Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 1,595.10 0.00 0.00% -3.3290 0.45 0.55 714.30 0.00 Fri Nov 08 2024 5,310.08 0.00 0.00 6,024.39 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? Yes No 500.06 0.00 0.00% -0.6987 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 349.38 0.00 0.00 349.38 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? Yes No 0.00 134.09 0.00% -1.3548 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 181.67 0.00 0.00 181.67 Trades
Russian nuke in space in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 24.75 0.00 0.00 24.75 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Is John McAfee alive? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 20.21 0.00 0.00 20.21 Trades
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -14.66 0.00 0.00 -14.66 Trades
Doge ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 27.85 0.00% 0.6082 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -16.94 0.00 0.00 -16.94 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Unknown 0 1 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
House control after 2024 election? Democratic Republican 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 592.74 0.00 0.00 592.74 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? Yes No 1,609.96 0.00 0.00% -0.0350 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 56.37 0.00 0.00 56.37 Trades
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? Yes No 221.99 0.00 0.00% -0.2187 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 48.54 0.00 0.00 48.54 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 12.72 0.00 0.00 12.72 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.60 Trades
Tether Insolvent in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1.07 0.00 0.00 -1.07 Trades
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -8.76 0.00 0.00 -8.76 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -16.16 0.00 0.00 -16.16 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? Yes No 0.00 7.21 0.00% 2.8840 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -20.78 0.00 0.00 -20.78 Trades
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? Yes No 665.97 0.00 0.00% 0.0390 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -25.97 0.00 0.00 -25.97 Trades
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? Yes No 221.99 0.00 0.00% 0.1173 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -26.03 0.00 0.00 -26.03 Trades
Solana ETF approved in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -33.75 0.00 0.00 -33.75 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 733.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0793 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -58.20 0.00 0.00 -58.20 Trades
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? Yes No 230.19 0.00 0.00% 0.2981 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -68.61 0.00 0.00 -68.61 Trades
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? Netanyahu Sinwar 0.00 107.94 0.00% 0.6716 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 -72.50 0.00 0.00 -72.50 Trades
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -77.39 0.00 0.00 -77.39 Trades
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -83.53 0.00 0.00 -83.53 Trades
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? Yes No 884.29 0.00 0.00% 0.1433 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -126.68 0.00 0.00 -126.68 Trades
Ethereum all time high in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -153.05 0.00 0.00 -153.05 Trades
Canada federal election in 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -156.32 0.00 0.00 -156.32 Trades
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? Yes No 0.00 422.00 0.00% 0.4808 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -202.90 0.00 0.00 -202.90 Trades
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? Yes No 0.00 7.60 0.00% 34.2976 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -260.80 0.00 0.00 -260.80 Trades
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? Yes No 741.17 0.00 0.00% 0.3938 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -291.87 0.00 0.00 -291.87 Trades
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? Yes No 4,076.92 0.00 0.00% 0.0943 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -384.50 0.00 0.00 -384.50 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 576.97 0.00 0.00% 0.7519 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -433.82 0.00 0.00 -433.82 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -453.60 0.00 0.00 -453.60 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -862.41 0.00 0.00 -862.41 Trades
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? Yes No 2,531.81 0.00 0.00% 0.6187 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -1,566.46 0.00 0.00 -1,566.46 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 0.00 1,947.78 0.00% 1.0455 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -2,036.50 0.00 0.00 -2,036.50 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 0.00 10,279.98 0.00% 0.8964 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -9,215.16 0.00 0.00 -9,215.16 Trades
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 156,504.33 0.00 0.00 156,504.33 Trades
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 35,672.40 0.00 0.00 35,672.40 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 29,573.55 0.00 0.00 29,573.55 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 12.11 0.00% -2248.8989 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 27,237.70 0.01 0.00 27,237.70 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 27,101.76 0.00 0.00 27,101.76 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.10 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 23,643.46 0.02 0.00 23,643.48 Trades
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 22,778.83 0.00 0.00 22,778.83 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 20,961.40 0.00 0.00 20,961.40 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 20,610.01 0.00 0.00 20,610.01 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 20,506.62 0.00 0.00 20,506.62 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 19,772.26 0.00 0.00 19,772.26 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 09 2024 19,580.36 0.00 0.00 19,580.36 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 19,087.36 0.00 0.00 19,087.36 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.01 0.00 16.66% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 17,241.77 0.00 0.00 17,241.78 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 0.02 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 16,027.85 0.01 0.00 16,027.86 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 14,301.89 0.00 0.00 14,301.89 Trades
Tory Lanez sentence over 8.5 years? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 13,899.44 0.00 0.00 13,899.44 Trades
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) Suozzi Pilip 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 12,972.42 0.00 0.00 12,972.42 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 2.40 0.00% -4699.0637 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 11,275.13 2.48 0.00 11,277.61 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 10,797.78 0.00 0.00 10,797.78 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.13 83.33% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 10,484.09 0.00 0.00 10,484.09 Trades
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 10,282.64 0.00 0.00 10,282.64 Trades
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 25.02 100.00% -404.0202 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 01 2023 10,108.62 0.01 0.00 10,108.63 Trades
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 9,986.07 0.00 0.00 9,986.07 Trades
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? Yes No 0.00 0.06 50.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 9,718.12 0.00 0.00 9,718.12 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 2.02 0.02% -4668.1904 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 9,419.49 0.41 0.00 9,419.90 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.11 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 9,401.68 2.70 0.00 9,404.38 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 5.61 0.00% -1658.6348 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 9,307.41 0.10 0.00 9,307.51 Trades
Will Grayscale win v. SEC? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 9,276.66 0.00 0.00 9,276.66 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 33,682.76 0.00 0.00% 0.7299 1.00 0.00 33,682.76 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 -24,585.32 0.00 0.00 9,097.44 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 9,003.10 0.00 0.00 9,003.10 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 12,627.50 0.00 0.00% 0.2908 1.00 0.00 12,627.50 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -3,672.25 0.00 0.00 8,955.25 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 8,919.81 0.00 0.00 8,919.81 Trades
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 Musk Zuck 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 8,199.99 0.00 0.00 8,199.99 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.98 0.00 98.04% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 8,139.37 0.56 0.00 8,139.93 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 23 2024 7,830.26 0.00 0.00 7,830.26 Trades
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 7,683.90 0.00 0.00 7,683.90 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 7,655.17 0.00 0.00 7,655.17 Trades
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 7,522.38 0.00 0.00 7,522.38 Trades
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? Yes No 0.00 15.75 0.00% -473.1950 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 05 2023 7,453.20 0.04 0.00 7,453.24 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 7,448.49 0.00 0.00 7,448.49 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 05 2023 7,424.77 0.00 0.00 7,424.77 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 09 2024 7,286.54 0.00 0.00 7,286.54 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 7,028.08 0.00 0.00 7,028.08 Trades
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 6,668.77 0.00 0.00 6,668.77 Trades
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 10 2023 6,408.14 0.00 0.00 6,408.14 Trades
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 6,191.27 0.00 0.00 6,191.27 Trades
Will Zuck answer the door? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 6,148.30 0.00 0.00 6,148.30 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? Yes No 0.00 4.59 0.00% -1302.4623 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 5,984.07 5.41 0.00 5,989.47 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 5,949.43 0.00 0.00 5,949.43 Trades
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 5,943.98 0.00 0.00 5,943.98 Trades
Sierra Leone Presidential Election: Will Julius Maada Bio win? Yes No 0.00 0.05 0.53% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 24 2023 5,595.99 0.00 0.00 5,595.99 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 5,499.26 0.00 0.00 5,499.26 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 09 2023 5,483.98 0.00 0.00 5,483.98 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 5,411.61 0.00 0.00 5,411.61 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 5,404.73 0.00 0.00 5,404.73 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.92 0.00% -605.8386 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 5,401.30 3.37 0.00 5,404.67 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 7,030.90 0.00 0.00% 0.2672 1.00 0.00 7,030.90 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -1,878.40 3.33 0.00 5,155.84 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 4,975.83 0.00 0.00 4,975.83 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4,480.75 0.00 0.00 4,480.76 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 4,387.32 0.00 0.00 4,387.32 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 4,234.07 0.00 0.00 4,234.07 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 3,984.64 0.00 0.00 3,984.64 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 3,943.00 0.00 0.00 3,943.00 Trades
