Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
1,595.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.3290
|
|
0.45 |
0.55 |
714.30
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
5,310.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,024.39
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
500.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.6987
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
349.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
349.38
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
134.09
|
0.00% |
|
-1.3548
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
181.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
181.67
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
24.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.75
|
Trades
|
Unknown |
0 |
1 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Is John McAfee alive? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
20.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.21
|
Trades
|
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-14.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.66
|
Trades
|
Doge ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.6082
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-16.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.94
|
Trades
|
Unknown |
0 |
1 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Unknown |
0 |
1 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
House control after 2024 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
592.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
592.74
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
1,609.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0350
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
56.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.37
|
Trades
|
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
221.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2187
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
48.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.54
|
Trades
|
OpenSea token in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
12.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.72
|
Trades
|
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
Tether Insolvent in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.07
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-8.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.76
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-16.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.16
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.21
|
0.00% |
|
2.8840
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-20.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.78
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
665.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0390
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-25.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.97
|
Trades
|
Will America ban Zyn in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
221.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1173
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-26.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.03
|
Trades
|
Solana ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-33.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.75
|
Trades
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
733.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0793
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-58.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.20
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
230.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2981
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-68.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-68.61
|
Trades
|
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? |
Netanyahu |
Sinwar |
0.00
|
107.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.6716
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 31 2024
|
|
-72.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-72.50
|
Trades
|
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-77.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-77.39
|
Trades
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-83.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-83.53
|
Trades
|
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? |
Yes |
No |
884.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1433
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-126.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-126.68
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-153.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-153.05
|
Trades
|
Canada federal election in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-156.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-156.32
|
Trades
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
422.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4808
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-202.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-202.90
|
Trades
|
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.60
|
0.00% |
|
34.2976
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-260.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-260.80
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
741.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3938
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-291.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-291.87
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
4,076.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0943
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-384.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-384.50
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
576.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7519
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-433.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-433.82
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-453.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-453.60
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-862.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-862.41
|
Trades
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
2,531.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6187
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1,566.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,566.46
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
1,947.78
|
0.00% |
|
1.0455
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-2,036.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,036.50
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,279.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.8964
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-9,215.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9,215.16
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
156,504.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
156,504.33
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview released by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
✅ |
35,672.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35,672.40
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
29,573.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29,573.55
|
Trades
|
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.11
|
0.00% |
|
-2248.8989
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
✅ |
27,237.70
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
27,237.70
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
✅ |
27,101.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27,101.76
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.10
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
23,643.46
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
23,643.48
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
22,778.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22,778.83
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
20,961.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,961.40
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
✅ |
20,610.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,610.01
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
✅ |
20,506.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,506.62
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
✅ |
19,772.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19,772.26
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
✅ |
19,580.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19,580.36
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
19,087.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19,087.36
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
16.66% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
17,241.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17,241.78
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
✅ |
16,027.85
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
16,027.86
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
14,301.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14,301.89
|
Trades
|
Tory Lanez sentence over 8.5 years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
13,899.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13,899.44
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R) |
Suozzi |
Pilip |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
✅ |
12,972.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12,972.42
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.40
|
0.00% |
|
-4699.0637
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
✅ |
11,275.13
|
2.48
|
0.00
|
11,277.61
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
10,797.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,797.78
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.13
|
83.33% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
10,484.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,484.09
|
Trades
|
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
10,282.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,282.64
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.02
|
100.00% |
|
-404.0202
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
✅ |
10,108.62
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
10,108.63
|
Trades
|
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
9,986.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,986.07
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.06
|
50.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
9,718.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,718.12
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.02
|
0.02% |
|
-4668.1904
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
9,419.49
|
0.41
|
0.00
|
9,419.90
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
9,401.68
|
2.70
|
0.00
|
9,404.38
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.61
|
0.00% |
|
-1658.6348
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
9,307.41
|
0.10
|
0.00
|
9,307.51
|
Trades
|
Will Grayscale win v. SEC? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
9,276.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,276.66
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
33,682.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7299
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
33,682.76
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
-24,585.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,097.44
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
9,003.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,003.10
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
12,627.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2908
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
12,627.50
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-3,672.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,955.25
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
8,919.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,919.81
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
8,199.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,199.99
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
0.98
|
0.00
|
98.04% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
✅ |
8,139.37
|
0.56
|
0.00
|
8,139.93
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
✅ |
7,830.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,830.26
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
7,683.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,683.90
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
7,655.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,655.17
|
Trades
|
Will Pakistan strike Iran by Saturday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
7,522.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,522.38
|
Trades
|
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.75
|
0.00% |
|
-473.1950
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 05 2023
|
✅ |
7,453.20
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
7,453.24
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
7,448.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,448.49
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 05 2023
|
✅ |
7,424.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,424.77
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
✅ |
7,286.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,286.54
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
✅ |
7,028.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,028.08
|
Trades
|
Mayorkas impeached by Feb 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
6,668.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,668.77
|
Trades
|
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
✅ |
6,408.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,408.14
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon by January 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
6,191.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,191.27
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck answer the door? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
✅ |
6,148.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,148.30
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.59
|
0.00% |
|
-1302.4623
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
✅ |
5,984.07
|
5.41
|
0.00
|
5,989.47
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
✅ |
5,949.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,949.43
|
Trades
|
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
✅ |
5,943.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,943.98
|
Trades
|
Sierra Leone Presidential Election: Will Julius Maada Bio win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.05
|
0.53% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 24 2023
|
✅ |
5,595.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,595.99
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
5,499.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,499.26
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 09 2023
|
✅ |
5,483.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,483.98
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
✅ |
5,411.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,411.61
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
5,404.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,404.73
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
8.92
|
0.00% |
|
-605.8386
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
5,401.30
|
3.37
|
0.00
|
5,404.67
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7,030.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2672
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
7,030.90
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,878.40
|
3.33
|
0.00
|
5,155.84
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
4,975.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,975.83
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
4,480.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,480.76
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
4,387.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,387.32
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
4,234.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,234.07
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
3,984.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,984.64
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
3,943.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,943.00
|
Trades
|
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
3,912.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,912.31
|
Trades
|
Travis Scott's Utopia over 250k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,360.86
|
100.00% |
|
0.1130
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4,360.86
|
Thu Aug 03 2023
|
✅ |
-492.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,868.27
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.11
|
50.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
3,847.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,847.79
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
3,759.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,759.92
|
Trades
|
Will Ja Morant be suspended for more than 45 games? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
