Account
0x1efed369b3fd8a0525acd5c3933a05728751cee1 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 113.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 113.91 | Trades | ||
| Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? | California | Florida | 0.00 | 237.52 | 0.00% | 0.5216 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 237.52 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -123.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 113.62 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 144.15 | 0.00% | 0.2585 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 144.15 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -37.27 | 5.93 | 0.00 | 112.81 | Trades | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 22 2022 | ✅ | 97.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.33 | Trades | ||
| Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 27 2023 | ✅ | 93.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 93.77 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 85.86 | 5.80 | 0.00 | 91.66 | Trades | ||
| Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 91.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 91.08 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 07 2023 | ✅ | 81.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.10 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | ✅ | 79.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.32 | Trades | ||
| Will the Yuan be worth less than $0.15 USD by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | ✅ | 77.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.51 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | ✅ | 63.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 63.47 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Tue May 24 2022 | ✅ | 56.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.90 | Trades | ||
| Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 01 2022 | ✅ | 46.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.52 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 41.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.91 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 38.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.86 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | ✅ | 37.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | 35.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.83 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. Women’s Soccer team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 35.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.15 | Trades | ||
| Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 33.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Poland or the United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on Christmas Eve? | Poland | United Kingdom | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | 31.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.92 | Trades | ||
| Will Germany be the Group F winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 30.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 30.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.18 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 29.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.76 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | 29.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.02 | Trades | ||
| Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 28.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.31 | Trades | ||
| Will Belgium or Italy qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? | Belgium | Italy | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 02 2021 | ✅ | 26.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Germany or United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 24? | Germany | United Kingdom | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | ✅ | 25.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.42 | Trades | ||
| Will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for more than $10 million in its Christie's auction? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 11 2021 | ✅ | 24.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.05 | Trades | ||
| Who will have a higher net worth on April 20: Bernard Arnault or Jeff Bezos? | Bernard Arnault | Jeff Bezos | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 20 2022 | ✅ | 21.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.48 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -9.54 | 30.94 | 0.00 | 21.41 | Trades | ||
| Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 04 2023 | ✅ | 21.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.09 | Trades | ||
| Will Labor win more seats than the Liberal-Nationals in the 2022 Australian Federal Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 21 2022 | ✅ | 20.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.75 | Trades | ||
| Will a French cyclist win the Tour de France polka dot jersey? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | ✅ | 20.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.24 | Trades | ||
| 2022 French Legislative Election: Will Macron's party win an outright majority? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 20 2022 | ✅ | 20.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | 20.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.02 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 19.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.96 | Trades | ||
| UEFA Champions League: Which group E team will qualify to the knockout phase? | Benfica | Barcelona | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 08 2021 | ✅ | 19.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.72 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? | Lee Jae-myung | Yoon Seok-youl | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 09 2022 | ✅ | 19.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.70 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 19.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.59 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 18.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.97 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 18.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.66 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 15 2022 | ✅ | 18.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | 18.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.33 | Trades | ||
| Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 17.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.70 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | 17.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.62 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | ✅ | 17.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.46 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 17.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Luiz da Silva win 2022 Presidential Elections in Brazil? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 30 2022 | ✅ | 16.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.95 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | ✅ | 16.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.86 | Trades | ||
| Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 16.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.6% or higher on March 2? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 03 2022 | ✅ | 16.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Katie Ledecky win 3 or more gold medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 16.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 15.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.98 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 15.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.72 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 15.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.58 | Trades | ||
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7805 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 70.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -54.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.36 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 08 2022 | ✅ | 14.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.18 | Trades | ||
| Will England or Denmark qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals? | England | Denmark | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 07 2021 | ✅ | 13.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.88 | Trades | ||
| Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.5% or more in January? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 23 2022 | ✅ | 13.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.29 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | 12.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.67 | Trades | ||
| Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 12.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.26 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 12.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.05 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 07 2022 | ✅ | 11.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.72 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | ✅ | 11.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.39 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 23 2021 | ✅ | 11.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Spain win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | ✅ | 10.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.91 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA ambassador be recalled or expelled from Russia before June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | 10.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.90 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by February 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 15 2022 | ✅ | 10.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 10.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.44 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | 10.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.38 | Trades | ||
| Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | ✅ | 10.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.05 | Trades | ||
| How much will “Dune” gross domestically on opening weekend? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.37 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 25 2021 | ✅ | 9.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Spain be the Group E winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 9.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.51 | Trades | ||
| Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 8.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Ukraine or England qualify for the Euro 2020 Semifinals? | Ukraine | England | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 03 2021 | ✅ | 8.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.70 | Trades | ||
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 8.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.62 | Trades | ||
| Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 18 be higher than on February 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 04 2022 | ✅ | 8.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.44 | Trades | ||
| Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | ✅ | 8.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.16 | Trades | ||
| Will 227.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 8.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.11 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the UK be greater than 44,000 on November 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 12 2021 | ✅ | 8.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.01 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 50,000 by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 07 2022 | ✅ | 7.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.97 | Trades | ||
| Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 7.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Italy be the Group A winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 7.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.79 | Trades | ||
| Will France or the USA report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 30? | France | USA | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 7.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.07 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 6.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 6.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.88 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on May 26, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 26 2022 | ✅ | 6.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.58 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 6.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.45 | Trades | ||
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 10 2022 | ✅ | 6.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.38 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 6.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 6.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.08 | Trades | ||
| Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | ✅ | 6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | 5.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.90 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of wheat close above $1070 on May 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 20 2022 | ✅ | 5.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Italy or Switzerland win their Euro 2020 match? | Italy | Switzerland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | ✅ | 5.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.27 | Trades | ||
| Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | ✅ | 5.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 5.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | ✅ | 5.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.07 | Trades | ||
| Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos? | Elon Musk | Jeff Bezos | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 20 2022 | ✅ | 4.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.92 | Trades | ||
| Will Italy or Austria qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Italy | Austria | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 26 2021 | ✅ | 4.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.92 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | 4.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.53 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 07 2021 | ✅ | 4.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.48 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | ✅ | 4.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.44 | Trades | ||
| Will Eric Zemmour win the 2022 French presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 25 2022 | ✅ | 4.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.31 | Trades | ||
| Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | 4.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.28 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | 4.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.28 | Trades | ||
| World Chess Championship 2021: Will Game 12 be played? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 11 2021 | ✅ | 4.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.26 | Trades | ||
| Will the winning margin of the 2021 Tour de France be less than 1 minute? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | ✅ | 4.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.13 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 416.2 ppm on August 3, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 04 2021 | ✅ | 4.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be between 42.7% and 42.9% on January 26? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 26 2022 | ✅ | 3.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Pope Francis visit Ukraine by May 13, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 13 2022 | ✅ | 3.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.80 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | 3.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.64 | Trades | ||
| Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by April 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 01 2022 | ✅ | 3.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.23 | Trades | ||
| Will England be the Group D winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.05 | Trades | ||
| Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Belgium be the Group B winner in the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.97 | Trades | ||
| Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on February 8: Denmark or France? | Denmark | France | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | ✅ | 2.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? | WI | SC | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 2.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.68 | Trades | ||
| Will Hungary or Portugal win their Euro 2020 match? | Hungary | Portugal | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 2.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.07 | Trades | |||
| Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.66 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 15 2022 | ✅ | 1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.48 | Trades | ||
| Will box office sales be higher than $200 million in the first quarter of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 03 2021 | ✅ | 1.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.36 | Trades | ||
| Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.34 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 23rd be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.01 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.90 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 28 2021 | ✅ | 0.25 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.64 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the Secretary of State, Secretary of Defense, or Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff no longer hold their position on October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.63 | Trades | ||
| Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 | Trades | ||
| Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | ✅ | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.11 | Trades | ||
| Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | |||||||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.22 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.56 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | ✅ | -2.01 | 1.17 | 0.00 | -0.84 | Trades | ||
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | -1.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.42 | Trades | ||||||
| Will 18 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 4th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | -3.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -3.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.88 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 50,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | ✅ | -5.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -6.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.91 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -7.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Spain or Poland win their Euro 2020 match? | Spain | Poland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | ✅ | -7.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -7.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.98 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | -8.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.42 | Trades | ||
| Will Allyson Felix win a medal in the Women’s 400M? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | -8.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.84 | Trades | ||
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be on April 9? | 49,999 or fewer 50,000-62,499 62,500-74,999 75,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Apr 09 2021 | ✅ | -9.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.47 | Trades | ||||||
| Will George Condo’s “Reclining Blue Form” sell for more than $3.5 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -9.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.77 | Trades | ||
| Will Andy Warhol’s “Marilyn Monroe” sell for more than $3 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -9.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.77 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | -13.90 | 3.38 | 0.00 | -10.52 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | -11.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.90 | Trades | ||
| Will Germany or Hungary win their Euro 2020 match? | Germany | Hungary | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | -14.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.05 | Trades | ||
| World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws? | More | Less | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 14 2021 | ✅ | -14.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.88 | Trades | ||
| Will NASA conduct a sustained flight of Ingenuity on Mars by April 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 12 2021 | ✅ | -16.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.39 | Trades | ||
| Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | -16.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.97 | Trades | ||
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | -17.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.24 | Trades | ||
| Who will have a higher net worth on February 20: Bernard Arnault or Jeff Bezos? | Bernard Arnault | Jeff Bezos | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 20 2022 | ✅ | -19.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.88 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 80.00 | 0.00% | 0.2493 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -19.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.94 | Trades | |
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -20.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -21.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.62 | Trades | ||
| What will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for at auction? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | -26.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -26.30 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 650K for the week ending on April 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | ✅ | -27.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.11 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States win 44 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | -29.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | ✅ | -29.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.48 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 02 2022 | ✅ | -29.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.51 | Trades | ||
| Will the Boeing CST-100 Starliner Spacecraft successfully dock with the ISS before August 6? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | -29.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 46, 2021 (Nov 15 - Nov 21)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | -30.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.12 | Trades | ||
| Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | ✅ | -32.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.28 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Wed Jun 01 2022 | ✅ | -37.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.40 | Trades | ||
| Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? | France USA Italy Spain |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Jan 14 2022 | ✅ | -39.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.52 | Trades | ||||||
| Will France or Switzerland qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | France | Switzerland | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 28 2021 | ✅ | -39.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.68 | Trades | ||
| Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -39.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.85 | Trades | ||
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | ✅ | -39.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.90 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -39.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -39.96 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | ✅ | -40.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.44 | Trades | ||
| Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 31 2022 | ✅ | -46.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -46.45 | Trades | ||
| Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | -49.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.11 | Trades | ||
| Will 205 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -49.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.54 | Trades | ||
| Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 66.59 | 0.00% | 0.7509 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will Hellbound be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 49, 2021 (Nov 29 - Dec 5)? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 06 2021 | ✅ | -58.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -58.93 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | ✅ | -60.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.26 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -64.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -64.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? | Yes | No | 105.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7611 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
| Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 132.13 | 0.00% | 0.6054 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 31 2022 | ✅ | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -82.27 | 0.75 | 0.00 | -81.52 | Trades | ||
| Will Rodolfo Hernández win the 2022 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 29 2022 | ✅ | -106.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -106.64 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 08 2022 | ✅ | -121.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -121.19 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 70.00 | 381.68 | 411.04 | 48.60 | 0.00 | 911.32 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 70.00 | 381.68 | 411.04 | 48.60 | 0.00 | 911.32 | ||||||||||||