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 3,912.31 0.00 0.00 3,912.31 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 250k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 4,360.86 100.00% 0.1130 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,360.86 Thu Aug 03 2023 -492.59 0.00 0.00 3,868.27 Trades
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.11 50.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 3,847.79 0.00 0.00 3,847.79 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 3,759.92 0.00 0.00 3,759.92 Trades
Will Ja Morant be suspended for more than 45 games? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 3,744.41 0.00 0.00 3,744.41 Trades
Blast airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 3,524.00 0.00 0.00 3,524.00 Trades
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023? Yes No 0.04 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 3,517.97 0.02 0.00 3,517.98 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 5,501.21 0.00 0.00% 0.3710 1.00 0.00 5,501.21 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -2,041.22 0.00 0.00 3,459.99 Trades
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.02 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 3,454.46 0.00 0.00 3,454.46 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? Yes No 0.10 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 02 2023 3,362.88 0.00 0.00 3,362.88 Trades
CZ sentenced to prison? Yes No 6,935.33 0.00 0.00% 0.5387 1.00 0.00 6,935.33 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -3,736.03 0.00 0.00 3,199.31 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 3,180.19 0.00 0.00 3,180.19 Trades
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 3,171.79 0.00 0.00 3,171.79 Trades
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 3,081.66 0.00 0.00 3,081.66 Trades
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 06 2024 3,051.68 0.00 0.00 3,051.68 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 11,971.57 0.00 0.00% 0.7454 1.00 0.00 11,971.57 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -8,923.51 0.00 0.00 3,048.07 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 2,922.04 0.00 0.00 2,922.04 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 2,870.92 0.00 0.00 2,870.92 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 572.13 0.00% -5.0089 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 2,865.73 0.00 0.00 2,865.73 Trades
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner Putin Wagner 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 2,863.20 0.00 0.00 2,863.20 Trades
Will Man City win the Premier League? Yes No 0.12 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 Sun May 19 2024 2,844.33 0.00 0.00 2,844.45 Trades
Sui Airdrop by May 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 2,841.76 0.00 0.00 2,841.76 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 2,825.19 0.00 0.00 2,825.19 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 2,702.06 0.00 0.00 2,702.06 Trades
Will Petr Pavel win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 2,687.36 0.00 0.00 2,687.36 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 2,647.10 0.00 0.00 2,647.10 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 7.39 0.00% -350.9388 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 2,594.22 5.44 0.00 2,599.66 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 350k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 3,043.87 100.00% 0.1521 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,043.87 Thu Aug 03 2023 -463.10 0.00 0.00 2,580.77 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 2,570.83 0.00 0.00 2,570.83 Trades
US strike against Houthis by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 12 2024 2,555.82 0.00 0.00 2,555.82 Trades
Will Andrej Babis win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 2,525.98 0.00 0.00 2,525.98 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? Yes No 0.00 2.45 0.02% -971.1173 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 2,377.37 0.24 0.00 2,377.61 Trades
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 2,352.11 0.00 0.00 2,352.11 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 2,332.40 0.00 0.00 2,332.40 Trades
Will Coco Gauff win Women's US Open? Yes No 3,448.97 0.00 99.95% 0.3257 1.00 0.00 3,448.97 0.00 Sun Sep 10 2023 -1,123.30 0.00 0.00 2,325.67 Trades
TikTok sale announced in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 2,251.28 0.00 0.00 2,251.28 Trades
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 2,236.06 0.00 0.00 2,236.06 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? Yes No 0.00 5.10 0.00% -433.6736 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 2,213.36 0.03 0.00 2,213.39 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 2,181.12 0.00 0.00 2,181.12 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? Yes No 8,958.11 0.00 0.00% 0.7600 1.00 0.00 8,958.11 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -6,807.91 0.00 0.00 2,150.20 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? Yes No 0.18 0.00 99.93% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 16 2023 2,141.05 0.00 0.00 2,141.06 Trades
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 12,847.28 0.00% 0.8334 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,847.28 -10,707.29 0.00 0.00 2,139.99 Trades
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 17 2023 2,126.48 0.00 0.00 2,126.48 Trades
Taiko airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 2,120.29 0.00 0.00 2,120.29 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 2,106.43 0.00 0.00 2,106.43 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 2.94 0.00% -658.8693 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 1,939.55 0.72 0.00 1,940.27 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.03 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 1,910.68 0.00 0.00 1,910.68 Trades
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? Yu-ih Wen-je 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 1,864.49 0.00 0.00 1,864.49 Trades
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? Yes No 0.00 7.48 0.00% -242.1806 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 1,810.86 1.48 0.00 1,812.34 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 16,905.57 0.00 0.00% 0.8930 1.00 0.00 16,905.57 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -15,096.51 0.00 0.00 1,809.06 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 1,803.51 0.00 0.00 1,803.51 Trades
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 1,744.02 0.00 0.00 1,744.02 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.22 0.00% -409.0472 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 1,726.14 6.59 0.00 1,732.73 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 1,681.39 0.00 0.00 1,681.39 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 1,653.03 0.00 0.00 1,653.03 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed Mar 20 2024 1,629.71 0.00 0.00 1,629.72 Trades
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? Haley DeSantis 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 1,627.01 0.00 0.00 1,627.01 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 14,629.42 0.00% 0.8916 0.00 1.00 0.00 14,629.42 Wed May 01 2024 -13,043.75 0.00 0.00 1,585.67 Trades
Arévalo inaugurated in Guatemala in January? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 1,572.11 0.00 0.00 1,572.11 Trades
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 21 2023 1,545.80 0.00 0.00 1,545.80 Trades
Another North Korea missile test by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 1,540.60 0.00 0.00 1,540.60 Trades
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) Protasiewicz Kelly 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 04 2023 1,533.66 0.00 0.00 1,533.66 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 1,473.89 0.00 0.00 1,473.89 Trades
Will NATO expand by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.20 0.50% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 1,462.29 0.02 0.00 1,462.31 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 1,435.70 0.00 0.00 1,435.70 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? Yes No 12,225.07 0.00 0.00% 0.8828 1.00 0.00 12,225.07 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 -10,792.20 0.00 0.00 1,432.87 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 1,427.98 0.00 0.00 1,427.98 Trades
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? Yes No 1,956.10 0.00 100.00% -0.7269 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 14 2023 1,421.93 0.04 0.00 1,421.97 Trades
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,418.43 0.00 0.00 1,418.43 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 10,631.54 0.00 0.00% 0.8680 1.00 0.00 10,631.54 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 -9,228.36 0.00 0.00 1,403.18 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 3,127.91 0.00% -0.4351 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,360.83 0.00 0.00 1,360.83 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? Yes No 8.20 0.00 0.00% -162.8520 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 1,336.01 10.29 0.00 1,346.31 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,342.85 0.00 0.00 1,342.85 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,342.81 0.00 0.00 1,342.81 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,317.30 0.00 0.00 1,317.30 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 1,316.68 0.00 0.00 1,316.68 Trades
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 1,311.32 0.00 0.00 1,311.32 Trades
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? Yes No 0.00 7.41 0.00% -172.5023 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 1,278.47 0.28 0.00 1,278.75 Trades
Will another US bank fail in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 1,274.41 0.00 0.00 1,274.41 Trades
North Korea missile test by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 1,273.43 0.00 0.00 1,273.43 Trades
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 1,245.79 0.00 0.00 1,245.79 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 1,234.77 0.00 0.00 1,234.77 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 1,228.66 0.00 0.00 1,228.66 Trades
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,227.87 0.00 0.00 1,227.87 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,216.08 0.00 0.00 1,216.08 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 1,203.60 0.00 0.00 1,203.60 Trades
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 1,176.41 0.00 0.00 1,176.41 Trades
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 1,144.02 0.00 0.00 1,144.02 Trades
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 1,109.14 0.00 0.00 1,109.14 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? Yes No 2.31 0.00 0.00% -470.7841 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 1,086.56 0.00 0.00 1,086.56 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 1,076.13 0.00 0.00 1,076.13 Trades
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? Yes No 0.00 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 1,074.80 0.00 0.00 1,074.81 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 19,378.02 0.00% 0.9456 0.00 1.00 0.00 19,378.02 Fri Oct 20 2023 -18,323.14 0.00 0.00 1,054.88 Trades
Will Julie Su be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 1,051.72 0.00 0.00 1,051.72 Trades
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? Yes No 0.00 22,186.47 0.00% 0.9532 0.00 1.00 0.00 22,186.47 Sun Mar 31 2024 -21,148.06 0.00 0.00 1,038.40 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 1,030.38 0.00 0.00 1,030.38 Trades
Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 1,030.14 0.00 0.00 1,030.14 Trades