✅ |
3,744.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,744.41
|
Trades
|
Blast airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
✅ |
3,524.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,524.00
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.04
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
3,517.97
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
3,517.98
|
Trades
|
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? |
Yes |
No |
5,501.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3710
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5,501.21
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2,041.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,459.99
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
100.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
3,454.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,454.46
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.10
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 02 2023
|
✅ |
3,362.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,362.88
|
Trades
|
CZ sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
No |
6,935.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5387
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
6,935.33
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-3,736.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,199.31
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
3,180.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,180.19
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
✅ |
3,171.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,171.79
|
Trades
|
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
✅ |
3,081.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,081.66
|
Trades
|
Will NH be the first primary in 2024 Dem. nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
✅ |
3,051.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,051.68
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
11,971.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7454
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
11,971.57
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-8,923.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,048.07
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2,922.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,922.04
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
2,870.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,870.92
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
572.13
|
0.00% |
|
-5.0089
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2,865.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,865.73
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
2,863.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,863.20
|
Trades
|
Will Man City win the Premier League? |
Yes |
No |
0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.12
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
✅ |
2,844.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,844.45
|
Trades
|
Sui Airdrop by May 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
✅ |
2,841.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,841.76
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
✅ |
2,825.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,825.19
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
2,702.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,702.06
|
Trades
|
Will Petr Pavel win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
2,687.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,687.36
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
2,647.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,647.10
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.39
|
0.00% |
|
-350.9388
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
2,594.22
|
5.44
|
0.00
|
2,599.66
|
Trades
|
Travis Scott's Utopia over 350k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,043.87
|
100.00% |
|
0.1521
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,043.87
|
Thu Aug 03 2023
|
✅ |
-463.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,580.77
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
2,570.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,570.83
|
Trades
|
US strike against Houthis by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 12 2024
|
✅ |
2,555.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,555.82
|
Trades
|
Will Andrej Babis win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
2,525.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,525.98
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.45
|
0.02% |
|
-971.1173
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
2,377.37
|
0.24
|
0.00
|
2,377.61
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
2,352.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,352.11
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
2,332.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,332.40
|
Trades
|
Will Coco Gauff win Women's US Open? |
Yes |
No |
3,448.97
|
0.00
|
99.95% |
0.3257
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3,448.97
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 10 2023
|
✅ |
-1,123.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,325.67
|
Trades
|
TikTok sale announced in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
2,251.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,251.28
|
Trades
|
Fani Willis removed from Trump case by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
2,236.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,236.06
|
Trades
|
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2022 Alaska Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.10
|
0.00% |
|
-433.6736
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
2,213.36
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
2,213.39
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
2,181.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,181.12
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
8,958.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
8,958.11
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-6,807.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,150.20
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? |
Yes |
No |
0.18
|
0.00
|
99.93% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 16 2023
|
✅ |
2,141.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,141.06
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12,847.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.8334
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
12,847.28
|
|
✅ |
-10,707.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,139.99
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
✅ |
2,126.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,126.48
|
Trades
|
Taiko airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
2,120.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,120.29
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2,106.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,106.43
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.94
|
0.00% |
|
-658.8693
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
1,939.55
|
0.72
|
0.00
|
1,940.27
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
1,910.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,910.68
|
Trades
|
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? |
Yu-ih |
Wen-je |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
1,864.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,864.49
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.48
|
0.00% |
|
-242.1806
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
1,810.86
|
1.48
|
0.00
|
1,812.34
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
16,905.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8930
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
16,905.57
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-15,096.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,809.06
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
✅ |
1,803.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,803.51
|
Trades
|
Will SVB be acquired by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
✅ |
1,744.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,744.02
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
4.22
|
0.00% |
|
-409.0472
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
1,726.14
|
6.59
|
0.00
|
1,732.73
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,681.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,681.39
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
✅ |
1,653.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,653.03
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
1,629.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,629.72
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? |
Haley |
DeSantis |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
1,627.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,627.01
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14,629.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.8916
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
14,629.42
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-13,043.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,585.67
|
Trades
|
Arévalo inaugurated in Guatemala in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
1,572.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,572.11
|
Trades
|
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 21 2023
|
✅ |
1,545.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,545.80
|
Trades
|
Another North Korea missile test by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,540.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,540.60
|
Trades
|
Wisconsin Supreme Court: Protasiewicz (D) vs. Kelly (R) |
Protasiewicz |
Kelly |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
✅ |
1,533.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,533.66
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,473.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,473.89
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.20
|
0.50% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
1,462.29
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
1,462.31
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,435.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,435.70
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
12,225.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8828
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
12,225.07
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
✅ |
-10,792.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,432.87
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,427.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,427.98
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
1,956.10
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
-0.7269
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
✅ |
1,421.93
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
1,421.97
|
Trades
|
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,418.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,418.43
|
Trades
|
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? |
Yes |
No |
10,631.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8680
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10,631.54
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
✅ |
-9,228.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,403.18
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,127.91
|
0.00% |
|
-0.4351
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,360.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,360.83
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
8.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-162.8520
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
1,336.01
|
10.29
|
0.00
|
1,346.31
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,342.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,342.85
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,342.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,342.81
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,317.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,317.30
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
1,316.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,316.68
|
Trades
|
Will Paul Vallas win the 2023 Chicago Mayoral Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
✅ |
1,311.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,311.32
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.41
|
0.00% |
|
-172.5023
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
1,278.47
|
0.28
|
0.00
|
1,278.75
|
Trades
|
Will another US bank fail in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,274.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,274.41
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,273.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,273.43
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,245.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,245.79
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
1,234.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,234.77
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
1,228.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,228.66
|
Trades
|
Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,227.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,227.87
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,216.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,216.08
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
1,203.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,203.60
|
Trades
|
Will SEC delay Bitcoin ETF decision? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 10 2024
|
✅ |
1,176.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,176.41
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
1,144.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,144.02
|
Trades
|
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
✅ |
1,109.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,109.14
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-470.7841
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,086.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,086.56
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
1,076.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,076.13
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
✅ |
1,074.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,074.81
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
0.00
|
19,378.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9456
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
19,378.02
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
-18,323.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,054.88
|
Trades
|
Will Julie Su be the next U.S. Secretary of Labor? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
1,051.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,051.72
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22,186.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.9532
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
22,186.47
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-21,148.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,038.40
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,030.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,030.38
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis win the first Republican debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
✅ |
1,030.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,030.14
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
1,027.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,027.50
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 15 2023
|
✅ |
1,019.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,019.01
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
3.10
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-324.4788
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
✅ |
1,005.80
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
1,005.81
|
Trades
|
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
972.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
972.15
|
Trades
|
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
970.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
970.47
|
Trades
|
Continued US strikes against Houthis? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,736.85
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3409
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
✅ |
932.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
932.90
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
✅ |
928.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
928.50
|
Trades
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
927.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
927.74
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,486.46
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1679
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
921.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
921.38
|
Trades
|
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? |
Yes |
No |
685.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.3431
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
