.95 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -845.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.74 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 47.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,550.48 | 0.01% | 0.9716 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,550.48 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | ✅ | -1,506.45 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 44.03 | Trades | |
| Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay | Yes | No | 0.00 | 150.42 | 0.00% | 0.7400 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 150.42 | Sun Feb 11 2024 | ✅ | -111.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.11 | Trades | |
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 8.52 | 0.00% | -4.5840 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | 39.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.04 | Trades | |
| Super Bowl LVIII: Tails Never Fails Parlay | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Feb 10 2024 | ✅ | 38.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Tim Tebow score a touchdown in the upcoming NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | ✅ | 36.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.68 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.57% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 35.31 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 35.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 997.97 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9653 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 997.97 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | ✅ | -963.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.64 | Trades | |
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 2.20 | 0.00% | -15.5852 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | 34.25 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 34.28 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 6.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -4.9135 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | ✅ | 32.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.14 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 45.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2920 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 45.32 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -13.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.08 | Trades | |
| Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | 31.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.34 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,286.44 | 0.76% | 0.9770 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1,286.44 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | ✅ | -1,256.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.54 | Trades | |
| Will Caitlyn Jenner announce she is running for CA Governor by May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 27.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.74 | Trades | ||
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 26.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.53 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 25.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.92 | Trades | ||
| Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | 25.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.66 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | 25.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.43 | 0.00% | -2.4399 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 01 2022 | ✅ | 25.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.44 | Trades | |
| Will $UST be above $0.10 on May 17, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 17 2022 | ✅ | 25.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 24.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.81 | Trades | |||||||
| Will SBF testify? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | 24.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.80 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | ✅ | 24.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.02 | Trades | ||
| Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 28 2022 | ✅ | 22.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 11.40 | 0.00% | -1.9786 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | 22.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.56 | Trades | |
| Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 4.82 | 0.00 | 0.01% | -4.5866 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | ✅ | 22.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.10 | Trades | |
| Jonathan Taylor to play this week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 08 2023 | ✅ | 21.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.30 | Trades | ||
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Welch) or Republican (Malloy) win in Vermont? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 4.60 | 0.00% | -4.2855 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | 19.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.73 | Trades | |
| Will Chris Cuomo launch a Substack before January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 56,017.74 | -6.10% | 0.9997 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 56,017.74 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | -55,998.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.07 | Trades | |
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.83 | 0.00% | -10.3449 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 18.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.88 | Trades | |
| Will US student loan payments resume by Election Day, 2022? | Yes | No | 13.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.4386 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 18.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.71 | Trades | |
| Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | ✅ | 18.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.12 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 05 2023 | ✅ | 17.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.77 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | 17.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.32 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 17.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.26 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 16.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -10.6775 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | ✅ | 15.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.69 | Trades | |
| Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12.36 | 0.00% | -1.2185 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 15.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.06 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 06 2022 | ✅ | 14.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Kalshi get approval for midterm markets? | Yes | No | 294.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0493 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 14.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.54 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.07% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 14.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.52 | Trades | ||
| Will Nancy Pelosi, Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, or Hunter Biden be charged with a federal crime by October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.69% | 0.9520 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 300.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -285.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.39 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 14.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.34 | Trades | ||
| Will SBF's tweet storm be more than 22 tweets? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 22 2022 | ✅ | 14.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.16 | Trades | ||
| Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 949.99 | 0.00% | 0.9853 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 949.99 | Mon May 02 2022 | ✅ | -936.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.94 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 6.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -2.2245 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | ✅ | 13.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.74 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 742.06 | 0.00% | 0.9822 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 742.06 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | -728.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.19 | Trades | |
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 13.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | ✅ | 12.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 4.07 | 0.00 | 0.01% | -3.1523 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | 12.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.84 | Trades | |
| SBF reduced sentence because autism? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 40.55 | 0.00% | 0.7066 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 40.55 | Thu Mar 28 2024 | ✅ | -28.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.90 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 11.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.78 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 6.56 | 4.82 | 0.00 | 11.38 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Democratic | Republican | 10.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.0587 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 11.23 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 11.24 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.62 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 10.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.96 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.31 | 0.28% | -1.0555 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 5.31 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | ✅ | 5.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.92 | Trades | |
| Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 45.00 | 0.00% | 0.7575 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 45.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | -34.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.91 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 10.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.68 | Trades | ||
| Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? | Yes | No | 17.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.5813 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 13 2022 | ✅ | 10.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.14 | Trades | |
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,497.80 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0064 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | 9.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.54 | Trades | |
| Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 9.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.41 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 6.58 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.3916 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 9.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.15 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 9.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.12 | Trades | ||
| Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner | Putin | Wagner | 400.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9775 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 400.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | -391.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.00 | Trades | |
| Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 8.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 11 2024 | ✅ | 8.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.77 | Trades | ||
| Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 147.55 | 0.00% | -0.0582 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 30 2022 | ✅ | 8.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.59 | Trades | |
| 2022 NFL Draft: Will Breece Hall be the first RB drafted? | Yes | No | 4.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.1149 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 4.05 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | ✅ | 4.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.57 | Trades | |
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 7.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.86 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.70 | 0.00% | -1.2954 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 01 2023 | ✅ | 7.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.38 | Trades | |
| Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.67% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 7.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | 7.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.20 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 3.45 million people travel via New York City subway on any day before December 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 6.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 6.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.60 | Trades | ||
| Will a 2nd monkeypox case be reported in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 6.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.56 | Trades | ||
| Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 6.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.33 | Trades | ||
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 6.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.12 | Trades | ||
| Will The Joe Rogan Experience episode featuring Robert Malone still be available on Spotify on March 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | ✅ | 6.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.07 | Trades | ||
| Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00% | 0.6000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -9.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | Trades | |
| Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.84 | 0.00% | 0.7741 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.84 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.84 | Trades | |
| Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 16.80 | 0.00% | 0.6568 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 16.80 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -11.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.77 | Trades | |
| Will Kyrie Irving play in an NBA game by October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 41.05 | 0.00% | 0.8625 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 41.05 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | ✅ | -35.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.65 | Trades | |
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | 5.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.35 | Trades | ||
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 4.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.90 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 619.05 | 0.00% | -0.0078 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 4.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.86 | Trades | |
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | 4.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.79 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | ✅ | 4.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.69 | Trades | ||
| Putin to remain President of Russia through Monday? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 26 2023 | ✅ | -96.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.00 | Trades | |
| Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 01 2024 | ✅ | 3.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.95 | Trades | ||
| Will USD Coin (USDC) have a market cap of $52 billion or higher on February 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 09 2022 | ✅ | 3.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.60 | Trades | ||
| Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 05 2024 | ✅ | 3.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.50 | Trades | ||
| Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | ✅ | 3.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.34 | Trades | ||
| Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 3.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.32 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 28.28 | 0.00% | 0.8839 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 28.28 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.28 | Trades | |
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.91 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.91 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Kyrie Irving play any home games during the 2021-2022 NBA regular season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | ✅ | 2.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 2.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Mac Jones be the 3rd pick in the NFL draft? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 2.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.79 | Trades | ||
| Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.77 | Trades | ||
| Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -47.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | |
| Will Credit Suisse announce they are filing for bankruptcy before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 94.50 | 0.00% | 0.9744 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 94.50 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -92.08 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 2.47 | Trades | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 6.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6242 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.55 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | -4.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.46 | Trades | |
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 16.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8538 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 16.76 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -14.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.45 | Trades | |
| Will the next recession in the US happen in Q4 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 27 2022 | ✅ | 2.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.36 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | 2.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.34 | Trades | ||
| Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12.32 | 0.00% | 0.8114 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 12.32 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.32 | Trades | |
| Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 2.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.22 | Trades | ||
| Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? | Bitcoin | Tesla | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.02 | Trades | ||
| Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 24 2023 | ✅ | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.78 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 01 2023 | ✅ | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.40 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 1.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.40 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.39 | Trades | ||
| Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 15 2023 | ✅ | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.01 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 30 2023 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Kari Lake be certified as winner of the Arizona gubernatorial election? | Yes | No | 7.03 | 0.00 | 0.02% | -0.1065 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | ✅ | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | Trades | |
| Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.52 | Trades | |||
| Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | ✅ | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 | Musk | Zuck | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4900 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 25.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | -24.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | |
| New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump tweet again in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -14.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.45 | Trades | |
| Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.31 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 10.31 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.31 | Trades | |
| Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9970 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -99.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on October 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | Trades | ||
| Hillary Clinton jail by EoY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | Trades | ||
| Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Man City or PSG advance to the finals of the Champions League? | Man City | PSG | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.00 | Tue May 04 2021 | ✅ | -0.15 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | ||
| Will 400 million doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by March 25, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 25 2021 | ✅ | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.09 | Trades | ||
| What will US GDP growth be in Q1 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Trades | ||
| Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Biden drop out by Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 16 2024 | ✅ | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Real Madrid or Chelsea advance to the Champions League final? | Real Madrid | Chelsea | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | ✅ | -0.56 | 0.08 | 0.00 | -0.48 | Trades | ||
| Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 13.52 | 0.00% | 1.1006 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 13.52 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -14.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.36 | Trades | |