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 1,027.50 0.00 0.00 1,027.50 Trades
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 15 2023 1,019.01 0.00 0.00 1,019.01 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 3.10 0.00 0.01% -324.4788 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 1,005.80 0.01 0.00 1,005.81 Trades
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 972.15 0.00 0.00 972.15 Trades
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 970.47 0.00 0.00 970.47 Trades
Continued US strikes against Houthis? Yes No 0.00 2,736.85 0.00% -0.3409 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 932.90 0.00 0.00 932.90 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 928.50 0.00 0.00 928.50 Trades
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 927.74 0.00 0.00 927.74 Trades
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 5,486.46 0.00% -0.1679 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 921.38 0.00 0.00 921.38 Trades
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? Yes No 685.75 0.00 0.00% -0.3431 1.00 0.00 685.75 0.00 Sun May 26 2024 235.25 0.00 0.00 920.99 Trades
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Boston Celtics vs. Atlanta Hawks Celtics Hawks 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 909.91 0.00 0.00 909.91 Trades
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 902.42 0.00 0.00 902.42 Trades
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% -0.8859 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 885.93 0.00 0.00 885.93 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 884.32 0.00 0.00 884.32 Trades
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 6.94 0.00% -122.1107 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 847.22 0.15 0.00 847.37 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 9.98 0.00% -81.2542 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 810.94 32.53 0.00 843.48 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 837.35 0.00 0.00 837.35 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 0.00 8,283.42 0.00% 0.8989 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,283.42 Sun Jun 30 2024 -7,446.33 0.00 0.00 837.09 Trades
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 6.59 0.00% -126.2488 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 831.70 0.11 0.00 831.81 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 814.17 0.00 0.00 814.17 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 813.81 0.00 0.00 813.81 Trades
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.13 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.13 Fri Mar 31 2023 807.26 0.00 0.00 807.39 Trades
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? Yes No 0.00 1.63 0.00% -493.9923 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 806.08 0.02 0.00 806.10 Trades
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? Yes No 1,191.11 0.00 0.00% 0.3257 1.00 0.00 1,191.11 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 -387.90 0.00 0.00 803.21 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 1,601.38 0.00 0.00% 0.4988 1.00 0.00 1,601.38 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -798.84 0.00 0.00 802.54 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 0.00 2,934.10 0.00% 0.7273 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,934.10 Thu Feb 29 2024 -2,133.99 0.00 0.00 800.11 Trades
Will Bronny James be drafted? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Thu Jun 27 2024 792.71 0.00 0.00 792.73 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 9,506.01 0.00 0.00% 0.9175 1.00 0.00 9,506.01 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -8,721.90 0.00 0.00 784.10 Trades
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 779.60 0.00 0.00 779.60 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 1,664.13 100.00% -0.4671 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 777.24 0.00 0.00 777.24 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 03 2023 754.78 0.00 0.00 754.78 Trades
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? Yes No 0.00 5.74 0.00% -130.6447 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 749.85 0.26 0.00 750.11 Trades
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 746.94 0.00 0.00 746.94 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 1,233.29 0.00 0.00% 0.4161 1.00 0.00 1,233.29 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -513.11 0.00 0.00 720.18 Trades
Drake's 'For All the Dogs" over 300k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 665.48 0.00 0.00 665.48 Trades
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? Yes No 0.00 6.48 0.00% -100.3162 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 650.52 12.41 0.00 662.94 Trades
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 659.21 0.00 0.00 659.21 Trades
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? Yes No 4.43 0.00 0.00% -148.5340 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 30 2022 658.04 0.25 0.00 658.29 Trades
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? Yes No 0.00 5,071.67 0.00% -0.1295 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 656.57 0.00 0.00 656.57 Trades
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? Yes No 4,678.94 0.00 0.00% 0.8616 1.00 0.00 4,678.94 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -4,031.54 0.00 0.00 647.40 Trades
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? Yes No 0.00 0.10 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 645.92 0.00 0.00 645.92 Trades
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 13 2023 643.38 0.00 0.00 643.38 Trades
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 7.06 0.00% -84.4481 0.00 1.00 0.00 7.06 Sun Jun 30 2024 596.45 0.00 0.00 603.52 Trades
Will Inter Miami make playoffs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 600.39 0.00 0.00 600.39 Trades
George Santos expelled in 2023? Yes No 1,050.94 0.00 0.00% 0.4427 1.00 0.00 1,050.94 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -465.20 0.00 0.00 585.74 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 7.85 0.00% -74.2272 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 582.66 2.95 0.00 585.60 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? Democrat Republican 0.00 8.37 0.00% -69.1291 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 578.66 0.30 0.00 578.96 Trades
Ravens vs. Chiefs Ravens Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 28 2024 574.00 0.00 0.00 574.00 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? Yes No 0.00 15,990.90 0.00% 0.9643 0.00 1.00 0.00 15,990.90 Sun Jan 01 2023 -15,420.32 0.00 0.00 570.58 Trades
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 565.47 0.00 0.00 565.47 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? Yes No 3,999.99 0.00 0.00% -0.1390 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 556.17 0.00 0.00 556.17 Trades
Will Real Madrid win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.00 4.58 0.00% -121.4687 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 555.78 0.00 0.00 555.78 Trades
Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 23,388.65 0.00% 0.9766 0.00 1.00 0.00 23,388.65 Sat Dec 31 2022 -22,840.97 0.00 0.00 547.68 Trades
Will the Nuggets be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 546.39 0.00 0.00 546.39 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 546.19 0.00 0.00 546.19 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 527.80 0.00 0.00 527.80 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? Yes No 950.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4571 1.00 0.00 950.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -434.26 0.00 0.00 515.74 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? Yes No 2,241.91 0.00 0.00% 0.7760 1.00 0.00 2,241.91 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 -1,739.73 0.00 0.00 502.19 Trades
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? Yes No 0.00 10.42 0.00% -47.9635 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 499.67 0.01 0.00 499.68 Trades
Fed rate cut by September 18? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Sep 18 2024 498.53 0.00 0.00 498.53 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 498.04 0.00 0.00 498.04 Trades
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 15 2023 491.24 0.00 0.00 491.24 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? Yes No 10.03 0.00 0.00% -47.0271 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 471.71 0.00 0.00 471.71 Trades
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 7.28 0.00 0.00% -59.5260 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 19 2022 433.53 5.74 0.00 439.27 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 429.13 0.00 0.00 429.13 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 427.52 0.00 0.00 427.52 Trades
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Feb 14 2024 423.81 0.00 0.00 423.82 Trades
Will Sean Patrick Maloney be the next Secretary of Labor? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 417.03 0.00 0.00 417.03 Trades
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? Yes No 6.64 0.00 0.01% -62.0741 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 01 2022 411.97 3.82 0.00 415.79 Trades
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? Yes No 7.88 0.00 0.00% -52.5426 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 414.07 0.02 0.00 414.09 Trades
Will Biden mention "Russia/Putin" 10 or more times during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 400.25 0.00 0.00 400.25 Trades
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 392.41 0.00 0.00 392.41 Trades
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 25 2023 386.37 0.00 0.00 386.37 Trades
Will US attack Yemen before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 385.88 0.00 0.00 385.88 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 377.53 0.00 0.00 377.53 Trades
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? Yes No 0.00 17,726.78 0.00% 0.9788 0.00 1.00 0.00 17,726.78 Fri Apr 07 2023 -17,351.30 0.00 0.00 375.48 Trades
Drift airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 371.79 0.00 0.00 371.79 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Prigozhin in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 365.41 0.00 0.00 365.41 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? Yes No 5,501.81 0.00 0.00% 0.9347 1.00 0.00 5,501.81 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -5,142.58 0.00 0.00 359.23 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? Yes No 0.00 5.90 0.00% -59.5959 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 30 2022 351.66 4.47 0.00 356.13 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 560.61 0.00% 0.3651 0.00 1.00 0.00 560.61 Sun Dec 31 2023 -204.67 0.00 0.00 355.94 Trades
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? Celtics Warriors 4.93 0.00 0.00% -71.4202 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 352.11 0.01 0.00 352.13 Trades
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 351.52 0.00 0.00 351.52 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.00 213.96 0.00% -1.6161 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 345.78 0.00 0.00 345.78 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? Yes No 439.56 0.00 0.00% 0.2200 1.00 0.00 439.56 0.00 Fri Mar 08 2024 -96.71 0.00 0.00 342.85 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? Yes No 163.05 0.00 100.00% -1.0934 1.00 0.00 163.05 0.00 Sun Sep 10 2023 178.28 0.02 0.00 341.35 Trades
Will SOL outperform ETH in January? Yes No 0.00 597.44 0.00% 0.4294 0.00 1.00 0.00 597.44 Wed Jan 31 2024 -256.55 0.00 0.00 340.89 Trades
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? Yes No 0.00 259.77 0.00% -0.3096 0.00 1.00 0.00 259.77 Mon Oct 16 2023 80.42 0.00 0.00 340.18 Trades
Will FC Barcelona win the 2021-22 UEFA Europa League? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 19 2022 324.08 0.00 0.00 324.08 Trades