685.75
|
0.00
|
Sun May 26 2024
|
✅ |
235.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
920.99
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Boston Celtics vs. Atlanta Hawks |
Celtics |
Hawks |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
909.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
909.91
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
902.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
902.42
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.8859
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
885.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
885.93
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
884.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
884.32
|
Trades
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.94
|
0.00% |
|
-122.1107
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
847.22
|
0.15
|
0.00
|
847.37
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
9.98
|
0.00% |
|
-81.2542
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
810.94
|
32.53
|
0.00
|
843.48
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
837.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
837.35
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8,283.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.8989
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
8,283.42
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-7,446.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
837.09
|
Trades
|
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.59
|
0.00% |
|
-126.2488
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
831.70
|
0.11
|
0.00
|
831.81
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
814.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
814.17
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
813.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
813.81
|
Trades
|
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.13
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.13
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
807.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
807.39
|
Trades
|
Will Brittney Griner return to the U.S. by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.63
|
0.00% |
|
-493.9923
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
806.08
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
806.10
|
Trades
|
Will Andrew Tate be released by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
1,191.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3257
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,191.11
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
-387.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
803.21
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,601.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4988
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,601.38
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-798.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
802.54
|
Trades
|
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,934.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.7273
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,934.10
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-2,133.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
800.11
|
Trades
|
Will Bronny James be drafted? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 27 2024
|
✅ |
792.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
792.73
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
9,506.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9175
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
9,506.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-8,721.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
784.10
|
Trades
|
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
779.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
779.60
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,664.13
|
100.00% |
|
-0.4671
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
✅ |
777.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
777.24
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 03 2023
|
✅ |
754.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
754.78
|
Trades
|
Will there be a run-off in the 2022 Georgia Senate election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.74
|
0.00% |
|
-130.6447
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
749.85
|
0.26
|
0.00
|
750.11
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
746.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
746.94
|
Trades
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,233.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4161
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,233.29
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-513.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
720.18
|
Trades
|
Drake's 'For All the Dogs" over 300k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
665.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
665.48
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.48
|
0.00% |
|
-100.3162
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
650.52
|
12.41
|
0.00
|
662.94
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
659.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
659.21
|
Trades
|
Will Jair Bolsonaro win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? |
Yes |
No |
4.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-148.5340
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 30 2022
|
✅ |
658.04
|
0.25
|
0.00
|
658.29
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,071.67
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1295
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
656.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
656.57
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? |
Yes |
No |
4,678.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8616
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4,678.94
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-4,031.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
647.40
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.10
|
100.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
✅ |
645.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
645.92
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
✅ |
643.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
643.38
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.06
|
0.00% |
|
-84.4481
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
7.06
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
596.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
603.52
|
Trades
|
Will Inter Miami make playoffs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
600.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
600.39
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,050.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4427
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,050.94
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-465.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
585.74
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.85
|
0.00% |
|
-74.2272
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
582.66
|
2.95
|
0.00
|
585.60
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Shapiro) or Republican (Mastriano) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
8.37
|
0.00% |
|
-69.1291
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
578.66
|
0.30
|
0.00
|
578.96
|
Trades
|
Ravens vs. Chiefs |
Ravens |
Chiefs |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
✅ |
574.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
574.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15,990.90
|
0.00% |
|
0.9643
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15,990.90
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-15,420.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
570.58
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
✅ |
565.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
565.47
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
3,999.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1390
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
556.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
556.17
|
Trades
|
Will Real Madrid win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.58
|
0.00% |
|
-121.4687
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 28 2022
|
✅ |
555.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
555.78
|
Trades
|
Will the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act (DCCPA) become law by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23,388.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.9766
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
23,388.65
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-22,840.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
547.68
|
Trades
|
Will the Nuggets be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
✅ |
546.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
546.39
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
546.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
546.19
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
527.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
527.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? |
Yes |
No |
950.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4571
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
950.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-434.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
515.74
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
2,241.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7760
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,241.91
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1,739.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
502.19
|
Trades
|
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.42
|
0.00% |
|
-47.9635
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
499.67
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
499.68
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
✅ |
498.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
498.53
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
498.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
498.04
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
✅ |
491.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
491.24
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
10.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-47.0271
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
471.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
471.71
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
7.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-59.5260
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 19 2022
|
✅ |
433.53
|
5.74
|
0.00
|
439.27
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
429.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
429.13
|
Trades
|
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
427.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
427.52
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
✅ |
423.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
423.82
|
Trades
|
Will Sean Patrick Maloney be the next Secretary of Labor? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
417.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
417.03
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.64
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-62.0741
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
✅ |
411.97
|
3.82
|
0.00
|
415.79
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-52.5426
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
414.07
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
414.09
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention "Russia/Putin" 10 or more times during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
400.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
400.25
|
Trades
|
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
392.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
392.41
|
Trades
|
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
✅ |
386.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
386.37
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
385.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
385.88
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
✅ |
377.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
377.53
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17,726.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.9788
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
17,726.78
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
✅ |
-17,351.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
375.48
|
Trades
|
Drift airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
✅ |
371.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
371.79
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Prigozhin in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
365.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
365.41
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
5,501.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9347
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5,501.81
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5,142.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
359.23
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.90
|
0.00% |
|
-59.5959
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
✅ |
351.66
|
4.47
|
0.00
|
356.13
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
560.61
|
0.00% |
|
0.3651
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
560.61
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-204.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
355.94
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? |
Celtics |
Warriors |
4.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-71.4202
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 05 2022
|
✅ |
352.11
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
352.13
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
✅ |
351.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
351.52
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
213.96
|
0.00% |
|
-1.6161
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
345.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
345.78
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
439.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
439.56
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
-96.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
342.85
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? |
Yes |
No |
163.05
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
-1.0934
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
163.05
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 10 2023
|
✅ |
178.28
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
341.35
|
Trades
|
Will SOL outperform ETH in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
597.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.4294
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
597.44
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-256.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
340.89
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
259.77
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3096
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
259.77
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
✅ |
80.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
340.18
|
Trades
|
Will FC Barcelona win the 2021-22 UEFA Europa League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 19 2022
|
✅ |
324.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
324.08
|
Trades
|
Do Kwon extradited before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
967.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.6663
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
967.33
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-644.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
322.77
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kotek) or Republican (Drazan) win in Oregon? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
2.03
|
0.00% |
|
-156.9775
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
318.79
|
0.22
|
0.00
|
319.01
|
Trades
|
Did Kevin O'Leary bail out SBF? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
318.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
318.84
|
Trades
|
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
66,326.92
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0048
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
317.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
317.46
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.66
|
0.00% |
|
-85.8569
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
✅ |
314.17
|
0.07
|
0.00
|
314.24
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
313.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
313.48
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
✅ |
306.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
306.97
|
Trades
|
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? |
Yes |
No |
17.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-16.7601
