Account
0x1e8088a562278fed0c7558cc974bc4cd4b40102d Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 628.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -7.2174 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 628.78 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | 4,538.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5,167.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.85 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.85 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | ✅ | 2,010.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,011.69 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 1,836.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,836.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | ✅ | 1,059.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,059.26 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 897.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 897.22 | Trades | ||
| Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? | California | Florida | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 808.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 808.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | ✅ | 733.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 733.02 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 949.82 | 0.00% | 0.2585 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 949.82 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | -245.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 704.26 | Trades | |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 687.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 687.19 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 583.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 583.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 02 2021 | ✅ | 580.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 580.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 482.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 482.22 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | ✅ | 477.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 477.79 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 471.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 471.52 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 1% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 405.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 405.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | 393.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 393.16 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 393.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 393.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.5% or higher on December 12th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 13 2021 | ✅ | 363.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 363.53 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 737.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5186 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 737.57 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | -382.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 355.10 | Trades | |
| Will Germany or United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 24? | Germany | United Kingdom | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | ✅ | 352.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 352.87 | Trades | ||
| Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 339.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 339.80 | Trades | ||
| Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 20 2021 | ✅ | 294.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 294.45 | Trades | ||
| Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 249.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 249.41 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 246.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 246.67 | Trades | ||
| Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 183.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 183.71 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 183.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 183.42 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | ✅ | 179.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 179.53 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | 152.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 152.77 | Trades | ||
| Will a French cyclist win the Tour de France polka dot jersey? | Yes | No | 100.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.3502 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | ✅ | 135.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 135.03 | Trades | |
| Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | ✅ | 126.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 126.74 | Trades | ||
| Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? | Dune | Shang-Chi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | ✅ | 119.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 119.64 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 02 2021 | ✅ | 115.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 115.71 | Trades | ||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 105.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 105.07 | Trades | ||
| Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 98.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 98.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 98.57 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.3960 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | ✅ | 19.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.80 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 66.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.21 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | 66.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.19 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States win 44 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 53.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.02 | Trades | ||
| Will The Queen's Gambit win the Emmy Award for Best Limited Series? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 19 2021 | ✅ | 39.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | ✅ | 33.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.20 | Trades | ||
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 33.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden’s disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | ✅ | 28.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.66 | Trades | ||
| Will August 2021 average global temperature be the highest August temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 27.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | ✅ | 21.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.66 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 10 2021 | ✅ | 17.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.40 | Trades | ||
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 14.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.87 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 16 2021 | ✅ | 9.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.70 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 17th be higher than the 7-day average of COVID cases on December 10th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | ✅ | 4.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.20 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 28 2021 | ✅ | 2.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.87 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.67 | Trades | ||
| Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021? | Texas Florida California |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 15 2021 | ✅ | -1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.34 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the Suns or the Lakers win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Suns | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 05 2021 | ✅ | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.87 | Trades | ||
| Will a Red Bull or Mercedes-AMG Petronas car win the French Grand Prix? | Red Bull | Mercedes | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | -1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.76 | Trades | ||
| Fed rate cut by June 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.00 | 0.00% | 0.4450 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 12 2024 | -2.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.23 | Trades | ||
| Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? | Democrats | Republicans | 10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.50 | Trades | ||
| House control after 2024 election? | Democratic | Republican | 5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5500 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 05 2024 | -2.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.75 | Trades | ||
| Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -2.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.79 | Trades | ||
| Will the winning margin of the 2021 Tour de France be less than 1 minute? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | ✅ | -5.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -7.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.76 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | -8.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.01 | Trades | ||
| Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -8.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.58 | Trades | ||
| New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | -11.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend? | Space Jam | Black Widow | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | -13.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? | WI | SC | 0.00 | 283.94 | 0.00% | 0.0880 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | ✅ | -25.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 540.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0610 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -33.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -33.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | -36.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.5% or higher on January 14 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | -36.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -36.84 | Trades | ||
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | -42.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -42.12 | Trades | ||||||
| Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 250.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2184 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -54.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.60 | Trades | |
| Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2021 Tour de France? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | ✅ | -57.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -57.47 | Trades | ||
| Will 'Spider-Man: No Way Home' get a 90% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 250.49 | 0.00% | 0.2466 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 20 2021 | ✅ | -61.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -61.78 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.44 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 06 2021 | ✅ | -64.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -64.04 | Trades | ||
| Will “The Suicide Squad” gross more than $37.5M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 49.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.4062 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | -69.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -69.02 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | ✅ | -74.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -74.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Jungle Cruise gross more than $30M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | -80.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.26 | Trades | ||
| Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -97.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -97.52 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | -105.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -105.84 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -116.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -116.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -126.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -126.32 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | -132.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -132.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | ✅ | -135.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -135.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -139.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -139.36 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 684.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2432 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -166.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -166.60 | Trades | |
| Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 399.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4220 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | -168.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -168.62 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | ✅ | -207.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -207.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | -211.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -211.28 | Trades | ||
| Will October 2021 average global temperature be the highest October temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -238.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -238.13 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | -259.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -259.43 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | ✅ | -288.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -288.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -339.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -339.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? | Yes | No | 2,000.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1814 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | -362.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -362.93 | Trades | |
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | ✅ | -367.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -367.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? | Yes | No | 400.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1128 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | -445.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -445.54 | Trades | |
| Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? | Yes | No | 499.85 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.1448 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | -572.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -572.21 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | -585.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -585.36 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 6,000.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1014 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -608.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -608.62 | Trades | |
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 45.44 | 0.00% | 14.7619 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 45.44 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | -670.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -625.30 | Trades | |
| Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,000.02 | 0.00% | 1.0693 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -1,069.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,069.37 | Trades | |
| Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record? | Yes | No | 4,407.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3696 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -1,628.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,628.76 | Trades | |
| Resolved | 1,416.36 | 997.10 | 9,740.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12,153.59 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.47 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 1,416.36 | 997.10 | 9,732.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12,146.11 | ||||||||||||