Do Kwon extradited before March? Yes No 0.00 967.33 0.00% 0.6663 0.00 1.00 0.00 967.33 Thu Feb 29 2024 -644.56 0.00 0.00 322.77 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? Democrat Republican 0.00 2.03 0.00% -156.9775 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 318.79 0.22 0.00 319.01 Trades
Did Kevin O'Leary bail out SBF? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 318.84 0.00 0.00 318.84 Trades
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? Yes No 0.00 66,326.92 0.00% -0.0048 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 317.46 0.00 0.00 317.46 Trades
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? Yes No 0.00 3.66 0.00% -85.8569 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 13 2022 314.17 0.07 0.00 314.24 Trades
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 313.48 0.00 0.00 313.48 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 306.97 0.00 0.00 306.97 Trades
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? Yes No 17.56 0.00 0.00% -16.7601 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 294.24 12.45 0.00 306.69 Trades
Did Jaan Tallinn bail out SBF? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 302.76 0.00 0.00 302.76 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 301.56 0.00 0.00 301.56 Trades
Travis Scott's Utopia over 500k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 3,880.09 0.00% 0.9247 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,880.09 Thu Aug 03 2023 -3,588.05 0.00 0.00 292.04 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 289.05 0.00 0.00 289.06 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,066.35 100.00% -0.2653 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 282.93 0.00 0.00 282.93 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? Yes No 0.00 8.63 0.03% -32.0594 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 27 2022 276.61 0.02 0.00 276.63 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 275.37 0.00 0.00 275.37 Trades
George Santos wins NY-1 Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 25 2024 272.90 0.00 0.00 272.90 Trades
Will daily volume on Opensea drop below $20M by June 15? Yes No 0.00 10.66 0.00% -25.5298 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 272.16 0.00 0.00 272.16 Trades
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? United States South Korea 0.00 629.48 0.00% 0.0786 0.50 0.50 0.00 314.74 Sun Dec 31 2023 -49.46 0.00 0.00 265.28 Trades
Will the Celtics be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 263.74 0.00 0.00 263.74 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 0.00 1,043.62 0.00% -0.2515 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 262.48 0.00 0.00 262.48 Trades
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 04 2023 262.41 0.00 0.00 262.41 Trades
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 5.71 0.00% -45.5097 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 259.74 0.00 0.00 259.74 Trades
Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election? Yes No 5.73 0.00 0.26% -45.1411 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 17 2022 258.61 0.10 0.00 258.71 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 257.86 0.00 0.00 257.86 Trades
2023 NBA Conference Finals: Denver Nuggets vs. LA Lakers Nuggets Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 27 2023 257.25 0.00 0.00 257.25 Trades
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 11 2024 253.16 0.00 0.00 253.16 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? Democrat Republican 0.00 3.74 0.00% -66.6686 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 249.08 0.81 0.00 249.89 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.39 0.00% -55.2100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 242.28 0.43 0.00 242.71 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 237.32 0.00 0.00 237.32 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 235.73 0.00 0.00 235.73 Trades
Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? Yes No 0.00 4.32 0.00% -52.7757 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 05 2022 228.06 0.00 0.00 228.06 Trades
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Feb 13 2024 227.47 0.00 0.00 227.48 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 316.22 0.00 0.00% 0.2834 1.00 0.00 316.22 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 -89.62 0.00 0.00 226.60 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? $1800 $2200 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 224.50 0.00 0.00 224.50 Trades
Fed rate cut by November 7? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 07 2024 223.87 0.00 0.00 223.88 Trades
Fed rate cut by January 31? Yes No 0.00 2,001.00 0.00% 0.8905 0.00 1.00 0.00 2,001.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -1,781.90 0.00 0.00 219.10 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Kissinger in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 218.95 0.00 0.00 218.95 Trades
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Yes No 0.00 4,758.23 0.00% 0.9542 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,758.23 Wed Feb 28 2024 -4,540.26 0.00 0.00 217.96 Trades
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 209.53 0.00 0.00 209.55 Trades
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 207.15 0.00 0.00 207.15 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 69.54 0.00% -2.9634 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 206.08 0.00 0.00 206.08 Trades
OpenAI board out by end of week? Yes No 237.99 0.00 0.00% -0.8541 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 203.26 0.00 0.00 203.26 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 202.53 0.00 0.00 202.54 Trades
Ravens vs. Texans Ravens Texans 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 20 2024 200.20 0.00 0.00 200.20 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 3,083.35 0.00 0.00% 0.9356 1.00 0.00 3,083.35 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 -2,884.84 0.00 0.00 198.51 Trades
World Cup 3rd Place: Croatia vs. Morocco Croatia Morocco 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 17 2022 196.64 0.00 0.00 196.64 Trades
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 191.36 0.00 0.00 191.36 Trades
NFL Wild Card Round: Giants vs. Vikings Giants Vikings 0.00 4.01 0.02% -47.3466 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 15 2023 189.75 0.02 0.00 189.77 Trades
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 189.64 0.00 0.00 189.64 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 185.43 0.00 0.00 185.43 Trades
CA-22 House: Will a Democrat (Salas) or Republican (Valadao) win? Democrat Republican 6.66 0.00 0.00% -26.9635 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 179.46 0.00 0.00 179.46 Trades
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 179.07 0.00 0.00 179.08 Trades
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? Yes No 0.00 1,991.99 100.00% -0.0898 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 178.91 0.02 0.00 178.93 Trades
Epstein documents unsealed by Jan 31? Yes No 1,368.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8693 1.00 0.00 1,368.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -1,189.24 0.00 0.00 178.76 Trades
Will Trump say "rape" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 178.00 0.00 0.00 178.00 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 1.00 0.00 200.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -22.00 0.00 0.00 178.00 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 177.13 0.00 0.00 177.14 Trades
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 177.02 0.00 0.00 177.02 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? Yes No 0.00 57.91 0.00% -2.0455 0.00 1.00 0.00 57.91 Fri Mar 08 2024 118.45 0.00 0.00 176.35 Trades
Will PP win over 33.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? Yes No 0.00 250.00 0.00% 0.2980 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.00 Sat Jul 22 2023 -74.50 0.00 0.00 175.50 Trades
zkSync airdrop by April? Yes No 1,804.99 0.00 0.00% -0.0971 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 175.21 0.00 0.00 175.21 Trades
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 174.94 0.00 0.00 174.94 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 1,508.90 0.00 0.00% -0.1139 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 171.88 0.00 0.00 171.88 Trades
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 04 2023 171.09 0.00 0.00 171.09 Trades
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? Yes No 378.05 0.00 0.00% -0.4480 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 169.35 0.00 0.00 169.35 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? Yes No 13.16 0.00 0.02% -12.7581 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 167.87 0.02 0.00 167.89 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 1,058.04 0.00% -0.1576 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 166.78 0.00 0.00 166.78 Trades
NCAAB Championship: San Diego State v. UConn San Diego State UConn 0.00 458.66 100.00% 0.6422 0.00 1.00 0.00 458.66 Mon Apr 03 2023 -294.53 0.00 0.00 164.13 Trades
Will Biden visit Hawaii by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 163.67 0.00 0.00 163.67 Trades
Will Gustavo Petro win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 0.00 5.03 0.00% -32.5510 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 163.60 0.00 0.00 163.60 Trades
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? Yes No 0.00 8,721.64 0.00% 0.9818 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,721.64 Sun Dec 31 2023 -8,562.67 0.00 0.00 158.96 Trades
Will Rodolfo Hernández win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? Yes No 1.01 0.00 0.00% -155.9579 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 29 2022 158.20 0.01 0.00 158.21 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? $2000 $2500 0.00 235.01 0.00% 0.3346 0.00 1.00 0.00 235.01 Mon Jul 01 2024 -78.63 0.00 0.00 156.37 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Zury Ríos win? Yes No 0.00 574.85 0.00% 0.7288 0.00 1.00 0.00 574.85 Sun Jun 25 2023 -418.96 0.00 0.00 155.89 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 153.01 0.00 0.00 153.01 Trades
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 152.23 0.00 0.00 152.23 Trades
Instacart market cap >20b? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 146.93 0.00 0.00 146.93 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.00 7,326.74 0.06% 0.9800 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,326.74 Sat Dec 31 2022 -7,180.12 0.00 0.00 146.62 Trades
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 143.68 0.00 0.00 143.68 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 138.74 0.00 0.00 138.74 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 138.67 0.00 0.00 138.67 Trades
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 6.00 0.02% -22.9049 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 137.45 0.04 0.00 137.50 Trades
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 0.00 5.03 0.00% -27.2479 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 137.15 0.25 0.00 137.40 Trades
Triton Poker: Will Phil Ivey place 1st in at least one event? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 07 2022 136.98 0.00 0.00 136.99 Trades
Champions League Final: Man City v. Inter Man City Inter 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 10 2023 136.78 0.00 0.00 136.78 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.15 0.00 0.33% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 136.46 0.01 0.00 136.47 Trades
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? Yes No 916.53 0.00 0.00% 0.8514 1.00 0.00 916.53 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 -780.30 0.00 0.00 136.23 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 725.11 0.00% 0.8127 0.00 1.00 0.00 725.11 Sun Dec 31 2023 -589.28 0.00 0.00 135.84 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 134.88 0.00 0.00 134.88 Trades
Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit? Yes No 17.03 0.00 0.00% -7.8502 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 30 2022 133.67 0.63 0.00 134.30 Trades
RNC Debate: Will DeSantis speak the most? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 134.17 0.00 0.00 134.17 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 21 2023 132.82 0.00 0.00 132.82 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 30,380.95 0.00% -0.0044 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 132.35 0.00 0.00 132.35 Trades
Saudi Arabia and Yemeni Houthis peace deal by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,580.85 0.00% 0.9165 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,580.85 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,448.93 0.00 0.00 131.92 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? Yes No 0.00 238.12 0.00% 0.4527 0.00 1.00 0.00 238.12 Sat Dec 30 2023 -107.79 0.00 0.00 130.33 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun May 01 2022 128.83 0.00 0.00 128.83 Trades
Biden v. Nebraska: Student Loan Forgiveness Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 128.65 0.00 0.00 128.65 Trades
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? Yes No 0.00 391.85 0.00% 0.6722 0.00 1.00 0.00 391.85 Sun Feb 11 2024 -263.42 0.00 0.00 128.43 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 1,254.77 0.00 0.00% 0.8980 1.00 0.00 1,254.77 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 -1,126.74 0.00 0.00 128.03 Trades
Will the Suns be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 127.25 0.00 0.00 127.25 Trades
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers Celtics 76ers 299.79 0.00 0.00% 0.5930 1.00 0.00 299.79 0.00 Sat May 13 2023 -177.78 0.00 0.00 122.01 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 120.69 0.00 0.00 120.69 Trades
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Lakers Grizzlies 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 119.82 0.00 0.00 119.82 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of over 100? Yes No 0.00 1,206.91 0.00% 0.9013 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,206.91 Mon Oct 30 2023 -1,087.73 0.00 0.00 119.18 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,642.39 0.00% 0.9282 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,642.39 Wed Mar 22 2023 -1,524.43 0.00 0.00 117.96 Trades
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 10 2023 117.27 0.00 0.00 117.27 Trades
Will Manchester City win the 2023 Champions League? Yes No 0.00 42.49 0.00% -2.7195 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 09 2023 115.55 0.00 0.00 115.55 Trades
Will the price of $SOL be above $11 on January 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 03 2023 114.93 0.00 0.00 114.93 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 114.62 0.00 0.00 114.63 Trades
Will Daniel Goldman win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? Yes No 0.00 5.16 0.00% -21.7269 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 23 2022 112.15 0.08 0.00 112.22 Trades
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day? Yes No 0.00 3.25 0.00% -33.8765 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 110.03 0.90 0.00 110.93 Trades
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? Yes No 0.00 4.69 0.00% -23.6366 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 110.79 0.00 0.00 110.80 Trades
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? Yes No 0.00 3.15 0.00% -33.2444 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 15 2022 104.59 0.32 0.00 104.91 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 104.68 0.00 0.00 104.69 Trades
2023 Australian Open Final: Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas Djokovic Tsitsipas 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 29 2023 103.75 0.00 0.00 103.75 Trades
Will a team from the South win 2023 March Madness? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 102.00 0.00 0.00 102.00 Trades
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA ‘21-’22 Champsionship? Yes No 0.00 3.96 0.00% -25.7246 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 19 2022 101.86 0.00 0.00 101.87 Trades
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 101.81 0.00 0.00 101.81 Trades
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? Yes No 0.00 183.09 0.00% 0.4440 0.00 1.00 0.00 183.09 Wed Nov 01 2023 -81.29 0.00 0.00 101.80 Trades
Will Labor win more seats than the Liberal-Nationals in the 2022 Australian Federal Election? Yes No 0.00 6.70 0.00% -14.7302 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 21 2022 98.73 3.04 0.00 101.77 Trades
Will the Knicks be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 17 2023 101.00 0.00 0.00 101.00 Trades
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 98.14 0.00 0.00 98.14 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - France vs. England France England 0.00 0.57 0.02% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 10 2022 97.71 0.00 0.00 97.71 Trades
Did Changpeng Zhao (CZ) bail out SBF? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 96.86 0.00 0.00 96.86 Trades
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 736.31 0.00% 0.8685 0.00 1.00 0.00 736.31 Thu Nov 30 2023 -639.50 0.00 0.00 96.82 Trades
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors Kings Warriors 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 96.09 0.00 0.00 96.09 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 77.71 0.00 0.00% -1.2299 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 95.57 0.00 0.00 95.57 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? Yes No 0.02 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 05 2023 93.89 0.00 0.00 93.89 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 51-100? Yes No 0.00 1,438.06 0.00% 0.9349 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,438.06 Mon Oct 30 2023 -1,344.45 0.00 0.00 93.61 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 92.55 0.00 0.00 92.55 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Clinton? Yes No 884.28 0.00 0.00% 0.8956 1.00 0.00 884.28 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -792.00 0.00 0.00 92.28 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 92.24 0.00 0.00 92.24 Trades
Will Neymar leave PSG? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 92.20 0.00 0.00 92.20 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,036.26 0.00% -0.0877 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 90.89 0.00 0.00 90.89 Trades
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? Yes No 63.72 0.00 0.00% -1.4236 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 90.72 0.10 0.00 90.82 Trades
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 15 2024 90.14 0.00 0.00 90.15 Trades
SBF guilty of all charges? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 89.94 0.00 0.00 89.94 Trades
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. Packers Cowboys Packers 3.16 0.00 0.02% -27.4376 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 13 2022 86.78 2.07 0.00 88.85 Trades
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 1 by Feb 16? Yes No 0.00 4,886.00 0.00% -0.0182 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 88.77 0.00 0.00 88.77 Trades
2023 NBA Conference Finals: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Heat Celtics 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 87.99 0.00 0.00 87.99 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Bernardo Arévalo win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 87.98 0.00 0.00 87.98 Trades
Will Biden say "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address? Yes No 250.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6500 1.00 0.00 250.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 -162.50 0.00 0.00 87.50 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6? Yes No 0.00 4.65 0.00% -18.4699 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 07 2022 85.80 1.55 0.00 87.35 Trades
NHL: Who will win Rangers vs. Penguins, scheduled for May 7, 7:00 PM ET? Rangers Penguins 10.52 0.00 0.01% -8.2360 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 86.66 0.69 0.00 87.35 Trades
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? Yes No 0.00 491.81 0.00% 0.8232 0.00 1.00 0.00 491.81 Tue Mar 05 2024 -404.88 0.00 0.00 86.93 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 10.60 0.00 0.00% -7.7659 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 82.34 4.13 0.00 86.47 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? Yes No 3.47 0.00 0.00% -24.9182 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 86.44 0.00 0.00 86.45 Trades
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 85.41 0.00 0.00 85.41 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 84.90 0.00 0.00 84.90 Trades
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 84.89 0.00 0.00 84.89 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 9.69 0.00% -8.6441 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 83.72 0.00 0.00 83.72 Trades
Ansem vs. Barney Ansem Barney 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 19 2024 83.01 0.00 0.00 83.01 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? Democrat Republican 0.00 4.76 0.00% -16.9036 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 80.43 2.47 0.00 82.90 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 7,840.09 0.00 0.00% -0.0103 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 80.48 0.00 0.00 80.48 Trades
Will the Progressive Conservative Party win a majority in the 2022 Ontario General Election? Yes No 0.00 9.90 0.00% -8.1071 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 02 2022 80.28 0.00 0.00 80.28 Trades
Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis Haney Progrias 333.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7600 1.00 0.00 333.00 0.00 Sat Dec 09 2023 -253.08 0.00 0.00 79.92 Trades
Will Western Alliance Bancorp fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 15 2023 79.35 0.00 0.00 79.35 Trades
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? Yes No 0.00 3.19 0.00% -24.4429 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 02 2022 77.96 0.00 0.00 77.96 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 4.10 0.00 0.00% -19.0109 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 77.89 0.00 0.00 77.89 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 1,136.73 0.00% 0.9317 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,136.73 Thu Nov 30 2023 -1,059.09 0.00 0.00 77.64 Trades
Will Bank of America fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 15 2023 76.70 0.00 0.00 76.70 Trades
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? Yes No 0.00 291.77 0.00% -0.2621 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 05 2024 76.46 0.00 0.00 76.46 Trades
World Cup: Monday - Brazil vs. South Korea Brazil South Korea 0.00 6.02 0.02% -12.6561 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Dec 05 2022 76.14 0.00 0.00 76.14 Trades
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? Yes No 1,993.73 0.00 0.00% -0.0371 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 74.01 0.00 0.00 74.01 Trades
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for April 29, 9:05 PM ET? Grizzlies Timberwolves 0.00 6.06 0.00% -12.0504 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 73.05 0.21 0.00 73.26 Trades
NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers 2023-05-16 Nuggets Lakers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 16 2023 72.47 0.00 0.00 72.47 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 0.00 250.01 0.00% 0.7128 0.00 1.00 0.00 250.01 Sat Jul 01 2023 -178.22 0.00 0.00 71.79 Trades
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 6.04 0.00% -11.6404 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 70.31 0.11 0.00 70.42 Trades
Will US inflation be more than 0.4% from December 2022 to January 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 14 2023 70.34 0.00 0.00 70.34 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 4,468.62 0.00 0.00% -0.0154 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 68.94 0.00 0.00 68.94 Trades