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
✅ |
294.24
|
12.45
|
0.00
|
306.69
|
Trades
|
Did Jaan Tallinn bail out SBF? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
302.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
302.76
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
✅ |
301.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
301.56
|
Trades
|
Travis Scott's Utopia over 500k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,880.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.9247
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,880.09
|
Thu Aug 03 2023
|
✅ |
-3,588.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
292.04
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
289.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
289.06
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,066.35
|
100.00% |
|
-0.2653
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
282.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
282.93
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q3 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.63
|
0.03% |
|
-32.0594
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 27 2022
|
✅ |
276.61
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
276.63
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
275.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
275.37
|
Trades
|
George Santos wins NY-1 Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
✅ |
272.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
272.90
|
Trades
|
Will daily volume on Opensea drop below $20M by June 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.66
|
0.00% |
|
-25.5298
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 15 2022
|
✅ |
272.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
272.16
|
Trades
|
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? |
United States |
South Korea |
0.00
|
629.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.0786
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
314.74
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-49.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
265.28
|
Trades
|
Will the Celtics be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
✅ |
263.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
263.74
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,043.62
|
0.00% |
|
-0.2515
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
262.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
262.48
|
Trades
|
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 04 2023
|
✅ |
262.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
262.41
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.71
|
0.00% |
|
-45.5097
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
259.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
259.74
|
Trades
|
Will Madison Cawthorn win the Republican nomination for the NC-11 House election? |
Yes |
No |
5.73
|
0.00
|
0.26% |
-45.1411
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 17 2022
|
✅ |
258.61
|
0.10
|
0.00
|
258.71
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
✅ |
257.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
257.86
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Finals: Denver Nuggets vs. LA Lakers |
Nuggets |
Lakers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 27 2023
|
✅ |
257.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
257.25
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
253.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
253.16
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
3.74
|
0.00% |
|
-66.6686
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
249.08
|
0.81
|
0.00
|
249.89
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Hassan) or Republican (Bolduc) win in New Hampshire? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
4.39
|
0.00% |
|
-55.2100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
242.28
|
0.43
|
0.00
|
242.71
|
Trades
|
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
237.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
237.32
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
✅ |
235.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
235.73
|
Trades
|
Will Rafael Nadal win the 2022 French Open (Roland-Garros) Men's Singles? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.32
|
0.00% |
|
-52.7757
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 05 2022
|
✅ |
228.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
228.06
|
Trades
|
NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
✅ |
227.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
227.48
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
316.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2834
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
316.22
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
✅ |
-89.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
226.60
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? |
$1800 |
$2200 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
✅ |
224.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
224.50
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
✅ |
223.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
223.88
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,001.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8905
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,001.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1,781.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
219.10
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Kissinger in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
218.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
218.95
|
Trades
|
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,758.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.9542
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4,758.23
|
Wed Feb 28 2024
|
✅ |
-4,540.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
217.96
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.02
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
209.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
209.55
|
Trades
|
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
207.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
207.15
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
69.54
|
0.00% |
|
-2.9634
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
206.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
206.08
|
Trades
|
OpenAI board out by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
237.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.8541
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
203.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
203.26
|
Trades
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
202.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
202.54
|
Trades
|
Ravens vs. Texans |
Ravens |
Texans |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
200.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
200.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
3,083.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9356
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
3,083.35
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-2,884.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
198.51
|
Trades
|
World Cup 3rd Place: Croatia vs. Morocco |
Croatia |
Morocco |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 17 2022
|
✅ |
196.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
196.64
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
191.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
191.36
|
Trades
|
NFL Wild Card Round: Giants vs. Vikings |
Giants |
Vikings |
0.00
|
4.01
|
0.02% |
|
-47.3466
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 15 2023
|
✅ |
189.75
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
189.77
|
Trades
|
Saudi Arabia non-oil GDP % up in Q3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
189.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
189.64
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
✅ |
185.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
185.43
|
Trades
|
CA-22 House: Will a Democrat (Salas) or Republican (Valadao) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
6.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-26.9635
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
179.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
179.46
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce a Musk acquisition by June 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
179.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
179.08
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,991.99
|
100.00% |
|
-0.0898
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
178.91
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
178.93
|
Trades
|
Epstein documents unsealed by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,368.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8693
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,368.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1,189.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
178.76
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say "rape" during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
✅ |
178.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
178.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
200.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
178.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
177.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
177.14
|
Trades
|
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
177.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
177.02
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 2 by March 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
57.91
|
0.00% |
|
-2.0455
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
57.91
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
118.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
176.35
|
Trades
|
Will PP win over 33.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2980
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
250.00
|
Sat Jul 22 2023
|
✅ |
-74.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
175.50
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
1,804.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0971
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
175.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
175.21
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
174.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
174.94
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
1,508.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1139
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
171.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
171.88
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
✅ |
171.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
171.09
|
Trades
|
Julian Assange extradited to US before April? |
Yes |
No |
378.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.4480
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
169.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
169.35
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
13.16
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
-12.7581
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 24 2022
|
✅ |
167.87
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
167.89
|
Trades
|
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,058.04
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1576
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
166.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
166.78
|
Trades
|
NCAAB Championship: San Diego State v. UConn |
San Diego State |
UConn |
0.00
|
458.66
|
100.00% |
|
0.6422
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
458.66
|
Mon Apr 03 2023
|
✅ |
-294.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
164.13
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Hawaii by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
✅ |
163.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
163.67
|
Trades
|
Will Gustavo Petro win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.03
|
0.00% |
|
-32.5510
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 29 2022
|
✅ |
163.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
163.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8,721.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.9818
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
8,721.64
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-8,562.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
158.96
|
Trades
|
Will Rodolfo Hernández win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
1.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-155.9579
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 29 2022
|
✅ |
158.20
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
158.21
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? |
$2000 |
$2500 |
0.00
|
235.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.3346
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
235.01
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
✅ |
-78.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
156.37
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Zury Ríos win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
574.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.7288
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
574.85
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
✅ |
-418.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
155.89
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
153.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
153.01
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
152.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
152.23
|
Trades
|
Instacart market cap >20b? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
146.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
146.93
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7,326.74
|
0.06% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
7,326.74
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-7,180.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
146.62
|
Trades
|
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
143.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
143.68
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
✅ |
138.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
138.74
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
138.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
138.67
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.00
|
0.02% |
|
-22.9049
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
✅ |
137.45
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
137.50
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.03
|
0.00% |
|
-27.2479
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
137.15
|
0.25
|
0.00
|
137.40
|
Trades
|
Triton Poker: Will Phil Ivey place 1st in at least one event? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 07 2022
|
✅ |
136.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
136.99
|
Trades
|
Champions League Final: Man City v. Inter |
Man City |
Inter |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 10 2023
|
✅ |
136.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
136.78
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.33% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
136.46
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
136.47
|
Trades
|
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? |
Yes |
No |
916.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8514
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
916.53
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-780.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
136.23
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
725.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.8127
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
725.11
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-589.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
135.84
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say trans in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
✅ |
134.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
134.88
|
Trades
|
Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit? |
Yes |
No |
17.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-7.8502
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
✅ |
133.67
|
0.63
|
0.00
|
134.30
|
Trades
|
RNC Debate: Will DeSantis speak the most? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
✅ |
134.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
134.17
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 21 2023
|
✅ |
132.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
132.82
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30,380.95
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0044
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
132.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
132.35
|
Trades
|
Saudi Arabia and Yemeni Houthis peace deal by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,580.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.9165
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,580.85
