Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
13,482.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13,482.21
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
2,461.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,461.06
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
1,758.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,758.30
|
Trades
|
Biden additional aid to Ukraine by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
1,575.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,575.90
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
1,275.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,275.03
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
1,004.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,004.50
|
Trades
|
Another North Korea missile test by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
886.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
886.58
|
Trades
|
Charlotte Fang vs. Sonora Sprite |
Charlotte |
Sprite |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
β
|
873.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
873.19
|
Trades
|
French Open: Who will win Alcaraz vs. Djokovic? |
Alcaraz |
Djokovic |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
494.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
494.01
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
427.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
427.67
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
415.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
415.73
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
275.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
275.06
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
235.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
235.16
|
Trades
|
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $30m on its 3-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
207.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
207.22
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
158.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
158.00
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
111.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
111.93
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
80.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.61
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
67.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
67.80
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
55.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.56
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
50.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.73
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 27 2023
|
β
|
49.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.05
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester City win the 2023 Champions League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
48.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.97
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
50.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.00
|
Trades
|
Will Shohei Ohtani sign with Blue Jays? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.11
|
0.00% |
|
-11.2925
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.11
|
Fri Jan 12 2024
|
β
|
35.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.26
|
Trades
|
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
38.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Lahaina fire in Maui be fully contained this week? |
Yes |
No |
6.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-5.0509
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
β
|
31.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.89
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
29.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.55
|
Trades
|
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $27m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
β
|
27.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.04
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $80m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
26.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.10
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
β
|
24.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.40
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 16 2023
|
β
|
24.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.01
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
23.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.60
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
20.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.50
|
Trades
|
Will Canada sanction India by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
17.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.17
|
Trades
|
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15Β’ and 65Β’ EOW? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
169.33
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0881
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
14.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.92
|
Trades
|
Will Neymar leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
14.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.39
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
14.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.15
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
11.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.06
|
Trades
|
Will Messi score in his next game? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 09 2023
|
β
|
11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
10.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.57
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.10
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
9.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.05
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.00
|
Trades
|
Haaland to break PL goal record this season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
β
|
7.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.19
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
5.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.93
|
Trades
|
Will Messi score in his next game? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
954.55
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0052
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.50
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
3.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.05
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.61
|
Trades
|
Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift seen together again? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.63
|
0.00% |
|
-0.7896
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
2.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.07
|
Trades
|
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
1.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.73
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
1.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.49
|
Trades
|
NL Division Series: Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers |
Diamondbacks |
Dodgers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 12 2023
|
β
|
1.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.41
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.21
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
0.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.53
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Will Bitboy remarry by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.02
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tesla deliver a Cybertruck in Q3? |
Yes |
No |
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 19 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Celestia token above $1 one week after airdrop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0020
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 06 2023
|
β
|
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Is the Loch Ness Monster real? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Adin Ross interview Kim Jong Un on stream by Saturday? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 23 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
-0.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.46
|
Trades
|
Will Rafah border crossing open for humanitarian aid by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will the missing F-35 be found by September 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Fantano rate Drake's new album a 7 or higher? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Lee hit the US as a tropical storm? |
Yes |
No |
102.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
β
|
-1.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.02
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.41
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.62
|
Trades
|
Will 'Strays' gross over $20m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
54.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
β
|
-1.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.64
|
Trades
|
Will 'Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem' gross over $42.5m on its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
-2.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.22
|
Trades
|
Will Mason Greenwood return to Manchester United? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.80
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-3.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.15
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
173.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0230
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Draymond Green be suspended for 10+ games? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
514.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0102
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-5.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.24
|
Trades
|
Will 'Haunted Mansion' gross over $30m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
515.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0112
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.79
|
Trades
|
Celestia token above $2 one week after airdrop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 06 2023
|
β
|
-5.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.99
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-8.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.09
|
Trades
|
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-8.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.93
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
999.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.98
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
39.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.2900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
-11.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.42
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Last Voyage of the Demeter' gross over $8m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
350.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0486
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 13 2023
|
β
|
-17.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.00
|
Trades
|
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
248.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0777
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-19.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.33
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? |
Yes |
No |
450.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-22.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
646.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-25.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.85
|
Trades
|
Venezuela oil production >1 million barrels/day by Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-29.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.20
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
-37.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.52
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-50.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.02
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-55.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $90m on its second weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,032.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.0114
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-57.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-57.47
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
361.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.1800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-65.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-65.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
350.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1986
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
-69.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-69.50
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-70.00
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-103.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-103.14
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase list $PEPE by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
583.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1868
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-109.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-109.03
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-111.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-111.72
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
570.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.2348
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-133.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-133.90
|
Trades
|
Will Hilary hit US as a hurricane? |
Yes |
No |
8,001.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0171
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-137.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-137.04
|
Trades
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
900.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2694
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-242.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-242.45
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-266.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-266.67
|
Trades
|
Will the GΓ€vle Goat be destroyed in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,089.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3083
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-335.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-335.83
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? |
Yes |
No |
1,974.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1872
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-369.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-369.54
|
Trades
|
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? |
Yes |
No |
833.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5029
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-419.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-419.18
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.12
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
-458.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-458.82
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-517.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-517.07
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
β
|
-701.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-701.70
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
4,312.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3368
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-1,452.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,452.69
|
Trades
|
Aella: Will more men report they were spanked than women? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,495.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,495.49
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50.02
|
13.25
|
|
|
18,948.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19,012.02
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
50.02
|
13.25
|
|
|
18,948.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19,012.02
|
|