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 4.35 0.00 0.00% -15.7754 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 68.58 0.28 0.00 68.85 Trades
Musk drops OpenAI case in March? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 67.01 0.00 0.00 67.01 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 66.67 0.00 0.00 66.67 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 15.00 0.00% -3.4180 0.00 1.00 0.00 15.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 51.28 0.00 0.00 66.28 Trades
Will Biden say "Trump" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 65.76 0.00 0.00 65.76 Trades
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors Lakers Warriors 62.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0597 1.00 0.00 62.00 0.00 Sat May 13 2023 3.70 0.00 0.00 65.70 Trades
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Thu Jul 28 2022 65.65 0.00 0.00 65.66 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? Yes No 111.97 0.00 0.00% -0.5766 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 64.57 0.00 0.00 64.57 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Gara) or Republican (Dunleavy) win in Alaska? Democrat Republican 2.45 0.00 0.00% -26.2821 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 64.27 0.00 0.00 64.27 Trades
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 102.91 0.00 33.33% 0.3819 1.00 0.00 102.91 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -39.30 0.04 0.00 63.65 Trades
$WIF listed on Coinbase in March? Yes No 67.37 0.00 0.00% -0.9421 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 63.47 0.00 0.00 63.47 Trades
Will @jordanbpeterson tweet in 2022? Yes No 0.00 6.25 0.00% -10.0769 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 62.96 0.01 0.00 62.97 Trades
Will Trump win Massachusetts Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 62.61 0.00 0.00 62.61 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 204.01 0.00 0.00% -0.3020 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 61.61 0.00 0.00 61.61 Trades
Scroll airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 61.55 0.00 0.00 61.55 Trades
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 17 2023 61.52 0.00 0.00 61.52 Trades
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? Yes No 0.00 5.77 0.00% -10.5465 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 60.83 0.51 0.00 61.34 Trades
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 61.22 0.00 0.00 61.22 Trades
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) Yes No 0.00 1.19 0.00% -51.2680 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 28 2023 61.04 0.00 0.00 61.04 Trades
Will DeSantis say "Florida" 5 or more times during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 60.95 0.00 0.00 60.95 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,000.01 0.00% 0.9391 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 -939.08 0.00 0.00 60.93 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from June to July 2023? Yes No 0.00 140.01 0.00% 0.5787 0.00 1.00 0.00 140.01 Wed Aug 09 2023 -81.03 0.00 0.00 58.98 Trades
Boxing: Spence vs. Crawford Spence Crawford 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 58.91 0.00 0.00 58.91 Trades
Friend.Tech airdrop before May? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 58.30 0.00 0.00 58.30 Trades
NCAAB Championship: UConn (-7.5) v. San Diego State Yes No 102.31 0.00 0.00% 0.4388 1.00 0.00 102.31 0.00 Mon Apr 03 2023 -44.90 0.00 0.00 57.41 Trades
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Heat Knicks 191.05 0.00 0.00% 0.7016 1.00 0.00 191.05 0.00 Sat May 13 2023 -134.05 0.00 0.00 57.01 Trades
Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 56.73 0.00 0.00 56.73 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 85.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3377 1.00 0.00 85.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -28.70 0.00 0.00 56.29 Trades
GTA 6 release date by end of year? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 56.24 0.00 0.00 56.24 Trades
Fed rate cut by December 18? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Dec 18 2024 55.45 0.00 0.00 55.46 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on December 30? Yes No 0.00 5,275.50 0.00% 0.9895 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,275.50 Fri Dec 30 2022 -5,220.22 0.00 0.00 55.28 Trades
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 11? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Oct 11 2023 55.16 0.00 0.00 55.17 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by April? Yes No 2,150.50 0.00 0.00% -0.0254 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 54.72 0.00 0.00 54.72 Trades
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 54.50 0.00 0.00 54.50 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 79.15 0.00% 0.3256 0.00 1.00 0.00 79.15 Fri Sep 29 2023 -25.77 0.00 0.00 53.37 Trades
NBA: Pelicans vs. Nuggets (01/31/2023) Pelicans Nuggets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 52.28 0.00 0.00 52.28 Trades
Will Miles Bridges play an NBA game in the 2022-23 regular season? Yes No 0.22 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 09 2023 52.16 0.00 0.00 52.16 Trades
zkSync airdrop by June 1? Yes No 0.00 1,866.00 0.00% 0.9723 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,866.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 -1,814.31 0.00 0.00 51.69 Trades
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP? Yes No 205.21 0.00 0.00% 0.7507 1.00 0.00 205.21 0.00 Sun Jul 30 2023 -154.06 0.00 0.00 51.15 Trades
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA ‘21-’22 Championship? Yes No 9.02 0.00 0.00% -5.5220 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 19 2022 49.82 0.00 0.00 49.82 Trades
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 49.78 0.00 0.00 49.78 Trades
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 8.38 0.00 0.00% -5.9275 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 49.69 0.01 0.00 49.70 Trades
Antony suspended by Man United? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 12 2023 48.90 0.00 0.00 48.90 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% -9.7582 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 10 2022 48.79 0.01 0.00 48.80 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Prince Andrew? Yes No 643.24 0.00 0.00% 0.9247 1.00 0.00 643.24 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -594.82 0.00 0.00 48.42 Trades
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? Yes No 4.36 0.00 0.00% -9.8953 1.00 0.00 4.36 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 43.19 0.00 0.00 47.55 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from March to April 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 46.84 0.00 0.00 46.84 Trades
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Chiefs Bengals Chiefs 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 29 2023 46.62 0.00 0.00 46.62 Trades
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by June 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 9.46 0.48% -4.9287 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 46.61 0.00 0.00 46.61 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 45.50 0.00 0.00 45.50 Trades
Will any player score 2 or more receiving touchdowns in Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 452.37 0.00% 0.8996 0.00 1.00 0.00 452.37 Wed Feb 08 2023 -406.98 0.00 0.00 45.40 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Netherlands beat Qatar? Yes No 0.00 5.34 0.02% -8.4393 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 29 2022 45.06 0.02 0.00 45.08 Trades
Will Brian Kemp win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 44.64 0.00 0.00 44.64 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.00 260.73 0.00% 0.8311 0.00 1.00 0.00 260.73 Sun Dec 31 2023 -216.68 0.00 0.00 44.05 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? Yes No 0.02 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 42.59 0.00 0.00 42.59 Trades
Will the number of Mahomes' and Hurts' combined touchdown passes in Super Bowl LVII be even or odd? Even Odd 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 42.56 0.00 0.00 42.56 Trades
NFL: Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots 2023-08-19 Packers Patriots 25.00 0.00 0.00% -1.6300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 19 2023 40.75 0.00 0.00 40.75 Trades
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? Yes No 4.50 0.00 0.00% -8.8012 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 39.65 1.08 0.00 40.73 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 1.88 0.00 0.00% -20.9389 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 39.35 0.01 0.00 39.36 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 38.77 0.00 0.00 38.77 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 38.61 0.00 0.00 38.61 Trades
NFL Sunday: Chiefs vs. 49ers Chiefs 49ers 0.00 4.74 0.00% -7.9865 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 23 2022 37.85 0.54 0.00 38.40 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 5.64 0.00 0.00% -6.8054 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 38.39 0.00 0.00 38.39 Trades
Biden cognitive test before April? Yes No 7,703.57 0.00 0.00% -0.0050 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 38.33 0.00 0.00 38.33 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 38.00 0.00 0.00 38.00 Trades
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" Proposal pass? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 28 2023 37.81 0.00 0.00 37.81 Trades
Will Idalia hit Florida as Category 4 hurricane? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 37.43 0.00 0.00 37.43 Trades
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? Yes No 407.53 0.00 100.00% -0.0911 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 25 2023 37.13 0.00 0.00 37.13 Trades
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 36.57 0.00 0.00 36.57 Trades
India Election: Modi reelected? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Fri May 31 2024 36.52 0.00 0.00 36.53 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? Yes No 5.43 0.00 0.00% -6.7058 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 36.42 0.00 0.00 36.42 Trades
Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 01 2024 36.00 0.00 0.00 36.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 16.66 0.00 0.00% -2.1280 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 35.46 0.00 0.00 35.46 Trades
Will "abortion" be said 5 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 35.45 0.00 0.00 35.45 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 35.45 0.00 0.00 35.45 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 35.42 0.00 0.00 35.42 Trades
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 35.42 0.00 0.00 35.42 Trades
Will "Pinocchio" win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film? Yes No 222.00 0.00 0.00% 0.8417 1.00 0.00 222.00 0.00 Sun Mar 12 2023 -186.86 0.00 0.00 35.15 Trades
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? Yes No 0.00 7.92 0.00% -4.4285 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 35.06 0.04 0.00 35.10 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 34.96 0.00 0.00 34.96 Trades
Did Justin Sun bail out SBF? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 34.77 0.00 0.00 34.77 Trades
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY? Yes No 6.64 0.00 0.00% -5.2012 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 34.54 0.00 0.00 34.54 Trades
Drake's 'For All the Dogs" over 400k sales week 1? Yes No 0.00 68.92 0.00% 0.0068 0.50 0.50 0.00 34.46 Thu Aug 31 2023 -0.47 0.00 0.00 33.99 Trades
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 7.5 points in their May 2, 7:30 PM ET matchup? Yes No 0.00 6.59 0.00% -5.0918 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 02 2022 33.58 0.01 0.00 33.59 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Jun 07 2022 33.56 0.00 0.00 33.57 Trades