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,448.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
131.92
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
238.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.4527
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
238.12
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
-107.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
130.33
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by May 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
✅ |
128.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
128.83
|
Trades
|
Biden v. Nebraska: Student Loan Forgiveness |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
128.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
128.65
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
391.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.6722
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
391.85
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-263.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
128.43
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
1,254.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8980
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,254.77
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
✅ |
-1,126.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
128.03
|
Trades
|
Will the Suns be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
✅ |
127.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
127.25
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers |
Celtics |
76ers |
299.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5930
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
299.79
|
0.00
|
Sat May 13 2023
|
✅ |
-177.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
122.01
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
✅ |
120.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
120.69
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Los Angeles Lakers vs. Memphis Grizzlies |
Lakers |
Grizzlies |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
119.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
119.82
|
Trades
|
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of over 100? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,206.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.9013
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,206.91
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1,087.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
119.18
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,642.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.9282
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,642.39
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-1,524.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
117.96
|
Trades
|
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 10 2023
|
✅ |
117.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
117.27
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester City win the 2023 Champions League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
42.49
|
0.00% |
|
-2.7195
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
✅ |
115.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
115.55
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $SOL be above $11 on January 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 03 2023
|
✅ |
114.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
114.93
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
114.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
114.63
|
Trades
|
Will Daniel Goldman win the Democratic nomination for the NY-10 House election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.16
|
0.00% |
|
-21.7269
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 23 2022
|
✅ |
112.15
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
112.22
|
Trades
|
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.25
|
0.00% |
|
-33.8765
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
110.03
|
0.90
|
0.00
|
110.93
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.69
|
0.00% |
|
-23.6366
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
110.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.80
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.15
|
0.00% |
|
-33.2444
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
✅ |
104.59
|
0.32
|
0.00
|
104.91
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
104.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
104.69
|
Trades
|
2023 Australian Open Final: Djokovic vs. Tsitsipas |
Djokovic |
Tsitsipas |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 29 2023
|
✅ |
103.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
103.75
|
Trades
|
Will a team from the South win 2023 March Madness? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
102.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
102.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA ‘21-’22 Champsionship? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.96
|
0.00% |
|
-25.7246
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 19 2022
|
✅ |
101.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.87
|
Trades
|
Will Trump appear on Maine primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
101.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.81
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
183.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.4440
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
183.09
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-81.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.80
|
Trades
|
Will Labor win more seats than the Liberal-Nationals in the 2022 Australian Federal Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.70
|
0.00% |
|
-14.7302
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 21 2022
|
✅ |
98.73
|
3.04
|
0.00
|
101.77
|
Trades
|
Will the Knicks be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
✅ |
101.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
98.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
98.14
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Saturday - France vs. England |
France |
England |
0.00
|
0.57
|
0.02% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 10 2022
|
✅ |
97.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.71
|
Trades
|
Did Changpeng Zhao (CZ) bail out SBF? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
96.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.86
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
736.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.8685
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
736.31
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-639.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.82
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors |
Kings |
Warriors |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
96.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
96.09
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
77.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.2299
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
95.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
95.57
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
✅ |
93.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
93.89
|
Trades
|
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 51-100? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,438.06
|
0.00% |
|
0.9349
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,438.06
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1,344.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
93.61
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
92.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.55
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Clinton? |
Yes |
No |
884.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8956
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
884.28
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-792.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.28
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
92.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.24
|
Trades
|
Will Neymar leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
92.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.20
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,036.26
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0877
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
90.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
90.89
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
63.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.4236
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
90.72
|
0.10
|
0.00
|
90.82
|
Trades
|
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
90.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
90.15
|
Trades
|
SBF guilty of all charges? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
89.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
89.94
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. Packers |
Cowboys |
Packers |
3.16
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
-27.4376
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 13 2022
|
✅ |
86.78
|
2.07
|
0.00
|
88.85
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release 'Vultures' Vol. 1 by Feb 16? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,886.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0182
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
88.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
88.77
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Finals: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics |
Heat |
Celtics |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
✅ |
87.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
87.99
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Bernardo Arévalo win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
✅ |
87.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
87.98
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
250.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
-162.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
87.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.65
|
0.00% |
|
-18.4699
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 07 2022
|
✅ |
85.80
|
1.55
|
0.00
|
87.35
|
Trades
|
NHL: Who will win Rangers vs. Penguins, scheduled for May 7, 7:00 PM ET? |
Rangers |
Penguins |
10.52
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-8.2360
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 07 2022
|
✅ |
86.66
|
0.69
|
0.00
|
87.35
|
Trades
|
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
491.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.8232
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
491.81
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-404.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
86.93
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
10.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-7.7659
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
82.34
|
4.13
|
0.00
|
86.47
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
3.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-24.9182
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
86.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
86.45
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
85.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.41
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
84.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
84.90
|
Trades
|
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 24 2022
|
✅ |
84.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
84.89
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $130 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.69
|
0.00% |
|
-8.6441
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
✅ |
83.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83.72
|
Trades
|
Ansem vs. Barney |
Ansem |
Barney |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 19 2024
|
✅ |
83.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83.01
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Grisham) or Republican (Ronchetti) win in New Mexico? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
4.76
|
0.00% |
|
-16.9036
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
80.43
|
2.47
|
0.00
|
82.90
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
7,840.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0103
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
80.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.48
|
Trades
|
Will the Progressive Conservative Party win a majority in the 2022 Ontario General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.90
|
0.00% |
|
-8.1071
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 02 2022
|
✅ |
80.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.28
|
Trades
|
Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis |
Haney |
Progrias |
333.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
333.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 09 2023
|
✅ |
-253.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.92
|
Trades
|
Will Western Alliance Bancorp fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 15 2023
|
✅ |
79.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.35
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Schmitt win the 2022 Missouri Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.19
|
0.00% |
|
-24.4429
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
✅ |
77.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.96
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Abrams) or Republican (Kemp) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
4.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-19.0109
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
77.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.89
|
Trades
|
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,136.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.9317
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,136.73
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-1,059.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.64
|
Trades
|
Will Bank of America fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 15 2023
|
✅ |
76.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
76.70
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
291.77
|
0.00% |
|
-0.2621
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
✅ |
76.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
76.46
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Brazil vs. South Korea |
Brazil |
South Korea |
0.00
|
6.02
|
0.02% |
|
-12.6561
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 05 2022
|
✅ |
76.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
76.14
|
Trades
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
1,993.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0371
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
74.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.01
|
Trades
|
NBA: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves, scheduled for April 29, 9:05 PM ET? |
Grizzlies |
Timberwolves |
0.00
|
6.06
|
0.00% |
|
-12.0504
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 29 2022
|
✅ |
73.05
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
73.26
|
Trades
|
NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers 2023-05-16 |
Nuggets |
Lakers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 16 2023
|
✅ |
72.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.47
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.7128
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
250.01
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
-178.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71.79
|
Trades
|
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.04
|
0.00% |
|
-11.6404
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 04 2022
|
✅ |
70.31
|
0.11
|
0.00
|
70.42
|
Trades
|
Will US inflation be more than 0.4% from December 2022 to January 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 14 2023
|
✅ |
70.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.34
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
4,468.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0154
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
68.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.94
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
4.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-15.7754
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
68.58
|
0.28
|
0.00
|
68.85
|
Trades
|
Musk drops OpenAI case in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
67.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
67.01
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
66.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.67
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
-3.4180
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
51.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.28
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Trump" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
65.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.76
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors |
Lakers |
Warriors |
62.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0597
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