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | -3.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.22 | Trades | ||
| 538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day? | Democrats | Republicans | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -3.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -3.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -3.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.91 | Trades | ||
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -4.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 22.00 | 0.00% | 0.2000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | -4.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.40 | Trades | |
| Will PNAS retract Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 52.16 | 0.00% | 0.0850 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -4.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.43 | Trades | |
| Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? | Yes | No | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0900 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | ✅ | -4.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.50 | Trades | |
| Will Robinhood allow buying of $GME on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? | Yes | No | 5.12 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.0285 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -5.26 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -5.23 | Trades | |
| How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -5.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.54 | Trades | ||
| Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | ✅ | -6.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.09 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | -6.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.51 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden’s first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trump’s? | Yes | No | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -6.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.73 | Trades | ||
| Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -8.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.27 | Trades | ||
| Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 200.98 | 0.00% | 0.0489 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 25 2022 | ✅ | -9.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.83 | Trades | |
| Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 28.57 | 0.00% | 0.3500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 05 2024 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will “meta” be included in Facebook’s new name? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12.45 | 0.00% | 0.8033 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 31 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden mention Trump in the 2022 State of the Union Address? | Yes | No | 1,200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0083 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? | Democrat | Republican | 76.81 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1302 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? | Yes | No | 367.73 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0272 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Twitter vote "Yes" on Musk's poll to reinstate @realDonaldTrump? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 615.03 | 0.00% | 0.0163 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 19 2022 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 12.57 | 0.00% | 0.7957 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Lori Lightfoot win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? | Yes | No | 62.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1611 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 01 2023 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 15 2023 | ✅ | -10.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.30 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.00 | Trades | ||
| Will a third US bank fail by March 17? | Yes | No | 30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 17 2023 | ✅ | -12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.00 | Trades | |
| Will James Harden be traded? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 30.00 | 0.00% | 0.4200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 08 2024 | ✅ | -12.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.60 | Trades | |
| Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,795.45 | 0.00% | 0.0084 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 113.64 | 0.00% | 0.1320 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | ✅ | -15.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.47 | Trades | ||
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | -17.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.63 | Trades | ||||||
| Trump heavier than 260 lbs? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 01 2023 | ✅ | -17.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Moriah Mills leak a sex tape with Zion Williamson? | Yes | No | 450.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0444 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 142.58 | 0.00% | 0.1435 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -20.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.46 | Trades | |
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 300.00 | 0.00% | 0.0800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | -24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.00 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -24.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.83 | Trades | ||
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? | Yes | No | 118.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2110 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 31 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -27.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.49 | Trades | ||
| Will Tiger Woods play in the 2022 US Masters Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 344.67 | 0.00% | 0.0812 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 10 2022 | ✅ | -28.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -28.00 | Trades | |
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 48.85 | 0.00% | 0.6141 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | |
| Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -30.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? | Yes | No | 1,070.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0298 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | ✅ | -31.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -31.84 | Trades | |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -33.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.20 | Trades | ||
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? | Democrat | Republican | 1,397.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0250 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
| Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by EOY? | Yes | No | 61.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5735 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,111.85 | 0.00% | 0.0429 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -47.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.75 | Trades | |
| Will Shohei Ohtani sign with Blue Jays? | Yes | No | 87.72 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 12 2024 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 231.84 | 0.00% | 0.2157 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 544.58 | 0.00% | 0.1010 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -55.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -55.00 | Trades | |
| Will a Bored Ape appear during a SuperBowl LVI Commercial or Halftime Show? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 13 2022 | ✅ | -56.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -56.26 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | ✅ | -56.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -56.79 | Trades | ||
| Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 240.20 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 23 2023 | ✅ | -60.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.04 | Trades | |
| Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -61.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -61.32 | Trades | ||
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 304.45 | 0.00% | 0.2270 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -69.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -69.11 | Trades | |
| Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by March 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 142.53 | 0.00% | 0.5262 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 221.26 | 0.00% | 0.3390 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
| Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | ✅ | -78.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -78.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | -82.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -82.22 | Trades | ||
| Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.63 | 0.03% | 10.9741 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 27 2022 | ✅ | -94.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -94.74 | Trades | |
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -100.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.59 | Trades | ||
| Will Tom Brady play in Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 22 2022 | ✅ | -105.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -105.83 | Trades | ||
| [From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -107.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -107.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | -116.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -116.80 | Trades | ||
| Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 391.08 | 0.00% | 0.3324 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 06 2022 | ✅ | -130.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -130.00 | Trades | |
| Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 27 2023 | ✅ | -146.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -146.36 | Trades | ||
| Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 1,407.87 | 0.00% | 0.1114 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -156.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -156.88 | Trades | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 306.65 | 0.00% | 0.5707 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | ✅ | -175.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -175.00 | Trades | |
| Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 604.74 | 0.00% | 0.3853 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | -233.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -233.00 | Trades | |
| Resolved | 3,362.06 | 65,112.09 | -64,289.68 | 7.46 | 0.01 | 4,191.94 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 53.20 | -1,681.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,628.77 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 3,362.06 | 65,165.29 | -65,971.65 | 7.46 | 0.01 | 2,563.17 | ||||||||||||