Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 20 2020
|
✅ |
11,990.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11,990.90
|
Trades
|
Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 20 2020
|
✅ |
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will win Florida in the 2020 presidential election? |
Dems |
Reps |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 20 2020
|
✅ |
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 20 2020
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a federal charge filed against Hunter Biden before 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 02 2021
|
✅ |
114.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
114.65
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,121.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.1159
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
✅ |
-130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-130.00
|
Trades
|
Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
891.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.2468
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
✅ |
-220.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-220.00
|
Trades
|
Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 04 2022
|
✅ |
122.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
122.49
|
Trades
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
✅ |
1,885.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,885.82
|
Trades
|
Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
✅ |
713.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
713.47
|
Trades
|
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? |
Yes |
No |
1,584.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1061
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 14 2022
|
✅ |
-168.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-168.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
102.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9737
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
102.70
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.70
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
232.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4508
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
-105.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-105.00
|
Trades
|
Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
✅ |
43.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.07
|
Trades
|
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
408.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7322
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
408.34
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
✅ |
-299.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
109.34
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
1,416.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.3529
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
649.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3881
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-252.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-252.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? |
Democrat |
Republican |
62.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8819
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
62.37
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-55.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.37
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
107.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.5109
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-55.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
551.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.3567
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-196.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-196.58
|
Trades
|
Will Alexander Lukashenko remain President of Belarus through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9379
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.33
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.33
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,316.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.8374
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,316.05
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-1,102.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
214.05
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.3198
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-7.34
|
1.18
|
0.00
|
-6.16
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
713.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1401
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.9817
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.93
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.93
|
Trades
|
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
216.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
216.93
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
476.03
|
1,469.68
|
|
|
10,992.39
|
1.18
|
0.00
|
12,939.28
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
476.03
|
1,469.68
|
|
|
10,992.39
|
1.18
|
0.00
|
12,939.28
|
|