NBA: Will Immanuel Quickley win Sixth Man of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.9667 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,000.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -966.71 0.00 0.00 33.29 Trades
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 32.51 0.00 0.00 32.51 Trades
Golden Globes: Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win Best Picture - Musical or Comedy? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 11 2023 32.16 0.00 0.00 32.16 Trades
Will N.D. win a plurality in the Greek election? Yes No 0.00 0.06 50.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 32.12 0.00 0.00 32.12 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 31.98 0.00 0.00 31.98 Trades
TX-34 House: Will a Democrat (Gonzalez) or Republican (Flores) win? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 31.70 0.00 0.00 31.71 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on April 30? Yes No 0.00 6.67 0.00% -4.7303 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 31.57 0.00 0.00 31.57 Trades
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes No 0.00 3.38 0.00% -2.5293 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 8.55 22.94 0.00 31.49 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - Will Argentina beat Australia? Yes No 0.00 5.66 0.02% -5.4285 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 03 2022 30.70 0.00 0.00 30.70 Trades
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? Cisneros Cuellar 3.30 0.00 7.14% -9.2924 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 30.66 0.00 0.00 30.66 Trades
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $20 million domestically on opening weekend? Yes No 1,216.52 0.00 0.00% 0.9749 1.00 0.00 1,216.52 0.00 Mon Feb 27 2023 -1,185.97 0.00 0.00 30.55 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? Democrat Republican 0.00 10.81 0.00% -2.8232 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 30.51 0.00 0.00 30.51 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? Democrat Republican 0.00 1.02 0.00% -28.8679 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 29.33 0.02 0.00 29.35 Trades
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? Yes No 29.11 0.00 0.00% -1.0048 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 29.25 0.00 0.00 29.25 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from June to July 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 09 2023 29.10 0.00 0.00 29.10 Trades
World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina France Argentina 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 29.07 0.00 0.00 29.07 Trades
Will Bayern Munich win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 28 2022 28.96 0.05 0.00 29.02 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? Yes No 338.54 0.00 0.00% -0.0852 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 28.83 0.00 0.00 28.83 Trades
Will Biden mention "AI" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 28.69 0.00 0.00 28.69 Trades
Will SAG end strike by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 34.91 0.00% 0.1786 0.00 1.00 0.00 34.91 Tue Oct 31 2023 -6.23 0.00 0.00 28.67 Trades
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 US Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 28.65 0.00 0.00 28.65 Trades
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 28.37 0.00 0.00 28.37 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? Yes No 0.00 9.36 5.83% -3.0107 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 28.19 0.00 0.00 28.19 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022? Yes No 9.52 0.00 0.00% -2.9558 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 28.14 0.01 0.00 28.15 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 190.01 0.00% 0.8521 0.00 1.00 0.00 190.01 Sat Sep 30 2023 -161.91 0.00 0.00 28.10 Trades
Will Uniswap's wallet be live on the iOS app store by April 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 27.66 0.00 0.00 27.66 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 27.65 0.00 0.00 27.66 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 13? Yes No 0.00 5.83 0.00% -4.6909 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 14 2022 27.36 0.00 0.00 27.36 Trades
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? Democrat Republican 0.00 2.74 0.00% -9.9472 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 27.27 0.00 0.00 27.27 Trades
CZ jail in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,489.58 0.00% 0.9817 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,489.58 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,462.36 0.00 0.00 27.22 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? Yes No 4.96 0.00 0.00% -5.4232 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 26.89 0.00 0.00 26.89 Trades
Will KO get over 31% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? Yes No 0.00 30.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 30.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 -3.30 0.00 0.00 26.70 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 26.69 0.00 0.00 26.69 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 26.69 0.00 0.00 26.69 Trades
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? $1 first $2 first 0.00 320.00 0.00% -0.0833 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 26.65 0.00 0.00 26.65 Trades
NFL Thursday: Dolphins vs. Bengals Dolphins Bengals 10.20 0.00 0.02% -2.6010 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 29 2022 26.54 0.00 0.00 26.54 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? Yes No 279.12 0.00 0.00% -0.0936 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 26.13 0.00 0.00 26.13 Trades
Will Trump win Utah Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 1,500.00 0.00% -0.0173 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 26.00 0.00 0.00 26.00 Trades
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 25.56 0.00 0.00 25.56 Trades
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? Yes No 1,819.65 0.00 0.00% -0.0139 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 25.23 0.00 0.00 25.23 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Tata Steel Masters 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 29 2023 24.99 0.00 0.00 24.99 Trades
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0125 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 24.97 0.00 0.00 24.97 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? Yes No 9.49 0.00 0.00% -2.6280 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 24.95 0.00 0.00 24.95 Trades
Will Bitboy remarry by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 24.57 0.00 0.00 24.57 Trades
ETH above $2,100 on April 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 18 2023 24.48 0.00 0.00 24.48 Trades
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? Yes No 112.57 0.00 0.00% -0.2171 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 24.44 0.00 0.00 24.44 Trades
UFC 288: Who will win - Sterling or Cejudo? Sterling Cejudo 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 05 2023 24.41 0.00 0.00 24.41 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 29.41 0.00 0.00% 0.1700 1.00 0.00 29.41 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 -5.00 0.00 0.00 24.41 Trades
Will SAG end strike by Sep 30? Yes No 0.00 207.18 0.00% 0.8827 0.00 1.00 0.00 207.18 Sat Sep 30 2023 -182.88 0.00 0.00 24.30 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? Yes No 0.00 245.00 0.00% 0.9010 0.00 1.00 0.00 245.00 Mon May 29 2023 -220.75 0.00 0.00 24.25 Trades
Will Australia win the 2023 Women's World Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 19 2023 24.21 0.00 0.00 24.21 Trades
Will Syriza win >31% of votes in the Greek election? (first round) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 20 2023 24.20 0.00 0.00 24.20 Trades
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? Yes No 0.00 1,022.83 0.00% -0.0235 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 24.08 0.00 0.00 24.08 Trades
Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 7 games long? Yes No 0.00 200.00 0.00% 0.8800 0.00 1.00 0.00 200.00 Fri Jun 09 2023 -176.00 0.00 0.00 24.00 Trades
NFL: Who will win Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals, scheduled for September 11, 1:00 PM ET? Steelers Bengals 0.00 3.23 0.02% -7.3303 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Sep 11 2022 23.66 0.08 0.00 23.75 Trades
OH-09 House: Will a Democrat (Kaptur) or Republican (Majewski) win? Democrat Republican 0.00 1.55 0.00% -14.9607 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 23.26 0.00 0.00 23.26 Trades
UFC 280: Who will win - Yan vs O'Malley Yan O'Malley 1.71 0.00 0.00% -13.5272 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 22 2022 23.07 0.00 0.00 23.07 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida? Democrat Republican 1.36 0.00 0.00% -16.9166 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 23.04 0.00 0.00 23.04 Trades
49ers vs. Cowboys 49ers Cowboys 73.82 0.00 0.00% 0.6884 1.00 0.00 73.82 0.00 Sun Oct 08 2023 -50.82 0.00 0.00 23.00 Trades
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.07 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 22.93 0.00 0.00 22.93 Trades
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? Yes No 0.00 7.76 0.00% -2.9267 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 20 2022 22.70 0.01 0.00 22.71 Trades
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 22.68 0.00 0.00 22.68 Trades
Will the first offensive play of Super Bowl LVII be a run or a pass? Run Pass 78.79 0.00 0.00% 0.7151 1.00 0.00 78.79 0.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 -56.34 0.00 0.00 22.45 Trades
Super Bowl LVII Coin Toss: Heads or Tails? Heads Tails 0.00 16.23 0.00% -0.3484 0.00 1.00 0.00 16.23 Wed Feb 08 2023 5.65 0.00 0.00 21.88 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 03 2022 21.76 0.00 0.00 21.76 Trades
Will Trump win Colorado Republican Primary? Yes No 0.00 1,935.71 0.00% -0.0112 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 21.75 0.00 0.00 21.75 Trades
Golden Globes: Will "The Fabelmans" win Best Picture - Drama? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 11 2023 21.73 0.00 0.00 21.73 Trades
NCAAB: Texas Longhorns vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes 2023-03-26 Texas Miami (FL) 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 21.67 0.00 0.00 21.67 Trades
Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 15 2023 21.64 0.00 0.00 21.64 Trades
Will any field goal in Super Bowl LVII be scored from 50 or more yards? Yes No 0.00 444.00 0.00% 0.9514 0.00 1.00 0.00 444.00 Wed Feb 08 2023 -422.42 0.00 0.00 21.58 Trades
Will SBF plead guilty by August 21? Yes No 0.00 195.39 0.00% 0.8896 0.00 1.00 0.00 195.39 Mon Aug 21 2023 -173.82 0.00 0.00 21.57 Trades
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 21.40 0.00 0.00 21.41 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 15-50? Yes No 0.00 319.25 0.00% 0.9334 0.00 1.00 0.00 319.25 Mon Oct 30 2023 -298.00 0.00 0.00 21.26 Trades
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Philadelphia 76ers vs. Brooklyn Nets 76ers Nets 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 21.18 0.00 0.00 21.18 Trades
Will Spain win the 2023 Women's World Cup? Yes No 0.00 166.58 0.00% -0.1263 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 19 2023 21.04 0.00 0.00 21.04 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? Yes No 0.00 7.32 0.00% -2.8530 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 20.89 0.00 0.00 20.89 Trades
Did Dustin Moskovitz bail out SBF? Yes No 8.89 0.00 0.00% -2.3129 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 20.56 0.00 0.00 20.56 Trades
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 28 2023 20.53 0.00 0.00 20.53 Trades
NBA: Who will win Suns vs. Mavericks, scheduled for May 8, 3:30 PM ET? Suns Mavericks 5.11 0.00 0.00% -4.0053 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 20.48 0.04 0.00 20.52 Trades