62.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 13 2023
|
✅ |
3.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.70
|
Trades
|
Will the next recession in the US happen by Q2 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
✅ |
65.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.66
|
Trades
|
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
111.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.5766
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
✅ |
64.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
64.57
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Gara) or Republican (Dunleavy) win in Alaska? |
Democrat |
Republican |
2.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-26.2821
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
64.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
64.27
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
102.91
|
0.00
|
33.33% |
0.3819
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
102.91
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-39.30
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
63.65
|
Trades
|
$WIF listed on Coinbase in March? |
Yes |
No |
67.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.9421
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
63.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.47
|
Trades
|
Will @jordanbpeterson tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.25
|
0.00% |
|
-10.0769
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
62.96
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
62.97
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Massachusetts Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
62.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
62.61
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
204.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.3020
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
61.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.61
|
Trades
|
Scroll airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
✅ |
61.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.55
|
Trades
|
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
✅ |
61.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.52
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.77
|
0.00% |
|
-10.5465
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
✅ |
60.83
|
0.51
|
0.00
|
61.34
|
Trades
|
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
61.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.22
|
Trades
|
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.19
|
0.00% |
|
-51.2680
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
✅ |
61.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.04
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis say "Florida" 5 or more times during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
✅ |
60.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.95
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9391
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-939.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.93
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from June to July 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
140.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.5787
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
140.01
|
Wed Aug 09 2023
|
✅ |
-81.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.98
|
Trades
|
Boxing: Spence vs. Crawford |
Spence |
Crawford |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
✅ |
58.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.91
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
58.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.30
|
Trades
|
NCAAB Championship: UConn (-7.5) v. San Diego State |
Yes |
No |
102.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4388
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
102.31
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 03 2023
|
✅ |
-44.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
57.41
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks |
Heat |
Knicks |
191.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7016
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
191.05
|
0.00
|
Sat May 13 2023
|
✅ |
-134.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
57.01
|
Trades
|
Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
✅ |
56.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.73
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
85.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3377
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
85.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-28.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.29
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
56.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.24
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
✅ |
55.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.46
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1200 on December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,275.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.9895
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,275.50
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
✅ |
-5,220.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.28
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Oct 11 2023
|
✅ |
55.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.17
|
Trades
|
EigenLayer airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
2,150.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0254
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
54.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.72
|
Trades
|
Will Trump appear on Colorado primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
54.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.50
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
79.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.3256
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
79.15
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
✅ |
-25.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
53.37
|
Trades
|
NBA: Pelicans vs. Nuggets (01/31/2023) |
Pelicans |
Nuggets |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
✅ |
52.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.28
|
Trades
|
Will Miles Bridges play an NBA game in the 2022-23 regular season? |
Yes |
No |
0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 09 2023
|
✅ |
52.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.16
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,866.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9723
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,866.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
✅ |
-1,814.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.69
|
Trades
|
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP? |
Yes |
No |
205.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7507
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
205.21
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 30 2023
|
✅ |
-154.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.15
|
Trades
|
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA ‘21-’22 Championship? |
Yes |
No |
9.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-5.5220
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 19 2022
|
✅ |
49.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.82
|
Trades
|
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LVII? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 12 2023
|
✅ |
49.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.78
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
8.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-5.9275
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
49.69
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
49.70
|
Trades
|
Antony suspended by Man United? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 12 2023
|
✅ |
48.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.90
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from September to October 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-9.7582
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 10 2022
|
✅ |
48.79
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
48.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Prince Andrew? |
Yes |
No |
643.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9247
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
643.24
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-594.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.42
|
Trades
|
Detroit Pistons longest single-season losing streak in NBA history (>26 games)? |
Yes |
No |
4.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-9.8953
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4.36
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 26 2023
|
✅ |
43.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.55
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from March to April 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
✅ |
46.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.84
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Chiefs |
Bengals |
Chiefs |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 29 2023
|
✅ |
46.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.62
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace be live by June 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.46
|
0.48% |
|
-4.9287
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
46.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.61
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
45.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.50
|
Trades
|
Will any player score 2 or more receiving touchdowns in Super Bowl LVII? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
452.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.8996
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
452.37
|
Wed Feb 08 2023
|
✅ |
-406.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.40
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Netherlands beat Qatar? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.34
|
0.02% |
|
-8.4393
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 29 2022
|
✅ |
45.06
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
45.08
|
Trades
|
Will Brian Kemp win the Republican nomination for the 2022 Georgia gubernatorial race? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue May 24 2022
|
✅ |
44.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.64
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
260.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.8311
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
260.73
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-216.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.05
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
42.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.59
|
Trades
|
Will the number of Mahomes' and Hurts' combined touchdown passes in Super Bowl LVII be even or odd? |
Even |
Odd |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 08 2023
|
✅ |
42.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.56
|
Trades
|
NFL: Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots 2023-08-19 |
Packers |
Patriots |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.6300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
✅ |
40.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.75
|
Trades
|
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-8.8012
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
39.65
|
1.08
|
0.00
|
40.73
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
1.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-20.9389
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
✅ |
39.35
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
39.36
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
✅ |
38.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.77
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
✅ |
38.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.61
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Chiefs vs. 49ers |
Chiefs |
49ers |
0.00
|
4.74
|
0.00% |
|
-7.9865
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 23 2022
|
✅ |
37.85
|
0.54
|
0.00
|
38.40
|
Trades
|
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
5.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-6.8054
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 16 2022
|
✅ |
38.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.39
|
Trades
|
Biden cognitive test before April? |
Yes |
No |
7,703.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0050
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
38.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.33
|
Trades
|
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
✅ |
38.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.00
|
Trades
|
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" Proposal pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 28 2023
|
✅ |
37.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.81
|
Trades
|
Will Idalia hit Florida as Category 4 hurricane? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
✅ |
37.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.43
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? |
Yes |
No |
407.53
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
-0.0911
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
✅ |
37.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.13
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
✅ |
36.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.57
|
Trades
|
India Election: Modi reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
36.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.53
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-6.7058
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
36.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.42
|
Trades
|
Will Mbappé sign for Real Madrid? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 01 2024
|
✅ |
36.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
16.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.1280
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
✅ |
35.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.46
|
Trades
|
Will "abortion" be said 5 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
35.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.45
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
35.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.45
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from March to April 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 11 2022
|
✅ |
35.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.42
|
Trades
|
Will anyone from the Epstein documents be indicted by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
35.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.42
|
Trades
|
Will "Pinocchio" win the Oscar for Best Animated Feature Film? |
Yes |
No |
222.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8417
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
222.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 12 2023
|
✅ |
-186.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.15
|
Trades
|
Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.92
|
0.00% |
|
-4.4285
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
35.06
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
35.10
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
34.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.96
|
Trades
|
Did Justin Sun bail out SBF? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
34.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.77
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 5 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
6.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-5.2012
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
34.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.54
|
Trades
|
Drake's 'For All the Dogs" over 400k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
68.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.0068
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
34.46
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.99
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will the Heat beat the 76ers by more than 7.5 points in their May 2, 7:30 PM ET matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.59
|
0.00% |
|
-5.0918
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 02 2022
|
✅ |
33.58
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
33.59
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Jun 07 2022
|
✅ |
33.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.57
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will Immanuel Quickley win Sixth Man of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9667
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-966.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.29
|
Trades
|
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
32.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.51
|
Trades
|
Golden Globes: Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win Best Picture - Musical or Comedy? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 11 2023
|
✅ |