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 330.00 0.00% 0.9380 0.00 1.00 0.00 330.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 -309.55 0.00 0.00 20.45 Trades
NHL: Who will win Avalanche vs. Oilers, scheduled for June 6, 8:00 PM ET? Avalanche Oilers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 06 2022 20.35 0.00 0.00 20.35 Trades
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? Yes No 8.22 0.00 0.00% -2.4615 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 20.23 0.00 0.00 20.23 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? Yes No 4.24 0.00 0.00% -4.5990 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 19.51 0.64 0.00 20.15 Trades
Will USA qualify from Group B? Yes No 0.00 9.02 0.02% -2.2255 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 06 2022 20.07 0.01 0.00 20.09 Trades
NFL Monday: Raiders vs. Chiefs Raiders Chiefs 1.13 0.00 0.02% -16.7625 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 10 2022 18.92 1.00 0.00 19.92 Trades
Will Biden announce he is running for president by Friday? Yes No 0.00 251.99 0.00% -0.0787 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 28 2023 19.83 0.00 0.00 19.83 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from November to December 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 12 2023 19.81 0.00 0.00 19.81 Trades
Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 19.81 0.00 0.00 19.81 Trades
Will ‘Elvis’ gross more than $38 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 6.18 0.00 0.00% -3.1702 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 27 2022 19.59 0.01 0.00 19.60 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 01 2023 19.56 0.00 0.00 19.56 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? Yes No 5.98 0.00 0.00% -3.2166 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 19.22 0.00 0.00 19.22 Trades
Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY? Yes No 4.40 0.00 0.00% -4.3590 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 19.19 0.00 0.00 19.19 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 10 2022 18.98 0.00 0.00 18.98 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29? Yes No 6.25 0.00 0.00% -2.9458 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 18.41 0.45 0.00 18.86 Trades
NBA: Who will win Warriors vs. Grizzlies, scheduled for May 3, 9:30 PM ET? Warriors Grizzlies 8.97 0.00 0.00% -2.0821 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 03 2022 18.67 0.14 0.00 18.82 Trades
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. 49ers Cowboys 49ers 11.46 0.00 0.02% -1.6214 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 22 2023 18.58 0.03 0.00 18.61 Trades
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.8148 0.00 1.00 0.00 100.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 -81.48 0.00 0.00 18.52 Trades
NFL Saturday: Giants vs. Eagles Giants Eagles 4.17 0.00 0.02% -4.4188 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 21 2023 18.43 0.00 0.00 18.43 Trades
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 18.33 0.00 0.00 18.33 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? Yes No 10.23 0.00 0.03% -1.7914 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 18.33 0.00 0.00 18.33 Trades
Aleo airdrop by April? Yes No 2,222.00 0.00 0.00% -0.0082 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 18.23 0.00 0.00 18.23 Trades
Will Bryce Young be first QB selected in the 2023 NFL draft? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 28 2023 18.19 0.00 0.00 18.19 Trades
Will Biden say "Folks" during his SOTU? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 02 2023 18.05 0.00 0.00 18.05 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on May 1, 2022? Yes No 6.38 0.00 0.00% -2.7988 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 17.84 0.04 0.00 17.89 Trades
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? Yes No 0.00 151.46 0.00% 0.8823 0.00 1.00 0.00 151.46 Sun Dec 31 2023 -133.63 0.00 0.00 17.83 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,900 on May 7, 2022? Yes No 6.93 0.00 0.08% -2.1774 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 15.09 2.72 0.00 17.81 Trades
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? Yes No 0.03 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 17.68 0.00 0.00 17.68 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by October 31? Yes No 0.00 9.18 0.00% -1.8902 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 17.36 0.00 0.00 17.36 Trades
Hyperliquid airdrop by June 30? Yes No 0.00 416.21 0.00% -0.0414 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 28 2024 17.22 0.00 0.00 17.22 Trades
NBA: Who will win Timberwolves vs. Clippers, scheduled for April 12 (9:30 PM ET)? Timberwolves Clippers 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 12 2022 17.21 0.00 0.00 17.21 Trades
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 16.82 0.00 0.00 16.82 Trades
NHL: Who will win Avalanche vs. Predators, scheduled for May 5, 9:30 PM ET? Avalanche Predators 0.00 4.85 0.01% -3.3389 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 16.19 0.59 0.00 16.78 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.0% or higher on May 18? Yes No 7.31 0.00 0.01% -2.2593 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 19 2022 16.51 0.10 0.00 16.60 Trades
Will Cherelle Parker win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? Yes No 14.99 0.00 0.00% -0.1064 1.00 0.00 14.99 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 1.60 0.00 0.00 16.59 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on October 14? Yes No 0.00 8.38 0.00% -1.9761 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 14 2022 16.57 0.01 0.00 16.58 Trades
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 16.51 0.00 0.00 16.51 Trades
Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? Yes No 0.00 4.56 0.00% -3.5331 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 25 2022 16.11 0.21 0.00 16.32 Trades
NFL Sunday: Steelers vs. Ravens Steelers Ravens 922.59 0.00 0.00% 0.9824 1.00 0.00 922.59 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 -906.31 0.00 0.00 16.28 Trades
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2022 Tour de France? Yes No 7.41 0.00 0.01% -2.1623 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 24 2022 16.02 0.00 0.00 16.02 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? Yes No 0.00 0.14 100.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 14 2023 15.93 0.08 0.00 16.01 Trades
Will Biden mention Fentanyl 5 or more times in the 2023 State of the Union? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 07 2023 16.01 0.00 0.00 16.01 Trades
49ers vs. Lions 49ers Lions 0.00 107.00 0.00% -0.1493 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 28 2024 15.98 0.00 0.00 15.98 Trades
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl LVII? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 12 2023 15.97 0.00 0.00 15.97 Trades
Will Iran win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 5.50 0.00 0.02% -2.8649 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 15.75 0.00 0.00 15.75 Trades
Drift airdrop by March 1? Yes No 357.86 0.00 0.00% -0.0440 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 27 2024 15.75 0.00 0.00 15.75 Trades
Will 'My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3' gross over $10m opening weekend? Yes No 40.16 0.00 0.00% 0.6079 1.00 0.00 40.16 0.00 Mon Sep 11 2023 -24.41 0.00 0.00 15.75 Trades
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 15.64 0.00 0.00 15.64 Trades
Will Manchester City beat Sheffield United? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 26 2023 15.61 0.00 0.00 15.61 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 15.57 0.00 0.00 15.58 Trades
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.825 on October 14? Yes No 4.84 0.00 0.00% -3.1555 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 14 2022 15.27 0.03 0.00 15.30 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 13 2023 15.19 0.00 0.00 15.19 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 21? Yes No 5.07 0.00 0.00% -2.9739 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 21 2022 15.07 0.01 0.00 15.08 Trades
2022 NBA Playoffs, 1st Round: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves? Grizzlies Timberwolves 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 14.97 0.00 0.00 14.97 Trades
NBA: Raptors vs. Suns (01/30/2023) Raptors Suns 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 30 2023 14.92 0.00 0.00 14.92 Trades
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? Yes No 0.00 9.28 0.02% -1.6024 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 29 2022 14.88 0.00 0.00 14.88 Trades
NBA: Who will win Lakers vs. Warriors, scheduled for October 18 (10:00 PM ET)? Lakers Warriors 4.13 0.00 0.00% -3.5620 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 18 2022 14.70 0.09 0.00 14.79 Trades
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? Yes No 2,713.92 0.00 0.00% -0.0054 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 14.66 0.00 0.00 14.66 Trades
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 14.39 0.00 0.00 14.39 Trades
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 14.38 0.00 0.00 14.38 Trades
Will 'Creed III' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 06 2023 14.25 0.00 0.00 14.25 Trades
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? Yes No 4.08 0.00 0.00% -3.4560 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 14.11 0.00 0.00 14.11 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from June to July 2023? Yes No 38.13 0.00 0.00% 0.6302 1.00 0.00 38.13 0.00 Wed Aug 09 2023 -24.02 0.00 0.00 14.10 Trades
Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023? Yes No 0.00 63.98 0.00% 0.7832 0.00 1.00 0.00 63.98 Sun Dec 31 2023 -50.11 0.00 0.00 13.87 Trades
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns Nuggets Suns 44.97 0.00 0.00% 0.6954 1.00 0.00 44.97 0.00 Sat May 13 2023 -31.28 0.00 0.00 13.70 Trades
Will an election for the Israeli Knesset occur before August 1, 2022? Yes No 7.01 0.00 0.01% -1.9465 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 13.64 0.01 0.00 13.65 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 1,711.50 0.02% 0.9920 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,711.50 Wed Mar 22 2023 -1,697.87 0.01 0.00 13.64 Trades
Will Austin Butler win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 13.33 0.00 0.00 13.33 Trades
Will Vox win over 45 seats in the 2023 Spanish general election? Yes No 0.00 225.00 0.00% 0.9409 0.00 1.00 0.00 225.00 Sat Jul 22 2023 -211.70 0.00 0.00 13.30 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Christ) or Republican (DeSantis) win in Florida? Democrat Republican 0.23 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 13.14 0.00 0.00 13.14 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? Democrat Republican 4.26 0.00 0.00% -3.0362 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 12.93 0.03 0.00 12.96 Trades
Will ‘Elvis’ gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 3.89 0.00 0.01% -3.1242 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jun 27 2022 12.16 0.71 0.00 12.87 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 17? Yes No 222.01 0.00 0.00% -0.0577 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 15 2023 12.82 0.00 0.00 12.82 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42% or higher on Election Day? Yes No 9.91 0.00 0.00% -1.2914 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 12.80 0.00 0.00 12.80 Trades
UFC 280: Who will win - Oliveira vs Makhachev Oliveira Makhachev 2.52 0.00 0.00% -5.0124 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 22 2022 12.65 0.00 0.00 12.65 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 0.00 76.73 0.00% 0.8352 0.00 1.00 0.00 76.73 Sun Dec 31 2023 -64.09 0.00 0.00 12.64 Trades
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 7.92 0.00 0.00% -1.5939 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022