32.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.16
|
Trades
|
Will N.D. win a plurality in the Greek election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.06
|
50.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
✅ |
32.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.12
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
✅ |
31.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.98
|
Trades
|
TX-34 House: Will a Democrat (Gonzalez) or Republican (Flores) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
31.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.71
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.67
|
0.00% |
|
-4.7303
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
✅ |
31.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.57
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.38
|
0.00% |
|
-2.5293
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
8.55
|
22.94
|
0.00
|
31.49
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Saturday - Will Argentina beat Australia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.66
|
0.02% |
|
-5.4285
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 03 2022
|
✅ |
30.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.70
|
Trades
|
Who will win the Democratic Nomination in the TX-28 House election: Jessica Cisneros or Henry Cuellar? |
Cisneros |
Cuellar |
3.30
|
0.00
|
7.14% |
-9.2924
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 24 2022
|
✅ |
30.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.66
|
Trades
|
Will 'Cocaine Bear' gross more than $20 million domestically on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
1,216.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9749
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,216.52
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 27 2023
|
✅ |
-1,185.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.55
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
10.81
|
0.00% |
|
-2.8232
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
30.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.51
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
1.02
|
0.00% |
|
-28.8679
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
29.33
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
29.35
|
Trades
|
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? |
Yes |
No |
29.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.0048
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
29.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.25
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from June to July 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 09 2023
|
✅ |
29.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.10
|
Trades
|
World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina |
France |
Argentina |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
✅ |
29.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.07
|
Trades
|
Will Bayern Munich win the 2021-22 UEFA Champions League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 28 2022
|
✅ |
28.96
|
0.05
|
0.00
|
29.02
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? |
Yes |
No |
338.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0852
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
28.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.83
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention "AI" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
28.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.69
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
34.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.1786
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
34.91
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.67
|
Trades
|
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2022 US Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 11 2022
|
✅ |
28.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.65
|
Trades
|
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
28.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.37
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.36
|
5.83% |
|
-3.0107
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
✅ |
28.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.19
|
Trades
|
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
9.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.9558
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
✅ |
28.14
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
28.15
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
190.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.8521
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
190.01
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-161.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.10
|
Trades
|
Will Uniswap's wallet be live on the iOS app store by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
27.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.66
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
27.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.66
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.83
|
0.00% |
|
-4.6909
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 14 2022
|
✅ |
27.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.36
|
Trades
|
MI-07 House: Will a Democrat (Slotkin) or Republican (Barrett) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
2.74
|
0.00% |
|
-9.9472
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
27.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.27
|
Trades
|
CZ jail in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,489.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.9817
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,489.58
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,462.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.22
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
4.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-5.4232
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
26.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.89
|
Trades
|
Will KO get over 31% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
-3.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.70
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
26.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.69
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
✅ |
26.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.69
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
0.00
|
320.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0833
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
26.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.65
|
Trades
|
NFL Thursday: Dolphins vs. Bengals |
Dolphins |
Bengals |
10.20
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
-2.6010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 29 2022
|
✅ |
26.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.54
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? |
Yes |
No |
279.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0936
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
✅ |
26.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.13
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Utah Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,500.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0173
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
26.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.00
|
Trades
|
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 25 2022
|
✅ |
25.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.56
|
Trades
|
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? |
Yes |
No |
1,819.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0139
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
25.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.23
|
Trades
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Tata Steel Masters 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 29 2023
|
✅ |
24.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.99
|
Trades
|
Will US resume UNRWA funding before March? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0125
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
24.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.97
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
9.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.6280
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
24.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.95
|
Trades
|
Will Bitboy remarry by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
24.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.57
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,100 on April 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 18 2023
|
✅ |
24.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.48
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
112.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2171
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
24.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.44
|
Trades
|
UFC 288: Who will win - Sterling or Cejudo? |
Sterling |
Cejudo |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 05 2023
|
✅ |
24.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.41
|
Trades
|
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
29.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
29.41
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.41
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
207.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.8827
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
207.18
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-182.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.30
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
245.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9010
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
245.00
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
✅ |
-220.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.25
|
Trades
|
Will Australia win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
✅ |
24.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.21
|
Trades
|
Will Syriza win >31% of votes in the Greek election? (first round) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 20 2023
|
✅ |
24.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.20
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Israel by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,022.83
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0235
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
✅ |
24.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.08
|
Trades
|
Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 7 games long? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
✅ |
-176.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.00
|
Trades
|
NFL: Who will win Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals, scheduled for September 11, 1:00 PM ET? |
Steelers |
Bengals |
0.00
|
3.23
|
0.02% |
|
-7.3303
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 11 2022
|
✅ |
23.66
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
23.75
|
Trades
|
OH-09 House: Will a Democrat (Kaptur) or Republican (Majewski) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
1.55
|
0.00% |
|
-14.9607
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
23.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.26
|
Trades
|
UFC 280: Who will win - Yan vs O'Malley |
Yan |
O'Malley |
1.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-13.5272
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 22 2022
|
✅ |
23.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.07
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida? |
Democrat |
Republican |
1.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-16.9166
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
23.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.04
|
Trades
|
49ers vs. Cowboys |
49ers |
Cowboys |
73.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6884
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
73.82
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
✅ |
-50.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
22.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.93
|
Trades
|
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the NHL 2021-22 Stanley Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.76
|
0.00% |
|
-2.9267
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 20 2022
|
✅ |
22.70
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
22.71
|
Trades
|
Will Caroline Ellison be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
22.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.68
|
Trades
|
Will the first offensive play of Super Bowl LVII be a run or a pass? |
Run |
Pass |
78.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7151
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
78.79
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 08 2023
|
✅ |
-56.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.45
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVII Coin Toss: Heads or Tails? |
Heads |
Tails |
0.00
|
16.23
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3484
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
16.23
|
Wed Feb 08 2023
|
✅ |
5.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.88
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 03 2022
|
✅ |
21.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.76
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Colorado Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,935.71
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0112
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
21.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.75
|
Trades
|
Golden Globes: Will "The Fabelmans" win Best Picture - Drama? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 11 2023
|
✅ |
21.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.73
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Texas Longhorns vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes 2023-03-26 |
Texas |
Miami (FL) |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 26 2023
|
✅ |
21.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.67
|
Trades
|
Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 15 2023
|
✅ |
21.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.64
|
Trades
|
Will any field goal in Super Bowl LVII be scored from 50 or more yards? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
444.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9514
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
444.00
|
Wed Feb 08 2023
|
✅ |
-422.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.58
|
Trades
|
Will SBF plead guilty by August 21? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
195.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.8896
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
195.39
|
Mon Aug 21 2023
|
✅ |
-173.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.57
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
21.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.41
|
Trades
|
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of 15-50? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
319.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.9334
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
319.25
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-298.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.26
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Philadelphia 76ers vs. Brooklyn Nets |
76ers |
Nets |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
21.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.18
|
Trades
|
Will Spain win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
166.58
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1263
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
✅ |
21.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.04
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.32
|
0.00% |
|
-2.8530
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
✅ |
20.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.89
|
Trades
|
Did Dustin Moskovitz bail out SBF? |
Yes |
No |
8.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.3129
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
20.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.56
|
Trades
|
Will Bing suspend its AI chatbot by February 28? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 28 2023
|
✅ |
20.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.53
|
Trades
|
NBA: Who will win Suns vs. Mavericks, scheduled for May 8, 3:30 PM ET? |
Suns |
Mavericks |
5.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-4.0053
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 08 2022
|
✅ |
20.48
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
20.52
|
Trades
|
Starlink available in Gaza by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
330.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9380
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
330.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-309.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.45
|
Trades
|
NHL: Who will win Avalanche vs. Oilers, scheduled for June 6, 8:00 PM ET? |
Avalanche |
Oilers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 06 2022
|
✅ |
20.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.35
|
Trades
|
Will the highest corporate tax rate be raised above 21% in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
8.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.4615
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
20.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.23
|
Trades
|
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? |
Yes |
No |
4.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-4.5990
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
✅ |
19.51
|
0.64
|
0.00
|
20.15
|
Trades
|
Will USA qualify from Group B? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.02
|
0.02% |
|
-2.2255
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
✅ |
20.07
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
20.09
|
Trades
|
NFL Monday: Raiders vs. Chiefs |
Raiders |
Chiefs |
1.13
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
-16.7625
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 10 2022
|
✅ |
18.92
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
19.92
|
Trades
|
Will Biden announce he is running for president by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
251.99
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0787
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 28 2023
|
✅ |
19.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.83
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from November to December 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 12 2023
|
✅ |
19.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.81
|
Trades
|
Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
19.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.81
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Elvis’ gross more than $38 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
6.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.1702
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 27 2022
|
✅ |
19.59
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
19.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
✅ |
19.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.56
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
5.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.2166
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
19.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.22
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter be removed from the Apple app store by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
4.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-4.3590
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
19.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.19
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 10 2022
|
✅ |
18.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.98
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43% or higher on September 29? |
Yes |
No |
6.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.9458
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
18.41
|
0.45
|
0.00
|
18.86
|
Trades
|
NBA: Who will win Warriors vs. Grizzlies, scheduled for May 3, 9:30 PM ET? |
Warriors |
Grizzlies |
8.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.0821
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 03 2022
|
✅ |
18.67
|
0.14
|
0.00
|
18.82
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. 49ers |
Cowboys |
49ers |
11.46
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
-1.6214
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 22 2023
|
✅ |
18.58
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
18.61
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8148
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
✅ |
-81.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.52
|
Trades
|
NFL Saturday: Giants vs. Eagles |
Giants |
Eagles |
4.17
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
-4.4188
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 21 2023
|
✅ |
18.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.43
|
Trades
|
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
18.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.33
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
10.23
|
0.00
|
0.03% |
-1.7914
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
18.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.33
|
Trades
|
Aleo airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
2,222.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0082
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
18.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.23
|
Trades
|
Will Bryce Young be first QB selected in the 2023 NFL draft? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 28 2023
|
✅ |
18.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.19
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Folks" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
✅ |
18.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.05
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on May 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.7988
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
✅ |
17.84
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
17.89
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
151.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.8823
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
151.46
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-133.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.83
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $2,900 on May 7, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.93
|
0.00
|
0.08% |
-2.1774
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 07 2022
|
✅ |
15.09
|
2.72
|
0.00
|
17.81
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
17.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.68
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.18
|
0.00% |
|
-1.8902
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
✅ |
17.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.36
|
Trades
|
Hyperliquid airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
416.21
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0414
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
✅ |
17.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.22
|
Trades
|
NBA: Who will win Timberwolves vs. Clippers, scheduled for April 12 (9:30 PM ET)? |
Timberwolves |
Clippers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 12 2022
|
✅ |
17.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.21
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
16.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.82
|
Trades
|
NHL: Who will win Avalanche vs. Predators, scheduled for May 5, 9:30 PM ET? |
Avalanche |
Predators |
0.00
|
4.85
|
0.01% |
|
-3.3389
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 05 2022
|
✅ |
16.19
|
0.59
|
0.00
|
16.78
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.0% or higher on May 18? |
Yes |
No |
7.31
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-2.2593
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu May 19 2022
|
✅ |
16.51
|
0.10
|
0.00
|
16.60
|
Trades
|
Will Cherelle Parker win the 2023 Philadelphia mayoral Democratic primary? |
Yes |
No |
14.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1064
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
14.99
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.59
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on October 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.38
|
0.00% |
|
-1.9761
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 14 2022
|
✅ |
16.57
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
16.58
|
Trades
|
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
16.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.51
|
Trades
|
Will Fetterman and Oz debate on October 25? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.56
|
0.00% |
|
-3.5331
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 25 2022
|
✅ |
16.11
|
0.21
|
0.00
|
16.32
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Steelers vs. Ravens |
Steelers |
Ravens |
922.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9824
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
922.59
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-906.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.28
|
Trades
|
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2022 Tour de France? |
Yes |
No |
7.41
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-2.1623
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 24 2022
|
✅ |
16.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.02
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.14
|
100.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
✅ |
15.93
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
16.01
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention Fentanyl 5 or more times in the 2023 State of the Union? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 07 2023
|
✅ |
16.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.01
|
Trades
|
49ers vs. Lions |
49ers |
Lions |
0.00
|
107.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1493
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
✅ |
15.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.98
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl LVII? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 12 2023
|
✅ |
15.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.97
|
Trades
|
Will Iran win the 2022 World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
5.50
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
-2.8649
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
✅ |
15.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.75
|
Trades
|
Drift airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
357.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0440
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 27 2024
|
✅ |
15.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.75
|
Trades
|
Will 'My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3' gross over $10m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
40.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6079
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
40.16
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 11 2023
|
✅ |
-24.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.75
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
15.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.64
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester City beat Sheffield United? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 26 2023
|
✅ |
15.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.61
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
15.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.58
|
Trades
|
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.825 on October 14? |
Yes |
No |
4.84
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.1555
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 14 2022
|
✅ |
15.27
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
15.30
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 13 2023
|
✅ |
15.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.19
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on October 21? |
Yes |
No |
5.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.9739
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 21 2022
|
✅ |
15.07
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
15.08
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Playoffs, 1st Round: Who will win Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves? |
Grizzlies |
Timberwolves |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
✅ |
14.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.97
|
Trades
|
NBA: Raptors vs. Suns (01/30/2023) |
Raptors |
Suns |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 30 2023
|
✅ |
14.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.92
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.28
|
0.02% |
|
-1.6024
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 29 2022
|
✅ |
14.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.88
|
Trades
|
NBA: Who will win Lakers vs. Warriors, scheduled for October 18 (10:00 PM ET)? |
Lakers |
Warriors |
4.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.5620
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 18 2022
|
✅ |
14.70
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
14.79
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
2,713.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0054
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
✅ |
14.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.66
|
Trades
|
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
14.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.39
|
Trades
|
Iran in possession of nuclear weapons by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
14.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.38
|
Trades
|
Will 'Creed III' gross more than $35 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 06 2023
|
✅ |
14.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.25
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
4.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.4560
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
14.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.11
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from June to July 2023? |
Yes |
No |
38.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6302
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
38.13
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 09 2023
|
✅ |
-24.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.10
|
Trades
|
Will the Gävle Goat be destroyed in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
63.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.7832
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
63.98
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-50.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.87
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns |
Nuggets |
Suns |
44.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6954
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
44.97
|
0.00
|
Sat May 13 2023
|
✅ |
-31.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.70
|
Trades
|
Will an election for the Israeli Knesset occur before August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
7.01
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-1.9465
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
13.64
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
13.65
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,711.50
|
0.02% |
|
0.9920
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,711.50
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-1,697.87
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
13.64
|
Trades
|
Will Austin Butler win the Oscar for Best Actor in a Leading Role? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
✅ |
13.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.33
|
Trades
|
Will Vox win over 45 seats in the 2023 Spanish general election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
225.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9409
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
225.00
|
Sat Jul 22 2023
|
✅ |
-211.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.30
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Christ) or Republican (DeSantis) win in Florida? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
13.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.14
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
4.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-3.0362
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
12.93
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
12.96
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Elvis’ gross more than $45 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
3.89
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-3.1242
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 27 2022
|
✅ |
12.16
|
0.71
|
0.00
|
12.87
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
222.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0577
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 15 2023
|
✅ |
12.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.82
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42% or higher on Election Day? |
Yes |
No |
9.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.2914
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
12.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.80
|
Trades
|
UFC 280: Who will win - Oliveira vs Makhachev |
Oliveira |
Makhachev |
2.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-5.0124
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 22 2022
|
✅ |
12.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.65
|
Trades
|
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
76.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.8352
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
76.73
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-64.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.64
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Sisolak) or Republican (Lombardo) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
7.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.5939
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
|